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BEAM Q2 & Q3 2019 Performance Review · 2015 - 2016 Cohort 2016 - 2017 Cohort 2017 - 2018 Cohort...
Transcript of BEAM Q2 & Q3 2019 Performance Review · 2015 - 2016 Cohort 2016 - 2017 Cohort 2017 - 2018 Cohort...
BEAM |Q2 & Q3 2019 Performance ReviewNovember 7, 2019
8888 University Drive | Burnaby | British Columbia | Canada | www.beedie.sfu.ca/beam
I. Executive Summary Phyllis QuEquity Analyst
II. Fixed Income Update Philip SiejaFixed Income Analyst
III. Equity Update Blake CoombesEquity Portfolio Manager
IV. Improved Process Update Anthony MaljevacEquity Analyst
V. Questions
VI. Appendix
Agenda
1
I. Executive SummaryPhllyis Qu | Equity Analyst
3
AUM has grown ~4.5% annually since Inception
BEAM Has Grown AUM by ~$2mm Since Inception
1st
Cohort
2nd
Cohort1
3rd
Cohort
9th
Cohort2
8th
Cohort
7th
Cohort
6th
Cohort
5th
Cohort
4th
Cohort
Source: Bloomberg, BEAM Performance Reviews.
1. As of September 30, 2012.
2. As of September 30, 2019.
$5.00 $5.03
$5.38
$5.91$5.67
$6.37$6.69
$6.21
$7.03
0.7%
3.7%
5.7%
3.2%
5.0% 5.0%
3.1%
4.5%
-
2.5%
5.0%
7.5%
10.0%
-
$2.00
$4.00
$6.00
$8.00
Jan-2012 Sep-2012 Dec-2013 Dec-2014 Dec-2015 Dec-2016 Dec-2017 Dec-2018 Sep-2019
CA
GR
Sin
ce I
ncep
tio
n (
%)
AU
M (
$m
m)
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
Portfolio Return Benchmark Return
2011 - 2012
Cohort
2013 - 2014
Cohort
2014 - 2015
Cohort
2015 - 2016
Cohort
2016 - 2017
Cohort
2017 - 2018
Cohort
2012 - 2013
Cohort2018 - 2019
Cohort
BEAM has Underperformed Since the End of 2015
Underperformance driven by the equity portfolio
4
Source: Bloomberg, BEAM Performance Reviews. As of September 30, 2019.
1. Total portfolio benchmark is composed of S&P/TSX Total Return Index (60%); FTSE TMX Canada Universe Bond Index (38%); 91-day T-Bill Index (2%).
2. Assumes inception date of July 1, 2012, which marks the date at which the portfolio was fully constructed.
3. Based on senior cohort tenures.
53.36%
43.53%
Performance Since Inception1,2,3
2.1%
36.6%
61.2%
2.0%
38.0%
60.0%
Cash Fixed Income Equities
$0.15mm
5
Continued strategic overweight in equities
Portfolio Positioning
$2.57mm $4.30mm
1. As of September 30, 2019.
Weights
Asset
ClassBenchmark IPS Range
Policy
Range
Equity 60% 50% - 70% 60.0% - 61.5%
Fixed Income 38% 28% - 48% 36.0% - 38.5%
Cash 2% 0 - 10% 1.5% - 2.5%
Portfolio
Benchmark
1
1
1
No Compliance Violations over the Last Twelve Months
IPS Guidelines and ConstraintsCurrent
Compliance
General • Asset Mix within IPS Range ✓
• Limits on equity security holdings ✓
• Micro Cap, prohibited ✓
Equity • 7 Sectors, with 50% allocation relative to benchmark ✓
• At least 25 stocks ✓
• 15 largest stocks, at most 70% of equity value ✓
Fixed Income
• No more than 5% per issuer, excluding federal and provincials
• Allocation limits based on bond ratings
• Duration within ± 1 year of the DEX
✓
✓
✓
6
Portfolio managers continue to monitor guidelines and constraints
II. Fixed Income UpdatePhilip Sieja | Fixed Income Analyst
Overview of Strategy
1. Use Federal bonds as duration tool
2. Gain long end exposure through Federal and Provincial bonds
3. Maintain positive active yield
4. Generate alpha through positive selection performance
5. Generate alpha through active yield carry
✓
✓
8
Underperformance Attributable to Low Credit Exposure
9
Performance Comparison as of September 30, 2019 (%)
3 Mo 1 Yr 2 Yr 3 Yr 4 Yr
BEAM Fixed Income Fund 1.17 9.48 5.59 2.29 3.29
FTSE Canada Universe Bond Index 1.16 9.74 5.65 2.70 3.57
Relative Performance +0.01 -0.26 -0.06 -0.42 -0.28
Reported in Canadian Dollars. Periods less than one year are not annualized.
Overly conservative view on corporate
duration led to under-performance
Fund Attribution & Maturity
10
Attribution to September 30, 2019 (%) Relative Performance
3 Mo 1 Yr
Interest Rate Anticipation
Duration & Yield Curve +0.06 -0.24
Credit & Liquidity
Provincial & Government Agency Bonds -0.04 -0.12
Investment Grade Corporate Bonds -0.01 +0.11
Total +0.01 -0.25
Values in attribution are subject to rounding error. May be slightly different than reported performance.
