APRIL 2015 LOW-WAGE CALIFORNIA: 2014 CHARTBOOKlaborcenter.berkeley.edu/pdf/2014/chartbook.pdf ·...
Transcript of APRIL 2015 LOW-WAGE CALIFORNIA: 2014 CHARTBOOKlaborcenter.berkeley.edu/pdf/2014/chartbook.pdf ·...
Future Job TrendsThe Industries
The JobsTheir FamiliesThe Workers
LOW-WAGE CALIFORNIA: 2014 CHARTBOOK
APRIL 2015
The Context: Growing Inequality and Stagnant Wages in California
Growing Inequality
Higher Productivity, Stagnant Wages
SECTION 1
Section 1 • The Context: Growing Inequality and Stagnant Wages in California page 2
Change in Real Wages in California, 1979–2014
GrowingInequality
Like the rest of the country, California has seen a steep growth in inequality since the late 1970s. Workers in the bottom and the middle of the wage distribution saw their earnings decline in real terms, after adjusting for inflation, while high-wage workers saw their earnings rise. Real wages for the median worker (in the 50th percentile) declined by 5 percent.
Source: Authors’ analysis of Center for Economic and Policy Research’s data extract of the Current Population Survey, Outgoing Rotation Groups, 1979–2014. Wages do not include tips, overtime pay, or commission.
-6%
-12%
-10%
-5%
-5%
-1%
6%
10th 20th 30th 40th 50th 60th 70th 80th 90th 95th
Wage Percentiles
35%
47%
17%
Section 1 • The Context: Growing Inequality and Stagnant Wages in California page 3
Growth of Real Median Compensation and Productivity in California, 1979–2013
Higher Productivity,Stagnant Wages
California workers have become more productive, but their wages and benefits have stagnated. Between 1979 and 2013, productivity increased by 89 percent, but median hourly compensation (wages plus benefits) for nonsupervisory/production workers increased by only 3 percent, adjusting for inflation.
Source: Economic Policy Institute analysis of unpublished total economy data from Bureau of Labor Statistics, Labor Productivity and Costs program; employment data from Bureau of Labor Statistics, Local Area Unemployment Statistics; wage data from the Current Population Survey; and compensation data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis, State/National Income and Product Accounts public data series, 1979–2013.
Productivity
89%
Median Hourly Compensation
3%
1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013
Cum
ulat
ive
Perc
enta
ge C
hang
e Si
nce
1979
California’s Low-Wage Jobs Problem
HowDoWeDefine“LowWage”?
Number and Percent of Low-Wage Workers in California, 2014
SECTION 2
Section 2 • California’s Low-Wage Jobs Problem page 5
How Do We Define “Low Wage”?
Low-wage worker = earned less than $13.63 per hour in 2014
This report defines a low-wage worker as someone who earned less than two-thirds of the median hourly wage for full-time workers, which is a widely used metric.1 California’s median hourly wage for full-time workers was $20.44 in 2014, and two-thirds of that wage is $13.63. Therefore, this report considers any individual who earned less than $13.63 per hour in 2014 to be a low-wage worker.
California workers, ages 18–64, who were not self-employed
See Data and Methods for moredetails
Definition
The Sample
For MoreDocumentation
1 Boushey H., Fremstad S., Gragg R., and Waller M. (2007) “Understanding Low-Wage Work in the United States.” The Mobility Agenda and Center for Economic and Policy Research.
Source: Authors’ analysis of Center for Economic and Policy Research’s data extract of the Current Population Survey, Outgoing Rotation Groups, 2014.
Section 2 • California’s Low-Wage Jobs Problem page 6
Number and Percent of Low-Wage Workers in California, 2014
One of every three California workers earns low wages
That translates into 4,771,000 low-wage workers
33 percent of California workers earned less than $13.63 in 2014
This percentage is up from 30 percent in 2000
Source: Authors’ analysis of Center for Economic and Policy Research’s data extract of the Current Population Survey, Outgoing Rotation Groups, 2000 and 2014.
ProfileofLow-WageWorkers
Age
Education
Changes in Age and Education Over Time
Race, Ethnicity and Nativity
Gender
Rates of Low-Wage Work
SECTION 3
Section 3 • Profile of Low-Wage Workers page 8
Age Distribution of California Workers, 2014
Age The large majority (95 percent) of California’s low-wage workers are adults, not teens. The average age for low-wage workers is 35, compared to 40 for all workers.
