BC Analysis
Click here to load reader
-
Upload
shashank-kapoor -
Category
Documents
-
view
214 -
download
1
description
Transcript of BC Analysis
BENEFIT/COST ANALYSIS
Dr.K.AnanthanarayananAssociate professor
Department of Civil Engineering Indian Institute of Technology, Madras
BENEFIT COST ANALYSISCommonly Used method for evaluating the worth of a
proposed projectMethod consists of comparing annual worth of the
benefits of a proposed project, to the annual worth of costs
Present worth or final worth may be used, but annual worth is most commonly used
Example: Proposed estimated benefits = Rs 2,00,000/Yr Cost = Rs 1,00,000/Yr Benefit/cost = 2.0 A common use of the B/C ratio method is to rank various
public works proposals on the basis of their B/C ratio and select the one or ones with the highest B/C ratio
B/C ANALYSIS
The proper ranking of projects requires further examination, and merely ranking in order of numerical B/C ratios may lead to erroneous conclusions
B/C RATIOSCalculate all benefits and costs on an annual basisInitial costs converted to equivalent annual cost by
application of (A/P,i,n) factorSimilarly salvage value, gradient cost and income
converted to annual costs
SIGN CONVENTION
Conventional method – negative B/C ratio To make positive treat all increases in
benefits (such as reduction in user costs) as positive when in numerator , and all increases in costs as positive when in denominator
BENEFIT COST ANALYSIS
COST Rs
BEN
EFIT
S R
s
B/C = 1.0
B/C > 1.0
B/C <1.0
Rejected region
Accepted region
O Proj Z
O Proj x
O Proj y
USER BENEFITS When public facilities are constructed, the user enjoys
some savings in costs (such as travel costs) when the new facility in compared to the old one
Savings may be due to
Less time required to travel certain distance Lower fuel consumption Less wear
Fewer accidents, etc. Net user benefits Up=Total annual cost to the user for the present facility Uf =Total annual cost to the same number of users for the future
facility
Un = Up - Uf
OWNER’S COSTS Two categories
OWNER’S COST
MAINTENANCE COSTSCAPITAL COSTS
Capital costs - construction, acquisition or other capital costs
If replacement - how to handle the present value of the existing facility?
The present value is the cash salvage value that would be received now if the facility were sold or demolished
If the existing facility is maintained in place, this cash value is left invested in the existing facility
CAPITAL COSTS
The cost of the proposed facility is not reduced by the worth of the existing facility since the value of the existing facility is an owner’s asset
Cf = equivalent capital cost of proposed facility, usually expressed on an annualized basis.
Cp = Equivalent capital cost of the existing facility (present salvage value), usually expressed on an annualized basis
Cu = Net capital cost of replacing the present facility
with the future Facility
Cu = Cf - Cp
CAPITAL COSTS
MAINTENANCE COSTS Mf = Equivalent operating and maintenance
costs of the future facility Mp = Equivalent operating and maintenance
cost of the existing facility
Mn = Net operating and maintenance cost of the proposed facility over the present facility. Either positive or negative
Mn = Mf - Mp
SEVERAL METHODS FOR CALCULATING B/C RATIO
Major problem - deciding which items to include in costs and which items to include in benefits
Several variations of methods exist. Two common approaches 1.Conventional B/C method 2. Modified B/C method Both methods involve a comparison of a proposed
facility with an existing facility. If there is no existing facility, use the present cost of
reaching the same objective
CONVENTIONAL B/C METHOD
Benefits are determined for users Bn=Un = Net annual benefits (saving costs) through safety improvements, decreased gasoline consumption decreased tire wear, etc.
Up = User cost of present facility
Uf = User cost of the proposed facility Cn + Mn = costs consist of the annual equivalent costs to the owner of the facility, including capital cost and maintenance
Un = Up- Uf
CONVENTIONAL B/C
Net savings to users
Conventional B/C = Owner’s net Owner’s net capital cost O&M costs
Conventional B/C = ( Un / (Cn + Mn)) = ( Bn / (Cn + Mn))Sign notation: In the denominator any increase in
costs results in a net positive cost
MODIFIED B/C Method This method uses the same input data but net
operating and maintenance costs (Mn) are treated as negative benefits (or disbenefits) rather than as costs. Thus, they are placed in the numerator
Modified B/C = (( Un- Mn)/ Cn ) = (( Bn- Mn)/ Cn ) The modified B/C methods usually yields
more consistent results.
WHAT TO COMPARE
Benefit/ cost studies by their very nature involve a comparison of two or more alternatives.
One of these alternatives should be an existing facility or method or erroneous results may occur.
For example, it is possible to compare an expensive new bridge across a bay with a more expensive new tunnel. The result would be a recommendation for construction of the bridge, simply because the existing route involving a short trip around the end of the bay was not considered
Sometimes there is no existing facility Example: 1.Environmental regulation - sewerage treatment plant 2. New facility required due to increased population growth. User benefits in the B/C ratio are ordinarily supposed represent
the reduction in the user’s cost resulting from construction of the new facility.
Where there is no facility it is difficult to establish a legitimate reduction in cost.
Some people fill this void by with a substitute alternative of their of own selection to replace the missing existing facility
Raises some critical questions
WHAT TO COMPARE…....
FURTHER COMMENTS ON B/C RATIOS Under certain circumstances one or the other B/C
ratios may not be suitable at allSome extremes: 1. Zero savings to users, then Un = 0 Conventional B/C = Un / (Cn + Mn) = 0 Modified B/C = (Un – Mn) / Cn = - Mn / Cn Project should be justifiable, if savings in
maintenance and operating costs more than offset the capital costs. This could be demonstrated with the conventional B/C, but could not be by the modified B/C
FURTHER COMMENTS ON B/C RATIOS If the project results in savings to users (Un is
+), and maintenance & operating costs drop by more than the capital costs rise (Cn + Mn is -), then Conventional B/C = Un / (Cn + Mn) < 0
Modified B/C = (Un – Mn) / Cn > 1 The conventional B/C ratio becomes a –ve
number, where as the modified B/C properly accounts for the benefit of lower maintenance to the owner.
FURTHER COMMENTS ON B/C RATIOS
If there is no change in the capital investment required (Cn = 0)
Conventional B/C = Un / (Cn + Mn) = Un / Mn Modified B/C = (Un – Mn) / Cn = ∞ Conventional method should be used here.