Behaviour of Investors Under Risk in Profit and Loss Situations in Pune City

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    BEHAVIOUR OF INVESTORS UNDER RISK IN PROFIT ANDLOSS SITUATIONS IN PUNE CITY

    By: Rutuja Pandit (25)Nilesh Pardeshi (26)Ravi Teja (27)

    Rupali Patil (28)Rutuja Patil (29)Sagar Pawar (30)Swapnil Pawar (31)Amruta Raje (32)Priyanka Bhosale (33)

    MBA I A

    SINHGAD INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT,VADGAON, PUNE-41

    MARCH 2012

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    I INTRODUCTION

    History

    Expected value was one of the first theories of decision making under risk. The

    expected value of an outcome is equal to its payoff times its probability. This model failed

    in predicting outcomes in many instances because it was obvious that the value that a

    particular payoff held for someone was not always directly related to its precise monetary

    worth.

    Daniel Bernoulli was the first to see this contradiction and propose modification to the

    expected value notion. In fact, Bernoulli was the first to introduce the concept of systematic

    bias in decision making based on a psychophysical model. Specifically, Bernoulli used a

    coin toss game known as the St. Petersburg paradox to demonstrate the limitations of

    expected value as a normative decision rule. Bernoullis analysis of the dynamics of the St.

    Petersburg paradox led him to appreciate that the subjective value, or utility, that a payoff

    has for an individual is not always directly related to the absolute amount of that payoff, or

    expected value. Rather, the value a person attaches to an outcome can be influenced by

    such factors as the likelihood of winning, or probability, among other things. In this way,

    Bernoulli showed that people would not always bet solely on the basis of the expected

    value of a game.

    Out of his analysis, Bernoulli proposed a utility function to explain peoples

    choice behaviour. Bernoulli assumed that people tried to maximize their utility, and not

    their expected value. Bernoullis function proposed that utility was not merely a linear

    function of wealth, but rather a subjective, concave, evaluation of outcome. The concave

    shape of the function introduced the notion of decreasing marginal utility, whereby changes

    farther away from the starting point have less impact than those which are closer to it. For

    example, Bernoullis utility function argues that $1 is a lot compared with nothing; people

    will therefore be reluctant to part with this dollar. However, $101 is not significantly

    different to most people than $100. Thus, people are more willing to part with their

    hundred- dollar than with their only one.

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    Because Bernoullis concave utility function assumed that increments in utility

    decreased with increasing wealth, the expected utility model implicitly assumed risk

    aversion. Specifically, Bernoulli argued that a person would prefer a sure outcome over a

    gamble with an equal expected value. In other words, people would prefer $100 for sure

    over a gamble that paid $200 or nothing on the toss of a fair coin.

    Bernoullis model was the beginning of utility theory. As such, it combined a

    mixture of descriptive and normative elements. The description seemed sensible, and the

    normative implications merely represented the idea that caution constituted the better part

    of prudence. To the extent that Bernoulli assumed that people are typically risk averse, he

    explained this behaviour in terms of peoples attitudes toward the value of the payoff,

    rather than in terms of the phenomenon of risk-taking behaviour itself. Peoples attitudes

    toward risk were posited as a by-product of their attitude toward value.

    Two centuries later, von Neumann and Morgenstern revolutionized Bernoullis

    expected utility theory by advancing the notion of revealed preferences.In developing an

    axiomatic theory of utility, von Neumann and Morgenstern turned Bernoullis suppositions

    upside down and used preferences to derive utility. In Bernoullis model, utility was used

    to denote preference, because people were assumed to prefer the option that presented the

    highest utility. In the von Neumann and Morgenstern model, utility describes preferences;

    knowing the utility of an option informs an observer of a players preferences. Von

    Neumann and Morgensterns axioms do not determine an individuals preference ordering,

    but they do impose certain constraints on the possible relationships between the

    individuals preferences. In von Neumann and Morgensterns theory, as long as the

    relationship between an individuals preferences satisfies certain axioms such as

    consistency and coherence, it became possible to construct an individual utility function for

    that person; such a function could then be used to demonstrate a persons pursuit of his

    maximum subjective utility.

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    This shift in utility theory toward revealed preferences allowed room now for

    different people to have different preference orderings. In von Neumann and Morgensterns

    model of subjective expected utility, there is no clear distinction between normative and

    descriptive aspects. As mentioned, Bernoulli combined these elements, because risk

    aversion was assumed to offer prudent counsel. In von Neumann and Morgensterns model,

    it was assumed that axiomatic subjective expected utility is not only the way rational

    people should behave, but do behave.

