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    Big Data Analysis of Hollow Fiber Direct Contact

    Membrane Distillation (HFDCMD) for Simulation-based

    Emirical Analysis

    Albert S. Kim a, *, Seo Jin Kia, and Hyeon-Ju Kimb

    a Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Hawaii at anoa,

    !"#$ %ole Street Holmes &'&, Honolulu, Hawaii ()'!!, USA

    b%ee +ean ater Aliation esear/ Center, Korea esear/ 0nstitute

    of S/is and +ean Engineering, 1oseong-gun, 1angwon-do !2(-'!!,

    eubli of Korea

    A manusrit for

    Desalination

    Abstract

    !eywords3 Self-Organizing Map, Multiple linear regression

    "# $ntroduction

    embrane distillation 4%5 is a non-isot/ermal roess in w/i/ t/e

    artial ressure gradient of evaorated water vaor is t/e driving fore for

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    mass transfer wit/ an aomanied transformation between li6uid and gas

    /ases 728. % reeived lose attention due to its aability to rodue lean

    4distillated5 water using various energy resoures inluding industrial waste,

    low-grade /eat, and alternative ones. e9etion of solutes in % roesses is

    based on seletive evaoration of water moleules, w/ile solute moleules

    stay in t/e li6uid feed /ase. 0n rinile, t/e re9etion ratio of % is as /ig/

    as t/at of reverse osmosis 4+5, and even suerior for t/e removal of arseni

    and boron 7!, &8. :/e urrent bottlene; of % te/nology inludes lower

    distillate 4ermeate5

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    system, and it does not re6uire e=ternal ondensers 728. @% rovides /ig/er

    distillate

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    transfer in solid and void membrane regions. C/arateristi arameters of

    HD%C% roesses an be ategori?ed into t/ree grous3 425 oeration

    ondition 4temeratures and

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    furt/er to roose otimal oeration onditions. Usually, t/is aroa/ an

    notieably redue t/e number of 4ostly5 e=eriments in variety of siene

    and engineering disilines. /en a large amount of data are rodued

    using a series of simulations, analysis of t/e big data is anot/er imortant

    tas;. :/e ational Iig %ata esear/ and %eveloment 0nitiative was

    announed by t/e US /ite House to /el solve some of t/e ations most

    ressing /allenges for sienti disovery, environmental and biomedial

    resear/, eduation and national seurity 7'8. 0t aims to ma;e t/e most of t/e

    fast-growing volume of digital data and to imrove ;nowledge and insig/ts

    from t/e large and omle= olletions of digital data. Sei engineering

    roesses su/ as % /ave a variety of oeration variables and otions.

    Controlling arameters of %C% easily e=eeds 2$ 4see Setion !.&.!5. 0f

    ea/ arameter /as " andidate values, t/e total number of oeration ases

    is "2$L (,G)",)!", w/i/ is almost 2$ millions. 0t is ratially imossible to

    ondut t/is number of e=eriments wit/in a limited amount of time to nd

    otimal onditions. 0f a /ysial model t/at an redit fundamental trend of

    engineering /enomena is /owever available, ;ey governing arameters of

    t/e % erformane and t/eir inter-relations/is an be readily identied by

    analy?ing t/e big data of % simulations. Along t/is soe, we use our

    revious modeling tool, seially develoed for HD%C% 7G8, generate

    simulation oututs of an order of 2$ million ases, and analy?e t/e big data

    using advaned statistial aroa/, i.e., self-organi?ing ma as omared to

    onventional multile linear regression. 0n t/is aer, we aim to understand

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    t/e relative signiane of ore arameters and t/eir imortane on

    mass/eat transfer /enomena, lin; onventional dimensionless numbers to

    t/e diret simulation results, and nally rovide a /enomenologial

    orrelation for fast estimation of mass and /eat transfer.

    %# &'eory and simulations

    2.1. System confguration

    e onsider a ylindrial vessel ontaining a large number of /ollow

    bers of an order of at least a few t/ousands. :/e large number of bers and

    geometrial omle=ity ma;e formidable to do diret simulations of ouled

    /eat and mass transfer ourring t/roug/ individual bers. e reviously

    develoed a model to analy?e t/e erformane of HD%C% by onsidering a

    ylindrial ell, w/i/ was assumed to ontain imortant /ysial and

    engineering /arateristis 7G8.

    e onsider t/e /ot-outold-in 4H+C05 oeration mode of HD%C%,

    w/ere t/e /ot and old streams

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    :/e t/ermal ondutivity of membrane materials for % is of an order of

    +4$.25 mNK. :/e /eat transfer from t/e /ot feed to t/e old ermeate

    onsists of ondution t/oug/ t/e solid art of t/e membrane and

    onvetion by t/e vaor use t/roug/ 4tortuous5 membrane ores, t/ey arry t/ermal

    energy from t/e feed-membrane to t/e ermeate-membrane interfaes. :/is

    inreases t/e ermeate temerature along t/e ber. @isous mass transfer is

    negligible in %C% beause water and air moleules are onned in ore

    saes.

    :/e ounter-urrent old stream obtains 4i5 t/e onduted /eat at t/e

    solid membrane surfae and 4ii5 t/e onveted mass and arried /eat at t/e

    ore outlets. :/e transfer rate of t/e water vaor determines t/e %

    erformane wit/ redetermined oeration onditions. :/e /ot feed stream

    looses /eat as mu/ as t/e old stream reeives, and t/erefore t/e

    feedermeate stream temeratures dereasesinreases along t/e ber.