Source: Authors’ analysis of Center for Economic and Policy Research’s data extract of the Current Population Survey, Outgoing Rotation Groups, 2014. Teens aged 16–17 make up 0.6 percent of the overall workforce under age 65, and 1.5 percent of the low-wage workforce under age 65.
5% 2%
25%
19%
24%
24%
34%
11% 15%
Low-Wage Workers All Workers
55–64
40–54
30–39
20–29
18–1940%
Section 3 • Profile of Low-Wage Workers page 9
12%
22%
21%
7%
9%
23%
24% 30% 27%
10% 3%
12%
Low-WageWorkers
AllWorkers
Less than High School
High School
Some College
Associate's Degree
Bachelor's Degree
Advanced Degree
Educational Distribution of California Workers, 2014
EducationCalifornia’s low-wage workers are less educated than the overall workforce, but morethan 45 percent have some college experience or higher, and about one in ten has a bachelor’s or advanced degree.
Source: Authors’ analysis of Center for Economic and Policy Research’s data extract of the Current Population Survey, Outgoing Rotation Groups, 2014.
Section 3 • Profile of Low-Wage Workers page 10
Age and Education Distribution of Low-Wage California Workers, 1979–2014
Changes in Age and Education Over Time
California’s low-wage workers are older and more educated than ever. Between 1979 and 2014, the share of teenagers declined by more than half, while the age group with the biggest growth was 35–64 year olds. Over the same time period, the percentage with less than a high school degree declined, while the percentage with some college experience or a college degree increased.
Source: Authors’ analysis of Center for Economic and Policy Research’s data extract of the Current Population Survey, Outgoing Rotation Groups, 1979–2014. Estimates in this chart do not perfectly match estimates in previous slides due to the use of a different wage variable to allow for comparability over time (wages for this chart exclude tips, commissions, and overtime).
16% 5%
28%
25%
24%
26%
32%
44%
1979 2014
29% 20%
32%
33%
31%
35%
8%
13%
1979 2014
35–64
25–34
20–24
18–19
College and Advanced Degrees
Some College
High School
Less than High School
Age Education
Section 3 • Profile of Low-Wage Workers page 11
Latino/a Black Asian White Other
Race and Ethnicity of California Workers, 2014
Race, Ethnicity, and Nativity
Workers of color constitute the majority of California’s workforce. This is especially true for the state’s low-wage workers: for example, 56 percent are Latino/a, compared to 39 percent for all workers. A higher proportion of California’s low-wage workforce is foreign born (40 percent) as compared to the proportion of all workers (33 percent).
Source: Authors’ analysis of Center for Economic and Policy Research’s data extract of the Current Population Survey, Outgoing Rotation Groups, 2014.
56%
39%
6%
5%
11%
16%
26%
39%
Low-WageWorkers
AllWorkers
Percent of California Workers Who are Foreign Born, 2014
40%
33%
Low-WageWorkers
AllWorkers
Section 3 • Profile of Low-Wage Workers page 12
Percent Women, by Race/Ethnicity, Among California’s Low-Wage Workers, 2014
GenderOverall, half of California’s low-wage workers are women, but there is significant variation across demographic groups. For all groups except Latinos, women make up a disproportionate share of low-wage workers.
Source: Authors’ analysis of Center for Economic and Policy Research’s data extract of the Current Population Survey, Outgoing Rotation Groups, 2014.
White
Black
Latina
Asian
All Low-WageWorkers
55%
51%
48%
57%
51%
Section 3 • Profile of Low-Wage Workers page 13
Rates of Low-Wage Work
Source: Authors’ analysis of Center for Economic and Policy Research’s data extract of the Current Population Survey, Outgoing Rotation Groups, 2014.
Race/Ethnicity
Age
Countryof Birth
Education
Gender
It is also useful to examine the proportion of low-wage workers within major demographic groups (i.e., the of low-wage work). Rates of low-wage work are above average among young workers, women, Latino, black, and foreign-born workers. Workers without a college degree also have higher rates of low-wage work.
