Blog Weathernation Dot Com 2013 August 06 Report

7/27/2019 Blog Weathernation Dot Com 2013 August 06 Report

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Tuesday, Aug 06, 2013

Waterlogged; Full Rain Gauges Continue

Tuesday, August 6th, 2013

Have you ever heard o f Dippin Dot hail? Ne ither have I, but the picture below looks like dippin dots dont they?

Montana Hail

Dippin Dots

Full Rain Gauges

Excessive Rainfall over the last several days in the Central Plains has led to a num ber of flash flood warnings. Some

impress ive rainfall tallies have already been showing up and it appears that more heavy rain could be on the way for the rest

of the week! The image below is from earlier this week/weekend in the Hutchinson, KS area where they picked up nearly 6 of

rain in nearly 24 hrs. to 36 hrs.

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8/18/13 2013 August 06

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Full Rain Gauges Cont.

Take a look at the rainfall from earlier Tuesday over parts of southwestern Missouri. Fort Leonard Wood picked up more than

8 YIKES!!

Soggy Start to August

August has been very soggy to start in the Central Plains. Here are some of the other reporting stations

Getting Much Needed Rain

Interestingly, there are still many spots in the central part of the country that are dealing with drought conditions even with all

the heavy rainfall as of late. However, there are several spots that are doing VERY good when it comes to yearly precipitation

Note Oklahom a City, OK sitting at nearly 20 above normal precipi tation on the year! WOW!!

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Why So Stormy?

Numerous showers and thunderstorms have been and will continue to develop on the outer periphery of the dome of hot air in

the Southern Plains. Temps in the southern region are reaching triple digit heat with daytime heat index values nearing 110!

More Rain on the Way

Additional (potentially heavy) rainfall will continue through the rest of the week/weekend ahead. Some spots could see an

additional 2 to 4+ on top of what theyve already seen, so no surprise that flooding concerns are s till in place.

Flood Concerns

Here are the flooding headlines that have been issued by the National Weather Service. Additional heavy rainfall may be

poss ible in these areas over the coming days, which could lead to additional flash flooding.

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8/18/13 2013 August 06


No Comments Posted in: Education, General, Global Warming, Meteorology, Severe,

Tropical, Weather

2

Tuesday, Aug 06, 2013

Thanks for checking in, have a great rest of your week ahead!

Dont forget to follow me on Twitter @TNelsonWNTV

Powerball Mania, Supermodels And Weather Risk In Perspective (Good News

For Most Of Us)

Relative Risk

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5/11

8/18/13 2013 August 06


The older I get the more grudging respect I have for Mother Nature. My old scouting motto Be Prepared comes to

mind; there are always steps you can take to lower your odds of becoming a hapless weather statistic.

But some perspective is in order. According to The National Safety Council the risk of dying from heart disease is 1 in

6. Stroke: 1 in 29. In stark contrast the odds of perishing in a heat wave is 1 in 13,217. Lightning? 1 in 134,906.

My theory: weather-related deaths are often deemed newsworthy; they tend to pop up on the front page of newspapers

and lead local TV news. So the perception of risk is a highly inflated version of reality. I still wont golf in a T-storm or

drive thru a flooded street. Hey, I want to enjoy future grandkids!

Speaking of weather risk, a few storms may turn severe later today with (isolated) hail & high winds across the

Midwest.

PS: Want to lower your weather risk? Have a few radar/alerting apps on your smart phone. And buy a NOAA Weather

Radio.

Cheap life insurance.

Lifetime Odds Of Death For Select Causes. The graphic above from The National Safety Council quickly puts

weather risk into stark perspective, compared with all the other medical and socioeconomic threats.

Excessive heat: 1 in 13, 217

Cataclysmic storm: 1 in 29,196

Lightning: 1 in 134, 906

Flood: 1 in 652,046

Perspective . According to an article at The Deseret News, the odds of dating a supermodel are 1 in 88,000. Those are

your odds. My odds? Considerably less than that, as my wife of 29 years just reminded me.
http://www.deseretnews.com/top/542/7/Dating-a-supermodel-20-things-more-likely-to-happen-than-winning-the-Mega-Millions-lottery.htmlhttp://www.nsc.org/NSC%20Picture%20Library/News/web_graphics/Injury_Facts_37.pdf


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8/18/13 2013 August 06


Tuesday Severe Threat. The combination of moderate instability, surface dew points in the mid-60s and an

approaching trigger (a st ronger-than-average cool frontal passage) may spark a late afternoon/evening squall line

capable of hail and straight-line winds. SPC has the southern half of Minnesota in a slight risk expect a few watch

boxes later today.

