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traffic engineering and transport planning Arcadis LLP Proposed Secondary School (Bolder Academy) Macfarlane Lane, Isleworth Transport Assessment March 2017 Armstrong House, The Flemingate Centre, Beverley, HU17 0NZ 01482 679 911 [email protected] www.local-transport-projects.co.uk Registered No. 5295328

Transcript of Arcadis LLP - WordPress.com · 2017. 4. 14. · Appendix 7 – Bus Routes and Site Catchment...

traffic engineering and transport planning

Arcadis LLP

Proposed Secondary School

(Bolder Academy)

Macfarlane Lane, Isleworth

Transport Assessment

March 2017

Armstrong House, The Flemingate Centre, Beverley, HU17 0NZ 01482 679 911 [email protected] www.local-transport-projects.co.uk

Registered No. 5295328

Document Control www.local-transport-projects.co.uk

Arcadis LLP

Proposed Secondary School

(Bolder Academy)

Macfarlane Lane, Isleworth

Transport Assessment

March 2017

Client Commission

Client: Arcadis LLP Date Commissioned: August 2016

LTP Quality Control

Job No: LTP/16/2504 File Ref: Bolder Academy TA Final ISSUE 1

Issue Revision Description Originated Checked Date

1 - Final issue for planning JH SW 30/03/2017

Authorised for Issue: TK

LTP PROJECT TEAM As part of our commitment to quality the following team of transport professionals was assembled specifically for the delivery of this project. Relevant qualifications are shown and CVs are available upon request to demonstrate our experience and credentials.

Team Member LTP Designation Qualifications

Tony Kirby Director (Project Manager) IEng MSc MCIHT FIHE

Steven Windass Principal Transport Planner BSc (Hons) MSc (Eng) MCIHT MIHE

Jack Hearnshaw Transport Planner BA(Hons) MIHE

Chris Wilkinson Graduate Transport Planner BA(Hons)

Sophie Lee Assistant Transport Planner -

The contents of this document must not be copied or reproduced, in whole or in part, without the written consent of Local Transport Projects Ltd.

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BOLDER ACADEMY

MACFARLANE LANE, ISLEWORTH

TRANSPORT ASSESSMENT

CONTENTS

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ...............................................................................................................4 1.0 INTRODUCTION ..............................................................................................................4

1.1 Background ........................................................................................................................................... 5 1.2 Scope .................................................................................................................................................... 5

2.0 SITE BACKGROUND .........................................................................................................8 2.1 Site Location & Existing Use ................................................................................................................... 8 2.2 Development Proposals ......................................................................................................................... 9 2.3 Proposed Access Arrangements ............................................................................................................. 9 2.4 Proposed Parking Arrangements .......................................................................................................... 11 2.5 Planning History & Committed Developments ...................................................................................... 12

3.0 SITE ASSESSMENT ......................................................................................................... 15 3.1 Local Highway Network ....................................................................................................................... 15 3.2 Pedestrian Infrastructure..................................................................................................................... 17 3.3 Cycling Infrastructure .......................................................................................................................... 20 3.4 Public Transport Provision ................................................................................................................... 22

4.0 ROAD CASUALTY APPRAISAL ......................................................................................... 26 4.1 Introduction ........................................................................................................................................ 26 4.2 Casualties............................................................................................................................................ 27 4.3 Collision Conditions ............................................................................................................................. 28 4.4 Collision Times .................................................................................................................................... 28 4.5 Collision Locations ............................................................................................................................... 29 4.6 Road Safety Impact ............................................................................................................................. 30

5.0 TRIP GENERATION PROJECTIONS .................................................................................. 31 5.1 School Catchment Area ....................................................................................................................... 31 5.2 Pupil Modal Split & Person Trip Generation ......................................................................................... 32 5.3 Staff Modal Split & Person Trip Generation .......................................................................................... 34

6.0 TRAFFIC IMPACT ........................................................................................................... 36 6.1 Existing Network Traffic Flows ............................................................................................................. 36 6.2 Assessment Scenarios ......................................................................................................................... 36 6.3 Staff Traffic Distribution & Assignment ................................................................................................ 37 6.4 Pupil Traffic Distribution and Assignment ............................................................................................. 39 6.5 Impact at Local Junctions ..................................................................................................................... 41 6.6 Junction Capacity Assessments ............................................................................................................ 43 6.7 Impact on Local Highway Network ....................................................................................................... 56

7.0 PEDESTRIAN, CYCLE & PUBLIC TRANSPORT IMPACT ...................................................... 57 7.1 Impact on Pedestrian and Cycle Infrastructure ..................................................................................... 57 7.2 Impact on London Bus Network ........................................................................................................... 58 7.3 Impact on Train & London Underground Services ................................................................................. 59 7.4 Off-Site Highway Works ....................................................................................................................... 60

8.0 CONCLUSIONS .............................................................................................................. 61 9.0 REFERENCES ................................................................................................................. 65

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APPENDICES

Appendix 1 – Proposed Site Layout Plan

Appendix 2 – Proposed Macfarlane Lane Design

Appendix 3 – Access Management Strategy

Appendix 4 – Construction TMP

Appendix 5 – Macfarlane Lane/Syon Lane Works

Appendix 6 – PTAL Output

Appendix 7 – Bus Routes and Site Catchment

Appendix 8 – PIC Data

Appendix 9 – Catchment Area

Appendix 10 – Pupil Modal Split Projections

Appendix 11 – Network Traffic Flows

Appendix 12 – TEMPRO Growth

Appendix 13 – Staff Gravity Model

Appendix 14 – Staff Traffic Distribution

Appendix 15 – Pupil Home Location Zones

Appendix 16 – Pupil Gravity Model

Appendix 17 – Pupil Traffic Distribution

Appendix 18 – Network Diagrams

Appendix 19 – Syon Lane/Jersey Road Modelling

Appendix 20 – Syon Lane/Jersey Road Queues

Appendix 21 – Macfarlane/Syon Lane Modelling

Appendix 22 – Syon Lane/Tesco Modelling

Appendix 23 – Syon Lane/Grant Way Modelling

Appendix 24 – Syon Lane/A4 Modelling

Appendix 25 – Wood Lane/A4 Modelling

Appendix 26 – Thornbury Road/A4 Modelling

Appendix 27 – PERS/CERS Audit Report

Appendix 28 – Pupil Bus Use Projections

FIGURES

Figure 1: Site Location ................................................................................................................8

Figure 2: Cycle Time Isochrone ................................................................................................. 21

Figure 3: Local Cycle Routes ..................................................................................................... 21

Figure 4: PIC Study Area ........................................................................................................... 26

Figure 5: Gravity Model Zones.................................................................................................. 38

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TABLES

Table 1: Local Bus Services ....................................................................................................... 23

Table 2: Sky Shuttle Bus Services .............................................................................................. 24

Table 3: Syon Lane Railway Services ......................................................................................... 24

Table 4: Collision History .......................................................................................................... 27

Table 5: Casualty Road User Groups ......................................................................................... 27

Table 6: Collision Conditions .................................................................................................... 28

Table 7: Collisions by Time of Year ........................................................................................... 28

Table 8: Collisions by Day and Time .......................................................................................... 29

Table 9: Mixed-Gender Hounslow Secondary Schools - 75th Quartile Travel Distances .............. 31

Table 10: Proposed Pupil Modal Split ....................................................................................... 32

Table 11: Two-Way Pupil Vehicle Trip Generation .................................................................... 34

Table 12: Proposed Staff Modal Split ........................................................................................ 34

Table 13: Two-Way Staff Vehicle Trip Generation ..................................................................... 35

Table 14: Staff Travel Gravity Model Results ............................................................................ 38

Table 15: Pupil Home Location Zones ....................................................................................... 39

Table 16: Pupil Travel Gravity Model Results ............................................................................ 40

Table 17: Predicted Traffic Impact at Local Junctions ................................................................ 41

Table 18: Windmill Lane/Syon Lane/Jersey Road Mini-Roundabout Capacity Assessment ........ 44

Table 19: Windmill Lane/Syon Lane/Jersey Road Mini-Roundabout Queue Lengths ................. 45

Table 20: Macfarlane Lane/Syon Lane Junction Capacity Assessment ....................................... 47

Table 21: Syon Lane/Tesco Roundabout Capacity Assessment.................................................. 48

Table 22: Syon Lane/Grant Way Mini-Roundabout Capacity Assessment.................................. 49

Table 23: Syon Lane/Great West Road (A4)/Harlequin Avenue Junction Capacity Assessment.. 51

Table 24: Wood Lane/Great West Road (A4) Junction Capacity Assessment ............................. 53

Table 25: Thornbury Road/Great West Road (A4) Junction Capacity Assessment ..................... 55

Table 26: Impact on Local Bus Services ..................................................................................... 58

PHOTOS

Photo 1: Macfarlane Lane ........................................................................................................ 15

Photo 2: Existing Macfarlane Lane/Syon Lane Junction ............................................................ 16

Photo 3: Gillette Corner Junction ............................................................................................. 16

Photo 4: Footpath Connecting Wood Lane with Syon Lane ....................................................... 18

Photo 5: Zebra Crossing on Syon Lane ...................................................................................... 18

Photo 6: Toucan Crossing Facility on Great West Road (A4)...................................................... 19

Photo 7: Puffin Crossing on Syon Lane...................................................................................... 19

Photo 8: Off-Road Facility on Great West Road ........................................................................ 22

Photo 9: Osterley Tesco Bus Stop ............................................................................................. 23

Photo 10: Syon Lane Railway Station ........................................................................................ 24

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

This Transport Assessment (TA) provides a detailed appraisal of the transport impacts associated

with proposals to construct a new secondary school (Bolder Academy) at the site of the existing

Grasshoppers Rugby Football Club (GRFC) at 1 Macfarlane Lane, Isleworth, Hounslow, TW7 5PN.

The proposed school will have a capacity of 1,150 pupils and will employ a total of 90 staff.

The proposed site will be accessed via Macfarlane Lane, which will be improved in order to

provide a 6.0m carriageway and a 3.0m footway on the northern side across the full length

between Syon Lane and the proposed site. A number of other public highway improvements are

to be made within the vicinity of the site. With the exception of Special Educational Needs (SEN)

pupils, pupil drop-offs and pick-ups will not be permitted on site or across the full length of

Macfarlane Lane. The car park of the nearby Tesco Extra store will be utilised as a park and stride

facility for the school.

The proposed development is located within a reasonable walking distance (up to 2km) of the

residential areas of Osterley and Isleworth which form part of the expected school catchment.

The pedestrian infrastructure within the vicinity of the site is generally well-developed, with

formal crossing facilities available at key junctions. The proposed site is located within a 15

minute cycle ride of a large catchment area, including Osterley, Brentford and Isleworth. Public

bus services available within the vicinity of the site include the H28 from Osterley Tesco and the

H91 from the A4. Syon Lane Railway Station is located 1.1km walk from the proposed site. Audits

have been undertaken of the local pedestrian and cycle infrastructure, with improvement

schemes identified.

A road casualty study showed that 88 collisions occurred within the local study area around the

proposed development site during the 5 year study period. Analysis of the study collisions has

not revealed any identifiable existing collision issues associated with the expected movements

generated by the proposed school.

The likely school catchment area has been determined based upon the distances travelled by

75% of pupils attending existing mixed-gender secondary schools in Hounslow. It is expected that

75% of pupils would travel to the site from within a 2.5km distance, including Osterley, Spring

Grove and parts of Isleworth and Brentford.

It is expected that approximately 15.4% of pupils would travel to the site by vehicle trip

generating modes (i.e. park and stride), with the remainder travelling by more sustainable

modes. Approximately 58% of staff could be expected to travel by vehicle trip generating modes.

The traffic generation projections indicate that the development could generate up to 378 two-

way vehicle trips during the AM peak hour (08:00-09:00) and 277 two-way trips during the school

PM peak hour (15:00-16:00). These projections are based upon a number of worst-case

assumptions.

Capacity assessments using industry standard modelling software have been undertaken at key

local junctions. Subject to the provision of a mitigation scheme at the Syon Lane/Tesco

roundabout, it is considered that the proposed development will not have a detrimental impact

on the operation of the local highway network.

Based on the assessments of this TA, it is considered that the proposed development would not

be expected to have a severe detrimental impact on the operation of the local highway network,

and is therefore in accordance with the ‘National Planning Policy Framework’ (NPPF).

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1.0 INTRODUCTION

1.1 Background

1.1.1 Local Transport Projects Ltd has been commissioned to produce a Transport Assessment

(TA) which provides a detailed appraisal of all transport impacts associated with

proposals for Bolder Academy, to be located at 1 Macfarlane Lane, Isleworth, Hounslow,

TW7 5PN.

1.1.2 The development proposals include demolition of club house and associated car park

and Multi-Use Games Area, construction of a new part 2 - part 4 storey secondary school

(Use Class D1) with ancillary car parking, cycle parking, Multi-Use Games Area, hard and

soft landscaping and associated works, together with improvements to Macfarlane Lane.

The proposed school will have a capacity of 1,150 pupils and is expected to employ a

total of 90 staff.

1.1.3 A Travel Plan (LTP, 2017) that provides a strategy for encouraging sustainable travel at

the proposed school site has been produced in conjunction with this TA as a separate

document.

1.2 Scope

1.2.1 The proposals and scope of this TA have been discussed as part of pre-application

discussions with London Borough of Hounslow Council (LBHC) (Ref: Robert Heslop) and

Transport for London (TfL) (Ref: Arjun Singh) and has been produced in accordance with

the Government’s ‘Planning Practice Guidance’ (DCLG, 2014) and TfL’s ‘Transport

Assessment Guidance’ (TfL, 2015), as outlined below:

Executive Summary: A non-technical summary of the report outlining the key

outcomes of the assessment.

Introduction & Description of Proposals:

o Description of the development site, including location and existing access arrangements;

o Summary of relevant planning and allocation history for the site; o Description of the proposed development including site layout, pedestrian/cycle

facilities and proposed access arrangements.

Site Assessment:

o Site assessments to determine existing traffic conditions, such as posted speed limits, road restrictions, highway geometry, on-street parking restrictions and any other relevant features of the local area;

o Assessment of the sustainable transport infrastructure (pedestrian, cycle and public transport) local to the site and identification of any opportunities for enhancing the accessibility of the site by sustainable modes, including a Public Transport Accessibility Level (PTAL) assessment;

o Assessment of the likely school catchment area and the potential for trips to be made to the site by sustainable modes of transport;

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o Establish the baseline traffic situation during network peak hours at the following locations: Windmill Lane/Syon Lane/Jersey Road/Osterley Lane mini-roundabout; Syon Lane/Macfarlane Lane junction; Syon Lane/Tesco access roundabout; Syon Lane/Grant Way mini-roundabout; Syon Lane/Great West Road (A4) signal junction; Wood Lane/A4 signal junction; and Thornbury Road/A4 signal junction.

Road Casualty Appraisal: Examination of road collision records (5 year study period)

and assessment of the road safety impact of the proposed development on the local

highway network.

Traffic Impact:

o Calculation of the projected trip generation for the proposed development. These projections will include consideration of the trip generation potential of the site for all modes of travel, not just vehicular traffic;

o Consideration of any relevant consented developments within the local area and any committed changes to the surrounding highway network;

o Predicted distribution of the vehicle trips generated by the site onto the local highway network;

o Calculation of suitable future traffic growthing factor(s) utilising the DfT’s approved models and software;

o Assessment of the likely traffic impact of the proposed development on the operation of the local highway network, to include junction capacity assessments at the following key local junctions: Windmill Lane/Syon Lane/Jersey Road/Osterley Lane mini-roundabout; Syon Lane/Macfarlane Lane junction; Syon Lane/Tesco access roundabout; Syon Lane/Grant Way mini-roundabout; Syon Lane/Great West Road (A4) signal junction; Wood Lane/A4 signal junction; and Thornbury Road/A4 signal junction.

Public Transport Capacity: Assessment of the likely impact of the development on

the London bus network.

PERS/CERS Assessment: Assessment of the suitability of the local pedestrian and

cycle infrastructure utilising TfL recognised Pedestrian Environment Review System

(PERS) and Cycling Environment Review System (CERS) software;

Access, Parking & Internal Layout: Description of the proposed access arrangements

and internal layout of the site, including consideration of the proposed parking

provision, access/servicing arrangements and suitability of the proposed access

junction(s).

