AVs must be EVsholes, and lax oversight threaten to disrupt this critical balance and the future of...
Transcript of AVs must be EVsholes, and lax oversight threaten to disrupt this critical balance and the future of...
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AVs must be EVs
Joe MacDougald
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A Story of Three Cars
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Some News….
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“The point is that it's very expensive to make self-driving a reality, and when it does happen, these companies are going to spend years trying to pay off the research and development that's needed for a robot to chauffeur you around town. If you look at Uber and Lyft right now, their ride-share business plans don't actually produce a profit. Robo-taxis could reduce the cost of each ride in the future.”
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A Race….
• ““The U.S. has fallen behind, and we will continue to fall behind if we fail to act,” [Representative Cathy McMorris] Rodgers said. “If we fail, this transformative technology will go abroad.”(https://www.consumerreports.org/autonomous-driving/congress-debates-autonomous-vehicles-car-safety/ )
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…And Caution
• ““Troubling safety incidents, regulatory black holes, and lax oversight threaten to disrupt this critical balance and the future of this technology itself,”[Rep. Frank Pallone, chairman of the House Energy and Commerce Committee], said. “Regulators must have the expertise to understand self-driving technology and not just rely on the assurances of technology companies.”
• (https://www.consumerreports.org/autonomous-driving/congress-debates-autonomous-vehicles-car-safety/ )
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U.S. lets autonomous vehicle bypass human-driver safety rules
• “For the first time, the U.S. government’s highway safety agency has approved a company’s request to deploy a self-driving vehicle that doesn’t meet federal safety standards that apply to cars and trucks driven by humans”.
https://www.pbs.org/newshour/science/u-s-lets-autonomous-vehicle-bypass-human-driver-safety-rules
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BUT NO EV REQUIREMENT?• The National Highway Traffic Safety
Administration granted temporary approval for Silicon Valley robotics company Nuro to run low-speed autonomous delivery vehicles that were designed so they can’t carry humans.
• Nuro’s vehicles won’t be required to have side and rear-view mirrors and other safety provisions. Also not on the safety feature list; windshield wipers, steering wheels or brake pedals.
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Issues of our Research
• 1. State Structures• 2. Legal Liability• 3. Insurance Issues• 4. Broader Policy Issues
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1. State Structures
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AV Laws• Each year, the number of states considering
legislation related to autonomous vehicles has gradually increased.
• In 2018, 15 states enacted 18 AV related bills.
• In 2017, 33 states have introduced legislation. In 2016, 20 states introduced legislation.
• Sixteen states introduced legislation in 2015, up from 12 states in 2014, nine states and D.C. in 2013, and six states in 2012.
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AV Laws• Since 2012, at least 41 states and D.C. have
considered legislation related to autonomous vehicles.
• Twenty-nine states—Alabama, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Florida, Georgia, Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine, Michigan, Mississippi, Nebraska, New York, Nevada, North Carolina, North Dakota, Oregon, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Virginia, Vermont, Washington and Wisconsin —and Washington D.C. have enacted legislation related to autonomous vehicles.
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IIHS
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State Authorization
• No Federal Response of note – yet! • 30 States have some regulations or
executive orders.
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Connecticut
• Connecticut, for instance, has a law calling for a study committee on AVs.
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Arizona
• Positive Law encouraging Avs.
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Other States
• Prohibit towns or cities from passing laws interfering with AVs. .
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Michigan
• Senate Bill 995 – Avs are allowed on the roads!
• Other states, allowing in specific area.
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Liability
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Municipal Liability
• Municipalities will gain a lot from autonomous vehicles in terms of new planning options. But what are their liabilities?
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Simple QuestionWhat if the lines are mis-painted?
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Other assumptions
• New forms of vehicles as electrification spreads?
• Bikes – Motorcycles – Elecuctified bikes –New Truck Designs
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Justice Issues
• Who will be driving the non-autonomous, less safe cars?
• Who will be in the cars around you? • Eventually, people of reduced means.
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Traffic Pattern Innovation
• Connected Vehicles – No Stoplights? • Faster speeds in town. • Self-parking – Land Use Issue?