Time Warp. The maps still look like something out of the first or second week of September; the core of the jet

stream 200-400 miles farther south than usual for early August. Yes, it should be cooling down (slightly), but

sweatshirts, light jackets and a handful of record lows over the northern USAin August? Unusual. The next surge of

Canadian air sparks a few severe storms over the Upper Midwest today, pushing across the Great Lakes and Ohio

Valley Wednesday, reaching New England and the Mid Atlantic region Thursday. The tropics are still quiet.


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8/18/13 2013 August 06


Long Odds. Compared to various diseases, traffic accidents, etc the risk posed by extreme weather is relatively

small. Unless, of course, youre at the wrong place at the wrong time or not paying attention. In todays edition

ofClimate Matters we celebrate the long odds of Powerball Mania, try to put statistics into perspective, and wonder

(out loud) why men are a LOT more likely to be struck by lightning than women.

5-Day Rainfall. NOAA HPC shows the heaviest rain bands this week setting up from near Denver to Kansas City and

Louisville, more heavy showers and storms from Pittsburgh to New York City (some 2+ amounts expected). These

storms, and subsequent flash flooding, will develop along the boundary between relatively cool, Canadian air over the

northern USA and baking heat over the Deep South.

Falling Prices Cloud Outlook For Minnesota Corn Farms. Prices have eased right along with the drought, as

reported by The Star Tribune; heres an excerpt: Minnesota cropland values surged again the past year as farmers

reeled in big paychecks. This years crops are looking decent, overcoming a sodden spring and late planting. The

weather has been good. In fact, everything is so good it may be too good, or so goes the logic of farming economics.

With big grain crops expected through much of the nation, the price of corn has dropped to levels not seen since 2010.

That means farmers whove sunk more money into land and equipment during boom times thus increasing their

costs are looking at thinning margins this year if corn prices stay where they are

Photo credit above: Cropland values surged 20 percent in Minnesota from last year after farmers posted their best

year in decades. Photo: Brian Peterson, Star Tribune
http://www.startribune.com/business/218451471.htmlhttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lqqw0Yux5AY&feature=em-share_video_user


8/11

8/18/13 2013 August 06


The 2013 Perseid Meteor Shower: An Observers Guide. Theres some very good information on one of the major

celestial events of the year, peaking in the near future. With this flurry of September-like fronts, less haze and better

visibility you stand a better chance of seeing a lucky shooting star or two, especially if you can get away from the light

pollution of the Twin Cities. Universe Today has more details: Get set for the meteoritic grand finale of summer.

Northern hemisphere summer that is. As we head into August, our gaze turns towards that Old Faithful of meteor

showers, the Perseids. Though summer is mostly behind us now, meteor shower season is about to get underway in

earnest. Pronounced Pur-SEE-ids, this shower falls around the second week of August, just before school goes

back in for most folks. This time of year also finds many the residents of the northern hemisphere out camping and

away from light-polluted suburban skies. This year also offers a special treat, as the Moon will be safely out of the sky

during key observation times

Image credit above: The radiant for the Perseids, looking to the NE from latitude ~30N at around 2AM local. Created

by the Author in Starry Night).

NASA Launches VERIS Rocket To Study Suns Explosive Behavior. Heres a clip from a story at Science World

Report: On the sun, these large scale energy releases are driven by small scale physical processes, said Clarence

Korendyke, one of the researchers, in a news release. So we need to look at and understand the tiny details of those

processes. VERISs f light will only last six minutes, but it will yield a bounty of information. I t will gather a k ind of data

known as spectra of this region of the sun at an extremely high resolution. Spectra will provide information on how

much of any given wavelength of light is present. This, in turn, can allow researchers to see the different temperatures

of plasma present on the sun. In addition VERIS will collect density and velocity information about the active region.

This will allow scientists to determine which theory is correct when it comes to how the sun is heated

Image credit above: Want to learn more about the sun? NASA certainly does. The space agency is planning on

launching a sounding rocket, called VERIS, on August 8 in order to learn a bit more about our closest star. This

image combines three images from NASAs Solar Dynamics Observatory captured on May 3, 2013, at 1:45 pm EDT,

just as an M-class solar flare from the same region was subsiding. (Photo : NASA/SDO/AIA).

