APPLYING DATA SCIENCE TO BUSINESS AND INDUSTRYkomate/889500/2558... · 2015-08-29 · your...

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by K. AMPHAWAN APPLYING DATA SCIENCE TO BUSINESS AND INDUSTRY CHAPTER-3 1

Transcript of APPLYING DATA SCIENCE TO BUSINESS AND INDUSTRYkomate/889500/2558... · 2015-08-29 · your...

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by K. AMPHAWAN

APPLYING DATA SCIENCE TO BUSINESS AND INDUSTRY

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OUTLINE

• Seeing benefits of business-centric data science

• Knowing business intelligence from business-centric data science

• Finding expert to call when you want the job done right

• Seeing how a real-world business put data science to good use

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INCORPORATING DATA-DRIVEN INSIGHTS INTO BUSINESS PROCESS

• Modern business deluged with data—every line of business, every electronic system, every desktop computer, every laptop, every company-owned cellphone, and every employee is continually creating new business related data as a natural and organic output of their work.

• Data is structured or unstructured, some of it is big and some of it is small, fast or slow; maybe it’s tabular data, or video data, or spatial data, or data that no one has come up with a name for yet.

• Data are varieties and variations between the types of datasets produced.

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BUSINESS-CENTRICREFERS TO THE TECHNIQUES REQUIRED TO R E - E N G I N E E R C O R P O R A T E B U S I N E S S PROCESSES IN ORDER TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF NEW INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY.

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BENEFITING FROM BUSINESS-CENTRIC DATA SCIENCE

• Decrease financial risks • using time series anomaly detection methods

for real-time fraud detection — to decrease Card-Not-Present fraud and to decrease incidence of account takeovers

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• Increase the efficiencies of systems and processes

• a business systems optimization function that’s performed by both the business-centric data scientist and the business analyst—both use analytics to optimize business processes, structures, and systems, but their methods and data sources differ

• the end goal here should be to decrease needless resource expenditures and to increase return on investment for justified expenditures

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• Increase sales rates • employ a business-centric data scientist to help you

find the best ways to up-sell and cross-sell, increase customer loyalty, increase conversions in each layer of the funnel, and exact-target your advertising and discounts

• business-centric data scientist can look at all data related to the business and, from that, derive insights that supercharge these efforts

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IDENTIFYING TYPES OF ANALYTICS

• Descriptive analytics: This type of analytics answers the question, “What happened?” Descriptive analytics are based on historical and current data. A business analyst or a business-centric data scientist bases modern-day business intelligence on descriptive analytics

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• Diagnostic analytics: You use this type of analytics to find answers to the question, “why did this particular something happen?” or “what went wrong?” Diagnostic analytics are useful for deducing and inferring the success or failure of sub-components of any data-driven initiative.

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• Predictive analytics: Although this type of analytics is based on historical and current data, predictive analytics go one step further than descriptive analytics. Predictive analytics involve complex model-building and analysis in order to predict a future event or trend. In a business context, these analyses would be performed by the business-centric data scientist.

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• Prescriptive analytics: This type of analytics aims to optimize processes, structures, and systems through informed action that’s based on predictive analytics—essentially telling you what you should do based on an informed estimation of what will happen. Both business analysts and business-centric data scientists can generate prescriptive analytics, but their methods and data sources differ.

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IDENTIFYING COMMON CHALLENGES IN ANALYTICS

• Two challenges…

• organizations often have a very hard time finding new hires with specific skill sets that include analytics

• even skilled analysts often have difficulty communicating complex insights in a way that’s understandable to management decision makers

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• To overcome these challenges, the organization must…

• create and nurture(การให้การอบรม) a culture that values and accepts analytics products

• work to educate all levels of the organization, so that management has a basic concept of analytics and the success that can be achieved by implementing them

• Business-centric data scientists must have a very solid working knowledge about business in general and, in particular, a solid understanding of the business at hand.

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WRANGLING RAW DATA TO ACTIONABLE INSIGHTS

• Data wrangling—the processes and procedures used to clean and convert data from one format and structure to another so that the data is accurate and in the format analytics tools and scripts require for consumption

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PROCESSES AND PROCEDURES RELATED TO DATA WRANGLING

• Data extraction—identify what datasets are relevant to the problem at hand, and then extract sufficient quantities of the data that’s required to solve the problem.

