Aveo Group FY14 Half Year Results · 2020. 2. 8. · Financial Results & Capital Management 3....
Transcript of Aveo Group FY14 Half Year Results · 2020. 2. 8. · Financial Results & Capital Management 3....
Aveo Group
FY14 Half Year Results For the period ended 31 December 2013
19 February 2014
Agenda
1. Overview
2. Financial Results & Capital Management
3. Retirement
4. Non-Retirement
5. Outlook
6. Appendices
i. Detailed Financial Information
ii. Retirement Information
iii. Non-Retirement Information
iv. Capital Management
2
3
Overview
4
Steps Achieved on Road to a Pure Retirement Entity
Since the announcement of a strategy to transition to a pure retirement company, several key milestones have been achieved
Category Milestone Status
Branding Change of company name from FKP Property Group to Aveo Group
Communicate new strategy to the investment market and staff
Leverage Reduce Aveo gearing to levels in line with pure retirement players
Asset Sales
Sales of Lonsdale St, 50% of The Milton, Yang land at Point Cook, the Hepher Rd industrial land and the Aerial retail complex
All pre-existing Non-Retirement fractional interests, including the 50% MulphaFKP joint-venture interest, the small shareholding in PBD and the 50% interest in the Brookvale joint-venture, have been sold
Land banks are expected to be rationalised within our strategic timeframes
Strong pipeline of interest on remaining assets
RVG Sold Metlifecare stake, repaid debt, have substantial cash surplus
Strategic Stockland first right of refusal over retirement assets removed Investor Appeal
Re-introduced into the S&P/ASX 200 Index
5
Key Medium Term Targets
Financial Returns
Targeting to improve retirement assets’ Return on Assets (ROA)1
Financial return targets of:
– 6.5% ROA by FY16
– 8.0% ROA by FY18
1 Return on assets calculated as retirement EBIT divided by retirement assets (excluding any future retirement asset revaluations after 30 June 2013). See further detail on slide 40.
Transitional Period
4.0%
6.5%
8.0%
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
7.0%
8.0%
FY14F FY16F FY18F
Re
turn
on
Ass
ets
Ongoing Steps to Achieve Returns
Esta
blis
he
d
Po
rtfo
lio
Continue to achieve turnover rates at levels in excess of 10%; currently 11%
Increase unit pricing; currently achieving valuation for resales
Improve Aveo contract terms; introducing improved standard contract
Ret
ire
me
nt
Dev
elo
pm
en
t Pipeline enlarged from 600 units to 2,600 units
Delivery planned for 200 new units per annum by FY16
Delivery of 500 new units per annum by FY18
Car
e a
nd
Su
pp
ort
Grow revenue through care and
support services to 100% of the portfolio; 75% coverage targeted for FY14 will be achieved
Finalise discussions with strategic alliance partners in aged care
6
Financial Results & Capital Management
7
Key Financial Outcomes
Outcome HY14 HY13 Change Comment on HY14
Statutory Profit/(Loss) after Tax1
$2.2m3 ($28.5m) 108% Reflects transfer from foreign currency translation
reserve – see note 3
Statutory Profit/(Loss) after Tax1 before transfer from FCTR2 $20.9m ($28.5m) 173%
Principally driven by improvement in fair value adjustment to retirement investment property
Underlying Profit after Tax $19.2m4 $23.6m (19%) Improved Retirement result and lower Non-Retirement
contribution
Underlying EPS 5.0cps 9.1cps (45%) Reflects additional shares outstanding following capital
raise completed in December 2013 and reduced underlying earnings
Net Assets $1,425.3m $1,174.0m5 21% Increase in net assets is driven by December 2013
capital raise
NTA per Stapled Security $2.78 $3.535 (21%) Adjusted for additional stapled securities on issue
following December 2013 capital raise
Gearing 20.4% 31.5%5 (11%) Reduced by December 2013 capital raise, asset sales and
operating cash inflow
Look Through Gearing 21.7% 34.5%5 (13%) Reduced by December 2013 capital raise and the pay
down of RVG debt
1 Net profit/(loss) after tax attributable to stapled security holders of the Group – see slide 23. ²Foreign Currency Translation Reserve 3Included in the Statutory Result of $2.2m is a transfer of the foreign currency translation reserve relating to Aveo Group’s indirect stake in Metlifecare that was sold during the period. An amount of $18.7m was transferred from reserves within equity to the statement of comprehensive income. This transfer did not affect net assets. The reserve accumulated over the life of the Metlifecare investment due to foreign exchange fluctuations. The statutory profit for the period would be $20.9m, had this reserve not been transferred to the statement of comprehensive income as required by Accounting standards. 4 Includes utilisation of $4.8m before tax, $3.4m after tax, of impairments raised at June 2013. 5 Relates to FY13.
8
Divisional Contributions
HY14 ($m)
HY13 ($m)
Change
Retirement
Established Business 20.1 14.4 40%
Development 0.2 1.1 (82%)
Care and Support 0.6 0.6 -
Total Retirement 20.9 16.1 30%
Non-Retirement
Residential Communities and Apartments 12.2 24.0 (49%)
Commercial and Industrial 3.7 2.7 37%
Total Non-Retirement 15.9 26.7 (40%)
Non-Allocated Overheads (5.1) (6.2) (18%)
EBITDA 31.7 36.6 (13%)
Depreciation and Amortisation (0.9) (1.1) (18%)
EBIT 30.8 35.5 (13%)
Interest and Borrowing Expense (10.0) (7.8) 28%
Profit Before Tax 20.8 27.7 (25%)
Income Tax (1.5) (4.2) (64%)
Profit After Tax 19.3 23.5 (18%)
Non-Controlling Interests (0.1) 0.1 (200%)
Net Underlying Profit1 19.2 23.6 (19%)
Statutory Profit/(Loss) 2.2 (28.5) (108%)
1 The underlying profit has been calculated as per the AICD Underlying Profit Guidelines. Includes utilisation of $4.8m before tax, $3.4m after tax, of impairments raised at June 2013.