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3. Insurance Issues
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Insurance
• A recent meeting w/insurance executives confirmed an industry report – insurance premium drop due to autonomous vehicles:
80%!
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Away from the Car
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Tesla = iPhone?
• Tesla and Volvo have separately discussed providing insurance as part of the “service” of owning the car. Absorbing all liability.
• Does this create disparity in an accident? • Will connected cars always have a clearer
picture of the accident?
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Tesla Insurance Available NOW!
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Roundtable
• NAIC Roundtable. • Issues of Education. • Municipal Education.
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4. Broader Policy Issues
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Other Group: Policy
• Traffic Policy• Geography• Psychology• Law• Insurance
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How to Think of Policies?
• Inside the car: Expectations between the driver and the manufacturer.
• Around the Car: Expectations between the car and the world around.
• Away from the Car: Policies driven to work through liability and management.
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Inside the Car
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• The Car “Assumes a world”.
• It models, but those models are based on assumptions as to what it “sees”.
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Who is in charge?
• The NHTSA is doing individualized investigations of Tesla autopilot accidents.
• Who is responsible for the accident? • What is your responsibility for running
autopilot.
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Open issues
• 1. Training. Personal experience, minimal despite manual having limitations.
• 2. Operation on non-divided highways. • 3. More per-clearance of the road?
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Psychological Factors
• Some studies seem to imply that there is a fixed time limit for humans to react from dis-engaged to engaged mode. Studies are from manufacturing floor supervision. Perhaps as long as 6 seconds – assuming attention.
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Finally
AVs must be EVs
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From Tesla.com
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But What About Charging Networks?
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Tesla Network - USA
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Destination Charging - Tesla
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Charge Point – Same Area!(Slower)
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Ex. Chargepoint.com
• Aggregating Private Networks –encouraged by groups like Chargepoint.
• 21 States have some form of state program.
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State Incentives: Charging Stations (SliChargepoint)
• California: Alameda Municipal Power:• up to $500 for a ChargePoint Home. • $15/month utility bill rebate for agreeing to
charge overnight only.
Slides Sourced from chargepoint.com
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Texas
• Austin Energy : rebate of 50% of the purchase and installation cost of a ChargePoint Home station. The maximum rebate amount is $1,200 for Wi-Fi-enabled charging stations.
Slides Sourced from chargepoint.com
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One Federal Program Exists
• It is a 2.8 Billion dollar program to expand the charging networks.
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Around the Car
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What are the issues surrounding these new form of
vehicles?
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Questions
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First Car : EV 1
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UConn Law
Joe MacDougaldFall 2016
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In the USA, cars have two sources of emissions regulation. The Federal
Government and California.
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State Regs can Move Industry
• California created a Zero EmmissionsVehicle Standard.
• GM makes EV1• 1996-1999• ZEV Change• Revived?!
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Today
• Car incentives for electric vehicles continue - $ 7,500 up to 200,000 vehicles.
• State incentives continue. • Note: From Tesla! Companies very savvy.
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Second Car VW 412 ‘74
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History of Defeat Devices
• 1974: VW !! (Settled – WSJ)• 1991: GM using computer chip.• 1998: Diesel industry. • Now - VW
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Emissions Testing
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Real World Testing
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Not New! California in 1960s(www.kcet.org)
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Defeat Device Cars40 CFR 89.107
• § 89.107 Defeat devices.• (a) An engine may not be equipped with a
defeat device.• (b) For purposes of this section, “defeat
device” means any device, system, or element of design which senses operation outside normal emission test conditions and reduces emission control effectiveness……
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VW Settlement
• Includes $ 2 Billion for an electric vehicle charger to the Federal Government.
• $800 million for work in California. • They have formed a company Electrify
America, just for this purpose.
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Electrify America
“Over a ten year period ending in 2027, Electrify America will invest $2 billion in Zero Emission Vehicle (ZEV) infrastructure and education programs in the United States.”
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Electrify America
“Of this $2 billion, $1.2 billion will be invested nationwide (in states other than California), while $800 million will be invested in California, the largest single ZEV market in the world.”
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