Share of Low-Wage Workers within Major Demographic Groups in California, 2014
Average: 33%
18–19
20–29
30–39
40–54
55–64
Male
Female
White
Black
Latino/a
Asian
Other
U.S. Born
Foreign Born
Less than High School
High School
Some College
Associate's Degree
Bachelor's Degree
Advanced Degree
87%
54%
26%
24%
23%
30%
36%
22%
38%
48%
23%
36%
30%
40%
65%
45%
42%
28%
14%
7%
The Families of Low-Wage Workers
Family Income
Workers’ Share of Family Income
Family Poverty Level
Family Structure
SECTION 4
Section 4 • The Families of Low-Wage Workers page 15
Family Income of California Workers, 2000–2013
FamilyIncome
Even when combining the wages of all workers in the family, the median family income of California’s low-wage workers was about $29,000 in 2013, half of the state’s overall median. Adjusted for inflation, low-wage workers’ families have seen their incomes decline by 12 percent since 2000 (compared to a 3 percent decline for all families).
Source: Authors’ analysis of Center for Economic and Policy Research’s data extract of the Current Population Survey, Annual Social and Economic Supplement, 2000–2013. Wages are in constant 2014 dollars.
$33,100 $29,100
$64,800 $63,000
2000 2013 2000 2013
Low-Wage Workers’ Families All Workers’ Families
Section 4 • The Families of Low-Wage Workers page 16
Average Share of Family Income Earned by California Workers, 2013
Workers’ Shareof Family Income
Low-wage workers’ earnings make up a majority (61 percent) of their family’s income. Moreover, 42 percent of low-wage workers are the sole earner in their family (similar to the workforce as a whole).
Source: Authors’ analysis of Center for Economic and Policy Research’s data extract of the Current Population Survey, Annual Social and Economic Supplement, 2013.
61% 70%
Low-WageWorkers
All Workers
Section 4 • The Families of Low-Wage Workers page 17
Family Poverty Level of California Workers, 2013
Family PovertyLevel
Low-wage workers are much more likely to live in families with incomes below the Federal Poverty Level (FPL) as compared to the overall California workforce. Almost 60 percent of low-wage workers live in families under 200 percent of the FPL.
Source: Authors’ analysis of Center for Economic and Policy Research’s data extract of the Current Population Survey, Annual Social and Economic Supplement, 2013.
Low-Wage Workers All Workers
400% +
200–400%
150–200%
100–150%
<100%
26%
19%
14%
28%
13%
10%
9%
9%
31%
42%
Section 4 • The Families of Low-Wage Workers page 18
Low-WageWorkers
AllWorkers
Married without Children
Married withChildren
Single withoutChildren
Single withChildren
Family Structure of California Workers, 2013
Family Structure Close to half (40 percent) of low-wage workers are married and 43 percent have children.
Source: Authors’ analysis of Center for Economic and Policy Research’s data extract of the Current Population Survey, Annual Social and Economic Supplement, 2013.
23%
17%
30%
23%
35%
40%
12%
20%
ProfileofLow-WageJobs
Wages and Earnings
Full-Time/Part-Time Status
Full-Year/Part-Year Status
Union Membership
EmployeeBenefits
Other Dimensions of Job Quality
SECTION 5
Section 5 • Profile of Low-Wage Jobs page 20
Median Annual Earnings in California, 2013
Wages andEarnings
The median wage for low-wage workers was $9.97 an hour in 2014, almost half the median for all California workers. Median annual earnings for low-wage workers were $15,300 in 2014, and only $9,200 for part-time workers. But even when working full time, median earnings for low-wage workers only reached $20,400.
Source: Authors’ analysis of Center for Economic and Policy Research’s data extract of the Current Population Survey, Annual Social and Economic Supplement 2013 and Outgoing Rotation Groups, 2014. Wages are in constant 2014 dollars.
Median Hourly Wages in California, 2014
Overall
PartTime
Full Time
$15,300
$35,600
$9,200
$12,200
$20,400
$43,800
Low-Wage Workers
All Workers
Low-Wage Workers
All Workers
Low-Wage Workers
All Workers
$9.97
$18.36
Low-WageWorkers
AllWorkers
Section 5 • Profile of Low-Wage Jobs page 21
Full-Time/Part-Time Status for California Workers, 2014
Full-Time/Part-Time StatusLow-wage workers are almost twice as likely to work part time (defined as less than 35 hours per week) compared to the overall California workforce. Low-wage workers also have double the rate of involuntary part-time work compared to the overall workforce (14 percent compared to 7 percent).