    People seek to maximize their subjective expected utility; one person may not share

    the same utility curve as another, but each follows the same normative axioms in striving

    toward their individually defined maximum subjective expected utility.

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    Background

    Prospect Theory

    Given by Daniel Kahneman And Amos Tversky

    Prospect Theory is a theory that describes decisions between alternatives that

    involve risk where the probabilities are known. The model is descriptive: it tries to model

    real-life choices, rather than optimal decisions.

    The theory was developed by Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky in 1979 as a

    psychologically realistic alternative to expected utility theory. It allows one to describe

    how people make choices in situations where they have to decide between alternatives that

    involve risk (e.g., in financial decisions). Starting from empirical evidence, the theory

    describes how individuals evaluate potential losses and gains.

    Tversky and Kahneman have demonstrated in numerous highly controlled experiments

    that most people systematically violate all of the basic axioms of subjective expected utility

    theory in their actual decision-making behavior at least some of the time.These findings run

    contrary to the normative implications inherent within classical subjective expected utility

    theories. In response to their findings, Tversky and Kahneman provided an alternative,

    empirically supported, theory of choice, one that accurately describes how people actually

    go about making their decisions. This model is called prospect theory. In short, prospect

    theory predicts that individuals tend to be risk averse in a domain of gains, or when things

    are going well, and relatively risk seeking in a domain of losses, as when a leader is in the

    midst of a crisis.

    Tversky and Kahneman applied psychophysical principles to investigate judgment and

    decision making. Just as people are not aware of the processing the brain engages in to

    translate vision into sight, they are not aware of the kinds of computations the brain makesin editing and evaluating choice. People make decisions according to how their brains

    process and understand information and not solely on the basis of the inherent utility that a

    certain option possesses for a decision maker.

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Daniel_Kahnemanhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Amos_Tverskyhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Expected_utility_hypothesishttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Empiricalhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gain_(finance)http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Daniel_Kahnemanhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Amos_Tverskyhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Expected_utility_hypothesishttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Empiricalhttp://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gain_(finance)
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    Disposition Effect

    Given by Shefrin and Statman

    Aversion to loss realization this behavioural pattern can be placed into a widertheoretical framework concerning a general disposition to sell winners too early and hold

    losers to long. They examined the decisions to realize gains and loses in a market setting.

    Specifically with focus on financial markets to determine whether investors exhibit

    reluctance to realize loses.

    Statement of the problem

    Behaviour of investors under risk in profit and loss situation in Pune city

    Theoretical Framework

    Uncertainty Certainty

    Profit Avoid Risk Generally select

    Loss Take Risk Generally avoid

    As seen in the above payoff matrix we can see that the assumption on the basis of the

    theory given by Kahneman and Tversky in profit situation under uncertainty is that people

    avoid risk and go for profit output having certainty.

    Similarly in loss situation in uncertainty people generally take risk and generally avoid loss

    with certainty.

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    PROSPECT THEORY:

    Prospect Theory given by Kahneman and Tversky.

    The prospect theory implies that decision makers tend to risk aversion when choosing

    between gains and risk seeking when choosing between losses.

    i.e. decision makers avoid risk in probable profit situations and seek risk in probable loss

    situation.

    DISPOSITION EFFECT:

    Disposition effect states that The tendency of investors to hold losing investments

    too long and sell winning investments too soon

    This is given Stefrin and Statman. Further this theory is utilized by other people.

    The disposition effect was used by Terrance Odean to prove this effect, he used secondary

    data collection method for performing analysis.

    Linking the prospect theory with Disposition effect

    Prospect theory: Avoid risk in profit situation.

    Disposition effect: sell winning investment to avoid risk of falling prices.

    Prospect theory: Seek risk in loss situation.

    Disposition effect: hold on to losing investment in the hope that prices may rise subject to

    the risk that the prices may fall even more.

    We could analyze this on the response of the sample group i.e. the investors and then we

    could segregate it based on the age ( 3 groups: below 30, 30-50 and above 50)

    Again segregate on the basis of gender and carry out analysis to check if the responses

    vary with marital status.

    Significance of the study

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    Behavioural Economics is a newer branch of Economics and it is gaining importance.

    Behavioural Finance is following in the footsteps of Behavioural Economics. It has

    extreme importance in todays world. The psychology of every person determines his

    decisions in economic and financial transactions. Analysis of behaviour helps in

    understanding the general pattern of the population. This analysis helps in every walk of

    life. Understanding human tendency is of great importance and equally challenging.

