Boonklee Plangsiri Group Executive Chairman · Boonklee Plangsiri Group Executive Chairman August...
Transcript of Boonklee Plangsiri Group Executive Chairman · Boonklee Plangsiri Group Executive Chairman August...
1
Shin CorporationSET - China Roadshow
Boonklee PlangsiriGroup Executive Chairman
August 25-26, 2005
We build strong portfolio…
2
Wireless
SHIN holds 42% in AIS
Dual-band network provider
with over 15.8mn cellular subscribers
(as of June 05)
Mkt cap of Bt 306.7bn* (US$7.5bn)
Domestic Network Provider
Satellite & International Business
Regional Network Provider
SHIN holds 42% in SATTEL
3 ThaiCom satellites in orbit with a total of 40 C-band & 10 Ku band transponders
IPSTAR broadband satellitesuccessfully launched in 3Q05
Holding 40% in CS LoxInfo PLC, an ISP in Thailand
Media & Internet
Mkt cap of Bt15.1bn*(US$365.8mn)
Consumers
Registered Capital Bt1.5bn
SHIN holds 60%
New Business
Mkt cap of Bt13.8bn*(US$334.2mn)
The free-TV with a digital broadcasting network
SHIN holds 52% in ITV
Registered Capital Bt400mn
SHIN holds 50%
Content
SHIN CorporationMkt cap of Bt 114.7bn*
(US$2.8bn)
* Market capitalization as of 17/8/05 from SET
3
5 Companies Listed in the MarketRank Company Market Cap. (Btmn) % of total
1 PTT 654,555.50 14.18%2 ADVANC 306,665.77 6.64%3 PTTEP 269,761.41 5.84%4 SCC 259,200.00 5.62%5 BBL 186,099.35 4.03%6 KBANK 136,421.23 2.96%7 TOP 121,381.66 2.63%8 SHIN 114,705.03 2.48%9 KTB 103,412.68 2.24%10 TPI 94,971.83 2.06%
51 SATTEL 15,052.46 0.33%
56 ITV 13,752.40 0.30%
179 CSL 2,025.00 0.04%
SHIN Group Market Cap of Bt452.2bn (US$11.0bn), 9.8% of total market
4
Portfolio
TelecomADVANC
SATTEL
CSL
MediaITV
TransportationThai AirAsia
Consumer FinanceCapital OK
ContentShinee
Teleinfo Media
Shin Corporation plc 4
5
Telecom
6
New Telecom Act of 2001
TOT and CAT are now in the process of IPO
NTC will issue new licenses to private operators in December 2005 i.e. 3G and international gateway
NTC issued licenses to TOT and CAT on August 4, 2005
National Telecommunication Commission (NTC) the new regulator was established in August 2004
Telecom Regulatory Issue
7
ADVANCLeading mobile operator
Market share of 55% with 15.8mn subscribersConsistently maintain EBITDA margin more than 50%
2005 penetration growthYE04 41% => Expected to reach 48%
Value-added services (VAS)1H05 VAS grew 31% YoYAccount for 12% of service revenue from 9% last year
3G investment in 2006Potential reduction in concession costIntroduce more non-voice applicationsLower CAPEX per subNo revenue sharing and BTO scheme
8
ADVANC
2006 estimated CAPEX is US$300-400mn
2005 annualized dividend yield approximately 5-6%
Dividend payout will continue despite new 3G investment
Strongest balance sheets among existing mobile player
9
Thaicom 3 78.5oE
Thaicom 4 (IPSTAR) 120oE
Thaicom 5 (Y2006) 78.5oE
Thaicom 2 78.5oE
Thaicom 1 120oE Current 3 satellites in service
SATTEL
9
2 satellites in process
10
% Transponder Utilization
SATTEL
*As of June 30, 2005
Thaicom 1AThaicom 2Thaicom 3
Capacity
C band Ku band
91021
226
%utilization
C band Ku band
96%93%51%
150%148%89%
TotalTotal 4040 1010 72%72% 113%113%
10
11
SATTEL
IPSTAR – First broadband satelliteSuccessfully launched on August 11, 2005
Service coverage 14 countries in Asia Pacific Rim
Gateway installation:
Completed:in Thailand, Australia, and New Zealand
Under installation:in India, China, Vietnam, Burma, and Cambodia
11
12
SATTELCommercial Contract
TOT – First NSO in Thailand with 7-year contract
ITI (IND), STPI (IND), Macquarie Telecom (AUS), Bay City (NZ), ICONZ (NZ)
User Terminals roll-out to date around 20,000
Main applications:
Broadband access, VPN, rural telephony, distance learning, and mobile trunk
12
13
Media
14
ITVFree-to-air TV station
Ranked 3 among 6 competing stations
Coverage 98% of total population
14
Outperformed industry growth in 1H05TV advertising industry growth of 6% YoY
ITV revenue grew 33% YoY
Net profit growth 680% YoY
15
ITV
National Broadcasting Commission (NBC) expected to be established in 2005
Pending court decision
Arbitration’s decision in favor of ITV was reached onJan 30, 2004.