.
9
Capital Management: HY14 Metrics
Metrics HY14 FY13
Reported Gearing 20.4% 31.5%
Look Through Gearing 21.7% 34.5%
ICR 2.6x 2.5x
Total Interest Bearing Liabilities $504m $685m
Undrawn Committed Lines2 $237m $139m
Available Facilities $202m $92m
Weighted Average Borrowing Cost1 8.4%3 8.1%
Weighted Average Debt Maturity 1.7 years3 1.7 years
Fixed % on Drawn Debt 87%3 76%
Fixed % on Facility Limit 61%3 63%
Weighted Average Hedge Maturity 2.4 years3 2.7 years
1 Includes margins and line fees. 2 Undrawn facilities are dependent upon having sufficient security. 3 Pro forma after Convertible Bond redemption on 5 January 2014.
Interest Bearing Liabilities and Gearing History
Capital raise of $232m successfully completed
during the period to reduce gearing and debt levels
Reported gearing materially reduced to 20.4%
$125m of existing facility limits were cancelled or
amortised during the period
Available facilities have increased materially
Interest coverage ratio is 2.6 times against a
covenant of > 2.0 times
Pro forma weighted average borrowing cost after
redemption of the Convertible Bond (CB) is 8.4%
due to the higher proportion of fixed rate debt
post repayment from capital raise proceeds
Weighted average time to maturity of debt 1.7
years
CB redeemed soon after balance date (5 January
2014)
10
Retirement
30% lift in profit contribution from retirement operations driven by an increase in overall sales volumes of 36% and total value of units transacted of 45%
Turnover is strong by industry standard at 11%
Also positively impacted by a shift from a focus on clearing low profit margin Aveo owned buyback stock in HY13, to a more ‘business as usual’ sales mix in HY14
Sales mix reflects:
– significant increase in resident to resident resales, which offset a drop in buyback sales
– decrease in established business revenue reflects decrease in buyback sales
Tight cost control also reflected in lift in underlying operational profit contribution
11
Analysis of Retirement Results
Key Performance Indicators HY14 HY13 Change
Profit Contribution
Established Business $20.1m $14.4m 40%
Development $0.2m $1.1m (82%)
Care and Support $0.6m $0.6m -
Total Retirement Contribution $20.9m $16.1m 30%
Segment Revenue
Established Business1 $47.5m $52.0m (9%)
Development2 $3.5m $6.2m (43%)
Services3 $5.1m $5.5m (7%)
Total Retirement Revenue $56.1m $63.7m (12%)
Total Value of Units Transacted $89.9m $62.1m 45%
Sales volumes (units)
Resales 287 135 113%
Buyback Sales 35 90 (61%)
Newly Developed Sales 11 19 (42%)
Total 333 244 36%
Buyback Purchases (units) 35 45 (22%)
Deposits on Hand 122 124 (2%)
1 Includes DMF/CG, Admin Fees and Other Income relating to the Existing Business, RVG and US Senior Living Equity Accounted Profits. 2 Includes New Sales Income. 3 Includes Aged Care and Other Support Income.
234
303
263
205
244
333
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
-
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
HY09 HY10 HY11 HY12 HY13 HY14
Re
sid
en
tial
Se
ttle
me
nts
Un
its
AOG Sales (LHS) AOG deposits on hand (LHS) LGA National Settlements (RP Data) (RHS)
12
Sales Trends
Total Unit Sales Levels vs. National Residential Settlements
Source: RP Data (LGA Relative to Villages, Price Point Range $420,000 to $1.2m).
HY14 sales of 333 units are the highest sales levels in over five comparable periods achieved
Still maintaining solid levels of deposits on hand in addition to the strong sales levels
Lift in total DMF/CG generated in line with increases in resident resale levels
Average DMF/CG transaction price point increased
Lower DMF/CG margins achieved due to the mix of an unusually high rate of residents exiting with below average contract terms
Provides an opportunity to convert these less favourable contracts to new standardised contract which have terms more favourable to Aveo
Key assumptions used in determining the Investment Property valuation remain consistent with previous periods
Consistent assumptions reflected in the fact that the Investment Property asset valuation remains largely unchanged
Contribution from RVG expected to increase going forward post pay-down of debt
Established Portfolio
Key Performance Indicators HY14 HY13 Change
Gross DMF/CG Generated $23.7m $15.9m 49%
Avg DMF/CG Transaction Price Point $267k $259k 3%
Avg DMF/CG per Transaction $73k $88k (17%)
Avg DMF Rate of Existing Contracts 30% 30% -
Avg CG Share of Existing Contracts 51% 50% 1%
Portfolio Turnover (based on sales) 11% 8% 3%
Occupancy 95% 93% 2%
Average Age of Residents (years) 82.5 82.8 (0.3)
Average Age on Entry (years) 76.9 77.0 (0.1)
Average Village Age (years) 24.6 23.6 1.0
Key Valuation Assumptions/Outcomes HY14 FY13 Change
Discount Rate 12.5% 12.5% -
Future Property Price Growth
Medium term 3.5% 3.5% -
Long term 4.5% 4.5% -
Average 20 Year Growth Rate
4.3% 4.3% -
Current Resident Tenure
ILUs Life tables
Life tables
- SAs
Subsequent Resident Tenure (years)
ILUs 10 10 -
SAs 4 4 -
NPV of Annuity Streams $891.2m $891.9m -
13
Achieving Development Targets
Historically have consistently developed c.500 units of residential product (lots or apartments) depending upon prevailing market conditions
Increase to targeted 500 new retirement units per annum is consistent with this level of broader existing development
Simply substituting new retirement development activity for existing residential development activity
Construction underway at the following sites
in FY14:
— Albany Creek, QLD
— Durack, QLD
— Island Point, NSW
— Mingarra, VIC
— Hunters Green, VIC
— Rose Grange, VIC
The pipeline has now increased to around 2,600 units taking into account identified greenfield sites within the existing land portfolio, plus redevelopment of existing villages within the portfolio
Further site acquisitions under consideration to ensure pipeline is adequate to meet forecast unit delivery in FY16 and FY18
Additional resources being redeployed from within existing broader Aveo business or recruited