    II LITERATURE REVIEW

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    Victor Ricciardi and Helen K. Simon

    Business, Education and Technology Journal

    Fall 2000

    While conventional academic finance emphasizes theories such as modern portfolio theory

    and the efficient market

    Hypothesis, the emerging field of behavioural finance investigates the psychological and

    sociological issues that impact

    The decision-making process of individuals, groups, and organizations. This paper will

    discuss some general principles

    Of behavioural finance including the following: overconfidence, financial cognitive

    dissonance, the theory of

    Regret and prospect theory. In conclusion, the paper will provide strategies to assist

    individuals to resolve these mental

    Mistakes and errors by recommending some important investment strategies for those

    who invest in stocks and

    Behavioural Finance

    Robert Bloomfield

    Cornell University

    The New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics

    October, 2006

    Behavioural finance began as an attempt to understand why financial markets react

    inefficiently to public information. One stream of behavioural finance examines how

    psychological forces induce traders and managers to make suboptimal decisions, and how

    these decisions affect market behaviour. Another stream examines how economic forces

    might keep rational traders from exploiting apparent opportunities for profit. Behavioural

    finance remains controversial, but will become more widely accepted if it can predict

    deviations from traditional financial models without relying on too many ad hoc

    assumptions.

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    Mounting evidence suggests that a variety of trading strategies generate returns that

    are larger than permitted by the reigning theory of efficient financial markets. Defenders of

    efficient markets theory argue that the anomalies represent methodological errors, and in

    many cases they appear to have been correct; in cases where the anomalies appear robust,

    the debates turn to two other questions. First, why would investors make systematic trading

    errors that could result in mispricing? Second, why wouldnt smarter traders exploit those

    errors, thereby driving prices to appropriate levels? Many answers to the first question have

    relied heavily on the branch of psychology called behavioural decision theory, which has

    led to the entire body of research being dubbed behavioural finance, even though there is

    rarely much behavioural content in the literatures identifying pricing anomalies and

    explaining why price errors are not eliminated by smarter traders.

    The next section of this article discusses the empirical evidence that market prices deviate

    from levels that would reflect perfectly rational traders acting in competitive markets (the

    anomalies literature). I then discuss literatures that document how behavioural forces can

    explain these anomalies, and that examine why irrational traders might influence prices in

    competitive markets. I conclude by suggesting some promising future directions in

    behavioural finance.

    The Influence of Investor Psychology on Disposition Effect

    Pi-Chuan Sun, Shu Chun Hsiao

    Associate Professor, Department of Business Management, Tatung

    University,

    Market hypothesis (EMH). Previous studies (e.g., Bernartzi and Thaler, 1995) related to

    behavioral model suggest that certain market anomalies are consistent with the presence of

    irrational trades by investors. Kahn man and Tversky (1979) proposed the prospect theory

    as an alternative to expected utility in describing investor behavior.

    Based on previous works (Lichtenstein, Fischhoff and Phillips, 1982; Shefrin and Statman,

    1985) this research examined the influences of overconfidence, mental accounting, regret

    aversion and self-control on the disposition effect of selling winners too early and holding

    losers too long. The results of empirical data analysis of 290 investors In 1980s, many

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    empirical researches findings (i.e., Shiller(1984), Thaler (1985) et al. ) did not support

    efficient indicate that all four psychological factors have significant influences on the

    disposition effect. The findings show that overconfidence, mental accounting and self-

    control positively influence the disposition effect, and self-control negatively influences the

    disposition effect. As predicted, self control can reduce irrational behavior of investor.

    Market efficiency, long term returns, And behavioural finance

    Eugene F. Fama

    June 1997

    Market efficiency survives the challenge from the literature on long term return anomalies

    consistent with the market efficiency hypothesis that the anomalies are change results

    apparent over reactions to information is about as a common as under reaction and post

    event reversal. Most important consistent with the market efficiency prediction that

    apparent anomalies can be due to methodology most long term returns anomalies tend to

    disappear with reasonable changes in technology.

    Behavioral Finance

    Jay R. Ritter

    Cordell Professor of Finance

    University of Florida

    (September 2003)

    This article provides a brief introduction to behavioral finance. Behavioral finance

    encompasses research that drops the traditional assumptions of expected utility

    maximization with rational investors in efficient markets. The two building blocks of

    behavioral finance are cognitive psychology (how people think) and the limits to arbitrage

    (when markets will be inefficient).

