AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY INSIGHTS Finance Market Report · Automotive financing1 Snapshot of how and...
Transcript of AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY INSIGHTS Finance Market Report · Automotive financing1 Snapshot of how and...
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Experian Public.
Finance Market Report
Presented by
Melinda Zabritski
AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY INSIGHTS
Q3 2020
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2 © Experian
Today’s speaker
Throughout her career with Experian, Zabritski has overseen
the product strategy for Experian Automotive’s lending
channel and creation of the automotive credit vertical. After
over 18 years in product management, she transitioned into
sales and consulting. Zabritski also serves as Experian’s
primary analyst and spokesperson regarding key automotive
finance trends.
Melinda Zabritski
Sr. Director of Automotive Financial Solutions
Experian
Experian Public. State of the Automotive Finance Market Q3 202011/23/2020
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Session overview
Origination trends
• Overall financing
• New loans & leases
• Used financing
Overall portfolios
• Outstanding balances
• Risk distributions
• Delinquency
Experian Public. State of the Automotive Finance Market Q3 202011/23/2020
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Q3 2020 Originations
Trends in automotive loan andlease originations
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Automotive financing1Snapshot of how and what consumers are financing
1 Financing = either a loan or lease is present on the title; 2 All = loan, lease or cash
Experian Public. State of the Automotive Finance Market Q3 202011/23/2020
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What are consumers purchasing? Small SUVs returned to the most purchased new vehicle by consumers
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Captives continue to increase market share
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Average credit scores show steady increase
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Subprime segments remain at record lows
Experian Public. State of the Automotive Finance Market Q3 2020
1Total financing = loan and lease transactions on both new and used vehicles
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Deep subprime loans remain under 3% and reaches record low
Experian Public. State of the Automotive Finance Market Q3 2020
1Total financing = loan transactions on both new and used vehicles
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New financing
A look at new lease & loan trends
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Captives show large share increase for new financing
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Credit scores see sharp increase for new financing
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Subprime leasing takes a sharp decrease to just over 5% while leasing share among risk segments also drops
Experian Public. State of the Automotive Finance Market Q3 202011/23/2020
Deep subprime =
0.22%
(down 65%)
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Michigan and the Northeast have the greatest share of new state financing as lease
Experian Public. State of the Automotive Finance Market Q3 202011/23/2020
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Honda maintains it’s lead as the most leased make
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Finance type among top 20 leased new makes
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Mix of car, truck and CUV make up the top 10 most leased vehicles with average payment difference of $110
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Leasing payments and terms increase YOY
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New subprime loans fall to under 8%; over 77% are prime+ a 9-year high
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New loan attribute summary
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Payments and loan amounts climb
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Vehicle values increase while loan-to-value (LTV) falls outside of prime
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Terms rise across most risk tiers while rates fall for all tiers
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72-month loans dominate the quarter
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Used financing
A look at used automotive loan trends
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Franchise dealers source the majority of transactions
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Over 73% of current + 8MY vehicles have financing
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Most lender types experience slight decreases in used loan share while captives increase
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Tennessee leads with the largest percentage of loans for used cars; Vermont has the lowest
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Deep subprime & subprime used loans fall to record lows and record highs for prime+
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Consumers shift back into used vehicles
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Used loan attribute summary: used loan amounts and payments reach record highs
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Used loan amounts and payments rise
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Used values increase while LTV drops
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Terms increase while rates drop for all but deep subprime
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73+ month terms grow along with average credit scores for longer terms
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Market Overview
All open auto loans & leases
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Overall loan balances grew 2.8% YOY with banks experiencing a slight decrease
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Bill
ion
s
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Percentage of loans & leases that are delinquent decreased as CARES Act remains an impact
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Delinquent loan balances decrease year-over-year as CARES Act remains an impact
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Percentage of loan balances 30 dpd per state
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Percentage of loan balances 60 dpd per state
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Q3 Summary
• Subprime continues to reach record lows for automotive financing
• Leasing returns to near pre-pandemic percentages
• Consumers return to CUVs as leading vehicle purchases
• Loan amounts, vehicle values and terms continue to grow while LTVs remain in check
• Overall balances climb while subprime balances drop and delinquencies remain low
44 © Experian Experian Public. State of the Automotive Finance Market Q3 202011/23/2020