14
Development Activity
Aveo Historical Residential Development Sales
1 Does not include MulphaFKP lots.
60 69 13 123
433 443
380242
67 37
3745
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13
560 549
430 410
60 6913 123
433 443380 242
67 3737 45
FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13
Retirement Units Land Lots
Apartments Average - Four year
1
15
Care and Support Services
Home Care
Trials with several third party care providers are underway at villages in QLD, VIC and SA to provide full care services into villages and from village to catchment areas
Aveo does not provide services directly but facilitates provision of care and support services to residents via these specialist external providers
Introduction of these providers to the villages has been met with strong interest and uptake by residents
Service provision model via third party providers meets resident needs, is capital efficient, maximises revenue opportunities while minimising the operating risks to Aveo
In H
om
e
Car
e Domestic and care services to be available
at over 90% of villages owned by Aveo by end of FY14, in excess of target previously announced of 75% of villages
Nu
trit
ion
Consultants have been engaged to develop a national approach to nutrition, food preparation and delivery of meals into villages
Furt
he
r Se
rvic
es Resident surveys and focus groups with
resident committees are currently being undertaken to facilitate targeted delivery of services
Re
sid
en
tial
A
ged
Car
e In substantial discussions regarding the
expansion and co-location of residential aged care and dementia facilities at existing villages with third party operators
Re
spit
e
Nationwide respite services now available
16
Non-Retirement
Divisional contribution reflects very strong land sales at all major land banks and from MulphaFKP JV
Current level of sales would see Rochedale sold out in three years and Peregian in four years
Second display village is well underway at Saltwater Coast with official opening planned for April 2014
Positive contribution from MulphaFKP JV, reflecting strong sales at Mulgoa
Luxe remains on track to be completed and sold out by end of FY14
Targeting sale of remaining Aerial stock by end of FY14
Milton on track for completion in FY16 with 244 pre-sales to date
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Residential Communities and Apartments
Key Performance Indicators HY14 HY13 Change
Divisional Profit Contribution1 $12.2m1 $24.0m (49%)
Gross Profit – Land $13.2m $5.5m 140%
Gross Profit – Apartments $0.1m S21.0m (100%)
Sales Revenue $57.7m $113.3m (49%)
Land Lot Sales2 193 74 161%
Built Product Sales 8 110 (93%)
MulphaFKP JV Lot Sales 104 64 63%
Average Margin (incl. interest)2 20% 23% (3%)
Average Margin (excl. interest)2 30% 35% (5%)
1 Includes utilisation of $4.2m of impairment raised at June 2013. 2 Does not include MulphaFKP.
Residential Deposit Flow
Development
All retail space at Gasometer 1, Newstead now fully leased with 37% of office space leased, reflecting a slow down in the Brisbane market
Sale of Hepher Road, south-western Sydney for $6.5m settled in November 2013
Strong sales volumes at Mackay, with enquiries remaining consistent
Investment Property
Sale of Lonsdale Street, Melbourne settled in October 2013 for $31.5m
Miller Street, Sydney being marketed
18
Commercial and Industrial
Key Performance Indicators HY14 HY13 Change
Divisional Profit Contribution1 $3.7m $2.7m 37%
Comprised of: Development $1.1m ($0.9m) (222%)
Net Rental Income $2.6m $3.6m (27%)
Trading Sales Revenue $10.4m $4.2m 148%
Investment Properties Held2 1 3 (66%)
1 Includes utilisation of $0.6m of impairment raised at June 2013. 2 Gasometer 1 held as inventory at HY13 and HY14
19
Outlook
20
Deliver On The Plan That Has Been Put In Place
Already achieved all the immediate key elements of the strategic plan
Resources have been allocated to meet key development and care targets
Leverage reduced and now provides operational and strategic flexibility going forward
Non-Retirement asset sales are progressing well and are expected to reach the previous target of an 80/20 Retirement/Non-Retirement asset split by earlier than the end of FY16
Maximise shareholder value by consistently demonstrating realisation at or around book value
Strategic Plan
Established
Continue to Exit Non-
Retirement
FY14 underlying profit expected to be up on FY13 result
Dividend amount to be determined and announced in June 2014
FY14 Guidance
Maximise cash flow generation available from existing established retirement business
Focus business performance on delivery of medium term development, care and key financial return targets
Continue to Execute Strategy
21
Appendices
Appendices
Appendix i. Detailed Financial Information
Appendix ii. Retirement Information
Appendix iii. Non-Retirement Information
Appendix iv. Capital Management
22
23
Statutory Income Statement
HY14 ($m)
HY13 ($m)
Profit/(Loss) From Continuing Operations Before Income Tax 2.4 (33.4)
Income Tax (Loss)/Benefit (1.6) 8.7
Profit/(Loss) From Continuing Operations After Income Tax 0.8 (24.7)
Loss After Tax From Discontinued Operations - (15.0)
Profit/(Loss) for the Half-Year 0.8 (39.7)
Non-Controlling Interest 1.4 11.2
Net Profit/(Loss) After Tax Attributable to Stapled Security Holders of the Group 2.2 (28.5)
24
Reconciliation of Statutory Profit to Underlying Profit
HY14 HY13
Gross ($m)
Tax1 ($m)
Net ($m)
Gross ($m)
Tax1 ($m)
Net ($m)
Statutory Profit after Tax and Non-controlling Interest 2.2 (28.5)
Retirement
Change in Fair Value of Retirement Investment Property 3.4 (2.2) 1.2 55.5 (17.2) 38.3
Share of Non-Operating Loss of Equity Accounted Investments 16.5 - 16.5 6.3 - 6.3
Total Retirement 19.9 (2.2) 17.7 61.8 (17.2) 44.6
Non-Retirement
Change in Fair Value of Property Trust portfolio - - - 2.8 - 2.8
Net Development Impairments 0.9 - 0.9 4.1 - 4.1
Provision for Losses 0.9 (0.3) 0.6 2.3 (0.7) 1.6
Other 1.9 (0.5) 1.4 0.6 (0.1) 0.5
Total Non-Retirement 3.7 (0.8) 2.9 9.8 (0.8) 9.0
Change in Fair Value of Derivatives (5.2) 1.6 (3.6) (2.1) 0.6 (1.5)