• Data munging—cleaning the raw data extracted through data mining, then converting it into a format that allows for a more convenient consumption of the data.

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• Data governance—standards that are used as a quality control measure to ensure that manual and automated data sources conform to the data standards of the model at hand. Data governance standards must be applied so that the data is at the right granularity when it’s stored and made ready for use.

• Data architecture—If your data is isolated in separate, fixed repositories—those infamous data silos everybody complains about—then it’s available to only a few people within a particular line of business. Siloed data structures result in scenarios where a majority of an organization’s data is simply unavailable for use by the organization at large.

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TAKING ACTION ON BUSINESS INSIGHTS

• After wrangling raw data, we can take decisive actions based on those insights to increase business profit. Failure to take action on data-driven insights results in a complete and total loss of the resources that were spent deriving them, at no benefit whatsoever to the organization

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• To best prepare your organization to take action on insights derived from business data, make sure you have the following people and systems in place and ready to go:

• Right data, right time, right place : This part isn’t complicated: You just have to have the right data, collected and made available at the right places and the right times, when it’s needed the most.

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• Business-centric data scientists and business analysts : Have business-centric data scientists and business analysts in place and ready to tackle problems when they arise.

• Educated and enthusiastic management : Educate and encourage your organization’s leaders so that you have a management team that understands, values, and makes effective use of business insights gleaned from analytics.

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• Informed and enthusiastic organizational culture : If the culture of your organization reflects a naivety or lack of understanding about the value of data, begin fostering a corporate culture that values data insights and analytics. Consider using training, workshops, and events.

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• Written procedures with clearly designated chains of responsibility : Have documented processes in place and interwoven into your organization so that when the time comes, the organization is prepared to respond. New insights are generated all the time, but growth is achieved only through iterative adjustments and actions based on constantly evolving data insights. The organization needs to have clearly defined procedures ready to accommodate these changes as necessary.

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• Advancement in technology : Your enterprise absolutely must keep up-to-date with rapidly changing technological developments. The analytics space is changing fast — very fast! There are many ways to keep up. If you keep in-house experts, you can assign them the ongoing responsibility of monitoring industry advancements and then suggesting changes that are needed to keep your organization current. An alternative way to keep current is to purchase cloud-based Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) subscriptions and then rely on SaaS platform upgrades to keep you up to speed on the most innovative and cutting-edge technologies.

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DISTINGUISHING BUSINESS INTELLIGENCE AND DATA SCIENCE

• Business-centric data scientists and business analysts who do business intelligence are like cousins.

• They both use data to work towards the same business goal, but their approach, technology, and function differ by measurable degrees.

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DEFINING BUSINESS INTELLIGENCE

• The purpose of business intelligence is to convert raw data into business insights that business leaders and managers can use to make data-informed decisions.

• Business analysts use business intelligence tools to create decision-support products for business management decision making.

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• If you want to build decision-support dashboards, visualizations, or reports from complete medium-sized sets of structured business data, then you can use business intelligence tools and methods to help you.

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BUSINESS INTELLIGENCE (BI) IS COMPRISED OF …

• Mostly internal datasets : By internal, I mean business data and information that’s supplied by your organization’s own managers and stakeholders.

• Tools, technologies, and skillsets : Examples here would include online analytical processing, ETL (extracting, transforming, and loading data from one database into another), data warehousing, and information technology for business applications.

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LOOKING AT THE KINDS OF DATA USED IN BUSINESS INTELLIGENCE

• BI solutions are mostly built off of transactional data—data that’s generated during the course of a transaction event, like data generated during a sale, or during a money transfer between bank accounts.

• Transactional data is a natural byproduct of business activities that occur across an organization, and all sorts of inferences can be derived from it.

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• use BI to derive the following types of insights …

• Customer service data : Possibly answering the question, “what areas of business are causing the largest customer wait times?”

• Sales and marketing data : Possibly answering the question, “which marketing tactics are most effective and why?”

