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Transcript of BB-Day3
Six Sigma Black Belt Training - Day3 Rev. 5
2
004
Inst
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Agenda for Day 3
• Analysis Stage• Basics of Variation• Multi-Vari Chart• Component Search• Paired Comparison• FMEA• Sampling Distribution• Hypothesis Testing
Six Sigma Black Belt Training - Day3 Rev. 5
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Analyze - Major Activities
• Identify patterns through Data Analysis.
• Analyze the root-cause through Cause Analysis.
• Validate the root cause.
• Implement local actions to eliminate root-cause.
Six Sigma Black Belt Training - Day3 Rev. 5
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Data Analysis – Tool Selection
CTQ Type Trend Chart Summary Chart
Variable
• Run chart• Xbar and Range chart• Individual and Moving Range chart
Histogram Box Plot Cross-tabulation
Attribute
P - chart NP - chart
Pareto chart Concentration diagram Cross-tabulation
Counts (Defects)
C - chart U – chart
Pareto chart Concentration diagram Cross-tabulation
Six Sigma Black Belt Training - Day3 Rev. 5
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Cause Analysis - Tools
• Casuse and Effect Diagram
• Paired Comparison
• Why – Why Analysis
Six Sigma Black Belt Training - Day3 Rev. 5
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Analysis Stage - Planning
• Data Analysis– CTQ– Statistical Tools : Trend and Summary– Frequency
• Cause Analysis– CTQ– Tool for understanding Causes – Root cause– Frequency
• Potential Causes - FMEA
Six Sigma Black Belt Training - Day3 Rev. 5
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Analysis Stage Planning SheetProcess
Step CTQ
Data Type
Data Analysis Cause Analysis
Tool Frequency Tool Frequency
1 Write Order
Quality Attribute np-chart Daily
Data Errors Defects c-chart Daily
Booking Time Variable I&MR chart Daily
2Assemble Pizza
Assembly Defects
Defects c-chartDaily
Assembly Time Variable I&MR chart Daily
3 PackagePacking Defects Defects c-chart Daily
Packing Time Variable I&MR chart Daily
4Deliver Pizza to Customer
Right Pizza Attribute np-chart Weekly
Delivery Time VariableI&MR chart
Weekly
Six Sigma Black Belt Training - Day3 Rev. 5
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Difficulty in Pinpointing Causes
Cause
Cause
Cause
Cause
Cause
CauseCause
(a) Single Cause
(b) One of Multiple Varying Causes
(c) Varying Complex Combination of Causes
Six Sigma Black Belt Training - Day3 Rev. 5
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Robustness• Robustness means making the product and process
less sensitive to variation of the key inputs.• Robust products are products that are insensitive
to the manufacturing process, usage conditions, materials and their deterioration.
• Robust processes are processes that are insensitive to materials, environment, and variation in machine parameters.
Six Sigma Black Belt Training - Day3 Rev. 5
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Tools for Identifying VIPs• Top three causes account to over 80% of the
variation allowed within the specification limits.
• The top three causes are called Red X, Pin X and Pale Pink X (Dorian Shainin)
• The Tools for Diagnosing the top three causes:1. Multi-Vari Chart
2. Components Search
3. Paired Comparisons
• Some times two or all the above techniques are used to sequentially or simultaneously.
Six Sigma Black Belt Training - Day3 Rev. 5
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Multi-Vari Chart
• A multi-vari chart is a stratified experiment to quantify different sources of variation, namely- positional, cyclical or temporal.
• Multi-vari charts allow the total variation to be decomposed into components including the variation due to time to differences, stream to stream differences, and within-part differences.
Six Sigma Black Belt Training - Day3 Rev. 5
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Injection-molding Process
• A set of data collected from an injection-molding process making plastic connectors. These connectors are cylindrical in shape.
• Two parts were selected from each of four mold cavities every 3 hours.
• The outside diameter was measured at each end as well as at the middle of each part.
Six Sigma Black Belt Training - Day3 Rev. 5
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Within-Part Variation
Bottom Diameter
Middle Diameter
Top Diameter No difference
Taper
Thick ends
Thick top
or
Thick center
For an individual part any one of these patterns might result from noise. However, if the same pattern repeats over and over, then with-in part variation is contributing to total variation.
Six Sigma Black Belt Training - Day3 Rev. 5
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Conducting the Multi-vari Study• Do not make process changes while collecting data.The
sequence should not be randomized.• Multi-vari charts provide a snapshot of how the process is
performing. The single largest source of variation at that time can be clearly identified.
