Beijing Traffic Jam - Anna Nagurney · 2011-07-16 · Beijing Traffic Jam Daniel Barry, Jennifer...

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Beijing Traffic Jam Daniel Barry, Jennifer Corriveau, Michael Lecomte, Johanna Zuber

Transcript of Beijing Traffic Jam - Anna Nagurney · 2011-07-16 · Beijing Traffic Jam Daniel Barry, Jennifer...

Page 1: Beijing Traffic Jam - Anna Nagurney · 2011-07-16 · Beijing Traffic Jam Daniel Barry, Jennifer Corriveau, Michael Lecomte, Johanna Zuber. ... • Problems Identified • Potential

Beijing Traffic Jam

Daniel Barry, Jennifer Corriveau, Michael Lecomte, Johanna Zuber

Page 2: Beijing Traffic Jam - Anna Nagurney · 2011-07-16 · Beijing Traffic Jam Daniel Barry, Jennifer Corriveau, Michael Lecomte, Johanna Zuber. ... • Problems Identified • Potential

Presentation Overview

• China population, economy, infrastructure• Highway system• Traffic Jam• Problems Identified• Potential Solutions• Q&A

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Country Information

Page 4: Beijing Traffic Jam - Anna Nagurney · 2011-07-16 · Beijing Traffic Jam Daniel Barry, Jennifer Corriveau, Michael Lecomte, Johanna Zuber. ... • Problems Identified • Potential

Population

• 1.3 billion people• 72% of population

age between 15-64• 43% live in urban

areas

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Economy

• Major advances• Rapidly growing

private sector• Foreign investment

increase• GDP• Development• Challenge:

environment• Goal: energy

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Infrastructure

• 500 airports• 3rd largest railway system• 3.5 billion kilometers of road

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China’s Highway System

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About the Highway System

• Series of trunk roads• Sometimes tolls• 000, 100, 200, 300 series

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Highway System History

• 1913- First Modern Highway

• 1998- Major construction• 2000 – 6.25 million cars

• 1988- First Expressway

• 2005 – 17 million cars

• 2006 - 24,480miles expressway; 2.15 million miles highway• 2020: 53,000 expressway miles

Page 10: Beijing Traffic Jam - Anna Nagurney · 2011-07-16 · Beijing Traffic Jam Daniel Barry, Jennifer Corriveau, Michael Lecomte, Johanna Zuber. ... • Problems Identified • Potential

National Highway 110

• Beijing-Tibet Expressway

• Beijing to Huai’ and Jining

• Major artery for supplies

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August 2010 Traffic Jam

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China Traffic Jams

• “Traffic jams are one of the norms in the expanding Chinese economy”

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August 2010 Traffic Jam

• August 14, 2010• Highway 110• Snail’s pace traffic• Over 100 km (60

miles)• Expected duration

Page 14: Beijing Traffic Jam - Anna Nagurney · 2011-07-16 · Beijing Traffic Jam Daniel Barry, Jennifer Corriveau, Michael Lecomte, Johanna Zuber. ... • Problems Identified • Potential

Testimonies

• Price of food sky-rocketed

• Stuck for days• Drivers played cards

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How it ended

• Went away for no apparent reason:

“If you pour rice through a funnel, at some point it may become jammed. But once you can unjam that,

eventually it will start working its way out again.”

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What Caused the Jam?

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Cause #1: Coal-Carrying Trucks

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Cause #2: Increasing Cars on Roads

Page 19: Beijing Traffic Jam - Anna Nagurney · 2011-07-16 · Beijing Traffic Jam Daniel Barry, Jennifer Corriveau, Michael Lecomte, Johanna Zuber. ... • Problems Identified • Potential

Other Causes

• Poor road planning• Broken down vehicles• Peak-season travel

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Challenges

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Challenge 1: Limited Roads

• Roads in Southwest China are limited– Taking back roads isn’t an option– Lack of small state and country roads– Alternative routs are much longer; expensive

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Challenge 2: Meeting Demand

“If people mostly get around in personal vehicles, no matter how you expand the capacity of the roads,

demand will exceed the capacity almost over night”

• 2,000 new cars a day = new lane every day• Traffic could slow; < 15km/hr.• 6.7 million vehicle capacity

Page 23: Beijing Traffic Jam - Anna Nagurney · 2011-07-16 · Beijing Traffic Jam Daniel Barry, Jennifer Corriveau, Michael Lecomte, Johanna Zuber. ... • Problems Identified • Potential

Challenge 3: Braess Paradox?

• Is the current situation(traffic jam) better than adding new roads?– Only a fleeting impact on easing congestion – New roads lead to more travel– Many drivers who had shifted their trips resume

previous patterns and converge onto new highway• Spread traffic out more evenly

– Measure demand more accurately– Weave multiple modes

• Road, rail, etc.

Page 24: Beijing Traffic Jam - Anna Nagurney · 2011-07-16 · Beijing Traffic Jam Daniel Barry, Jennifer Corriveau, Michael Lecomte, Johanna Zuber. ... • Problems Identified • Potential

Potential Solutions

Page 25: Beijing Traffic Jam - Anna Nagurney · 2011-07-16 · Beijing Traffic Jam Daniel Barry, Jennifer Corriveau, Michael Lecomte, Johanna Zuber. ... • Problems Identified • Potential

Solution: Railroads

“Special railway should be built to transport coal from Inner Mongolia. Adding that railway would be the most efficient and environmentally friendly way

for energy transportation”

• 42,000km new tracks by 2020• Massive amounts of stimulus

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Solution: Straddle Bus

• Two levels• Runs above car and under

overpass• Electric and solar power• 60km/hr.; 1200-1400

passengers • Saves road space; efficient;

high capacity• Can reduce up to 25-30% of

traffic jams • Safety precautions• 186km track construction

Page 27: Beijing Traffic Jam - Anna Nagurney · 2011-07-16 · Beijing Traffic Jam Daniel Barry, Jennifer Corriveau, Michael Lecomte, Johanna Zuber. ... • Problems Identified • Potential

Solution: Energy Transportation

• Convert coal to electricity locally• Send energy

Page 28: Beijing Traffic Jam - Anna Nagurney · 2011-07-16 · Beijing Traffic Jam Daniel Barry, Jennifer Corriveau, Michael Lecomte, Johanna Zuber. ... • Problems Identified • Potential

Summary

“The root of the problem is that transportation network planning and construction lag behind

demand”

• Causes: Increased demand, coal trucks, construction

• Solutions: Railroad, Straddle bus, Transport energy

“If the country’s economy still depends heavily on coal from Inner Mongolia, the cause of the

jam on the Beijing-Tibet highway would be hard to solve permanently”

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Questions?

• Thank you!