Avnet Analyst Day 2010 Presentation 3 Financial Report
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Transcript of Avnet Analyst Day 2010 Presentation 3 Financial Report
![Page 1: Avnet Analyst Day 2010 Presentation 3 Financial Report](https://reader036.fdocuments.us/reader036/viewer/2022081400/55524a0db4c905954f8b4bde/html5/thumbnails/1.jpg)
Accelerating Your Success™1 Accelerating Your Success™
Avnet Analyst Day 2010
Performance & Potential
Avnet, Inc.
December 15, 2010
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Accelerating Your Success™2 Accelerating Your Success™
Financial Report
Ray Sadowski
Chief Financial Officer
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Accelerating Your Success™3 Accelerating Your Success™
Agenda
• Historical Results
– Performance through the recession
• Strong Financial Position
• Long-term Business Model
• Acquisition Integration Update
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Historical Results
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Accelerating Your Success™5 Accelerating Your Success™
$12.7
$10.6
$8.9$9.5
$10.8
$12.6
$14.8
$17.0$17.9
$16.7
$22.8
$5
$7
$9
$11
$13
$15
$17
$19
$21
$23
$25
CY00 CY01 CY02 CY03 CY04 CY05 CY06 CY07 CY08 CY09 CY10*
Avnet, Inc. Revenue
Avnet’s Journey – The Last Decade
($ in billions)
6 years of growth with
revenue peaking in CY ‘08
Tech Bubble
downturn
Less
severe
downturn
Two 100 Year Floods in one decade; yet steady progress
Record
revenue
in 2010
* CY10 is an estimate based upon three completed quarters and guidance for Q4CY10
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Accelerating Your Success™6 Accelerating Your Success™
$1.90
$1.54
$1.23 $1.24
$1.45
$1.63
$1.92
$2.21
$2.31
$1.96
$2.7215.0%
14.6%13.8%
13.1%13.5%
12.9% 13.0% 13.0% 12.9%
11.8% 11.9%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
$0.00
$0.50
$1.00
$1.50
$2.00
$2.50
$3.00
CY00 CY01 CY02 CY03 CY04 CY05 CY06 CY07 CY08 CY09 CY10*
GP $ GP % of Sales
Avnet, Inc. – Gross Profit $ and %
* CY10 is an estimate based upon three completed quarters and guidance for Q4CY10
Margins impacted by geographic and business mix($ in billions)
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Accelerating Your Success™7 Accelerating Your Success™
$650
$238
$101
$166
$317
$377
$599
$750
$694
$443
$865
5.1%
2.3%
1.1%
1.8%
2.9%3.0%
4.1%
4.4%
3.9%
2.7%
3.8%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
6%
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
$700
$800
$900
CY00 CY01 CY02 CY03 CY04 CY05 CY06 CY07 CY08 CY09 CY10*
Op Income $ Op Income %
Significant operating leverage during periods of growth:
Demonstrated during CY 03-07 growth period
Starting a new trend in CY 10
Avnet, Inc. – Operating Income $ and %
* CY10 is an estimate based upon three completed quarters and guidance for Q4CY10
Note: Excludes restructuring, integration and other charges
($ in millions)
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Accelerating Your Success™8 Accelerating Your Success™
Avnet, Inc. – EPS
$2.49
$0.43
$0.06
$0.48
$1.40 $1.50
$2.32
$3.12
$2.90
$1.72
$3.64
$0.00
$0.50
$1.00
$1.50
$2.00
$2.50
$3.00
$3.50
$4.00
CY00 CY01 CY02 CY03 CY04 CY05 CY06 CY07 CY08 CY09 CY10*
Steep decline in profits
tied to significant
revenue loss
Y/Y more than doubled
to record level
Excludes restructuring, integration and other charges
* CY10 is an estimate based upon three completed quarters and guidance for Q4CY10
Dramatic trough to
trough performance
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Accelerating Your Success™9 Accelerating Your Success™
23.2%
30.0%
24.1%
18.6% 19.0%
17.0% 17.0% 16.8% 17.1%
14.6%13.4%
4.3 3.34.2
5.4 5.3
5.9 5.9 6.0 5.9
6.9
7.5
5.2
4.3
5.3
7.26.9
7.67.9
8.2 8.1
9.1
9.7
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
CY00 CY01 CY02 CY03 CY04 CY05 CY06 CY07 CY08 CY09 CY10*
WC
Ve
loc
ity
& In
ve
nto
ry T
urn
s
WC
% o
f S
ale
s
Average WC % of Sales WC Velocity Inventory Turns
* CY10 is an estimate based upon three completed quarters and guidance for Q4CY10