    Ieause t/e lumen volume is usually smaller t/an t/e s/ell volume 4er

    ber5, t/e lumen temerature varies more raidly in t/e longitudinal

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    diretion t/an t/e s/ell temerature. 0n t/is ase, t/e dominant transfer

    me/anisms in ea/ region are as follows3 4i5 momentum and /eat transfer

    in t/e lumen and s/ell regions and 4ii5 /eat and mass transfer in t/e void and

    solid membrane arts. :/ese me/anisms an be /arateri?ed

    6uantitatively using reresentative dimensionless numbers.

    0f Nf/ollow bers of inner and outer radii of a and b, resetively, are

    a;ed in a ylindrial vessel of radius Rv, t/en t/e a;ing fration is

    alulated as

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    , and average volume er ea/ ber is c!L w/ere c 4

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    5 is t/e ell radius 4see Dig. 24a55. :/roug/out t/is aer, t/e inner, s/ell, and

    ell surfaes indiates rL a, b, and c, resetively. Dluid veloities are

    assumed to be ?ero on t/e inner and s/ell surfaes of t/e HD membrane, and

    tangential stress and radial temerature gradient are resumed to be ?ero

    on t/e ell surfae. at/ematial details an be found in our revious wor;

    7G8.

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    2.2.Dimensionless number analysis or HFDCMD

    2.2.1. Overview

    0n % roesses, /eat transfer rate an be e=ressed as

    425

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    w/ere iL f, m, and p, indiating feed, membrane, and ermeate,

    resetively. +n t/e same line, OTf, O Tm, and O Tp, are temerature

    di>erenes between t/e bul; feed and feed-membrane interfae, aross t/e

    membrane of t/i;ness m4L bP a5, and between t/e ermeate-membrane

    interfae and bul; ermeate stream, resetively. As temerature is a oint

    funtion in t/e ylindrial ell, !iand OTiare often imlied as lengt/-averaged

    6uantities. it/in t/e HD membrane, we /ave !mL !m"Q#$%$R OTm, w/ere !m"is

    t/e ure /eat transfer oeFient of t/e orous membrane and %$ is t/e

    evaoration ent/aly of water. /enomenologially, t/e vaor erene between t/e /ot feed and old

    ermeate temeratures3

    4!5

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    w/ere &m is t/e membrane mass transfer oeFient and ' is t/e artial

    ressure of t/e vaor gas. :/e omle=ity omes from t/e ouling of (iand

    #$t/roug/ !m. 0n steady state, (i in ea/ region s/ould be e6ual to ea/ ot/er

    beause t/ere is neit/er soure nor sin; of /eat in t/e vessel. :/en, one

    writes

    4&5

    Estimation of !fand !pis a ruial ste for t/e erformane analysis beause

    t/ey vary wit/ geometrial and

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    simulations5 is well aeted in % literature. :/ese orrelations reresent

    t/e usselt number 4u5 as a funtion of eynolds 4e5, randtl 4r5, 1ras/o>

    41r5 numbers as well as t/e ratio of /ydrauli diameter 4)!5 to /annel lengt/

    4L5.

    1ryta et al. 7(8 summari?ed 2& orrelations ommonly used for t/e

    estimation of t/e usselt number in ylindrial onduts under laminar

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    4"5

    and

    4)5

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    and reorted t/at E6. 4)5 rovides better mat/ t/an E6. 4"5 wit/

    e=erimental observation. Some resear/ers used two di>erent orrelations

    to estimate /eat transfer oeFients in feed and ermeate sides searately.

    Kim et al. 7228 used E6. 4)5 for t/e tube 4lumen5 side stream and used

    1roe/ns orrelation for t/e s/ell side of a /ollow ber module 72!83

    4G5

    w/ere *is t/e yaw angle. Similarly, Edwie and C/ung 72&8 used two di>erent

    emirial orrelations for /eat transfer of t/e /ot feed and old distillate

    streams for HD%C%. /attaranawi; et al. 72#8 and Ho et al. 72"8 used E6. 4)5

    for t/e

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    :/e inner and outer radii of /ollow ber membrane 4i.e., a and b,

    resetively5 are of an order of +4$.25 mm and t/e t/i;ness m /as a

    omarable si?e to a. :/is imlies t/at urvature e>et of t/e /ollow ber

    needs to be arefully onsidered in solving governing e6uations. 0n a steady

    state 4 R tL $5, /eat and mass

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    4'5

    resetively. Ieause t/ere is neit/er soure nor sin; of /eat and mass in t/e

    vessel, divergenes of + and #$ must vanis/. +ne an assume t/at /eat

    transfer aross t/e HD membrane is redominant in t/e radial diretion

    4indiated using subsrit r53

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    4(5

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    w/ere T is t/e absolute temerature wit/in membrane, is t/e t/ermal

    ondutivity of t/e orous membrane and

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    4

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    5 is t/e e>etive molar ent/aly using

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    L !#."!G ;Jmol and

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    L ".!# V 2$P! ;JmolNK. Di;s law may reresent t/e vaor is t/e e>etive di>usion oeFient as a ombination of Irownian and

