Autonomous Nature - College of Natural Resources, UC … Lorenz Sensitive dependence on initial...
Transcript of Autonomous Nature - College of Natural Resources, UC … Lorenz Sensitive dependence on initial...
AutonomousNature� Whatisnature?� RaymondWilliams.NatureisthemostcomplextermintheEnglishlanguage.(Keywords,1976)
� Natureasrational,lawful,logical,orderly.� Natureasresistant,rebellious,rambunctious,recalcitrant.
� Hurricanes,tornados,earthquakes,weather,disease.� Climatechangeasexemplarofautonomousnatureinthe21stcentury.Howcanhumanslivewithnature?
� Needanewethicofpartnershipwithnature.
ThomasKuhn(1922-1996)� TheStructureofScientificRevolutions(1962).� Paradigmshift.� Majortransformationsinthehistoryofsciencetriggeredbyanomaliesthatdonotfitintoacceptedtheories.
� Needforanewparadigmforthe21stcentury.� ChaosandComplexity.� Unpredictability;limitedpredictability.� TowardaPartnershipwithNature.
PredictabilityandControlofNaturethroughScienceandTechnology� Mechanisticscience:17thc.Mathematicsandexperimentation.
� Mechanics,hydrodynamics,thermodynamics,electromagnetism.
� Predictabilityleadstocontrolandmanagement.� Dams,turbines,steamengines,trains,factories,telegraph,telephone,bridges,tunnels,airplanes.
UnpredictabilityofNatureandResistancetoControl
� Challengestomechanisticscience.� Relativityandquantummechanics.Early20thc.Uncertaintyprinciple.
� Chaosandcomplexitytheories.Late20thc.Limitedpredictability.
� JamesGleick,Chaos:MakingaNewScience(1987).Nonlinearity.
� EdwardLorenz.“Predictability:DoestheFlapofaButterfly’sWingsinBrazilsetoffaTornadoinTexas?”(1972)
ChaosTheory:EdwardLorenz
� Sensitivedependenceoninitialconditions.
� Weatherpatternsarechaotic,hencelimitedpredictability.
� Irregularityisafundamentalpropertyoftheatmosphere.
� Mostenvironmentalandbiologicalsystemsarenonlinearandchaotic.
ComplexityTheory:M.MitchellWaldrop
� Complexity:TheEmergingScienceattheEdgeofOrderandChaos(1992).
� SantaFeInstitute.� Edgeofchaos:Transitionsbetweenorderanddisorder;stabilityandturbulence.
� Unpredictablebehaviors.� Galaxies,life,ecosystems,economies,societies.
NeedforaNewParadigm� DanielBotkin,TheMoonintheNautilusShell(2012).
� Severallevelsofprobability,uncertainty,andpredictability.
� “Wecannotknowperfectly,exactly,thefutureofanyspecificseriesofevents.”
� Climatechangeisthemostchallengingaspect.
� Whatweneedis“afundamentalchangeinourparadigm.”
NeedforaNewParadigm� JenniferWells.ComplexityandSustainability(2013).
� “Complexitysciencehasflourishedintonotjustamajornewfield,butalsothebasisofanewparadigm.”
� “Discoveriesofcomplexdynamicsystems,relevantacrossthewidestrange...ofreality—physical,living,andsocialsystems—mayplayacentralroleinrearticulatingourgoalsofsustainability.”
•Howtolivewithinthenewparadigmofchaos,complexity,andtheunpredictabilityofnature.
•Weneedanewethicforthethe21stcenturythatacknowledgestheresistanceofnaturetocontrol.
•Partnershipethicsfor21stc.Interactionwithnature.•Butfirst,whatisthebackgroundandhistoryofnatureasresistantandunpredictable?
LivingwithinUnpredictability,Autonomy,andResistance
NatureasAcPveandCreaPve,ResistantandRecalcitrant� Natureasactivecreativeforcevs.Natureascreatedworld.Creatingvs.created.Ancientterms....
� Naturanaturans(Naturacreans)versusNaturanaturata(Naturacreata).
� Creativenatureasbeneficentgoddess,Natura.� Creativenatureasrecalcitrantvillain.� Heraclitus:“Naturelovestohide.”(c.500BCE)� Natureharborssecretsfromworthyhumans.Butscienceandtechnologycanextractnature’ssecrets.
Hesiod(fl.750-650B.C.E)•Hesiod,Theogony(ca.700B.C.E.).•Chaotic,unpredictablenature.•Chaosasprimordialdeity—theformlessvoidoutofwhichtheworldemerged.Thechasmoropengapthatgavebirthtothegodsandthecosmos.
•GreekandRomanattemptstounderstandtheoriginsofnature,itslawsandactivities.HowtopredictwhatNaturemightdonext.
