Assumption Sheet Financial Model

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    Jan Burger Financial Model - Assumptions

    Jan Burger Level Assumptions

    General Assumptions

    1. Capex. for new store will be started 2 quarters prior the opening quarter of the stores2. Capex. for new office will be started one quarter prior to the opening quarter

    3. Other asset are assumed to remain same as current balance sheet till 2019

    4. No interest is being paid on the loan from holding company

    5. No repayment is done to holding company till 2019, no dividend is distributed till 2019

    6. Delivery service is assumed to be started from Q1 2016

    7. All the expenses per store are assumed to increase by inflation every year

    8. Rent expense, utility expense, maintenance, admin and overhead expense is taken

    by using average of last 6 months

    Number based assumptions

    Average sales per store per day

    Inflation (YoY till 2019)

    Annual sales growth

    Food cost as % of sales

    Paper cost as % of sales

    No. of stores per regional manager

    No. of stores per area manager

    Marketing expense as % of sales

    No. of stores per store accountant

    No. of stores per corporate office

    No. of days of payable

    No. of days of inventory

    Increase in average sales due to new product launch

    Increase in average sales due to delivery serviceAverage store ticket size in Q1 2014

    Sales Cohert Matrix

    Quarter

    1st quarter

    2nd quarter

    3rd quarter and beyond

    Delivery Calculation Assumptions

    General Assumptions

    Delivery service is assumed to be started from Q1 2016

    Numbers based Assumptions

    Average ticket size (Q4 2014)

    Average opening hours of a store

    No. of delivery orders as % of total orders in 2016

    Annual Increase in delivery orders

    No. of delivery orders in peak hour as % of avg. delivery order

    Max no. of order delivery per driver per hour

    Monthly salary of a driver

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    Avg. vehicle price

    Useful life of vehicle

    Avg. maintenance cost per vehicle per quarter as % total cost

    Avg. petrol expense per vehicle per day

    Increase in average sales due to delivery service

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    Factory Level Assumptions

    General Assumptions

    1. Warehouse rent is taken by calculating average of 6 warehouse2. Accrued expense is assumed to remain same as current balance sheet till 2019

    3. Other assets are assumed to remain same as current balance sheet till 2019

    4. No repayment of debt is done till 2019

    5. Capex. start for factory is three quarter before of opening quarter

    6. Capex. start for warehouse is one quarter before of opening quarter

    7. All the expenses per store are assumed to increase by inflation every year

    8. Rent expense, utility expense, maintenance, admin and overhead expense is taken

    by using average of last 6 months

    Number based assumptions

    5200 Riyal No. of stores per factory

    3% Factory gross margin

    5% Cost of food & paper as % of cost of sales of stores

    38.9% No. of days of payable

    2.60% No. of days of inventory

    15 No. of stores per warehouse

    5 Useful life of production machine

    1% Useful life of constructions

    15

    100

    30

    7

    5%

    5%31.5

    Cohert factor

    0.8

    0.9

    1

    31.5 riyal

    12

    15%

    3%

    200%

    5

    4000 Riyal

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    25000 Riyal

    10 Years

    5%

    20 Riyal

    5%

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    200

    5%

    83%

    30

    60

    100

    10

    20