BASF We create chemistry...BASF –We create chemistry Saori Dubourg, Member of the Board of...
Transcript of BASF We create chemistry...BASF –We create chemistry Saori Dubourg, Member of the Board of...
BASF – We create chemistry
Saori Dubourg, Member of the Board of Executive Directors
Roadshow Munich, Berenberg, November 22, 2017
BASF Capital Market Story, November 2017 2
Cautionary note regarding
forward-looking statements
This presentation contains forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are based
on current estimates and projections of the Board of Executive Directors and on currently available
information. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of the future developments and
results outlined therein. Rather, they depend on a number of factors, involve various risks and
uncertainties, and are based on assumptions that may not prove to be accurate. Such risk factors
particularly include those discussed on pages 111 to 118 of the BASF Report 2016. The BASF
Report is available online at basf.com/report. BASF does not assume any obligation to update the
forward-looking statements contained in this presentation.
BASF Capital Market Story, November 2017 3
Agenda
At a glance1
Strategic levers2
Delivering consistent, long-term value3
BASF Capital Market Story, November 2017 4
Chemicals – a growth industryGlobal annual growth rate of ~3.6%*
…more food needed
by 2050
…more primary energy
consumption by 2050
…of the world population
will live in cities by 2050
Agriculture Health & Nutrition
Energy & Resources
TransportationConstruction &Housing
Consumer Goods
…people by 2050
Electrical & Electronics
Chemistry as enabler to meet current and future needs
70% 50%~10 bn 30%
* Forecast average annual real change 2017 – 2019; BASF Report 2016, p. 121
BASF Capital Market Story, November 2017 5
Broad and resilient portfolio2016: Sales of €57.6 billion; EBITDA of €10.5 billion
Percentage of sales 2016*
* Not depicted here: ‘Other’ 3% of Group sales and EBITDA €(1.0) billion
BASF Capital Market Story, November 2017 6
Verbund – unique competitive advantageActively managed in line with market requirements
▪ Annual cost savings of more than €1 billion through integrated production
▪ Verbund concept supports sustainability, reduces waste and avoids CO2 emissions of 6 million tons p.a.
Energy savings
>€300 million p.a.
People, Customers, Technology, Production
BASF Capital Market Story, November 2017 7
Global market access through regional presence
Kuantan
Hong Kong
Nanjing
Freeport
Florham Park
Geismar
Ludwigshafen
Antwerp
São Paulo
Regional centersSelected sites
Verbund sites
Selected research
and development sites
Asia Pacific
Europe
South America, Africa, Middle East
North America
Sales €14,042 million
EBIT €1,113 million
Employees 17,583
Sales €26,039 million
EBIT €3,632 million
Employees 70,784
Sales €12,165 million
EBIT €1,098 million
Employees 18,156
Sales €5,304 million
EBIT €432 million
Employees 7,307
2016: Sales by location of customer; EBIT by location of company
BASF Capital Market Story, November 2017 8
BASF Group Q3 2017Considerably higher sales and earnings
Financial figures Q3 2017 Q3 2016 Change
Sales €15.3 billion €14.0 billion 9%
EBITDA before special items €2.8 billion €2.5 billion 12%
EBITDA €3.0 billion €2.4 billion 23%
EBIT before special items €1.8 billion €1.5 billion 16%
EBIT €2.0 billion €1.5 billion 34%
Net income €1.3 billion €0.9 billion 50%
Reported EPS €1.45 €0.97 49%
Adjusted EPS €1.40 €1.10 27%
Operating cash flow €3.8 billion €2.5 billion 52%
Sales development Volumes Prices Portfolio Currencies
Q3 2017 vs. Q3 2016 4% 7% 1% (3%)
BASF Capital Market Story, November 2017 9
▪ Sales growth – slightly faster than global chemical production
▪ Deliver attractive returns – earn a significant premium on cost of capital