•Natureissometimeslawful;sometimesunrulyandresistant;sometimessimplytheeverydayworldresultingfromnature’screativity.
LucrePus(99-55B.C.E.)� DeRerumNatura.“OntheNatureofThings.”� Natureasactive,creative,anduncontrolled.� Naturacreatrix.Natureascreatressandperfectress:
“AtlengtheverythingisbroughttoitsutmostlimitofgrowthbyNature,thecreatressandperfectress.”Bk.II,1116-1117.
� Naturalibera.Natureasfreeanduncontrolled:“Natureisfreeanduncontrolledbyproudmastersandrunstheuniverseherselfwithouttheaidofgods.”Bk.II,1090-1092.
E.g.ofUncontrollableNature:Mt.VesuviusErupPon,79CEPompeii,Italy� PlinytheElderperished;PlinytheYoungerlived.� Blackcloudsofash,fumes,andpumiceflewmilesintotheairfortwodays.PlinytheYoungerwrote:
� “Broadsheetsoffireandleapingflamesblazed….”� “Theydebatedwhethertostayindoorsortaketheirchanceintheopen,forthebuildingswerenowshakingwithviolentshocks,andseemedtobeswayingtoandfroasiftheyweretornfromtheirfoundations.”
� “Myuncledecidedtogodowntotheshoreandinvestigatethepossibilityofescapebysea,buthefoundthewavesstillwildanddangerous.”
PloPnus(205-270C.E.)� Enneads(ca.270C.E).Neoplatonism.� RootsofNature’srebellionandresistance.� Tolma:willfulness,boldness,assertiveness.� TheOne;theNous(Mind);Animamundi(WorldSoul).� EmanationfromtheOne.� “Theevilthathasbefallenthem[thesouls]isduetoaRebelliousAudacity....Theybegintorevelinfree-will....SmittenwithlongingfortheLower,raptinloveforit,theygrewtodependuponit:sotheybrokeaway,asfaraswasintheirpowerandcametoslighttheloftyspheretheyhadabandoned.”
St.AugusPne(354-430C.E.)� Godiseternallyexisting.Anuncreatedcreatorwhocreatesexnihilo.
� NoemanationfromtheOne.� God’swillandhumanwill.� Godasnaturacreans/naturans.Activecreator.
� “Ifthenweseesomethingabovethisnature,andseeittruly,thenitisGod,namely,anaturethatisnotcreated,butcreates(naturascilicetnoncreata,sedcreatrix).”
JohannesScotusErigena(c.810-877)� Periphyseon(Greek,PeriPhuseos,ConcerningNature),864-866C.E.
� Trans.Gale,TheDivisionofNature(DeDivisioneNaturae),1681.
� God/Nature.Onething,activelycreating(naturacreans),butnotitselfcreated(noncreata).
� Naturecreated(naturacreata),thecreatedworld,resultofthecreatingprocess.
� God/Natureareacreatingprocess.� Butcondemnedaspantheism.
ThomasAquinas(c.1225-1274)� SummaTheologica(written1265-1274).Godasactivecreator.
� Naturanaturans(naturenaturing).� “Allnaturereferstoanactivepowerexistinginsomeuniversalprincipleofnature...inthewayinwhichsomecallGodnaturanaturans.”
� “Suchaforceintendstheperfectionandpreservationoftheentireuniverse.”
� Godaslawful,logical,predictable.� Disorderisintroducedbysin.Bythehumanwill.Matteriscorruptible.
ExampleofUncontrollableNature:TheBubonicPlague,14th–15thc.
� Boccaccio,Decameron,ca.1351.� “Amostterribleplague;whetherowingtotheinfluenceoftheplanetsorsentfromGodasajustpunishmentforoursins.”
� “Nodoctor'sadvice,nomedicinecouldovercomeoralleviatethisdisease....Veryfewrecovered.”
� “Tospeaktoorgonearthesickbroughtinfectionandacommondeathtotheliving.”
RenaissanceCosmos:GodAcPngthroughNature
� NatureasGod’svice-regentinthecreatedworld.
� NaturanaturansastoolofGod,butcanalsohaveawillof“her”own.
� Naturecanbewillful,resistant,anduncontrollable.
RenaissanceCosmos:NatureasaWitch
� Natureaswillful,disorderly,unpredictable,resistant.
� Bringeroffamine,drought,tornados,hurricanes,plagues.
� Naturanaturans:Naturecanbeuncontrollableandrebellious.
� Natureharborssecretstobeextractedbyscience.
� Naturecanbeputtothequestion.� Naturecanbecontrolledbytechne.
FrancisBacon(1561-1626)� ControllingNature.� Extracting“her”secrets.� Technologyhelpsustothinkabout"thesecretsstilllockedinnature’sbosom."
� Minersandsmiths:"theonesearchingintothebowelsofnature,theothershapingnatureasonananvil.”