Source: Authors’ analysis of Center for Economic and Policy Research’s data extract of the Current Population Survey, Outgoing Rotation Groups, 2014.
Full-Time
76%Part-Time
24%
Voluntary17%
Involuntary7%
Full-Time
60%Part-Time
40%
Voluntary26%
Involuntary14%
Low-Wage Workers All Workers
Full-Year/Part-Year Work for California Workers, 2013
Full-Year/Part-Year StatusNot only are low-wage workers more likely to work part time, they’re also more likely to work part year (less than 50 weeks) compared to the overall workforce. The result is that only 54 percent of low-wage workers have full-time, full-year jobs.
Source: Authors’ analysis of Center for Economic and Policy Research’s data extract of the Current Population Survey, Annual Social and Economic Supplement, 2013.
Low-Wage Workers All Workers
Full-Time, Full-Year
Full-Time, Part-Year
Part-Time, Full-Year
Part-Time, Part-Year
54%71%
7%12%
22%
12%
12%
10%
Section 5 • Profile of Low-Wage Jobs page 22
Percent of California Workers Who are Union Members, 2014
Union Membership Low-wage workers are less likely to be members of a union compared to the overall California workforce.
Source: Authors’ analysis of Center for Economic and Policy Research’s data extract of the Current Population Survey, Outgoing Rotation Groups, 2014.
8% 16%Low-WageWorkers
All Workers
Section 5 • Profile of Low-Wage Jobs page 23
EmployeeBenefits
Low-wage workers are half as likely as the overall California workforce to receive health insurance or pension benefits from their employer. Since 1980, the share of low-wage workers with health insurance benefits has fallen by half, and the share with pension benefits has fallen by almost one-fourth.
Source: Authors’ analysis of Center for Economic and Policy Research’s data extract of the Current Population Survey, Annual Social and Economic Supplement, 2013.
51%
25%
54%
23%
All Workers
Low-Wage Workers
All Workers
Low-Wage WorkersEmployer-Sponsored
Health Insurance
Employer-Sponsored Pension
Percent of California Workers with Employer-Sponsored Health or Pension Benefits, 2013
Section 5 • Profile of Low-Wage Jobs page 24
Other Dimensions of Job Quality
Only 29 percent of California’s low-wage workers had access to paid sick days in 2012 (prior to passage of California’s paid sick leave legislation), compared to 67 percent of the overall working population (statistics are for full-time workers only).1
Lack of Paid Sick Days
Unpredictable and “On Call” Schedules
Wage Theft
In a national sample of early career workers in 2011, the large majority of low-wage workers had fluctuations in their work hours (70 percent for full-time workers and 85 percent of part-time workers), and close to half received one week or less advanced notice of scheduling changes.2
In a 2013 survey of California grocery store workers, 47 percent reported that their schedule varied from week to week at least some of the time, and 25 percent reported that they had to be available for “on call” shifts at least some of the time.3
A 2008 survey of very low-wage workers in Los Angeles (median wage of $8.06 in 2008 dollars) found rampant wage theft: 30 percent were paid less than the minimum wage in the previous work week; 79 percent of those who worked overtime were not paid the legally required overtime rate; and 71 percent did not receive any pay when they worked before or after their regular shift. Workers with violations lost an average of $2,070 to wage theft, out of total annual earnings of $16,536.4
1 Milli J. (2014) “Access to Paid Sick Days in California.” Institute for Women’s Policy Research.2 Lambert S., Fugiel P., and Henly J. (2014) “Precarious Work Schedules among Early-Career Employees in the US: A National Snapshot.” EINet.3 Jayaraman S. (2014) “Shelved: How Wages and Working Conditions for California’s Food Retail Workers Have Declined as the Industry Has Thrived.”Food Labor Research Center, University of California, Berkeley. 4 Milkman R., Gonzalez A., and Narro V. (2010) “Wage Theft and Workplace Violations in Los Angeles” Institute for Research on Labor and Employment, University of California, Los Angeles.