Conclusions: Conclusions summarising the outcomes of the TA, including a

commentary on the suitability of the proposals in terms of traffic impact and road

safety.

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1.2.2 This report has been prepared in accordance with the above scope and reference has

been made to the following documents where appropriate:

The London Plan - updated March 2016 (MoL, 2016);

Transport Assessment Guidance (TfL, 2015);

Planning Practice Guidance (DCLG, 2014);

National Planning Policy Framework (DCLG, 2012);

Mayor’s Transport Strategy (GLA, 2010);

Manual for Streets 2: Wider Application of the Principles (CIHT, 2010);

Guidance on Transport Assessment (DfT, 2007a); and

Manual for Streets (DfT, 2007b).

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2.0 SITE BACKGROUND

2.1 Site Location & Existing Use

2.1.1 The proposed site is located to the north and west of Macfarlane Lane in Isleworth,

London Borough of Hounslow. It is currently understood to be Metropolitan Open Land

(MOL), accommodating Grasshoppers Rugby Football Club (GRFC). It is bound by further

MOL to the north-east, Macfarlane Lane and the Sky campus to the south-east, Goals

Football Centre to the south-west and Wyke Green Golf Club to the north-west. The site

is to be accessed via Macfarlane Lane, which is understood to be a private road. The

approximate boundary of the site is shown in Figure 1:

Figure 1: Site Location

Source Imagery: Copyright Google Earth Pro (License Key-JCPMR5M58LXF2GE)

2.1.2 Macfarlane Lane currently provides access to Goals Football Centre, GRFC and overflow

parking areas for the Sky campus and Cole Van Hire. It is understood that Sky currently

has agreements with both Goals and GRFC for use of part of their parking areas during

the daytime period Monday to Friday.

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2.2 Development Proposals

2.2.1 This TA is based upon the proposals outlined on the site plan attached as Appendix 1.

The proposals involve the construction of a new secondary school which will have a total

capacity of 1,150 pupils and will be known as Bolder Academy. The main school building

will be provided on largely brownfield land within the southern part of the site, with

sports pitches provided to the north. A proposed site layout plan is included as Appendix

1.

2.2.2 The school will accommodate up to 180 pupils in each academic year (Years 7 to 11),

giving 900 places for pupils aged 11-16. A sixth-form with 250 places will also be

provided. The school includes 25 places for Special Educational Needs (SEN) pupils.

Under the current proposals, the school will have an initial Year 7 intake of 150 pupils,

with a phased intake of 180 pupils per year thereafter up to a capacity of 1,150 pupils.

2.2.3 The school is expected to employ a total of 90 members of staff upon full occupation of

the site, with staff numbers expected to increase incrementally alongside pupil numbers.

2.2.4 The site is expected to have facilities available for community use, including floodlit

playing pitches and Multi-Use Games Areas (MUGAs), the Sports Hall, Activity Studio,

Main Hall, Drama Studio and several seminar learning spaces. It should be noted that this

community use would be outside of the typical network peak hours (evenings, weekends

and school holidays) and would serve a local catchment area, therefore it is considered

that a high proportion of trips would be made by sustainable modes.

2.2.5 The timings of the school day are to be confirmed, although it is expected that times will

be staggered with the nearby Nishkam School to avoid conflict between the two sites.

2.2.6 A planning application for the proposed relocation of GRFC to a new site located at

Conquest Club on Syon Lane (adjacent to the recently approved Nishkam School

development) was submitted to LBHC on 20th July 2016 and is currently pending

consideration. The planning history of the site and local area is discussed further within

Section 2.4.

2.3 Proposed Access Arrangements

2.3.1 Access to the site by all modes will be via Macfarlane Lane, a private road that connects

with Syon Lane at a priority junction to the south-west of the site. It is proposed to

provide a number of highway improvements on Macfarlane Lane in order to

accommodate the proposed development, and preliminary highway access drawings

showing the proposed access arrangements are included as Appendix 2.

2.3.2 Design proposals include the widening of the carriageway from 4.8m to 6.0m in order to

ensure the safe flow of two-way traffic. Improved and additional traffic calming

measures are to be provided along Macfarlane Lane as part of the development.

2.3.3 Under the development proposals, Macfarlane Lane will serve Bolder Academy and

Goals Football Centre only. Access will be retained to the Sky campus for a potential

future pedestrian and cycle link to Boston Manor. Two existing pedestrian accesses to

the Tesco site are to be retained to the car park and garden area.

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2.3.4 Further details as to how Macfarlane Lane will be managed to accommodate all users are

contained within the Access Management Strategy, which is included as Appendix 3. A

Construction Traffic Management Plan (CTMP) that provides a strategy for managing the

movement of traffic during the construction phase of the development is included as

Appendix 4.

2.3.5 There will be no provision for pupil drop-offs and pick-ups on site (with the exception of

Special Educational Need (SEN) pupils), and such trips will not be permitted on-site or on

Macfarlane Lane. Waiting restrictions are in place on Syon Lane within the vicinity of the

Macfarlane Lane junction, restricting such movements on Syon Lane.

2.3.6 Given these drop-off and pick-up restrictions, the car park of the nearby Tesco Extra store

will be designated as a park and stride for the school. The Travel Plan for the site (LTP,

2017) outlines the strategy for maximising trips by sustainable modes, however all

parents/guardians of pupils travelling by car will be expected to utilise the park and stride

facility. The park and stride facility has been discussed with Tesco, and although a formal

agreement has not yet been made, Tesco note that there are no restrictions in place on

site which would stop parents from utilising the car park in this manner.

2.3.7 It is envisaged that the impact of the development on the highway network will be

minimised by providing a park and stride facility, with no drop-offs and pick-ups occurring

on streets surrounding the site. Pupil drop-offs and pick-ups are therefore not expected

to have an impact on the free-flow of traffic within the vicinity of the site. The traffic

impact of the proposals on links and junctions local to the site is considered further

within Section 6.5 of this TA.

2.3.8 The proposals include the provision of a continuous 3.0m footway along the full extents

of Macfarlane Lane on the northern side of the carriageway. This footway is proposed to

be provided adjacent to the carriageway for approximately 130m, before transferring to

the northern side of the tree line and connecting with the existing footway within the

Goals site, which is to be improved and widened as part of the development. A footway

is also to be provided on the northern side of Macfarlane Lane adjacent to the

carriageway from the existing pedestrian access to the Tesco Garden to the Goals Access.

An improved pedestrian crossing facility, with dropped kerbs and tactile paving on a

raised table, is to be provided across the Goals access, and a continuous footway will be

provided along the northern side of Macfarlane Lane from the Goals Football Centre to

the existing northern end of Macfarlane Lane.

2.3.9 The proposed school building will have 3 pedestrian access points, including 2 to the

south of the building (including the main entrance) which will serve the majority of

pedestrian trips, and 1 to the north-east, which will serve pedestrian trips to/from the

proposed car park and coach bays.

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2.3.10 In addition to the carriageway widening and footway works on Macfarlane Lane, the

following off-site highway works are proposed to be provided as part of the development

proposals:

The provision of a zebra crossing in place of the existing dropped kerb crossing with

central island on Syon Lane, to the north of the Macfarlane Lane junction;

Widening of Syon Lane in order to provide a ghost-island right-turn lane to serve

Macfarlane Lane. This will ensure that the free-flow of traffic on Syon Lane is

maintained. Kerbing works will also be undertaken at the Macfarlane Lane junction

to tie-in with proposals to widen the carriageway.

2.3.11 A preliminary design drawing showing the proposed works is included as Appendix 5.

2.4 Proposed Parking Arrangements

2.4.1 A total of 57 car parking spaces will be provided at the site, including 47 standard bays,

3 visitor bays plus 7 accessible bays. The majority of spaces will be provided within the

main site car park to the north of the main school building, with the visitor parking and

3 accessible bays provided near to the main entrance to the school, adjacent to

Macfarlane Lane.

2.4.2 Guidance within ‘The London Plan’ (MoL, 2016) states that the level of parking should be

determined by the Transport Assessment, with consideration of impact on traffic

congestion and availability of on and off-street parking. Given that there is no on-street

parking available within the vicinity of the site and that approximately 58% of staff could

be expected to travel by vehicle trip generating modes (see Section 5.3), it is considered

that the proposed level of parking provision is suitable, and accounts for the potential

reduction in staff car trips set out within the Travel Plan (LTP, 2017), but also allows

suitable provision for visitors.

2.4.3 In order to encourage cycling amongst pupils and staff, a total of 150 cycle parking spaces

will be provided in secure cycle stores in several locations around the proposed

development. This provision is in line with adopted cycle parking standards of the London

Plan (MoL, 2016).

2.4.4 A total of 9 parking spaces will be provided with Electric Vehicle (EV) charging points,

with passive provision at a further 7 spaces to enable simple installation and activation

of a charge point at a future date. Guidance within ‘The London Plan’ (MoL, 2016) states

that 1 in 5 parking spaces should provide an EV charging point. It is therefore considered

that the proposed provision is in line with London Plan standards.

2.4.5 A turning circle will be provided on-site, adjacent to the main access from Macfarlane

Lane in order to accommodate buses and coaches. A total of 3 coach parking bays will be

provided on-site.

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2.5 Planning History & Committed Developments

2.5.1 As agreed with LBHC, there are a number of committed developments within the vicinity

of the site that need to be considered as part of the assessments of this TA. A summary

of the committed developments that have been referenced within the remainder of this

TA is provided below:

A planning application for the redevelopment of land at Gillette Corner to the south

of the A4 and north of Northumberland Avenue to provide a mixed-use development

consisting of 102 residential units, office and self-storage uses was submitted to LBHC

on 5th January 2017 (planning reference: 00505/AF/P27). The application was

supported by a TA (TTP, 2016a) and Residential Travel Plan (TTP, 2016b) and is

pending consideration at the time of writing. The traffic flows associated with the

development have been explicitly included as part of the traffic impact analysis of this

TA.

A planning application for the relocation of Grasshoppers Rugby Football Club from

the proposed development site on Macfarlane Lane to new facilities at the former

Conquest Club site to the west of Syon Lane was submitted to LBHC on 20th July 2016

(planning reference: 01255/D/P2). The application was supported by a Transport

Statement (TS – PE, 2016a), TP (PE, 2016b) and subsequent Addendum Report (PE,

2016c) and is pending consideration at the time of writing. The traffic flows associated

with the development have been explicitly included as part of the traffic impact

analysis of this TA.

A planning application for the erection of an All Through Free School (herein referred

to as “Nishkam School”) at the former Conquest Club site to the west of Syon Lane

was submitted to LBHC on 18th June 2015 (planning reference: 01106/152/P3). The

application was supported by a number of technical assessments, including a TA (SA,

2015a), TP (SA, 2015b), Technical Note Addendum (SA, 2015c) and PERS Audit (TRL,

2015) and was afforded planning approval (subject to a Section 106 agreement) on

25th January 2016. The traffic flows associated with the development have been

explicitly included as part of the traffic impact analysis of this TA.

An outline planning application for the redevelopment of the British Sky Broadcasting

campus (herein referred to as “Sky campus”) on Grant Way was submitted to LBHC

on 16th July 2013 (planning reference: 00558/A/P51). The application was supported

by a TA (ARUP, 2013), with an updated Travel Plan (ARUP, 2016) submitted as part of

a subsequent reserved matters application. The outline application was afforded

planning approval on 20th December 2013. The traffic flows associated with the

development have been explicitly included as part of the traffic impact analysis of this

TA.

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An outline planning application for the redevelopment of land to the south of

Brentford High Street and Waterside to provide a mixed-use development was

submitted to LBHC on 18th September 2012 (planning reference: 00607/BA/P2). The

application was supported by a TA (WSP, 2012) and TA Addendum report (WSP, 2013)

and was afforded planning approval (subject to a Section 106 agreement) on 2nd April

2015. The assessments of the TA and subsequent Addendum report demonstrate that

the proposed development is not expected to have a significant impact on the study

area junctions, with any minor increase in flows accounted for in the typical growth

projections.

A planning application for a mixed-use development at Wallis House, 961 Great West

Road was submitted to LBHC on 17th August 2012 (planning reference: 00505/P/P97).

The submitted scheme was an amendment to a planning application at the same site

which gained approval in October 2005. The revised application was supported by a

Technical Note (WSP, 2012) which concluded that the development would not have

a material impact on the highway network when compared to the previously

approved scheme. The application was approved by LBHC on 8th February 2013. The

transport assessment work undertaken as part of the proposals demonstrate that the

proposed development is not expected to have a significant impact on the study area

junctions, with any minor increase in flows accounted for in the typical growth

projections.

An outline planning application for the redevelopment of Commerce Road Industrial

Estate to provide a mixed-use development was submitted to LBHC on 27th October

2010 (planning reference: 00297/R/P3). The application was supported by a TA and

draft TP (CB, 2010) and was afforded planning approval (subject to a Section 106

agreement) on 21st March 2012. A number of reserved matters applications have

subsequently been submitted and the development is understood to be currently

under construction. The assessments of the TA (CB, 2010) demonstrate that the

proposed development is not expected to have an impact on the study area junctions,

with any minor increase in flows accounted for in the typical growth projections.

A planning application for the redevelopment of the Gillette Building and Gillette

Corner site to provide a mixed-use development, including a hotel and offices was

originally approved by LBHC on 22nd November 2007 (application reference:

00505/AP/L22. An extension of time application for the development was submitted

on 3rd September 2010 and was subsequently approved on 30th December 2010

(application reference: 00505/AP/P75). The extension of time application was

supported by a TA Addendum report (MTP, 2010) which provided an update of the

impact of the proposed development. The traffic flows associated with the

development have been explicitly included as part of the traffic impact analysis of this

TA.

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A planning application for the redevelopment of the Alfa Laval site on the Great West

Road (A4) to provide a mixed-use development including hotels, offices and

residential units was submitted to LBHC on 26th June 2009 (planning reference:

00505/Z/P33). The application was supported by a TA (WSP, 2009) and was afforded

planning approval (subject to a Section 106 agreement) on 1st July 2011. The

development is currently understood to be under construction. The assessments of

the TA (WSP, 2009) demonstrate that the proposed development is not expected to

have a significant impact on the study area junctions, with any minor increase in flows

accounted for in the typical growth projections.

2.5.2 With the exception of the proposals to relocate Grasshoppers Rugby Club away from the

proposed development site, it is understood that there have been no other relevant,

recent planning applications relating to the site.

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3.0 SITE ASSESSMENT

3.1 Local Highway Network

3.1.1 Access to the site by all modes will be via Macfarlane Lane to the south of the site.

Macfarlane Lane is a private two-way single carriageway that connects the proposed

development site with Syon Lane (B454). It is a cul-de-sac that is approximately 400m in

length and currently provides access to Goals Football Centre, Grasshoppers Rugby Club

and also serves overflow parking for the Sky campus. Speed ramps are provided along

the lane and the carriageway is approximately 4.8m in width. No Waiting At Any Time

(NWAAT) restrictions are in place on both sides of the carriageway between the junction

with Syon Lane and Goals Football Centre, although as a private road, it is assumed that

these are also privately enforced.

Photo 1: Macfarlane Lane

3.1.2 As previously outlined, a number of highway improvements are to be provided on

Macfarlane Lane as part of the development proposals, including the widening of the

carriageway to 6.0m and the provision of a 3.0m footway on the northern side between

Syon Lane and the proposed school.

3.1.3 Macfarlane Lane connects with Syon Lane at a simple priority junction to the south-west

of the site. The existing junction is to be improved as part of the development proposals

in order to provide a ghost-island right-turn lane for traffic turning from Syon Lane in to

Macfarlane Lane.

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Photo 2: Existing Macfarlane Lane/Syon Lane Junction

3.1.4 Syon Lane forms part of the B454 route and meets Jersey Road/Windmill Lane/Osterley

Lane at a mini-roundabout approximately 600m to the north, ultimately connecting with

London Road (A315) approximately 1.1km to the south-east. There are a number of

junctions along Syon Lane within the vicinity of the site, including a roundabout at the

access to the Tesco Extra store, a mini-roundabout at the junction with Grant Way

(serving the Sky campus) and a signalised junction with the A4 at Gillette Corner. The A4

(Great West Road) is a major arterial route through West London that forms part of the

Transport for London Road Network (TLRN).

Photo 3: Gillette Corner Junction

3.1.5 Within the immediate vicinity of the Macfarlane Lane junction, Syon Lane is a two-way

single carriageway that is subject to a 30mph speed limit. It is understood that a 20mph

zone is to be introduced on Syon Lane to the north-west of Macfarlane Lane as part of

the approved Nishkam School development.

