Beneficiation in SA: Perspective of German-South African...
Transcript of Beneficiation in SA: Perspective of German-South African...
Beneficiation in SA:Perspective of German-South
African Industry
Andreas KünneMinister: Economic & Global Issues
German Embassy Pretoria
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StructureWhere are we today?• Catalytic Converters• Automotive Production• Tire production• Chrome Chemicals
Policy Options• Smart interventions / dialogue & flexibility
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Automotive: Catalytic Converters
Globally:
Ccs consume >50% of PGM productionParticle filters (Diesel) use similar technology: High growth potentialFoundation for fuel cell manufacturing
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Catalytic Converters / SA
Locally:
> 10 converter producersCc industry beneficiates 15% of SA PGMsCc > 90% of PGM beneficiation in SATakes 40% of SA domestic steel production5.000 direct jobs (mainly highly skilled)Export revenue > R 20bn p.a.
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Catalytic Converters: Issues
Receding market share (2008: >14% of global, today: <10% and falling)Time to market too long (26 weeks)Capacity 24 mio pieces, production: 16 mio
Why:Lack of skilled labourWeak demand: Over-reliance on Europe, growth markets protected
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Catalytic Converters: Interventions
Comprehensive approach:• Support entry into new market segments• Support research into fuel cell production, together
with industry• Support expansion of value chain in industry-wide
dialogue (> 50 companies in supply chain)• Trade agreements: Global market access
• Industry ready to discuss: Catalytic Converter Interest Group - international manufacturers present in SA
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Automotive Production: Localization
Car manufacturers want to source as much as possible locally (transport, tarriff advantages)Example BMW: Seat belts, assembly of exhaust panels, fuel tank, floor carpets etc.Crucial: Business case AND availability of technology
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Raw materials
Production & sales volumes
Europe
SouthAfrica
ChinaNAFTATechnology & Skills
Productivity & Labor cost
Automotive Production: The MBSA Perspective
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• MB production share for local market20%
• Annual Passenger car production overall
0,3 Mio cars
• Annual Passenger car sales overall0,4 Mio cars
South Africa
Germany
China USA
• MB production share for local market60%
• Annual Passenger car production overall
6 Mio cars
• Annual Passenger car sales overall3 Mio cars
• MB production share for local market100%
• Annual Passenger car production overall
3 Mio cars
• Annual Passenger car sales overall8 Mio cars
• MB production share for local market100%
• Annual Passenger car production overall
15 Mio cars
• Annual Passenger car sales overall18 Mio cars
• IHU (inner high pressure forming)
• Aluminium/Magnesium High pressure casting
• Carbon Fiber Technology
• Blow moulding with insert parts
• IHU (inner high pressure forming)
• Aluminium/Magnesium High pressure casting
• Carbon Fiber Technology
• Blow moulding with insert parts
• IHU (inner high pressure forming)
• Aluminium/Magnesium High pressure casting
• Carbon Fiber Technology
• Blow moulding with insert parts
• IHU (inner high pressure forming)
• Aluminium/Magnesium High pressure casting
• Carbon Fiber Technology
• Blow moulding with insert parts
South Africa
Germany
China USA
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• Aluminium casting alloy
• Aluminium sheet material
• Plastic materials (ABS,EPDM)
• High strength steels
• Aluminium casting alloy
• Aluminium sheet material
• Plastic materials (ABS,EPDM)
• High strength steels
• Aluminium casting alloy
• Aluminium sheet material
• Plastic materials (ABS,EPDM)
• High strength steels
South Africa
Germany
China USA
• Aluminium casting alloy
• Aluminium sheet material
• Plastic materials (ABS,EPDM)
• High strength steels
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Automotive: MBSA Perspective / Raw Materials
30-50 kg/car
20 50
Steel-Body in White
Aluminium-body panels
Aluminium-structure
Magnesium-casting
Carbon fiber-structure
Production cost [€/-kg]
Weig
ht re
du
ctio
n[%
com
pare
d to
ste
el]
∼ 60
∼ 30
Magnesium-sheet
Steel
Aluminium
In order to fulfill future requirements on CO2 emissions, the weight of new generation cars has to be reduced. The availability of the right raw materials with competitive pricing is therefore essential for the automotive production.
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3336
5752
48
27
-42%(-24)
-36%(-20)
+9%9,0%
2012
Moldavia 2012 China
2012*
2011*
2010*
2002*
*Source: NBF (National Bargain Forum) agreed wage* * Includes labor, machining and overheads
ZAR/hour Skill Level 3 Qualified rate
South Africa
120
185
120132
125117111
209 +54%+54%
South Africa 2007
South Africa 2012
MoldaviaCzechSloveniaMexicoChinaGermany
ZAR/Costs of1 Production Hour for Car Trim Sewing (2012) * *
Automotive: MBSA Perspective / Productivity & labor cost
Labor cost development Productivity comparison
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STEEL:
MBSA in discussions with ArcelorMittalPrepared to manufacture material for unexposed sheetsThese are the lesser volumes (combined, 1255 ton/a) - too small for ArcelorMittal to produce MBSA now investigating the possibility of combining volumes with other OEMs
ALUMINIUM:
MBSA and AFSA (Aluminium Federation of South Africa) had first meeting on specifications for sheet metal Next step to formulate combined OEM data sheet, initiate project, establish task team within OEM Council
Automotive Production: New approaches
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Automotive Production: ConclusionProduction & sales volumesRegions with high production and sales volumes have priority with regard to
investments. With low sales volumes in the domestic market, the South African car production relies on exports.
Technology & skillsNew production technologies are available outside South Africa first. Local
production volumes are too low for certain production technologies to be viable. Skills development needed to allow widely spread operation of high-tech production technologies.
Raw materialsLightweighting in car production is indispensable. The necessary raw materials must
be available at competitive pricing. Not all raw materials are locally available, with monopoly pricing being the crucial handicap for most available raw materials in South Africa.
Productivity & Labour costThe cost for labour in South Africa has increased faster than productivity. This leads
to a disadvantage in competition with other regions.
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Tire Production: Continental
One of four tire manufacturers in SALocated in PE regionStrongly committed to sourcing locally
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Tire Production: Continental
Global vs Local
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Tire Production: Material Type / Quantity
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Tire production: Localization
Availability of technologyEconomies of scale?Biggest potential: Reclaimed rubber / yarns & fabricsFramework needs to be in place: Recuperation system built up in consultation with industry
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Chrome Chemicals: From Chrome Ore To Cars (and aeroplanes)
LANXESS example: German high-tech company with strong BRICS focus~1.400 employees in SAChrome ore mine close to RustenburgSeveral production facilities in SA (KZN)Mine -> world‘s most modern chrome chemical plant in Newcastle, KZNChrome ore -> specialized chrome chemicals for automotive, aviation and other industries
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Chrome Chemicals: From Chrome Ore To Cars (and aeroplanes)
Complete value chain in SABeneficiation from A to ZWithout government support programmesIdentified the right niche
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Policy Options
Skills: Comprehensive support to industryTechnology: Support for industry-oriented
research in dialogue w/industry, e.g. magnesiumProductivity: Incentive schemesIdentify & support niches (reclaimed rubber,
PGM applications beyond catalytic converters, ...)Raw materials: Monopoly pricingTrade agreements: Level playing field
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Policy Options: Support Clusters
Secrets of German success in manufacturing: vocational training & clustersIn confined geographic area maximum of expertiseIndustry, colleges, universities, government, labour forceSA examples: Renewables in the Western Cape -> CSP research chair, CPUT training of wind turbine engineers, govt support
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Thank you!
Questions?Questions?