A Closer Look at Low-Wage Industries and Occupations
Industries
Rates of Low-Wage Work, by Industry
Major Occupations
Rates of Low-Wage Work, by Major Occupations
Top Ten Detailed Low-Wage Occupations
Self-Employed Workers
SECTION 6
Section 6 • Closer Look at Low-Wage Industries and Occupations page 26
IndustriesLow-wage workers are employed throughout California’s economy, but retailers and restaurants alone account for 28 percent of the state’s low-wage workers. (Industry is a category that describes businesses.)
Source: Authors’ analysis of American Community Survey IPUMS, 2012 and 2013, 1-year samples.
Distribution of California’s Low-Wage Workers Across Industries, 2012–2013
14%
14%
6%
6%
6%
5%
5%
5%
4%
4%
4%
4%
4%
3%
3%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
2%
1%
0%
Retail Trade
Restaurants and Other Food Services
Educational Services
Administrative and Business Services
Personal Services and Non-Profits
Agriculture, Forestry, and Fishing
Durable Manufacturing
Non-Durable Manufacturing
Construction
Outpatient Health Care Services
Community, Family, and Child Care Services
Finance, Insurance, and Real Estate
Grocery Stores
Transportation, Warehousing, and Utilities
Wholesale Trade
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Professional, Scientific, and Management Services
Hospitals
Public Administration
Nursing and Residential Care Facilities
Accommodation
Information and Communication
Mining
Section 6 • Closer Look at Low-Wage Industries and Occupations page 27
Rates ofLow-Wage Work, by Industry
California industries that have high rates of low-wage work include key parts of the service sector (such as restaurants, retail, hotels, and home care and child care services), as well as key parts of the goods-producing sector (such as agriculture and non-durable manufacturing).
Source: Authors’ analysis of American Community Survey IPUMS, 2012 and 2013, 1-year samples.
Share of California Workers That Earn Low Wages Within Industries, 2012–2013
71%
68%
52%
51%
51%
50%
50%
50%
49%
43%
41%
32%
31%
29%
25%
24%
22%
20%
17%
15%
14%
13%
12%
Agriculture, Forestry, and Fishing
Restaurants and Other Food Services
Grocery Stores
Community, Family, and Child Care Services
Nursing and Residential Care Facilities
Retail Trade
Accommodation
Administrative and Business Services
Personal Services and Non-Profits
Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
Non-Durable Manufacturing
Wholesale Trade
Outpatient Health Care Services
Construction
Transportation, Warehousing, and Utilities
Educational Services
Durable Manufacturing
Finance, Insurance, and Real Estate
Information and Communication
Hospitals
Mining
Public Administration
Professional, Scientific and Management Services
Average: 33%
Section 6 • Closer Look at Low-Wage Industries and Occupations page 28
MajorOccupations
Low-wage workers are employed in all major occupations, but three groups—office and administrative support, sales, and food preparation and serving occupations—account for 41 percent of California’s low-wage workers. (Occupation is a category that describes jobs.)
Source: Authors’ analysis of American Community Survey IPUMS, 2012 and 2013, 1-year samples.
Distribution of California’s Low-Wage Workers Across Occupations, 2012–2013
4%
0%
14%
14%
13%
9%
8%
7%
7%
4%
4%
3%
3%
2%
2%
2%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
0%
0%
Office and Administrative Support
Sales and Related Occupations
Food Preparation and Serving Occupations
Transportation and Material Movement
Production Occupations
Personal Care and Service Occupations
Building and Grounds Cleaning
Farming, Fishing, and Forestry
Education, Training, and Library Occupations
Construction and Extraction
Healthcare Support Occupations
Management, Business, and Science Occupations
Installation, Maintenence, and Repair
Protective Service
Healthcare Practitioner and Technical Occupations
Arts, Entertainment, Sports, and Media
Commmunity and Social Services
Business Operations Specialists
Financial Specialists
Computer and Mathematical Operations
Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations
Architecture and Engineering Occupations
Legal Occupations
Section 6 • Closer Look at Low-Wage Industries and Occupations page 29
Rates of Low-WageWork, by Major Occupations
California occupations that have high rates of low-wage work include service jobs (such as food preparation workers, home care workers, and janitors), as well as jobs in the goods-producing sector(such as farm workers and warehouse workers).
