Borislav Stefanov - Bulgaria2 - General Presentation September 2011

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    Bulgaria investment climate and business

    opportunities

    September 2011

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    Page 2

    Macroeconomic indicators show consistent pre-crisiseconomic growth and quick post-crisis recovery

    Real GDP Growth Inflation

    Unemployment FDI Inflow

    Source: Bulgarian National Bank, Eurostat

    2.0%

    -5.5%

    6.2%6.4%6.5%6.2%6.6%

    2011Q2

    2010

    0.2%

    200920082007200620052004

    3.0%2.5%

    12.0%

    7.6%7.4%6.0%6.1%

    201020082007200620052004 2009

    * August 2011

    9.5%9.2%9.1%9.1%10.7%

    12.2%

    6.9%

    200620052004 2007 2011201020092008

    6.3%

    EU-27Bulgaria EU-27Bulgaria

    1,6392,412

    6,728

    9,052

    6,222

    3,1522,736

    2004 20072005 2010200920082006

    mln.EU-27Bulgaria

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    Visible signs exist that the Bulgarian economy isemerging rapidly from the crisis

    Exports ( mln.)

    3.3%3.7%

    6.6%

    -9%

    -8%

    -7%

    -6%-5%

    -4%

    -3%

    -2%

    -1%

    0%

    1%

    2%

    3%

    4%

    5%

    6%

    7%

    Q2

    2011

    2.0%

    Q1

    2011

    Q4

    2010

    Q3

    2010

    0.0%

    Q2

    2010

    -0.4%

    Q1

    2010

    -1.9%

    Q4

    2009

    -8.9%

    Q3

    2009

    -5.6%

    Q2

    2009

    -4.6%

    Q1

    2009

    -3.3%

    Q4

    2008

    4.7%

    Q3

    2008

    Real GDP growth (% annual basis)

    Source: National Institute of Statistics, Bulgaria

    5,000

    4,500

    4,000

    3,500

    3,000

    0Q2

    2008

    Q1

    2008

    +28%

    Q2

    2011

    Q1

    2011

    Q4

    2010

    Q3

    2010

    Q2

    2010

    Q1

    2010

    Q4

    2009

    Q3

    2009

    Q2

    2009

    Q1

    2009

    Q4

    2008

    Q3

    2008

    +83%

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    Role of Bulgaria as FDI location has grown significantlyfor the last 10 years

    9,000

    8,000

    7,000

    6,000

    5,000

    4,000

    3,000

    2,000

    10,000

    1,000

    0

    Croatia

    Slovakia

    Bulgaria

    Hungary

    Romania

    Czech Republic

    20092008200720062005200420032002200120001999-1,000 2010

    Inward FDI per country ( mln.)

    Page 4Source: UNCTAD

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    FDI in Bulgaria comes mostly from EU countries and isconcentrated in four main sectors

    Source: Bulgarian National Bank

    FDI by host country, 1996-2010 ( mln.) FDI flows by industry, 1996-2010 ( mln.)

    Telecom 1,955

    Energy 2,492

    Construction 2,608

    Trade 6,425

    Manufacturing 6,552

    Finance 7,422

    Real Estate 8,419

    Other 2,376(10) Italy 1,221

    (9) Russia 1,229

    (8) USA 1,337

    (7) Hungary 1,362

    (6) Cyprus 2,229

    (5) Germany 2,646

    (4) UK 2,948

    (3) Greece 3,763

    (2) Austria 5,183

    (1) Netherlands 5,740

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    Why invest in Bulgaria?