• A second study some time later may give different results. For this reason, one may want to repeat Multi-vari study several times, one should also try to identify the second largest difference. It might really be the most important difference.
Six Sigma Black Belt Training - Day3 Rev. 5
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Component Search
• Unlike Classical DOE, component search actually discovers and isolates unexpected controlling causes, be they main causes or interactions. And it achieves this isolation with much less total testing.
Six Sigma Black Belt Training - Day3 Rev. 5
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Prerequisites• The technique is applicable, primarily, in assembly
operations.• The performance (output) must be measurable and
repeatable.• The units must be capable of disassembly and
reassemble without a significant change in the original output.
• There must be at least two assemblies or systems with clearly different levels of output.
Six Sigma Black Belt Training - Day3 Rev. 5
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Four Stages of Component Search
• Ballpark – To determine if Red X, Pink X are among the
causes being considered. It also assures repeatability of the disassembly and reassembly process.
• Elimination– To eliminate all unimportant causes and their
associated interaction effects.
Six Sigma Black Belt Training - Day3 Rev. 5
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Four Stages of Component Search
• Capping Run– To verify that the important causes are truly
important and that the unimportant causes are truly unimportant.
• Factorial Analysis– To quantify the magnitudes of the important
main causes and their interaction effects.
Six Sigma Black Belt Training - Day3 Rev. 5
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Paired Comparisons• The technique is used when:
– Components or subassemblies in units cannot be disassembled or reassembled.
– There are several good and a few bad units that can be paired.
– A suitable parameter can be found to distinguish good from bad.
• The technique is applicable in assembly work or processes or in test equipment, where there are similar units, workstations, or instruments, respectively. It is useful in failure analysis also.
Six Sigma Black Belt Training - Day3 Rev. 5
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Step-by-Step Procedure for Paired Comparisons
1. Select one good unit and one bad unit.
2. Call this pair one. Observe in detail to note differences between these two units. The differences can be visual dimensional, electrical, mechanical, chemical etc. The observation techniques could involve simple or advanced techniques.
3. Select a second pair of good and bad units. Observe and note the differences, as in step 2.
Six Sigma Black Belt Training - Day3 Rev. 5
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Step-by-Step Procedure for Paired Comparisons
4. Repeat this search process with a third, fourth, fifth, and sixth pair, until the observed differences show a pattern of repeatability.
5. Disregard differences that show contrary directions among the pairs. Usually, by the fifth or sixth pair, the consistent differences will be narrowed down to a few factors, providing a strong clue for the major cause of variation.
Six Sigma Black Belt Training - Day3 Rev. 5
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d.Case Study: The Failed Diode
• A DO-35 diode, used in automobile electronics had reported high failure rate. The results of paired comparisons, when examined under a scanning electron microscope, were as follows:– No flaws observed in Good diodes.
• Following Observation are reported on Bad Diodes1. Chipped die, oxide defects, copper migration
2. Alloying irregularities, oxide defects
3. Oxide defects, contamination
4. Oxide defects, chipped die
Six Sigma Black Belt Training - Day3 Rev. 5
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Determining Causes of Differences• In some cases detecting the cause of the difference is
simple.• Many times considerable time and experimentation
are required to isolate and conform the cause.• In order to help determine what is different, samples
should be saved. In addition production records should be saved, operators interviewed, and so on. It is important to act fast so that vital information is NOT lost.
Six Sigma Black Belt Training - Day3 Rev. 5
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Time Differences
Immediately investigate and save samples for follow-up testing
Control charts to better pinpoint time of changes.
Monitor the process to track inputs
Verify cause by turning off and on
ONE TIME CHANGE
SERIES OF CHANGES
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Stream Difference
Immediately investigate and save samples for follow-up testing
Control chart each stream separately and use methods for a series of time differences
Use assembly/ setup studies, and component swapping studies
Verify cause by turning off and on
ONE TIME DIFFERENCE
SERIES OF DIFFERENCES
CHANGING DEFFERENCES
CONSISTENT DEFFERENCES
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Unit Difference
Run assembly/ setup studies, and component swapping studies
Perform unit comparisons
Verify cause by turning off and on
DISASSEMBLY / REASSEMBLE POSSIBLE
DISASSEMBLY / REASSEMBLE NOT POSSIBLE
Six Sigma Black Belt Training - Day3 Rev. 5
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What is FMEA ?• FMEA is a tool for preventing problems.
– As a tool FMEA is one of the most effective low risk techniques for identifying potential problems and preventing them in a cost effective manner.
• FMEA is a procedure for developing and implementing new or revised designs, processes and services.– A structured approach for prioritizing, evaluating, tracking, and
updating design and process development.