The decision is being contested by the PMO. Currently, under review by Administrative court.
15
16
ITVMarket & Audience Share
16
24%
15%
31%
14%2%
14%
21%
14%
29%
15%2%
19%
21%
15%
29%
14%2%
19%
27%
9%
40%
10%3%
11%
24%
8%
41%
10%3%
14%
22%
9%
44%
10%3%
12%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2Q04 1Q05 2Q05 2Q04 1Q05 2Q05
CH3 CH5 CH7 CH9 CH11 ITVRemark: Excluded Classified, No Cost and CD’s/VDO & Musical Products Source: Nielsen Media Research
17
Transportation
18
Thai AirAsia
A fleet of 6 Boeing 737-300 aircraft, presently. Expect total 8-10 by year end
8 domestic and 6 international (Singapore, Penang, Macao, Kota, Kinabalu, Kuala Lumpur, Xiamen)
Currently operating 22 flights per day out of Bangkok
Flown 1.2mn passengers in first year of operation. End of June 2005, we already flew over 800,000 despite the slowdown in tourism.
Budget Airline, A JV with AirAsia Malaysia
18
19
Thai AirAsia
Operational HighlightFY04 1H05
Load Factor
Average Fare (Bt)68%
1,072 1,26178%
Became a household name in ThailandContinued to create global brand awareness through Manchester United Sponsorship
Estimated MU fans => more than 75mn globally and 40mn in Asia
19
20
Thai AirAsia
Route Expansion
Hanoi SouthernChina
PhanomPehn
Distribution channel
More than 44% through Internet
20
21
Consumer Finance
22
Capital OK
Consumer finance business
Commercial launch in August 2004
Offering 3 key products:
Personal Loan
Sales Finance
Credit Card
JV with DBS Singapore
23
+ 42%1,7002,400Service outlets
+ 54%3,5005,400Portfolio size (Btmn)
+ 60%232,000371,000Ending Accounts
QoQ1Q052Q05Strong Growth
Capital OK
Loan growthprojected to be around Bt8bn by year-end 2005 mainly from upcountry after the establishment of 3,500 outlet nationwide.
Loan loss reserve policyconsists of specific reserve is 100% for 3 payments past due andgeneral reserve 3% of ending receivables.
24
OpportunityStrong balance sheets and solid cash flow
Strong dividend yield
Seek content and entertainment partnerto compliment group service platform
Good performing assets
New telecom licenses
Group synergies
Growth in service sectors
25Shin Corporation plc 31Shin Corporation plc
Disclaimer“Some statements made in this presentation are forward-looking statements, which are subject to various risks and uncertainties.These include statements with respect to our corporate plans,strategies and beliefs and other statements that are not historical facts. These statements can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as “may”, “will”, “expect”, “anticipate”,“intend”, “estimate”, “continue”, “plan” or other similar words. The statements are based on our management’s assumptions and beliefs in light of the information currently available to us. These assumptions involve risks and uncertainties which may cause the actual results,performance or achievements to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements.”