Underlying Profit after Tax and Non-controlling Interest
19.2 23.6
1 The tax adjustment in relation to the change in fair value of the retirement investment property includes tax and OEI.
25
Reconciliation of Underlying Profit to Segment Notes
($m)
Underlying Profit
Change in Fair Value of Retirement Investment
Property
Share of Non-
operating Loss of Equity
Investments
Net Development Impairments
Provision for Losses
Change in Fair
Value of Derivatives
Other Statutory Result
Retirement
Established Business 20.1 (3.4) (16.5) - - - - 0.2
Development 0.2 - - - - - - 0.2
Care and Support 0.6 - - - - - - 0.6
Total Retirement 20.9 (3.4) (16.5) - - - - 1.0
Non-Retirement
Residential 12.2 - - (2.6) (0.9) - (0.4) 8.3
Commercial and Industrial 3.7 - - 1.7 - - (0.8) 4.6
Total Non-Retirement 15.9 - - (0.9) (0.9) - (1.2) 12.9
Non-Allocated Overheads (5.1) - - - - 5.2 - 0.1
EBITDA 31.7 (3.4) (16.5) (0.9) (0.9) 5.2 (1.2) 14.0
Depreciation and Amortisation (0.9) - - - - - - (0.9)
EBIT 30.8 (3.4) (16.5) (0.9) (0.9) 5.2 (1.2) 13.1
Interest and Borrowing Expense (10.0) - - - - - (0.7) (10.7)
Profit Before Tax 20.8 (3.4) (16.5) (0.9) (0.9) 5.2 (1.9) 2.4
Income Tax (1.5) 0.7 - - 0.3 (1.6) 0.5 (1.6)
Profit After Tax 19.3 (2.7) (16.5) (0.9) (0.6) 3.6 (1.4) 0.8
Non-Controlling Interests (0.1) 1.5 - - - - - 1.4
NPAT Attributable to Aveo Group 19.2 (1.2) (16.5) (0.9) (0.6) 3.6 (1.4) 2.2
26
Reconciliation of Retirement Segment Revenues to Segment Note
HY14 ($m)
HY13 ($m)
Segment Revenue
Established Portfolio 47.5m 52.0m
Development 3.5m 6.2m
Services 5.1m 5.5m
Total Retirement Segment Revenue (Slide 11) 56.1m 63.7m
Adjustments
Sales Revenue – New Sales1 (3.5) (6.2)
Sales Revenue – Buy Back Sales1 (9.3) (22.6)
Equity Accounted Profits – RVG and US Senior Living 0.3 (1.3)
Interest Income 0.1 0.1
Retirement Revenue per Segment Note 43.7 33.7
1 Included as change in fair value of resident loans in statement of comprehensive income.
HY14 ($m)
HY13 ($m)
Change in Fair Value of Resident Loans on the face of the Statement of Comprehensive Income
Change in Fair Value of Resident Loans (Slide 30) 7.1 (40.2)
Movement in Deferred Revenue (Slide 30) (2.3) (0.9)
Sales Revenue – New Sales (3.5) (6.2)
Sales Revenue – Buyback Sales (9.3) (22.5)
Total Change in Fair Value of Resident Loans (8.1) (69.9)
27
Reconciliation of Movement in Non-Retirement Assets
Non-Retirement Asset Balance Sheet Movement from 30 June 2013 to 31 December 2013 ($m)
Non-Retirement Assets at 30 June 2013 798.2
Less: Lonsdale Street Sale (31.0)
Pro forma Non-Retirement Assets at 30 June 2013 767.2
Less: Asset Sales made during the HY14 period (Hepher Road, PBD and Brookvale JV) (17.0)
Movement in Equity Accounted Investments during the HY14 period (2.3)
Add: Net Development Activity during the HY14 period 44.5
Closing Non-Retirement Assets at 31 December 2013 792.5
Less: Asset Sales Post Half Year End
Aerial Retail Complex (9.0)
MulphaFKP JV (53.3)
Milton/Yang Land (46.0)
Pro forma Non-Retirement Assets at 31 December 2013 684.2
Represented by
Inventories: Residential Communities 326.2
Residential Apartments 115.3
Commercial and Industrial 216.4
Total Inventories 657.9
Investment Properties/Assets held for Sale 19.4
Property, Plant and Equipment 6.9
Pro forma Non-Retirement Assets at 31 December 2013 684.21
Pro forma Non-Retirement Assets at 31 December 2013 as Percentage of Total Assets2 38%
1 Will reduce further upon re-allocation of identified retirement sites from existing land portfolio. 2 Excludes non allocated assets of $140.7m.
