Appraisal of network connectivity between North Sea oil ... · Project Overview (1) Analysis of...
Transcript of Appraisal of network connectivity between North Sea oil ... · Project Overview (1) Analysis of...
ANChor:AppraisalofnetworkconnectivitybetweenNorthSea
oilandgasplatforms
DavidCorne,JoeFerris,AlanFox,Lea-AnneHenry,ClaudiaMayorga-Adame,ChrisMcCabe,Faron McClellan,JeffPolton,J.MurrayRoberts
SchoolofGeoSciences,UniversityofEdinburgh,Edinburgh,UK
NationalOceanographyCentre,Liverpool,UK
BMTCordah,Broadfold House,BridgeofDon,Aberdeen,UK
Heriot-WattUniversity,Edinburgh,UK
HighLevelAmbitions
ANChor is part of a suite of INSITE projects thatappraise whether structures can anchor (connect)species, populations and North Sea ecosystems
Rationale behind environmental management decisionsmust be rigorously tested
Can INSITE’s different approaches come to aconsensus about connectivity?
ProjectOverview
(1)Analysisofindustrymarinegrowthsurveys
(2)Biologicallyrealisticparticletracking
(3)Networkanalyses
(4)Decommissioningscenarios
ArcGIS geodatabase of marine growth from 66 North Sea platforms• depth range, peak abundance• agreements to share/publish data coming in place• focus on 5 common, native marine growth species
Spawning seasonDepth range on rigPre- & post competency Pelagic larval durationSwimming behaviours
softcoralstonycoral
(Lophelia)
bluemussel anemone
barnacle
Stony coral Soft coral Blue mussel Barnacle AnemonePre-competencyperiod (days)
32 10 20 10 15
Competencyperiod (days)
28 8 10 8 7
Planktonic larvalduration (days)
60 18 30 18 22
Spawning season Jan-Feb Dec-Jan Apr-Sep Mar-May Aug-Sep
References www.marlin.ac.uk/biotic; Larsson et al., 2014; Strömberg, 2016
www.marlin.ac.uk/biotic; Hartnoll, 1975
www.marlin.ac.uk/biotic; Sprung, 1984; Fuchs and DiBacco, 2011
www.marlin.ac.uk/biotic; Rainbow, 1984; DiBacco et al., 2011; Miller et al., 2013 compiled data from various sources; mostly observations from other species
www.marlin.ac.uk/biotic; Scott and Harrison, 2007 for the anemones Entacmaeaquadricolor and Heteractis crispa
Total # particlesreleased
61180 166376 408408 283374 218736
SCIENCEGAP:Relevantlarvalbiologystudies
Industry data and biological traits used to make simulations realistic
5 x Individual-Based Models (i.e., species-specific simulations)
Ocean circulation model: NEMO 3D ocean circulation model of the Atlantic Margin Model 1/60º,1.8 km horizontal resolution
Particle tracking model: LTRANS, a particle-tracking code that can include complex larval behaviours
Simulations run for the year 2010 (a conservative base-case)**for protected coral Lophelia, 2010-2012 to cover range of circulation patterns
MajorFindings
“Towhatextent,ifany,theman-madestructuresintheNorthSearepresentalargeinter-connectedhardsubstratesystem”
Man-madestructuresshowstrongpotentialtoformlargeinter-connectedsystems:
ANChormeasuredclustering,centrality,betweeness,in- &out-degree
• somespeciesmorethanothers
• someyearsmorethanothers
• somestructuresmoreimportantthanothers
MajorFindings
“Themagnitudeoftheeffectsofman-madestructurescomparedtothespatialandtemporalvariabilityoftheNorthSeaecosystem,consideredondifferenttimeandspacescales”
• Man-madestructureshavepotentialtocontributetonaturalecosystemsdownstream
• Platformecosystemsareevolvingtomimicthoseinthewild
MajorFindings- Connectivity
Stonycoral
Lophelia pertusaBluemussel
Mytilus edulisSoftcoral
Alcyonium digitatumAnemone
Metridium senileBarnacle
Chirona hameri
“Clusters”– groupsofhighlyconnectedstructures:
Lophelia hadfewest,Chirona hadthemost
MajorFindings- Connectivity
Softcoral
Alcyonium digitatumBarnacle
Chirona hameriStonycoral
Lophelia pertusaAnemone
Metridium senileBluemussel
Mytilus edulis
“Betweenness”– structuresthatactasbridgeslinkingclusters:
Importantforthesoftandhardcoralspecies
MajorFindings- Connectivity
SCIENCEGAP:Spawningseason&planktoniclarvaldurationwillvarywithclimatechange
MajorFindings- Connectivity
Softcoral
Alcyonium digitatumBarnacle
Chirona hameriStonycoral
Lophelia pertusaAnemone
Metridium senileBluemussel
Mytilus edulis
“Out-degree”– importanceofstructureasalarvalsource:
Generally,offshorestructuresweremoreimportantthanthoseclosertoland
MajorFindings- Connectivity
Lophelia remainsfairlywell-connectedascirculationpatternschanged(2010-2012),butconnectivity
waslowerin2010whenAtlanticinflowandwind-drivencurrentswouldhavebeenweaker
MajorFindings- Magnitude
Murchisonnowdecommissioned:
jacketfootingsremainat108m(derogationheight),sufficienttokeepsupplyinglarvaetotheAktivneset MPA
MajorFindings- Magnitude
ImagescredittoCNRI
Platformecosystemshaveevolvedtomimicthoseinthewild:
these are as biodiverse and morphologically similar asnatural coral ecosystems, & also host the same
characteristic coral-worm symbiosis
1st recordofcoral-worm(Lophelia-Eunice)symbiosisfromman-madestructures
©Solvin Zankl
Products
• Anonymisedmarinegrowthdata(agreementstoshareinprogress)• BespokespeciesconnectivitymapsofassetsforallINSITEFoundationPhasesponsors• ConnectivitydataforanyparticularoffshoreoilandgasstructureintheNorthSeae.g.,datacan
beusedforanyregulatory/permittingrequirementifdesiredorjusttoscopeoutconnectivity
ANChor’s NextSteps
• Consensusonclusters&importantstructuresforconnectivity• SCIENCEGAP:likeLophelia,doman-madestructurespotentiallysupportothericonicNorth
Seaspecies• SCIENCEGAP:Continuetoground-truthdata(collectionofsamplesforgenetics;ROV
inspectionsurveys)• Scenario-testimpactofstructureremovalunderOSPAR98/3onconnectivity
SCIENCEGAP1:
Relevantlarvalbiologystudies
SCIENCEGAP2:
Spawningseason&planktonic
larvaldurationwillvarywith
climatechangeSCIENCEGAP3:
ground-truthdata
SCIENCEGAP4:
othericonicNorth
Seaspecies
OriginalphotographcourtesyofLundinBritainLtd.Reproducedfrom“Cold-WaterCorals:TheBiologyandGeologyofDeep-SeaCoralHabitats”,byJ.M.Roberts,A.Wheeler,A.Freiwald,andS.Cairns,CambridgeUniversityPress,2009.
INSITESponsors
RichardHeard
INSITEISAB
EileenRogerson
OtherINSITEprojectteams
InstituteforMarineResearch,Bergen
Thankyou