BEAM Fixed Income Portfolio as of September 30, 2019
Modified Duration (Yrs) Effective Maturity (Yrs) Yield to Maturity (%)
BEAM Fixed Income Portfolio 7.98 10.60 2.11
FTSE Canada Universe Bond Index 8.10 10.86 2.14
Low credit exposure puts pressure on duration decisions; short duration and negative active yield
11
Fund Dollar Weighted Characteristics
23.4
1.8
36.5 37.9
0.4
22.7
11.7
37.8
27.3
0.4 0.00.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
Gov't of Canada Federal Agencies Provincial Corporate Supranational Cash
18.4
34.1 34.6
12.9
35.7
29.626.0
8.7
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
AAA AA A BBB
BEAM Fixed Income Portfolio FTSE Canada Universe Bond Index
High portfolio dollar value in corporates and lower ratings
0.0
Source: Bloomberg, BlackRock.
Contribution to Duration
In duration, corporate bonds under-weighted relative to index
2.74
3.93
0.24
1.07
7.98
2.77 2.86
0.16
2.31
8.10
Federal Provincial Municipal Corporate Total
Total CTD by Asset Class
BEAM Fixed Income Portfolio FTSE Canada Universe Bond Index
Source: Bloomberg, BlackRock. As of September 30, 2019
1. Federal Agency bonds were included within the Federal asset class
Contribution to Duration
Sector Benchmark Portfolio
Short
Term
Medium
Term
Long
Term
Short
Term
Medium
Term
Long
Term
(1-5
Years)
(6-10
Years)
(10+
Years)Total
(1-5
Years)
(6-10
Years)
(10+
Years)Total
Federal 1.56 0.62 0.59 2.77 0.12 0.76 1.87 2.74
Provincial 0.70 0.64 1.51 2.86 0.12 0.24 3.57 3.93
Municipal 0.03 0.05 0.09 0.16 0.00 0.24 0.00 0.24
Corporate 1.12 0.58 0.61 2.31 0.82 0.25 0.01 1.07
Total 3.41 1.89 2.79 8.10 1.06 1.48 5.44 7.98
Contribution to Duration
13
Large portfolio CTD exposure in 10+ years and provincial assets; underweight in corporate exposure
Source: Bloomberg, BlackRock. As of September 30, 2019
1. Federal Agency bonds were included within the Federal asset class
Active Contribution to Duration
Sector Short TermMedium
TermLong Term
(1-5 Years) (6-10 Years) (10+ Years) Total
Federal (1.45) 0.14 1.28 (0.03)
Provincial (0.58) (0.41) 2.05 1.07
Municipal (0.03) 0.20 (0.09) 0.08
Corporate (0.30) (0.33) (0.60) (1.23)
Total (2.35) (0.41) 2.64 (0.12)
Active Contribution to Duration
14
-0.12
-1.23
0.08
1.07
-0.03
Total Active Contribution to Duration
Greater corporate dollar value does not equate to greater corporate risk exposure
Source: Bloomberg, BlackRock. As of September 30, 2019
1. Federal Agency bonds were included within the Federal asset class
Strategy
▪ Minimally extend out corporate duration to
increase active yield
▪ Prepare to increase credit exposure if/when
spreads start to widen out
▪ Increase intensity on credit research to
prepare for if/when spreads widen
▪ Look to add slightly to corporate duration
through longer dated and safe bonds
▪ Continue holding longer duration provincial
bonds as they offer higher roll and carry
compared to federals
Portfolio Initiatives
Moving Forward
15
Strategy to remain with underweight credit exposure going into economic slowdown
III. Equity UpdateBlake Coombes | Equity Portfolio Manager
17
Underperformance in August Driven by Specific Holdings
Q2&3-2019
Portfolio vs. Benchmark Total Return1
(1.05%) 2.55%
5.15%
4.10%
Source: Bloomberg. As of September 30, 2019.
1. Equity benchmark is the S&P/TSX Total Return Index.
(3.0%)
(2.5%)
(2.0%)
(1.5%)
(1.0%)
(0.5%)
-
0.5%
1.0%
Apr-19 May-19 Jun-19 Jul-19 Aug-19 Sep-19
(4.0%)
(2.0%)
-
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
Portfolio Benchmark
Total Relative Return Tracking Error
36.5
16.7
11.0 10.912.1
8.3
4.6
35.8
16.2
10.7 10.711.9
9.8
4.7
Financials Energy Materials Industrials TMT Consumers Utilities
34.4
16.7
11.0 10.9
7.0
4.74.6
3.6 3.52.0
1.6
32.3
16.2
10.7 10.7
5.05.5
4.75.5
4.3 3.6
1.4
18
Organize Research Differently from GICS Classifications
Portfolio Weights (GICS)
Portfolio
Benchmark
Portfolio Weights (BEAM)
Source: Bloomberg. As of September 30, 2019.
1. 0.5% active weight in Energy is from Cameco Corp. which is expected to be sold.
2. Average Consumers weight YTD was neutral.
1 2
BEAM Sector Classifications
Portfolio
Benchmark
Lenders E&P Base
PreciousMidstreamDiv Fin’ls
Comm.
Services
I.T
Health CareReal
Estate
Integrated
Consumer Disc.