Total asset sales
announced of $156.3m
28
Summary Statutory Balance Sheet
HY14 ($m)
FY13 ($m)
Change
Assets
Retirement
Investment Properties (refer slide 30) 2,335.4 2,333.0 -
Investments (refer slide 32) 99.5 91.9 8%
Property, Plant and Equipment 14.8 15.1 (2%)
Intangibles 2.6 2.4 8%
Total Retirement 2,452.3 2,442.4 -
Non-Retirement
Inventories (refer slide 31) 712.9 674.9 6%
Investment Properties / Assets held for sale (refer slide 30) 19.4 50.5 (62%)
Investments (refer slide 32) 53.3 66.1 (19%)
Property, Plant and Equipment 6.9 6.7 3%
Total Non-Retirement 792.5 798.2 (1%)
Cash/Receivables/Other 143.2 117.3 22%
Total Assets 3,388.0 3,357.9 1%
Liabilities
Payables/Provisions/Deferred Revenue/Other 52.3 92.9 (44%)
Resident Loans and Retirement Deferred Revenue 1,349.6 1,344.8 -
Interest Bearing Liabilities 504.2 685.0 (26%)
Deferred Tax 29.9 30.0 -
Hedge Liability 26.7 31.2 (14%)
Total Liabilities 1,962.7 2,183.9 (10%)
Net Assets 1,425.3 1,174.0 21%
NTA per stapled security $2.78 $3.53 (21%)
29
Management Balance Sheet
HY14 ($m)
FY13 ($m)
Change
Assets
Retirement
Retirement Investment Property1 (refer slide 30) 985.8 988.2 (2%)
Equity Accounted Investments (refer slide 32) 99.5 91.9 8%
Property Plant and Equipment and Intangibles 17.4 17.5 (1%)
Total Retirement 1,102.7 1,097.5 1%
Non-Retirement
Property Trust assets 19.4 50.5 (62%)
Commercial and Industrial Developments 235.1 213.9 10%
Residential Communities 365.3 381.5 (4%)
Residential Apartments 172.7 152.3 13%
Total Non-Retirement 792.5 798.2 (1%)
Other Assets (including Cash and Trade Receivables) 140.7 115.5 22%
Total Assets 2,035.9 2,011.2 1%
Liabilities
Interest Bearing Liabilities (refer slide 48) 504.2 685.0 (26%)
Derivative Liabilities 32.2 42.1 (24%)
Deferred Tax Liabilities 29.9 30.0 (0%)
Other Liabilities (including Trade Payables, Provisions, Deferred Revenue) 44.3 80.1 (45%)
Total Liabilities 610.6 837.2 (27%)
Net Assets 1,425.3 1,174.0 21%
1 Net of resident loans and deferred income.
30
Investment Property Summary
HY14 ($m)
FY13 ($m)
Change
Retirement
NPV of Annuity Streams (refer slide 13) 891.2 891.9 -
Investment Properties Under Construction 50.6 49.8 2%
New Units Available for First Occupancy 13.9 16.9 (18%)
Buy Back Units Available for Occupancy 30.1 29.6 2%
Retirement Net Valuation 985.8 988.2 (2%)
Resident Loans 1,255.3 1,248.2 1%
Deferred Income Net of Accrued DMF 94.3 96.6 (2%)
Total Retirement Investment Property 2,335.4 2,333.0 -
Non-Retirement
Aveo Property Trust
Investment Properties 19.4 50.5 (62%)
Total Investment Properties 19.4 50.5 (62%)
Assets Reclassified as Available for Sale (19.4) (31.0) (37%)
Operating Lease Receivables and Incentives - - -
Total Non-Retirement Investment Property - 19.5 (100%)
Total Investment Properties per Balance Sheet 2,335.4 2,352.5 (1%)
31
Non-Retirement Inventories Summary
HY14 ($m)
FY13 ($m)
Change
Inventories
Residential Communities 326.2 328.4 (1%)
Residential Apartments 170.3 147.8 15%
Commercial and Industrial 216.4 198.7 9%
Total Inventories 712.9 674.9 6%
Residential Communities
($m)
Residential Apartments
($m)
Commercial and Industrial
($m)
Total
($m)
Impairment
Balance as at 30 June 2013 191.2 24.7 51.7 267.6
Additional Provisions Recognised - - - -
Amounts Utilised in relation to pre 30 June 2013 impairments (0.7) (0.4) (0.7) (1.8)
Amounts Utilised in relation to 30 June 2013 impairments (4.2) - (0.6) (4.8)
Balance as at 31 December 2013 186.3 24.3 50.4 261.0
32
Equity-Accounted Investments Summary
HY14 ($m)
FY13 ($m)
Change
Equity-Accounted Investments
Retirement
RVG 94.0 86.9 8%
US Senior Living 5.5 5.0 10%
Total Retirement 99.5 91.9 8%
Non-Retirement
MulphaFKP 53.3 55.6 (4%)
PBD Developments1 - 7.9 (100%)
Brookvale - 2.6 (100%)
Total Non-Retirement 53.3 66.1 (19%)
Total Equity-Accounted Investments 152.8 158.0 (3%)
1 Effective December 2012, the accounts of PBD Developments Limited were deconsolidated from the consolidated Group and treated as an investment in an associate accounted for under the equity method. Effective October 2013, the consolidated Group sold its remaining share in PBD Developments Limited.