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    The growth of behavioral finance research has been fueled by the inability of the traditional

    framework to explain many empirical patterns, including stock market bubbles in Japan,

    Taiwan, and the U.S.

    Are Investors reluctant to realize their losses?

    Terrance Odean

    Oct 1998

    I test the disposition effect, the tendency of investors to hold losing investment too long

    and sale winning investments too soon, by analyzing trading records for ten thousand

    accounts at larger discount brokerage house. These investors demonstrate a strong

    preference for realizing winners rather than losers. Their behavior doesnt appear to be

    motivated by a desire to rebalance port folios, or to avoid higher trading cost of low price

    stocks nor it is justified by subsequent port folio performance. For tangable investments, it

    is sub optional and leads to lower after tax returns.

    A SURVEY OF BEHAVIORAL FINANCE

    Nicholas Barberis

    Richard Thaler

    NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH

    1050 Massachusetts Avenue

    Cambridge, MA 02138

    September 2002

    Behavioural finance argues that some financial phenomena can plausibly be understood

    using

    models in which some agents are not fully rational. The field has two building blocks:

    limits to

    arbitrage, which argues that it can be difficult for rational traders to undo the dislocations

    caused by less rational traders; and psychology, which catalogues the kinds of deviations

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    from full rationality we might expect to see. We discuss these two topics, and then present

    a number of behavioural finance applications: to the aggregate stock market, to the cross-

    section of average returns, to individual trading behaviour, and to corporate finance. We

    close by assessing progress in the field and speculating about its future course.

    A SURVEY OF B.F. NICHOLAS BARBERIS &RICHARD THALES

    B.F. argues that some financial phenomena can plausibly be understood using models in

    which some agents are not fully rational. The field has two building blocks limits to

    arbitrage, which argues that it can be different for rational , traders and psychological

    which catalogues the kinds of deviations. From full rationality we might expect to see. We

    discuss these two topics and then present a number of behavioural finance applications to

    the aggregate stock market to the cross section of average returns to individual trading

    behaviour and to corporate finance . we close by assessing progress in the field and

    speculating about its further course.

    III RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

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    HYPOTHESES

    Hypothesis 1

    . Ho= The investors do not behave in accordance with the Prospect Theory

    Hypothesis 2

    Ho= The investors do display the disposition effect.

    Hypothesis 3

    Ho= The behavior under risk is independent on gender, age and marital status.

    Objectives:

    1) To analyze whether the investors averse risk in profit situation and take risk in loss

    situation.

    2) To analyze whether the investors sell their wining investments too early and hold on to

    their losing investments too long.

    3) To analyze whether the behavior is dependent on gender or age.

    Type of Research

    The type of research used is Descriptive research since the survey was carried out.

    The main characteristic of this research is that, the researcher has no control over the

    variables, he can only report and analyse the responses. The research is also a quantitative

    research.

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    Research Method

    The type of research method used for the analysis is Field Research, the method

    used is questionnaire and the techniques include analysis of the choices provided by the

    subjects in order to check their consistency with the hypothesis mentioned above.

    Subjects were given the questionnaires with 9 questions. All the questions had their

    options as either 1 or 2. Subjects were told to choose their answers and mark them on the

    questionnaire itself. Questionnaire is the easiest and efficient form of collecting the primary

    data from the subjects that directly reveals their choice. It makes the analysis more

    efficient.

    Sample Size

    Two hundred investors were chosen as samples. Categorized into male and female

    falling into three different age groups.

    Sampling Technique

    Sampling technique used is purposive sampling.

    Analysis

    We use the chi square to analyze if risk taking behavior is dependent or independent of

    gender, age and marital status.

    We have used binomial distribution for the questions based on shares leading to the

    disposition effect.

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    IV RESEARCH DESIGN

    We divided the samples on the basis of gender, their marital status and age.

    Question wise design

    Q1) Two options for winning were given the first was uncertainty of winning higher

    amount and the second was certainty of winning lesser amount

    80% probability of winning Rs.40,000 and 100% certainty of Rs.30,000.

    Q2) Two options were given, these two options were coded in terms of loss but were

    actually winning situations. Uncertainty of winning nothing and certainty of winning a

    certain amount.

    Given Rs.40,000 select either of the options 80% -Rs.40,000 and 100% -Rs.30,000.

    Q3) In this question also in the first option profit probabilities are fragmented with only 1%

    uncertainty and the second option is certainty of winning.