Consumer Staples
(74)
(57)
(50)
(37)
(20)
(19)
(12)
(6)
8
79
87
(100) (80) (60) (40) (20) - 20 40 60 80 100
Materials
Industrials
Real Estate
Consumer Discretionary
Communication Services
Consumer Staples
Information Technology
Utilities
Energy
Financials
Health Care
Allocation between sectors is not a material driver of equity performance
Equity Contribution to Return Driven by Selection
19
Q2&3 Active Contribution to Return by Sector (bps)
Source: Bloomberg. As of September 30, 2019.
0.47% 0.45% 0.43% 0.42%0.34%
(0.17%) (0.23%) (0.25%)(0.38%)
(0.60%)
(1.00%)
(0.50%)
0.00%
0.50%
1.00%
(0.61%)
(0.42%)(0.34%) (0.30%) (0.24%)
0.14% 0.20% 0.24% 0.27% 0.28%
(1.00%)
(0.50%)
0.00%
0.50%
1.00%
Un
de
rpe
rfo
rme
dO
utp
erf
orm
ed
Overweight Underweight
Q2&3 Underperformance Driven by Select Holdings
Not holding strong stocks also contributed to underperformance
20
Source: Bloomberg. As of September 30, 2019.
21
Equity portfolio turnover higher in 2018 with re-alignment project
Portfolio Characteristics Align with Philosophy
Portfolio Benchmark
Weighted Avg.
Market Cap ($mm)$51.3bn $51.2bn
Dividend Yield 3.1% 3.1%
P/E (Trailing) 15.3x 17.0x
Earnings Yield 6.5% 5.9%
Return on Equity
(Trailing)12.5% 11.0%
Debt/EBITDA1 3.3x 4.0x
Debt / Equity1 83.5% 104.4%
Source: Bloomberg. As of September 30, 2019.
1. Excludes the Financials sector.
2. Calculated as minimum of buy or sell transaction value divided by the average equity value over the period.
3. Estimate for full 2017 period. Data only available from June 23, 2017 to December 31, 2017.
Portfolio Characteristics Portfolio Turnover2
3
IV. Improved Process UpdateAnthony Maljevac | Equity Analyst
Improving BEAM’s Process
Equity Strategy Update
4. Changing the Investment Recommendation Process
Ordinal ranking models completed for each sector
3. Tangible Reports on Holdings
Reports for 50% of holdings
2. Tangible Reports on Sectors
1. Investment Decisions Aligned with Philosophy
Value ESG
23
Quality
Developing sector and sub-sector research reports
Targeting 80% of holdings by December
Portfolio significantly below benchmark in P/E and EV/EBITDA
Portfolio Holdings Focused on Value
24
10.00x
10.50x
11.00x
11.50x
12.00x
12.50x
13.00x
13.00x 13.50x 14.00x 14.50x 15.00x 15.50x 16.00x 16.50x 17.00x 17.50x 18.00x
EV
/ E
BIT
DA
(E
xc
l. F
ina
nc
ials
)
P/E
Cheapest Stocks
Expensive Stocks
Most Expensive
Mo
st
Ex
pe
ns
ive
Benchmark
20191
Benchmark
2018
Portfolio
2018
Portfolio
20191
Source: Bloomberg. As of September 30, 2019.
Fund selections aligned with value-creation metrics, including ROIC / WACC and ROE / Ke
Benchmark and Portfolio Quality Metrics Improved
25
8.50%
9.00%
9.50%
10.00%
10.50%
11.00%
11.50%
12.00%
12.50%
13.00%
13.50%
8.40% 8.50% 8.60% 8.70% 8.80% 8.90% 9.00% 9.10%
Retu
rn o
n E
qu
ity
Cost of Equity
Benchmark
2018
Portfolio 2019*
Portfolio
2018
Portfolio
2018
Higher Risk
Hig
he
r Q
uali
ty
Benchmark
20191
Portfolio
20191
Source: Bloomberg. As of September 30, 2019.
26
Holdings contribute 110 tonnes less carbon emissions relative to our benchmark
Carbon Emissions Relative to Our Benchmark
28.60
11.50
2.69
1.97
1.12
0.39
0.03
(0.59)
(1.86)
(60.11)
(93.62)
(110.00) (90.00) (70.00) (50.00) (30.00) (10.00) 10.00 30.00 50.00
Energy
Industrials
Consumer Discretionary
Consumer Staples
Information Technology
Financials
Communication Services
Real Estate
Health Care
Utilities
Materials
Carbon Emissions (Tonnes) / Sales (C$MM)
Source: Bloomberg. As of September 30, 2019.
1. Carbon Intensity with portfolio weight less carbon Intensity with benchmark weight.
1
6.4%
12.7%
Portfolio Benchmark
▪ As part of BEAM’s ESG strategy, the equality of voting rights is weighed during investment decisions
▪ CGI and Canadian Utilities (CU) strongly align with the Value and Quality philosophies and have other
strong ESG characteristics:
• CU has recently sold its coal and natural gas generation portfolio, lessening its environmental impact
• CGI’s tech investments support their local communities:
➢ Launch of Handitech
➢ Police National Database (United-Kingdom)
27
Dual Class Weighting is Lower Relative to Benchmark
Company % Weighting1
CGI 3.6%
Canadian Utilities 2.3%
Cameco 0.5%2
Source: Bloomberg.
