Axa Presentation
Transcript of Axa Presentation
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Sales Congress 2010Hilton Athens 6.3.2010
Eric Kleijnen
CEO
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Evolution « after » 2008 financial downturn?
• End of an acute phase? Possibly.
• Economic recovery under way? Probably but regionally segmented. No big improvement in 2010.
• Unemployment as a painful issue, probably for years.
• Financial markets partially recovered but still weak / hesitating.
The real economy is thrilling
Industrial production (percent change) Baltic Exchange Dry Index
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AXA Group : solid results in a volatile environment
Solid earningsSolid earnings
Increased financial strength
Increased financial strength
Strong rebound in dividend & Embedded Value
Strong rebound in dividend & Embedded Value
• Underlying earnings: 3.9B€ (vs 4B€ in 2008)
• Net income: 3.6B€ (vs. 0.9 B€ in 2008)
• Solvency I up 44 pts to 171% (equivalent to level before crisis)
• Debt gearing down 8 pts to 26% of total financial assets
• Dividend up 38% to 0.55€ per share
• Group Embedded Value up 49% to 13.4€ per share
Resilient business
and model
Resilient business
and model
• Total revenues: down 3% to 90.1B€
• Life & Savings: net inflows of 8.6B€
• New business value up 5% to 1.1B€
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AXA Group: RevenuesResilient vs. FY08
Revenues by segment
2,841
Asset Management
3,947
In Euro million
FY08
International Insurance
412Banking & Holdings
2,860
3,074
FY09
395
91,221
Revenues 90,124
P&C 26,039 26,174
L&S 57,977 57,620
+2%
-25%
%
-2%
-1%
+1%
-4%
Mediterranean & LA region
-32%
-7%
+13%
+11%
-6%
+1%
Changes are on a comparable basis
NORCEE
UK &Ireland
North America
France
Asia-Pacific (incl. Japan)
* Excluding International Insurance, Asset Management, Banking and Holdings
In Euro billion
22
11
97
13
22
Insurance revenues by region
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A steady growth…
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2004 2005 2006 2007
Merger with Norwich Union in the Gulf Region
Acquisition of Seguro
Directo
Acquisition of
Winterthur
Acquisition of Alpha Insurance
Acquisition of Minority Shareholder
Joint Venture with Monte dei Paschi
di Siena (MPS)
Acquisition of Minority Shareholder
Direct Seguros
2008
Acquisition of Minority
Shareholder
Acquisition ofING Seguros
2009
AXA launches a 2 B€ rights issue to finance acquisition opportunities
Romania
Algeria
Serbia
2010
Bulgaria
Albania
Fyrom
BALKANSGreen fields
Azerbaijan
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Current situation of Greek main economic indicators
GDP: -1.2% (-2.5% anticipated in 2010)
Public Deficit 12.7% of GDP in 2009
Stock Exchange +22.93%
Public debt 303 B€ in 2009 or 113% of GDP
Unemployment 10.6% in Nov vs. 9.5% EU average
Manufacturing -7.6%
Inflation 2.6% in 2009 vs. 1.4% Eu average
10 years bonds spreads 300
Private consumption -1.5%
Imports -16% Exports -24.7%
Residential construction -28.1% as of Nov. 2009
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Greece : insurance industry
• WRITTEN PREMIUMS - 3% 2009: 2.428 B€ 2008: 2.502 B€
• Drop in INVESTMENT products
• Compensation via PENSION (+4.22%) and GROUP policies (+14.28%)
• WRITTEN PREMIUMS +4% 2009: 2.915 B€ 2008: 2.809 B€
• Motor TPL: + 9.05%
• Property + 1.85%
• Assistance + 15.45%
L&S P&C
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Greece : insurance industry
• Solvency II as one of the most critical events in insurance for the next
10 years:
In force from 2012
Objective: better secure consumers through closer / tighter risk management.
Increased capital requirements in demanding financial markets.
Exposure to risk will be more expensive for shareholders and consumers.
Insurers will take risks but better care about pricing, conditions and accumulations
more discipline in markets.
Closer / more demanding supervision.
• Combined ratios: increasing in Health and Motor will we hit the wall?
• Impact of recent fiscal measures (as VAT) further price increases
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AXA Greece’s results in a volatile environment
In Euro million
FY08 FY09
50/50 Combined ratio
94% 95%
Gross revenues 100 110
FY10
94%
118
P&C
In Euro million
FY08 FY09
APE 20 15
Gross revenues 127 108
FY10
25
163 (?)
NBV / APE ratio 12% 21% 25%
AXA GREECE
• Underlying IFRS earnings
• 2008: 9.1 M€
• 2009: 11.1 M€ (1)
• 2010 (obj) 12.0 M€ (1)
(1) After impact of Greek fiscal measures and
cost of Transformation project
L&S
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AXA in the Greek market
AXA
• Multi-channel distribution
• AXA global Group
• Reputation & clean / strong name
High-solvency (174%)• Huge investment in the
business despite the turmoil
• Poor customer data
no customer segmentation
• Still limited systems & processes
++
--
MARKET
Potential… providing all parties do
their job
Insecurity due to the financial turmoil
Better governance
Greek budget issues
OPPORTUNITIESOPPORTUNITIES
THREATSTHREATS
• Global & local instability
• Pressure on revenues
• Unemployment
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Our strategic goals…Profitability³
Property & CasualtyProperty & Casualty
• Motor
• Segmented offer
• Re-pricing acc. costs
• Enhance productivity
• U/W (bonus/malus,
addresses, etc)
• Retail property
• Review offer
• Dedicated packages
• SMEs
• "Shops around the corner “
& offices
• Risk monitoring
• P&C commercial lines
• Secure profitability
Life & SavingsLife & Savings
• Health
• Secure profitability
• Customers call center
• Partnerships
• Claims control
• Life
• Retention
• Emphasize Protection
Moments of truthMoments of truth
• Transformation
• 1st phase: Motor (retail & com.), retail property, SMEs, yachts/ cargo and Health
• 2nd phase: commercial P&C
• 3rd phase: L&S
• Collection
• Make process efficient, also for customers
• Increase speed
• No laxity on the agenda
• Loss ratio
• Insurance is capital intensive
• Combined ratios of all business lines must be <95%
• Specific focus on Health, Motor & Commercial Lines