26Shin Corporation plc
Appendices
27Shin Corporation plc 16
Income statement
ADVANC - Consolidated
Bt. million 2Q05 1Q05 q-o-q % 2Q04 y-o-y %
Service Revenue 19,781 21,185 -6.6% 21,090 -6.2%
Sales Revenue 2,527 2,537 -0.4% 3,010 -16.1%
Total Revenue 22,308 23,722 -6.0% 24,100 -7.4%
Gross Profit 9,273 10,729 -13.6% 11,032 -15.9%
EBITDA 11,442 13,037 -12.2% 12,650 -9.5%
Earnings before tax 6,338 8,121 -22.0% 7,843 -19.2%
Net Income 4,169 5,369 -22.4% 5,044 -17.3%
Shin Corporation plc 27
28Shin Corporation plc 17
Balance SheetADVANC - Consolidated
Bt. m illion 2Q04
Current Assets 23,011 27,190 24,669
Property and Equipm ent, net 10,496 11,106 11,557
Networks under Concession 75,813 75,473 75,664
Goodwill, net 9,587 9,879 10,754
Concession R ight & O thers 4,348 4,486 4,777
Total Assets 123,254 128,134 127,421
Account Payable-trade 5,715 5,087 5,443
Current Portion of LT Debt 5,011 4,042 10,036
Current Portion of Concession 8,252 7,888 7,339
Long-term Debt 22,955 23,953 27,956
Other Liabilities 11,209 21,262 12,884
Total Liabilities 53,142 62,232 63,658
Total Equities 70,113 65,902 63,763
2Q05 1Q05
Total liabilities/ equity (x) 0.76 0.94 1.04
Net debt to equity (x) 0.21 0.16 0.39
Shin Corporation plc 28
29Shin Corporation plc 18
Income statementSATTEL - Consolidated
Shin Corporation plc 29
B t. m illio n 2 Q 0 5 2 Q 0 4 y-o -y %S e rv ic e R e ve n u e 1 ,6 2 4 1 ,1 1 7 4 5 %
C o s t (1 ,0 7 1 ) (7 1 3 ) 5 0 %
G ro s s P ro fit 5 5 3 4 0 4 3 7 %
S G & A (2 6 2 ) (1 7 7 ) 4 8 %
E B IT 2 9 1 2 2 7 2 8 %
D & A 3 4 5 3 0 3 1 4 %
E B IT D A 6 3 7 5 2 9 2 0 %
N o n -R e c u rr in g Ite m s 6 8 3 N /A
N e t R e s u lt C S L G ro u p 2 0 3 7 -4 7 %
F X & O th e r In c o m e 4 0 1 0 2 -6 1 %
In te re s t e x p . (4 2 ) (3 1 ) 3 4 %
In c o m e T a x (4 0 7 ) (8 4 ) 3 8 3 %
N e t P ro f it 5 8 3 2 4 9 1 3 4 %
E P S (B t) 0 .6 3 0 .2 8 1 2 5 %
30Shin Corporation plc 19
Balance Sheet
SATTEL - Consolidated
Total liabilities/equity (x) 1.54 2.00 2.01
Shin Corporation plc
Bt. million 2Q05 1Q05 4Q04
Current assets 5,955 2,910 2,726
Property & equipment - net 23,032 20,171 19,638
Property & equipment under concession agreement - net 3,180 3,758 3,933
Other non - current assets -net 1,241 1,238 1,290
Total assets 33,408 28,077 27,587
Current liabilities 5,113 6,246 6,205
Long - term borrowings - net 15,025 12,405 12,142
Other non - current liabilities 98 76 76
Total liabilities 20,236 18,727 18,423
Total equity 13,172 9,350 9,164
30
31Shin Corporation plc 20
Income statement
ITV
Bt. million q-o-q y-o-y
Btmn % Btmn % % Btmn % %
Operating Revenue 632 100% 568 100% 11% 459 100% 38%
Cost of Service 229 36% 216 38% 6% 255 56% -10%
Gross Margin 403 64% 352 62% 15% 204 44% 98%
SG&A 98 15% 127 22% -23% 110 24% -11%
Operating Income (Loss) 306 48% 225 40% 36% 94 20% 226%
Interest Expenses 4 1% 5 1% -19% 8 2% -47%