▪ EBITDA growth – well above global chemical production
▪ Remain a strong cash provider – continuously generate high levels of free cash flow
▪ Progressive dividend policy – grow or at least maintain dividend at previous year’s level
Financial targets for the coming years
BASF Capital Market Story, November 2017 10
Agenda
Strategic levers2
Delivering consistent, long-term value3
At a glance1
BASF Capital Market Story, November 2017 11
▪ Portfolio development
▪ Investments in organic growth
▪ Innovations for a sustainable future
Our priorities
▪ Operational excellence
We aim to grow sales and earnings faster than global chemical production
in the coming years, driven by
BASF Capital Market Story, November 2017 12
Continuous global portfolio development
target(in % of sales*)~50% ~50%
Maintaining a balanced portfolio
Divestment of
businesses,
e.g., due to loss
of differentiation
Divestment of
businesses,
e.g., due to lower
market attractiveness
Commoditization leads to
restructuring
Growth fields
Innovation
pipeline
Acquisitions
Specialties and solutions Differentiated commodities
▪ Attractive markets
▪ Differentiation by process
technologies and integration
▪ Attractive markets
▪ Differentiation by customer
proximity and innovations
* Excluding Oil & Gas sales
BASF Capital Market Story, November 2017 13
Portfolio development towards more market-driven and
innovative businesses
Strong Partnerships
▪ Gazprom
▪ PETRONAS
▪ Sinopec
▪ Total
Selected transactions
2010−today
BASF
core business
~€5.5 billion sales
in emerging and
innovation-driven businesses
Acquisitions
▪ Functional crop care
▪ Personal care & food
▪ Omega-3 fatty acids
▪ Enzymes
▪ Battery materials
▪ Specialty plastics
▪ Selected assets in Oil & Gas
▪ Refinish coatings
▪ Surface treatment
Divestitures
~€21.0 billion sales
in businesses with limited fit
and differentiation potential
▪ Styrenics
▪ Fertilizers
▪ Selected assets in Oil & Gas
▪ Natural gas trading & storage
▪ Custom synthesis business
▪ Textile chemicals
▪ Polyolefin catalysts
▪ Industrial coatings
▪ Leather chemicals
BASF Capital Market Story, November 2017 14
Clear acquisition criteria
We want to acquire businesses which …
▪ provide a return on investment above
the WACC
▪ are EPS accretive by year three at the
latest
We want to acquire businesses which …
▪ generate profitable growth above the industry
average
▪ are innovation-driven
▪ offer a special value proposition to customers
▪ reduce earnings cyclicality
Acquisition
criteria
Strategic acquisition criteria Financial acquisition criteria
BASF Capital Market Story, November 2017 15
Complementary acquisitions to strengthen the portfolio
of BASF Group
Solvayʼs integrated global
polyamide business
▪ Purchase price: ~€1.6 billion
▪ Sales 2016: ~€1.3 billion
▪ EBITDA 2016: ~€200 million
▪ Market CAGR: >3.5%
▪ Closing expected in Q3 2018
Significant parts of Bayerʼs seed and
non-selective herbicide businesses
▪ Purchase price: ~€5.9 billion
▪ Sales 2016: ~€1.3 billion
▪ EBITDA 2016: ~€385 million
▪ Sales CAGR: ~15% (2014–2016)
▪ Closing expected in Q1 2018
Chemetall
Surface treatment business
▪ Purchase price: ~US$3.1 billion
▪ Sales 2015: ~US$845 million
▪ EBITDA 2015: ~US$200 million
▪ Sales CAGR: ~7% (2007–2015)
▪ Closed in December 2016
BASF Capital Market Story, November 2017 16
BASF signed agreement to acquire significant parts of
Bayer’s seed and non-selective herbicide businesses
Fully enabled seed and trait businesses
▪ Attractive and sizeable seed portfolio for canola/oilseed
rape, soybean and cotton in the Americas and Europe
▪ Excellent trait research for canola, soybean and cotton
▪ LibertyLink® technology for herbicide tolerance and
related trademarks
Complementary crop protection business
▪ Global glufosinate-ammonium-based non-selective herbicide
business
