Barita Top 5 Equity Picks
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Transcript of Barita Top 5 Equity Picks
Equity Investment Recommendations
Making Money Work For You! November 19, 2012
Indices Close At YTD
Change
JSE
INDEX
91,721.26 -3.75%
JSE ALL
JA
90,412.42 -11.52%
JSE
SELECT
2,463.32 -14.29%
JSE
CROSS LISTED
875.49 10.19%
JSE
JUNIOR
645.74 -13.77%
JSE
USD
INDEX
53.57 -31.82%
Outlook The Jamaican stock market main index is currently down approximately
3.75% since the start of the year, while for the same period, the JSE junior
index and US Dollar index is down 13.77% and 31.82%, respectively. We
acknowledge that in the face of continued weakness in the domestic economy,
slower global growth & tight fiscal policy, the market will continue to be
volatile in the coming months. Nevertheless, as more light is cast on the
future direction of fiscal and economic policies, we anticipate many
opportunities in the equities markets. We have already seen a report
undertaken by the Jamaica Conference Board showing there has been a rise in
business and consumer confidence, with most of the uptick concentrated in
firms' optimism. Consumer sentiment is a key factor in determining the tone
of the equities market as positive sentiments would give an indication of
investors’ willingness to add to their existing holdings, and acquire new
positions.
We would like to also point out that valuations (such as price relative to
earnings) remain the key variable in long-term stock performance, as utilizing
such measures in one’s investment decisions remain generally favourable on a
historical basis. Given the current environment we encourage you to position
their portfolios in a mix of stocks as listed below with strong management
credibility, good earnings prospects and the potential for continued long-term
growth.
Recommended Stocks Company (click ticker
for details)
Price
(19.11.12)
YTD
Change
Price to
52 wk
low
P/E P/BV Div.
Yield
ROE Buy
Price
JMMB $8.30 -33.06% 10.67% 3.88 0.84 1.33% 21.63% ≤$8.00
SGJ $21.57 -10.16% 11.76% 6.62 1.01 5.15% 15.20% ≤$21.00
PJAM $57.01 -5.00% 0.02% 5.76 0.61 2.63% 10.58% ≤$57.00
CAR $56.66 -7.90% 13.34% 5.30 4.90 16.22% 92.44% ≤$54.50
GENAC $1.74 -30.40% 2.35% 6.00 1.51 5.75% 25.24% ≤$1.71
We believe the recommended stocks will give you a good mix of growth
stocks that also have attractive dividend yields.
We must reiterate that stocks bought at low price to earnings (P/E) ratios and
price to book value (P/BV) generate higher returns over the long run as
compared to stocks with higher ratios. When using this approach, irrespective
of the environment you will be able to identify some stocks that are trading
cheap vis-à-vis their peers. All the stocks we have recommended for your
portfolio in one way or the other fit this criteria, as many of these securities
have been sold off during the year and would be now considered undervalued.
Disclaimer: Projected earnings and stock prices if present were derived using stock extrapolations based off statistical averages derived from prevailing trends in equity prices with minimal consideration given to
statistical aberrations. Several conditions can affect the mathematical results of the evaluation including local, regional and global macroeconomic impacts along with managerial strategic and tactical execution.
Investors should be aware that past results are no guarantee of future performance. Consult the appropriate professional advisor for more complete information. Barita makes no representations or warranties about
the accuracy or completeness of the information contained herein. Opinions and recommendations (if any) are given in good faith but without legal responsibility and are subject to change without notice. Barita
Investments Ltd. and/or companies connected with it, its clients and officers may have a position in or engage in transactions in any of the securities mentioned. The interest of Barita Investments Ltd., its
representatives and its officers are available on request in accordance with Sec. S.39(1) of the securities act of 1993.
My dream home.
By starting with $50,000 per month, and investing steadily in the Barita Money Market Fund
for 6 years, my dream became a reality.
Barita Money Market Fund ...makes it happen.
Barita Investments Ltd. 15 St. Lucia Way Kingston 5, Jamaica Phone (876) 926-2681
Jamaica Money Market Brokers Ltd. JMMB’s recent acquisition of Capital & Credit has already started to reap
benefits to the Company’s profitability as seen in its most recent
financials. The Group posted profits of J$2.54 billion which included a one-
off gain of J$1.61 billion from the acquisition. (CCFG) represent a J$1.18
billion or 86.4% improvement over the prior period.
Despite these positive results the stock is still attractively priced at a P/E
of 3.88X, well below the industry average of 10.23X and is well below the
price it traded at the beginning of the year.
With a current ratio of 1.12 the Group continues to remain liquid and
should have no problem meeting any of its short-term obligations.
Scotia Group Jamaica Ltd. As interest margins have contracted due to significantly lower market
interest rates subsequent to the JDX, SGJ has still managed to show
strong growth in earnings assets.
The group continues to cut and manage their interest costs and operating
costs while increasing revenues in their non-interest activities (including
increased trading and fees). The bank has sought to grow its core
business, by growing its deposits and leading the charge to lower interest
rates to grow its loan business.
Scotia Group Jamaica has an above average dividend and has a historically
high return on equity (5 year average of approx. 23.19%). Having a
strong and prudent management team is one of the company’s greatest
strengths.
Pan-Jamaican Investment Trust Ltd. As inflation and devaluation continue to pose a challenge to the economy,
PJAM has postured itself well, as much of their assets are denominated in
USD and are invested in prime real-estate positions.
The company also continues to benefit from its 33% share in Sagicor Life
Jamaica and helps to diversify this Company’s earnings.
The Company also has a low debt/equity ratio of 0.22 and boasts an
attractive liquidity ratio (current) of 6.02 based on its most recent results.
Carreras Ltd. Carreras is recommended mainly for income purposes. Carreras continues
to generate a good dividend payment record; their most recent div. yield
was a staggering 16.22% (mostly due to some pension payouts) and its
normal payout ratio is usually above repo rate (currently at 6.25%).
Incidentally their last financial results posted strong increase in profits.
General Accident Insurance Co. Ja. Ltd. The company has been able to grow its gross premiums written and pre-
tax profits over the past 5 years and continues to show strong
performance in its most recent results.
The company has demonstrated superior underwriting; this is evidenced
by the company achieving 4 underwriting annual profits in the last 5
years. This compares with 5 underwriting annual losses for the industry as
a whole over the same period.