Concession Fee 58 9% 58 10% 0% 58 13% 0%
Net Profit (Loss) 244 39% 162 28% 51% 28 6% 769%
Net Profit Margin 39% 28% 6%
2Q05 1Q05 2Q04
Shin Corporation plc 31
32Shin Corporation plc 21
Balance SheetITV
Shin Corporation plc 32
Bt. million Change
Btmn % Btmn % %
Current Assets 1,032 32% 675 23% 53%
Concession Assets, net 2,208 68% 2,288 77% -4%
Other Non-current assets 11 0% 11 0% 0%
Total Asset 3,252 100% 2,975 100% 9%
Concession Payable 565 17% 450 15% 26%
Other Current Liabilities 295 9% 310 10% -5%
Non-current Liabilities 330 10% 568 19% -42%
Total Liabilities 1,191 37% 1,327 45% -10%
Paid up Capital 6,029 185% 6,024 202% 0%
Share Discount (175) -5% (175) -6% 0%
Advance Receipt for Share Subscription 3 0% 0 0% 0%
Other Equity (3,796) -117% (4,201) -141% -10%
Total Shareholders' Equity 2,061 63% 1,647 55% 25%
Total Liabilities & Equity 3,252 100% 2,975 100% 9%
Total Liabilities to Equity Ratio (x) 0.58 0.81 1.21
2Q05 4Q04
33Shin Corporation plc 22
Income statement
Capital OK
Bt. million 2Q05 1Q05 q-o-q %
Total Revenue 332 214 55%
Operating Expense (262) (195) 34%
Operating Profit (Loss) 70 19 268%
Reserve for Loan Loss (200) (85) 135%
Net Profit (Loss) (130) (66) -97%
Shin Corporation plc 33
34Shin Corporation plc 23
Balance Sheet
Capital OK
Bt. million 2Q05 1Q05
Earning Assets 5,394 3,564
Allowance for Doubtful Account (326) (164)
Other Assets 745 440
Total Assets 5,813 3,840
Liabilities 4,744 3,137
Shareholders'Equity 1,069 703
Shin Corporation plc 34
35Shin Corporation plc 24
Income statement
Thai AirAsia
Bt. milliion 2Q05 1Q05 q-o-q %
Revenue 570.5 533.6 7%
Cost of Sales 597.3 491.4 22%
SG&A 57.6 44.3 30%
Gain - Foreign Exchange 87.3 3.3
Net Profit 2.9 1.3 127%
Shin Corporation plc 35
36Shin Corporation plc 25
Income Statement (Unconso)
SHIN – Equity Method
q-o-q y-o-yBtmn % Btmn % % Btmn % %
Revenue 72 100% 71 100% 2% 73 100% -2%
SG&A (83) -115% (83) -118% 0% (90) -123% 8%
Operating Loss (11) -15% (13) -18% 14% (17) -23% 35%
Financial Expense (45) -62% (43) -61% -4% (44) -60% -1%
Financial Income 14 20% 12 17% 18% 7 10% 99%
Gain on FX and others 1 1% 2 2% -44% 0 0% 4700%
Gain (loss) before net results (41) -56% (43) -61% 6% (54) -74% 25%
Total net results from investments 2,099 2907% 2,435 3454% -14% 2,258 3074% -7%
Net Income 2,058 2851% 2,392 3393% -14% 2,204 3000% -7%
2Q05 1Q05 2Q04Bt. Million
Shin Corporation plc 36
37Shin Corporation plc 26
Net Results from investmentsSHIN – Equity Method
q-o-q y-o-yBtmn % Btmn % % Btmn % %
AIS 1,787 85% 2,302 95% -22% 2,165 96% -17%SATTEL 259 12% 105 4% 147% 124 6% 108%ITV 108 5% 65 3% 66% (6) 0% 1900%THAI AIRASIA 1 0% (8) 0% 112% (45) -2% 102%CAPITAL OK (78) -4% (40) -2% -95% (15) -1% -421%OTHERS 22 1% 11 0% 92% 35 2% -38%
TOTAL NET RESULTS 2,099 100% 2,435 100% -14% 2,258 100% -7%
2Q05 1Q05 2Q04Bt. Million
Shin Corporation plc 37
