Arctic Paper Group Results for the Q2 2015 Documents... · Arctic Paper 576 554 577 641 674 680 632...

19
Wolfgang Lübbert, CEO Arctic Paper Małgorzata Majewska-Śliwa, CFO Arctic Paper Arctic Paper Group Results for the Q2 2015

Transcript of Arctic Paper Group Results for the Q2 2015 Documents... · Arctic Paper 576 554 577 641 674 680 632...

Page 1: Arctic Paper Group Results for the Q2 2015 Documents... · Arctic Paper 576 554 577 641 674 680 632 673 614 641 574 603 576 617 576 644 554 0 200 400 600 800 3,52 3,35 3,32 3,27 3,24

Wolfgang Lübbert, CEO Arctic Paper

Małgorzata Majewska-Śliwa, CFO Arctic Paper

Arctic Paper GroupResults for the Q2 2015

Page 2: Arctic Paper Group Results for the Q2 2015 Documents... · Arctic Paper 576 554 577 641 674 680 632 673 614 641 574 603 576 617 576 644 554 0 200 400 600 800 3,52 3,35 3,32 3,27 3,24

Arctic Paper

DisclaimerPlease read the information below carefully

This presentation (the ‘Presentation’) was prepared by Arctic Paper S.A. (the ‘Company’) for information purposes only for use by investors, banks and the Company’scustomers as well as market analysts and under no circumstances may it be treated as a part of an invitation or offer to purchase securities, an invitation to make investmentsor conduct transactions regarding securities, an inducement to make purchase offers or a recommendation to conclude any transactions, in particular transactions regarding theCompany's securities.

The information contained in the Presentation was taken from publicly available sources which the Company believes to be reliable. However, the Company cannot guarantee itsreliability or completeness, except for the information on the Company and its Group. The Company shall not be held liable for the consequences of decisions made on the basisof or in reliance on the information contained in this Presentation. The information contained in the Presentation has not been independently verified and may be subject tochange at any time. The publication of the data contained in the Presentation by the Company does not constitute a breach of the provisions of the law which apply tocompanies whose shares are listed on the regulated market, in particular the regulated market operated by the Warsaw Stock Exchange in Poland and NASDAQ OMX Stockholmin Sweden. The information contained herein has been published by the Company in its current and periodic reports, or constitutes a supplement thereto which is not required tobe published by the Company in order to comply with the Company’s reporting requirements as a listed company.

Under no circumstances should information contained in this Presentation be construed as the explicit or implicit submission of a representation or warranty of any type by theCompany or by persons acting on its behalf. Furthermore, neither the Company nor any person acting on its behalf shall be held liable in any respect for any damage which mayarise as a result of negligence or for any other cause as a result of the use of this Presentation or any information contained in it, or for damage which may otherwise arise inconnection with information constituting a part of this Presentation.

The Company is not obliged to publish updates and amendments to the information, data and representations contained in this Presentation as a result of a change of theCompany’s strategy or intentions or the appearance of unexpected facts or circumstances which affect such strategy or intentions of the Company, unless such an obligationarises from the provisions of law.

This Presentation contains information on the paper industry. With the exception of information indicated as originating from a specified source, the market information referredto above has been prepared on the basis of data received from third parties who are named in this Presentation and contains estimates, assessments, corrections and opinionsbased on the Company's experience and knowledge of the sector in which it conducts business. Because the market information referred to above may have been partiallyprepared with the use of estimates, assessments, corrections and opinions and has not been verified by independent entities, to a certain extent, this information is of asubjective nature, with the exception of the information which has been indicated as information originating from third parties from a specified source. It is presumed thatestimates, assessments, corrections and opinions are based on reasonable grounds and that the market information which has been prepared duly reflects the situation of theindustry on the markets on which the Company conducts business. However, there is no certainty that the estimates, assessments, corrections and opinions are the mostappropriate basis for drawing conclusions on the market information or that market information taken from other sources may not differ significantly from the marketinformation contained in this Presentation.

The Company would like to point out to the readers of this Presentation that the only reliable source of data on Arctic Paper's financial results, forecasts and events, as well asthe Company’s indicators, is the current and periodic reports submitted by the Company in compliance with reporting requirements under Polish and Swedish law.