Source: Authors’ analysis of American Community Survey IPUMS, 2012 and 2013, 1-year samples.
Average: 33%
Share of California Workers That Earn Low Wages Within Occupations, 2012–2013
Farming, Fishing and Forestry
Food Preparation and Serving Occupations
Personal Care and Service Occupations
Building and Grounds Cleaning
Transportation and Material Movement
Healthcare Support Occupations
Production Occupations
Sales and Related Occupations
Office and Administrative Support
Construction and Extraction
Installation, Maintenence, and Repair
Protective Service
Education, Training and Library Occupations
Arts, Entertainment, Sports, and Media
Commmunity and Social Services
Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations
Business Operations Specialists
Healthcare Practitioner and Technical Occupations
Management, Business, and Science Occupations
Financial Specialists
Legal Occupations
Computer and Mathematical Operations
Architecture and Engineering Occupations
79%
68%
67%
63%
49%
48%
47%
45%
35%
31%
28%
26%
24%
21%
20%
13%
12%
11%
10%
8%
7%
6%
4%
Section 6 • Closer Look at Low-Wage Industries and Occupations page 30
Top Ten Detailed Low-Wage Occupations
Top Ten Low-Wage Occupations in California, 2012–2013
504,600
Cooks and Food Preparation Workers 267,800
Material Moving Workers 253,100
Personal Care Aides, Childcare Workers, and Other Personal Care and Service Workers 252,700
Customer Service Representatives and Other Information and Record Clerks 234,000
Janitors, Maids, and Pest Control Workers 225,800
Waiters, Waitresses, Bartenders, and Other Food and Beverage Serving Workers 197,300
Agricultural Workers 191,200
Construction Trades Workers 169,800
Material Recording, Scheduling, Dispatching and Distributing Workers 160,900
Retail Sales Workers
Ranked by Number of Low-Wage Workers
82
Textile, Apparel, and Furnishings Workers 79
Cooks and Food Preparation Workers 76
Cafeteria Attendants, Dishwashers, and Hosts and Hostesses 75
Personal Care Aides, Childcare Workers, and Other Personal Care and Service Workers 71
Grounds Maintenance Workers 68
Retail Sales Workers 66
Animal Care and Service Workers 65
Personal Appearance Workers 63
Janitors, Maids, and Pest Control Workers 63
Agricultural Workers
Ranked by Percent of the Occupation that is Low Wage
Source: Authors’ analysis of American Community Survey IPUMS, 2012 and 2013, 1-year samples. Data in the first table are rounded to the nearest 100.
Section 6 • Closer Look at Low-Wage Industries and Occupations page 31
Percent of Self-Employed Workers in California Who Earn Low Wages, 2013
Self-EmployedWorkers
A separate analysis of self-employed workers in California shows that 43 percent earn low wages. The top five industries for low-wage self-employed workers are construction, landscaping services, beauty salons, building services, and child day care services.
Source: Authors’ analysis of Center for Economic and Policy Research’s data extract of the Current Population Survey, Annual Social and Economic Supplement, 2013.
Part Time
40%
Top Five IndustriesConstructionLandscaping ServicesBeauty SalonsBuilding ServicesChild Day Care Services
43%
Future Employment Trends
Employment Projections: Industries
Employment Projections: Occupations
Employment Projections: Educational Requirements
SECTION 7
Section 7 • Future Employment Trends page 33
Employment Projections: Industries
Official employment projections to 2022 do not show a significant change in California’s industry mix, meaning that our state’s low-wage jobs problem will continue into the foreseeable future.
Industry Distribution of California Employment, 2012–2022
Source: California Industry Employment Projections, Employment Development Department, Labor Market Information Division, 2012–2022.