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• Operational data : Possibly answering the questions, “how efficiently is the help desk operating? Are there any immediate actions that must be taken to remedy a problem there?”

• Employee performance data : Possibly answering the questions, “which employees are the most productive? Which are the least?”

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SUMMARIZING THE MAIN DIFFERENCES BETWEEN BI AND

BUSINESS-CENTRIC DATA SCIENCE

• The purpose of both BI and business-centric data science is to convert raw data into actionable insights that managers and leaders can use for support when making business decisions.

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• BI and business-centric data science differ with respect to …

• BI can use forward-looking methods like forecasting—making simple inferences from historical or current data.

• extrapolates from the past and present to infer predictions about the future

• looks to present or past data for relevant information to help monitor business operations

• to aid managers in short to medium-term decision making.

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• business-centric data science—make new discoveries by using advanced mathematical or statistical methods to analyze and generate predictions from vast amounts of business data.

• predictive insights are generally relevant to the long-term future of the business.

• discover new paradigms and new ways of looking at the data to provide a new perspective on the organization, its operations, and its relations with customers, suppliers, and competitors.

• data scientist must know the business and its environment., must have business knowledge to determine how a discovery is relevant to a line of business or to the organization at large.

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SO, DIFFERENCES BETWEEN BI AND BUSINESS-CENTRIC DATA SCIENCE ARE …

• Data sources : BI uses only structured data from relational databases, whereas business-centric data science may use structured data and unstructured data, like that generated by machines or in social media conversations.

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• Outputs : BI products include reports, data tables, and decision-support dashboards, whereas business-centric data science products either involve dashboard analytics or another type of advanced data visualization, but rarely tabular data reports.

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• Technology : BI runs off of relational databases, data warehouses, OLAP, and ETL technologies, whereas business-centric data science often runs off of data from data-engineered systems that use Hadoop, MapReduce, or Massively Parallel Processing.

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• Expertise : BI relies heavily on IT and business technology expertise, whereas business-centric data science relies on expertise in statistics, math, programming, and business.

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EXPLORING DATA SCIENCE IN BUSINESS: A DATA-DRIVEN BUSINESS SUCCESS STORY

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• Southeast Telecommunications Company was losing many of its customers to customer churn—the customers were simply moving to other telecom service providers.

• it’s significantly more expensive to acquire new customers than it is to retain existing customers, Southeast’s management wanted to find a way to decrease their churn rates.

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PROBLEM SETTING

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• Southeast Telecommunications Company was losing many of its customers to customer churn—the customers were simply moving to other telecom service providers.

• it’s significantly more expensive to acquire new customers than it is to retain existing customers, Southeast’s management wanted to find a way to decrease their churn rates.

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TO SOLVE PROBLEM• collect business data that was relevant to customer

retention

• examine several years’ worth of Southeast’s customer data to develop a better understanding of customer behavior and why some people left after years of loyalty, while others continued to stay on. (customer datasets contain records for the number of times a customer had contacted Southeast’s help desk, the number of customer complaints, and the number of minutes and megabytes of data each customer used per month—demographic and personal data (credit score, age, and region, for example) that was contextually relevant to the evaluation)

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• By looking at this customer data, the company can discovered the following insights. Within the one-year time interval before switching service providers

• Eighty-four percent of customers who left Southeast had placed two or more calls into its help desk in the nine months before switching providers.

• Sixty percent of customers who switched showed drastic usage drops in the six months prior to switching.

• Forty-four percent of customers who switched had made at least one complaint to Southeast in the six months prior to switching. (The data showed significant overlap between these customers and those who had called into the help desk.)

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• From results, a logistic regression model is applied to the historical data in order to identify the customers who were most likely to churn—direct retention efforts at the customers that they were most likely to lose.

• These efforts helped Southeast improve its services by identifying sources of dissatisfaction; increase returns on investment by restricting retention efforts to only those customers at risk of churn (rather than all customers); and most importantly, decrease overall customer churn, thus preserving the profitability of the business at large.

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WRAPPING UP YOUR KNOWLEDGE!!!

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–Komate AMPHAWAN, komate(at)gmail.com

“Any feedback can help to improve quality of my teaching”

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