This Breathtaking Panorama Of Tokyo Is The Second Largest Photo In The World. Im feeling even more

inadequate than usual with my (minimal) megapixels. Check out this excerpt from gizmag.com: Photography group
http://www.gizmag.com/360-degree-panorama-tokyo/28544/?utm_source=Gizmag+Subscribers&utm_campaign=a01eda5985-UA-2235360-4&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_65b67362bd-a01eda5985-89969994http://www.nasa.gov/content/goddard/veris-sounding-rocket-to-study-active-regions-on-sun/#.Uf-VhpKkovshttp://www.scienceworldreport.com/articles/8609/20130805/nasa-launches-veris-rocket-study-suns-explosive-behavior.htmhttp://astronomy.starrynight.com/http://astroguyz.com/2012/08/10/astro-event-perseid-weekend-its-raining-meteors/http://www.universetoday.com/103826/the-2013-perseid-meteor-shower-an-observers-guide/


9/11

8/18/13 2013 August 06


360Cities seems determined to capture every major city in the world in as much detail as possible. Shortly after putting

together a360-degree panorama of London and breaking the record for worlds largest photo in the process, the groups

founder Jeffrey Martin set his sights on Tokyo for his next project. This latest panorama may not trump his old record,

but at 180 gigapixels, its still the second largest photo ever taken

Photo credit above: Photographer Jef frey Martin of 360Cities recently unveiled a 360-degree panorama of Tokyo

measuring 180 gigapixels, making it the second largest photo in the world.

Climate Stories

Climate Change Pushing Marine Life Towards The Pole s, Says Study. The Guardian has the story here is the

introduction: Rising ocean temperatures are rearranging the biological make-up of our oceans, pushing species

towards the poles by 7kms every year, as they chase the climates they can survive in, according to new research. The

study, conducted by a working group of scientists from 17 different institutions, gathered data from seven different

countries and found the warming oceans are causing marine species to alter their breeding, feeding and migration

patterns. Surprisingly, land species are shifting at a rate of less t han 1km a year in comparison, even though land

surface temperatures are rising at a much faster rate than those in the ocean (Image: National Science

Foundation).

Electric Car Sales Up 520% Over 2012. Gas2.org has the details: The numbers are in for mass-market100%

electric vehicle (EV),plug-in hybrid elect ric vehicle (PHEV), andconventional hybrid electric vehicle sales. Well, the

numbers are in from everyone but Tesla and Fiat. (The Tesla Model S total in the colorful spreadsheet below is an

estimate based on quarterly sales updates, since the rockstar EV company doesnt report monthly sales.) As you can

see in the embedded spreadsheet, I use green highlighting to show when year-over-year change is positive and I use

red highlighting to show when it is negative. Paying attention to that very complicated system, you can see that

everything is green in the sales totals for 100% EVs, PHEVs, and conventional hybrids for both July 2013 and YTD

2013...

Hybrid Planes Trying To Charge Into Action. No-guilt flying, all on electrical power, no greenhouse gases

emitted? It may become a reality sooner than you suspect, according to The BBC. Heres an excerpt: How would you

feel about flying on an electric airliner? Current planes may be noisy, rattly, and relatively inefficient, but theres

something reassuring about being able to hear the constant roar of the engines, or glance out of the window and see

them. So the airliner of the future may feel very alien to anyone comfortable with our current mode of flying at least if

an ambitious model called the eConcept is anything to go by. Designed by European aviation powerhouse, EADS

(which announced it will be renamedAirbus Group next year), together with Rolls Royce, the eConcept shows how

cutting-edge technology and materials could combine to make more efficient and quiet aircraft that take their cues

from the hybrid-car model

Image credit above: Silent revolution. Ambitious ideas on the table for hybrid-like planes could mean the airliner of the

future may look, feel and sound very different to todays models. (Copyright: EADS)
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-23513650http://www.bbc.com/future/story/20130802-powering-up-hybrid-planeshttp://evobsession.com/category/electric-vehicles/hybrid-electric-vehicles-2/http://evobsession.com/category/electric-vehicles/plug-in-electric-vehicles-phev/http://evobsession.com/category/electric-vehicles/100-electric-vehicles/http://gas2.org/2013/08/04/electric-car-sales-up-530-over-2012/http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/nclimate1958.htmlhttp://www.theguardian.com/environment/2013/aug/05/climate-change-pushing-marine-species-to-poleshttp://www.gizmag.com/320-gigapixel-panorama-london/26431/


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8/18/13 2013 August 06


Future Of Solar Power: How About Transparent Solar Cells That Can Be Put On Windows? Sounds like a

great idea to me. Heres a clip from a story at The Economic Times: The other breakthroughs are a transparentsolar cell from the University of California in Los Angeles, a simple solar cell from Germany that can split water and

produce hydrogen, and a photovoltaic-thermal system from Canada. Transparent solar cells are an exciting

development as they can be put on windows, gadgets and in other places to generate electricity on the sly. Producing

hydrogen from water using sunlight is a dream of the solar energy world, as it lets us store the energy in the form of

hydrogen gas or in a fuel cell that can be used at night or on cloudy days. Combining photovoltaics with thermal

uses both light and heat from the sun. There is a long way from a technology demonstrator in the lab to a

commercially successful device. In the field of solar energy, this is important, as the cost of commercialisation can at

times be very high...

