AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY INSIGHTS Finance Market Report · Automotive financing1 Snapshot of how and...

45
1 © Experian ©2020 Experian Information Solutions, Inc. All rights reserved. Experian and the Experian marks used herein are trademarks or registered trademarks of Experian Information Solutions, Inc. Other product and company names mentioned herein are the trademarks of their respective owners. No part of this copyrighted work may be reproduced, modified, or distributed in any form or manner without the prior written permission of Experian. Experian Public. Finance Market Report Presented by Melinda Zabritski AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY INSIGHTS Q3 2020

Transcript of AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY INSIGHTS Finance Market Report · Automotive financing1 Snapshot of how and...

  • 1 © Experian

    ©2020 Experian Information Solutions, Inc. All rights reserved. Experian and the Experian marks used herein are

    trademarks or registered trademarks of Experian Information Solutions, Inc. Other product and company names

    mentioned herein are the trademarks of their respective owners. No part of this copyrighted work may be reproduced,

    modified, or distributed in any form or manner without the prior written permission of Experian.

    Experian Public.

    Finance Market Report

    Presented by

    Melinda Zabritski

    AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY INSIGHTS

    Q3 2020

  • 2 © Experian

    Today’s speaker

    Throughout her career with Experian, Zabritski has overseen

    the product strategy for Experian Automotive’s lending

    channel and creation of the automotive credit vertical. After

    over 18 years in product management, she transitioned into

    sales and consulting. Zabritski also serves as Experian’s

    primary analyst and spokesperson regarding key automotive

    finance trends.

    Melinda Zabritski

    Sr. Director of Automotive Financial Solutions

    Experian

    Experian Public. State of the Automotive Finance Market Q3 202011/23/2020

  • 3 © Experian

    Session overview

    Origination trends

    • Overall financing

    • New loans & leases

    • Used financing

    Overall portfolios

    • Outstanding balances

    • Risk distributions

    • Delinquency

    Experian Public. State of the Automotive Finance Market Q3 202011/23/2020

  • 4 © Experian

    Q3 2020 Originations

    Trends in automotive loan andlease originations

    Experian Public. State of the Automotive Finance Market Q3 202011/23/2020

  • 5 © Experian

    Automotive financing1Snapshot of how and what consumers are financing

    1 Financing = either a loan or lease is present on the title; 2 All = loan, lease or cash

    Experian Public. State of the Automotive Finance Market Q3 202011/23/2020

    2

  • 6 © Experian

    What are consumers purchasing? Small SUVs returned to the most purchased new vehicle by consumers

    Experian Public. State of the Automotive Finance Market Q3 202011/23/2020

  • 7 © Experian

    Captives continue to increase market share

    Experian Public. State of the Automotive Finance Market Q3 202011/23/2020

  • 8 © Experian

    Average credit scores show steady increase

    11/23/2020 Experian Public. State of the Automotive Finance Market Q3 2020

  • 9 © Experian

    Subprime segments remain at record lows

    Experian Public. State of the Automotive Finance Market Q3 2020

    1Total financing = loan and lease transactions on both new and used vehicles

    11/23/2020

  • 10 © Experian

    Deep subprime loans remain under 3% and reaches record low

    Experian Public. State of the Automotive Finance Market Q3 2020

    1Total financing = loan transactions on both new and used vehicles

    11/23/2020

  • 11 © Experian

    New financing

    A look at new lease & loan trends

  • 12 © Experian

    Captives show large share increase for new financing

    Experian Public. State of the Automotive Finance Market Q3 202011/23/2020

  • 13 © Experian

    Credit scores see sharp increase for new financing

    11/23/2020 Experian Public. State of the Automotive Finance Market Q3 2020

  • 14 © Experian

    Subprime leasing takes a sharp decrease to just over 5% while leasing share among risk segments also drops

    Experian Public. State of the Automotive Finance Market Q3 202011/23/2020

    Deep subprime =

    0.22%

    (down 65%)

  • 15 © Experian

    Michigan and the Northeast have the greatest share of new state financing as lease

    Experian Public. State of the Automotive Finance Market Q3 202011/23/2020

  • 16 © Experian

    Honda maintains it’s lead as the most leased make

    Experian Public. State of the Automotive Finance Market Q3 202011/23/2020

  • 17 © Experian

    Finance type among top 20 leased new makes

    Experian Public. State of the Automotive Finance Market Q3 202011/23/2020

  • 18 © Experian

    Mix of car, truck and CUV make up the top 10 most leased vehicles with average payment difference of $110