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3.1.6 A Controlled Parking Zone (CPZ) was recently implemented in the area surrounding the

site, with double yellow lines provided on both sides of the carriageway across much of

Syon Lane. The parking bays which are provided on the north-eastern side of the

carriageway near to the Macfarlane Lane junction are for use by resident permit holders

only. All parking on Gower Road, Oaklands Avenue and Stags Way is also for resident

permit holders only.

3.2 Pedestrian Infrastructure

3.2.1 Guidance from Chartered Institution of Highways & Transportation (CIHT) suggests a

preferred maximum walking distance of 2km for a number of journeys, including

commuting and school trips (IHT, 2000). The proposed development site is located within

a reasonable walking distance (up to 2km) of the residential areas of Osterley and

Isleworth, which are primarily located to the south and west of the site.

3.2.2 There is a footway on the southern side of Macfarlane Lane at the western end. A

crossing point with dropped kerbs and tactile paving is provided approximately 140m

west of the Syon Lane junction and the footway then continues on the northern side.

Dropped kerbs and tactile paving are provided across the access to Goals Football Centre.

As previously outlined, a 3.0m footway is to be provided on the northern side of the

carriageway across the full length of Macfarlane Lane, providing a continuous link

between Syon Lane and the site. The existing crossing of the Goals Football Centre access

road is to be improved, with a dropped crossing provided on a raised table. The existing

footway on the southern side of Macfarlane Lane will be removed as part of the

proposals.

3.2.3 There is a footpath located to the north of the Tesco store and to the south of the Sky

campus which provides a traffic free pedestrian link between Macfarlane Lane and Grant

Way. This may be utilised by pupils and staff travelling to and from the proposed site and

connects with the existing footway provision on the western side of Grant Way and the

proposed provision on Macfarlane Lane. There is also a gate on Macfarlane Lane which

provides access to the Tesco car park. This will be useful to pupils walking between the

site and the proposed Park and Stride facility at Tesco.

3.2.4 The pedestrian provision on Macfarlane Lane connects with the existing footway

provision on Syon Lane. A crossing point with dropped kerbs, tactile paving and central

refuge island is provided on Syon Lane to the north of the Macfarlane Lane junction,

allowing pedestrians to utilise the footpath which connects Syon Lane and Wood Lane.

The Syon Lane crossing is to be upgraded to a zebra crossing as part of the development

proposals. It is understood that the existing dropped crossing with a central island where

the footpath emerges on to Wood Lane is to be upgraded to a zebra crossing as part of

the Nishkam School development.

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Photo 4: Footpath Connecting Wood Lane with Syon Lane

3.2.5 Footways are generally provided on both sides of Syon Lane to both the north and south

of the site. As part of the recently approved Nishkam School, it is proposed to provide a

zebra crossing on Syon Lane between the junctions of Stag Way and Gower Road to

enhance the local pedestrian infrastructure.

3.2.6 Dropped kerb crossing points with central refuge islands are provided across all arms of

the Tesco access roundabout and on the Grant Way arm of the mini-roundabout to the

south of the site. A zebra crossing with central island is provided to the east of the Grant

Way mini-roundabout which links the northern and southern footways on Syon Lane.

Photo 5: Zebra Crossing on Syon Lane

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3.2.7 There are footways provided on both sides of the A4 to the south of the site, connecting

with other footway provision on local residential streets. A toucan crossing (see Photo 6)

is provided across the A4 on the western side of the junction with Syon Lane, which helps

to facilitate pedestrian access between the site and residential areas to the south. A

crossing point with dropped kerbs and tactile paving is provided across the northern arm

of Syon Lane at the A4 signal junction, however there is no dedicated pedestrian phase.

There is also a subway on the eastern side of the junction which provides a pedestrian

connection between the northern and southern arms of Syon Lane.

Photo 6: Toucan Crossing Facility on Great West Road (A4)

3.2.8 A staggered pelican crossing is provided across Syon Lane to the south of the A4 junction,

however this is offset from the A4 and is located to the south of the Northumberland

Avenue junction. There is also a puffin crossing (see Photo 7) near to Syon Lane Rail

Station, facilitating pedestrian connections between the eastern and western footways

on Syon Lane.

Photo 7: Puffin Crossing on Syon Lane

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3.2.9 Toucan crossings are provided across Harlequin Avenue and across the A4 to the west of

the Harlequin Avenue junction to the south of the site. These crossings facilitate

pedestrian links between the footways on the A4 and provide pedestrian connections

between the site and Brentford.

3.2.10 The footways in the local area appear to generally be of adequate width and surface

quality, with street lighting provided throughout.

3.2.11 At the request of attendees at the public consultation events for the scheme, the

potential for providing a pedestrian link to Macfarlane Lane via Harlequin Avenue has

been investigated, however it is considered not to be feasible due to significant third

party ownership and conflict of users. Furthermore, at best, this route would only be

approximately 250m (0.16 miles) shorter walking distance than the existing route via

Syon Lane.

3.2.12 A Pedestrian Environment Review System (PERS) audit has been undertaken In order to

assess the suitability of the local pedestrian network to accommodate the pedestrian

trips likely to be generated by the site. The audit is discussed further within Section 7.1

of this TA.

3.2.13 Measures to promote and encourage walking trips to the site are outlined within the site

Travel Plan (LTP, 2017).

3.3 Cycling Infrastructure

3.3.1 Cycling is a low cost and healthy alternative to car use, which can substitute for short car

trips, or can form part of a longer journey by public transport. The DfT state that “in

common with other modes, many utility cycle journeys are under three miles (5km),

although, for commuter journeys, a trip distance of over five miles (8km) is not

uncommon” (DfT, 2008).

3.3.2 Figure 2 shows the areas surrounding the site that it is anticipated can be reached within

a less than 15 minute, 15-30 minute and 30-45 minute cycle ride for the baseline AM

peak. This isochrone is derived from the travel time estimations using the online TfL

WebCAT mapping facility. This illustrates that the proposed site is located within a

reasonable cycle ride, up to 5km (approximately 15 minutes at the average cycling speed

of 12mph), of a large catchment area, including Osterley, Brentford, Isleworth and South

Ealing.

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Figure 2: Cycle Time Isochrone

Source: WebCAT (TfL, 2017)

3.3.3 The cycling facilities within the vicinity of the site are shown on the extract from the local

area cycle map in Figure 3:

Figure 3: Local Cycle Routes

Source: London Cycling Guide 6 (TfL, 2013)

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3.3.4 There are off-road shared-use foot/cycleways provided on both sides of Great West Road

(A4) to the south of the site, with the provision continuing on-road through the Gillette

Corner junction. As previously outlined, toucan crossings are provided across the A4 to

the west of both Syon Lane and Harlequin Avenue. To the west of the site, Wood Lane is

traffic calmed and is designated as a suggested cycle route. Osterley Lane provides a

largely traffic free route between Syon Lane and the area of Norwood Green and Southall

to the north-west of the site.

Photo 8: Off-Road Facility on Great West Road

3.3.5 A Cycling Environment Review System (CERS) audit has been undertaken In order to

assess the suitability of the local cycle infrastructure to accommodate the cycling trips

likely to be generated by the site. The audit is discussed further within Section 7.1 of this

TA.

3.3.6 Measures to promote and encourage cycling trips to the site are outlined within the site

Travel Plan (LTP, 2017).

3.4 Public Transport Provision

3.4.1 An assessment of the site has been undertaken using the TfL PTAL database. PTAL

measures the accessibility of public transport services in the vicinity of a development

site by measuring walking distances along footways. The generally acceptable walking

time to a bus stop under the assessment is 8 minutes and to an underground/rail station

is 12 minutes.

3.4.2 Although there are bus and rail services available within the vicinity of the site, the PTAL

assessment considered these services to be marginally outside the recommended

walking distances, therefore the site was found to have a PTAL rating of 0. The PTAL

report is included as Appendix 6.

3.4.3 The nearest bus stop to the proposed school site is Osterley Tesco, which is located an

approximately 590m walk to the south. Continuous footways are provided between the

site and the bus stop via Macfarlane Lane, Syon Lane and the Tesco access road.

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3.4.4 Additional bus stops are available on Great West Road (A4), an approximately 950m walk

from the site and accessible via continuous footways and crossing points on Macfarlane

Lane, Syon Lane and the A4. Details of the services available from the local stops are

provided within Table 1:

Table 1: Local Bus Services

Route No. Route Mon-Fri Frequency*

Bus Services from Osterley Tesco (within 590m walk) and Wood Lane (within 750m walk)

H28

Osterley Tesco – Syon Lane – West Middlesex Hospital – Wood Lane/Braybourne Drive – Osterley Library – Hounslow East – Hounslow – Hanworth Road – Wellington Road North – Springwell Road – Cranford Lane – Bulls Bridge Tesco

Every 20 Minutes

Bus Services from Great West Road (within 950m walk)

H91 Hammersmith – Ravenscourt Park – Stamford Brook – Turnham Green – Gunnersbury – Great West Road – Osterley – Lampton – Hounslow West

Every 10 Minutes

3.4.5 Table 1 shows that frequent services are available from the local bus stops, which provide

access to a number of residential areas. A plan showing the routes taken by the above

services and how these routes relate to the proposed catchment area is included as

Appendix 7. This demonstrates that the routes provide good coverage within the

catchment area, and also extend to areas slightly beyond, including Brentford and

Hounslow. It is therefore considered that there is potential to encourage pupils at the

school to travel by bus. It is also noted that these services also provide the opportunity

to connect with other bus routes, as well as London Underground (LU) and National Rail

services.

Photo 9: Osterley Tesco Bus Stop

3.4.6 Children aged 11-15 are able to travel free on TfL buses with an 11-15 Zip Oyster

Photocard and are eligible for child fares on LU and National Rail services. Children that

live in a London Borough can apply for their Zip Oyster Photocards online or at a Post

Office.

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3.4.7 It is understood that the Sky campus operates a number of dedicated shuttle buses for

staff and subject to agreement with Sky, these buses may also be used by school staff.

The buses will not be available for use by pupils. A summary of the Sky shuttle bus

services is provided within

Table 2: Sky Shuttle Bus Services

Route No. Route Mon-Fri Peak Time Frequency*

S1 Grant Way – Osterley Tube Station – Grant Way – West Cross House – Grant Way

Every 8-10 Minutes

S2A/S2C Grant Way – West Cross House – Gunnersbury – Chiswick Park – Acton Town – Grant Way

Every 15 Minutes

S3 Grant Way – West Cross House – Ealing Broadway – Grant Way Every 20 Minutes

3.4.8 The site is located approximately 1.1km from Syon Lane Rail Station, which forms part of

the Hounslow Loop railway line. A summary of the services available from Syon Lane is

provided within Table 3:

Table 3: Syon Lane Railway Services

Route Mon-Fri Frequency*

London Waterloo – Vauxhall – Queenstown Road – Clapham Junction – Wandsworth Town – Putney – Barnes Then loops in both directions via Barnes Bridge – Chiswick – Kew Bridge – Brentford – Syon Lane – Isleworth – Hounslow – Whitton – Twickenham – St Margarets – Richmond – North Sheen - Mortlake

Every 30 Minutes each direction

London Waterloo – Vauxhall – Queenstown Road – Clapham Junction – Wandsworth Town – Putney – Barnes – Barnes Bridge – Chiswick – Kew Bridge – Brentford – Syon Lane – Isleworth – Hounslow – Feltham – Ashford – Staines – Egham – Virginia Water – Chertsey – Addlestone - Weybridge

Every 30 Minutes each direction

Photo 10: Syon Lane Railway Station

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3.4.9 The nearest point of access to London Underground services is Osterley, approximately

1.9km to the west. Although Boston Manor is located in closer proximity to the site

(780m as the crow flies), the walking distance to this station is much further due to the

physical barriers of a railway line and the M4 motorway. Osterley is located on the

Heathrow branch of the Piccadilly Line, with services operating between Heathrow and

Arnos Grove/Cockfosters approximately every 5 minutes during peak periods.

3.4.10 Continuous walking routes are provided between the site and both Syon Lane Rail Station

and Osterley Underground Station, therefore both are considered to be accessible from

the proposed site. Given the relatively close catchment area, it is not anticipated that a

high proportion of pupils would travel by train or London Underground services, however

a number of staff at the site may travel by these modes.

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4.0 ROAD CASUALTY APPRAISAL

4.1 Introduction

4.1.1 Personal Injury Collision (PIC) data for the highway network local to the proposed

development site for the most recent available 5 year study period (01/10/2011 to

30/09/2016) was obtained via a search of the Department for Transport’s road safety

data (DfT, 2016). It is noted that the 2016 data is provisional and subject to change. At

the time of writing, data for August and September 2016 had not yet been released by

the Metropolitan Police and was therefore unavailable from the DfT.

4.1.2 A total of 88 collisions occurred within the study area, which includes parts of Syon Lane,

Wood Lane and the A4 corridor. The study area is outlined within Figure 4 and the

locations of the collisions are indicated on the plan attached as Appendix 8.

Figure 4: PIC Study Area

Source Imagery: Copyright Google Earth Pro (License Key-JCPMR5M58LXF2GE)

4.1.3 A total of 115 casualties resulted from the 88 recorded injury collisions during the study

period. Table 4 below outlines the collision history of the study area.

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Table 4: Collision History

Year 1 2 3 4 5

Total From 01/10/11 01/10/12 01/10/13 01/10/14 01/10/15

To 30/09/12 30/09/13 30/09/14 30/09/15 30/09/16

Fatal - - - 2 - 2

Serious - 1 - 2 1 4

Slight 16 11 14 24 17 82

Total 16 12 14 28 18 88

4.1.4 The collision records show that the number of PICs per year has remained relatively

consistent throughout the study period, albeit with a spike in collisions during year 4 of

the study period. There were 6 KSI collisions (Killed or Seriously Injured), therefore the

severity ratio is 6.8%.

4.2 Casualties

4.2.1 Table 5 provides a breakdown of the casualties according to mode of travel and age

group:

Table 5: Casualty Road User Groups

Age (years)

Road User Group 0 to 15 16 to 20 21 to 25 26 to 45 46 to 65 66+ Unknown Total %

Pedestrian 2 1 3 2 4 - 2 14 12.2%

Cyclist - - - 4 - - - 4 3.5%

Powered Two-Wheeler - 1 3 13 1 - - 18 15.7%

Car/Van Driver - 2 7 28 10 2 1 50 43.5%

Car Passenger 4 3 3 10 1 4 - 25 21.7%

Taxi Occupant - 2 - 1 - - - 3 2.6%

Bus Passenger - - - - 1 - - 1 0.9%

Total 6 9 16 58 17 6 3 115

% 5.2% 7.8% 13.9% 50.4% 14.8% 5.2% 2.6%

4.2.2 Table 5 shows that the highest proportion of casualties were car/van drivers (43.5%).

Approximately 69% of casualties were vehicle occupants, with the remaining 31%

vulnerable road users (pedestrians, cyclists, PTW riders). The majority of casualties were

aged between 26-45 years (50.4%). A total of 6 casualties were children, including 4 child

car passengers and 2 child pedestrians.

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4.3 Collision Conditions

4.3.1 Table 6 below summarises the recorded collisions by road surface, weather and lighting

conditions:

Table 6: Collision Conditions

Road Surface Collisions %

Dry 71 80.7%

Wet/Damp 16 18.2%

Frost/Ice 1 1.1%

Weather Collisions %

Fine 75 85.2%

Rain 9 10.2%

Snow 1 1.1%

Other 2 2.3%

Unknown 1 1.1%

Lighting Collisions %

Daylight 56 63.6%

Dark 32 36.4%

4.3.2 As illustrated in Table 6, the majority of collisions did not occur with adverse road surface,

weather or lighting conditions.

4.4 Collision Times

4.4.1 Table 7 summarises the collisions by time of year:

Table 7: Collisions by Time of Year

Time of Year Collisions %

Winter (Dec-Feb) 26 29.5%

Spring (Mar-May) 19 21.6%

Summer (Jun-Aug) 17 19.3%

Autumn (Sep-Nov) 26 29.5%

4.4.2 Table 7 shows that most collisions occurred in the autumn and winter months, with the

fewest collisions recorded in the summer.