1. Portfolio weightings as of October 11th, 2019.
2. Cameco Corporation is currently being assessed and is expected to be sold.
3. Equity benchmark is the S&P/TSX Total Return Index.
Source: Bloomberg. As of September 30, 2019.
1. Cannabis compositive is defined as the cannabis companies listed on the TSX Composite.
Prior Strategy
28
Underweight in cannabis contributed positively to recent returns… opportunity?
BEAM’s Stance on Cannabis Companies
Strategy Going Forward
▪ Misalignment with portfolio philosophy:
• Negative cash flow
• Multiples indicate overvaluation
• Business and regulatory uncertainty
• Shareholders continually diluted through issuances
• Relatively small Canadian Market
▪ Continue to monitor cannabis companies as potential
holdings should valuations normalize and quality metrics
improve:
• Cannabis companies are beginning to post positive
cash flow (Aphria)
• There has been significant valuation correction
• Regulatory conditions stabilizing
• Less shareholder dilution through equity raising
• International markets continue to open
0.28% 0.27%
0.09%0.05% 0.04% 0.04%
0.00%
0.10%
0.20%
0.30%
0.40%
0.50%
Contribution to ReturnCannabis Performance (Factor 100)1
60
70
80
90
100
110
Oct-2018 Dec-2018 Apr-2019 Jul-2019 Sep-2019
Cannabis Composite TSX Composite
103.44
66.34
29
Portfolio philosophy alignment
Wheaton Precious Metals Case Study
• No direct exposure to typical
mining ESG risks
• Direct carbon impact is net
neutral through carbon
recapture program
• Robust ESG investment
principles when acquiring new
streams
• Collaborate with streaming
companies on social endeavors
in mining communities
• Room for multiple expansion
when compared with other large
royalty and streaming
businesses
• 1.64x NAV (FNV 2.64x, RGLD
2.40x)
• Paying a slight premium over
producers for better quality
• Exposure to precious metals;
exploration upside; limited,
predictable cost exposure
• Avg. gold equivalent cash cost of
$409 in 2018 (producer avg:
$659)
• 30% of the average of the
previous four quarters’ CFO
distributed to shareholders,
providing exposure to rising
commodity prices
• Diversified portfolio of low-cost,
long-life assets in favourable
jurisdictions
Value Alignment ESG AlignmentQuality Alignment
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Tota
l Ret
urn
(%
)
WPM Gold Silver GICS S&P/TSX Materials Index
Source: S&P Capital IQ, Company Filings. As of September 30, 2019.
1. Identify industry metrics
across value, quality, and
ESG and pull data from
Bloomberg and CapIQ
into model
2. Weighted factor-based z-
score determines
quantitative ranking of
stocks within sector
3. Monitor changes in the
model
4. Qualitative research is
combined with the
quantitative model to
arrive at blended ranking
5. Results of qualitative
analysis and quantitative
model used to complete
research reports on
prospective holdings
30
Quantitative ranking is combined with qualitative research
Wheaton Precious Metals Analysis Process
Quality Scores 25% 25% 25% 25%
Royalty & Streaming
Dividend
Yield
ROIC WACC
Spread
T12M
EBITDA
Margin BPMPI
Dividend
Score
ROIC WACC
Score
Op Margin
Score
BPMPI
Score
Quality
Score Rank
Franco-Nevada 0.81% -2.67% 79.32% 79.74 0.20 0.62 1.02 0.66 0.63 1
Maverix Metals 0.00% -2.33% 69.38% 79.01 -1.12 0.74 0.53 0.56 0.18 2
Osisko Gold Royalties 1.59% -9.70% 20.88% 83.75 1.47 -1.86 -1.90 1.17 -0.28 4
Sandstorm Gold Royalties 0.00% -2.27% 63.73% 64.78 -1.12 0.76 0.25 -1.27 -0.34 5
Wheaton Precious Metals 1.03% -5.14% 60.82% 65.84 0.56 -0.25 0.10 -1.13 -0.18 3
Value Scores 30% 30% 15% 25%
Royalty & Streaming P/NAV
P/E
2019E
P/CF
T12M
P/CF
2019E
P/NAV
Score
P/E
2019E
Score
P/CF
T12M
Score
P/CF
2019E
Score
Value
Score Rank
Franco-Nevada 2.20x 58.27x 35.83x 29.64x -1.69 0.39 -1.86 -1.88 -1.14 5
Maverix Metals 1.44x 65.63x 20.64x 21.00x 0.12 -0.09 0.97 0.40 0.26 2
Osisko Gold Royalties 0.96x 57.26x 22.88x 19.66x 1.29 0.46 0.55 0.76 0.80 1
Sandstorm Gold Royalties 1.25x 92.76x 23.16x 19.35x 0.59 -1.85 0.50 0.84 -0.09 4
Wheaton Precious Metals 1.62x 47.42x 26.75x 22.96x -0.31 1.10 -0.17 -0.12 0.18 3
ESG Scores 20% 20% 20% 40%
Royalty & Streaming
Exec Comp/
Market Cap
Women on
Board
Carbon
Intensity PPI
Exec Comp
Score
Women on
Board
Score
Carbon
Intensity
Score
Policy
Perception
Score
ESG
Score Rank
Franco-Nevada 0.05% 12.50% 2.63 78.84 1.19 -0.36 -1.70 0.00 -0.18 3
Maverix Metals 0.31% 0.00% 83.81 -0.30 -1.66 0.51 -0.19 4
Osisko Gold Royalties 0.39% 16.67% 0.02 94.43 -0.76 0.07 0.71 1.59 0.64 1
Sandstorm Gold Royalties 0.48% 28.57% 0.01 67.83 -1.27 1.30 0.72 -1.13 -0.30 5
Wheaton Precious Metals 0.06% 22.22% 0.49 69.40 1.14 0.65 0.27 -0.97 0.02 2
Process
V. Questions
VI. Appendix
I. Executive Summary
(2.0%)
(1.5%)
(1.0%)
(0.5%)
-
0.5%
Apr-19 May-19 Jun-19 Jul-19 Aug-19 Sep-19
34
Balanced Portfolio Performance
Q2&3-19
Portfolio vs. Benchmark Total Return1
(0.85%) 2.02%
4.29%
3.44%
Second and third quarter performance
Source: Bloomberg. As of September 30, 2019.
