APPENDIX G SIMULATION RESULTS FOR MITIGATION … · the averages of the 2006 and 2007 rates until...
Transcript of APPENDIX G SIMULATION RESULTS FOR MITIGATION … · the averages of the 2006 and 2007 rates until...
APPENDIX G
SIMULATION RESULTS FOR MITIGATION ALTERNATIVES
APPENDIX G
SIMULATION RESULTS FOR MITIGATION ALTERNATIVES
Prepared for:
FREEPORT-MCMORAN SIERRITA INC.
6200 West Duval Mine Road Green Valley, Arizona 85614
Prepared by:
HYDRO GEO CHEM, INC. 51 West Wetmore Road, Suite 101
Tucson, Arizona 85705-1678 (520) 293-1500
October 22, 2008
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TABLE OF CONTENTS
1. INTRODUCTION .............................................................................................................. 1 2. EXPLANATION OF SIMULATION RESULTS .............................................................. 3
2.1 Sulfate Plume Extents Maps ................................................................................... 3 2.2 Water Level Change Maps...................................................................................... 3 2.3 Mitigation Pumping ................................................................................................ 4 2.4 Pumped Sulfate Concentrations.............................................................................. 5 2.5 Cumulative Sulfate Mass ........................................................................................ 5 2.6 Capture Zones ......................................................................................................... 6
3. REFERENCES ................................................................................................................... 9 4. USES AND LIMITATIONS ............................................................................................ 11
FIGURES
G.1 Alternative 1 Mitigation Pumping G.2 Alternative 2 Mitigation Pumping G.3 Alternative 3 Mitigation Pumping G.4 Alternative 4 Mitigation Pumping G.5 Alternative 5 Mitigation Pumping G.6 Comparison of Mitigation Pumping G.7 Comparison of Cumulative Mitigation Pumping G.8 Alternative 1 Pumped Sulfate Concentrations G.9 Alternative 2 Pumped Sulfate Concentrations G.10 Alternative 3 Pumped Sulfate Concentrations G.11 Alternative 4 Pumped Sulfate Concentrations G.12 Alternative 5 Pumped Sulfate Concentrations G.13 Alternative 1 Cumulative Sulfate Mass G.14 Alternative 2 Cumulative Sulfate Mass G.15 Alternative 3 Cumulative Sulfate Mass G.16 Alternative 4 Cumulative Sulfate Mass G.17 Alternative 5 Cumulative Sulfate Mass G.18 Comparison of Net Sulfate Mass Removal G.19 Alternative 1 Capture Zone, Starting in Year 2010 G.20 Alternative 1 Capture Zone, Starting in Year 2043 G.21 Alternative 2 Capture Zone, Starting in Year 2010 G.22 Alternative 2 Capture Zone, Starting in Year 2043 G.23 Alternative 3 Capture Zone, Starting in Year 2010 G.24 Alternative 3 Capture Zone, Starting in Year 2043 G.25 Alternative 4 Capture Zone, Starting in Year 2010 G.26 Alternative 4 Capture Zone, Starting in Year 2043 G.27 Alternative 5 Capture Zone, Starting in Year 2010 G.28 Alternative 5 Capture Zone, Starting in Year 2043
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1. INTRODUCTION
The response of the sulfate plume to the five mitigation alternatives was simulated using
the numerical model created for the Feasibility Study (FS). Details of model construction and
calibration are discussed in Appendix I of HGC (2007), and preparation of the model for
predictive simulations of the mitigation alternatives is discussed in Appendix E of this FS. This
appendix provides illustrations supplemental to the tables and figures of simulation results
presented in the main body of the FS that are useful in evaluating and comparing the mitigation
alternatives. These supplemental figures include the following:
• Mitigation pumping schedules for the five alternatives (Figures G.1 to G.5), and a comparison of total pumping rates and cumulative pumping volumes of the five alternatives (Figure G.6 and G.7)
• Sulfate concentrations (flow-weighted) in the water pumped by the mitigation wells for the five alternatives (Figures G.8 to G.12)
• Cumulative sulfate mass removed by mitigation pumping and added via the Sierrita Tailing Impoundment (Figures G.13 to G.17), and a comparison of net sulfate mass removal for the mitigation alternatives (Figure G.18)
• Hydraulic capture zones for the mitigation alternatives for simulations starting in the year 2010 and the year 2043 (Figures G.19 to G.28)
Explanations on the creation of these figures and the figures of the numerical model simulation
results contained in the main body of the FS are provided in the following section.