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4.4.3 Table 8 below summarises the collisions by day of week and also the time of day:

Table 8: Collisions by Day and Time

Morning (06:00-11:00)

Lunch (11:00-14:00)

Afternoon (14:00-19:00)

Evening (19:00-01:00)

Night (01:00-06:00)

Total %

Monday 2 1 4 3 - 10 11.4%

Tuesday 6 3 6 3 - 18 20.5%

Wednesday 2 1 3 4 - 10 11.4%

Thursday 2 - 5 2 - 9 10.2%

Friday 4 - 9 5 1 19 21.6%

Saturday - 3 4 1 - 8 9.1%

Sunday - 3 6 4 1 14 15.9%

Total 16 11 37 22 2 88

% 18.2% 12.5% 42.0% 25.0% 2.3%

4.4.4 Table 8 illustrates that there was a generally even spread of collisions throughout the

week, with most collisions recorded on a Tuesday (20.5%) or Friday (21.6%). The largest

proportion of collisions occurred during the afternoon (14:00-19:00) period (42.0%), with

few collisions recorded during the night.

4.5 Collision Locations

4.5.1 The locations of the 88 study collisions (shown on the plot attached as Appendix 8) can

be summarised as follows:

36 collisions occurred at the Syon Lane/A4 signalised junction;

15 collisions occurred at the Wood Lane/A4 signalised junction;

5 collisions occurred on the A4 between the Wood Lane and Syon Lane signalised

junctions;

5 collisions occurred at the A4/Harlequin Avenue signalised junction;

5 collisions occurred at the Syon Lane/Grant Way mini-roundabout;

4 collisions occurred on Syon Lane between the Grant Way mini-roundabout and the

A4 signalised junction;

4 collisions occurred on Syon Lane to the south of the Northumberland Avenue

junction;

3 collisions occurred at the Syon Lane/Northumberland Avenue junction;

3 collisions occurred at the Syon Gate Way/Syon Lane junction;

3 collisions occurred on Syon Lane between Gower Road and Jersey Road (not at a

junction);

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2 collisions occurred at the Syon Lane/Windmill Road/Jersey Road/Osterley Lane

mini-roundabout;

1 collision occurred at the Syon Lane/Tesco roundabout;

1 collision occurred on Syon Lane between the Tesco roundabout and Grant Way

mini-roundabout; and

1 collision occurred on Wood Lane (not at a junction).

4.5.2 It should be noted that no collisions were recorded at or in the immediate vicinity of the

Macfarlane Lane/Syon Lane junction.

4.6 Road Safety Impact

4.6.1 A total of 88 collisions, resulting in 115 casualties, have occurred within the study area

during the 5-year study period. The collision records show that the number of PICs per

year has remained relatively consistent throughout the study period, albeit with a spike

in study year 4. Approximately 69% of recorded casualties were vehicle occupants, with

the remaining 31% vulnerable road users. Most collisions were recorded during the

autumn and winter months, with a generally even spread of collisions across days of the

week. The highest proportion of collisions occurred during the afternoon period (14:00-

19:00), with few collisions recorded at night.

4.6.2 Analysis of the study collisions has not revealed any identifiable existing collision issues

associated with the expected movements of the proposed development, therefore it is

considered that there are no existing road safety issues pertinent to the development of

the site.

4.6.3 It is noted that, if the proposed site access arrangements and off-site highway works are

designed with due consideration to road safety, with appropriate highway design

features incorporated into the detailed design, then the proposals should not have a

detrimental road safety impact on the local transport network and should not adversely

affect the safety of pedestrians and cyclists.

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5.0 TRIP GENERATION PROJECTIONS

5.1 School Catchment Area

5.1.1 In order to determine the likely catchment area of the proposed Bolder Academy, the

distances travelled by 75% of pupils attending existing mixed-gender secondary schools

in Hounslow have been interrogated utilising the London Schools Atlas

(maps.london.gov.uk/schools). The 75th quartile travel distance for each school and the

mean for all schools is shown in Table 9:

Table 9: Mixed-Gender Hounslow Secondary Schools - 75th Quartile Travel Distances

School

Distance Travelled

by 75th Quartile of

Pupils (Miles)

Chiswick School 1.9

Cranford Community College 1.29

Feltham Community College 1.2

The Heathland School 1.18

Heston Community School 1.23

Kingsley Academy 2.06

Lampton School 1.28

Rivers Academy West London 0.96

St Mark’s Catholic School 3.08

Reach Academy (Secondary) 1.21

Average Travel Distance 1.54

(2.47km)

5.1.2 Table 9 shows that the average distance travelled by the 75th quartile of pupils attending

mixed-gender secondary schools in the London Borough of Hounslow is 1.54 miles

(2.47km), with generally little variation in the travel distances to the different schools. It

is therefore considered reasonable to assume that 75% of pupils attending Bolder

Academy would travel from within approximately 2.5km of the site, in line with the

borough average.

5.1.3 This 2.5km travel distance is shown on the plan within Appendix 9 and demonstrates that

75% of pupils attending Bolder Academy would be expected to travel from areas local to

the site including Osterley, Spring Grove and Brentford. The remaining 25% of pupils

would be expected to travel to the school from outside this area, for example from

Isleworth and Hounslow to the south-west.

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5.2 Pupil Modal Split & Person Trip Generation

5.2.1 As part of the Travel Plan (SA, 2015b) for the nearby Nishkam School, the existing modal

splits for seven secondary schools in the London Borough of Hounslow were interrogated

to find an average pupil modal split for the local area. The schools for which modal splits

were interrogated were Isleworth & Syon Boys School, Lampton School, Heston

Community School, Gumley House School, The Heathland School, Cranford Community

College and Chiswick School.

5.2.2 In order to maintain consistency with the approach for Nishkam School, a similar

approach has also been adopted for Bolder Academy. For consistency with the approach

used to determine the likely school catchment area, only existing modal splits for mixed-

gender secondary schools within Hounslow have been utilised. The existing modal splits

within the Nishkam Travel Plan for Isleworth & Syon Boys School and Gumley House

School have therefore been excluded. Based on the existing modal splits, the average

modal split for Bolder Academy is shown in Table 10, along with the number of pupils

expected to travel by each mode upon full occupation of the site. A summary of the

existing modal splits for each of the five schools used as part of this assessment is

included as Appendix 10.

Table 10: Proposed Pupil Modal Split

Mode of Travel Modal Split (%) No. of Pupils*

Park & Stride 15.4% 178

Car Share 2.1% 25

Bus 32.6% 375

Train/Tube 4.0% 46

Cycle 3.0% 34

Walk 42.7% 492

Scooting 0.1% 1

Total 100.0% 1,150

*Totals may not represent the sum of their parts due to rounding

5.2.3 Table 10 shows that 15.4% of pupils could be expected to travel by a vehicle trip

generating mode. Given that all car trips to the site are expected to utilise the proposed

park and stride facility, the existing modal splits for car and park and stride trips have

been combined into one category. It is therefore expected that 178 pupils would travel

by a vehicle trip generating mode once the school is operating at full capacity, with the

remaining 972 pupils travelling by non-car modes, most notably by bus or on foot.

5.2.4 Guidance from Chartered Institution of Highways & Transportation (CIHT) suggests a

preferred maximum walking distance of 2km for a number of trips, including commuting

and school trips (IHT, 2000). Considering this, and that 75% of pupils attending Bolder

Academy are expected to live within a 2.5km travel distance of the site, it is considered

that a 42.7% pupil walking modal split is reasonable, with the potential to increase this

further.

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5.2.5 There are a number of important factors to consider in relation to pupil travel at the

school, as outlined below:

Vehicle trips associated with pupils travelling to/from the school by car/park and

stride may not represent ‘new’ trips to the local highway network. It is expected that

the majority of trips whereby a pupil is dropped-off and picked-up will not be primary

trips involving only one destination. For example, a number of drop-off/pick-up trips

by parents/guardians will form part of their commute to work, therefore the school

would not be the sole destination for the journey. It is recognised that such trips

would only be rerouted to/from the school, with the associated trips not new to the

wider highway network. If these trips are pass-by or diverted trips from the highway

network local to the site, then the rerouted distance would be negligible.

The vehicle trips associated with pupil travel are already likely to present on the wider

highway network local to the site, with pupils currently attending or likely to attend

other schools further away from their home addresses. By providing a school in closer

proximity to its potential catchment area, it is recognised that there is more likely to

be a higher proportion of trips by sustainable travel (walking, cycling and public

transport), with vehicle trips more likely to be generated by sites located further from

their catchment.

Vehicle trips generated by pupil travel typically generate 2 two-way trips per pupil

during each respective peak period, with both an arrival and departure occurring in

each.

There is inevitably a certain level of absence each day. The current national average

for state funded secondary schools is 4.6% (DfE, 2016), meaning that approximately

53 pupils of the 1,150 pupil capacity could be expected to be absent on any given day.

5.2.6 It is therefore considered that the projected 178 pupils travelling by vehicle trip

generating modes (park and stride) at Bolder Academy represents a robust worst-case

assessment, with the actual number of ‘new’ trips generated likely to be much lower

than this. However, in order to ensure that a robust assessment is undertaken, this TA

assumes that all pupil trips to Bolder Academy will be new to the highway network local

to the site.

5.2.7 For the purposes of this assessment, it is considered reasonable to assume that 95% of

pupil arrivals will occur during the school AM peak hour (08:00-09:00). This reflects that

approximately 5% of pupils would be expected to arrive for school late or early (e.g. for

breakfast club). The pupil departure profile would be expected to be more staggered due

to extra-curricular activities and after school clubs. It is therefore assumed that 70% of

pupils would leave during the school peak hour (15:00-16:00), with 15% leaving during

the PM inter-peak period (16:00-17:00) and 15% leaving during the network PM peak

hour (17:00-18:00).

5.2.8 Considering these arrival and departure profiles, the number of two-way vehicle trips

likely to be generated by pupil drop-offs and pick-ups at the proposed park and stride

facility during the respective peak periods is outlined within Table 11:

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Table 11: Two-Way Pupil Vehicle Trip Generation

Percentage Split No. Pupils Two-Way

Vehicle Trips

AM Peak (08:00-09:00) 95% 169 338

School PM Peak (15:00-16:00) 70% 125 250

PM Inter Peak (16:00-17:00) 15% 27 54

Network PM Peak (17:00-18:00) 15% 27 54

*Totals may not represent the sum of their parts due to rounding

5.3 Staff Modal Split & Person Trip Generation

5.3.1 From information provided by the Client, it is understood that there will be 90 staff

employed at Bolder Academy upon full occupation of the school, with staffing numbers

expected to increase incrementally alongside pupil numbers. The estimated travel to

work modal split for staff at the proposed school has been calculated using method of

travel to work data for the existing workplace population, obtained from the 2011 Census

(dataset: WP703EW). The proposed site is located within Middle-Layer Super Output

Area (MSOA) ‘Hounslow 009’ and it is considered reasonable to assume that the staff

journey to work modal split at the site will be comparable with that of the existing

workplace population within this local MSOA. The modal split data is summarised within

Table 12, along with the number of staff expected to travel by each mode upon full

occupation of the site:

Table 12: Proposed Staff Modal Split

Mode of Travel Modal Split (%) Proposed No

of Staff

Car/Taxi/PTW 58.4% 53

Underground 7.0% 6

Train 15.0% 14

Bus 8.2% 7

Car Passenger 1.8% 2

Pedestrian 4.9% 4

Cycle 4.3% 4

Other 0.4% 0

TOTAL 100% 90

*Totals may not represent the sum of their parts due to rounding

5.3.2 Table 12 indicates that just over half (58.4%) of all staff travel to work journeys could be

expected to be made by vehicle trip generating modes, with the remainder made by

sustainable modes of travel. Based upon 90 staff being employed at the site, it is assumed

that 53 staff could be expected to travel by vehicle trip generating modes when the

school is operating at full capacity.

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5.3.3 For the purposes of this assessment, it is assumed that 75% of staff would arrive for work

during the school AM peak hour (08:00-09:00), with 25% arriving during the preceding

hourly period (07:00-08:00). A more staggered departure profile would be expected after

school finishes, given that extra-curricular activities and staff meetings typically occur

once pupils have left. It is therefore assumed that 50% of staff departures would occur

during the School PM peak hour (15:00 to 16:00), with 25% during the PM inter-peak

hour (16:00-17:00) and 25% during the network PM peak hour (17:00-18:00).

5.3.4 The number of two-way staff vehicle trips expected to be generated during the

respective peak periods is outlined within Table 13:

Table 13: Two-Way Staff Vehicle Trip Generation

Percentage Split Two-Way

Vehicle Trips

Pre-AM Peak (07:00-08:00) 25% 13

AM Peak (08:00-09:00) 75% 40

School PM Peak (15:00-16:00) 50% 27

PM Inter Peak (16:00-17:00) 25% 13

Network PM Peak (17:00-18:00) 25% 13

5.3.5 Table 13 demonstrates that the site is likely to generate 40 two-way staff vehicle trips

during the school AM peak period (08:00-09:00). The site could be expected to generate

up to 27 two-way vehicle trips during the school PM peak period (15:00-16:00), with up

to 13 two-way trips likely to be generated during the network peak period (17:00-18:00).

5.3.6 It is recognised that the site may also generate a small number of servicing trips (e.g.

deliveries and refuse collection), although these are likely to occur outside the usual

network peak periods. These trips have therefore not been explicitly included within the

vehicle trip generation projections of this TA.

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6.0 TRAFFIC IMPACT

6.1 Existing Network Traffic Flows

6.1.1 In order to establish the baseline traffic situation in the vicinity of the site, traffic flow

data was collected on Wednesday 13th May 2015 as part of the TA (SA, 2015a) for

Nishkam School. It was agreed with the client and the transport consultant for Nishkam

School that this data could be shared to form the baseline traffic situation for Bolder

Academy. Traffic surveys and queue length surveys were undertaken between the hours

of 07:00-09:30 and 14:30-18:30 at the following local junctions:

Windmill Lane/Syon Lane/Jersey Road/Osterley Lane mini-roundabout;

Syon Lane/Tesco access roundabout;

Syon Lane/Grant Way mini-roundabout;

Syon Lane/Great West Road (A4) and Harlequin Avenue/A4 linked signal junctions.

Wood Lane/A4 signal junction; and

Thornbury Road/A4 signal junction.

6.1.2 The results of these surveys, which were aggregated into 15 minute intervals, indicate

that the network peak hours for the local highway network are AM (07:45-08:45) and

PM (17:15-18:15). These peak hours reflect the largest total number of vehicle

movements across the surveyed junctions. Analysis of the data shows a negligible

difference in traffic flows between the network peak hours and the school peak hours

assessed within the TA for Nishkam School of 08:00-09:00, 15:00-16:00 and 17:00-18:00.

In order to maintain consistency and to ensure that the worst-case development impact

is tested, the same network peak periods have been assessed within this TA.

6.1.3 The recorded traffic flows during the assessed AM peak (08:00-09:00), school PM peak

(15:00-16:00) and network PM peak (17:00-18:00) periods are shown in the flow

diagrams attached as Appendix 11.

6.2 Assessment Scenarios

6.2.1 The development proposals have been tested against the following weekday AM Peak

hour (08:00-09:00), weekday school PM peak hour (15:00-16:00) and weekday network

PM peak hour (17:00-18:00) traffic flow scenarios:

2015 ’Existing’ - Traffic flows recorded and observed during the May 2015 traffic

surveys;

2025 ‘Do Nothing’ - ‘Existing’ network traffic flows, with growthing to 2025 and the

additional of committed development traffic (see Section 2.5); and

2025 ‘With Development’ - ‘2025 Do Nothing’ with the addition of traffic associated

with the proposed development.

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6.2.2 The current proposals are for Bolder Academy to open in 2018 with 150 pupils, with 180

pupils to enrol each year thereafter. The school is expected to operate at full capacity by

2025. The traffic impact of the proposals has therefore been assessed against the

predicted traffic flows in 2025, 8 years after registration of the planning application.

6.2.3 The network traffic flows at 2025 have been predicted using the DfT’s ‘National Traffic

Model’ (NTM). The regional growth factor obtained from the NTM has been adjusted to

reflect local circumstances using TEMPRO software (Ref: London Dataset Version 7.0),

see Appendix 12. As the NTM includes for committed developments (including new

households and jobs) as part of its forecasts, in order to avoid double counting, all new

households and jobs were removed from the growth factors as the flows associated with

the committed developments represent more households and jobs than are included

within the NTM forecasts.

