Atlas Energy 2012 EnerCom Oil & Gas Conference
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Transcript of Atlas Energy 2012 EnerCom Oil & Gas Conference
Atlas Energy, L.P. EnerCom Oil & Gas Conference
August 15, 2012
Safe Harbor Statement
This document contains forward-looking statements that involve a number of assumptions, risks and
uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in the forward-looking
statements. ATLS cautions readers that any forward-looking information is not a guarantee of future
performance. Such forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements about future
financial and operating results, resource potential, ATLS’ plans, objectives, expectations and intentions and
other statements that are not historical facts. Risks, assumptions and uncertainties that could cause actual
results to materially differ from the forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, uncertainties
regarding the creation of Atlas Resource Partners, L.P. and the distribution of limited partner interests in
Atlas Resource Partners, L.P.; the expected financial results of Atlas Resource Partners, L.P. after the
planned distribution, which is dependent on future events or developments; assumptions and uncertainties
associated with general economic and business conditions; changes in commodity prices; changes in the
costs and results of drilling operations; uncertainties about estimates of reserves and resource potential;
inability to obtain capital needed for operations; ATLS’ level of indebtedness; changes in government
environmental policies and other environmental risks; the availability of drilling equipment and the timing of
production; and tax consequences of business transactions. In addition, ATLS and Atlas Resource
Partners, L.P. are subject to additional risks, assumptions and uncertainties detailed from time to time in the
reports filed by ATLS and Atlas Resource Partners, L.P. with the U.S. Securities and Exchange
Commission, including the risks, assumptions and uncertainties described in Atlas Resource Partners,
L.P.’s registration statement on Form 10 and ATLS’s quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, reports on Form 8-K
and annual reports on Form 10-K. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date hereof, and
neither ATLS nor Atlas Resource Partners, L.P. assumes any obligation to update such statements, except
as may be required by applicable law.
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ATLS: Unique Business Model
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• General partner of public MLPs – IDRs
• Substantial growth without requirement of capital invested
• Atlas Resource Partners (NYSE: ARP): E&P MLP
• Atlas Pipeline Partners (NYSE: APL): midstream MLP
• Increasing cash flows from expansion at both subsidiaries
Pro Forma Organizational Structure
2.0% GP & 100% IDRs 2.0% GP & 100% IDRs
11% LP 52% LP
NYSE: ATLS
NYSE: APL NYSE: ARP
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Substantial Cash Flow Growth
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• Organic Growth
• APL: substantial expansion in the Mid-Continent; increasing
processing capacity by almost 100% to 1Bcf/d
• ARP: new development in top tier basins
• Mississippi Lime
• Utica Shale
• Marcellus Shale
• Barnett Shale
• Acquisition Growth
• ARP: announced two Barnett Shale transactions and Miss.
Lime JV in two months
• APL: accretive acquisitions provide diversified cash flow
ATLS: Growth in GP Cash Flow Streams
ATLS should benefit from strong cash flow growth in its general and limited partner interests
in both ARP and APL, without any additional investment of its own capital
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APL LP & IDR Distributions to ATLS
ARP LP & IDR Distributions to ATLS
ARP: Opportunity Overview
Recently formed E&P MLP with significant base of stable cash flow and identified
growth opportunities
Atlas Resource Partners (NYSE: ARP)
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Stability Growth Experience
• Long-lived reserve
base
• Low-leveraged balance
sheet
• Fee-based income
from investment
partnership business
• Accretive acquisitions
in strong basins with
deep value
• Organic expansion in
high IRR basins
• Ability to grow fees
from increased
fundraising efforts
• Management team with
history of creating top
returns in Atlas
enterprises
• Highly skilled senior
operating team with
vast knowledge of U.S.
basins
ARP Profile
Market Capitalization
Debt Outstanding
Enterprise Value
Proved Reserves
Production Areas
~ $1.0 billion (39.8 MM common units outstanding)(1)
~ $144 million ($310 million borrowing base)
~ $1.15 billion
~ 700 Bcfe net reserves
~ 1.0 Tcfe total reserves under management
~ 95 Mmcfe/d
Barnett Shale (TX); Appalachia (PA, OH, WV, TN);
Colorado; Indiana
Mississippi Lime; Utica Shale; Barnett Shale; Marcellus
Shale
Oil & Gas Production
Primary Targeted Plays
Atlas Resource Partners (NYSE: ARP)
(1) Based on ARP unit price as of 8/7/12
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“The First Four Months”
ARP has already demonstrated its ability to provide strong value to its
unitholders through accretive transactions
3/14/2012
4/4/2012
4/30/2012
7/26/2012
The first day… ARP units are distributed to ATLS unitholders…
Two weeks later… ARP enters into joint venture with Equal Energy, Ltd.