1. Balanced benchmark is 60% S&P/TSX Total Return Index, 38% FTSE TMX Canada Universe Bond Index, and the 2% 91-day T-Bill Index.
-
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
Portfolio Benchmark
Total Relative Return Tracking Error
Exclusionary screening
Summary of UN Principles
Principle 2: no human rights abusesPrinciple 4: elimination of forced and compulsory laborPrinciple 5: abolition of child laborPrinciple 10: no corruption or bribery
• Companies producing cluster munitions or nuclear weapons areexcluded.
• Companies earning greater than 5% of revenues from the manufacture, distribution, or sale of tobacco are excluded.
Serious violations of widely accepted international norms of responsible corporate behavior
35
Source: United Nations.
II. Fixed Income
Underperformed by 122bps over last 4 years
Four Year Performance
Since Q4
2015
Portfolio vs. Benchmark Total Return1
(1.22%) 2.26% (0.54)
15.26%
14.04%
37
-7.5%
0.0%
7.5%
15.0%
22.5%
Portfolio Benchmark
-1.6%
-1.2%
-0.8%
-0.4%
0.0%
0.4%
Sep-15 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16 Dec-16 Mar-17 Jun-17 Sep-17 Dec-17 Mar-18 Jun-18 Sep-18 Dec-18 Mar-19 Jun-19 Sep-19
Total Relative Return Tracking Error Information Ratio
Source: Bloomberg. As of September 30, 2019.
1. Fixed income benchmark is the FTSE TMX Canada Universe Bond Index.
Underperformed by 5bps YTD
YTD Performance
Year to Date
Portfolio vs. Benchmark Total Return1
Total Relative Return Tracking Error
(0.05%) 0.19%
38
7.89%
7.84%
-1.0%
1.0%
3.0%
5.0%
7.0%
9.0%
Portfolio Benchmark
-0.2%
-0.1%
0.0%
0.1%
Dec-18 Feb-19 Apr-19 Jun-19 Aug-19
Source: Bloomberg. As of September 30, 2019.
1. Fixed income benchmark is the FTSE TMX Canada Universe Bond Index.
Underperformed by 2 bps through Q2 and Q3
Q2 & Q3 Performance
Q2&3-2019
Portfolio vs. Benchmark Total Return1
(0.02%) 0.08%
4.24%
4.22%
39
-2.0%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
Portfolio Benchmark
-0.2%
-0.1%
0.0%
0.1%
0.2%
Apr-19 May-19 Jun-19 Jul-19 Aug-19 Sep-19
Source: Bloomberg. As of September 30, 2019.
1. Fixed income benchmark is the FTSE TMX Canada Universe Bond Index.
Total Relative Return Tracking Error
-0.96%
0.13%
-1.09%
(1.50%) (1.00%) (0.50%) 0.00% 0.50% 1.00%
0.03%
0.38%
-0.35%
Total Excess
Allocation
Selection
(0.08%)
(0.08%)
(0.30%) (0.20%) (0.10%) 0.00% 0.10% 0.20% 0.30%
Total Curve Return
Curve Carry
Curve Change
(0.28%)
0.70%
-0.98%
Performance Attribution
Source: Bloomberg. As of September 30, 2019
YTD Return Statistics 4Y Return Statistics
Selection has been
contributor to
underperformance
Strong
outperformance
however incongruent
with strategy
Excess performance
relies on selection
outperformance
Poor duration
management results
in negative curve
change performance
Negligible curve
carry attributable to
initiatives to raise
active yield over last
year
Negative curve
return attributable to
curve change
40
Underperformance attributable to poor selection and duration management
Larger lower rated and short end exposure caused by high short end Corporate exposure
Credit Ratings and Maturities
41
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
AAA AA A BBB AAA AA A BBB AAA AA A BBB
<10 Years 10-20 Years >30 Years
Credit Ratings by Maturity
Portfolio Benchmark
III. Equity Update
43
Since Dec. 31, 2015
Equity Portfolio
Since EOP
2015
Portfolio vs. Benchmark Total Return1
Total Relative Return Tracking Error Information Ratio
(10.51%) 2.50% (1.17)
(10.0%)
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
Portfolio Benchmark
(14.0%)
(12.0%)
(10.0%)
(8.0%)
(6.0%)
(4.0%)
(2.0%)
0.0%
2.0%
Dec-15 Apr-16 Aug-16 Dec-16 Apr-17 Aug-17 Dec-17 Apr-18 Aug-18 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19
43.30%
32.79%
Source: Bloomberg. As of September 30, 2019.