This Presentation should be read together with the 2014 consolidated and standalone annual report as well as the report for the 1st half of 2015.

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Arctic Paper

Agenda

Market environmentOperating and financial resultsThe specifics of Profit Improvement Program 2015/16Summary for the Q2 2015

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Arctic Paper

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Market environment

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Arctic Paper

1 019

963

908

990

559 544505

546

460419 404

444

200

450

700

950

1 200

Fine papers Uncoated woodfree Coated woodfree

5 9655 836 (-2,2)

2 859 2 9742 861 (-3,8)

0

1 000

2 000

3 000

4 000

5 000

2014 2015 Q2 14 Q1 15 Q2 15

Deliveries of fine paper

Q2 2015 vs. Q1 2015 – 3,8%

Uncoated woodfree down - 1,9%

Coated woodfree down - 6,1%

Arctic Paper volume down - 11,8%

1H 2015 vs. 1H 2014 - 2,2%

Uncoated woodfree down - 1,0%

Coated woodfree down - 3,6%

Arctic Paper volume down - 0,4%

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Arctic Paper YTD 2015 volume structure

VOLUME380 t TONS

UWF75%

CWF25%

Monthly deliveries of fine paper in Europe

Quarterly deliveries of fine paper in Europe

Source: Arctic Paper based on EuroGraph data.

thou

sand

met

ric

tons

Source: Arctic Paper based on EuroGraph data.

thou

sand

met

ric

tons

Current period Compared period

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Arctic Paper

Minimumprice

Averageprice

Maximumprice

Minimumprice

Averageprice

Maximumprice

UWF 2,6% 2,6% 2,6% 2,6% 2,6% 2,6%

CWF -2,5% -2,8% -3,1% -1,9% -1,7% -1,7%

06 15 vs . 06 1406 15 vs . 03 15

600

700

800

900

1000

UWF 80g Sheets UWF 80g Reels CWF 90g Sheets CWF 90g Reels

Fine paper prices

June 2015 vs. March 2015

UWF segment average price change 2,6%(Arctic Paper + 1,3%)

CWF segment average price change - 2,8% (Arctic Paper - 1,7%)

June 2015 vs. June 2014

UWF segment average price change +2,6% (Arctic Paper + 1,3%)

CWF segment average price change - 1,7% (Arctic Paper - 0,8%)

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Graphic fine paper prices - German market

Change in price for graphic paper in EUR - Western Europe

Source: Arctic Paper based on RISI data.

EUR /

ton

Source: Arctic Paper based on RISI data.

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Arctic Paper

0

100

200

300

NBSK vs. BHKP

831

762

810837

861 871

922 926 931 932

880853

784752

775801

821

774 765742

725743

759797

700

900

1 100

750 781 751 781

+4,2 +4,0

AverageQ1 15

AverageQ2 15

AverageQ2 14

AverageQ2 15

905 855924

854

-5,6 -7,6

AverageQ1 15

AverageQ2 15

AverageQ2 14

AverageQ2 15

Pulp prices

Average price Q2 2015 compared to Q1 2015

NBSK (long fibre) 5,6% lower

BHKP (short fibre) 4,2% higher

Arctic Paper costs 2,1% higher (measured in PLN)

Average price Q2 2015 compared to Q2 2014

NBSK (long fibre) 7,5% lower

BHKP (short fibre) 4,0% higher

Arctic Paper costs 18,5% higher (measured in PLN)

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Arctic Paper YTD JUN 2015 Structure of pulp consumption

CONSUMPTION365 t TONS

BHKP65%

NBSK18%

Pulp PIX Indexes Europe

USD

/ t

on

Source: Arctic Paper based on Foex data.