▪ State-of-the-art production facilities in the U.S., Canada
and Germany
BASF Capital Market Story, November 2017 17
BASF to acquire Solvay’s global polyamide business
* Application examples
Broader global scope
▪ Enhanced presence, especially in Asia and South America
▪ Stronger capabilities to serve global and regional
customers
Wider range of engineering plastics
▪ Technyl®, Ultramid®, Ultradur®, Ultraform®, Ultracom®
Broadening technical skills and innovation capabilities*
▪ Heat-resistant and high-voltage electrical and electronic parts
▪ Tailor-made solutions for components in automotive
▪ Mechanically strong and thermally stable consumer goods
Improved reliability of supply
▪ Backward integration into all key raw materials for polyamide 6.6
▪ Fully integrated engineering plastics value chain
BASF Capital Market Story, November 2017 18
Investments in organic growthInvestments of ~€3.9 billion planned for 2017
Performance
Products
21%
Oil & Gas
23% €19.0 billion
Capex budget 2017–2021
by segment
Other
13%
Chemicals
24%
Capex budget 2017–2021
by region
Asia Pacific
16%
North America
22%
Agricultural
Solutions
4%
Other**
3%
Functional Materials
& Solutions
15%
€19.0 billion
South America*
10%
* Including Africa and Middle East, ** Alternative sites currently being investigated
Europe
49%
Oil & Gas Europe
BASF Capital Market Story, November 2017 19
Oil & Gas
2%
Innovation will drive future growth
Agricultural
Solutions
26%
Chemicals
10%
Performance Products
20%
Corporate Research
21%
Key facts
€1.86 billion R&D expenditures in 2016
R&D expense to sales ratio ~3%
~10,000 employees in R&D
~3,000 projects
~850 new patents in 2016
Research Verbund:
Cooperations with more than 600
excellent partners from universities,
startups and industry
In 2016, sales of >€10 billion from
innovations on the market since 2011
R&D expenditures 2016
€1.86 billion
Functional Materials
& Solutions
21%
BASF Capital Market Story, November 2017 20
At BASF, we contribute to a lot of the products you use
around the clock
Luquafleece®
Tinosorb®
Infinergy®
Nutrilan®
Sokalan®
Cellasto®
Coatings
Tinuvin®
Superabsorbents
Ultramid®
Trilon® M
ecoflex® /
ecovio®
Omega-3
BASF Capital Market Story, November 2017 21
Sustainable Solution Steering®
Novel methodology to screen and steer our portfolio
4.2% 0.3%
▪ >60,000 product applications analyzed
▪ 27.2% Accelerators
– Strong growth in their markets
– deliver margins above the average
– represent majority of BASF’s R&D
pipeline
▪ 68.3% Performers
▪ <1% Challenged products
Increase the share of Accelerators from 23% in 2014 to 28% by 2020
27.2%
68.3%
Substantial sustainability
contribution in the value chain
Meets basic sustainability
standards on the market
Specific sustainability issues
which are being actively addressed
Significant sustainability concern,
action plan developed
Sustainable
Solution
Steering
Percentage of
sales 2016
BASF Capital Market Story, November 2017 22
BASF’s Value-to-Society 2016Net positive contribution to sustainable growth in each step of the assessed value chain
Net income
Taxes
Wages & benefits
Human capital
Health & safety
Air pollution
GHGs
Land use
Waste
Water consumption
Water pollution
Amortization
Value contribution from BASF procurement Value contribution from BASF operations
-10 0 10 20 30 -10 0 10 20 30 -10 0 10 20 30
Value contribution from BASF sales
Full external supply chain1 Own operations Customer industries2
1 Indirect suppliers, direct suppliers 2 Customers in industries supplied by BASF
billion €
BASF Capital Market Story, November 2017 23
0
0,.001
Earnings contribution 2016 2017–2018 Total
Operational excellenceDrivE with ~€1 billion targeted earnings contribution
DrivE program
▪ Targeted annual earnings contribution of
€1 billion from end of 2018 on
▪ Optimization of processes and structures