    Experian Public. State of the Automotive Finance Market Q3 202011/23/2020

  • 19 © Experian

    Leasing payments and terms increase YOY

    Experian Public. State of the Automotive Finance Market Q3 202011/23/2020

  • 20 © Experian

    New subprime loans fall to under 8%; over 77% are prime+ a 9-year high

    Experian Public. State of the Automotive Finance Market Q3 202011/23/2020

  • 21 © Experian

    New loan attribute summary

    11/23/2020 Experian Public. State of the Automotive Finance Market Q3 2020

  • 22 © Experian

    Payments and loan amounts climb

    Experian Public. State of the Automotive Finance Market Q3 202011/23/2020

  • 23 © Experian

    Vehicle values increase while loan-to-value (LTV) falls outside of prime

    11/23/2020 Experian Public. State of the Automotive Finance Market Q3 2020

  • 24 © Experian

    Terms rise across most risk tiers while rates fall for all tiers

    Experian Public. State of the Automotive Finance Market Q3 202011/23/2020

  • 25 © Experian

    72-month loans dominate the quarter

    Experian Public. State of the Automotive Finance Market Q3 202011/23/2020

  • 26 © Experian

    Used financing

    A look at used automotive loan trends

  • 27 © Experian

    Franchise dealers source the majority of transactions

    11/23/2020 Experian Public. State of the Automotive Finance Market Q3 2020

  • 28 © Experian

    Over 73% of current + 8MY vehicles have financing

    Experian Public. State of the Automotive Finance Market Q3 202011/23/2020

  • 29 © Experian

    Most lender types experience slight decreases in used loan share while captives increase

    Experian Public. State of the Automotive Finance Market Q3 202011/23/2020

  • 30 © Experian

    Tennessee leads with the largest percentage of loans for used cars; Vermont has the lowest

    Experian Public. State of the Automotive Finance Market Q3 202011/23/2020

  • 31 © Experian

    Deep subprime & subprime used loans fall to record lows and record highs for prime+

    Experian Public. State of the Automotive Finance Market Q3 202011/23/2020

  • 32 © Experian

    Consumers shift back into used vehicles

    Experian Public. State of the Automotive Finance Market Q3 202011/23/2020

  • 33 © Experian

    Used loan attribute summary: used loan amounts and payments reach record highs

    11/23/2020 Experian Public. State of the Automotive Finance Market Q3 2020

  • 34 © Experian

    Used loan amounts and payments rise

    11/23/2020 Experian Public. State of the Automotive Finance Market Q3 2020

  • 35 © Experian

    Used values increase while LTV drops

    11/23/2020 Experian Public. State of the Automotive Finance Market Q3 2020

  • 36 © Experian

    Terms increase while rates drop for all but deep subprime

    11/23/2020 Experian Public. State of the Automotive Finance Market Q3 2020

  • 37 © Experian

    73+ month terms grow along with average credit scores for longer terms

    11/23/2020 Experian Public. State of the Automotive Finance Market Q3 2020

  • 38 © Experian

    Market Overview

    All open auto loans & leases

  • 39 © Experian

    Overall loan balances grew 2.8% YOY with banks experiencing a slight decrease

    11/23/2020 Experian Public. State of the Automotive Finance Market Q3 2020

    Bill

    ion

    s

  • 40 © Experian

    Percentage of loans & leases that are delinquent decreased as CARES Act remains an impact

    11/23/2020 Experian Public. State of the Automotive Finance Market Q3 2020

  • 41 © Experian

    Delinquent loan balances decrease year-over-year as CARES Act remains an impact

    11/23/2020 Experian Public. State of the Automotive Finance Market Q3 2020

  • 42 © Experian

    Percentage of loan balances 30 dpd per state

    11/23/2020 Experian Public. State of the Automotive Finance Market Q3 2020

  • 43 © Experian

    Percentage of loan balances 60 dpd per state

    11/23/2020 Experian Public. State of the Automotive Finance Market Q3 2020

  • 44 © Experian

    Q3 Summary

    • Subprime continues to reach record lows for automotive financing

    • Leasing returns to near pre-pandemic percentages

    • Consumers return to CUVs as leading vehicle purchases

    • Loan amounts, vehicle values and terms continue to grow while LTVs remain in check

    • Overall balances climb while subprime balances drop and delinquencies remain low

    44 © Experian Experian Public. State of the Automotive Finance Market Q3 202011/23/2020