AUBER 2006 Annual Meeting Hurricanes and Sales Tax Revenue Rick Harper, Director UWF Haas Center
18
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AUBER 2006 Annual Meeting Hurricanes and Sales Tax Revenue Rick Harper, Director UWF Haas Center October 14, 2006. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Transcript of AUBER 2006 Annual Meeting Hurricanes and Sales Tax Revenue Rick Harper, Director UWF Haas Center
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AUBER 2006 Annual Meeting
Hurricanes and Sales Tax Revenue
Rick Harper, Director
UWF Haas Center
October 14, 2006
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Pensacola MSA Employment, 1/90 - 8/06, SA
140000
150000
160000
170000
180000
190000
200000
Jan-
90
Jan-
91
Jan-
92
Jan-
93
Jan-
94
Jan-
95
Jan-
96
Jan-
97
Jan-
98
Jan-
99
Jan-
00
Jan-
01
Jan-
02
Jan-
03
Jan-
04
Jan-
05
Jan-
06
Ivan 9/04
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Escambia Bed Tax Collections, 1/94 - 8/06actual and seasonally adjusted, at 2% rate
$0
$50,000
$100,000
$150,000
$200,000
$250,000
$300,000
$350,000
$400,000
$450,000
$500,000
Jan-
94
Jan-
95
Jan-
96
Jan-
97
Jan-
98
Jan-
99
Jan-
00
Jan-
01
Jan-
02
Jan-
03
Jan-
04
Jan-
05
Jan-
06
do
llars
per
mo
nth
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Santa Rosa Bed Tax Collections, 1/94 - 8/06actual and seasonally adjusted, at 2% rate
$0
$20,000
$40,000
$60,000
$80,000
$100,000
$120,000
Jan-
94
Jan-
95
Jan-
96
Jan-
97
Jan-
98
Jan-
99
Jan-
00
Jan-
01
Jan-
02
Jan-
03
Jan-
04
Jan-
05
Jan-
06
do
llars
per
mo
nth
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Okaloosa Bed Tax Collections, 1/94 - 8/06actual and seasonally adjusted, using 2% rate
$0
$100,000
$200,000
$300,000
$400,000
$500,000
$600,000
$700,000
$800,000
$900,000
Jan-
94
Jan-
95
Jan-
96
Jan-
97
Jan-
98
Jan-
99
Jan-
00
Jan-
01
Jan-
02
Jan-
03
Jan-
04
Jan-
05
Jan-
06
do
llars
per
mo
nth
summer weakness
winter strength
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Walton Bed Tax Collections, 1/94 - 8/06actual and seasonally adjusted, at 2% rate
$0
$100,000
$200,000
$300,000
$400,000
$500,000
$600,000
$700,000
$800,000
$900,000
$1,000,000
Jan-
94
Jan-
95
Jan-
96
Jan-
97
Jan-
98
Jan-
99
Jan-
00
Jan-
01
Jan-
02
Jan-
03
Jan-
04
Jan-
05
Jan-
06
do
llars
per
mo
nth
late summer weakness
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Bay Bed Tax Collections, 1/94 - 8/06actual and seasonally adjusted, using 2% rate
$0
$100,000
$200,000
$300,000
$400,000
$500,000
$600,000
$700,000
$800,000
$900,000
Jan-
94
Jan-
95
Jan-
96
Jan-
97
Jan-
98
Jan-
99
Jan-
00
Jan-
01
Jan-
02
Jan-
03
Jan-
04
Jan-
05
Jan-
06
do
llars
per
mo
nth
spring break goes wild!
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Claims Payments as Percent of Total Property Value
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
Charlo
tte
Desot
o
Escam
bia
Indi
an R
iver
Harde
e
Semino
le
Okeec
hobe
e
St Luc
ie
Highlan
dsPolk
Osceo
la
Breva
rd
Santa
Ros
a
Wak
ulla
Mar
tin
Volusia
Okalo
osa
per
cen
t o
f to
tal p
rop
erty
val
ue
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Sales Tax Collections: Difference from Trend
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
40.0%
45.0%
Oct-04 Nov-04 Dec-04 Jan-05 Feb-05 Mar-05 Apr-05 May-05 Jun-05 Jul-05 Aug-05
Charlotte County
Escambia County
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Pensacola MSA retail sales, 2003 = 100
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
250%
199
0:01
199
0:09
199
1:05
199
2:01
199
2:09
199
3:05
199
4:01
199
4:09
199
5:05
199
6:01
199
6:09
199
7:05
199
8:01
199
8:09
199
9:05
200
0:01
200
0:09
200
1:05
200
2:01
200
2:09
200
3:05
200
4:01
200
4:09
200
5:05
2006
:1
Total
Autos
Cons Dur
Tourism
Cons NonDur
Constr
Bus Inv
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PNS retail sales, Total and Auto, 2003 = 100
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%
180%
200
0:01
200
0:05
200
0:09
200
1:01
200
1:05
200
1:09
200
2:01
200
2:05
200
2:09
200
3:01
200
3:05
200
3:09
200
4:01
200
4:05
200
4:09
200
5:01
200
5:05
200
5:09
2006
:1
2006
:5
Total
Autos
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PNS retail sales, Total and Cons. Durables, 2003 = 100
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%
180%
200%
220%
240%
200
0:01
200
0:05
200
0:09
200
1:01
200
1:05
200
1:09
200
2:01
200
2:05
200
2:09
200
3:01
200
3:05
200
3:09
200
4:01
200
4:05
200
4:09
200
5:01
200
5:05
200
5:09
2006
:1
2006
:5
Total
ConsDurables
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PNS retail sales, Total and Tourism, 2003 = 100
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%
180%
200
0:01
200
0:05
200
0:09
200
1:01
200
1:05
200
1:09
200
2:01
200
2:05
200
2:09
200
3:01
200
3:05
200
3:09
200
4:01
200
4:05
200
4:09
200
5:01
200
5:05
200
5:09
2006
:1
2006
:5
Total
Tourism
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PNS retail sales, Total and Cons. Nondurables, 2003 = 100
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%
180%
200%
200
0:01
200
0:05
200
0:09
200
1:01
200
1:05
200
1:09
200
2:01
200
2:05
200
2:09
200
3:01
200
3:05
200
3:09
200
4:01
200
4:05
200
4:09
200
5:01
200
5:05
200
5:09
2006
:1
2006
:5
Total
ConsumerNondurables
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PNS retail sales, Total and Building, 2003 = 100
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%
180%
200%
200
0:01
200
0:05
200
0:09
200
1:01
200
1:05
200
1:09
200
2:01
200
2:05
200
2:09
200
3:01
200
3:05
200
3:09
200
4:01
200
4:05
200
4:09
200
5:01
200
5:05
200
5:09
2006
:1
2006
:5
Total
Building
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PNS retail sales, Total and Business Investment, 2003 = 100
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%
180%
200%
200
0:01
200
0:05
200
0:09
200
1:01
200
1:05
200
1:09
200
2:01
200
2:05
200
2:09
200
3:01
200
3:05
200
3:09
200
4:01
200
4:05
200
4:09
200
5:01
200
5:05
200
5:09
2006
:1
2006
:5
Total
BusinessInvestment
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