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2. EXPLANATION OF SIMULATION RESULTS
This section discusses the methods used to create the figures contained in the main text of
the FS and in this appendix.
2.1 Sulfate Plume Extents Maps
The maps showing the sulfate plume extents (Figures 10, 12, 14, 16, 18 and 19 of the FS)
were created by comparing, cell by cell, the model output of the sulfate concentrations in each of
the three model layers and displaying the maximum sulfate concentration. Model cells with a
saturated thickness less than 25 feet (7.5 meters) were not included in the model comparison.
The saturated thickness was computed as the difference between the groundwater elevation in a
model cell and the layer bottom elevation for that grid cell for cells where the groundwater level
was below the layer top elevation. For cells where the groundwater level was above the top
elevation, the saturated thickness was equal to the layer thickness. Displaying the sulfate plume
extents using the maximum concentrations in each of the three layers is expected to give a
conservative (i.e. maximum) estimate of the sulfate plume extents in relation to plume extents
estimated from water quality sampling of regional wells.
2.2 Water Level Change Maps
The water level change maps (Figures 20 through 24 of the FS) show the net affect of
mitigation pumping on groundwater levels. The net affect in this context refers to the difference
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between regional groundwater levels under mitigation pumping and regional groundwater levels
assuming no mitigation pumping, except for a continuation of the current pumping at the
Interceptor Well (IW) wellfield until the end of mine life assumed for the FFS. The water level
change maps were created by computing, cell by cell, the difference between the groundwater
elevations of a “reference case” simulation and the groundwater elevations of the simulation of
the mitigation alternative (i.e. negative water level changes indicate water level declines resulting
from mitigation activities relative to the reference case). The reference case simulation assumes
the same pumping, recharge, and boundary conditions as the mitigation alternative simulations
with the exceptions that the IW wellfield wells and the Canoa Ranch wells continue to pump at
the averages of the 2006 and 2007 rates until the assumed end of mine life in 2043, at which time
pumping in these wells ceases. The reference case simulations for Alternative 1, 2, and 3 assume
that drain down of the STI begins in the year 2043, and the reference case simulation for
Alternatives 4 and 5 assumes the start of drain down in the year 2016.
2.3 Mitigation Pumping
The figures showing the mitigation pumping rates for the five alternatives (Figure G.1 to
G.6) were created from the tables of pumping rate schedules included in the FS (Tables 3, 5, 7, 9,
and 11) and are reflective of the pumping rates used in the numerical model. Figure G.7 shows
the running total of groundwater volume pumped in the five alternatives.
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2.4 Pumped Sulfate Concentrations
The figures of pumped sulfate concentrations for the five alternatives (Figures G.8 to
G.12) show the flow-weighted average sulfate concentration being pumped in each series of
mitigation wells (e.g., Focused Feasibility Study [FFS] wells, Source Control [SC] wells, Plume
Stabilization [PS] wells, etc.). The flow-weighted average concentration means that the sulfate
contribution from each individual well is weighted by the pumping rate of that well. The
flow-weighted concentration represents the sulfate concentration that would result if effluent
from individual wells in each well series (FFS, SC, PS, etc.) were combined with effluent from
other wells in the same series. The sulfate concentrations in individual wells are also
flow-weighted according to the contribution of water from each model layer to the total pumping
rate in that well. Flow-weighted concentrations in individual wells were computed internally by
the modeling software; and flow-weighting the concentrations of well groups were computed
externally during post-processing of the simulation results.