� Theresistanceofnaturecanbecontrolledandovercomebyscienceandtechnology.
NatureinBonds:Thecontained,controlledexperiment
� Aquestionputtonature;natureputtothequestion.� Controlledenvironment(moisture,temperature,pressure,spatialboundaries);closedsystems.
� Experimenterwhodictatestheconditionsfortheprocedure.
� Objectstobemanipulatedtoanswerthequestion.� Observers/witnesseswhocanverifytheanswers.� Recordingandreductionofdata.� Repetitionoftheinitialconditionsinotherplacesandtimestoyieldthesameanswers.
RobertBoyle'sAirPump
� NewExperimentsPhysico-Mechanicall,TouchingtheSpringoftheAirandItsEffects(1660).
� Theoldexperiments(furnaceandalembic)onleftversusnewexperiments(airpumpandbarometer)onright.
� Likethe20thc.cyclotron;21stc.LargeHadronCollider,CERN.
Pantheism
� BaruchSpinoza,Dutchphilosopher,1632-1677.
� Naturanaturans(free,activeforce)andnaturanaturata(conformstothelawsofnature).
� GodorNature:DeussiveNatura.(Pantheism).
� NatureraisedtotherankofGod;followsfromGod’sinnernaturebylawsoflogic.
� Rational,explainable.� Nomiracles.
Mechanism:IsaacNewton
� EnglishScientist,1642-1727.
� Predictabilityvialaws.� Matterisinertandpassiveunlessactedonbyanexternalforce.
� Mathematicalcosmos.� Idealspheres,pointsourcesofgravitation,identitythroughchange.
MechanisPcViewofNature
� ArisesduringtheScientificRevolutionofthe17thcenturywiththeworkofKepler,Galileo,Bacon,Boyle,Newton,andothers.LawsofNature.
� Natureasamachinemadeupofpartsthatcanbepredictedandmanagedfromoutsidebyascientistorengineer.Clocklikeuniverse.Godasengineer.
� Mathematicsassourceofvalidknowledgeoftheexternalworld.Frictionlessplanes,pointsourcesofforce,lackofairresistance(vacuum),idealizedenvironments.Galileo,Descartes,Newton.
� Natureascontrollableandpredictable.
ClocklikeUniverse� Modelofuniverseasaclock.� Precise,controlled,predictablemotions.
� Godasclockmaker,engineer,mathematician.
� Godwindsuphisclockandletsittickawayintoeternity.
� Natureaslawful,orderly,predictableviamathematicsandexperimentation.
� Enlightenment,18thcentury.
UnpredictableNatureLisbonEarthquake,1755
� November1,1755,“AllSaint’sDay,”at9:30a.m.� DestroyedmostofLisbon,spawnedatsunami,caused5daysofseverefires.9.0Richterscale(estimated).
� Churches,mosques,synagogues,castles,hospitals,palaces,operahouses,aqueducts&housescollapsed.
JohnGast,“AmericanProgress,”1872
Natura naturans (left); Natura naturata (right). Unruly nature subdued by order, logic, and law
IndustrialRevoluPon,19thcent.:Controlvs.Resistance
� TheAnthropocene.Humanroleinindustrialnature.� Burningoffossilfuels.RiseinCO2levels>400ppm.� Smallfluctuationscanleadtocascadingeffects.� Ecologicaltippingpoints;unpredictability;resistance.
ClimateChangeasaplanetaryproblem,20thand21stcenturies
� ClimatechangeasNaturanaturans;natureresisting.� Endangeredspecies,biodiversity,planetaryhealth.� Canscientists,socialscientists,politicians,andcitizensworktogethertosolveplanetaryproblems?
AutonomousNature� Twenty-firstcentury:Wearelivingwithinanewparadigminwhichnatureisautonomousandresistant.
� Active,creative,oftenuncontrollable;Naturanaturans.� Characterizedbyseverallevelsofunpredictability,limitedpredictability,anddegreesofforecasting.
� Wemustfindnewwaystolivewithinautonomousnature,tostemtheeffectsofclimatechange.
� Livingwithinthenewchaos/complexityparadigmwillengagethebestscientific,engineering,political,andethicalpracticeswecandevelop.
� Solarpanelsoneveryroofandbicyclesineverygarage.
PartnershipEthics:PeopleandNature
� TheGreatestGoodfortheHumanandNonhumanCommunitiesisintheirMutualLivingInterdependence
PartnershipEthics� Equitybetweenthehumanandnonhumancommunities.
� Moralconsiderationforbothhumansandotherspecies.
� Respectforculturaldiversityandbiodiversity.� Inclusionofwomen,minorities,andnonhumannatureinthecodeofethicalaccountability.
� Ecologicallysoundmanagementthatisconsistentwiththecontinuedhealthofboththehumanandnonhumancommunities.