in all regions, including
– manufacturing
– incremental capacities
– productivity increase
▪ Project timeline: 2016–2018
€350 million
€650 million
Goal €1 billion
Annual earnings contribution DrivE
million €
1,000
BASF Capital Market Story, November 2017 24
Digitalization will support BASF’s growth and efficiency
Digital Business Models
Smart Innovation
Smart Supply Chain
Smart Manu-facturing
Growth
▪ Digital business models
▪ Customer connectivity
▪ Digitalization in R&D
New revenue streams
Increased supply share
Higher innovation output
▪ Predictive maintenance
▪ Augmented reality in production
▪ Smart supply chain
Increased capacity
Increased work efficiency
Reduced working capital
Efficiency
BASF Capital Market Story, November 2017 25
Agenda
At a glance1
Strategic levers2
Delivering consistent, long-term value3
BASF Capital Market Story, November 2017 26
Attractive dividendWe want to grow or at least maintain dividend at the previous year’s level
* Dividend yield based on share price at year-end
Dividend per share
€
0.65 0.70 0.700.85
1.00
1.50
1.95 1.95
1.70
2.20
2.502.60
2.702.80
2.90
0
1
2
3
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Yield* 3.1% 3.9% 3.1% 3.2% 3.1% 4.1% 3.8% 7.0% 3.9% 3.7% 4.6% 3.7% 3.5% 4.0% 4.1% 3.4%
3.00
BASF Capital Market Story, November 2017 27
Delivering consistent, long-term valueCurrent market capitalization: €86 billion*
Average annual performance
(with dividends reinvested)
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14
Euro Stoxx 50
DAX 30
MSCI World
Chemicals
+5.1%
BASF
+6.9%
+1.1%
+11.2%
Last 10 years
November 2007 – October 2017
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14
Last 3 years
November 2014 – October 2017
+14.0%
+8.5%
+12.3%
+12.2%
* As of October 31, 2017
BASF Capital Market Story, November 2017 28
▪ Growth above chemical industry average
▪ Broad and resilient portfolio
▪ Unique Verbund concept
▪ Earnings growth and strong cash flow generation
▪ Long-term value creation with progressive
dividend policy
BASF shares – an attractive investment
BASF Capital Market Story, November 2017 29BASF Investor Day 2015 – Keynote speech 29
BASF Capital Market Story, November 2017 30
Intermediates
728
+10%
Monomers
1,770
+41%
Petrochemicals
1,525
+16%
€4,023
+25%
Sales Q3 2017 vs. Q3 2016*
million €
EBIT before special items*
million €
488
629
958
1,120 1,102
0
400
800
1,200
Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
Sales development Volumes Prices Portfolio Currencies
Q3 2017 vs. Q3 2016 6% 22% 0% (3%)
2017
* Effective January 1, 2017, the Monomers and Dispersions & Pigments divisions’ activities for the electronics industry were combined into the global Electronic Materials business unit
and allocated to the Dispersions & Pigments division in the Performance Products segment. The 2016 figures have been adjusted accordingly.
2016
ChemicalsHigher earnings driven by increased margins and higher volumes
BASF Capital Market Story, November 2017 31
Performance ProductsEBIT before special items declined, EBIT increased due to special income
from transfer of leather chemicals business
Performance Chemicals
980
+4%
Nutrition & Health
451
(11%)
Care Chemicals
1,213
+3%
€3,983
+2%
EBIT before special items*
million €
Sales Q3 2017 vs. Q3 2016*
million €
Dispersions & Pigments
1,339
+3%
Sales development Volumes Prices Portfolio Currencies
Q3 2017 vs. Q3 2016 6% 0% (1%) (3%)
473
237
515
405 385
0
200
400
600
800
Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
20172016
* Effective January 1, 2017, the Monomers and Dispersions & Pigments divisions’ activities for the electronics industry were combined into the global Electronic Materials business unit
and allocated to the Dispersions & Pigments division in the Performance Products segment. The 2016 figures have been adjusted accordingly.