2.5 Cumulative Sulfate Mass
The figures showing cumulative sulfate mass removed and added (Figures G.13 to G.18)
illustrate the running total of sulfate mass removed by the mitigation wells, the total sulfate mass
entering the model domain via the STI, and net sulfate mass removed by mitigation wells. The
sulfate mass removal rate in an individual well is the product of the well’s volumetric pumping
rate and the sulfate concentration in the pump effluent. The total sulfate mass removal rate is the
sum of the removal rate in all the individual mitigation pumping wells. Any incidental removal
of sulfate mass in wells other than mitigation wells was not considered in computing sulfate
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mass removal. Similarly, the sulfate mass addition rate is the product of the volumetric water
seepage rate in the STI and the sulfate concentration in the seepage water. The net sulfate mass
removal rate is the difference between the removal and addition rates. The removal, addition,
and net removal rates were converted to masses by multiplying the computed rate by the model
time step over which the rate was operative. The cumulative masses are the running totals of the
masses computed for each time step.
2.6 Capture Zones
The capture zone maps (Figures G.19 to G.28) outline the zone of hydraulic capture
induced by mitigation pumping. Groundwater within the zone of hydraulic capture will either be
removed or hydraulically isolated from the down gradient aquifer by pumping at the mitigation
wells. The hydraulic capture zones were determined by numerical model simulations that
tracked the flow paths of virtual water particles released at selected locations. The selected
release locations included a line (i.e., linear array) of particles at the outer edges of the STI, two
lines of particles at progressive down-gradient locations between the IW wellfield and the FFS
wells, a line of particles between FFS-1 and PS-4, and a line of particles between PS-4 and PS-2.
Two hydraulic capture zones are illustrated for each of the five alternatives. One shows the
results of simulations beginning in the year 2010, and one shows the results of simulations
beginning in the year 2043. These two years were chosen to begin the particle tracking
simulations because they begin the two critical periods for maintaining hydraulic capture. The
year 2010 is the assumed beginning of mitigation pumping and starts the period of the greatest
seepage from the STI. The year 2043 begins the assumed post-mine life period when mitigation
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pumping is reducing to the minimum needed to meet the mitigation objective. The ability of an
alternative to meet its mitigation objective was evaluated by the results of the particle tracking
simulations and also by long-term transport simulations that estimated the sulfate plume
migration under mitigation alternatives through the year 2110.
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3. REFERENCES
Hydro Geo Chem, Inc. 2007. Aquifer Characterization Report: Task 5 of Aquifer
Characterization Plan, Mitigation Order on Consent Docket No. P-50-06; Pima Country, Arizona. Prepared for Phelps Dodge Sierrita, Inc. December 28, 2007.
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4. USES AND LIMITATIONS
The opinions and recommendations presented in this report are based upon the scope of
services and information obtained through the performance of the services, as agreed upon by
HGC and the party for whom this report was originally prepared. Results of any investigations,
tests, or findings presented in this report apply solely to conditions existing at the time HGC’s
investigative work was performed and are inherently based on and limited to the available data
and the extent of the investigation activities. No representation, warranty, or guarantee, express
or implied, is intended or given. HGC makes no representation as to the accuracy or
completeness of any information provided by other parties not under contract to HGC to the
extent that HGC relied upon that information. This report is expressly for the sole and exclusive
use of the party for whom this report was originally prepared and for the particular purpose that
it was intended. Reuse of this report, or any portion thereof, for other than its intended purpose,
or if modified, or if used by third parties, shall be at the sole risk of the user.
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FIGURES
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IW-14
IW-15
IW-16
IW-17IW-18IW-19
IW-2
IW-20
IW-21
IW-23
IW-24
IW-3A
IW-4
IW-6A
IW-8
IW-9
PS-4
PS-3PS-2
PS-1
SC-4
SC-3
SC-2
SC-1
FFS-6
FFS-5
FFS-4
FFS-3
FFS-2
FFS-1
IW-22
IW-5
Legend
Proposed Focused Feasibility Study Well
Proposed Source Control Well
D Proposed Plume Stabilization Well
!( Interceptor Well
Particle Tracks
State Land Boundary
ALTERNATIVE 2 CAPTURE ZONESTARTING IN YEAR 2043
78310203G10/02/08NWH G.2210/02/08RAM
PROJECTION: UTM Zone 12N NAD83 $0 2,500 5,000 Feet
Approved Date Author Date File Name Figure
HYDROGEOCHEM, INC.
