Bangladesh Country Analysis - Jamar Johnson
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Transcript of Bangladesh Country Analysis - Jamar Johnson
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Bangladesh Country Analysis
Team C
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Bangladesh Inflation vs GDP
Source: World Bank
• Variables show a correlation coefficient of 0.84, demonstrating direct relationship between them.o Covariance is 1.11 . Positive covariance
demonstrates both numbers move in same direction
• When Inflation rises, generally GDP tends to rise as well
• 2009 was year of "inflexion" for the two variables
• In 10 years:o GPD rose 51%o Inflation rose 221%
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Regional GDP Growth
Source: World Bank
• In the last 3 years, Bangladesh is only country showing positive growth vs previous year
• Pakistan data parallel to India (Appears to track India performance)
• Bangladesh seems to show less volatility and more consistent pattern.
• Vietnam also tracking India and Pakistan but on a more moderate level
• An animated and integrated graph, is available: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pd2jXb5WpHM
• Possible Shockso 2010 Pakistan Floodso 2008 Global Recession
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Regional Inflation
Source: World Bank
• Bangladesh Inflation rising steadily in the last 3 years.
• Up to 2008 the four countries seemed similar.
• After 2008 big differences in Inflation behavior
• In 2011 only Vietnam seems radically different than the other 3
• Possible Shocks:o 2007: Natural disaster in Bangladesh
affects commodity prices
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Appendix 1: Comparative Inflation Data
Sources: World Bank & CIA Factbook
Cross-referenced information for reliability purposes.
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Appendix 2: GDP Growth Data
Sources: World Banck & CIA Factbook
Cross-referenced information for reliability purposes.