Avnet, Inc. - Working Capital Velocity & Inventory Turns
Significantly higher velocity due to VBM and geographic and business mix
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Accelerating Your Success™10 Accelerating Your Success™
VBM Improved ROWC
22.1%
7.5%
4.7%
9.4%
15.5%
17.5%
23.9%
26.4%
22.8%
18.2%
28.4%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
CY00 CY01 CY02 CY03 CY04 CY05 CY06 CY07 CY08 CY09 CY10*
Note: Excludes restructuring, integration and other charges
ROWC declined
due to the dramatic
cycle downturn
ROWC moves to
record level
following recession
VBM launched
early 2001 ROWC improved as
VBM combined with
organic growth + M&A
ROWC reached
higher peak
* CY10 is an estimate based upon three completed quarters and guidance for Q4CY10
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Accelerating Your Success™11 Accelerating Your Success™
8.5%
2.8%
1.8%
4.0%
7.5% 7.8%
10.3%
11.9%
10.0% 10.0%
15.6%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
CY00 CY01 CY02 CY03 CY04 CY05 CY06 CY07 CY08 CY09 CY10*
VBM Improved ROCE
Note: Excludes restructuring, integration and other charges
ROCE declined due
to the dramatic
cycle downturn
VBM launched
early 2001
New ROCE target
established in 2009
14% - 16%
ROCE improved as
VBM combined with
organic growth + M&A
* CY10 is an estimate based upon three completed quarters and guidance for Q4CY10
New ROCE target range Previous ROCE target
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Strong Financial
Position
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Accelerating Your Success™13 Accelerating Your Success™
VBM Cash Flow from Operations
$168 $204$393
$499$289
$410$173
$200
$206$166
$20
$142$121
-$423
$126
-$211
$809
-$582
-$600
-$400
-$200
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Net Income Non Cash Items Working Capital
$462m $725m $454m $1,118m$-19m
Annual Totals
$-30m($ in millions)
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Accelerating Your Success™14 Accelerating Your Success™
$2.9 Billion of cumulative cash from net income +
non-cash Items over the past 6 years
VBM Cash Flow from Operations
$168 $204$393
$499$289
$410$173
$200
$206$166
$20
$142$121
-$423
$126
-$211
$809
-$582
-$600
-$400
-$200
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Net Income Non Cash Items Working Capital
($ in millions)
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Accelerating Your Success™15 Accelerating Your Success™
Strengthened Balance Sheet
Key Credit Statistics
$1,244 $1,235 $1,209 $1,225
$970
$1,280
$85.1
$96.5
$77.2 $72.3 $66.5 $61.7
$0
$50
$100
$150
$200
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
$1,400
FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10
Total Debt Interest Expense
(5.8%)
(7.1%)(6.5%)
(Effective interest rate noted above line)
(5.6%)(5.0%)
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Debt to EBITDA 3.2 2.1 1.6 1.5 1.7 1.7
EBITDA Coverage 4.5 6.1 9.9 11.5 8.6 12.1
Debt to Capital 37.2% 30.4% 26.2% 22.9% 26.0% 29.8%
(5.4%)
($ in millions)
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Accelerating Your Success™16 Accelerating Your Success™
Financing Strategic Objectives
• Maintain Avnet’s Investment Grade credit ratings
– Cost of Debt Capital
– Access to Capital
– Trading Partner Relationships
– Competitive Position
• Optimize Avnet’s cost of capital
• Ensure adequate availability of capital / liquidity to
meet the needs of the business
– Fund organic growth
– Fund M&A growth
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Accelerating Your Success™17 Accelerating Your Success™
Capital Allocation Strategy
• Disciplined internal resource allocation
• Reinvest cash generation for growth - primarily
through value creating M&A = ROCE ≥ 12.5%
– Continue to believe the best use of cash is to fund
future growth
• Return “Excess” cash to shareholders when
appropriate
– Dividends (perpetual)
– Stock buyback
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Accelerating Your Success™18 Accelerating Your Success™
