Basel III the Corporate Hedging Debate
Transcript of Basel III the Corporate Hedging Debate
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With impending Basel III regulations set to impose much higher capital requirements on banks, theknock-on effects on corporates and their hedging activities could be significant. By starting to look atthe changes now, companies will be able to better understand the impacts on their businesses. Also,given the regulations are not yet finalised, now is the time to make any concerns known to legislatorsand regulators, or the window of opportunity could be missed.
The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision has pretty much firmed up its recommendations for the newBasel III regulations. Local country regulators however are still finalising how to enforce the rules in their ownbackyards. For example, the European Institutions (Council and Parliament) are debating how Basel III will beimplemented in Europe via the Capital Requirements Directive, commonly known as CRD 4. Nor is timing 100per cent clear. Although parts of Basel III are intended to go live on 1 January, 2013, this date may yet change.
These uncertainties make it harder to pinpoint what the exact implications of the new rules will be. One pointthe market generally agrees on is that hedging costs for most corporates are likely to increase.
High level changes to capital requirements
Among the most significant changes, Basel III will increase the minimum level of capital a bank must holdagainst the risk of loss from derivative exposures to counterparties.
A new Credit Valuation Adjustment (CVA) Risk Capital Charge is being introduced, which covers potentialmarket value losses from deterioration in the creditworthiness of a derivative counterparty, short of actualdefault. For example, as the perception of a companys creditworthiness declines, the market value of theirobligations also decreases, even if there has not been a default. This CVA charge is in addition to the existingDefault Risk Capital Charge for counterparty risk.
Potential impacts on corporates
Across Basel II and the impending Basel III, derivative capital requirements are broadly based on three criteria:
1. The credit quality of each counterparty, including both probability of default and loss given default.2. The transactions themselves, where the potential mark-to-market exposure is key. This is especially relevant
to long-dated derivatives, cross-currency swaps, and linker-style inflation swaps.3. The collateral, if any, offsetting the banks exposure, such as through a credit support annex (CSA).
Given that the vast majority of corporates deal on an uncollateralised basis, the first two criteria are key inunderstanding the impact of the increased capital requirements on the pricing of current hedging programmes.It is therefore not surprising that those corporates with a lower credit ranking, or that deal in high-value or long-dated derivatives, stand to feel the greatest impact from the new regulations.
There are certain niches of the hedging markets that could also be adversely impacted by the newregulations, such as in utilities where companies fund and hedge on a secured basis to reduce costor increase leverage.
Total Counterparty
Credit Risk Capital
(CCR) Charge
Default Risk Capital
Charge
CVA Risk Capital
Charge =+
This is the current
CCR capital charge,
modified and re-
named
This is the new capital
charge introduced in
Basel III
Total Counterparty
Credit Risk Capital
(CCR) Charge
Default Risk Capital
Charge
CVA Risk Capital
Charge =+
This is the current
CCR capital charge,
modified and re-
named
This is the new capital
charge introduced in
Basel III
Richard Bartlett
Head of Corporate Debt
Capital Markets & Risk
Solutions EMEA
Global Banking & Markets
Peter Ryan-Bell
Head of UK & Western
Europe Risk Solutions
Global Banking & Markets
September 2011
Basel III: The corporate hedging debate
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As the rules are written today, the significantly lower loss given default (LGD) ratio for secured deals is not
considered at all when measuring capital requirements. Instead, the LGD rate of senior unsecured debt is
imposed. For example, if the true LGD of a deal is 5 per cent and the regulations require 60 per cent, 12 times
the required capital would need to be placed against a deal.
On a larger scale, the new requirements have the potential to create more favourable business conditions for
companies in certain countries if the regulations are not implemented consistently across the globe.
Key questions for corporates
Corporates should consider how they will hedge in the future. Research now will help them understand what the
potential impact of Basel III will be on the pricing of typical deals, as well as what alternatives are available.
Broadly, options for corporates are:
Continuing to deal on a uncollateralised basis and accepting any increase in pricing, or looking for ways totweak the structures of current hedge types so they are less capital intensive
Collateralising their deals with their banking counterparties, or, where possible, clearing their over-the-counter transactions in the same way exchange-traded futures are now
Stop hedging altogether under the view that the additional cost makes hedging uneconomic. In our view thiswould not be a desirable outcome of the new regulation, which was designed, in part, to stabilise the real
economy
For higher-rated counterparties that dont deal in long-dated or high-value deals, the increase in pricing may not
be material and can therefore be absorbed, meaning hedging can continue in its present form. Thats not to say
that the likely increase in pricing wont go unnoticed.
Ways that corporates could tweak deal structures to reduce capital and therefore pricing, potentially include use
of breaks and mark-to-market resets.
When deciding to collateralise or clear derivatives, corporates need to compare the higher price of
uncollateralised trades to the lower price of collateralised trades plus the cost of the liquidity to fund the
collateral. There may also be additional considerations in the accounting of collateral to investigate, such as the
impact on covenants and credit ratings, as well as whether collateral can be accounted for as a cash and
equivalent.