    Knudsen di>usivity using Iosan6uets relations/i 7G, 2G, 2'8. 1eneral

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    solutions for t/e ouled E6s. 4(5 and 42$5 were analytially obtained using

    erturbation t/eory, and an iterative met/od was used to alulate loal and

    lengt/-averaged roles of /eat and mass

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    4225

    w/ere 14L 4c!P b!5L5 is t/e li6uid volume and S$4L !4bQ c5L5 is t/e wetted

    surfae area by t/e li6uid. :/en, we alulate

    42!5

    w/ere 2L b!R c! is t/e volume 4or a;ing5 fration of t/e rode inside t/e

    ie. Digs. 24a5 and 4b5 /ave similar /arateristis at rL c. +ur revious

    wor; assumed

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    and

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    4in Dig. 24a55, of w/i/ t/e former indiated t/ermally insulated surfae of t/e

    rode-ontaining ie 4in Dig. 24b55. :/erefore, t/e e>etive diameter for /eat

    transfer must be alulated using onduting surfae only 4instead of wetted

    surfae5, ScL !bL. :/en we /ave

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    42&5

    beause S$W Scor 2T 2.$. +n summary, t/e /arateristi diameters of t/e

    s/ell and lumen regions are

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    42#5

    and

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    42"5

    resetively.

    eynolds number

    :/e momentum transfer is /arateri?ed using eynolds number, dened as

    a ratio of inertial and visous fores3

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    42)5

    w/ere t/e ;inemati visosity of water /varies wit/

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    t/e 4ross-setion averaged5 usion rate is dened as randtl number3

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    42G5

    w/ere 4L 0$R cp 7m!s8 is t/e t/ermal di>usivity, cp 7J;gNK8 is t/e sei

    /eat at onstant ressure, and 0$ 7mNK8 is t/e t/ermal ondutivity of

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    water 72(8 4see Aendi= for t/eir deendene on temerature5. randtl

    number inludes only t/ermal and visous roerties of water, w/i/ are

    indeendent of module geometry and usion3 e L er. 0n lumen and s/ell regions, elet

    numbers are denoted as

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    42'5

    and

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    42(5

    resetively, w/ere t/e ;inemati visosity /is reresented as a funtion of

    temerature.

    2.2.#. Soli! an! voi! membrane regions

    *usselt number

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    :/e ratio of onvetive to ondutive /eat transfer is reresented as usselt

    number3

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    4!$5

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    w/ere 4by denition5 !7m !NK8 is t/e onvetive /eat transfer oeFient, Lc

    7m8 is t/e /arateristi lengt/, and 0m 7mNK8 is t/e membrane /eat

    ondutivity. Here, !an be interreted by /eat

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    4!25

    w/i/ indiates t/at +rL onstant. Conversely, +dereases wit/ reset to r

    from t/e inner 4rL a5 to outer 4rL b5 surfaes. :/erefore, we let

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    4!!5

    w/ere YS+Z is t/e longitudinal average of S+ 4L r+5, w/i/ reresents t/e

    amount of /eat lost in t/e feed stream er unit ber lengt/ er unit time.

    CoeFient ! in E6. 4!!5 doubles t/e radial distane, i.e., diameter as

    orresonding to LcL !b. 0n t/e steady state, YS+Z is e6ual to /eat obtained by

    t/e old stream er unit ber lengt/ er unit time. Here we dene t/e

    usselt number for HD%C% as

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    4!&5

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    eclet number

    :/e vaor moleules di>use t/roug/ tortuous membrane ores from t/e

    feed-membrane to ermeate-membrane interfaes. As t/ey arry t/ermal

    energy, elet number is dened as

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    4!#5

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    w/ere D is t/e di>usion oeFient of vaor moleules in t/e membrane

    ore. Similar to !Lc of E6. 4!!5, #$r is onstant wit/ reset to t/e radial

    oordinate beause of

    4!"5

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    :/en, elet number is rewritten as

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    4!)5

    w/ere Y5$Z L Y#$rZ indiates t/e amount of vaor mass transferred aross t/e

    membrane er unit ber lengt/ er unit time.

    Structural factor

    A /ollow ber membrane used for %C% an be /ysially /arateri?ed

    using ore diameter 4)p5, t/i;ness 4m5, orosity 465, tortuosity 475, and

    lengt/ 4L5. A t/in HD membrane of /ig/ orosity, less tortuosity, and larger

    diameter rovides /ig/er

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    4!G5

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    w/ere t/e tortuosity is usually a dereasing funtion of orosity 7!$8. e

    used Iee;mans tortuosity e=ression as a funtion of t/e orosity3

    4!'5

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    w/i/ is seially develoed for /ig/ly interonneted ores. %etails of

    tortuosity disussion an be found elsew/ere 7G, !$8.

    As desribed above, eynolds and randtl numbers /arateri?e /yisal an

    etive di>usion oeFients, /ysial roerties 4inluding

    referene onstants and temerature-deendent funtions5 of li6uid water

    and water vaor. 1U D+:A 4gfortran version #.'.!5 was used to omile

    t/e develoed ode set using 1U ma;e utility. /fdmd uses an inut le to

    read 22 arameters as listed in :able 2. :/e En/ySoft a;age is 1U

    liensed and oen to ubli. 1U +tave 4version &.'.25 was used for ost-

    roessing, !% visuali?ation, and image onversion. Among several releases

    of [inu= distribution, Ubuntu 4t/e latest version 2#.$# named trusty5 was

    seleted for long-term, stable develoment. +t/er distributions inlude

    edHat, Dedora, Cent+S, oenSUSe, and sienti [inu=. Ea/ distribution

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    /as its own advantages and disadvantages. Ubuntu develoers are allowed