6.3 Staff Traffic Distribution & Assignment

6.3.1 The distribution of the projected staff vehicle trips associated with the application site

has been predicted utilising a gravity model based upon commuting patterns of the

existing workplace population of the Hounslow 009 Middle Layer Super Output Area

(MSOA) within which the site is located. ‘Location of usual residence and place of work

by method of travel to work’ data from the 2011 National Census (ONS, 2014) shows the

proportion of people travelling to Hounslow 009 from their usual residences (MSOAs and

local authority districts) by mode of travel.

6.3.2 This trip distribution data has been combined with a subjective assessment of route

choice (traffic assignment) to determine the likely distribution of staff traffic associated

with the proposals across the highway network. The predicted traffic assignment has

been undertaken utilising journey planning tools to help determine the relative

attractiveness of alternative routes, existing directional traffic signing strategy at local

junctions and known existing traffic conditions on the relevant routes.

6.3.3 The detailed calculations of the gravity model are attached as Appendix 13, with the

results summarised in Table 14.

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Table 14: Staff Travel Gravity Model Results

Zone Route Initial Direction at Macfarlane

Lane/Syon Lane Distribution Split

A Syon Lane (N) then Windmill Lane (N)

To/from north

18.1%

27.1% B Syon Lane (N) then Jersey Road (W) 5.0%

C Syon Lane (N) then Thornbury Road 3.2%

D Syon Lane (N) then Wood Lane 0.9%

E Syon Lane (S), A4 (W) then Wood Lane

To/from south

2.1%

72.9%

F Syon Lane (S), A4 (W) then Thornbury Road 0.1%

G Syon Lane (S) then A4 (W) 14.6%

H Syon Lane (S) then A4 (E) 34.7%

I Syon Lane (S) then A315 (E) 1.8%

J Syon Lane (S) then A310 (S) 19.5%

100%

6.3.4 The gravity model results indicate that there is expected to be an approximate 27% split

to/from the north (Zones A to D) and 73% to/from the south (Zones E to J) at the

Macfarlane Lane/Syon Lane junction, with the routes illustrated in Figure 5. Flow

diagrams illustrating the projected staff traffic distribution, based on the gravity model

and the above assumptions, are attached as Appendix 14.

Figure 5: Gravity Model Zones

Source Imagery: Copyright Google Earth Pro (License Key-JCPMR5M58LXF2GE)

A

B

C F

D E

H

I

J

D

G

C E F G

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6.4 Pupil Traffic Distribution and Assignment

6.4.1 The distribution of the projected pupil vehicle trips associated with the proposals has

been predicted utilising a gravity model based upon the likely home locations of pupils

attending the school. As previously outlined, 75% of pupils attending the school are

expected to travel in from a localised catchment covering a 2.5km area surrounding the

site. It is therefore assumed that the remaining 25% of pupils would travel from outside

of the catchment area, but from within the London Borough of Hounslow boundary.

6.4.2 As shown within Table 10, a total of 15.4% of pupils are expected to travel to the site by

park and stride, and therefore by a vehicle trip generating mode. For the purposes of this

assessment and based upon these modal split projections, it is assumed that 60% of

pupils travelling by park and stride would do so from within the catchment area, with the

remaining 40% from outside of the catchment area. It is therefore assumed that 9.3% of

trips generated by the site would be vehicle trips from inside the catchment area, with

6.2% by vehicle trips from outside the catchment area.

6.4.3 In order to determine the proportion of pupil vehicle trips expected to originate from

areas within and outside the catchment, a total of 12 vehicle trip zones have been

identified, based on the likely home locations of pupils attending Bolder Academy. The

zones were identified based on the likely routing of associated vehicle trips to and from

the site. A plan of the zone boundaries included as Appendix 15. A summary of the

proportion of pupils expected to travel to Bolder Academy from each zone by vehicle trip

generating modes is provided within Table 15. The proportions travelling to and from

each zone have been determined considering the size of each zone and the residential

density covered.

Table 15: Pupil Home Location Zones

Home Location Ref Proportion

of Pupils No. of Pupils

1 5.4% 10

2 5.4% 10

3 8.4% 15

4 7.8% 14

5 26.4% 47

6 6.6% 12

Within 2.5km Catchment 60% 107

7 4.0% 7

8 10.0% 18

9 10.0% 18

10 8.0% 14

11 4.0% 7

12 4.0% 7

Outside 2.5km Catchment 40% 71

Total 100% 178

*Totals may not represent the sum of their parts due to rounding

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6.4.4 The above data has been combined with a subjective assessment of route choice (traffic

assignment) to determine the likely distribution of traffic associated with pupil trips

across the highway network. The predicted traffic assignment has been undertaken

utilising journey planning tools to help determine the relative attractiveness of routes

between the identified zones and the site, with consideration of influences such as

existing directional traffic signing strategy at local junctions and known existing traffic

conditions on the relevant routes.

6.4.5 The detailed calculations of the gravity model are attached as Appendix 16, with the

results summarised in Table 16.

Table 16: Pupil Travel Gravity Model Results

Zone Route Initial Direction at Tesco/Syon

Lane Distribution Split

A Syon Lane (N) then Windmill Lane (N)

To/from north

0.0%

19.4% B Syon Lane (N) then Jersey Road (W) 8.2%

C Syon Lane (N) then Thornbury Road 8.0%

D Syon Lane (N) then Wood Lane 3.2%

E Syon Lane (S), A4 (W) then Wood Lane

To/from south

14.1%

80.6%

F Syon Lane (S), A4 (W) then Thornbury Road 5.9%

G Syon Lane (S) then A4 (W) 5.6%

H Syon Lane (S) then A4 (E) 12.6%

I Syon Lane (S) then A315 (E) 25.6%*

J Syon Lane (S) then A310 (S) 16.8%*

*A proportion of trips towards zones I & J would be dispersed within the residential areas to the east and west of Syon Lane, therefore actual proportions in these directions will be lower

100%

6.4.6 As previously outlined, it is proposed to provide a park and stride facility within the car

park of the Tesco store to accommodate all pupil drop-off and pick-up trips, therefore

the origin or destination of these trips is assumed to be the car park. The gravity model

results indicate that approximately 80% of trips would be expected to travel to/from the

south at the Tesco/Syon Lane roundabout, with approximately 20% to/from the north.

The zones referred to within Table 16 are illustrated in Figure 5. Flow diagrams

illustrating the projected pupil traffic distribution, based on the gravity model and the

above assumptions, are attached as Appendix 17.

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6.5 Impact at Local Junctions

6.5.1 The predicted increase in traffic at key junctions within the local highway network as a

result of each development scenario is illustrated in the network diagrams attached as

Appendix 18 and is summarised in Table 17. The traffic flows associated with the

committed developments outlined within Section 2.5 are also included on the network

diagrams within Appendix 18. All totals are expressed as Passenger Car Units (PCU).

Table 17: Predicted Traffic Impact at Local Junctions

Junction 2015

Existing

Sky Comm.

Dev.

Nishkam Comm.

Dev.

Total Comm.

Dev

2025 Do Nothing

2025 With Dev.

Dev. Impact

AM Peak (08:00-09:00)

Windmill Lane/Syon Lane/Jersey Road/Osterley Lane mini-roundabout

1,735 +162 +143 +416 2,226 2,302 +76

(+3.4%)

Macfarlane Lane/Syon Lane junction 1,056 +162 +87 +350 1,452 1,558 +106

(+7.3%)

Syon Lane/Tesco access roundabout 1,477 +162 +87 +360 1,901 2,268 +367

(+19.3%)

Syon Lane/Grant Way mini-roundabout

1,520 +560 +87 +758 2,345 2,647 +302

(+12.9%)

Syon Lane/A4 signal junction 5,824 +401 +87 +724 6,805 7,107 +302

(+4.4%)

Wood Lane/A4 signal junction 4,216 - +49 +49 4,449 4,553 +104

(+2.3%)

Thornbury Road/A4 signal junction 4,250 - +118 +118 4,556 4,629 +73

(+1.6%)

School PM Peak (15:00-16:00)

Windmill Lane/Syon Lane/Jersey Road/Osterley Lane mini-roundabout

1,362 - +90 +90 1,547 1,603 +56

(+3.6%)

Macfarlane Lane/Syon Lane junction 1,018 - +56 +38 1,128 1,204 +76

(+6.7%)

Syon Lane/Tesco access roundabout 1,620 - +56 +56 1,789 2,059 +270

(+15.1%)

Syon Lane/Grant Way mini-roundabout

1,553 - +56 +56 1,718 1,939 +221

(+12.9%)

Syon Lane/A4 signal junction 4,800 - +56 +56 5,191 5,412 +221

(+4.3%)

Wood Lane/A4 signal junction 3,354 - +31 +31 3,621 3,698 +77

(+2.1%)

Thornbury Road/A4 signal junction 3,407 - +75 +75 3,721 3,775 +54

(+1.5%)

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Junction 2015

Existing

Sky Comm.

Dev.

Nishkam Comm.

Dev.

Total Comm.

Dev

2025 Do Nothing

2025 With Dev.

Dev. Impact

Network PM Peak (17:00-18:00)

Windmill Lane/Syon Lane/Jersey Road/Osterley Lane mini-roundabout

1,759 +162 +33 +299 2,139 2,153 +14

(+0.7%)

Macfarlane Lane/Syon Lane junction 1,431 +162 +20 +271 1,623 1,646 +23

(+1.4%)

Syon Lane/Tesco access roundabout 1,926 +162 +20 +286 2,301 2,364 +63

(+2.7%)

Syon Lane/Grant Way mini-roundabout

1,868 +475 +20 +599 2,553 2,606 +53

(+2.1%)

Syon Lane/A4 signal junction 5,842 +314 +20 +548 6,659 6,712 +53

(+0.8%)

Wood Lane/A4 signal junction 4,254 - +11 +11 4,460 4,478 +18

(+0.4%)

Thornbury Road/A4 signal junction 4,205 - +27 +27 4,426 4,439 +13

(+0.3%)

6.5.2 The traffic projections summarised in Table 17 indicate that the proposed development

is expected to have the greatest proportional impact on traffic flows during the network

AM (08:00-09:00) and school PM (15:00-16:00) peak periods, with a lower impact

expected during the network PM (17:00-18:00) peak period. The largest impact is

expected to occur at the Syon Lane/Tesco roundabout, Syon Lane/Grant Way mini-

roundabout and Syon Lane/A4 signal junction given that the majority of traffic is

expected to travel to/from the south (proposed catchment area). Beyond the Syon

Lane/A4 junction, traffic is expected to dissipate across a number of available routes.

Table 17 also shows that the impact of the approved Nishkam School and Sky campus

developments is relatively high, particularly during the AM peak hour. It is understood

that improvements to the Grant Way/Syon Lane junction are to be implemented as part

of the Sky campus development, but that an improvement scheme has yet to be

specified. There are not understood to be any committed improvements to other local

junctions as part of either the Nishkam School or Sky campus developments, despite the

projected traffic impact.

6.5.3 It is also worth noting that despite being a larger school with a wider catchment area,

the projections associated with Nishkam School indicate a lower development impact

than the proposed Bolder Academy, particularly at the strategic A4 junctions. Despite

these projections, it is considered that the proposed Bolder Academy would actually be

expected to have a lower traffic impact than Nishkam School, and that the modal split

projections of the Nishkam TA (SA, 2015a) perhaps underestimate the projected impact

of the development. The assessments of the impact of the proposed Bolder Academy

should therefore be viewed in this context.

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6.5.4 The Department for Transport (DfT, 2007a) has previously issued guidance that transport

assessment of development impacts could be based on a threshold of “30 two-way peak

hour vehicle trips”. This guidance acknowledged that this threshold was not to be applied

rigidly, but rather that it provided “a useful point of reference from which to commence

discussions”.

6.5.5 This national DfT guidance has now been replaced with the ‘National Planning Policy

Framework’ (NPPF) (DCLG, 2012) and its accompanying ‘Planning Practice Guidance’

(PPG) (DCLG, 2014). NPPF and PPG require that transport assessment is undertaken for

“developments that generate significant amounts of movement”, although this is not

defined. It is therefore acknowledged that there is no set threshold for assessment within

the current national planning policy. In determining whether the proposed development

is expected to have a material impact on the local highway network, the traffic

projections for the proposed development have been compared against the current and

previous Government guidance.

6.5.6 The proposals are expected to generate an increase of more than 30 two-way vehicle

trips at all existing junctions listed within Table 17 during the AM and school PM peak

hours. The impact of the development during the network PM peak hour is expected to

be lower, although an increase of more than 30 two-way vehicle trips is expected to

occur at the junctions closest to the site. Given the projected increases in traffic, the

future operation of the junctions listed within Table 17 has been tested in detail in order

to ensure that the junctions can sufficiently accommodate the traffic flows associated

with the proposed development.

6.6 Junction Capacity Assessments

Windmill Lane/Syon Lane/Jersey Road/Osterley Lane Mini-Roundabout

6.6.1 In order to assess the ability of the Windmill Lane/Syon Lane/Jersey Road/Osterley Lane

mini-roundabout to accommodate the traffic associated with the proposed

development, a roundabout capacity assessment has been undertaken using Junctions 9

modelling software, which is a software package produced by TRL that provides an

industry standard method for assessing roundabout and priority junction capacity,

queuing and delay.

6.6.2 The input parameters are a combination of on-site measurements which were obtained

during a site visit, scaled UKMap plans, and scaled aerial imagery. The existing and

projected future peak hour traffic flows have been assessed against the existing

roundabout layout, the results of which are shown in full within the complete modelling

output (see Appendix 19), and are summarised in Table 18:

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Table 18: Windmill Lane/Syon Lane/Jersey Road Mini-Roundabout Capacity Assessment

Peak Arm

2015 Existing

2025 Do Nothing

2025 With Development

Max. RFC

Max. End Q

Max. RFC

Max. End Q

Max. RFC

Max. End Q

AM

Windmill Lane 94.2% 11.6 128.3% 159.7 132.0% 178.1

Syon Lane 48.0% 0.9 58.9% 1.4 63.0% 1.7

Jersey Road 50.6% 1.0 70.5% 2.3 74.8% 2.9

Osterley Lane 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0

OVERALL 94.2% 11.6 128.3% 159.7 132.0% 178.1

School PM

Windmill Lane 47.8% 0.9 52.5% 1.1 53.2% 1.1

Syon Lane 75.2% 2.9 88.4% 6.6 92.4% 9.3

Jersey Road 31.2% 0.5 38.3% 0.6 41.9% 0.7

Osterley Lane 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0 0.0% 0.0

OVERALL 75.2% 2.9 88.4% 6.6 92.4% 9.3

Network PM

Windmill Lane 55.4% 1.2 61.1% 1.6 61.2% 1.6

Syon Lane 106.8% 40.6 146.0% 237.2 147.0% 243.7

Jersey Road 47.6% 0.9 52.2% 1.1 52.8% 1.1

Osterley Lane 0.9% 0.1 10.2% 0.1 10.3% 0.1

OVERALL 106.8% 40.6 146.0% 237.2 147.0% 243.7

6.6.3 The capacity assessment results shown in Table 18 indicate that the Windmill Lane/Syon

Lane/Jersey Road/Osterley Lane mini-roundabout currently operates at a maximum

Ratio to Flow Capacity (RFC) of 94.2% during the AM peak hour and 106.8% during the

network PM peak hour, above the typical target RFC level of 85%. The junction currently

operates within capacity during the school PM peak hour. The respective RFCs are

expected to increase substantially in the 2025 Do Nothing scenario, largely due to the

impact of local committed developments, as outlined in Table 17, with respective

committed traffic increases of 416 PCUs during the AM peak hour and 299 PCUs during

the network PM peak hour.

6.6.4 In order to validate the Junctions 9 model, queuing data was obtained alongside traffic

flow data at the junction. The results of the queue length surveys during each respective

peak hour are summarised within Table 19 and are included in full within Appendix 20.

