Basel III the Corporate Hedging Debate

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Transcript of Basel III the Corporate Hedging Debate

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    With impending Basel III regulations set to impose much higher capital requirements on banks, theknock-on effects on corporates and their hedging activities could be significant. By starting to look atthe changes now, companies will be able to better understand the impacts on their businesses. Also,given the regulations are not yet finalised, now is the time to make any concerns known to legislatorsand regulators, or the window of opportunity could be missed.

    The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision has pretty much firmed up its recommendations for the newBasel III regulations. Local country regulators however are still finalising how to enforce the rules in their ownbackyards. For example, the European Institutions (Council and Parliament) are debating how Basel III will beimplemented in Europe via the Capital Requirements Directive, commonly known as CRD 4. Nor is timing 100per cent clear. Although parts of Basel III are intended to go live on 1 January, 2013, this date may yet change.

    These uncertainties make it harder to pinpoint what the exact implications of the new rules will be. One pointthe market generally agrees on is that hedging costs for most corporates are likely to increase.

    High level changes to capital requirements

    Among the most significant changes, Basel III will increase the minimum level of capital a bank must holdagainst the risk of loss from derivative exposures to counterparties.

    A new Credit Valuation Adjustment (CVA) Risk Capital Charge is being introduced, which covers potentialmarket value losses from deterioration in the creditworthiness of a derivative counterparty, short of actualdefault. For example, as the perception of a companys creditworthiness declines, the market value of theirobligations also decreases, even if there has not been a default. This CVA charge is in addition to the existingDefault Risk Capital Charge for counterparty risk.

    Potential impacts on corporates

    Across Basel II and the impending Basel III, derivative capital requirements are broadly based on three criteria:

    1. The credit quality of each counterparty, including both probability of default and loss given default.2. The transactions themselves, where the potential mark-to-market exposure is key. This is especially relevant

    to long-dated derivatives, cross-currency swaps, and linker-style inflation swaps.3. The collateral, if any, offsetting the banks exposure, such as through a credit support annex (CSA).

    Given that the vast majority of corporates deal on an uncollateralised basis, the first two criteria are key inunderstanding the impact of the increased capital requirements on the pricing of current hedging programmes.It is therefore not surprising that those corporates with a lower credit ranking, or that deal in high-value or long-dated derivatives, stand to feel the greatest impact from the new regulations.

    There are certain niches of the hedging markets that could also be adversely impacted by the newregulations, such as in utilities where companies fund and hedge on a secured basis to reduce costor increase leverage.

    Total Counterparty

    Credit Risk Capital

    (CCR) Charge

    Default Risk Capital

    Charge

    CVA Risk Capital

    Charge =+

    This is the current

    CCR capital charge,

    modified and re-

    named

    This is the new capital

    charge introduced in

    Basel III

    Total Counterparty

    Credit Risk Capital

    (CCR) Charge

    Default Risk Capital

    Charge

    CVA Risk Capital

    Charge =+

    This is the current

    CCR capital charge,

    modified and re-

    named

    This is the new capital

    charge introduced in

    Basel III

    Richard Bartlett

    Head of Corporate Debt

    Capital Markets & Risk

    Solutions EMEA

    Global Banking & Markets

    Peter Ryan-Bell

    Head of UK & Western

    Europe Risk Solutions

    Global Banking & Markets

    September 2011

    Basel III: The corporate hedging debate

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    As the rules are written today, the significantly lower loss given default (LGD) ratio for secured deals is not

    considered at all when measuring capital requirements. Instead, the LGD rate of senior unsecured debt is

    imposed. For example, if the true LGD of a deal is 5 per cent and the regulations require 60 per cent, 12 times

    the required capital would need to be placed against a deal.

    On a larger scale, the new requirements have the potential to create more favourable business conditions for

    companies in certain countries if the regulations are not implemented consistently across the globe.

    Key questions for corporates

    Corporates should consider how they will hedge in the future. Research now will help them understand what the

    potential impact of Basel III will be on the pricing of typical deals, as well as what alternatives are available.

    Broadly, options for corporates are:

    Continuing to deal on a uncollateralised basis and accepting any increase in pricing, or looking for ways totweak the structures of current hedge types so they are less capital intensive

    Collateralising their deals with their banking counterparties, or, where possible, clearing their over-the-counter transactions in the same way exchange-traded futures are now

    Stop hedging altogether under the view that the additional cost makes hedging uneconomic. In our view thiswould not be a desirable outcome of the new regulation, which was designed, in part, to stabilise the real

    economy

    For higher-rated counterparties that dont deal in long-dated or high-value deals, the increase in pricing may not

    be material and can therefore be absorbed, meaning hedging can continue in its present form. Thats not to say

    that the likely increase in pricing wont go unnoticed.

    Ways that corporates could tweak deal structures to reduce capital and therefore pricing, potentially include use

    of breaks and mark-to-market resets.

    When deciding to collateralise or clear derivatives, corporates need to compare the higher price of

    uncollateralised trades to the lower price of collateralised trades plus the cost of the liquidity to fund the

    collateral. There may also be additional considerations in the accounting of collateral to investigate, such as the

    impact on covenants and credit ratings, as well as whether collateral can be accounted for as a cash and

    equivalent.