33
Interest Expense Reconciliation
HY14 ($m)
HY13 ($m)
Change
Interest Expense Paid 29.9 38.7 (23%)
Less: Capitalised Interest
Retirement
Properties Under Construction - 0.5 (100%)
Total Retirement - 0.5 (100%)
Non-Retirement
Residential Communities 17.2 23.3 (26%)
Commercial and Industrial – Trading 2.7 7.1 (62%)
Total Non-Retirement 19.9 30.4 (35%)
Total Capitalised Interest 19.9 30.9 (36%)
Net Finance Costs 10.0 7.8 28%
Add: Capitalised Interest Expenses in COGS
Residential Communities 4.6 2.9 59%
Residential Apartments 0.9 10.5 (91%)
Commercial and Industrial – Trading 0.7 0.7 -
Total Capitalised Interest in COGS 6.2 14.1 (56%)
Finance Costs Including Capitalised Interest Expensed in COGS 16.2 21.9 (26%)
34
Corporation Statutory Income Tax Reconciliation
HY14 ($m)
HY13 ($m)
Statutory Profit/(Loss) from Continuing Operations before Tax 2.4 (33.4)
Less: Property Trust Contribution (12.7) (10.4)
Corporation Loss before Tax (10.3) (43.8)
Add: Transfer from Foreign Currency Translation Reserve on Disposal of Foreign Operation 18.7 -
Add: Other Non-Deductible Items (net of non assessable items) (3.1) (2.2)
Add: Unfranked Dividends Received - 3.1
Corporation Adjusted Taxable Profit/(Loss) 5.3 (42.9)
Tax Expense/(Benefit) @ 30% 1.6 (12.9)
Prior Period Adjustment - -
Adjusted Tax Expense/(Benefit) 1.6 (12.9)
Effective Tax Rate 1 (16%) 29%
De-Recognition of Deferred Tax Asset 2 - 4.2
Tax Expense/(Benefit) 1.6 (8.7)
1 Calculated as adjusted tax expense or benefit divided by corporation loss before tax. 2 An assessment of the recoverability of certain deferred tax assets related to equity accounted investments was made. This assessment determined that tax benefits were not considered recoverable with sufficient certainty. As a result these tax benefits were de-recognised.
35
Group Management Expenses
Continued to successfully identify and
implement cost saving initiatives Now targeting a reduction of 12% for
FY14 Focus continues on:
— Rationalising corporate functions as business moves to pure play retirement
— Retirement procurement — Improving and automating
processes Reallocation of resources from Non-
Retirement to Retirement associated with the increased development rates and the expansion of care and support services will impact management expenses going forward
Management Expenses HY14 HY13 Change
Total $17.7m $22.4m (21%)
Management Expenses
36
Cash Flow Reconciliation
22
48
8
34
(13)
(7)
(28)
(3)(6)
31
86
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Opening Cash Net RetirementActivity
Net Non-Retirement Activity
Sale of Non-Retirements Assets
Payment forInvestments
Net Interest Paid Distribution Paid Other OperatingCosts
Other Proceeds fromEquity Raise Net ofDebt Repayment
Closing Cash
$m
37
Look Through Gearing Levels
1H14 Aveo ($m)
RVG ($m)
MFKP ($m)
Other ($m)
Look-Through ($m)
Total Assets 3,388.0 - - - 3,388.0
Less: Cash (85.7) - - - (85.7)
Less: Resident Loans (1,255.3) - - - (1,255.3)
Less: Equity-Accounted Investments (EAIs) - - - - (152.8)
Plus: Share of EAIs Total Assets - 344.0 89.3 24.7 458.0
Less: Share of EAIs Cash - - (2.8) (0.6) (3.4)
Less: Share of EAIs Resident Loans - (240.2) - - (240.2)
Look-Through Adjusted Assets 2,047.0 103.8 86.5 24.1 2,108.6
Borrowings 504.2 - - - 504.2
Less: Cash (85.7) - - - (85.7)
Plus: Share of EAIs Borrowings - 1.2 24.7 17.1 43.0
Less: Share of EAIs Cash - - (2.8) (0.6) (3.4)
Look-Through Net Debt 418.5 1.2 21.9 16.5 458.1
Reported Gearing 20.4% - - - 21.7%
38
Movement in Net Tangible Assets per Security
Net Tangible Assets ($m)
No. of Securities (m)
NTA per Security ($)
As at 30 June 2013 1,136.4 321.6 3.53
Statutory Net Profit 2.2 0.01
Other Comprehensive Income1 21.5 0.07
Increase in Intangible Assets2 (1.4) -
Movements in Reserves3 1.1 -
Issue of New Securities4 228.4 178.5 (0.83)
As at 31 December 2013 1,388.2 500.1 2.78
1 Includes the transfer from foreign currency translation reserve to statutory profit of $18.7m on disposal of a foreign operation. 2 Principally software licences. 3 Acquisition of non-controlling interests and equity settled employee benefits. ⁴ Securities issued in November 2013 in respect on the Institutional and early retail component of the accelerated non-renounceable pro-rata entitlement offer and in December 2013 in respect of the retail component of that offer.
Appendices
39
Appendix i. Detailed Financial Information
Appendix ii. Retirement Information
Appendix iii. Non-Retirement Information
Appendix iv. Capital Management
40
Medium Term ROA Enhancement Strategy
Management recently completed an extensive strategic review with a focus on improving Retirements ROA
Execution of various business plans have commenced with the aim of meeting medium to long term return targets
Example initiatives across business lines include:
− Established Portfolio: review of existing resident contract structures, streamlining sales processes
− Development: accelerating deployment of pipeline to meet stated delivery targets
− Care and Support Services: pursuing strategy to facilitate high levels of resident care options within villages by allying with primary care service providers
Existing or new projects that are forecast to be delivered post FY18 will not be included in the retirement assets employed for the periods FY14 to FY18 for the purposes of the ROA calculation
Earnings Assets Employed ROA
Established Portfolio EBIT
Retirement Development EBIT
Care & Support Services EBIT
Retirement EBIT2
1 Excludes any future retirement asset revaluations after 30 June 2013 from the calculation of retirement ROA. 2 Excludes non-allocated overheads.