    to uload ersonally develoed a;ages to t/eir own A. ubli users an

    freely download, install, and use neessary software rograms under t/e

    1U free liense agreement. 0n t/e same lig/t of oen software /iloso/y,

    /fdmd 4as an indeendent aliation of En/ySoft5 is available by

    aessing t/e orresonding aut/ors A 4see Aendi= for details5. 0n

    addition, all t/e neessary software a;ages 4alled deendenies5 are also

    freely available 4downloadable5 using a;age management software of t/e

    Ubuntu distribution. Dor easy aess and use of /fdmd, gra/ial user

    interfae 41U05 is develoed and inluded in t/e En/ySoft a;age, as

    s/own in Dig. !4a5. :l:; srit is used to develo t/e /fdmd 1U0, w/i/ an

    oen, save, and save as an inut le, and run, s/ow, ar/ive and lear

    numerial and gra/ial results in a window. A /el le e=lains /ysial

    meanings of inut and outut variables. :o e=and t/e aessibility of t/is

    En/ySoft a;age, +rale @irtualIo= was used to run Ubuntu +S in

    indows, a, and 4ot/er5 [inu= +Ss. 0n [inu=, t/e En/ySoft an be diretly

    installed, but t/e use of @irtualIo= is also ossible. Dig. !4b5 s/ows t/e

    En/ySoft @irtualIo= installed in a. :/e general erformane of Ubuntu +S

    strongly deends on 4gra/ial5 des;to environment due to t/e limited

    artial resoures available from t/e main +S. 1+E and K%E are e=ellent

    but t/eir full imlementation on a @irtualIo= may signiantly /amer t/e

    erformane of oerating systems. 0nstead, we used [ubuntu, w/i/ uses a

    fast and lig/tweig/t oerating system wit/ a minimal des;to, alled [\%E.

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    2.#.2. Cases an! result selection criteria

    A single run of /fdmd generates !$ les 4' image and 2! data les5,

    w/i/ are used by t/e +tave srit to summari?e and visuali?e simulation

    results. :/e total si?e of all t/e !$ les is 2.! I. :wo dimensional

    temerature roles in t/e lumen, membrane, and s/ell regions are stored in

    & di>erent les 4ea/ /aving &$$-#$$ KI5 as big as image les. :o run a

    HD%C% simulation, 22 arameters are re6uired, as listed in :able 2. :/ese

    are temeratures and

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    billion les, [inu= S/ell erformane is notieably degraded by /andling a

    number of les, eseially to se6uentially read all les for statistial analysis.

    Among t/e total 22,$"(,!$$ simulations, only /ysially meaningful

    G,#"&,G2G ases are seleted for statistial analysis. 0f t/e HD membrane is

    long and stream

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    message assing interfae 405 and oen multile roessing 4oen55 are

    used, but t/e large number of 9obs are instead divided into t/ree grous

    based on t/e a;ing fration values. Ea/ grou of simulations were run in

    di>erent omuting nodes, of w/i/ node /as two 6uad-ores 4' ores5 of

    0ntel 45 \eon 45 CU E"" !.&& 1H? and 2) 1I of random aess memory.

    :/e total & idential nodes 4in terms of /ardware onguration5 were

    available and so !# 4L& V '5 /fdmd simulations were simultaneously

    onduted at a time. Ea/ node too; 2G." /ours wit/ ' simultaneous 9obs

    4i.e., one simulation 9ob er ore5. :/is is e6uivalent to an elased time as

    long as 2G." V & V ' L #!$ /ours 4L2G." days5 of se6uential run using a

    single ore. :/e G,#"&,G2G /ysially meaningful ases were searately

    stored in t/ree les 4on t/ree nodes5, and t/en ombined into a single te=t

    le of 2." 1I. Statistial analysis was done using t/is single data le,

    ontaining ore information of ea/ run in ea/ le-line.

    2.$. %ig Data &nalysis

    2.$.1. 'n(ut !ata (re(aration

    :wo data sets are reared from t/e raw data for statistial analysis3

    one using real /ysial variables and anot/er using redues, dimensionless

    variables. 0n t/e /ysial set, t/e tortuosity 475 is alulated using E6. 4!G5 as

    a funtion of t/e membrane orosity 465. :/e tortuosity solely deends on

    t/e orosity so t/at t/eir orrelation must be transarent and strong.

    Ieause Y5$Z is strongly in

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    seially, t/eir ratio 675, we intentionally inluded t/e tortuosity as t/e

    2!t/ inut arameter. :wo outut arameters of t/is /ysial set are mass

    and /eat transfer rate er ber lengt/, Y5$Z and YS+Z, resetively. 0n t/e

    dimensionless set, 2! new redued variables are roosed3 redued s/ell

    temerature 4Ts/lTlmn5, temerature olari?ation 4Ts/lTlmn P 25, e>etive

    orosity 46e>L 675, strutural fator 4SD5, and dimensionless numbers 4e

    and r of lumen and s/ell regions, e of all regions, and u of t/e membrane

    region only5. Among t/em, e and u of t/e membrane region 4denoted

    e^mbr and u^mbr, resetively5 are set as two outut variables, as

    orresonding to Y5$Z and YS+Z of t/e /ysial set, resetively.

    +n summary, t/e total number of inut variables are 2! and 2$ in t/e

    /ysial and dimensionless data sets, resetively, w/i/ are used to redit

    orrelation levels to transmembrane mass and /eat transfer rates. Self-

    organi?ing ma 4S+5 and multile linear regression 4[5 were used to

    analy?e t/ese two big data sets generated from a series of /fdmd numerial

    simulations. A:[AI version G.) and 0I SSS Statistis version !2 were

    used for S+ and [ analyses, resetively, as follows.