    When it comes to those corporates that find the increase in pricing unpalatable and also dont want to

    collateralise their deals, they could cease or reduce hedging, or switch to capital-friendly hedging such as

    purchased options, albeit with a premium requirement. In this case, it is important to understand how changing

    hedging programmes could impact risk profiles, results and of course how the market could react.

    Each company has to weigh up the best choice based on their business model and ultimately choose a path that

    provides the best trade-off between reduction in risk and cost.

    Derivatives and clearing

    Outside of Basel III, another important aspect of the wave of new financial regulations is the requirement to clear

    many over-the-counter (OTC) derivatives. In Europe, this is being introduced by a piece of legislation called the

    European Market Infrastructure Regulation (EMIR), which aims to reduce systemic risk in the financial system

    by forcing more OTC derivatives onto clearing houses. The type of transactions captured by these clearing

    regulations is not 100 per cent clear, though as a general rule they will need to be standardised contracts.

    Most corporates are expected to be exempt from clearing requirements as non-financial end users. However,

    they may still have the ability to opt-in. This may cut credit risk, as well as slightly reduce capital and therefore

    improve pricing versus the CSA collateralisation of deals with banks. On the flip side, clearing also introduces

    the concept of initial margin, which means additional collateral and liquidity requirements above and beyondCSA collateralisation.

    Also, there may be complications if a standard hedge transaction doesnt perfectly match the risk being hedged.

    This could even preclude the application of hedge accounting.

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    Get involved

    There is a limited time for corporates to be able to voice any concerns they have on the new regulations, and

    that time is now. We have heard Members of the European Parliament speak on this topic, and issue a plea to

    get involved. Actions a corporate can undertake include:

    Assessing the impact of the current version of the proposed regulations on hedging programmes andidentifying where the regulations can be improved

    Creating case studies for legislators, highlighting the impact of the regulations

    Working together, including with trade bodies and professional associations

    RBS and Basel III

    RBS has devoted significant resources to understanding Basel III and other new regulations. Teams in our

    Global Banking & Markets (GBM) division have close links with legislators and regulators. We are passing on

    our knowledge of the issues to our clients to help them understand and prepare for the impending changes.

    Where in the world?

    As mentioned, Basel III will be implemented in the European Union through CRD 4. In Asia, regulators in each

    country will implement regulations individually, taking their steer from Hong Kong, Singapore and Australia. Inthe US, the Dodd Frank Act, which is reforming banking practises in America, has addressed Basel III, but also

    outlined other capital requirements that regulators must figure out how to integrate with Basel. The Federal

    Reserve will work on Basel III adoption within the Dodd Frank framework and coordinate with other regulators on

    the additional capital issues.

    For companies with operations across jurisdictions, it is worth analysing how regulators in different countries

    may choose to interpret Basel III recommendations and what that will mean for their businesses.

    All together, the many considerations to be planned for under Basel III mean now is the time to investigate how

    the changes will impact specific businesses and make use of the consultation periods still open with legislators

    and regulators.

    Map of proposed regulation

    Category Key elements Europe US

    Capital & liquidity Improve quality of T1 capital, liquidity, stability and reduce leverage

    Systemic risk

    measures

    Oversight of systemically important financial institutions

    Resolution/recovery plans, survive/unwind

    Bank structure

    reform

    Limits on prop trading, private equity/hedge fund investment (Volcker)

    Swaps spinoff to separate entity

    Over-the-counter

    derivatives

    reform

    Execution shift towards electronic trading

    Mandatory clearing of over-the-counter derivatives

    Real-time post trade reporting

    Position limits; agricultural commodity restrictions

    Market reformCredit rating agency reform

    Securitisation market reform

    Hedge funds and

    insurance

    regulation

    Hedge fund registration, transparency and capital

    Insurer capital requirements, Federal Insurance office in US

    Investor

    protection

    Retail structured product standardisation and disclosure

    Protection bureau, deposit insurance, retail distribution, disclosure,

    mortgage regulation

    Basel III

    CRD IV

    ESRB

    Cross-border CrisisManagement

    ICB (UK)

    MiFID

    Dodd FrankAct

    EMIR

    CRD IICRARegs

    AIF MD

    Solvency II

    MiFID PRIPs

    See glossary for definitions

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    Glossary

    Basel III: Basel III is a series of amendments to the existing Basel Accord, a set of rules designed to stop banks

    taking on excess risk and damaging the economy. It requires banks to hold more capital against their assets,

    thereby decreasing the size of their balance sheets and their ability to invest with borrowed capital.

    CRD 4: Capital Requirements Directive 4, the directive through which Basel III will be implemented in the

    European Union.

    ESRB: European Systemic Risk Board

    ICB: Independent Commission on Banking

    MiFID: Markets in Financial Instruments Directive

    EMIR: European Market Infrastructure Regulation

    CRD 2: Capital Requirements Directive 2

    CRAs: Credit Rating Agencies

    Solvency II: A new, universal solvency regime for all European insurers that aims to make sure they can

    withstand financial market shocks.

    PRIPs: Packaged Retail Investment Products

    Dodd Frank Act: Banking reforms in America

    The contents of this document are indicative and are subject to change without notice. This document is intended for your sole use on the

    basis that before entering into this, and/or any related transaction, you will ensure that you fully understand the potential risks and return of

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