IndustryEmployment Share (%)
2012 2022 projected 2012–2022
Percentage Point Change
Farm Workers, Logging, and MiningConstructionDurable Goods ManufacturingNondurable Goods ManufacturingWholesale TradeRetail TradeTransportation and Warehousing and UtilitiesInformationProfessional and Business ServicesEducational Services (Private)Health Care and Social AssistanceArts, Entertainment, and RecreationAccommodation and Food ServicesOther ServicesSelf-EmployedGovernment (Federal, State, and Local)
2.63.64.82.94.29.73.02.7
18.52.1
11.31.68.33.56.7
14.6
2.64.24.02.44.29.63.02.7
19.52.2
12.51.68.63.36.3
13.2
-0.10.6
-0.8-0.50.0
-0.10.00.01.00.21.20.00.4
-0.2-0.4-1.4
Section 7 • Future Employment Trends page 34
Employment Projections: Occupations
Low-wage occupations (shown in red) top the list of projected job growth in California between 2012 and 2022.
Top Ten California Occupations with Largest Projected Employment Growth, 2012–2022
Source: California Industry and Occupation Employment Projections, Employment Development Department, Labor Market Information Division, 2012–2022. Median wage from authors’ analysis of American Community Survey IPUMS, 2012 and 2013, 1-year samples. Wages are in constant 2014 dollars.
OccupationNet Employment Growth
2012–2022 Median Wage
2012–2013
Personal Care AidesFood Preparation and Serving WorkersRetail SalespersonsLaborers and Freight, Stock, and Material MoversWaiters and WaitressesRegistered NursesGeneral and Operations ManagersSecretaries and Administrative AssistantsCashiersRestaurant Cooks
200,30076,40059,70051,80044,20042,90041,90037,30034,80033,700
$9.40$9.33
$11.63$11.85$11.23$41.98$35.10$18.83$9.25$9.79
{{
Low-WageOccupations
Low-WageOccupations
{Not Low-WageOccupations
Section 7 • Future Employment Trends page 35
Percent of California Occupations by Entry-Level Educational Requirements, 2012–2022
Employment Projections:Educational Requirements
Official projections also show no significant change by 2022 in the distribution of employment by occupations’ required education for an entry-level job.
Source: California Occupation Employment Projections, Employment Development Department, Labor Market Information Division, 2012–2022.
30%
36%
6%
4%
20%
29%
37%
6%
4%
19%
4% 4%
Less than High School
High School Diploma or GED
Some College, No Degree
Associate's Degree
Bachelor's Degree
Master's Degree and Higher
2012
2022
The Impact of Low-Wage Jobs
Economic Insecurity for Families
Other Effects of Low Wages
The Public Cost of Low-Wage Work
SECTION 8
Section 8 • The Impact of Low-Wage Jobs page 37
Economic Insecurity Measures for California Families, 2012–2013
EconomicInsecurityfor Families
Low-wage workers’ families are more likely to have children receiving free or reduced-price school lunch, to have a higher than recommended rent burden, to have a family member enrolled in Medi-Cal, and to live below the Federal Poverty Line.
Source: Authors’ analysis of American Community Survey IPUMS, 2012 and 2013, 1-year samples, and Center for Economic and Policy Research’s data extract of the Current Population Survey, Annual Social and Economic Supplement, 2013.
Low-WageWorkers
All Workers37%
17%
10%
47%
Proportion of householdswith children that receive
free or reduced-price lunch
Proportion of householdsthat pay more than 30 percent
of their income in rent
Proportion of workerswith a family member
enrolled in Medi-Cal
Proportion of workerswith family income below
Federal Poverty Line
69%
54%
28%
26%
Section 8 • The Impact of Low-Wage Jobs page 38
Low wages have been shown to negatively affect the health of workers.All else equal, low wages (and in turn poverty) result in increased rates of high blood pressure and high levels of stress, as well as shorter life expectancy.1
Parents’ earnings affect the future earnings and work hours of their children.All else equal, children from low-income families earn less and work fewer hours as adults. These effects are most pronounced when family income is low during the prenatal period and first five years of the child’s life.2
Parents’ earnings affect the academic outcomes of their children. Multiple randomized studies have shown that an increase in family income results in young children doing better in school and completing more years of school.3 The reverse is also true, suggesting there are negative effects on the educational attainment of children from low-income families.