in the core of the Mississippi Lime play in northwestern OK…
Yet another two weeks later… ARP acquires 277 Bcfe of proved reserves
and undeveloped locations in the Barnett Shale from Carrizo…
Four months after becoming public… ARP acquires Titan Operating, LLC
in the Barnett Shale, including 250 Bcfe of proved reserves and
undeveloped locations
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ARP Production Growth
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•Production growth
from both organic
development and
accretive acquisitions
•Growth in production
will substantially
increase cash flow
through 2013 and
beyond
Projected Distribution Growth
Source : Wells Fargo Securities
Peer companies: BBEP, EVEP, LGCY, LINE, LRE, MCEP, MMEP, PSE, QRE, VNR
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Compared to it’s peers, ARP is projecting approximately 50% distribution growth from
the current annualized distribution level of $1.60 per unit
ARP: Illustrative Growth in Distributions from Acquisitions
Atlas Resource Partners’ ability to find and execute transactions of similar size and scope will continue to
drive distribution growth to common unitholders.
Note: Assumes acquisition assets are similar to Barnett assets acquired from Carrizo; Assumes 50/50 debt/equity financing.
(1) Represents midpoint of ARP 2013E Common Unit Distribution guidance.
(2) Forward year (FY1) distributions.
Future Acquisitions: Common Unit Distribution Impacts
4
~49%
Growth
Balanced Approach to Risk Management
& Strategic Growth
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Maintain Low Risk Profile
• Long-lived reserves
• Strong hedging program
• Fee-based income from
partnerships
Pro forma R/P Ratio of ~ 23x
Substantial hedges through 2017
> Fundraising = > Fee income
Enhance Value through
Unique Business Model
> $1.5B raised in last 5 years
30% WI for < ~5% net investment
$250M ‘12 fundraising target
• Leader in oil & gas
fundraising
• Enhanced IRRs through
partnership business
Create Multiple Growth
Opportunities
> 525 Bcfe acquired in Barnett Shale
Mississippi Lime JV w/ EQU
Initial Utica Shale development
• Accretive acquisitions
• Organic leasehold
expansion
• Development through
partnership business
Operate in Attractive
Basins
Marcellus provides core development
Utica/Miss Lime offer oil/NGLs
Solid reserves/production in Barnett
• Marcellus & Utica Shales
• Mississippi Lime
• Barnett Shale
Carrizo Acquisition
Majority of the assets located in the
Core portion of the Barnett Shale
Most assets located in the Mansfield
region of Southeast Tarrant County
and Southern Denton County
277 Bcfe of proved reserves; 99%
gas, 52% PDP
198 gross producing wells; ~ 60%
operated
97 Gross PUD & PDNP locations
All acreage is held by production
EOG Resources
EVEP
Atlas
Chesapeake Energy
Devon Energy
Quicksilver Resources
Asset Details
Atlas
Position
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Titan Acquisition
• 250 Bcfe of proved reserves; 34%
PDP
• 84% natural gas, 16% NGLs
• ~ 90% held by production
• Lease operating expenses and
taxes of approximately $0.65/mcfe
• >300 potential future locations
including liquids rich opportunities
• Titan’s core operating team has
joined ARP and will oversee the
recently acquired Barnett assets
from both transactions
Asset Details Atlas Position
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Mississippi Lime JV Position
ARP/EQU
JV Position
• ARP entered into a joint venture
with Equal Energy (NYSE, TSX:
EQU) to acquire a 50% interest in
~ 14,500 acres in the core of the
Mississippi Lime play in
northwestern OK
• Acreage is located in Alfalfa,
Grant and Garfield counties; oil &
liquids rich portion of the play
• Position is primarily held by
existing production in the Hunton
formation
• ARP/EQU will drill with one rig for
the first 18 months; additional rigs
can be subsequently added
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Ohio Operations in Utica Fairway
Atlas Energy Has Over 2,900 Wells In Ohio
Deerfield
District
Office
New
Philadelphia
District
Office
Cambridge
District
Office
ARP’s legacy Ohio operations:
– Over 2,900 producing shallow wells
– Long lived reserves with low decline (9
MMcf/d of gross production)
ARP has existing land operations in eastern
Ohio to take advantage of development
opportunities in the region
ARP will be drilling its first several Utica Shale
wells later this year
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Strong Gas Hedge Position
Crude Oil
Natural Gas
Note: Hedge positions as of August 7, 2012
Hedge position prices shown are per thousand cubic feet (Mcf) for natural gas and per
barrel (bbl) for oil
Costless collar prices represent the floor and ceiling price established in the collar position.