BASF Capital Market Story, November 2017 32
Functional Materials & Solutions Sales increased on good demand from automotive and construction, earnings declined
Coatings
951
+20%
Catalysts
1,506
(3%)
Construction
Chemicals
618
+2%
Performance Materials
1,900
+11%
€4,975
+7%
497458
531
422 397
0
200
400
600
800
Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3
EBIT before special items
million €
Sales Q3 2017 vs. Q3 2016
million €
Sales development Volumes Prices Portfolio Currencies
Q3 2017 vs. Q3 2016 0% 6% 4% (3%)
20172016
BASF Capital Market Story, November 2017 33
Agricultural SolutionsEarnings decreased, primarily due to the difficult market situation in Brazil
1,049 987
0
1,000
2,000
Q3 2016 Q3 2017
Sales Q3 2017 vs. Q3 2016
million €
Sales development Volumes Prices Portfolio Currencies
Q3 2017 vs. Q3 2016 5% (8%) 0% (3%)
EBIT before special items
million €
97
21
0
100
200
300
Q3 2016 Q3 2017
(6%)
(78%)
BASF Capital Market Story, November 2017 34
Oil & GasHigher oil and gas prices and volumes, EBIT before special items lower due to one-time
earnings effects in the prior-year quarter
Sales Q3 2017 vs. Q3 2016
million €
194180
33
139
0
100
200
300
Q3 2016 Q3 2017
Sales development Volumes Prices/Currencies Portfolio
Q3 2017 vs. Q3 2016 9% 11% 0%
EBIT before special items Net income
618
739
0
500
1,000
Q3 2016 Q3 2017
EBIT before special items, net income
million €
+20%
BASF Capital Market Story, November 2017 35
Review of “Other”
million € Q3 2017 Q3 2016
Sales 548 538
EBIT before special items (325) (233)
Thereof Costs of corporate research (93) (77)
Costs of corporate headquarters (57) (54)
Foreign currency results, hedging and other measurement effects (116) (101)
Other businesses 13 15
Special items (5) (23)
EBIT (330) (256)
BASF Capital Market Story, November 2017 36
Cash flow development Q1 – Q3 2017
million € Q1 – Q3 2017 Q1 – Q3 2016
Cash provided by operating activities 7,597 5,840
Thereof Changes in net working capital 94 (393)
Miscellaneous items (190) (172)
Cash used in investing activities (3,413) (2,776)
Thereof Payments made for tangible / intangible assets (2,606) (2,915)
Acquisitions / divestitures (44) 212
Cash used in financing activities (1,546) (1,898)
Thereof Changes in financial liabilities 1,276 837
Dividends (2,841) (2,753)
Free cash flow 4,991 2,925
BASF Capital Market Story, November 2017 37
Balance sheet remains strong
▪ Total assets decreased slightly to
€76.0 billion
▪ Provisions for pension obligations
decreased by €1.4 billion to €6.8 billion
▪ Net debt at €12.3 billion
(December 31, 2016: €14.4 billion)
▪ Equity ratio at 43.9%
(December 31, 2016: 42.6%)
Balance sheet September 30, 2017 vs. December 31, 2016
billion €
Liquid funds*
Accountsreceivable
Long-termassets
Inventories
Other assets
Otherliabilities
Financialdebt
Equity
27.6 26.5
16.3 16.2
32.6 33.3
Dec 31, 2016 Sep 30, 2017
1.9 3.93.03.9
11.010.6
10.010.0
50.6 47.6
Dec 31, 2016 Sep 30, 2017
76.5 76.0
* Including marketable securities
76.5 76.0