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Table 19: Windmill Lane/Syon Lane/Jersey Road Mini-Roundabout Queue Lengths

Osterley Lane Jersey Road Syon Lane Windmill Lane

AM Peak (08:00-09:00)

Average Queue 0 0.33 0.35 0.6

Maximum Queue 0 4 4 5

No. Mins with Queuing 0 10 13 12

No. Mins without Queuing 60 50 47 48

School PM Peak (15:00-16:00)

Average Queue 0 0.3 0.47 0

Maximum Queue 0 4 8 0

No. Mins with Queuing 0 13 8 0

No. Mins without Queuing 60 47 52 60

Network PM Peak (17:00-18:00)

Average Queue 0 0.72 0.83 0.03

Maximum Queue 0 4 7 1

No. Mins with Queuing 0 22 14 2

No. Mins without Queuing 60 38 46 58

6.6.5 Table 19 demonstrates that the existing junction currently operates without significant

levels of queueing during all assessed periods. The maximum queue recorded during the

AM peak hour was 5 vehicles (Windmill Lane arm), compared to the modelling results

which predict a maximum end queue of 11.6 vehicles. The queue length survey results

also show that all arms of the mini-roundabout currently have no queues for the majority

of the AM peak period, with an average queue of less than 1 vehicle on all arms.

6.6.6 The maximum queue recorded during the network PM period was 7 vehicles (Syon Lane

arm), compared to the modelling results which predict a maximum end queue of 40.6

vehicles. The queue length survey results show that all arms currently have no queue for

the majority of the network PM peak hour, with an average queue of less than 1 vehicle

on all arms.

6.6.7 Given the large variations in modelled queue length, relative to those recorded on site,

it is considered that the Junctions 9 model does not accurately represent the existing

operation of the junction during the modelled peak hours. Although the worst-case RFCs

largely match the arms where the largest traffic impact is expected to be during each

respective peak hour, it is considered that the Junctions 9 models underestimates the

overall existing capacity of the junction.

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6.6.8 Therefore, in the absence of a representative and appropriate junction model, the

predicted impact of the proposed development on the Windmill Lane/Syon Lane/Jersey

Road/Osterley Lane mini-roundabout has been assessed based on the projected increase

in traffic flows, with consideration of the relative impact of the Nishkam School and Sky

campus developments. As shown in Table 17, the proposed development is expected to

increase traffic flows at the mini-roundabout by 76 vehicle movements during the AM

peak hour, 56 movements during the school PM peak hour and 14 movements during

the network PM peak hour, which represents proportionate increase of 3.4%, 3.6% and

0.7% respectively. As previously outlined, both the Nishkam School and Sky campus

committed developments are expected to increase traffic flows at the junction by a

larger number and proportion than the proposed development and were both judged to

not be having a significant impact on junction operation, with no improvement

mitigation secured as part of these committed developments.

6.6.9 Previous guidance (IHT, 1994) from the Institution of Highways & Transportation (now

the Chartered Institution of Highways & Transportation) indicated that traffic flow

increases of less than 10% would not be expected to have a significant impact on junction

capacity, with a lower threshold of 5% where there is existing congestion. It is

acknowledged that this document has since been superseded (DfT, 2007a & DCLG, 2014),

however, in the absence of a suitable junction model, it is considered that this indicative

guidance still provides a useful benchmark.

6.6.10 Based upon the queue length data, it is considered that the mini-roundabout does not

currently experience congestion. Despite this, the proposed Bolder Academy

development is expected to increase traffic flows by a maximum of 3.6% (school PM peak

hour), which is below the 5% threshold at a junction where there is existing congestion

and below the levels approved as part of the Nishkam School and Sky campus schemes.

It is therefore considered that the proposed development should not have a severe

impact on the operation of the Windmill Lane/Syon Lane/Jersey Road/Osterley Lane

mini-roundabout.

Macfarlane Lane/Syon Lane Junction

6.6.11 In order to assess the ability of the Macfarlane Lane/Syon Lane junction to accommodate

development traffic, a capacity assessment has been undertaken using Junctions 9

modelling software. The input parameters are based upon the proposed junction layout

attached as Appendix 5. The projected future peak hour traffic flows (2025 With

Development) have been assessed against the proposed junction layout. The results of

the capacity assessment are shown in full within the complete modelling output (see

Appendix 21), and are summarised in Table 20.

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Table 20: Macfarlane Lane/Syon Lane Junction Capacity Assessment

Peak Traffic Stream

2025 With Development

Max. RFC

Max. End Q

AM

Macfarlane Lane 2.4% 0.0

Syon Lane 9.3% 0.1

OVERALL 9.3% 0.1

School PM

Macfarlane Lane 9.9% 0.1

Syon Lane 0.4% 0.0

OVERALL 9.9% 0.1

Network PM

Macfarlane Lane 17.4% 0.2

Syon Lane 3.6% 0.0

OVERALL 17.4% 0.2

6.6.12 The capacity assessment results shown in Table 20 demonstrate that the proposed site

access junction would be expected to operate well within capacity at 2025 with the

proposed development in place. The modelling results indicate that the maximum RFC

during the peak hours is likely to be 17.4% (Macfarlane Lane arm, network PM peak),

which is considerably below the typical target RFC level of 85%. The results predict that

there should be significant levels of reserve capacity at the proposed Macfarlane

Lane/Syon Lane junction.

Syon Lane/Tesco Roundabout

6.6.13 In order to assess the ability of the Syon Lane/Tesco roundabout to accommodate the

traffic associated with the proposed development, a roundabout capacity assessment

has been undertaken using Junctions 9 modelling software. The input parameters are a

combination of on-site measurements which were obtained during a site visit, scaled

UKMap plans, and scaled aerial imagery. The existing and projected future peak hour

traffic flows have been assessed against the existing roundabout layout, the results of

which are shown in full within the complete modelling output (see Appendix 22), and are

summarised in Table 21:

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Table 21: Syon Lane/Tesco Roundabout Capacity Assessment

Peak Arm

2015 Existing

2025 Do Nothing

2025 With Development

Max. RFC

Max. End Q

Max. RFC

Max. End Q

Max. RFC

Max. End Q

AM

Tesco Access 16.3% 0.2 20.2% 0.3 37.6% 0.6

Syon Lane (E) 34.4% 0.6 41.9% 0.8 54.2% 1.2

Syon Lane (W) 70.3% 2.4 97.7% 18.7 108.5% 61.4

OVERALL 70.3% 2.4 97.7% 18.7 108.5% 61.4

School PM

Tesco Access 31.8% 0.5 34.9% 0.5 45.4% 0.8

Syon Lane (E) 56.0% 1.3 61.6% 1.6 69.7% 2.3

Syon Lane (W) 40.1% 0.7 46.7% 0.9 54.0% 1.2

OVERALL 56.0% 1.3 61.6% 1.6 69.7% 2.3

Network PM

Tesco Access 37.9% 0.6 40.8% 0.7 43.2% 0.8

Syon Lane (E) 70.0% 2.3 91.5% 9.4 93.4% 11.4

Syon Lane (W) 46.3% 0.9 52.8% 1.1 54.8% 1.2

OVERALL 70.0% 2.3 91.5% 9.4 93.4% 11.4

6.6.14 The capacity assessment results shown in Table 21 indicate that the existing Syon

Lane/Tesco roundabout currently operates within the target RFC level of 85%. The

roundabout is expected to operate above the target 85% RFC level in 2025 without the

proposed development in place during the AM peak and network PM peak hours, largely

due to the impact of local committed developments including Nishkam School and the

Sky campus.

6.6.15 The modelling results indicate that the proposed development is expected to increase

the worst-case RFC by 10.8% during the AM peak hour (Syon Lane (W) arm). There are

also expected to be RFC increases on the other arms during the AM peak hour. Given

that the proposed park and stride facility will be the Tesco store car park, the majority of

development trips are expected to pass through the Syon Lane/Tesco roundabout, which

explains the projected RFC increases.

6.6.16 The impact of the development is expected to be lower during the school and network

PM peak hours. A maximum RFC increase of 10.5% is expected during the school PM

peak hour (maximum queue increase of 0.7 PCUs), however the roundabout is expected

to continue operating within the target capacity. The maximum RFC increase during the

network PM peak hour is expected to be 2.4% (maximum queue increase of 2.0 PCUs)

which is not considered to be significant, particularly as the roundabout is expected to

operate above capacity in the 2025 Do Nothing scenario.

6.6.17 Given the impact of the development on the roundabout, particularly during the AM

peak hour, it is proposed to provide a mitigation scheme as part of the proposals. The

scheme is expected to be agreed with LBHC Highways.

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6.6.18 It is considered that, subject to the provision of an appropriate mitigation scheme, that

the proposed development would not be expected to have a severe impact on the Syon

Lane/Tesco roundabout, with the mitigation scheme expected to result in wider capacity

benefits at the roundabout, including outside of the peak hours of the development.

Syon Lane/Grant Way Mini-Roundabout

6.6.19 In order to assess the ability of the Syon Lane/Grant Way mini-roundabout to

accommodate the traffic associated with the proposed development, a capacity

assessment has been undertaken using Junctions 9 modelling software.

6.6.20 The input parameters are a combination of on-site measurements which were obtained

during a site visit, scaled Ordnance Survey plans, and scaled aerial imagery. The existing

and projected future peak hour traffic flows have been assessed against the existing

junction layout, the results of which are shown in full within the complete modelling

output (see Appendix 23), and are summarised in Table 22:

Table 22: Syon Lane/Grant Way Mini-Roundabout Capacity Assessment

Peak Arm

2015 Existing

2025 Do Nothing

2025 With Development

Max. RFC

Max. End Q

Max. RFC

Max. End Q

Max. RFC

Max. End Q

AM

Grant Way 18.6% 0.3 24.3% 0.4 25.6% 0.4

Syon Lane (E) 60.0% 1.6 106.6% 50.5 122.9% 145.8

Syon Lane (W) 84.8% 5.4 146.1% 238.2 156.2% 330.1

OVERALL 84.8% 5.4 146.1% 238.2 156.2% 330.1

School PM

Grant Way 25.3% 0.3 29.6% 0.4 34.4% 0.5

Syon Lane (E) 78.5% 3.6 86.1% 5.5 96.0% 14.7

Syon Lane (W) 60.1% 1.5 67.9% 2.2 79.5% 3.8

OVERALL 78.5% 3.6 86.1% 5.5 96.0% 14.7

Network PM

Grant Way 51.2% 1.1 143.3% 125.9 148.7% 144.7

Syon Lane (E) 94.1% 11.8 119.0% 114.3 120.9% 128.0

Syon Lane (W) 65.6% 1.9 74.2% 2.9 77.2% 3.3

OVERALL 94.1% 11.8 143.3% 125.9 148.7% 144.7

6.6.21 The capacity assessment results shown in Table 22 indicate that the Syon Lane/Grant

Way mini-roundabout currently operates at the target 85% RFC level during the AM peak

hour, and above the target level during the network PM peak hour. The modelling results

largely reflect the existing operation of the junction, however it is understood that south-

east bound traffic towards from the Syon Lane/A4 signal junction often queues back

through the Syon Lane/Grant Way mini-roundabout, particularly during the AM peak

hour, which perhaps gives a perception that the mini-roundabout is operating over

capacity.

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6.6.22 Given the scale of committed development traffic flows (see Table 17), with an expected

increase of 758 vehicles during the AM peak hour and 599 vehicles during the network

PM peak hour, largely due to the Sky campus development, the existing junction is

expected to operate well above capacity during the 2025 Do Nothing scenario.

6.6.23 As previously outlined, the Section 106 agreement for the Sky campus development

includes a commitment to provide highway improvements at the junction to replace the

existing mini-roundabout prior to phase 3 of the development being progressed. It is

understood that an improvement scheme has yet to be specified, therefore it has not

been possible to assess the impact of the proposed development against the proposed

junction layout.

6.6.24 The modelling results for the existing junction presented in Table 22 have therefore been

used to test the impact of the proposed development. The modelling results indicate a

worst-case PRC increase of 16.3% as a result of the development proposals (Syon Lane

(E) arm, AM peak), with lower maximum increases of 11.6% and 5.4% during the

respective school and network PM peak periods.

6.6.25 Although these PRC increases are relatively high, it is considered that the mitigation

scheme provided by the Sky campus development will alleviate future congestion at the

junction and that sufficient capacity will also be provided to accommodate future traffic

growth on the corridor, including capacity to accommodate traffic associated with the

proposed development. It is also reiterated that the junction currently appears to

operate within capacity, with any queuing largely emanating from the Syon Lane/A4

signal junction.

6.6.26 It is therefore considered that the proposed development will not have a severe impact

on the operation of the Syon Lane/Grant Way mini-roundabout.

Syon Lane/Great West Road (A4)/Harlequin Avenue Signal Junction

6.6.27 In order to assess the ability of the Syon Lane/Great West Road (A4)/Harlequin Avenue

signalised junction to accommodate the traffic associated with the proposed

development, a capacity assessment has been undertaken using LinSig v3, a design and

assessment tool for traffic signal junctions. Signal controller data for the junction model

was obtained from the junction model outputs contained within the TA for Nishkam

School (SA, 2015a) and the lane input parameters have been obtained through a

combination of scaled aerial imagery and scaled Ordnance Survey plans.

6.6.28 The stage sequencing applied during the AM and PM peak hours is representative of the

staging observed on site during these periods. The junction is understood to operate

under an Urban Traffic Control (UTC) system which covers the wider A4 corridor,

therefore the actual peak hour staging and cycle times are reactive to traffic levels on

the corridor at any given time. In order to assess the operation of the junction within

LinSig, the back-up cycle time and staging which is used as a fall-back if the UTC system

fails has been adopted. The back-up cycle time is 112 seconds and this has been used as

a baseline for all peak hour assessments.

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6.6.29 The existing and projected future peak hour traffic flows have been assessed against the

existing junction layout, the results of which are summarised in Table 23, with the

complete modelling output included as Appendix 24.

Table 23: Syon Lane/Great West Road (A4)/Harlequin Avenue Junction Capacity Assessment

Movement From

2015 Existing 2025 Do Nothing 2025 With Development 2025 Development

Impact

Degree of Saturation

(%)

Mean Max Queue (PCU)

Degree of Saturation

(%)

Mean Max Queue (PCU)

Degree of Saturation

(%)

Mean Max Queue (PCU)

Degree of Saturation

(%)

Mean Max Queue (PCU)

AM Peak (08:00-09:00)

Great West Road (E) (at Syon Lane) 74.1% 13.6 113.0% 60.8 122.1% 69.0 +9.1% +8.2

Syon Lane (S) 107.4% 44.7 124.4% 115.7 128.3% 134.1 +3.9% +18.4

Great West Road (W) (at Syon Lane) 105.8% 54.9 124.6% 138.2 130.2% 143.1 +5.6% +4.9

Syon Lane (N) 104.9% 38.5 121.2% 83.1 129.8% 94.6 +8.6% +11.5

Great West Road WBD Ped Crossing (at Syon Lane)

31.8% 0.2 44.6% 0.4 44.3% 0.4 -0.3% 0

Great West Road (W) (at Harlequin Avenue)

95.2% 39.3 105.5% 79.0 105.8% 80.4 +0.3% +1.4

Harlequin Avenue 34.6% 1.5 41.1% 1.9 41.1% 1.9 0 0

Great West Road (E) (at Harlequin Ave)

35.7% 4.4 115.8% 19.0 115.8% 19.0 0 0

Great West Road WBD Ped Crossing (at Harlequin Avenue)

35.8% 4.8 59.9% 9.4 61.0% 10.5 +1.1% +1.1

Overall Practical Reserve Capacity (PRC)

-19.4% -38.6% -45.0% -6.4%

School PM Peak (15:00-16:00)

Great West Road (E) (at Syon Lane) 93.8% 21.7 98.7% 30.0 101.0% 36.6 +2.3% +6.6

Syon Lane (S) 92.6% 23.0 100.2% 34.4 104.4% 50.3 +4.2% +15.9

Great West Road (W) (at Syon Lane) 90.4% 16.6 96.1% 19.9 116.0% 41.9 +19.9% +22.0

Syon Lane (N) 87.3% 8.2 101.7% 15.0 120.2% 61.9 +18.5% +46.9

Great West Road WBD Ped Crossing (at Syon Lane)

38.3% 0.8 39.0% 12.1 40.2% 16.9 +1.2% +4.8

Great West Road (W) (at Harlequin Avenue)

51.4% 11.0 56.0% 12.6 56.7% 12.9 +0.7% +0.3

Harlequin Avenue 72.1% 4.3 69.4% 4.4 69.4% 4.4 0 0

Great West Road (E) (at Harlequin Avenue)

39.4% 5.4 42.4% 6.2 42.8% 6.4 +0.4% +0.2

Great West Road WBD Ped Crossing (at Harlequin Avenue)

40.5% 5.8 43.2% 6.9 43.6% 7.0 +0.4% 0.1

Overall Practical Reserve Capacity (PRC)

-4.3% -13.0% -33.5% -20.5%

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Movement From

2015 Existing 2025 Do Nothing 2025 With Development 2025 Development

Impact

Degree of Saturation

(%)

Mean Max Queue (PCU)

Degree of Saturation

(%)

Mean Max Queue (PCU)

Degree of Saturation

(%)

Mean Max Queue (PCU)

Degree of Saturation

(%)

Mean Max Queue (PCU)

Network PM Peak (17:00-18:00)

Great West Road (E) (at Syon Lane) 98.7% 37.0 141.7% 223.2 116.6% 103.4 -25.1% -119.8

Syon Lane (S) 107.7% 44.9 100.4% 28.4 109.1% 59.9 +8.7% +31.5

Great West Road (W) (at Syon Lane) 106.8% 50.3 135.0% 116.9 145.8% 149.7 +10.8% +32.8

Syon Lane (N) 95.8% 16.0 151.0% 145.0 156.5% 159.3 +5.5% +14.3

Great West Road WBD Ped Crossing (at Syon Lane)

51.6% 7.4 41.7% 12.7 45.9% 13.4 +4.2% +0.7

Great West Road (W) (at Harlequin Avenue)

71.2% 17.8 83.3% 23.3 83.6% 23.4 +0.1% +0.1

Harlequin Avenue 84.7% 9.7 91.5% 12.8 91.5% 12.8 0 0

Great West Road (E) (at Harlequin Avenue)

56.5% 11.8 62.2% 14.3 62.3% 14.3 +0.1% 0

Great West Road WBD Ped Crossing (at Harlequin Avenue)

55.6% 8.2 58.7% 9.9 58.7% 9.9 0 0

Overall Practical Reserve Capacity (PRC)

-19.6% -67.8% -73.9% -6.1%

6.6.30 The Degree of Saturation (DoS) quoted within the above tables is a ratio of the demand

capacity on each approach to the junction, with a value of 100% meaning that demand

and capacity are equal. The results of the capacity assessments presented in Table 23

indicate that the traffic signal junction is predicted to operate above capacity in all

modelled scenarios, with notable decreases in the overall Practical Reserve Capacity

(PRC) between the 2015 Existing and 2025 Do Nothing scenarios, largely due to the

cumulative impact of local committed developments, most notably the Sky campus

development. This is particularly notable during the AM and network PM peak hours.

