Axis Auto PP Investor Presentation... · Private & Confidential Introduction to Axis Auto Finance...
Transcript of Axis Auto PP Investor Presentation... · Private & Confidential Introduction to Axis Auto Finance...
Private & Confidential
Investor Presentation
Private & Confidential
Introduction to Axis Auto Finance
1 Note: All dollar amounts in CAD | fiscal year end is June 30 1 Post 2 Acquisitions
Axis Auto Finance is a high-growth, non-bank automotive finance company that is backed by
seasoned specialty lending executives and is poised for significant expansion
• Axis Auto Finance Inc. (“Axis”) (TSXV:AXIS) provides used car financing solutions to borrowers unable
to obtain financing through traditional lending sources
• The Company’s portfolio has grown to $110 MM+ post two acquisitions in 2018, and has consistently
delivered superior performance metrics
• Best in the industry management team and board of directors
• The Company is rapidly growing, organically and through acquisitions
• Receivables are funded through a combination of term debt and securitization
Net Finance Receivables Yield vs. Loss Rate
(1)
Private & Confidential
Axis Management Team
2
Todd Hudson
CEO
• 25 years of sales and operations management experience in Canadian alternative lending
• Proven track record of excellence growing companies both organically and through acquisitions, having overseen and integrated 14 acquisitions throughout his career
Ilja Troitschanski
Founder & President
• A successful entrepreneur with a wealth of business development experience
• Has built Axis consistently delivering best portfolio metrics in the industry
Richard Lloyd
CFO
• Former Director of Operations & Finance at Travelers (acquired by Scotia)
• 20 year career in the automotive finance industry
Steven Koster
Managing Director
• Former SVP Finance at CIT Canada/Newcourt Credit – annual originations of US$ 1.2B
• Former General Manager at TD Equipment Finance
Best-in-class management team of industry veterans is leading Axis on to the next stage of growth
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Canadian Non-Prime Auto Finance
3 Source: Desrosiers
The Canadian used light vehicle market is large and has realized significant growth over the past
decade
Canadian used auto market
has grown ~50% over the
past 10 years
85% of used vehicles are
financed through leases
or loans
• A vehicle is a necessity, with 3 MM used cars sold annually in Canada = a market of ~$40 B
• ~30% of Canadians do not qualify for traditional financing sources
• Canadian non-prime used vehicle financing is an estimated ~$8 B market
• There are >8,000 auto dealers in Canada, Axis is in ~900 today
Canadian Used Light Vehicle Retail Market ($ B)
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Current Competitive Landscape
4 Source: DealerTrack
The non-prime space is fragmented and the opportunity for consolidation is significant
Client Credit
Quality A B C D
Lenders
Servicing Market
Segment
• A and B credit markets are dominated by the banks
• The D credit market is highly fragmented with no dominant players
• The opportunity for a roll-up strategy exists and Axis has begun consolidation
CONSOLIDATED BY AXIS
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Axis Customer Profile
5 Source: Equifax
Large addressable market;
Approximately 30% of Canadians have credit scores in the non-prime range
Average Customer Average Lease
• 37 years old
• Income of $3,900/month
• Credit score between 450-600
• ~7 year old vehicle
• Beginning balance of ~$11,000
• Monthly payments of ~$400
• Average term of 48 months
Canadian Credit Market Breakdown by Credit Score
14%
4% 4% 5%
10% 12%
24%
21%
4%
No Score < 549 550 - 599 600 - 649 650 - 699 700 - 749 750 - 799 800 - 849 850 +
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Culture of Risk Management
6 Source: Company disclosures, ADESA Canada
Recession-
Resilient
Business
• Each client’s credit situation is evaluated
individually, using newest technology tools
• Fair market value of the vehicle is established at
the point of adjudication
• A lien is put on each vehicle
• Rigorous audit/verification process prior to
funding
• Every vehicle is insured with Axis as “loss payee”
Carfinco went
through the last
recession with a
manageable increase
in losses
Prices of Canadian
used cars have
remained very stable
over time
During the “Great
Recession” prices
dipped 9%
In cases of non-payment,
Axis is protected through:
Bi-Weekly payments
allow higher contact
frequency
GPS units installed in
the vehicle
Stringent
Underwriting
Criteria
ADESA Canada Used Vehicle Price Index
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Consolidation Strategy
7
Axis is now the largest publicly traded subprime auto lender in Canada
The subprime auto finance space presents an opportunity for Axis to implement a roll up strategy,
scale quickly, and build a platform where Axis can dominate by leveraging economies of scale,
operational efficiencies and cheaper funding.
Axis has begun the consolidation process and has successfully executed the first two targets:
(1) Cars on Credit Financial (“CoCF”) and (2) Trend Financial Corp. (“Trend”).