    Political and business stability

    EU and NATO member

    Currency board

    Low budget deficit and government debt

    Low cost of doing business

    10% corporate tax rate Lowest cost of labor within EU

    Access to markets

    European Union / EFTA

    Russia Turkey / Middle East

    Educated and skilled workforce

    Government incentives

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    Bulgaria enjoys one of the most stable political andeconomic environments in Southeastern Europe

    Bulgaria is a member of some of themost prestigious political organizations

    European Union member since 2007

    NATO member since 2004

    WTO member since 1996

    Strong commitment to political reformand transparency has earned praisefrom leading media and expertsworldwide

    Stable currency

    Bulgarian Lev has been pegged to the Eurosince the adoption of the currency in 2002

    Currency board backed by IMF

    the culture of impunity that onceplagued Bulgaria has largely gone

    May 27, 2010

    While governments across the euro-zone periphery are on the ropes orhave been felled by the economic

    crisis, Prime Minister BoykoBorisov's government has drawninternational accolades for cuttingspending while maintaining highlevels of public support.

    September 10, 2011

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    Government financial indicators are remarkable not onlyin the region, but on a pan-European scale

    Page 8

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    60%

    70%

    80%

    90%

    100%

    110%

    120%

    Malta

    Average budget deficit/surplus (2005-2010)

    -9% -8% -7% -6% -5% -4% -3% -2% -1%

    Luxembourg

    Iceland

    LithuaniaLatvia

    Estonia

    Germany

    Denmark

    Czech Republic

    Bulgaria

    Belgium

    Ireland

    Greece

    Spain

    France

    Italy

    Cyprus

    2% 16%1%0%

    TurkeyCroatia

    NorwayUnited Kingdom

    Sweden

    Hungary

    Finland

    Slovakia

    Slovenia

    Romania

    Portugal

    Poland

    Austria

    Netherlands

    Source: Eurostat

    Average government debt (2005-2010)

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    Bulgaria is the only country in Europe with a credit ratingupgrade by Moodys since the beginning of 2010

    09/1107/1105/1103/1101/1111/1009/1007/1005/1003/1001/10

    Ukraine

    Turkey

    Portugal

    Moldova

    Malta

    Lithuania

    LatviaIceland

    Ireland

    Hungary

    Greece

    Estonia

    Cyprus

    Bulgaria

    Source: Moodys

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    Bulgaria has one of the lowest business costs in Europe(1) taxes and labor costs

    Lowest corporate income tax rate in Central /Eastern Europe

    * 0% tax rate for manufacturing companies in regions with low employment

    Most competitive cost of labor in Central /Eastern Europe

    Average wage, / month March 2011

    Source: Eurostat; CEIC

    Turkey 20%

    Czech Rep 19%

    Slovakia 19%

    Hungary 19%

    Romania 16%

    Bulgaria (*) 10%

    Croatia 20%

    Slovenia 1,524

    Croatia 1,065

    Czech Republic 949

    Poland 878

    Slovakia 802

    Hungary 746

    Romania 493

    Serbia 480

    Bulgaria 352

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    Bulgaria has one of the lowest business costs in Europe(2) energy costs and rent

    Bulgarian cost of electricity for industrialusers is 70% of the European average

    Source: Eurostat, CB Richard Ellis

    0.123

    0.110

    0.104

    0.092

    0.090

    0.086

    0.080

    0.064

    0.062

    Czech Rep

    Hungary

    EU average

    Germany

    Turkey

    Romania

    Bulgaria

    Estonia

    Slovakia

    /kWh, 2011

    Office rents in Bulgaria are among the lowestin Europe

    724

    339

    336

    312

    252

    240

    234

    191

    168

    Moscow

    Athens

    Warsaw

    Prague

    Budapest

    Bucharest

    Zagreb

    Sofia

    Istanbul

    / sq. m / year,Q2 2011

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    Bulgaria is only 3 hours flight from all major destinationsin Europe, Russia and the Mediterranean region

    Strategic geographic location Major transport corridors passingthrough Bulgaria

    EUandEFTA

    Russia

    and

    CIS

    Turkeyand

    MiddleEast

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    The role of the European Union as a trade partner forBulgaria has been growing consistently