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
FY14F FY15F FY16F
Re
tire
me
nt
RO
A
FY16F FY18F FY14F
3.5% - 4.0%
6.0% - 6.5%
7.5% - 8.0%
Transitional Period
NPV of DMF/CG Annuity Stream at 30 June 2013 1
Investment in RVG1
Aged Care Assets, Intangibles
Retirement Assets Employed
Future Net Working Capital
41
Retirement: Investment Property Sensitivities
Retirement Investment Property Annuity Stream Sensitivity ($m)
Medium Term Property Price Growth 4.5% 4.0% 3.5% 3.0% 2.5%
Net Present Value of Annuity Streams 932.7 911.7 891.2 872.4 852.5
Long Term Property Price Growth 5.5% 5.0% 4.5% 4.0% 3.5%
Net Present Value of Annuity Streams 1,019.2 950.6 891.2 840.1 793.9
Subsequent Turnover – ILUs (years) 8 9 10 11 12
Net Present Value of Annuity Streams 991.3 937.6 891.2 853.0 818.8
Discount Rate 11.5% 12.0% 12.5% 13.0% 13.5%
Net Present Value of Annuity Streams 1,024.4 952.7 891.2 837.4 790.0
Average Age of Current Residents (years) 86.5 84.5 82.5 80.5 78.5
Net Present Value of Annuity Streams 999.9 949.7 891.2 828.2 763.2
Key drivers of the net present value of future cash flows and their respective sensitivities from the status quo are presented adjacent
Consideration must be given to various portfolio characteristics
− Property based: age, location, quality of facilities etc. which will drive property demand and capital appreciation in unit prices
− Resident based: average age will determine proximity of a turnover event and economic contract terms (e.g. accrual period)
− Discount rate: reflects combination of portfolio investment characteristics
Assumption
adopted for
accounting
purposes
Village Locations
Legend AOG owned villages
AEH villages
RVG villages
42
Retirement: Our Portfolio
Aveo Group manages 75 villages across the eastern seaboard and Adelaide
Villages predominantly located in prime metropolitan locations
Portfolio characterised by mature villages with 55 villages more than 20 years old, with established resident communities and a demonstrated resident turnover transaction history
Accommodation primarily made up of independent living units (ILUs) but does offer the full range of accommodation options across the resident needs spectrum (including serviced apartments (SAs) and aged care) at selected villages
Portfolio Snapshot
Units ILUs SAs Existing
Total Pipeline
Total Units
Aged Care Beds
Total Units and Beds
AOG Balance Sheet1 4,145 875 5,020 2,200 7,220 184 7,404
Aveo Healthcare2 1,028 252 1,280 408 1,688 25 1,713
Total Aveo Group
5,173 1,127 6,300 2,608 8,908 209 9,117
RVG Australia3 2,812 599 3,411 275 3,686 - 3,686
Total Managed 7,985 1,726 9,711 2,883 12,594 209 12,803
¹ Includes 20 units not offered for accommodation purposes e.g. managers’ units. ² Includes 10 units not offered for accommodation purposes e.g. managers’ units. 3 Includes 18 units not offered for accommodation purposes e.g. managers’ units.
43
Retirement: Development Delivery Forecast
Construction Program Village State Portfolio Units FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18+
Completion due FY14 Island Point NSW AOG 8
Other Projects - AOG/AEH 19
Under Construction Albany Creek QLD AEH 12
Durack QLD AEH 14
Mingarra VIC AOG 7
Start Construction Within One Year Clayfield QLD AEH 42
Cleveland QLD AEH 13
The Parks QLD AOG 14
Island Point NSW AOG 48
New Project - Victoria VIC AOG 87
Sanctuary Cove QLD AOG 25
Start Construction Within Two years Durack QLD AEH 22
Peregian QLD AOG 32
Island Point NSW AOG 31
Mingarra VIC AOG 13
Sanctuary Cove QLD AOG 25
Existing Village Redevelopment
- AOG 80
Future Projects Clayfield QLD AEH 149
Durack QLD AEH 52
Island Point NSW AOG 42
Southern Gateway Site NSW AOG 40
Mingarra VIC AOG 25
Peregian QLD AOG 22
Redevelopment and Future projects Other - AOG 1,786
Total 2,608 27 57 230 298 1,996
Appendices
44
Appendix i. Detailed Financial Information
Appendix ii. Retirement Information
Appendix iii. Non-Retirement Information
Appendix iv. Capital Management
45
Residential Communities and Apartments
Land projects Location Remaining lots approx.
Saltwater Coast, Point Cook VIC 1,200
Peregian Springs and Ridges, Peregian Springs QLD 800
The Rochedale Estates, Rochedale QLD 600
Shearwater, Cowes VIC 100
Currumbin, Gold Coast QLD 500
Total 3,200
Apartment projects Location Status Total Residential Units
Available for Sale¹
Percentage Sold
Completed Projects
Aerial, Camberwell Junction VIC Completed 144 9 94%
Subtotal 144 9
Current Projects
LUXE, Woolloomooloo NSW Under construction 77 2 97%
The Milton, Milton QLD Under construction 303 59 81%
The Hudson at Albion Mill, Albion QLD Currently selling 140 68 51%
Subtotal 520 129
Total 664 138
Future Projects
Albion Mill, Albion QLD Future stages (subject to future re-masterplan) 275
Gasworks Residential, Newstead QLD Future stages 750
Subtotal 1,025
Total 1,689
¹ As at 13 February 2014.
