AR Traction Will Power Next Evolution of Devicesmanaging AR and developing compelling content...

10
AR Traction Will Power Next Evolution of Devices Michael J. Palma Research Director IDC Semiconductors & Enabling Technologies © IDC

Transcript of AR Traction Will Power Next Evolution of Devicesmanaging AR and developing compelling content...

Page 1: AR Traction Will Power Next Evolution of Devicesmanaging AR and developing compelling content –focus on your ecosystems AR vendors must accommodate an IT organization’s eventual

AR Traction Will Power Next Evolution of DevicesMichael J. Palma

Research Director

IDC Semiconductors & Enabling Technologies© IDC

Page 2: AR Traction Will Power Next Evolution of Devicesmanaging AR and developing compelling content –focus on your ecosystems AR vendors must accommodate an IT organization’s eventual

Google Glass and the Beginning

Searching for a Killer App

Real World Traction

© IDC 2

The Evolution of AR & VR HMDsTechnology Searching for a Use Case

Page 3: AR Traction Will Power Next Evolution of Devicesmanaging AR and developing compelling content –focus on your ecosystems AR vendors must accommodate an IT organization’s eventual

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Sh

are

of

Syst

em

Sh

ipm

en

ts (

%)

Share of Shipments for Commercial

Customers

AR VR

3© IDC

Augmented Reality Market Turns Commercial

Note: Includes tethered and stand-alone HMDs

At what stage would you say your company is regarding AR?

Page 4: AR Traction Will Power Next Evolution of Devicesmanaging AR and developing compelling content –focus on your ecosystems AR vendors must accommodate an IT organization’s eventual

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

50,000

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

Syst

em

Re

ven

ue

s ($

M)

Syst

em

Sh

ipm

en

ts (

Ku

)

Augmented and Virtual Reality HMD Opportunity

AR Revenues VR Revenues AR Units VR Units

© IDC 4

The Augmented and Virtual Reality Opportunity

CAGR 185% 48% 188% 54%

Page 5: AR Traction Will Power Next Evolution of Devicesmanaging AR and developing compelling content –focus on your ecosystems AR vendors must accommodate an IT organization’s eventual

Evolving growth of sensor usage on HMDs – Increasing use of sensors to capture context• AR – Initially just IMUs, a basic

camera, and a microphone,

• Now seeing multiple IMUs, cameras, and microphones, along with other additions

• VR – Different set of priorities, still a limited use of IMUs, but growing use of cameras, especially for inside-out position tracking

5© IDC

Sensor opportunity

Page 6: AR Traction Will Power Next Evolution of Devicesmanaging AR and developing compelling content –focus on your ecosystems AR vendors must accommodate an IT organization’s eventual

© IDC 6

Sensors to Drive New HMI and Position Tracking

Smarter Faster Smaller Lower Power

Camera Based

Eye Tracking

3D sensing

Position Tracking

Gesture Recognition

Display control

Optical & Proximity

Replace Buttons

System Power Control

Microphone

Voice Interaction

Audio position sensing

Movement

Tracking precision

Headset and controller

Lidar/Rada

Spatial mapping

Obstacle detection

Page 7: AR Traction Will Power Next Evolution of Devicesmanaging AR and developing compelling content –focus on your ecosystems AR vendors must accommodate an IT organization’s eventual

TI Intel NVIDIA Qualcomm

Epson X X

Microsoft X X

Vuzix X X X

RealWear X

Google X X X

Magic Leap X

Atheer X

DAQRI X

Intel X

Lenovo X

ODG X

Intel NVIDIA Qualcomm Samsung Allwinner Rockchip

Facebook X

Pico X

Xiaomi X

HTC X

DPVR X

Lenovo X

Baofeng X

Inlife-Handnet X X

Omimo X

Dlodlo X X

Magicsee X

Nibiru X

Pico X7© IDC

Processor EcosystemAugmented Reality Processor Relationships Virtual Reality Processor Relationships

Page 8: AR Traction Will Power Next Evolution of Devicesmanaging AR and developing compelling content –focus on your ecosystems AR vendors must accommodate an IT organization’s eventual

© IDC 8

Driving the Next Generation of Experiences

Connecting HMDs to devices and beyond

Processing Connectivity Displays

Real-Time Performance

Image Processing

Position/tracking

HMI

Experience & Performance• Limiting impact of ambient lighting

• Size and power consumption• Field of view

• Transparency • Growth of tethered HMDs in

AR dependent on WiGig

• 5G will improve video delivery

• How will ecosystem respond to the opportunity?

• How will AI requirements be met?

Page 9: AR Traction Will Power Next Evolution of Devicesmanaging AR and developing compelling content –focus on your ecosystems AR vendors must accommodate an IT organization’s eventual

Offer buyers end-to-end solutions with precisely targeted projects that drive discernable benefits that don’t overpromise and underdeliver.

Driving AR into more enterprise companies will require platforms for managing AR and developing compelling content – focus on your ecosystems

AR vendors must accommodate an IT organization’s eventual move from mobile AR to headset-based solutions. For VR, most organizations will not understand the complexities of deploying VR; partners will be critical.

The opportunity is now, evaluate partners on ability to execute now, in addition to a vision for the future.

For VR, technology will drive platforms, but use cases must be demonstrated and ROI established for enterprise opportunities.

© IDC 9

Essential Advice

Page 10: AR Traction Will Power Next Evolution of Devicesmanaging AR and developing compelling content –focus on your ecosystems AR vendors must accommodate an IT organization’s eventual

For More Information

LinkedInhttps://www.linkedin.com/company/idc

Twitterhttps://twitter.com/@IDC

www.idc.com

Michael J. Palma

[email protected]

650-350-6246

© IDC 10