Ash Dhupar - Publishers Clearing House at the Chief Analytics Officer Forum, West Coast

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DELIVERING VALUE & PROFITS Ash Dhupar Chief Analytics Officer Publishers Clearing House [email protected]

Transcript of Ash Dhupar - Publishers Clearing House at the Chief Analytics Officer Forum, West Coast

DELIVERING

VALUE & PROFITS

Ash Dhupar Chief Analytics Officer

Publishers Clearing House

[email protected]

AGENDA

Quick Intro to PCH

The Problem

The Solution

Impact to Business

Questions

2

Over

$285

Million in Prizes

Awarded

To Date!

A limited

liability

company

generating

$1

Billion Annual

Revenue

PCH FACTS

Privately owned

by founding family

and charitable

trusts, and

headquartered

in Port

Washington,

New York National

expansion

with offices in:

New York City

Boston

San Francisco

Portland

FACTS ABOUT PCH

PCH CUSTOMERS

3.5 MILLION

12-month buyers

4 MILLION

highly

engaged

fans

15+ MILLION monthly

users

100 MILLION data-rich

first party

customer

profiles

2 Billion

Monthly

Page Views

MERCHANDISING

30 MILLION

orders

35 MILLION

units

10 THOUSAND

active SKU’s

OVER

• Millionaire-Making Super Prizes

• Exciting Cash Prizes

• Daily “Instant Win” Opportunities

• Token Earnings and Top

Retailer Gift Card rewards

SURPRISE & DELIGHT:

MORE WAYS TO WIN Over $285 Million in prizes

awarded – including 730,000

winners in 2015 alone!

PCH DIGITAL CUSTOMER

8

PCH

Customer

Ecomm

Search

Games

Lotto

S&W

Apps

Mobile

Web

THE PROBLEM…

PCH customers are being

marketed by different monetizing

properties, (350 Million Emails)

and each wanting more….

There was a business need to

take a more holistic view of the

customer’s journey

There was a need to increase

conversion, retention and

monetized while reducing churn

Welcome to PCH..

OVERALL APPROACH

A new model was developed Optimized Customer Model (OCM) to help in the process

This is a customer level model while keeping intact the sensitivities of all PCH properties and interactions

This model combines smaller models that act as building blocks to fully optimize Revenue and Churn. The various building blocks are listed below with more details on the following slides. – Email Click Model (1)

– Conversion Model (7)

– Customer Dormancy Model (1)

– Unsubscribe Model (3)

Email Click Model

Predicts the probability that the actual number of emails a customer is likely to open in the next 7 days

The key input includes all email activity, as well as every touch point made to the customer, in the last 90 days

Predicts if the customer will convert on one or more properties based on their previous history.

A conversion score from 0 to 1 will be generated nightly, including the most recent activity. A score of 1 will mean the high likelihood of converting and a score of 0 will indicate least likely to convert.

The conversion Models are for

o E Commerce Portal

o Prospect

o PCH.com Site

o Lotto Site

o Search and Win Site

o Front Page Site

o Games Site

Conversion

(Revenue)

Model

This model predicts the deceleration of a customer with PCH.

A deceleration score of 0 to 1 will be generated nightly.

Customer Migration from one bucket to another is maintained.

Customer

Dormancy/

Deceleration

Model

This model predicts the likelihood of a customer to unsubscribe from one or all of the PCH properties.

This is a combination of 3 different models to predict unsubscription requests based on

1. Last 30 days of activity

2. 31 to 90 days

3. 90+ days

Unsubscribe

Model

Email Click Model

Conversion (Revenue)

Model

Customer Dormancy

Model

Unsubscribe Score

Manual Decision Rules

20 Million Customers are scored on a nightly basis… times 12

The marketing teams use a combination of model scores to create decision rules

This is an iterative approach, putting the risk and rewards in the business owners hands.

Optimized Customer Model (OCM)

Email Click Model

Conversion (Revenue)

Model

Customer Dormancy

Model

Unsubscribe Score

Automated Decision Rules

Optimized Customer Model (OCM)

Driving on Auto Pilot

BENEFITS OF THE MODELS Holistic approach with the ability to

send the right customers to the right properties with maximized revenue

Ability to increase retention and engagement

Ability to create various profitable segments and use different marketing/communication plans with these segments

Ability to understand short-term actionable programs(next 3 days) as well as long-term retention programs around

ACTUAL IMPACT TO BUSINESS

Multi-million dollar profit

contributions (annualized

basis)

A better customer

experience

A Powerful tool in the

hands of business owners

to make a true impact

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QUESTIONS?

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DELIVERING

VALUE & PROFITS

Ash Dhupar Chief Analytics Officer

Publishers Clearing House

[email protected]