6.6.31 The proposed development is expected to result in PRC decreases of -6.4%, -20.5% and

-6.1% during the respective AM, school PM and network PM peak hours. The AM and

network PM peak hour PRC reductions are not considered to be significant, and although

the school PM peak hour reduction is more considerable, this is expected to occur

outside of the peak hours of the local highway network when the junction is expected to

operate with greater levels of PRC. It is noted that the modelling outputs represent a

back-up scenario and that the junction is under a UTC system, which is expected to

realise a number of capacity benefits by managing traffic demand during the peak hours.

The actual operation of the junction is therefore expected to be better than reported

within Table 23.

6.6.32 Although the proposed development is expected to result in DoS increases and PRC

decreases in all modelled scenarios, the impact of the development is not considered to

be as severe as the impact of previously approved developments. Table 17 demonstrates

that the approved Sky campus development is expected to generate an additional 401

AM peak hour and 314 network PM peak hour trips at the junction, in comparison to the

proposed development which is expected to generate 314 trips and 53 trips respectively.

Mitigation measures were not required to as part of the Sky campus development or

other local committed developments, therefore it is considered that any request for

mitigation as part of the proposed development would not be justified in this context.

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6.6.33 It is therefore considered that the proposed development is not expected to have a

severe impact on the operation of the Syon Lane/A4/Harlequin Avenue signalised

junction.

Wood Lane/Great West Road (A4) Signal Junction

6.6.34 In order to assess the ability of the Wood Lane/Great West Road (A4) signalised junction

to accommodate the traffic associated with the proposed development, a capacity

assessment has been undertaken using LinSig v3 modelling software. Signal controller

data for the junction model was obtained from TfL and the lane input parameters have

been obtained through a combination of scaled aerial imagery and scaled Ordnance

Survey plans. The stage sequencing applied during the AM and PM peak periods is

representative of the staging observed on site during these periods. As with the Syon

Lane/A4 junction, the Wood Lane/A4 junction is under a UTC system, therefore staging

and cycle times are reactive to traffic levels on the A4 corridor. In order to assess the

operation of the junction, the back-up cycle time of 112 seconds has been utilised for the

PM peak periods, however it was found that capacity benefits could be realised by

running a 96 second cycle time during the AM peak hour, therefore this has been utilised

within the model.

6.6.35 The existing and projected future peak hour traffic flows have been assessed against the

existing junction layout, the results of which are summarised in Table 24, with the

complete modelling output included as Appendix 25.

Table 24: Wood Lane/Great West Road (A4) Junction Capacity Assessment

Movement From

2015 Existing 2025 Do Nothing 2025 With Development 2025 Development Impact

Degree of Saturation

(%)

Mean Max Queue (PCU)

Degree of Saturation

(%)

Mean Max Queue (PCU)

Degree of Saturation

(%)

Mean Max Queue (PCU)

Degree of Saturation

(%)

Mean Max Queue (PCU)

AM Peak (08:00-09:00)

Great West Road (W) 77.1% 17.5 102.9% 61.1 104.2% 65.4 +1.3% +4.3

Great West Road (E) 39.3% 6.5 40.5% 6.8 42.9% 7.4 +2.4% +0.6

Wood Lane (S) 75.1% 7.3 96.4% 12.2 97.0% 13.6 +0.6% +1.4

Wood Lane (N) 60.9% 7.8 69.1% 8.7 64.6% 8.5 -4.5% -0.2

Great West Road (W) Ped Crossing 39.0% 1.7 40.3% 1.8 42.1% 1.9 +1.8% +0.1

Great West Road (E) Ped Crossing 72.0% 4.1 91.6% 14.4 91.3% 14.7 -0.3% +0.3

Practical Reserve Capacity (PRC) +16.7% -14.4% -15.7% -1.3%

School PM Peak (15:00-16:00)

Great West Road (W) 90.2% 8.7 96.4% 10.2 96.4% 10.7 0% +0.5

Great West Road (E) 58.2% 12.7 64.4% 15.5 66.8% 16.6 +2.4% +1.1

Wood Lane (S) 77.3% 8.6 78.6% 9.2 81.2% 10.2 +2.6% +1.0

Wood Lane (N) 63.3% 4.9 66.6% 5.3 61.3% 5.2 +5.3% -0.1

Great West Road (W) Ped Crossing 56.0% 1.9 61.9% 2.7 63.9% 2.6 +2.0% -0.1

Great West Road (E) Ped Crossing 45.0% 1.8 49.4% 1.7 51.0% 1.8 +1.6% +0.1

Practical Reserve Capacity (PRC) -0.2% -7.2% -7.2% 0%

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Movement From

2015 Existing 2025 Do Nothing 2025 With Development 2025 Development Impact

Degree of Saturation

(%)

Mean Max Queue (PCU)

Degree of Saturation

(%)

Mean Max Queue (PCU)

Degree of Saturation

(%)

Mean Max Queue (PCU)

Degree of Saturation

(%)

Mean Max Queue (PCU)

Network PM Peak (17:00-18:00)

Great West Road (W) 92.3% 14.2 96.4% 15.4 96.4% 15.7 0% +0.3

Great West Road (E) 76.1% 21.8 80.1% 24.6 80.5% 25.0 +0.4% +0.4

Wood Lane (S) 82.9% 10.3 86.6% 11.3 88.2% 11.8 +1.6% +0.4

Wood Lane (N) 75.8% 6.3 81.5% 7.1 79.2% 6.9 -2.3% -0.2

Great West Road (W) Ped Crossing 71.0% 1.9 75.5% 2.8 75.8% 2.8 +0.3% 0

Great West Road (E) Ped Crossing 58.7% 2.4 61.5% 2.3 61.6% 2.2 +0.1% -0.1

Practical Reserve Capacity (PRC) -2.6% -7.2% -7.2% 0%

6.6.36 The results of the capacity assessments presented in Table 24 indicate that the existing

Wood Lane/Great West Road (A4) signalised junction is predicted to operate within 100%

DoS with a negative PRC during the school and network PM peak periods, and is

predicted to operate slightly above 100% DoS during the AM peak period (Great West

Road W arm), with a negative PRC in 2025 with the proposed development in place. It is

reiterated that the modelling outputs represent a back-up scenario and that the junction

is under a UTC system, which is expected to realise a number of capacity benefits by

managing traffic demand during the peak hours. The actual operation of the junction is

therefore expected to be better than reported within Table 24.

6.6.37 It is noted however, that the impact of the proposed development on the junction is not

considered to be severe. The maximum DoS increase during the AM peak hour is

expected to be 2.4%, with a maximum queue increase of 4.3 PCUs and an overall PRC

reduction of 1.3%. The proposed development is not expected to reduce the overall PRC

of the junction during the school or network peak hours, with maximum increases of

5.3% DoS and 1.0 PCUs during the school PM peak and 1.6% DoS and 0.4 PCUs during the

network peak hour.

6.6.38 It is therefore considered that the proposed development is not expected to have a

significant impact on the operation of the Wood Lane/A4 signalised junction.

Thornbury Road/Great West Road (A4) Signal Junction

6.6.39 In order to assess the ability of the Thornbury Road/Great West Road (A4) signalised

junction to accommodate the traffic associated with the proposed development, a

capacity assessment has been undertaken using LinSig v3 modelling software. Signal

controller data for the junction model was obtained from the junction model outputs

contained within the TA for Nishkam School (SA, 2015a) and the lane input parameters

have been obtained through a combination of scaled aerial imagery and scaled Ordnance

Survey plans. The stage sequencing applied during the AM and PM peak periods is

representative of the staging observed on site during these periods. As with other local

signalised junctions, the Thornbury Road/A4 junction is under a UTC system, therefore

staging and cycle times are reactive to traffic levels on the A4 corridor. In order to assess

the operation of the junction, the back-up cycle time of 112 seconds has been utilised

for all assessed periods.

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6.6.40 The existing and projected future peak hour traffic flows have been assessed against the

existing junction layout, the results of which are summarised in Table 25, with the

complete modelling output included as Appendix 26.

Table 25: Thornbury Road/Great West Road (A4) Junction Capacity Assessment

Movement From

2015 Existing 2025 Do Nothing 2025 With Development 2025 Development Impact

Degree of Saturation

(%)

Mean Max Queue (PCU)

Degree of Saturation

(%)

Mean Max Queue (PCU)

Degree of Saturation

(%)

Mean Max Queue (PCU)

Degree of Saturation

(%)

Mean Max Queue (PCU)

AM Peak (08:00-09:00)

Great West Road (E) 81.0% 16.7 84.7% 18.4 95.2% 19.5 +10.5% +1.1

Thornbury Road (S) 95.4% 12.4 108.9% 23.4 110.8% 27.4 +1.9% +4.0

Great West Road (W) 101.9% 55.5 109.8% 94.7 112.3% 106.8 +2.5% +12.1

Thornbury Road (N) 80.7% 10.9 91.4% 14.6 87.2% 13.7 -4.2% -0.9

Great West Road (W) Ped Crossing 48.9% 14.0 51.9% 15.2 52.6% 16.1 +0.7% +0.9

Great West Road (E) Ped Crossing 74.2% 2.0 73.7% 1.8 73.0% 2.1 -0.7% +0.3

Practical Reserve Capacity (PRC) -13.2% -22.0% -24.8% -2.8%

School PM Peak (15:00-16:00)

Great West Road (E) 67.8% 17.2 75.9% 21.2 78.6% 22.5 +2.7% +1.3

Thornbury Road (S) 66.7% 6.0 64.4% 6.3 66.2% 6.9 +1.8% +0.6

Great West Road (W) 69.9% 13.2 74.6% 15.9 74.6% 16.5 0% +0.6

Thornbury Road (N) 68.5% 6.0 75.2% 7.7 74.5% 7.9 -0.7% +0.2

Great West Road (W) Ped Crossing 52.3% 14.6 56.4% 17.8 56.9% 18.4 +0.5% +0.6

Great West Road (E) Ped Crossing 43.2% 0.5 46.9% 0.6 47.4% 0.6 +0.5% 0

Practical Reserve Capacity (PRC) +28.8% +17.4% +14.4% -3.0%

Network PM Peak (17:00-18:00)

Great West Road (E) 85.9% 27.9 91.9% 33.4 92.2% 33.9 +0.3% +0.5

Thornbury Road (S) 76.0% 7.3 75.1% 7.5 77.1% 7.8 +2.0% +0.3

Great West Road (W) 77.6% 20.1 81.4% 23.1 81.4% 23.1 0% 0

Thornbury Road (N) 84.7% 8.8 86.9% 9.9 88.0% 10.2 +1.1% +0.3

Great West Road (W) Ped Crossing 62.6% 18.4 66.5% 18.5 66.7% 18.5 +0.2% 0

Great West Road (E) Ped Crossing 53.5% 0.7 56.5% 0.8 56.7% 0.8 +0.2% 0

Practical Reserve Capacity (PRC) +4.8% -2.1% -2.4% -0.3%

6.6.41 The results of the capacity assessments presented in Table 25 indicate that the existing

Thornbury Road/Great West Road (A4) signalised junction is predicted to operate within

100% DoS with a positive PRC during the school PM peak period with the proposed

development in place. The junction is expected to operate slightly above 100% DoS on

the Thornbury Road (S) and Great West Road (W) arms during the AM peak period, with

a negative overall PRC and is expected to operate within 100% DoS with a negative

overall PRC during the network PM peak hour. It is reiterated that as with other local A4

signalised junctions, the junction operates under a UTC system, therefore the results

presented within Table 25 represent a robust worst-case assessment, with the actual

capacity expected to be better than reported.

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6.6.42 It is noted however, that the impact of the proposed development on the junction is not

considered to be severe. The maximum DoS increase during the AM peak hour is

expected to be 10.5%, with a maximum queue increase of 12.1 PCUs and an overall PRC

reduction of 2.8%. The maximum DoS increase during the school PM peak hour is

expected to be 2.7%, with a maximum queue increase of 1.3 PCUs and an overall PRC

reduction of 3.0%. The development is expected to result in negligible DoS and queuing

increases during the network PM peak hour, with an overall PRC reduction of 0.3%.

6.6.43 It is therefore considered that the proposed development is not expected to have a

significant impact on the operation of the Thornbury Road/A4 signalised junction.

6.7 Impact on Local Highway Network

6.7.1 The results of the junction capacity assessments demonstrate that the proposed

development would not be expected to have a significant impact on the operation of

most key local junctions, particularly in light of the approval of other local committed

developments which are expected to have a greater traffic impact. It is proposed to

provide a mitigation scheme at the Syon Lane/Tesco roundabout as this is where the

greatest impact of the development is likely to be experienced.

6.7.2 It is noted that the junction capacity assessments provide a ‘worst-case’ appraisal of

junction capacity by assuming that the start and end times for Bolder Academy and the

approved Nishkam School would clash. It is proposed to provide a stagger between the

start and end times of the two schools which cannot be reflected within the junction

modelling, however there are likely to be practical ‘real-world’ benefits in providing a

stagger. It is also re-iterated that the trip generation projections included a number of

worst-case assumptions which have been carried forward to the junction capacity

assessments. It is therefore considered that capacity assessment results are suitably

robust.

6.7.3 Based on the assessments detailed in this TA, it is therefore considered that the proposed

development should not have a detrimental impact on the operation of the local highway

network. Therefore, as the impact of the proposals is not expected to be severe, the

proposals are considered to be in accordance with the ‘National Planning Policy

Framework’ (DCLG, 2012), which states that “development should only be prevented or

refused on transport grounds where the residual cumulative impacts of development are

severe”.

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7.0 PEDESTRIAN, CYCLE & PUBLIC TRANSPORT IMPACT

7.1 Impact on Pedestrian and Cycle Infrastructure

7.1.1 As previously outlined, the proposed site is expected to have a localised catchment and

approximately 42.7% of pupils (492 pupils at full capacity) could be expected to walk to

and from the proposed site. Approximately 75% of pupils could be expected to travel

from within 2.5km of the site, therefore the walking modal split could be expected to

increase as a result of the robust Travel Plan (LTP, 2017), which outlines measures to

promote walking trips to and from the site.