1. Equity benchmark is the S&P/TSX Total Return Index.
44
Year to Date 2019
Equity Portfolio
YTD 2019
Portfolio vs. Benchmark Total Return1
(1.17%) 2.58%
19.11%
17.94%
(3.0%)
2.0%
7.0%
12.0%
17.0%
22.0%
Portfolio Benchmark
(3.5%)
(3.0%)
(2.5%)
(2.0%)
(1.5%)
(1.0%)
(0.5%)
-
0.5%
1.0%
Jan-19 Mar-19 May-19 Jul-19 Sep-19
Source: Bloomberg. As of September 30, 2019.
1. Equity benchmark is the S&P/TSX Total Return Index.
Total Relative Return Tracking Error
(84)
(68)
(46)
(41)
(30)
(29)
(5)
3
5
54
131
(100) (50) - 50 100 150
Industrials
Real Estate
Information Technology
Consumer Discretionary
Utilities
Communication Services
Consumer Staples
Materials
Energy
Health Care
Financials
Allocation between sectors is not a large component of the equity strategy
Equity Contribution to Return Driven by Selection
45
YTD Active Contribution to Return by Sector (bps)
Source: Bloomberg. As of September 30, 2019.
46
Equity Portfolio YTD Summary
Source: Bloomberg. As of September 30, 2019.
Sector Port Bench Relative Port Bench RelativeStock
Selection
Sector
Allocation
Total
Relative
Contribution
Communication Services 3.7 5.7 (2.0) 10.1 12.1 (2.0) (9) 8 (1)
Consumer Discretionary 2.9 4.2 (1.3) 15.5 18.8 (3.4) (16) 2 (14)
Consumer Staples 5.3 4.0 1.3 13.7 19.9 (6.2) (39) 6 (34)
Energy 17.8 17.5 0.4 11.6 11.9 (0.3) 1 (4) (3)
Financials 33.8 32.1 1.7 23.2 20.0 3.2 106 4 110
Health Care 1.6 1.9 (0.4) 23.9 (10.6) 34.5 58 7 65
Industrials 11.1 11.1 0.0 10.7 19.5 (8.8) (100) - (101)
Information Technology 6.9 4.8 2.2 24.1 50.6 (26.4) (154) 69 (84)
Materials 11.0 11.0 0.0 16.4 16.1 0.3 5 (3) 3
Real Estate 2.1 3.4 (1.3) 6.7 26.3 (19.5) (42) (10) (52)
Utilities 3.7 4.3 (0.6) 34.3 35.1 (0.8) (6) (3) (6)
Equity Portfolio 100.0 100.0 - 17.7 18.8 (1.1) (196) 82 (111)
Average Weight
(%)
Total Return
(%)
Contribution to
Relative Returns (bps)
47
Our selection has contributed to 22 tonnes of CO2e less than our benchmark
Carbon Emissions Due to Our Selection
30.09
8.15
2.79
2.09
0.79
0.16
0.01
(0.14)
(0.40)
(0.86)
(64.55)
(75.00) (55.00) (35.00) (15.00) 5.00 25.00
Energy
Materials
Industrials
Consumer Discretionary
Consumer Staples
Information Technology
Real Estate
Communication Services
Financials
Health Care
Utilities
Carbon Emissions (Tonnes) / Sales (C$MM)
Source: Bloomberg. As of September 30, 2019.
1. Carbon intensity with portfolio weight less carbon intensity with benchmark weight.
1
48
Our allocation has contributed to 88 tonnes of CO2e less than our benchmark
Carbon Emissions Due to Our Allocation
8.81
6.88
4.38
3.70
(0.67)
(1.78)
(1.93)
(5.54)
(9.28)
(21.06)
(71.54)
(85.00) (65.00) (45.00) (25.00) (5.00) 15.00 35.00
Materials
Real Estate
Health Care
Utilities
Energy
Consumer Discretionary
Communication Services
Industrials
Consumer Staples
Information Technology
Financials
Carbon Emissions (Tonnes) / Sales (C$MM)
Source: Bloomberg. As of September 30, 2019.
1. Carbon intensity with portfolio weight less carbon Intensity with benchmark weight.
1
19.5
11.611.0
9.4 9.18.1
7.16.3
5.7
2.8
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
Can
adia
n N
atu
ral R
esourc
es L
td
Sun
cor
Energ
y In
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TC
En
erg
y C
orp
Wh
itecap
Reso
urc
es
Inc
Enb
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Cre
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oin
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y C
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Bayte
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Cen
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Encan
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orp
AR
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td
Carbon Emissions (Tonnes) / Sales (C$MM)
49
We hold the top 3 emitters from the most carbon intensive sector
Top 10 Carbon Contributors in the Energy Sector
Source: Bloomberg. As of September 30, 2019.
1. Carbon intensity with portfolio weight less carbon Intensity with benchmark weight.
1
50
Energy, Industrials, Materials and Utilities holdings
Highest Carbon Contributors to Our Fund
54.7
50.0
31.4
26.2
18.1 17.316.1
9.3 8.9
5.2
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
TRP CNQ SU CNR CU NTR AQN WPM FNV ITP
Carbon Emissions (Tonnes) / Sales (C$MM)
Source: Bloomberg. As of September 30, 2019.