Liquidity Framework
• Normal Float $200M $300M
• Working Capital Expansion $200M $500M
• Debt Due Within 3 Years -- --
• Committed M&A $100M $100M
• Potential M&A $200M $500M
• Total $700M $1.4B
Low High
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Long-Term Business
Model
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Accelerating Your Success™20 Accelerating Your Success™
Long-term Model Philosophy
• Remain committed to achieving ROCE of 14% – 16%
– Adjusted for impairment of goodwill on legacy businesses = ~16%
– Incremental investments including acquisitions will be held to a
minimum 12.5% ROCE threshold
• Top operational goal is generating 30% ROWC at the
enterprise level
– Varies by group and region due to different tax rates
• Shift of business mix towards Asia and TS, including growth
in Latin America, could negatively impact operating margins
• These margin declines should be positively offset by higher
asset velocity
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Accelerating Your Success™21 Accelerating Your Success™
Long-Term Business Model
*Note: ROCE goal of 12.5% = ~16.0% after impairment of goodwill; items above
do not include restructuring, integration or other charges.
No change from previous model
FY09 Actual FY10 Actual 3 Year Goal
ROCE
Avnet 8.7% 14.7% 14 - 16%*
ROWC
Avnet 17.8% 27.0% 30.0%
Working Capital Velocity
Avnet 5.9 7.8 6.7 - 7.5
Operating Income Margin
Electronics Marketing 3.9% 4.5% 5.0 - 5.5%
Technology Solutions 2.9% 3.1% 3.4 - 3.9%
Avnet 3.0% 3.5% 4.0 - 4.5%
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Accelerating Your Success™22 Accelerating Your Success™
55% Drop Through
60% Drop Through
65% Drop Through
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10%
Op
era
tin
g In
co
me
Gro
wth
Gross Profit Growth
Operating Leverage
Value Creating M&A
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Accelerating Your Success™23 Accelerating Your Success™
Revenue Seasonality
Numbers provided are estimates for a
typical quarter and can vary based
upon several factors including but not
limited to:
– Economic/Market conditions
– M&A activity
– End of fiscal calendar
– Foreign currency exchange rates
Sequential Revenue Growth
Sept Dec Mar Jun
EM +1% to -3% 0% to -3% +4% to +7% 0% to +4%
TS -1% to -5% +22% to +28% -16% to -20% +3% to +7%
Avnet 0% to -4% +8% to +12% -4% to -7% +1% to +5%
20%
22%
24%
26%
28%
30%
Sept Dec Mar Jun
EM TS AVT
Percent of Annual Revenue
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Acquisition
Integration Update
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Accelerating Your Success™25 Accelerating Your Success™
Bell Integration Update
Note: Full synergies goal of $60 million annualized ($15 million per quarter) is expected to be achieved
as we enter fiscal year 2012.
• Retained all key personnel, suppliers and customers
• Converted Bell’s Americas business to Avnet’s IT system
• Comfortable with synergy target of at least $60M
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
% Complete 51% 72% 86% 100%
Cumulative annualized synergies @ end of quarter $30.4 $43.1 $51.6 $60.0
Incremental annualized synergies @ end of quarter $30.4 $12.7 $8.5 $8.4
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Synergies impacting current quarter $6.3 $9.2 $11.8 $13.9
Year to date synergies realized $6.3 $15.5 $27.3 $41.2
($ in millions)
($ in millions)
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Accelerating Your Success™26 Accelerating Your Success™
Summary
• Took advantage of the V-shaped recovery to deliver
record results
• Long term priorities continue to focus on driving profitable
growth and increasing Economic Profit $
– ROWC > 30%
– ROCE = 14 – 16%; incremental > 12.5%
• Demonstrating strong operating leverage
• Strong balance sheet and liquidity
– Investment grade credit statistics
– Higher EPS and growth potential
• Proven mgm’t team; growing long-term shareholder value
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Q & A