    2.$.2. Sel)organi*ing ma( +SOM,

    S+ e>etively identies atterns of and relations/is between inut

    data using an unsuervised learning algorit/m and e=trat information from

    omle= data sets by reating mas of t/e multi-dimensional and

    so/istiated data 7!2]!&8. :/e S+ aro=imates t/e robability density

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    funtion of t/e inut data and s/ows t/e data in a more omre/ensive

    fas/ion of fewer dimensions 4!% or &%5. As t/e system stability is maintained

    t/roug/ onvergene to an e6uilibrium ma, t/e S+ rovide great

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    4!(5

    is fully minimi?ed and so t/e onvergene is rea/ed. 0nitial weig/t values

    are randomly assigned wit/ small magnitudes. :/e neuron /aving t/e

    s/ortest distane to t/e inut vetor is /osen as a winner. :/e winner and

    neig/boring neurons are allowed to /ange t/eir weig/ts to ;ee minimi?ing

    t/e distanes. At ea/ iteration, t/e weig/ted vetor is udated as follows3

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    4&$5

    w/ere :9L 2 for t/e winning and neig/boring vetors, :9 L $ for ot/er

    remaining vetors, and .4t5 is a fration for orreted learning. 0n S+

    analysis, all inut data 4or variables5 were normali?ed into t/e range 7-2, 28

    to ma;e ea/ variable /ave t/e same imat on t/e neuron struture in a

    two-dimensional /e=agonal grid. :/e S+ ma nodes and data were

    roessed by linear initiali?ation and bat/ training algorit/m, resetively

    7&$8. :/e role of reresentative samles of a variable 4i.e., its distribution

    attern5 was nally visuali?ed in individual omonent lanes. :/e ma si?e

    of S+ was determined by 2$ V 2$ neurons rat/er t/an t/e default si?e 4

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    , see ne=t setion for details5 to 6ui;ly investigate data atterns wit/ small

    numbers of samles or outut neurons.

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    2.$.#. Multi(le linear regression +M-,

    :/e multile linear regression 4[5 is a statistial met/od to reveal

    t/e linear relations/is between a deendent variable 4;5 and multile

    indeendent variables 482, 8!, et5. [ an generate an e6uation t/at best

    desribe linear ombinations between inuts and an outut 7!(8. 0n t/is

    study, a logarit/mi transformation was used to normali?e t/e deendent

    variable to satisfy t/e /omosedastiity re6uirement, i.e., t/e varianes of

    t/e outut variable are normally distributed aross t/e range of reditor

    variables. Stewise regression met/od was used to selet imortant

    reditor variables in t/e regression roess using robability of $.$" and $.2

    for entry and removal, resetively. :/e average inet t/e validity of t/e regression e6uation and

    oeFients 7!'8.

    +# esults and Discussion

    Dig. & s/ows satial atterns of t/e 2# arameters of t/e /ysial data

    set, analy?ed using t/e S+ met/od. :/e 2! inut data inlude t/e

    alulated tortuosity, and two oututs are t/e /eat and mass transfer rates

    er nger lengt/, 5$ and S+, resetively. Ea/ arameter ma 4i.e.,

    omonent lane5 reresents t/e distribution of 2$$ samles, visually s/own

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    in t/e 2$ by 2$ /e=agonal grid. :/is grid is redued from t/e total G,#"&,G2G

    original samles. Color bars indiate ranges of arameter values and similar

    ma atterns in general imly strong orrelations. Here we rst disuss t/e

    data artitioning. As s/own in t/e fteent/ anel 4at t/e bottom row, seond

    to t/e rig/t5, t/e samles were artitioned into ) di>erent grous based on

    t/e /arateristi similarity of t/e inut arameters. :/e si=teent/ anel

    s/owed %avies-Iouldin inde= versus t/e number of lusters tested. A lower

    %avies-Iouldin inde= is a symmetri and non-native tion of t/e ratio of

    /ow lusters are sattered. A lower inde= indiates a better lustering. 0n

    ot/er words, t/e best lustering minimi?es t/e %avies-Iouldin inde=. 0n our

    study, si= lusters will best e=lain t/e variation atterns of t/e HD%C%

    arameters. Some S+ omonent anels /ave interesting atterns of

    arameter variables. ost arameter mas s/ow gradient strutures of

    vertial ?ig-?ag stries, inluding 2! inut and ! outut arameters.

    0n t/e rst grou, :s/l, inr, otr, d^ore, lengt/, and KaaSolid /ave

    t/is strutural tye from blue left to red rig/t, w/i/ /as lose similarity to

    S6bar. 0n t/e seond grou, :lmn and afra /ave t/e vertial strie

    strutures, but olor variations loo; disorderly osillating and are not as

    onsistent as ot/ers. :/is indiates t/at :lmn and afra are less orrelated

    to ot/ers. :/e t/ird grou onsists of u^bar and v^bar, of w/i/ anel mas

    are very similar to ea/ ot/er, /aving t/e red-left to blue-rig/t gradient of

    vertial ?ig-?ag stries. :/e trend of t/is t/ird grou is oosite to t/at of t/e

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    rst grou. :/e fourt/ grou /as t/e inut arameter, orosity, and t/e

    alulated arameter, tortuosity. :/e orosity ma attern is uni6ue to /ave

    t/e /ori?ontal gradient of blue-to to red-bottom stries. As t/e tortuosity is

    inversely roortional to t/e orosity, t/e tortuosity attern follows red-to

    to blue-bottom /ori?ontal stries. :/ese two arameters are least orrelated

    to ot/ers beause t/ey are very basi /ysial /arateristis of membrane

    material. As e=eted, t/e inverse relations/i between t/e orosity and

    tortuosity is learly s/own in t/e ma atterns. :/e ft/ grous is t/e outut

    grou /aving Dw^bar and S6^bar. Dw^bar /as a uni6ue ma attern, w/i/

    loo;s similar to t/e vertially

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    Dig. # s/ows results of S+ analysis using t/e dimensionless data set of