When it comes to those corporates that find the increase in pricing unpalatable and also dont want to
collateralise their deals, they could cease or reduce hedging, or switch to capital-friendly hedging such as
purchased options, albeit with a premium requirement. In this case, it is important to understand how changing
hedging programmes could impact risk profiles, results and of course how the market could react.
Each company has to weigh up the best choice based on their business model and ultimately choose a path that
provides the best trade-off between reduction in risk and cost.
Derivatives and clearing
Outside of Basel III, another important aspect of the wave of new financial regulations is the requirement to clear
many over-the-counter (OTC) derivatives. In Europe, this is being introduced by a piece of legislation called the
European Market Infrastructure Regulation (EMIR), which aims to reduce systemic risk in the financial system
by forcing more OTC derivatives onto clearing houses. The type of transactions captured by these clearing
regulations is not 100 per cent clear, though as a general rule they will need to be standardised contracts.
Most corporates are expected to be exempt from clearing requirements as non-financial end users. However,
they may still have the ability to opt-in. This may cut credit risk, as well as slightly reduce capital and therefore
improve pricing versus the CSA collateralisation of deals with banks. On the flip side, clearing also introduces
the concept of initial margin, which means additional collateral and liquidity requirements above and beyondCSA collateralisation.
Also, there may be complications if a standard hedge transaction doesnt perfectly match the risk being hedged.
This could even preclude the application of hedge accounting.
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Get involved
There is a limited time for corporates to be able to voice any concerns they have on the new regulations, and
that time is now. We have heard Members of the European Parliament speak on this topic, and issue a plea to
get involved. Actions a corporate can undertake include:
Assessing the impact of the current version of the proposed regulations on hedging programmes andidentifying where the regulations can be improved
Creating case studies for legislators, highlighting the impact of the regulations
Working together, including with trade bodies and professional associations
RBS and Basel III
RBS has devoted significant resources to understanding Basel III and other new regulations. Teams in our
Global Banking & Markets (GBM) division have close links with legislators and regulators. We are passing on
our knowledge of the issues to our clients to help them understand and prepare for the impending changes.
Where in the world?
As mentioned, Basel III will be implemented in the European Union through CRD 4. In Asia, regulators in each
country will implement regulations individually, taking their steer from Hong Kong, Singapore and Australia. Inthe US, the Dodd Frank Act, which is reforming banking practises in America, has addressed Basel III, but also
outlined other capital requirements that regulators must figure out how to integrate with Basel. The Federal
Reserve will work on Basel III adoption within the Dodd Frank framework and coordinate with other regulators on
the additional capital issues.
For companies with operations across jurisdictions, it is worth analysing how regulators in different countries
may choose to interpret Basel III recommendations and what that will mean for their businesses.
All together, the many considerations to be planned for under Basel III mean now is the time to investigate how
the changes will impact specific businesses and make use of the consultation periods still open with legislators
and regulators.
Map of proposed regulation
Category Key elements Europe US
Capital & liquidity Improve quality of T1 capital, liquidity, stability and reduce leverage
Systemic risk
measures
Oversight of systemically important financial institutions
Resolution/recovery plans, survive/unwind
Bank structure
reform
Limits on prop trading, private equity/hedge fund investment (Volcker)
Swaps spinoff to separate entity
Over-the-counter
derivatives
reform
Execution shift towards electronic trading
Mandatory clearing of over-the-counter derivatives
Real-time post trade reporting
Position limits; agricultural commodity restrictions
Market reformCredit rating agency reform
Securitisation market reform
Hedge funds and
insurance
regulation
Hedge fund registration, transparency and capital
Insurer capital requirements, Federal Insurance office in US
Investor
protection
Retail structured product standardisation and disclosure
Protection bureau, deposit insurance, retail distribution, disclosure,
mortgage regulation
Basel III
CRD IV
ESRB
Cross-border CrisisManagement
ICB (UK)
MiFID
Dodd FrankAct
EMIR
CRD IICRARegs
AIF MD
Solvency II
MiFID PRIPs
See glossary for definitions
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Glossary
Basel III: Basel III is a series of amendments to the existing Basel Accord, a set of rules designed to stop banks
taking on excess risk and damaging the economy. It requires banks to hold more capital against their assets,
thereby decreasing the size of their balance sheets and their ability to invest with borrowed capital.
CRD 4: Capital Requirements Directive 4, the directive through which Basel III will be implemented in the
European Union.
ESRB: European Systemic Risk Board
ICB: Independent Commission on Banking
MiFID: Markets in Financial Instruments Directive
EMIR: European Market Infrastructure Regulation
CRD 2: Capital Requirements Directive 2
CRAs: Credit Rating Agencies
Solvency II: A new, universal solvency regime for all European insurers that aims to make sure they can
withstand financial market shocks.
PRIPs: Packaged Retail Investment Products
Dodd Frank Act: Banking reforms in America
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