ASSOCIATION OF FINANCIAL PROFESSIONALS 2018 ANNUAL … 1 AFP Gar… · $3,786,241 [VALUE] -500,000....

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ASSOCIATION OF FINANCIAL PROFESSIONALS 2018 ANNUAL WINTER SEMINAR

Transcript of ASSOCIATION OF FINANCIAL PROFESSIONALS 2018 ANNUAL … 1 AFP Gar… · $3,786,241 [VALUE] -500,000....

Page 1: ASSOCIATION OF FINANCIAL PROFESSIONALS 2018 ANNUAL … 1 AFP Gar… · $3,786,241 [VALUE] -500,000. 1,000,000. 1,500,000. 2,000,000. 2,500,000. 3,000,000. 3,500,000. 4,000,000. Jun-11.

ASSOCIATION OF FINANCIAL PROFESSIONALS 2018 ANNUAL WINTER SEMINAR

Page 2: ASSOCIATION OF FINANCIAL PROFESSIONALS 2018 ANNUAL … 1 AFP Gar… · $3,786,241 [VALUE] -500,000. 1,000,000. 1,500,000. 2,000,000. 2,500,000. 3,000,000. 3,500,000. 4,000,000. Jun-11.

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Overnight Benchmark Cash Investment Strategy

Stabilizing Earnings When Its Needed Most

For illustration purposes only

Page 3: ASSOCIATION OF FINANCIAL PROFESSIONALS 2018 ANNUAL … 1 AFP Gar… · $3,786,241 [VALUE] -500,000. 1,000,000. 1,500,000. 2,000,000. 2,500,000. 3,000,000. 3,500,000. 4,000,000. Jun-11.

[VALUE]

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Cummulative Overnight Benchmark Earnings

Which Earnings Curve Do You Want To Be On?

Page 4: ASSOCIATION OF FINANCIAL PROFESSIONALS 2018 ANNUAL … 1 AFP Gar… · $3,786,241 [VALUE] -500,000. 1,000,000. 1,500,000. 2,000,000. 2,500,000. 3,000,000. 3,500,000. 4,000,000. Jun-11.

$3,786,241

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Cummulative Cash & Investment Earnings Cummulative Overnight Benchmark Earnings

Incremental Earnings

$2,424,342

Which Earnings Curve Do You Want To Be On?

Page 5: ASSOCIATION OF FINANCIAL PROFESSIONALS 2018 ANNUAL … 1 AFP Gar… · $3,786,241 [VALUE] -500,000. 1,000,000. 1,500,000. 2,000,000. 2,500,000. 3,000,000. 3,500,000. 4,000,000. Jun-11.

U.S. Treasury Yield Curve

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Normal Range

Anomaly

Historical Yield of the 10 Year Treasury Note

Source: Yale University, Robert Shiller

Page 6: ASSOCIATION OF FINANCIAL PROFESSIONALS 2018 ANNUAL … 1 AFP Gar… · $3,786,241 [VALUE] -500,000. 1,000,000. 1,500,000. 2,000,000. 2,500,000. 3,000,000. 3,500,000. 4,000,000. Jun-11.

0.01%

2.49%

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3m1y 2 y 3y 5y 7y 10y 30y

6/30/2015Source: Thompson/Reuters

U.S. Treasury Yield Curve

Page 7: ASSOCIATION OF FINANCIAL PROFESSIONALS 2018 ANNUAL … 1 AFP Gar… · $3,786,241 [VALUE] -500,000. 1,000,000. 1,500,000. 2,000,000. 2,500,000. 3,000,000. 3,500,000. 4,000,000. Jun-11.

2.41%

2.87% 3.14%

0.01%

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3.25%

0.00%

0.50%

1.00%

1.50%

2.00%

2.50%

3.00%

3.50%

3m1y 2 y 3y 5y 7y 10y 30y

12/6/2018 6/30/2015Source: Thompson/Reuters

U.S. Treasury Yield Curve

Page 8: ASSOCIATION OF FINANCIAL PROFESSIONALS 2018 ANNUAL … 1 AFP Gar… · $3,786,241 [VALUE] -500,000. 1,000,000. 1,500,000. 2,000,000. 2,500,000. 3,000,000. 3,500,000. 4,000,000. Jun-11.

$1mm Overnight

Investment Investment on 6/30/2015 $1,000,000 Total Compounded Income: $30,600 Mark to Market Gain / (Loss) $0

Net Investment Results $30,600

Comparing Investment Options

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis & SNL Financial

Page 9: ASSOCIATION OF FINANCIAL PROFESSIONALS 2018 ANNUAL … 1 AFP Gar… · $3,786,241 [VALUE] -500,000. 1,000,000. 1,500,000. 2,000,000. 2,500,000. 3,000,000. 3,500,000. 4,000,000. Jun-11.

$1mm Overnight

Investment

$1mm 10 year Treasury Note

@ 2.49% Investment on 6/30/2015 $1,000,000 $1,000,000 Total Compounded Income: $30,600 $117,034 Mark to Market Gain / (Loss) $0 ($16,416)

Net Investment Results $30,600 $100,618

Comparing Investment Options

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis & SNL Financial

Page 10: ASSOCIATION OF FINANCIAL PROFESSIONALS 2018 ANNUAL … 1 AFP Gar… · $3,786,241 [VALUE] -500,000. 1,000,000. 1,500,000. 2,000,000. 2,500,000. 3,000,000. 3,500,000. 4,000,000. Jun-11.

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Cummulative Cash & Investment Earnings Cummulative Overnight Benchmark Earnings

Earnings Curve

Page 11: ASSOCIATION OF FINANCIAL PROFESSIONALS 2018 ANNUAL … 1 AFP Gar… · $3,786,241 [VALUE] -500,000. 1,000,000. 1,500,000. 2,000,000. 2,500,000. 3,000,000. 3,500,000. 4,000,000. Jun-11.

The only function of economic forecasting is to make astrology look respectable.

John Kenneth Galbraith

Page 12: ASSOCIATION OF FINANCIAL PROFESSIONALS 2018 ANNUAL … 1 AFP Gar… · $3,786,241 [VALUE] -500,000. 1,000,000. 1,500,000. 2,000,000. 2,500,000. 3,000,000. 3,500,000. 4,000,000. Jun-11.

Focus on what makes a difference

Page 13: ASSOCIATION OF FINANCIAL PROFESSIONALS 2018 ANNUAL … 1 AFP Gar… · $3,786,241 [VALUE] -500,000. 1,000,000. 1,500,000. 2,000,000. 2,500,000. 3,000,000. 3,500,000. 4,000,000. Jun-11.

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