38Shin Corporation plc 27
Balance SheetSHIN – Equity Method
q-o-q %Btmn % Btmn % % Btmn % Change
Cash & Cash Equivalent 1,769 4% 2,969 7% -40% 2,127 5% -17%
Other current assets 57 0% *3,329 8% -98% 59 0% -2%
Investments 39,228 95% 36,562 85% 7% 37,415 94% 5%
Other assets 71 0% 77 0% -7% 84 0% -15%
Total Assets 41,125 100% 42,937 100% -4% 39,685 100% 4%
S-T borrowings & Current portion 2,001 5% 1 0% 235012% 1 0% 176902%
Other current liabilities 69 0% **3,269 8% -98% 63 0% 11%
Long-term borrowings 1 0% 2,683 6% -100% 2,681 7% -100%
Other liabilities 445 1% -100% 404 1% -100%
Total Liabilities 2,071 5% 6,398 15% -68% 3,149 8% -34%
Shareholders' Equity 39,054 95% 36,539 85% 7% 36,536 92% 7%
Total Liabilities & SHs' equity 41,125 100% 42,937 100% -4% 39,685 100% 4%
Total Liabitiites / Equity (x) 0.05 0.18 0.09
Net Debt / Equity (x) 0.01 -0.01 0.02
** Included 2H04 dividend payable of Bt3.24bn
* Included 2Q04 dividend receivalbe from AIS of Bt3.28bn
2Q05 1Q05 4Q04Bt. Million
Shin Corporation plc 38
39Shin Corporation plc 28
Net Asset ValueSHIN – Equity Method
Share price* Mkt Cap Value (Local) Btmn Btmn
AIS 105.00 309,283 42.90% 132,690
SATTEL 14.70 16,033 41.34% 6,628
ITV 11.50 13,873 52.94% 7,344
Total Mkt value of AIS, SATTEL and ITV 146,662
Cash at end of 2Q05 1,769
Debt at end of 2Q05 (2,002)
SHIN's NAV** 146,429
SHIN's NAV per share (THB) 48.88
SHIN share price 39.00
% Discount -20%
* Closing price on Aug 3, 2005** Excl. Non-listed companies
%owned by SHIN
Shin Corporation plc 39
40Shin Corporation plc 29
Share Price Performance Relative to SET, SET50 and Telecom Index
Shin Corporation plc 40
-25%0%
25%50%75%
100%125%150%175%200%225%250%275%300%325%350%375%400%
Jan-
03
Feb-
03
Mar
-03
Apr
-03
May
-03
Jun-
03
Jul-0
3
Aug
-03
Sep
-03
Oct
-03
Nov
-03
Dec
-03
Feb-
04
Mar
-04
Apr
-04
May
-04
Jun-
04
Jul-0
4
Aug
-04
Sep
-04
Oct
-04
Nov
-04
Dec
-04
Jan-
05
Mar
-05
Apr
-05
May
-05
Jun-
05
Jul-0
5
SHIN Telecom Index SET Index SET 50
188%
286%
93%114%
41Shin Corporation plc 30
% Premium (Discount) to NAV
Shin Corporation plc
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
5027
/12/
2002
22/1
/200
312
/2/2
003
6/3/
2003
27/3
/200
322
/4/2
003
16/5
/200
36/
6/20
0327
/6/2
003
22/7
/200
313
/8/2
003
3/9/
2003
24/9
/200
315
/10/
2003
6/11
/200
328
/11/
2003
24/1
2/20
0316
/1/2
004
9/2/
2004
1/3/
2004
23/3
/200
420
/4/2
004
17/5
/200
48/
6/20
0430
/6/2
004
22/7
/200
416
/8/2
004
6/9/
2004
27/9
/200
418
/10/
2004
9/11
/200
430
/11/
2004
23/1
2/20
0417
/1/2
005
7/2/
2005
1/3/
2005
22/3
/200
518
/4/2
005
11/5
/200
52/
6/20
0523
/6/2
005
15/7
/200
5
SHIN
sha
re p
rice
(45%)
(40%)
(35%)
(30%)
(25%)
(20%)
(15%)
(10%)
(5%)
0%
% Prem
ium (D
iscount) to SHIN
's NA
V
SHIN Share Price (LHS)Premium (Discount): SHIN's NAV = AIS+SSA+iTV (RHS)YTD Weighted-Average Premium (Discount): SHIN's NAV = AIS+SSA+iTV (RHS)
41