    total 2! variables 42$ inuts and ! oututs5. Similar to Dig. &, t/is large data

    set is redued to 2$$ reresentative samles resented in omonent lanes

    wit/ olor bars. e inlude :s/l^red, :em^ol, and. randtl^s/l in t/e rst

    analysis grou of Dig. #. :s/l^red and :em^ol /ave t/e same gradient of of

    t/e /ori?ontal stries3 blue-to to red-bottom. randtl^s/l also /as t/e

    /ori?ontal /arateristis of reverse olor s/eme. :/e mas of t/ese t/ree

    arameters better resemble t/at of elet^mbr, reresenting mass transfer

    rate aross t/e HD membrane er unit lengt/. @ertial gradients are learly

    s/own in mas of eynolds^lmn, elet^lmn, and elet^s/l /aving t/e red-

    rig/t to blue-left gradient. elet^s/l loo;s similar to t/e above t/ree

    aramets wit/ a slig/t diagonal attern. :/is trend is oosite to

    usselt^mbr reresenting t/e /eat transfer rate aross t/e membrane. :/e

    ma of e>etive orosity, i.e., orosity divided by t/e tortuosity, /as an

    almost idential ma attern to t/at of usselt^mbr, indiating t/eir strong

    orrelation. rnadtl^lmn also /as a vertial strie attern but t/e gradient

    /as a ea; a away from left or rig/t end. Unli;e ot/er /ysial dimensionless

    numbers, randtl^s/l /as t/e gradient struture of /ori?ontal stries. e

    believe t/is inetive orosity, SD is less

    orrelated to ot/ers, eseially elet^mbr and usselt^mbr. +t/er two less

    orrelated arameters are randtl lmn and eynolds^s/l. ote t/a

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    elet^mbr is best orrelated to :s/l^red and :emol, and usse;t^mbr s/ows

    a sei similarity only to e>etive orosity. e t/in; t/at t/is S+ analysis

    of t/e dimensionless data set does not rovide new sei information in

    addition to t/ose from t/e /ysial data set. e disuss t/is issue in t/e ne=t

    setion using t/e [ met/od.

    :/e /ysial and dimensionless data sets are analy?ed using t/e multile

    linear regression 4[5 met/od, w/i/ /ave 2$ and 2! inut arameters,

    resetively, to redit two outomes, resetively. 0n t/e /ysial data set

    Dw^bar and S6^bar are regressed using varying number of arameters from 2

    to 2!, and elet^mbr and usselt^mbr are regressed using 2 to 2$

    dimensionless variables. Dig. " s/ows auraies of t/e [ met/od in terms

    of R!values of ea/ redited variables. :/e R!values of t/e four redited

    deendent variables 4Dw^bar, S6^bar, elet^mbr and usselt^mbr 5 inrease

    as t/e number of deendent variables inreases from 2 to #. Using more

    t/an " deendent variables does not signiantly en/ane t/e reditability

    of t/e [ met/od. At least, four variables are re6uired to e=lain variations

    of Dwbar, S6bar, and eletbr, w/ereas t/ree arameters are enoug/ to

    redit usselt^mbr.

    :able ! s/ows oeFients of four redited variables in t/e form of

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    4&25

    w/ere

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    by one, 4log-transformed5 Dwbar inreased by 2.'$ V 2$P# units.5 @alidity of

    t/is redition using unstandardi?ed oeFients are 6uantied using

    standard error 4SE5 values, w/i/ are mu/ smaller t/an unstandardi?ed

    oeFients,

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    arameters of Dwbar and S6bar are d^ore and :lmn, resetively. ass

    transfer rate er unit lengt/, Dwbar, is rimarily restrited by t/e vaor

    evaoration rate at t/e interfae between /ot feed and 4outer5 membrane

    surfaeX and it is inversely roortional to t/e membrane t/i;ness, otr -

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    inr. 1iven t/at, ore saes of an order of

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    V 4otr P inr5 geometrially determine t/e vaor transfer rate. d^ore is r

    n;ed t/e fourt/ in t/e [ of Dwbar. 0nterestingly, t/is indiates t/at t/

    lumen temerature is not as imortant as t/e ore si?e of HD membrane. :/e

    least inerene, i.e., :s/l P :lmn. Unli;e Dwbar, HD geometry is more

    imortant in S6bar, followed by temeratures. d^ore in Dwbar disaears

    in S6bar, and relaed by :lmn. Comaring t/e fourt/ arameters 4d^ore and

    lmn in reditions of Dwbar and S6bar, resetively5 s/ows /ysial insig/t t

    at mass transfer is rimarily initiated by t/e /ot feed temerature an

    As indiated above, elet^mbr and usselt^mbr reresent dimensionless

    forms of mass and /eat transfer rates, Dwbar and S6bar, resetively.

    0nterestingly, t/e dimensionless data set /as four ommon, most signiant

    arameters, indiretly imlying t/at t/e dimensionless analysis an rovide

    meaningful /ysial results using t/e omat forms. :/is arameters are

    ran;ed in order3 :s/l^red, orosity^e>, elet^lmn, and elet^s/l for

    rediting elert^mbr and orosity^e>, elet^s/l, elet^lmn, and :s/l^red

    for regressing S6bar. Among t/em, elet^s/l always /as t/e negative sign,

    ran;ed t/e first and t/ird in terms of _ of usselt^mbr and elet^mbr,

    resetively. ote t/at lumen and s/ell elet numbers are based on t/ermal

    di>usion and membrane elet number is based on vaor di>usion t/roug/

    membrane ores.