Appendices
46
Appendix i. Detailed Financial Information
Appendix ii. Retirement Information
Appendix iii. Non-Retirement Information
Appendix iv. Capital Management
47
Distributions
HY14 ($m)
FY13 ($m)
Underlying Profit After Tax 19.2 39.2
Adjustments:
Profit from Equity Accounted Investments (3.4) (4.1)
Dividends from Equity Accounted Investments 2.0 5.0
Capitalised Interest (19.9) (63.3)
Capitalised Interest Included in COGS 6.2 27.8
Leasing Commissions, Tenant Incentives and Maintenance Capital Expenditure
(3.3) (9.0)
Amortisation of Leasing Incentives 0.4 1.0
Tax Effect of Above Adjustments 4.1 10.6
Application of Prior Period Tax Losses (2.7) (2.3)
Actual Funds From Operations (AFFO) 2.6 4.9
Distribution Declared - 3.2
DRP - -
Net Distribution - 3.2
Distribution as a % of UPAT - 8%
Distribution as a % of AFFO - 66%
Net distribution as a % of AFFO - 66%
As announced at the Annual General Meeting, the Board have decided to re-instate the dividend/distribution payment
The quantum of the dividend will be determined in June 2014, with reference to 40-60% of Underlying Profit After Tax
No dividend/distribution will be paid for HY14
48
Summary of Debt Facilities
Net Bank Debt Drawn HY14 ($m)
FY13 ($m)
Change ($m)
Interest Bearing Liabilities1 504 685 (181)
Add: Establishment Fee Adjustments 3 3 -
Add: Convertible Bond Adjustments - 1 (1)
Less: Vendor Finance and Leases (2) (2) -
Total Debt Facilities Drawn 507 688 (181)
Less: Convertible Bond (88) (109) 21
Gross Bank Debt Drawn 419 579 (160)
Less: Available Cash (84) (29) (57)
Net Bank Debt Drawn 335 550 (217)
Summary of Drawn Debt Facilities1
Facility Limit ($m)
Maturity
Retirement
Retirement Syndicate 205 31/08/2015
Aveo Healthcare4 80 30/03/2017
Working Capital Facility⁸ 60 01/08/2014
Total Retirement Facilities 345
Drawn 229
% Drawn 66%
Non-Retirement
Development MOF1 115 31/08/2015
Wilbow3 65 31/07/2014
Gasometer 1 Facility 65 31/10/2016
Convertible Bond5 88 05/01/2014
Currumbin6 4 05/02/2014
Property Trust7 12 30/03/2014
Total Non-Retirement Facilities 349
Drawn 233
% Drawn 67%
Project Finance
LUXE Project Finance 50 28/02/2015
Total Project Finance 50
Amount Drawn 45
% Drawn 90%
Summary of Undrawn Debt Facilities2
Limit ($m)
Drawn ($m)
Undrawn ($m)
Retirement Facilities 345 229 116
Non-Retirement Facilities 349 233 116
Non-Retirement Project Finance 50 45 5
Total 744 507 237
1 Excludes Bank Guarantees. 2 Undrawn facilities are dependent upon having sufficient security. Facility limit amortisation of $25m as at 31 December 2013. 4 Debt is in two tranches, Tranche 1 is secured at $50m and available, Tranche 2 for $30m is available subject to bank approval. 5 $87m redeemed 6 January with final redemption of $1m on 7 February 2014. 6 Currumbin facility repaid in full 5 February 2014. 7 Awaiting credit approval on an 18 month extension. Management currently in discussion with financier for conversion to evergreen facility. ⁸
49
Financial Covenants
All financial covenants met
Covenant HY14 Required
Development MOF
(Total Liabilities – Resident Obligations – Deferred Tax Liability) / (Total Tangible Assets – Resident Obligations – Deferred Tax Liability)
Gearing 32.3% <50%
(Underlying EBITDA – Net non-cash component of retirement revaluation + Capitalised interest in COGS-Inventory Impairment) / (Net Finance Costs – Loan Establishment + Capitalised interest in COGS)
Interest Cover 2.6x >2.0x
The amount by which total tangible assets exceed total liabilities NTA 1,422m >1,000m
(Interest bearing loans and borrowings – Cash and cash equivalents)/ (Underlying EBITDA – Net non-cash component of retirement revaluation + Capitalised interest in COGS-Inventory Impairment)
Net Debt / Underlying EBITDA
5.6x <8.25x
Retirement Syndicate (excluding AEH)
Cash Receipts (as defined) / (Net Finance Costs – Loan Establishment Fees) Interest Cover 2.7x > 1.75x
Loan Amount Outstanding / Mortgaged Property Valuation1 LVR 38% < 50%
1 Last bank valuations for mortgage security purposes were conducted in December 2012.
50
Interest Rates
Base Funding Cost Summary HY14
Drawn Debt Type ($m) (%) Avg Base Rate Weighted Avg
Maturity
Floating Rate Debt 18 4% 2.7%1 NA
Fixed Rate Debt 488 96% 5.7%2 1.5
Total / Weighted Average 507 100% 5.6% NA
Fixed Rate Debt Profile
FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17
Face Value of Fixed Rate Debt ($m)3 400 400 175 0
Weighted Average Interest Rate on Fixed Rate Debt 5.74% 5.74% 5.99% 0.00%
Weighted Average Time to Maturity (years) 1.9 0.9 0.2 0.0
1 Based on BBSY at 31 December 2013. 2 Includes Convertible Bond and working capital facility fixed debt. 3 Based on bank interest rate swap hedges only.
51
Major Debt Maturity
Disclaimer
The content of this presentation is for general information only. Information in this presentation including, without limitation, any forward-looking statements or opinions (Information) may be subject to change without notice. To the maximum extent permitted by law, Aveo Group Limited, its officers and employees do not make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the currency, accuracy, reliability or completeness of the Information and disclaim all responsibility and liability for the Information (including, without limitation, liability for negligence).
The information contained in this presentation should not be considered to be comprehensive or to comprise all the information which a security holder or potential investor in Aveo may require in order to determine whether to deal in Aveo securities. This presentation does not take into account the financial situation, investment objectives and particular needs of any particular person.
This presentation contains “forward-looking statements” including indications of, and guidance on, future earnings, financial position and performance. Such forward looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which are beyond the control of Aveo and its officers and employees, that may cause actual results to differ materially from those predicted or implied by any forward-looking statements. You should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. There can be no assurance that actual outcomes will not differ materially from these forward-looking statements.
All dollar values are in Australian dollars (A$) unless otherwise stated.
52
Aveo
Level 5, 99 Macquarie Street, Sydney NSW 2000
T +61 2 9270 6100
F +61 2 9270 6199
aveo.com.au