For natural gas hedges, price includes an estimated positive basis differential and Btu
(British thermal unit) adjustment
• ARP has significantly hedged its
future production, enhancing its
overall risk management strategy:
• Barnett production is 90%
hedged for the initial 12
months of production, 80%
for the following 24 months
and 40% for the outer years
• ARP continues to employ a
consistent hedge strategy to
ensure stability of its cash flow
streams
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$90 –
$117.91
$90 –
$116.40
$84.17 –
$113.31
$83.85 –
$110.65
$103.80 $100.67
$97.69 $89.50
$3.44 $3.96 $4.32
$4.55
$4.68
$4.78 –
$5.88
$4.60 –
$5.54
$4.61 –
$5.55 $4.45 –
$5.71
Pro Forma Reserve Summary
The Barnett acquisitions more than doubles ARP’s proved reserves and enhances the long-lived
nature of its asset base
~ 700
> 1,000
Total Managed Reserves includes net reserves to ARP + reserves managed on behalf of the drilling investment partners
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ARP intends to maintain financial flexibility to take advantage of new opportunities that
present themselves in the marketplace
Comparable Peer Credit Profiles
2012E Debt / EBITDA Ratios for E&P MLP Peer Group
Source: Company Filings; FactSet. Comp group includes PSE, LINE, VNR, EVEP, BBEP, LGCY and QRE.
Note: Assumes ARP finances 2012 capital program with borrowings on existing credit facility. 20
Syndication Business Model
Value to
Drilling Partners
Value to
Atlas Resource
• Substantial 1st year tax deduction
(~94% of investment) against
ordinary income
• Monthly royalties from production
of wells
• Tax deductions beyond 1st year
for depletion and depreciation
• Upfront fees from fundraising;
15% over costs paid by partners
• Carried interest of 5-7% in
production; total working interest
of ~30%
• Ongoing monthly fees for life of
the well
• Credit received for cost paid for
leasehold acreage
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APL Profile
• Over 9,000 miles of gathering pipeline
• Diversified across 3 systems with an enviable
exposure to liquids-rich gas areas as well as stable
residue gas areas
• 7 processing facilities including state-of-the-art
cryogenic facilities
• System wide average volumes per day of over:
- 680 mmcfd of processed natural gas
- 61,000 barrels of NGLs
- 3,500 barrels of condensate
• Partnership owns 20% equity interest in West Texas
LPG Pipeline Limited Partnership
• Recently purchased gathering system in Barnett to
foster production from ARP
• Current $600mm capital expansion program
underway including all three processing systems;
approximately 75% of capital spent with meaningful
cash flow benefit expected after new cryogenic
facilities are installed in mid-2012 and additional NGL
takeaway pipelines built in 1H 2013
WestTX Gathering
& Processing System
Located in Spraberry Trend of
Permian Basin
255 MMcfd processing capacity
~3,100 miles of gathering pipeline
Approx. 2,800 receipt points serviced
Velma Gathering
& Processing System
Woodford Shale Play
160 MMcfd processing capacity
~ 1,200 miles of active gathering
pipeline
Approx. 600 receipt points serviced
WestOK Gathering &
Processing System
Located in Anadarko Basin
258 MMcfd processing capacity
~ 4,300 miles of gathering pipeline
Approx 4,300 receipt points serviced
West Texas LPG
NGL Pipeline
~ 2,300 miles of NGL transportation
pipeline
Services Permian, Barnett, and Rockies
243K bbl / day capacity is currently full
APL owns 20% interest (Chevron 80%)
Delivers to enviable Mt. Belvieu NGL hub
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APL Organic Growth Projects
23
System Current Capacity
Expansion New Capacity
Timing Comment
Velma
100 mmcfd 60 mmcfd 160 mmcfd Online Now Expansion already 75% full
WestOK
258 mmcfd 200 mmcfd 458 mmcfd August 2012 Significant amount of volume for new plant is currently on the system
WestTX
255 mmcfd 200 mmcfd 455 mmcfd First 100 mmcfd in 1Q 2013, Second 100 mmcfd in 1Q 2014
Second half of expansion could come in earlier as volume growth dictates
$600 Million in Capital Expansion in Progress to Add Significant Value to Stakeholders
APL: Gross Margin is Substantially Covered
Through Hedging and Fee-Based Contracts
Note: Hedges are at the corporate level and are not asset specific; Data as of 1Q 2012
Pro Forma
Run-Rate
Gross
Margin Hedged
45%
Percentage
of
Proceeds
58%
Fixed Fee
19%
Keep-Whole
23%
Hedged
18%
Unhedged
5%
Unhedged
13%
82% of run-rate Gross Margin is
under Fixed Fee arrangement or
Hedged to Limit Commodity
Price Exposure
• APL intends to maintain a
diversified contract portfolio
across its systems
• Fee-Based component in
processing contracts will be
used to offset costs of
connecting wells
• APL continues to utilize a
robust risk management
strategy utilizing swap and
options to prevent margin
deterioration
24
APL Processing Capacity Growth
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•Positioned in several of
the most prolific basins
in the US
•APL is expanding
capacity to meet the
increasing needs of
operators in the regions
•Given the recent pace
of utilization at all APL
systems further organic
expansion is likely
Summary
• ATLS’ general partner ownership in APL and ARP creates growing
cash flows and significant optionality
• Both E&P business (ARP) and midstream operations (APL) have
strong balance sheets and significant growth opportunities,
providing stable and increasing cash flows
• ATLS has no leverage and no capital requirements
• Management team holds a solid record of creating value through
the Atlas enterprises
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