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    0n rediting elet^mbr, t/e redued s/ell 4feed5 temerature :s/l^red is

    found to be t/e most signiant arameter wit/ =L $.G#, w/i/ is /ig/ly

    analogous to =L $.G$ of :s/l in Dwbar regression. :s/l^red /as t/e least

    imat on usselt^mbr redition as e=eted from t/e fat t/at :s/l and

    :lmn in S6bar regression are ran;ed t/e t/ird and fourt/, resetively.

    otieably small = value of :s/l^red e=lains t/e lateau trend of

    usselt^mbr lot 4in Dig. "5 after t/e number of indeendent variables more

    t/an t/ree. 0t is interesting t/at :em^ol does not s/ow u in rediting any

    of membrane transort dimensionless numbers. E>etive orosity aears

    bot/ in regression e6uations, and ran;ed t/ird and fourt/ of membrane

    usselt and elet numbers, w/i/ were absent in Dwbar and S6bar

    reditions. :/is e>etive orosity is as imortant as elet^lmn 4=L $.)&5 in

    usselt^mbr redition. Strutural fator does not s/ow u as imortant

    inut arameters in analysis of t/e dimensionless set. 0n bot/ /ysial and

    dimensionless sets, mirostruture of t/e membrane is found to be

    seondarily imortant as omared to marosoi geometry and oeration

    onditions.

    [umen and s/ell 4t/ermal5 elet numbers aear to be ;ey ontrolling

    arameters of bot/ membrane elet and usselt numbers. [umen elet

    number /as stronger in

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    veloity and /ydrauli diameter are linearly roortional to t/e lumen elet

    number. As t/e 4only5 lumen temerature inreases t/e ;inemati visosity

    dereases so t/at t/e lumen elet number inreases. 0n most emirial

    orrelations develoed or used for /eat transfer /enomena of %C%

    roesses, visosity and density are often assumed to be onstant or =ed at

    sei temeratures. As t/ese temerature-deendent ets of s/ell elet number 4of E6.

    2(\\5 to mass/eat transfer /enomena. 1iven t/e s/ell veloity, a /ig/er

    HD a;ing redues volumetri

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    a;ing ratio indiates /ig/er volumetri erene between t/e s/ell and lumen temeratures, i.e., driving fore of

    t/e transfer /enomena. :/ere is no doubt t/at feed temerature and feed-

    distillate temerature di>erene lay ;ey roles in mass and /eat transfer.

    %imensionless numbers su/ as eynolds, randtl, and elet numbers

    /arateristi

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    membrane elet and usselt numbers. ore imortantly dimensionless

    analysis uses t/e same set of four indeendent arameters. +ne an

    systematially omare in

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    7&8 %eyin Hou, Jun ang, \iang/eng Sun, /ao;un [uan, C/angwei /ao,

    and \iao9ing en. Ioron removal from a6ueous solution by diret ontat

    membrane distillation. Journal of Ha?ardous aterials, 2GG42-&53)2&])2(,

    ay !$2$. 0SS $&$#-&'(#. U[ /tt3www.

    sienediret.omsieneartileiiS$&$#&'(#$($!$)"!.

    7#8 Kai u ang, :ai-S/ung C/ung, and are; 1ryta. Hydro/obi @%D

    /ollow ber membranes wit/ narrow ore si?e distribution and ultra-t/in

    s;in for t/e fres/ water rodution t/roug/ membrane distillation.

    C/emial Engineering Siene, )&4(53!"'G]!"(#, ay !$$'. 0SS

    $$$(!"$(. doi3 2$.2$2)9.es.!$$'.$!.$!$. U[

    /tt3lin;ing/ub.elsevier.om retrieveiiS$$$(!"$($'$$$($$.

    7"8 Jung-1il [ee and oo-Seung Kim. umerial modeling of t/e vauum

    membrane distillation roess. %esalination, &&23#)]"", %eember

    !$2&. 0SS $$22(2)#. doi3 2$. 2$2)9.desal.!$2&.2$.$!!. U[

    /tt3www.sienediret.omsieneartileii S$$22(2)#2&$$#(&2.

    7)8 1uo6iang 1uan, \ing ang, ong ang, obert Dield, and Ant/ony 1.

    Dane. Evaluation of /ollow ber-based diret ontat and vauum

    membrane distillation systems using asen roess simulation. Journal of

    embrane Siene, #)#32!G]2&(, August !$2#. 0SS $&G)G&''. doi3

    2$.2$2)9.memsi.!$2#.$&.$"#. U[ /tt3www.sienediret.om

    sieneartileiiS$&G)G&''2#$$!#$&.

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    7G8 Albert S Kim. Cylindrial ell model for diret ontat membrane

    distillation 4%C%5 of densely a;ed /ollow bers. Journal of embrane

    Siene, #""32)']2'), Aril !$2#.

    0SS $&G)G&''. doi3 2$.2$2)9.memsi.!$2&.2!.$)G. U[

    /tt3www.sienediret. omsieneartileiiS$&G)G&''2&$2$&$!.

    7'8 +IAA A%00S:A:0+ U@E0[S I01 %A:A 00:0A:0@E3 A+UCES

    h!$$ 0[[0+ 0 E % 0@ES:E:S, !$2!. U[

    /tt3www.w/ite/ouse.gov

    sitesdefaultlesmirositesostbig^data^ress^release^nal^!.df.