NBSK vs. BHKP NBSK PIX USD BHKP PIX USDGROUNDWOOD

10%CTMP8%

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Arctic Paper

0,6

0,9

1,2

2012 2013 2014 2015

6,0

7,5

9,0

2012 2013 2014 2015

3,0

3,5

4,0

4,5

2012 2013 2014 2015

Currency exposure

Average exch. rate Q2 2015 compared to Q1 2015

EUR/PLN -2,5%

EUR/SEK -0,9%

EUR/USD -1,8%

Average exch. rate Q2 2015 compared to Q2 2014

EUR/PLN -1,9%

EUR/SEK +2,7%

EUR/USD -19,5%

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Arctic Paper YTD JUN 2015 Revenue and Costs Structure

REVENUE1 076 mln

PLN

PLN11%

EUR67%

EUR/PLN changes

GBP8%

SEK6%

COSTS1 050 mln

PLN

EUR/SEK changes

EUR/USD changes

30/064,19

30/069,20

30/061,11

EUR28%

USD38%

SEK18%

PLN14%

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Arctic Paper

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Operating and financial results

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Arctic Paper

194 202 191 199 182 185 189 188 184 197 186 194171

98% 97%94%

98%

91% 90%93% 93% 93% 94% 93% 95%

87%

40%

60%

80%

100%

0

150

300

450

185 178191

203191

206190

204183 188

182197

185 192 186202

178

0

60

120

180

240

Production capacity and sales volume

Q2 2015 average use of production capacity 87%

8,2% lower than Q1 2015

6,1% lower than Q2 2014

Q2 2015 total production volume 171’ tons

12,2% lower than Q1 2015

7,3% lower than Q2 2014

1H 2015 total production volume 365’ tons

1,8% lower than 1H 2014

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Production and use of production capacity for all paper mills*

Prod

uction

in t

hous

and

tons

Paper sales volume*

% o

f no

min

alca

paci

ty

Thou

sand

tons

* in Q3 2013 one paper machine at Arctic Paper Mochenwangen with the yearly capacity of 20.000 tonswas closed

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Arctic Paper

576 554577

641674 680

632673

614 641574

603 576617

576644

554

0

200

400

600

800

3,52

3,35 3,32 3,27 3,24 3,223,13 3,13 3,17 3,13 3,11 3,08

3,17 3,183,11

2,0

2,5

3,0

3,5

4,0

Paper sales revenue and revenue per ton

Q2 2015 (PLN 554m) down 14,0 % compared to Q1 2015

Q2 2015 down 3,8% compared to Q2 2014

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Paper sales revenue

Mill

ions

PLN

Paper sales revenue per ton

Thou

sand

PLN

Q2 2015 (PLN 3,11k) decrease of 2,4% comparedto Q1 2015

Q2 2015 equal to Q2 2014

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Arctic Paper

(PLN thousands)Q2

2015Q1

2015*Q2

20141H

2015*1H

2014

Paper sales volume (000' tonnes) 159 181 164 340 339Pulp sales volume (000' tonnes) 94 91 88 185 173Revenues 688 249 771 103 693 135 1 459 352 1 436 062Gross profit on sales 80 220 131 939 97 944 212 159 197 223% margin 11,7 17,1 14,1 14,5 13,7EBITDA 38 899 77 999 54 329 116 898 102 562% margin 5,7 10,1 7,8 8,0 7,1EBIT 11 865 50 959 26 185 62 825 46 257% margin 1,7 6,6 3,8 4,3 3,2Net result 13 098 12 846 13 475 25 944 22 383% margin 1,9 1,7 1,9 1,8 1,6Net result from continuing operations 25 200 26 690 14 290 51 890 24 178% margin 3,7 3,5 2,1 3,6 1,7Net result from discontinued operations -12 102 -13 844 -814 -25 946 -1 795% margin -1,8 -1,8 -0,1 -1,8 -0,1

Net operating cash flow 17 912 37 978 29 936 55 890 61 321Capital expenditures 31 300 12 893 13 154 44 193 34 656Cash and equivalents 184 698 159 956 95 216 184 698 159 956

Total assets 1 832 862 1 800 860 1 725 072 1 832 862 1 725 072Capital employed 1 183 451 1 142 433 1 074 365 1 183 451 1 074 365Total equity 737 378 728 206 678 665 737 378 678 665Net debt 261 828 245 473 375 455 261 828 375 455

Eearnings per share (PLN) 0,19 0,19 0,19 0,37 0,32Equity / assets ratio (%) 40 40 39 40 39Net debt / equity ratio (%) 36 34 55 36 55Net debt / EBITDA (times) 0,98x 0,90x 2,70x 0,98x 2,70x* - included one-off transactions related to reserve for outstandinginvoices to PaperlinX UK in amount of 14,2m PLN

Key consolidated figuresPage 12

1H 2015 EBITDA on the level of PLN 116,9m, Net result of 25,9m PLN.