1 Leigh J. and Du J. (2012) “Are low wages risk factors for hypertension?” European Journal of Public Health, Volume 22, Number 6, Pages 854-859. Also Waldron, H. (2007) “Trends in Mortality Differentials and Life Expectancy for Male Social Security-Covered Workers, by Average Relative Earnings.” U.S. Social Security Administration; Office of Policy. ORES Working Paper No.108.2 Duncan G., Ziol-Guest K. and Kalil A. (2010) “Early-Childhood Poverty and Adult Attainment, Behavior, and Health.” Child Development, January/February 2010, Volume 81, Number 1, Pages 306-325.3 Duncan G., Morris P. and Rodriguez C. (2011) “Does money really matter? Estimating impacts of family income on young children’s achievement with data from random-assignment experiments.” Developmental Psychology, Volume 47, Number 5, Pages 1263-1279. Also Clark-Kaufman E., Duncan G. and Morris P. (2003) “How welfare policies affect children and adolescent achievement.” American Economic Review, Volume 93, Number 2, Pages 299-303.
Other Effectsof Low Wages
Low-wage jobs have other negative effects on the lives of workers and their children, both in the near and long term.
Section 8 • The Impact of Low-Wage Jobs page 39
Average Annual Expenditures by Public Assistance Programs for Low-Wage Workers’ Families in California (in Millions), 2007–2012
The Public Cost of Low-Wage WorkThe families of low-wage workers are more likely to have to rely on public assistance programs to make ends meet. From 2007–2012, the average annual expenditures of TANF, EITC, Medicaid, CHIP, and Food Stamp programs for low-wage workers’ families in California was $14.3 billion.
Source: Authors’ analysis of Current Population Survey, Annual Social and Economic Supplement, 2007-2012, and programadministrative data. Expenditures are in constant 2014 dollars.
$866
$4,025 $3,953 $3,719
$1,739
TANF EITC Medicaid–Adults
Medicaid–Children
Food Stamps
Where Low-Wage Workers Work
The Geography of Low-Wage Work
SECTION 9
Section 9 • Where Low-Wage Workers Work page 41
The Geography ofLow-Wage Work
California’s low-wage workers are concentrated in Southern California, with 51 percent working in that region. By contrast, the San Joaquin Valley region has the highest rate of low-wage work (44 percent of its workforce). For more geographic breakdowns, see the Interactive Maps.
Where California’s Low-Wage Workers Work, 2012–2013
Source: Authors’ analysis of American Community Survey IPUMS, 2012 and 2013, 1-year samples. Economic Region definitions are taken from the California Economic Strategy Panel, formerly a part of the California Employment Development Department. The analysis follows the EDD region definitions, with two exceptions due to data limitations. Trinity County is included in the Northern Sacramento Valley region, and San Benito County is a part of the Central Coast region.
Economic Regions
Percent of CA’sLow-Wage Workers
in the Region
Percent of CA’sEntire Workforce
in the Region
Percent of the Region’s Workers
that Earn Low Wages
Southern CaliforniaBay AreaSan Joaquin ValleySouthern BorderGreater SacramentoCentral CoastNorthern Sacramento ValleyNorthern CaliforniaCentral Sierra
511611954110
48239963110
372544333240414036
UC Berkeley Center for LaborResearch and EducationFounded in 1964, the Center for Labor Research and Education (Labor Center) at the University of California, Berkeley, works on the most pressing economic challenges affecting working families in California and communities across the country. The Labor Center provides timely, policy-relevant research on labor and employment issues for policy makers and stakeholders, and conducts trainings for a new, diverse generation of worker leaders.
Institute for Research on Labor and EmploymentUniversity of California, Berkeley
2521 Channing WayBerkeley, CA 94720-5555
(510) 642-0323laborcenter.berkeley.edu
“Low-Wage Work in California: 2014 Chartbook” is the first edition of an ongoing resource with a wide range of information about low-wage workers, their families, and their jobs. The chartbook will be updated annually as new U.S. Census Bureau data becomes available.
“Low-Wage Work in California: 2014 Chartbook” was researched and written by:
Annette Bernhardt, Senior Researcher at the UC Berkeley Center for Labor Research and Education, and Visiting Professor at the UC Berkeley Sociology Department
Ian Perry, Research and Data Analyst at the UC Berkeley Center for Labor Research and Education
Lindsay Cattell, Researcher at the UC Berkeley Goldman School of Public Policy