    7(8 1ryta, :omas?ews;a, and A oraws;i. embrane distillation wit/

    laminar our, and Kim C/oon g.

    erformane investigation of a solar-assisted diret ontat membrane

    distillation system. Journal of embrane Siene, #!G4$53"]&)#, January

    !$2&. 0SS $&G)-G&''. doi3 /tt3d=.doi.org

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    2$.2$2)9.memsi.!$2!.2$.$$'. U[

    /tt3www.sienediret.omsieneartile iiS$&G)G&''2!$$G"!2.

    72!8 H.1. 1roe/n. 0net of ore si?e

    distribution and air

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    !53")]'', !$22. 0SS $$$2-')'). doi3 %+032$.2$2)9.is.!$2$.$(.$$". U[

    /tt3www.sienediret.omsieneartile iiS$$$2')')2$$$2G!G.

    72G8 Albert S Kim. A two-interfae transort model wit/ ore-si?e distribution

    for rediting t/e erformane of diret ontat membrane distillation

    4%C%5. Journal of embrane Siene, #!'3#2$]#!#, Debruary !$2&. 0SS

    $&G)G&''. doi3 2$.2$2)9.memsi.!$2!.2$.$"#. U[

    /tt3lin;ing/ub.elsevier.omretrieveiiS$&G)G&''2!$$'$2$.

    72'8 C. H. Iosan6uet. :/e otimum ressure for a di>usion searation lant.

    Iritis/ :A eort, age I"$G, 2(##.

    72(8 aria [ @ amires, Carlos A ieto de Castro, u/i agasa;a, A;ira

    agas/ima, ar J Assael, and illiam A a;e/am. Standard eferene

    %ata for t/e :/ermal Condutivity of ater. Journal of /ysial and

    C/emial eferene %ata, !#4&532&GG]2&'2, 2((". doi3

    2$.2$)&2."""()&. U[ /tt3lin;.ai.orglin;J!#2&GG2.

    7!$8 Ie/?ad 1/anbarian, Allen 1. Hunt, obert . Ewing, and u/ammad

    Sa/imi. :ortuosity in orous edia3 A Critial eview. Soil Siene Soiety

    of Ameria Journal, GG4"532#)2] 2#GG, !$2&. 0SS $&)2-"((". doi3

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    ubliationssssa9abstratsGG"2#)2.

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    Deature as. Iiologial Cybernetis, #&3"(])(, 2('!.

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    7!!8 :euvo Ko/onen. Analysis of a simle self-organi?ing roess. Iiologial

    Cybernetis, ##4!53 2&"]2#$, 2('!. 0SS $$-2!$$. doi3

    2$.2$$GID$$&2G(G&. U[ /tt3d=.doi.org2$. 2$$GID$$&2G(G&.

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    !$$2.

    7!#8 H itter and K S/ulten. Convergene roerties of Ko/onens toology

    onserving mas3 . ater resear/, #"42#53#2'&](G, August !$22. 0SS 2'G(-!##'.

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    /tt3www.sienediret.omsieneartile iiS$$#&2&"#22$$!'#&.

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    7!'8 Andy Dield. %isovering statistis using SS. Sage ubliations [td,

    :/ousand +a;s, CA, !nd edition, !$$".

    7!(8 A Kalte/, H9ort/, and Ierndtsson. eview of t/e Self-organi?ing

    a 4S+5 Aroa/ in ater esoures3 Analysis, odelling and

    Aliation. Environ. odel. Softw., !&4G53'&"]'#", !$$'. 0SS 2&)#-'2"!.

    doi3 2$.2$2)9.envsoft.!$$G.2$.$$2. U[

    /tt3d=.doi.org2$.2$2)9.envsoft.!$$G.2$.$$2.

    7&$8 J @esanto, J Himberg, E Al/oniemi, and J ar/an;angas. S+ toolbo= for

    atlab ". :e/nial reort, Esoo, Dinland, !$$$. U[

    /tt3www.is./ut.somtoolbo=a;age aerste/re.df.

    7&28 S.C. Cut/eon, J. [. artin, and :. +. Jr. Iarnwell. Handbood of

    Hydrology. 1raw-Hill, ew or;, 2st edition, 2((&.

    Cations for .gures

    Dig. 2. S/emati of 4a5 a /ollow ber loated in a imaginary ylindrial ell,

    w/i/ reresents a number of densely a;ed bers in a vessel and 4b5

    onduts of /eat transfer onsisting of a solid rod inside a ylindrial

    imermeable ie. Ea/ /as lengt/ L.

    Dig. !. Snas/ots of 4a5 /fdmd 1U0 and 4b5 +rale @irtualIo=.

    Dig. &. @ariation of variables 4i.e., 2# omonent lanes5 of reresentative

    samles analy?ed by a Self-+rgani?ing a in a 2$-by-2$ /e=agonal grid. 0n

    t/e gure, data artitioning 4s/own in t/e fteent/ anel5 indiates

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    individual lusters t/at /ave similar /arateristis w/i/ are divided by t/e

    minimum %avies-Iouldin inde= of ) lusters 4s/own in t/e si=teent/ anel5.

    Dig. #. @ariation of variables 4i.e., 2! omonent lanes5 of reresentative

    samles analy?ed by a Self-+rgani?ing a in a 2$-by-2$ /e=agonal grid.

    Unli;e Dig. 2, various dimensionless numbers were used as inut variables in

    t/e analysis.

    Dig. ". :/e fration of variane 4i.e., oeFient of determination R!5 e=lained

    by t/e regression e6uation wit/ di>erent numbers of reditor variables.