    33% Rs.25,000

    66% Rs.24,000

    1% Rs.0

    100% Rs.24,000

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    Q4) Two winning situations are given with different probabilities. One with higher gain

    and higher risk and second with lesser gain and lower risk.

    1/6 th probability of winning 5000 and 1/2 probability of winning 2500

    Q5) Two losing situations are given with different probabilities. One with higher loss and

    lower risk and second with lesser loss and greater risk.

    1/6 th probability of losing 5000 and 1/2 probability of losing 2500

    Q6) Two probabilities in loss situation given involving human lives

    1/3 rd possibility that 400 people will die and 100 people will die with certainty.

    The following questions are related to the investment in shares, these questions are to be

    answered in terms of yes on no

    Q7) If the shares have been bought and the prices increase by 20% then whether the

    subjects will sell the shares

    Q8) If the shares have been bought and the prices fall by 20% then whether the subjects

    will sell the shares.

    Q9) If the shares further fall by 12.5% then whether the subjects will sell the shares or hold

    onto the shares.

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    ANALYSIS

    Hypothesis 1

    Ho= The investors do not behave in accordance with the Prospect Theory

    Q1) Choose between the two options

    o 80% probability of winning Rs 40,000

    o 100% probability of winning Rs 30,000

    Winning Probability

    Frequency Percent Valid Percent

    Cumulative

    Percent

    Valid 80% probability of 40,000 66 39.3 39.3 39.3

    100% probability of 30,000 102 60.7 60.7 100.0

    Total 168 100.0 100.0

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    As we can see 61% of the subjects would select 100% probability of winning rather than go

    for an option which involves risk.

    Q2) In addition to whatever you own you have been given Rs 40,000

    Choose between the following two options

    o -Rs 40,000, 20%

    o -Rs 10,000, 100%

    Losing probability

    Frequency Percent Valid Percent

    Cumulative

    Percent

    Valid -40,000 80% 104 61.9 61.9 61.9

    -10,000 100% 64 38.1 38.1 100.0

    Total 168 100.0 100.0

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    If the given data is given in terms of loss people have a psychological inclination to take

    risk.62% people take risk even though the options given are in terms of loss but the

    situation is actually profit situation.

    Q3) Choose between the two gamble options

    o 33% chances of winning Rs 25,000

    66 % chances of winning Rs 24,000

    1% chances of winning Rs 0

    o 100% chances of winning Rs 24,000

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    Gamble selection

    Frequency Percent Valid Percent

    Cumulative

    Percent

    Valid 33% 25000,66%24000,1%0 82 48.8 48.8 48.8

    100% 24000 86 51.2 51.2 100.0

    Total 168 100.0 100.0

    In this given case the options given were winning probability with only 1% risk involved of

    not winning anything but even then we cannot see a significant inclination of subjects

    towards risk taking. There are 86 subjects out of 168 who would still go for certainty when

    it comes to a winning situation.. 51.1% still go for certainty

    The following two games of dice show varying degrees of risk involved in the winning and

    losing situations.

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    Q4) There are two games of dice, following possibilities are there in the games when the

    dice is thrown. Which game would you play?

    o 1/6 probability of winning 5000.

    o 1/2 probability of winning 2500.

    Dice winning

    Frequency Percent Valid Percent

    Cumulative

    Percent

    Valid 1/6 5000 51 30.4 30.4 30.4

    1/2 2500 117 69.6 69.6 100.0

    Total 168 100.0 100.0

    In the winning situation people take lesser risk even though the winning amount is that

    of the option with higher risk involvement.

    70% of the people take less risk when it comes to gains

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    Q5) There are two games of dice, which one would you play?

    o 1/6 probability of losing 5000

    o 1/2 probability of losing 2500

    Dice losing

    Frequency Percent Valid Percent

    Cumulative

    Percent

    Valid 1/6 5000 93 55.4 55.4 55.4

    1/2 2500 75 44.6 44.6 100.0

    Total 168 100.0 100.0

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    In the losing situation subjects are not following a distinct pattern towards risk take, the

    risk appetite in this situation differs by a small margin. We can thus conclude that when

    both options involve risk taking the subjects behave in a random manner.

    Thus we can conclude that people tend to avoid risk in gains and take risks in losses.

    This is in accordance with the prospect theory.

    Thus hypothesis1,

    Ho= The investors do not behave in accordance with the Prospect Theory, is not proved

    Hence we can conclude that the investors tend to take risk in loss situation and risk averse

    in profit situation.

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    Hypothesis 2

    Ho= The investors display the disposition effect.