Cash on the level of 184,7m PLN.

Net debt on the level of 261,8m PLN.

1H 2015 Results impacted by reserve for outstanding invoices to PaperlinX UK in amount of 14,2m PLN.

1H 2015 Net result from discountinuedoperation of - 25,9m PLN.

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Arctic Paper

33

0,25

2028

32 33

5045

26

0,2

Q2 2015 Operating result and EBITDA (excluding Rottneros)

Operating result for the Q2 2015 - 19,1 m PLN

- 26,0 m PLN lower than Q1 2015

- 31,2 m PLN lower than Q2 2014

Q2 2015 EBITDA 0,2m PLN

- 25,9 m PLN lower than Q1 2015

- 32,6 m PLN lower than Q2 2014

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Q2 Operating result bridge

EBITDA evolution

Mili

onPL

NM

ilion

PLN

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Arctic Paper

54

39

3

2414

4854

8169

78

39

Q2 2015 Consolidated operating result and EBITDA (including Rottneros)

Operating result for the Q2 2015 11,9 m PLN

- 39,0 m PLN lower than Q1 2015

- 14,3 m PLN lower than Q2 2014

Q2 2015 EBITDA 38,9m PLN

- 39,1 m PLN lower than Q1 2015

- 15,4 m PLN lower than Q2 2014

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Q2 Operating result bridge

EBITDA evolution

Mili

onPL

NM

ilion

PLN

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Arctic Paper

1H 2015 Consolidated operating result and EBITDA (including Rottneros)

Operating result for the 1H 2015 62,8 m PLN

16,6 m PLN higher than 1H 2014

1H 2015 EBITDA 116,9m PLN

14,3 m PLN higher than 1H 2014

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1H Operating result bridge

EBITDA evolution

Mili

onPL

NM

ilion

PLN

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Arctic Paper

Profit Improvement Program 2015/2016

Background:

Aim of the Program - to further increase the speed of our structural changes and thereby our profitability;

Reasons of the Program:

The continued complicated paper market;

The dramatic strengthening of the US Dollar;

Main pillars of Profit Improvement Program 2015/16:

Total target is to lessen cost by 50 MPLN annually;

Involves all units;

Individual mill profitability improvements – thorough and complete analysis started;

Complete company audit of external service costs;

Enhanced shared service centres

To use our experience in creating cost-efficient centres, where synergies can be accumulated, in more fields than just logistics;

Unification in all IT solutions;

Specific and decisive moves concerning Arctic Paper Mochenwangen;

Two alternatives are being explored/negotiated - possible cease of production or sale of the mill;

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Arctic Paper

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Summary for the 1H 2015

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Arctic Paper

Q2 2015 in briefMarket environment:

Very unfavourable level of EUR against USD, if compare to Q1 2015 change by – 1,8% but if compared to Q2 2014change by – 19,5%;

Graphical papers prices in Europe during Q2 2015 a little bit up for UWF segment but still down for CWF;

Deliveries of high quality papers in Europe lover compared to Q1 2015, with average drop by approx. 3,8%;

Unfavourable pulp prices changes (BHKP, short fibre + 4,2% and NBSK, long fibre – 5,6%, in USD);

Arctic Paper Group:

Negative impact on pulp costs due to strong USD especially if compare to Q2 2014;

Q2 2015 EBIDTA of the Arctic Paper Group reached the amount of 38,9m PLN, due to excellent Rottneros result;

Rottneros result was driven by favourable currency exchange rates and due to forceful internal actions;

Production at the Arctic Paper Kostrzyn mill was stopped for 10 days because of the investment process carried out there;

Implementation of the Profit Improvement Program 2015/2016, with the aim to lessen costs by about PLN 50m annually, including decisive moves concerning Arctic Paper Mochenwangen—possible cease of production or sale of the mill;

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Wolfgang Lübbert, CEO Arctic Paper

Małgorzata Majewska-Śliwa, CFO Arctic Paper

Thank you!