Assignment 1

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ESGC6318 Applications of Demographic Techniques Assignment 1 1. Discuss the demographic transition theory. 2. At what stage was Singapore in the demographic transition in 1950s, 1980s and 2010? (Please refer to UN Population Division, and check for trend in crude birth rate and crude death rate). 3. The population of Malaysia was enumerated at 23.3 million in 2000 and 28.4 million in 2010. What is the average annual rate of growth of the population during this period? At this rate of growth, what would be the projected population of Malaysia in 2020? Is it reasonable to assume that this rate of growth will continue into 2050? Why? 4. In country Y, the population of 10.5 million is growing at 1.3% per annum, how many years would it take the population to increase to 21 million, assuming that this rate of growth is maintained throughout. 5. Country X has a population of 30 million in 2010, up from 15 million in 1980. What was the average annual rate of population growth? 6. Download the 2010 census report on Basic Demographic Characteristics (item 11 in the free download from DOSM website).

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Assignment 1

Transcript of Assignment 1

ESGC6318 Applications of Demographic Techniques

Assignment 1

1. Discuss the demographic transition theory.

2. At what stage was Singapore in the demographic transition in 1950s, 1980s and 2010? (Please refer to UN Population Division, and check for trend in crude birth rate and crude death rate).

3. The population of Malaysia was enumerated at 23.3 million in 2000 and 28.4 million in 2010. What is the average annual rate of growth of the population during this period? At this rate of growth, what would be the projected population of Malaysia in 2020? Is it reasonable to assume that this rate of growth will continue into 2050? Why?

4. In country Y, the population of 10.5 million is growing at 1.3% per annum, how many years would it take the population to increase to 21 million, assuming that this rate of growth is maintained throughout.

5. Country X has a population of 30 million in 2010, up from 15 million in 1980. What was the average annual rate of population growth?

6. Download the 2010 census report on Basic Demographic Characteristics (item 11 in the free download from DOSM website).