1. Using portfolio weights.
1
IV. Holdings and Transactions
Equity Holdings
V. Appendix
52
Source: CIBC Mellon. As of September 30, 2019.
Company Name # of Shares Price Market Value % of Total
ALGONQUIN POWER & UTIL CORP 5,577 $17.63 $98,322.51 1.4%
BANK OF NOVA SCOTIA 3,118 $75.55 $235,564.90 3.4%
BROOKFIELD ASSET MGMT INC 3,000 $71.92 $215,760.00 3.1%
CAMECO CORP 1,850 $11.92 $22,052.00 0.3%
CANADIAN NATIONAL RAILWAY CO 2,206 $117.45 $259,094.70 3.8%
CANADIAN NATURAL RESOURCES LTD 4,406 $34.17 $150,553.02 2.2%
CANADIAN UTILITIES LTD 2,450 $37.94 $92,953.00 1.4%
CGI INC 1,450 $101.32 $146,914.00 2.1%
ENERFLEX LTD 4,200 $10.67 $44,814.00 0.7%
FINNING INTERNATIONAL INC 4,212 $22.32 $94,011.84 1.4%
FIRST QUANTUM MINERALS LTD 5,539 $11.64 $64,473.96 0.9%
FRANCO-NEVADA CORP 822 $124.18 $102,075.96 1.5%
GILDAN ACTIVEWEAR INC 3,235 $33.90 $109,666.50 1.6%
INTACT FINANCIAL CORP 972 $133.06 $129,334.32 1.9%
INTERTAPE POLYMER GROUP INC 3,600 $16.95 $61,020.00 0.9%
MANULIFE FINANCIAL CORP 8,633 $24.70 $213,235.10 3.1%
Equity Holdings (Cont’d)
V. Appendix
53
Company Name # of Shares Price Market Value % of Total
NATIONAL BANK OF CANADA 1,900 $67.81 $128,839.00 1.9%
NUTRIEN LTD 1,947 $64.93 $126,418.71 1.8%
OPEN TEXT CORPORATION 2,750 $52.64 $144,760.00 2.1%
PREMIUM BRANDS HOLDINGS CORP 826 $87.98 $72,671.48 1.1%
ROYAL BANK OF CANADA 2,184 $106.04 $231,591.36 3.4%
SAPUTO INC 3,083 $37.83 $116,629.89 1.7%
SIENNA SENIOR LIVING INC 3,552 $18.99 $67,452.48 1.0%
STANTEC INC 3,700 $28.02 $103,674.00 1.5%
SUNCOR ENERGY INC 5,137 $39.63 $203,579.31 3.0%
TC ENERGY CORP 3,456 $66.11 $228,476.16 3.3%
TELUS CORP 3,274 $46.27 $151,487.98 2.2%
TORONTO DOMINION BANK 4,362 $75.22 $328,109.64 4.8%
TRICON CAPITAL GROUP INC 8,493 $10.48 $89,006.64 1.3%
VERMILION ENERGY INC 1,729 $20.09 $34,735.61 0.5%
WHEATON PRECIOUS METALS CORP 3,550 $35.42 $125,741.00 1.8%
Source: CIBC Mellon. As of September 30, 2019.
Equity Transactions
V. Appendix
54
Date Name Buy/Sell # of Shares Fill Price Amount
09/12/2019 ALGONQUIN POWER & UTIL CORP BUY 800 $18.00 -$14,398.00
09/12/2019 BANK OF NOVA SCOTIA BUY 827 $74.60 -$61,691.34
05/01/2019 CANADIAN UTILITIES LTD BUY 250 $37.33 -$9,331.50
05/01/2019 ENERFLEX LTD BUY 4,200 $18.13 -$76,129.00
06/13/2019 GILDAN ACTIVEWEAR INC BUY 350 $50.70 -$17,744.00
09/25/2019 GILDAN ACTIVEWEAR INC BUY 500 $46.31 -$23,152.50
09/12/2019 MANULIFE FINANCIAL CORP BUY 500 $24.32 -$12,160.00
06/13/2019 NUTRIEN LTD BUY 250 $71.25 -$17,812.50
05/23/2019 OPEN TEXT CORPORATION BUY 700 $54.30 -$38,011.50
06/13/2019 OPEN TEXT CORPORATION BUY 150 $56.25 -$8,437.50
06/13/2019 STANTEC INC BUY 1,000 $31.98 -$31,982.00
05/23/2019 TELUS CORP BUY 350 $51.00 -$17,849.50
06/13/2019 TORONTO DOMINION BANK BUY 140 $76.31 -$10,683.60
Source: CIBC Mellon. As of September 30, 2019.