Photo credit above: Scientists use a plasmonic solar cell that uses the bizarre laws of quantum mechanics to achieve

high efficiency at low cost.

Global Warming Denial Is Science-Proof. Slate has the story heres the introduction: Every time I see an opinion

piece written by a global warming denier I think to myself , Well, this ll be painful, b ut at least it cant get any worse

than the ones Ive already read. And then I read it. And I f ind out I was wrong. So here I am again, shaking my head

after reading yet another in a long line of global-warming denial articles making bizarre claims. This one was written by

Rich Trzupek and is entitledMichael Mann Redefines Science. The title alone told me I was in troubleMann is

actually a respected climate scientist(except in the antireality-o-sphere, that is)and then I saw where this gem was

posted: on t he Heartland Institutes b log. You rememberthe Heartland Institute, right? Theyre the ones who put up

billboards comparing climate scientists to mass murderers and dictators, which caused such a foofooraw thatthey

hemorrhaged sponsors. They had to take the billboards down, but thendeclared the campaign a success

The False Promise Of Fracking. Im keeping an open mind, realizing that were going to need a lower-carbon fuel

source to get us from coal and oil to renewables. Its been well documented that natural gas releases roughly half as

much CO2 into the atmosphere as coal assuming methane leakage around the wells are kept to a minimum, a

potentially huge assumption. We have a pretty good handle on the (considerable) benefits, Im just not sure we have a

handle on all the costs related to hydraulic fracture. Im just glad theres no shale oil under Minnesota - Triple

Pundit has the story; heres an excerpt: Heinberg says his research shows that rather than offering the nation a

century of cheap energy and economic prosperity, fracking may well present us with a short-term bubble that comes

with exceedingly high economic and environmental cost s. Heinberg continues, Horizontal drilling and hydrofracturing

(fracking) for oil and gas pose a danger not just to local water and air quality, but also to sound energy policy, and

therefore to our collective ability to avert the greatest human-made economic and environmental catastrophe in

history.

In his analysis of shale production to date, Heinberg says:

Industry claims of a long-term economic bonanza and energy security as a result of domestic drilling for

shale gas and shale (tight) oil.

The perception that shale gas and tight oil drilling will provide long-term, low cost supplies. The oil industry

has overstated world oil reserves by about a third and is working harder and harder just to s tand still...
http://www.triplepundit.com/2013/08/false-promise-fracking/http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bizarro_Worldhttp://www.slate.com/blogs/bad_astronomy/2012/05/08/followup_heartland_institutes_billboards_are_costing_them_donors.htmlhttp://www.slate.com/blogs/bad_astronomy/2012/05/04/the_heartland_institute_sinks_to_a_new_low.htmlhttp://desmogblog.com/heartland-institutehttp://www.slate.com/blogs/bad_astronomy/2013/07/07/michael_mann_climate_scientist_talks_about_the_attack_against_him.htmlhttp://blog.heartland.org/2013/07/michael-mann-redfines-science/http://www.slate.com/blogs/bad_astronomy/2013/08/05/global_warming_denial_article_says_michael_mann_doesn_t_understand_science.htmlhttp://economictimes.indiatimes.com/topic/University-of-Californiahttp://economictimes.indiatimes.com/opinion/comments-analysis/future-of-solar-power-how-about-transparent-solar-cells-that-can-be-put-on-windows/articleshow/21610519.cms


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8/18/13 2013 August 06

No Comments Posted in: General, Global Warming, Meteorology, Severe, Weather 0

It Never Rains But It Pours. Heres an excerpt of a story at The Hindu Business Line in India: Models project

substantial warming in temperature extremes by the end of the 21st century. It is virtually certain that increases in the

frequency and magnitude of daily temperature extremes and decreases in cold extremes will occur on a global scale. It

is very likely that the length, frequency, and/or intensity of warm spells or heat waves will increase over most land

areas. Based on certain emissions scenarios, a one-in-twenty-years hottest day is likely to become a one-in-two-years

event by the end of the 21st century in most regions, except in the high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere, where it

is likely to become a one-in-five-years event. Further, it is likely that the frequency of heavy precipitation or the

proportion of total rainfall f rom heavy falls will increase in the 21st century over many areas of the globe

________________________________________________________________

ABOUT ME

Paul Douglas

Welcome to the WeatherNation blog. Every day I sift through hundreds of stories, maps , graphics and meteorological web

sites, trying to capture some of the most interesting weather nuggets, the stories behind the forecast. Ill link to stories and

share s ome of the web s ites I use. Im s till passionate about the weather, have been ever since Tropical Storm Agnes flooded

my home in Lancaster, PA in 1972. Ive started 5 weather-related companies. EarthWatch created the worlds first 3-D

weather graphics for TV stations Steven Spielberg used our software in Jurassic Park and Twister. My last company,

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