Bid Rounds taking place in 2016 – How attractive …Norway Ukraine Angola Bolivia China India...
Transcript of Bid Rounds taking place in 2016 – How attractive …Norway Ukraine Angola Bolivia China India...
With Oil prices halved many oil companies have stopped exploration, however
governments across the globe are still planning licensing rounds in 2016 and beyond.
Will we see fiscal and policy terms changed to attract those companies with a greater
appetite for risk and the ability to withstand a prolonged downturn.
Face a lower pool of investors, as cuts in IOC capital spending will force companies to prioritize investments, and eschew higher-risk and/or lower-return projects.
However, there are still companies out there with a greater appetite for risk and an ability to withstand a prolonged downturn.
It is key for governments to be aware of what other investment opportunities are out there and how these opportunities compare, so they can design e�ective strategies to attract investment to the sector.
in the Low Oil Price Environment
GOVERNMENTS LOOKING TO ATTRACT FRESH E&P INVESTMENT in the current price scenario...
Improved Terms
ArgentinaColombiaGhanaKazakhstanNorwayUkraineAngolaBoliviaChinaIndiaMexicoUK
AlbertaEcuadorPakistanVenezuelaUS-North DakotaBrazilIranPeru
Malaysia IraqNigeriaIndonesia
EgyptIrelandUzbekistanCameroonRussiaUganda
AlaskaNewfoundland & LabradorUS Federal
Potential Improvement Mixed Measures
Potential Mixed Measures Tightening of Terms
Potential Tightening of Terms
Not all bid rounds o�er the same level of risk vs potential rewards; let’s look at how some of these opportunities compare
Countries with good E&P prospects but tough fiscal terms:
IHS PEPS enables rapid understanding of the complete upstream investment and risk environment for all hydrocarbon-producing and frontier countries worldwide.
TRENDS IN FISCAL TERMS
Congo (1 opportunity)
Norway (1 opportunity)Russia (2 opportunities)
China (1 opportunity)
Malaysia (1 opportunity)
Pakistan (1 opportunity)
Iran (2 opportunities)
India (2 opportunities)
Thailand (1 opportunity)
Australia (2 opportunities)
New Zealand (1 opportunity)
Poland (1 opportunity)
Cyprus (1 opportunity)
Lebanon (1 opportunity)
Israel (1 opportunity)
Iraq (1 opportunity)
Indonesia (3 opportunities)
O�shore acreageOnshore acreageOn & O�shore acreageTentative Round
1IRAN 2IRAQ 3RUSSIA
1URUGUAY 2LEBANON
REWARDRISK&
E&P INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES IN A LOW PRICE WORLD Bid Rounds taking place in 2016 – How attractive are they?
$50BARREL OIL
The Implications of
2014 2016
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$100
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INVESTOR ATTRACTIVENESS
Low Medium High
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
INVESTOR ATTRACTIVENESS
Low Medium High
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Countries with limited exploration data available but regarded as “high potential” by the industry:
Mexico (1 opportunity)
Mexico (2 opportunities)
Uruguay (1 opportunity)
Canada (3 opportunities)
Overall Rating 6.27
E&P Rating 8.80Fiscal Rating 3.00Petroleum Sector Risk Rating (PSR) 5.455-Year Forecast - PSR 5.70
Overall Rating 5.36
E&P Rating 8.33Fiscal Rating 2.07Petroleum Sector Risk Rating (PSR) 3.185-Year Forecast - PSR 3.63
Overall Rating 5.15
E&P Rating 6.73Fiscal Rating 2.82Petroleum Sector Risk Rating (PSR) 5.435-Year Forecast - PSR 5.62
Overall Rating 3.58
E&P Rating 1.03Fiscal Rating 5.32Petroleum Sector Risk Rating (PSR) 8.005-Year Forecast - PSR 7.91
Overall Rating 3.03
E&P Rating 1.00Fiscal Rating 5.13Petroleum Sector Risk Rating (PSR) 4.895-Year Forecast - PSR 4.86