    11%

    6% 6% 7%

    16%

    21%18%

    15%

    56%60%

    64%

    44%

    Other

    Asia

    Balkans

    EU-27

    2009

    14%

    2005

    16%

    2000

    17%

    1995

    29%

    Share of EU-27 exports has grown by 50percentage points since 1995

    1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010

    mln

    9,000

    6,000

    5,000

    4,000

    3,000

    8,000

    2,000

    10,000

    1,000

    0

    7,000

    ... in absolute terms EU-27 exports havegrown approximately 5 times

    Page 13

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    Educated and skilled workforce is among the mainadvantages of Bulgaria

    Almost 60,000 students graduate every year fromover 50 universities

    Source: National Institute of Statistics, Bulgaria

    860

    833

    12,684Other

    19,480Business

    8,372Social sciences

    7,178Engineering

    3,677Education

    3,166Health

    1,553Law

    Architecture

    Agriculture

    Bulgaria has one of the highest proportions ofstudents abroad from all European countries

    2.1%

    2.2%

    2.8%

    3.1%

    4.7%

    5.8%

    8.3%

    17.8%Iceland

    14.2%Ireland

    10.2%Slovakia

    Bulgaria

    Greece

    Austria

    Germany

    EU-27 average

    Romania

    Czech Republic

    Students in another EU

    / EEA country, % of all

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    The government supports specific industries under theInvestment Promotion Act (IPA)

    Page 15

    Investments must be related to the following sectors:

    Manufacturing

    Research & development

    Education

    Healthcare

    High-tech services

    Warehousing and logistics

    Minimum investment amounts must exceed 10m 3.5 in regions with high unemployment and 2m for

    investment projects in high-tech services

    Benefits for certified investors include:

    Shortened administrative procedures

    Preferential acquisition of state or municipal land

    Financial support for professional training / education

    Infrastructure subsidies

    Individual administrative services

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    Biggest investors are supported through a priorityinvestment scheme

    Priority projects can be related to all sectors of the

    economy, which do not contradict regulation 800/2008

    of the European Commission

    Subsidies not allowed in mining, primary agriculture

    production, and shipbuilding

    Priority projects should exceed 50m and create at least

    200 new working places for a 3-year period

    25 + 100 working places for certain manufacturing projects 10m + 50 working places for high-tech services and R&D

    Priority projects receive all benefits for certified

    investors, as well as the following:

    Lowest possible costs for the acquisition of government and

    municipal land + waived taxes for land status changes

    Working group for project support is assigned by the

    Council of Ministers

    Financial grant scheme for up to 10% of the investment

    project cost (50% for R&D)

    Page 16

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    Services:

    Transport and Logistics

    Information technologies

    Outsourcing of business processes

    Health and tourism related to healthy

    lifestyle

    Industry:

    Transport equipment and machine

    building

    Electronics and Electrical engineering

    Chemical industry

    Food and Agriculture

    Resources:

    Mining

    Oil

    Alternative energy

    Attractive FDI sectors

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    Leading global investors have chosen Bulgaria as anFDI destination

    IT & BPO Mechanical andElectrical

    Engineering

    ConstructionMaterials

    Telecom andMedia

    Energy Finance

    Page 18

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    InvestBulgaria Agency is a Government investmentpromotion arm, part of the Ministry of Economy,Energy and Tourism

    IBA services:

    Macroeconomic data on Bulgaria

    Legal advice

    Data on operational costs

    Regional information: industrial zones andinfrastructure, data on unemployment, skilled labourforce and level of education

    Recommendation of investment project sites

    Identification of potential suppliers, contractmanufacturers and joint-venture partners

    Personalized administrative servicing

    Liaison with central and local governments

    Liaison with branch chambers and NGOs

    InvestBulgaria Agency

    Page 19

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    InvestBulgaria Agency

    Sofia 1000, 31 Aksakov Str.Phone: (+359 2) 985 5500

    Fax: (+359 2) 980 1320

    E-mail: [email protected]: www.investbg.government.bg