Bangladesh Country Analysis - Jamar Johnson

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Bangladesh Country Analysis Team C

Transcript of Bangladesh Country Analysis - Jamar Johnson

Page 1: Bangladesh Country Analysis - Jamar Johnson

Bangladesh Country Analysis

Team C

Page 2: Bangladesh Country Analysis - Jamar Johnson

Bangladesh Inflation vs GDP

Source: World Bank

• Variables show a correlation coefficient of 0.84, demonstrating direct relationship between them.o Covariance is 1.11 . Positive covariance

demonstrates both numbers move in same direction

• When Inflation rises, generally GDP tends to rise as well

• 2009 was year of "inflexion" for the two variables

• In 10 years:o GPD rose 51%o Inflation rose 221%

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Regional GDP Growth

Source: World Bank

• In the last 3 years, Bangladesh is only country showing positive growth vs previous year

• Pakistan data parallel to India (Appears to track India performance)

• Bangladesh seems to show less volatility and more consistent pattern.

• Vietnam also tracking India and Pakistan but on a more moderate level

• An animated and integrated graph, is available: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pd2jXb5WpHM

• Possible Shockso 2010 Pakistan Floodso 2008 Global Recession

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Regional Inflation

Source: World Bank

• Bangladesh Inflation rising steadily in the last 3 years.

• Up to 2008 the four countries seemed similar.

• After 2008 big differences in Inflation behavior

• In 2011 only Vietnam seems radically different than the other 3

• Possible Shocks:o 2007: Natural disaster in Bangladesh

affects commodity prices

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Appendix 1: Comparative Inflation Data

Sources: World Bank & CIA Factbook

Cross-referenced information for reliability purposes.

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Appendix 2: GDP Growth Data

Sources: World Banck & CIA Factbook

Cross-referenced information for reliability purposes.