• FMEA is the diary of the design, the process or service.
Six Sigma Black Belt Training - Day3 Rev. 5
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Basic Elements of FMEA
Failures
Causes
Detection
Effects Severity
OccurrenceRPN
Effectiveness
S
O
D
Six Sigma Black Belt Training - Day3 Rev. 5
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Types of FMEA• FMEA is useful in the following applications:
– System FMEA
– Design FMEA
– Process FMEA
– Equipment FMEA
– Service FMEA
– Project FMEA
• The main deference in the above three applications is the objective
Six Sigma Black Belt Training - Day3 Rev. 5
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Types of FMEA• System FMEA
– How can this system fail to do it’s purpose? or
– What are the potential failures in interactions and interfaces of the system?
• Design FMEA– How can this design fail to do it’s purpose? or
– What are the potential failures in usage of this product design?
• Process FMEA– How can this process fail to do what it is supposed to do? or
– What are the potential failures in following this process design?
Six Sigma Black Belt Training - Day3 Rev. 5
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Types of FMEA• Equipment FMEA
– How can this equipment fail to do it’s purpose? or– What are the potential failures in usage of this equipment?
• Project FMEA– How can this each activity fail to do it’s purpose? or– What are the potential failures in implementing project
activities?
• Service FMEA– How can this service fail to do it’s purpose? or– What are the potential failures in execution of this service?
Six Sigma Black Belt Training - Day3 Rev. 5
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Process FMEA – Pizza Delivery
Process Steps
Write Order
Failure
Incomplete Address
Effects
No delivery
Causes
Key board problem
Phone disturbance
Talking to some one
Current Controls
None
None
Corrective Action
Regular cleaning
Conform
Hands free kit
RP
N
Det
ectio
n
Occ
urre
nce
Se
veri
ty
102
4
6
10
10
10
200
400
600
Six Sigma Black Belt Training - Day3 Rev. 5
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Design FMEA – Computer Printer
System (Function)
Paper Feeding(Guide paper, pick one at a time, move smoothly)
Failure
Wrong orientation
Picked >1 papers
Not loading
High Noise
Effects CausesDesign Controls
Corrective ActionR
PN
Det
ectio
n
Occ
urre
nce
Se
veri
ty
Un-intended function
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System FMEA – Computer Printer
System Interfaces (Function)
Printing Head and Paper Feeding
Printing Head and Ink cartridge
Failure
Printing with no paper
Alignment of out
Effects CausesDesign Controls
Corrective ActionR
PN
Det
ectio
n
Occ
urre
nce
Se
veri
ty
Six Sigma Black Belt Training - Day3 Rev. 5
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Equipment FMEA – Fan
Part(Function)
Bearing(Friction free rotation)
Failure
Jam (No rotation)
High friction
High Noise
Effects CausesCurrent Preventive Maintenance
Corrective ActionR
PN
Det
ectio
n
Occ
urre
nce
Se
veri
ty
Un-intended function
Six Sigma Black Belt Training - Day3 Rev. 5
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• Traditional guidelines suggests that failures with high RPN warrant first consideration for analysis and resource allocation for improvement.
• For example consider the following 3 failures:
Failure Modes S O D RPN A 4 5 10 200
B 4 8 2 64 C 9 2 1 18
Traditional Approach for Prioritizing Failures
Six Sigma Black Belt Training - Day3 Rev. 5
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Traditional Approach for Prioritizing Failures
• Minimizing the severity of a failure mode (C) or reducing the occurrence of a failure modes (B) are proactive approaches.
• Improving the detection of the failure mode (A) is a reactive approach.
Six Sigma Black Belt Training - Day3 Rev. 5
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New Proactive Approach for Prioritizing Failures
Before the organization allocates resources to improve detection, all opportunities for reducing the occurrence and minimizing the effects of the failure modes should be considered.
HighPriority
Medium
Low
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 10
0 1
2
3
4 5
6
7
8
10Severity
Occ
urre
nce
FMEA Area Chart
Six Sigma Black Belt Training - Day3 Rev. 5
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Strategies for addressing the failure modes
1. Eliminate the cause.
2. Reduce the severity.
3. Reduce the occurrence.
4. Improve the detection
5. Provide a means of detection for the customer during usage.
Six Sigma Black Belt Training - Day3 Rev. 5
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• Two types of Rating Systems are followed:– 1 through 10 (Very popular)– 1 through 5
Rating Severity Occurrence Detection
1 Low Rare Effective
. . . . . . . .
5 or 10 High Frequent No detection
Rating Systems