June 2017 March 2018
Axis Portfolio
$22 MM
CoCF Portfolio
$34 MM
Axis Portfolio
$24 MM
June 2018
Trend Portfolio
$54 MM
Axis Portfolio
$24 MM
CoCF Portfolio
$34 MM
Stand Alone: $22 MM
(1) Pro-forma approximation
$58 MM
$110 MM
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Acquisition Benefits
8
1
Benefits of the Acquisitions
• Geographic diversification into the Maritimes
• Elimination of a direct competitor
2
Establishment of the Largest Public Sub-Prime Automotive Finance Company in Canada
• Combined finance receivables of approximately $110 MM
• Solidifies Axis as the market leader in the Ontario sub-prime automotive finance space
3
Creates Highly Leverageable Platform to Make Strategic Acquisitions and Increase Scale
• Immediate size and scale provides currency and operating leverage to serve as an acquisition platform
• Reduced client acquisition cost and lower cost financing (expected to be in place in 2018)
4
Attractive Combination Metrics and Realizable, Near-Term Synergies
• Expected to be immediately accretive to CY 2018 adjusted earnings(1) per share
• Significant operating synergies given front- and back-end operational similarities
5
Best-in-Class Management and Board who are Significantly Aligned with Shareholders
• Strong management team with decades of experience in the non-prime automotive finance sector
• Significant shareholder alignment (insiders own 29%)
(1) As defined in the Company’s MD&A dated June 12, 2018
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Capitalization & Ownership
9 Note: All dollar amounts in C$MM, all share amounts in millions
Capitalization (in millions)
Equity Ownership (basic)
Axis Insider Holdings
29%
Institutional Holdings
31%
Retail Holdings
40%
Share Price (as of Aug. 24, 2018) $0.53
Axis Insider Holdings 27.3
Institutional Holdings 30.0
Retail Holdings 38.3
Basic Shares Outstanding 95.6
Market Cap $51
Metrics
Axis P/B 1.4x
Carfinco (CFN) 10 Year Avg. P/B 4.1x
Carfinco (CFN) 10 Year Avg. P/E 11.4x
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Historical Auto Finance Success
10 Source: Company materials, equity research
Note: P/E multiples presented on a trailing basis
The Canadian automotive finance sector has undergone large, selective M&A over the past decade;
Numerous M&A opportunities remain in a fragmented market of smaller, regional players
Acquired in 2006 by
Acquired in 2007 by
Acquired in 2015 by
Acquired in 2015 by
(Travelers Leasing
Corporation)
P / E: 8.9x
P / B: 4.0x
P / E: 15.0x
P / B: 4.1x
P / E: nmf
P / B: 4.2x
Terms not disclosed
CASE STUDY ON CARFINCO SHAREHOLDER
RETURN SHOWN IN APPENDIX
Private & Confidential
Board of Directors
11
Bo
ard
of
Dir
ecto
rs
Paul Stoyan
Chairman
• Chairman of Gardiner Roberts LLP, a Canadian business law firm
• Director at ECN Capital and Enghouse Systems; former Director at Open Text Corporation
Todd Hudson
Director • CEO of Axis
Ilja Troitschanski
Director • Founder and President of Axis
Bruce Smith
Director
• Former President and Chief Operating Officer of Element Financial Corporation (TSX: EFN)
and former Managing Director and Senior Vice President of Vendor Finance at CIT Financial
Gerry Thom
Director
• 35 years of experience in operations and management in the public and private sectors
• Recently retired as President of the Public Services Commission
Jordan Zinberg
Director
• Founder and CEO of Bedford Park Capital
• Former MD and PM at Donville Kent – an award winning $300 MM hedge fund
Wes Neichenbauer
Director
• VP and CFO at Rowntree Enterprises
• Decades of experience in automotive retail and financing with Applewood and Trend Financial
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Near Term Milestones
12
Coast-to-
Coast
Expansion
Axis is expecting to be originating in all relevant
Canadian markets
Bank Line Axis is expecting to re-finance its existing senior debt with
a significantly cheaper and significantly larger bank
funding facility
TSE Listing Axis is expecting to graduate to the TSE from the TSXV
Private & Confidential
13
Appendix: Carfinco Case Study
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Carfinco Case Study – Overview
14 Source: Company filings Bloomberg
Note: All periods up to and including 2010 are in GAAP, and IFRS thereafter
(1) Reflects total return (capital appreciation + reinvested dividends)
Company
Description
• Carfinco Financial Group Inc. (“Carfinco”) is a non-prime automotive finance company operating as a wholly-owned subsidiary
of Banco Santander
• Completed its initial public offering in 1997 and was acquired by Banco Santander in 2015 for $298 MM
• Historically focused in the D-credit space with a recent migration to B and C-credit space
• Operated in every province in Canada
• Approximately 2,500 dealer relationships across Canada
Finance
Receivables
($ MM)
Total
Shareholder
Return (1)
Geographic Breakdown (Sept. 30, 2014)
Western Canada
$140 Eastern Canada
$86
United States
$43
$269$244
$183
$150$125
$101$106$92
$73$60
$42
Sept.2014
2013201220112010200920082007200620052004
($0.45)
$20.24
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
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Historical Valuation
15 Source: Company filings, Bloomberg
Note: P/E reflects a 30-day moving average
P / E
(LTM)
P / B
14.2x
11.4x
4.0x
6.0x
8.0x
10.0x
12.0x
14.0x
16.0x
18.0x
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
4.0x4.1x
0.0x
2.0x
4.0x
6.0x
8.0x
10.0x
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
11.4x
4.1x
Private & Confidential
Ilja Troitschanski
Founder & President
T: (416) 633-5626
Private & Confidential
Disclaimer This presentation (the “presentation”) has been prepared by Axis Auto Finance Inc. (the “Corporation”) and is being delivered for
information purposes only. The presentation is confidential and is made available strictly on the basis that it will not be reproduced,
redistributed or disclosed, in whole or in part, to any other person at any time, nor its contents disclosed or used for any purpose, without
the prior written consent of the Corporation. The presentation does not contain all information that a prospective investor may require. It is
an overview only and does not contain all the information necessary for investment decisions. Unless otherwise specified in the
presentation, information contained in the presentation may not always be current. No reliance may be placed for any purpose
whatsoever on the information contained in the presentation or on its completeness, and no liability whatsoever is accepted for any loss
howsoever arising from any use of the presentation or its contents or otherwise in connection therewith.
This presentation contains information provided to the Corporation by other parties. The Corporation has investigated such information
but has not completed due diligence and cannot represent and warrant that such information is completely accurate. Should a transaction
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information and you have agreed to hold such information (including the fact that a transaction is being considered) and any additional
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