    We have used the binomial distribution to test the responses to the questions on shares

    Q7) If you have bought shares at Rs 100 and if the current rate is Rs 120.

    Will you sell the shares, if there is a 50% probability that the rate will further increase?

    o Yes

    o No

    Shares profit

    Frequency Percent Valid Percent

    Cumulative

    Percent

    Valid yes 93 55.4 55.4 55.4

    no 75 44.6 44.6 100.0

    Total 168 100.0 100.0

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    As we can see from the above chart 55.35% people will sell the share after the value

    appreciates by 20%

    I) For shares involving gains, values for binomial distribution are

    p.m.f =2.35x10 -2

    actual p.m.f=6.15x10^-2

    There is no significant difference between the p.m.f and actual p.m.f

    Q8) If you have bought shares at Rs 100 and if the current rate is Rs 80.

    Will you sell the share, if there is a 50% probability that the rate will fall and 50%

    probability that rate will increase?

    o Yes

    o No

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    Shares loss

    Frequency Percent Valid Percent

    Cumulative

    Percent

    Valid yes 62 36.9 36.9 36.9

    no 106 63.1 63.1 100.0

    Total 168 100.0 100.0

    64 % people will not sell the shares, Subjects are reluctant to realize their losses.

    II) For shares involving loss, values for binomial distribution are

    p.m.f=6.3x10^-2

    actual p.m.f=1.8x10^-4

    There is some significant difference between the p.m.f and actual p.m.f values

    So the subjects have not made random choices. They have more inclination towards not

    realizing the loss

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    Q9) If the shares further falls to 70 and there is a 50% probability that the rate might

    increase and 50% probability that the rate will fall. Will you sell the shares?

    o Yes

    o No

    Share further loss

    Frequency Percent Valid Percent

    Cumulative

    Percent

    Valid yes 95 56.5 56.5 56.5

    no 73 43.5 43.5 100.0

    Total 168 100.0 100.0

    III) For shares whose value falls further falls the values are

    p.m.f=3.64x10^-5

    actual p.m.f=8.1x10^-2

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    There is some significant difference between the p.m.f and actual p.m.f values

    So the subjects have not made random choices. They have more inclination towards not

    realizing the loss even when the prices of shares further falls by 12.5%

    Thus hypothesis2,

    Ho= The investors behave in accordance with the Disposition effect, is proved.

    Thus, we can conclude investors tend to realize their profits too soon and are reluctant to

    realize their losses.

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    Hypothesis 3

    Ho= The behavior under risk is independent of gender, age and marital status

    Gender

    o Female

    o Male

    Gender

    Frequency Percent Valid Percent

    Cumulative

    Percent

    Valid female 63 37.5 37.5 37.5

    male 105 62.5 62.5 100.0

    Total 168 100.0 100.0

    Gender * Dice winning Crosstabulation

    Count

    Dice winning

    Total1/6 5000 1/2 2500

    Gender female 21 42 63

    male 30 75 105

    Total 51 117 168

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    Age

    o Below 30

    o 30 50

    o 50 and above

    Age

    Frequency Percent Valid Percent

    Cumulative

    Percent

    Valid below 30 106 63.1 63.1 63.1

    30-50 41 24.4 24.4 87.5

    Above 50 21 12.5 12.5 100.0

    Total 168 100.0 100.0

    Age * Dice winning Crosstabulation

    Count

    Dice winning

    Total1/6 5000 1/2 2500

    Age below 30 32 74 106

    30-50 11 30 41

    Above 50 8 13 21

    Total 51 117 168

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    Marital Status

    o Single

    o Married

    Marital status

    Frequency Percent Valid Percent

    Cumulative

    Percent

    Valid Single 93 55.4 55.4 55.4

    Married 75 44.6 44.6 100.0

    Total 168 100.0 100.0

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    CHI SQUARE TEST

    Chi square test was carried out for age and risk taking nature in profit situation, the result

    obtained was as follows

    The difference is considered to be not statistically significant.

    Similarly chi square test was carried out for age criteria and marital status the difference in

    these cases also was not statistically significant.

    CORRELATION

    Correlation test was carried out for loss situation to check if there is correlation between

    age, marital status and risk taking in loss situation.

    According to the table above there is slight negative correlation.

    Thus, hypothesis 3

    Ho= The behavior under risk is dependent on gender, age and marital status

    is not proved

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    CONCLUSION

    We thus conclude that,

    The investors averse risk in profit situation and take risk in loss situation.

    The investors hold on to their losing investments too long.

    The behavior is independent of gender, age and marital status .