7.1.2 Given that the majority of the catchment area lies to the south and west of the site, it is

expected that most pupils will utilise two primary walking routes when travelling to and

from the site, these being:

Macfarlane Lane/Syon Lane (S); and

Macfarlane Lane/Footpath/Wood Lane.

7.1.3 Beyond this, it is expected that pupils will disperse across a number of available routes.

These primary routes are also expected to be used by pupils and staff arriving and

departing the site by public transport.

7.1.4 The modal split projections indicate that approximately 3.0% of pupils travelling to and

from the site would be expected to cycle, this equates to 34 pupils upon full capacity of

the site. The projections indicate that approximately 4.3% of staff could be expected to

cycle to and from the site. It is expected that the cycling modal split will increase as a

result of the implementation of the cycling specific measures outlined within the Travel

Plan (LTP, 2017).

7.1.5 A total of three primary cycle routes have been identified, these being:

Macfarlane Lane/Syon Lane (S)/A4 (E);

Macfarlane Lane/Syon Lane (S)/A4 (W); and

Macfarlane Lane/Syon Lane (S) towards railway station.

7.1.6 In order to assess the suitability of local pedestrian and cycle infrastructure to

accommodate the pupils and staff trips to and from the site, PERS and CERS audits have

been undertaken, covering the routes outlined above and the links, junctions and

interchange points within them. The full audit report is included as Appendix 27. A

number of ‘Quick Wins’ and potential mitigation schemes were identified as part of the

audit process. The schemes which are considered to provide the greatest benefit to the

pedestrian and cycle environment are to be provided as part of the development

proposals and are included within the list of off-site highway works in Section 7.4.

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7.2 Impact on London Bus Network

7.2.1 In order to assess the impact of the proposed school on the London bus network, the

modal split projections have been combined with the proposed catchment area in order

to predict the number of pupils likely to utilise each local bus service to access the school.

For the purposes of this assessment, it is assumed that all pupils travelling by bus would

utilise existing public bus services (routes H28 and H91), however one of the measures

of the Travel Plan (LTP, 2017) is to assess the requirement for dedicated school buses,

which would be determined by the projected demand once the school is operational.

7.2.2 As shown within Table 10, a total of 32.6% of pupils are expected to travel to the site by

bus, based on the average for mixed-gender secondary schools within Hounslow. This

equates to a total of 375 pupils travelling by bus upon full occupation of the site. For the

purposes of this assessment, it is assumed that 60% of pupils travelling by bus would do

so from within the catchment area, with the remaining 40% from outside of the

catchment area. It is therefore assumed that 19.5% of pupil bus trips generated by the

site would be from inside the catchment area, with 13.0% from outside the catchment

area.

7.2.3 The 12 trip zones identified for traffic assignment purposes shown on the plan attached

as Appendix 15 have been used to determine the proportion of pupils likely to travel on

each bus service from each area. A full breakdown of the number

7.2.4 Table 26 provides an outline of the percentage and number of pupils likely to utilise each

route during the respective school AM and PM peak hours, with a full breakdown

included as Appendix 28. For the purposes of this assessment, it is assumed that an equal

number of pupils would use each available bus service during the hour before school and

the hour after school, although arrival and departure profiles may be more staggered,

particularly during the PM peak period when after school clubs are in operation.

Table 26: Impact on Local Bus Services

*Totals may not represent the sum of their parts due to rounding

7.2.5 As shown in Table 26, the majority of pupils could be expected to utilise Route H28,

particularly given that this route serves large parts of Osterley, Isleworth and Hounslow.

Given the route taken by this service, it could be expected that pupils travelling towards

to site from Hounslow and Osterley would alight the service on Wood Lane and walk the

remainder of the journey to school, whereas pupils travelling towards the site from

Isleworth would be expected to alight at Osterley Tesco.

Bus Service % of Pupils using route

No. of Pupils using route

No. of services per hour

Proposed No. of Pupils using each

bus during AM Peak (08:00-09:00)

Proposed No. of Pupils using each

bus during PM Peak (15:00-16:00)

H28 72% 270 3 90 90

H91 28% 105 7 15 15

TOTAL 100% 375

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7.2.6 Fewer pupils could be expected to travel on Route H91, with the majority of these pupils

travelling to/from Hounslow or Brentford. Table 26 demonstrates that based on the

provision of 7 vehicles per hour in each direction during the peak hours, it could be

expected that on average, 15 pupils would travel on each service, notwithstanding the

potential future provision of dedicated school buses. Given that the route is currently

operated to a relatively high frequency by double deck vehicles, it is considered that the

proposed development would not be expected to have a significant impact on the

capacity of Route H91 services. It is also noted that a Section 106 contribution has been

made as part of the Sky campus development for the upgrade of H91 services, with a

future target 8 minute service frequency which is expected to further enhance service

capacity.

7.2.7 It is noted that pupils utilising both routes H28 and H91 may already be likely to travel

on these services to other local schools. It is also considered that those pupils living

within a 2km walk of the site but that are projected to travel by bus may be encouraged

to walk or cycle as an alternative. The relative impact on bus services may therefore not

be as high as reported within Table 26.

7.2.8 Given the phased approach to occupation of the school, it is recommended that the

number of pupils utilising each bus service to access Bolder Academy is monitored during

the first few years of opening to determine whether any service enhancements are likely

to be required once the school is operating at full capacity. It is understood that TfL has

funding available to cover the costs of enhancements to bus services resulting from the

opening of Free Schools throughout the lifetime of the current parliament.

7.3 Impact on Train & London Underground Services

7.3.1 As shown within Table 10, a total of 4.0% of pupils at Bolder Academy are expected to

travel by train or London Underground (LU), which equates to a total of 46 pupils upon

full occupation of the site. Table 12 demonstrates that approximately 15.0% of staff

would be expected to travel by train (14 staff) and 7.0% would be expected to travel by

London Underground services (6 staff).

7.3.2 All staff and pupils travelling by train would be expected to travel via Syon Lane railway

station, with those travelling by LU expected to travel via Osterley. Given the relatively

low numbers expected to travel via both train and LU, it is expected that the proposed

development would not be expected to have a significant impact on the capacity of these

services, particularly given the frequency of services available during peak hours from

both Syon Lane and Osterley.

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7.4 Off-Site Highway Works

7.4.1 The following off-site highway works are to be provided as part of the development

proposals in a phased approach based upon occupation of the school:

Widening of Macfarlane Lane to provide a 6.0m carriageway and a 3.0m footway on

the northern side between Syon Lane and Bolder Academy, including new street

lighting to adoptable standard;

Provision of a revised crossing point with tactile paving on a raised table at the

Macfarlane Lane/Goals access road junction;

Widening of Syon Lane at the Macfarlane Lane junction to provide a ghost-island

right-turn lane to serve Macfarlane Lane;

Provision of a zebra crossing to the north of Macfarlane Lane at the Syon Lane

junction;

Provision of a segregated cycle facility on the northern side of Syon Lane between

Macfarlane Lane and the A4 junction, including appropriate crossing points at the

Syon Lane/Grant Way and Syon Lane/Tesco roundabouts. It is understood that a TfL

scheme to improve the pedestrian and cycle infrastructure at the A4 junction is

proposed and would tie in with the proposed segregated facility to provide links

to/from the south.

Improvements to the existing dropped kerbs and installation of tactile paving on all

arms of the Syon Lane/Tesco roundabout;

Provision of a mitigation scheme at the Syon Lane/Tesco roundabout to increase

capacity and mitigate against levels of queueing;

Improvements to the subway connecting Syon Lane at the A4 junction, including

repairing/cleaning lights and mirrors and installation of corduroy tactile paving at

subway steps;

Installation of dropped kerbs and tactile paving at the Syon Lane/Northumberland

Avenue junction; and

Reducing obstructions wherever possible on the southern side of Syon Lane within

the vicinity of the shopping parade.

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8.0 CONCLUSIONS

8.1.1 This Transport Assessment (TA) provides a detailed appraisal of the transport impacts

associated with proposals to construct a new secondary school (Bolder Academy) at the

site of the existing Grasshoppers Rugby Football Club (GRFC) at 1 Macfarlane Lane,

Isleworth, Hounslow, TW7 5PN. The proposed school will have a capacity of 1,150 pupils

and is expected to employ a total of 90 staff.

8.1.2 The proposed site will be accessed via Macfarlane Lane, which will be improved in order

to provide a 6.0m carriageway and a 3.0m footway on the northern side across the full

length between Syon Lane and the proposed site. A ghost-island right-turn lane will be

provided into Macfarlane Lane from Syon Lane, and it is proposed to provide a zebra

crossing on Syon Lane to the north of the Macfarlane Lane junction.

8.1.3 With the exception of Special Educational Need (SEN) pupils, pupil drop-offs and pick-

ups will not be permitted on site or across the full length of Macfarlane Lane. There are

waiting restrictions in place on both Syon Lane and Macfarlane Lane to restrict such

movements. The car park of the nearby Tesco Extra store will be utilised as a park and

stride facility for the school.

8.1.4 A total of 57 car parking spaces are to be provided on-site (including 7 accessible bays)

for use by staff and visitors. A total of 9 car parking spaces are to be provided with Electric

Vehicle (EV) charging points, with passive provision at a further 7 spaces for potential

future connection. A total of 150 cycle parking spaces will be provided in secure stores

at several locations around the development.

8.1.5 A Travel Plan (LTP, 2017) that provides a strategy for encouraging sustainable travel at

the proposed school has been produced in conjunction with this TA as a separate

document.

8.1.6 The proposed development is located within a reasonable walking distance (up to 2km)

of the residential areas of Osterley and Isleworth which form part of the expected school

catchment. Subject to the proposed pedestrian improvements on Macfarlane Lane,

there is generally good quality pedestrian infrastructure available within the vicinity of

the site, with continuous pedestrian links between the site and the local residential

catchment. Dropped kerbs and tactile paving are generally provided at local junctions,

with formal crossing facilities available at strategic crossing points, including at the Syon

Lane/A4 and Wood Lane/A4 junctions. A Pedestrian Environment Review System (PERS)

audit has been undertaken In order to assess the suitability of the local pedestrian

network to accommodate the pedestrian trips likely to be generated by the site.

8.1.7 The proposed site is located within a 15 minute cycle ride of a large catchment area,

including Osterley, Brentford and Isleworth. There is an off-road shared-use

foot/cycleway on both sides of the A4 within the vicinity of the site, with the provision

continuing on-road through the Gillette Corner junction. A Cycling Environment Review

System (CERS) audit has been undertaken In order to assess the suitability of the local

cycle infrastructure to accommodate the cycling trips likely to be generated by the site.

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8.1.8 Despite having a PTAL rating of 0, the site is considered to be generally accessible by

public transport, with the nearest bus stop located within a 590m walk of the site

(additional services within 950m) and Syon Lane Rail Station located within a 1.1km walk.

The local bus stops accommodate routes H28 and H91, which operate at frequencies of

every 20 minutes and every 10 minutes respectively. Rail services on the Hounslow Loop

line operate at a frequency of approximately every 15 minutes from Syon Lane.

Continuous walking routes are available between the site and the local bus stops and rail

station.

8.1.9 A road casualty study showed that 88 collisions occurred within the local study area

around the proposed development site during the 5 year study period. Analysis of the

study collisions has not revealed any identifiable existing collision issues associated with

the expected movements generated by the proposed school, therefore it is considered

that there are no existing road safety issues pertinent to the development of the site. If

the proposed site access arrangements and off-site highway works are designed with due

consideration to road safety, then the proposals should not have a detrimental road

safety impact on the local transport network and should not adversely affect the safety

of pedestrians and cyclists.

8.1.10 The likely school catchment area has been determined based upon the distances

travelled by 75% of pupils attending existing mixed-gender secondary schools in

Hounslow. The 75th quartile travel distance is 2.47km (1.54 miles), therefore it could be

expected that 75% of pupils attending Bolder Academy would travel from within

approximately 2.5km of the site, in line with the borough average. This 2.5km distance

covers the areas of Osterley, Spring Grove and parts of Isleworth and Brentford.

8.1.11 The proposed pupil modal split is based upon the average modal split of pupils attending

mixed-gender secondary schools in Hounslow. The projections indicate that

approximately 15.4% of pupils would be expected to travel by vehicle trip generating

modes (park and stride), with the remainder travelling by more sustainable modes of

transport, most notably by bus or on foot. This equates to 178 pupils travelling by vehicle

trip generating modes based upon full occupation of the site, which is considered to

represent a robust worst-case assessment. Assuming that 95% of pupils would arrive

during the AM peak hour (08:00-09:00) and that 70% would leave in the school PM peak

hour (15:00-16:00), with 15% during the network PM peak hour (17:00-18:00), pupil trips

could be expected to generate up to 338 two-way vehicle trips during the AM peak hour,

250 two-way trips during the school PM peak hour and 54 two-way trips during the

network PM peak hour.

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8.1.12 The proposed staff modal split is based upon the average modal split for the existing

workplace population of the ‘Hounslow 009’ Middle Super Output Area (MSOA) within

which the site is located. These projections indicate that 58.4% of staff would be

expected to travel by vehicle trip generating modes, with the remainder travelling by

more sustainable modes of transport. This equates to 53 staff travelling to the site by

vehicle trip generating modes when the school is operating at full capacity. Assuming

that 75% of pupils would arrive during the AM peak hour (08:00-09:00) and that 50%

would leave in the school PM peak hour (15:00-16:00), with 25% during the network PM

peak hour (17:00-18:00), staff trips could be expected to result in the generation of 40

two-way AM peak hour trips, 27 two-way school PM peak hour trips and 13 network PM

peak hour trips.

8.1.13 The baseline weekday AM, school PM and network PM peak hour baseline traffic

situation within the vicinity of the site has been established through classified vehicle

turning counts undertaken at key local junctions on Wednesday 13th May 2015. The

traffic flow impact of the proposed development has been projected utilising traffic

growth forecasts to 2025, as this is when the school is expected to operate at full

capacity.

8.1.14 The distribution of development traffic associated with staff trips has been predicted

using a gravity model based upon the existing proportion of people travelling to

‘Hounslow 009’ from their usual residences (MSOAs and local authority districts) by

mode of travel. The predicted distribution of pupil trips is based upon a different gravity

model, utilising projections on the proportion of pupils likely to attend Bolder Academy

from different areas of Hounslow.

8.1.15 In order to assess the ability of key local junctions to accommodate the traffic associated

with the proposed development, junction capacity assessments have been undertaken

utilising Junctions 9 and LinSig modelling software. Subject to the provision of a

mitigation scheme to increase capacity at the Syon Lane/Tesco roundabout, it is

considered that the proposed development will not have a detrimental impact on the

operation of the local highway network, particularly considering the approval of local

committed developments and that the trip generation projections include a number of

worst-case assumptions.

8.1.16 The PERS and CERS audits have identified a number of ‘Quick Wins’ and mitigation

schemes which are to be implemented as part of the development proposals in order to

improve the pedestrian and cycle experience of pupils and staff travelling to and from

the site.

8.1.17 The impact of the development on the capacity of local bus services has been assessed.

The projections indicate that Route H28 may require future capacity improvements in

order to accommodate pupil demand. Given the phased approach to site occupation, it

is recommended that the number of pupils utilising both routes H28 and H91 to access

Bolder Academy is monitored during the first few years of opening to determine if and

when capacity enhancements are likely to be required. The proposed development is not

expected to have a significant impact on the capacity of train or London Underground

services.

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8.1.18 Based on the assessments of this TA, it is considered that the proposed development

would not be expected to have a severe detrimental impact on the operation of the local

highway network or the capacity of public transport. The proposals are therefore

considered to be in accordance with the ‘National Planning Policy Framework’ (NPPF)

which states that “development should only be prevented or refused on grounds where

the residual impacts of the development are severe” (DCLG, 2012).

8.1.19 It is concluded from the assessment within this TA that the proposed development would

not be expected to have a detrimental impact in road safety, traffic and highway terms.

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WSP, 2013. Brentford, Land South of the High Street and Waterfront. Transport Assessment Addendum.

WSP, 2012. Brentford, Land South of the High Street and Waterfront. Transport Assessment.

WSP, 2009. Former Alfa Laval Site, Brentford. Transport Assessment.

Bolder Academy Macfarlane Lane, Isleworth Transport Assessment

traffic engineering and transport planning Appendix 1

Appendix 1 – Proposed Site Layout Plan