Equity Transactions (Cont’d)
V. Appendix
55
Date Name Buy/Sell Shares/Par Fill Price Amount
09/25/2019 WHEATON PRECIOUS METALS CORP BUY 550 $36.65 -$20,159.00
05-01-2019 CANADIAN NATURAL RESOURCES LTD SELL -350 $38.85 $13,598.00
05-23-2019 CGI INC SELL -350 $97.97 $34,290.00
09-12-2019 CGI INC SELL -200 $102.94 $20,588.00
04-12-2019 FRANCO-NEVADA CORP SELL -100 $97.87 $9,787.00
05-23-2019 FRANCO-NEVADA CORP SELL -200 $99.57 $19,914.00
09-12-2019 INTACT FINANCIAL CORP SELL -180 $129.34 $23,280.60
05-01-2019 ISHARES S&P/TSX CAPPED SELL -250 $38.28 $9,571.00
09-12-2019 ISHARES S&P/TSX CAPPED SELL -1,608 $38.71 $62,240.40
09-25-2019 PREMIUM BRANDS HOLDINGS CORP SELL -250 $93.00 $23,250.00
05-01-2019 TRANSCANADA CORP SELL -150 $62.70 $9,405.00
05-01-2019 WHITECAP RESOURCES INC SELL -13,950 $5.26 $73,431.00
Source: CIBC Mellon. As of September 30, 2019.
Fixed Income Holdings
V. Appendix
56
Issuer Maturity # of SharesCoupon
Rate
Market
Value% of Total
407 INTERNATIONAL INC 5/26/2021 100,000 4.3% $102,808.02 1.5%
ALIMENTATION COUCHE-TARD INC 8/21/2020 54,000 4.2% $54,812.48 0.8%
BMO MID CORPORATE BD INDEX ETF 1,618 $26,583.74 0.4%
CONSUMERS GAS CO LTD 7/5/2023 46,000 6.1% $51,755.45 0.8%
ENBRIDGE PIPELINES INC 4/6/2020 67,000 4.5% $67,645.62 1.0%
FARM CREDIT CORPORATION 10/5/2020 45,000 4.3% $46,016.20 0.7%
GOVERNMENT OF CANADA 6/1/2024 56,000 2.5% $58,164.44 0.8%
HYDRO ONE INC 1/13/2022 72,000 3.2% $73,494.17 1.1%
IGM FINANCIAL INC 1/26/2027 76,000 3.4% $78,152.58 1.1%
LAURENTIAN BANK OF CANADA 9/12/2022 50,000 3.0% $50,354.91 0.7%
MUNICIPAL FINANCE AUTH OF BC 12/1/2027 74,000 5.0% $88,375.30 1.3%
NATIONAL BANK OF CANADA 6/30/2022 80,000 2.0% $79,350.64 1.2%
PEMBINA PIPELINE CORP 6/1/2023 75,000 2.6% $74,714.43 1.1%
Source: CIBC Mellon. As of September 30, 2019.
Fixed Income Holdings (Cont’d)
V. Appendix
57
Issuer Maturity # of SharesCoupon
Rate
Market
Value% of Total
PROV OF ALBERTA 12/1/2040 42,000 4.5% $54,085.72 0.8%
PROV OF BRITISH COLUMBIA 12/18/2020 44,000 3.7% $44,941.36 0.7%
PROV OF MANITOBA 3/5/2038 81,000 4.6% $103,388.87 1.5%
PROV OF ONTARIO 6/2/2041 20,000 4.7% $26,845.36 0.4%
PROV OF SASKATCHEWAN 9/5/2033 58,000 5.8% $80,122.00 1.2%
ROYAL BANK OF CANADA 12/5/2023 110,000 2.3% $110,038.18 1.6%
SNC LAVALIN GROUP INC 11/24/2020 60,000 2.7% $59,737.18 0.9%
TERANET HOLDINGS LP 12/16/2020 50,000 4.8% $51,193.69 0.7%
TORONTO DOMINION BANK 7/24/2024 91,000 3.2% $94,646.46 1.4%
YORK ONTARIO REGL MUNICIPALITY 12/15/2025 107,000 2.6% $109,118.93 1.6%
Source: CIBC Mellon. As of September 30, 2019.
Fixed Income Transactions
V. Appendix
58
Date Name Buy/Sell Shares/Par Fill Price Amount
04/12/2019 GOVERNMENT OF CANADA BUY 70,000 $105.12 -$73,582.81
05/17/2019 GOVERNMENT OF CANADA BUY 30,000 $119.65 -$35,894.94
05/17/2019 GOVERNMENT OF CANADA BUY 50,000 $147.98 -$73,989.40
09/09/2019 PEMBINA PIPELINE CORP BUY 75,000 $99.99 -$74,993.25
06/05/2019 PROV OF ALBERTA BUY 42,000 $131.31 -$55,148.98
06/05/2019 PROV OF ONTARIO BUY 20,000 $135.48 -$27,096.42
07/25/2019 SNC LAVALIN GROUP INC BUY 60,000 $99.98 -$59,988.00
04/12/2019 BMO MID CORPORATE BD INDEX ETF SELL -2,482 $16.17 $40,144.86
05/17/2019 BMO MID CORPORATE BD INDEX ETF SELL -5,000 $16.38 $81,900.00
06/05/2019 GOVERNMENT OF CANADA SELL -24,000 $98.09 $23,542.58
09/12/2019 GOVERNMENT OF CANADA SELL -25,000 $104.62 $26,155.00
05/17/2019 PEMBINA PIPELINE CORP SELL -53,000 $100.61 $53,323.09
06/05/2019 PROV OF ALBERTA SELL -50,000 $105.66 $52,829.15
07/25/2019 PROV OF BRITISH COLUMBIA SELL -30,000 $102.75 $30,824.10
09/12/2019 PROV OF PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND SELL -89,000 $101.75 $90,557.50
Source: CIBC Mellon. As of September 30, 2019.