!(!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
IW-1
IW-10
IW-11
IW-12
IW-13
IW-14
IW-15
IW-16
IW-17IW-18IW-19
IW-2
IW-20
IW-21
IW-23
IW-24
IW-3A
IW-4
IW-6A
IW-8
IW-9
MC-2
MC-1
PS-4
PS-3PS-2
PS-1
SC-4
SC-3
SC-2
SC-1
FFS-6
FFS-5
FFS-4
FFS-3
FFS-2
FFS-1
IW-22
IW-5
Legend
Proposed Focused Feasibility Study Well
Proposed Source Control Well
D Proposed Plume Stabilization Well
Proposed Mass Capture Well
!( Interceptor Well
Particle Tracks
State Land Boundary
ALTERNATIVE 3 CAPTURE ZONESTARTING IN YEAR 2010
78310204G10/02/08NWH G.2310/02/08RAM
PROJECTION: UTM Zone 12N NAD83 $0 2,500 5,000 Feet
Approved Date Author Date File Name Figure
HYDROGEOCHEM, INC.
!(!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
IW-1
IW-10
IW-11
IW-12
IW-13
IW-14
IW-15
IW-16
IW-17IW-18IW-19
IW-2
IW-20
IW-21
IW-23
IW-24
IW-3A
IW-4
IW-6A
IW-8
IW-9
MC-2
MC-1
PS-4
PS-3PS-2
PS-1
SC-4
SC-3
SC-2
SC-1
FFS-6
FFS-5
FFS-4
FFS-3
FFS-2
FFS-1
IW-22
IW-5
Legend
Proposed Focused Feasibility Study Well
Proposed Source Control Well
D Proposed Plume Stabilization Well
Proposed Mass Capture Well
!( Interceptor Well
Particle Tracks
State Land Boundary
ALTERNATIVE 3 CAPTURE ZONESTARTING IN YEAR 2043
78310205G10/02/08NWH G.2410/02/08RAM
PROJECTION: UTM Zone 12N NAD83 $0 2,500 5,000 Feet
Approved Date Author Date File Name Figure
HYDROGEOCHEM, INC.
DD D
D
!(!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
PS-4
PS-3PS-2
PS-1
SC-4
SC-3
SC-2
SC-1
FFS-6
FFS-5
FFS-4
FFS-3
FFS-2
FFS-1
IW-1
IW-10
IW-11
IW-12
IW-13
IW-14
IW-15
IW-16
IW-17IW-18IW-19
IW-2
IW-20
IW-21
IW-23
IW-24
IW-3A
IW-4
IW-6A
IW-8
IW-9
IW-22
IW-5
Legend
Proposed Focused Feasibility Study Well
Proposed Source Control Well
D Proposed Plume Stabilization Well
!( Interceptor Well
Particle Tracks
State Land Boundary
ALTERNATIVE 4 CAPTURE ZONESTARTING IN YEAR 2010
78310206G10/02/08NWH G.2510/02/08RAM
PROJECTION: UTM Zone 12N NAD83 $0 2,500 5,000 Feet
Approved Date Author Date File Name Figure
HYDROGEOCHEM, INC.
!(!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
DD D
D
IW-1
IW-10
IW-11
IW-12
IW-13
IW-14
IW-15
IW-16
IW-17IW-18IW-19
IW-2
IW-20
IW-21
IW-23
IW-24
IW-3A
IW-4
IW-6A
IW-8
IW-9
PS-4
PS-3PS-2
PS-1
SC-4
SC-3
SC-2
SC-1
FFS-6
FFS-5
FFS-4
FFS-3
FFS-2
FFS-1
IW-22
IW-5
Legend
Proposed Focused Feasibility Study Well
Proposed Source Control Well
D Proposed Plume Stabilization Well
!( Interceptor Well
Particle Tracks
State Land Boundary
ALTERNATIVE 4 CAPTURE ZONESTARTING IN YEAR 2043
78310207G10/02/08NWH G.2610/02/08RAM
PROJECTION: UTM Zone 12N NAD83 $0 2,500 5,000 Feet
Approved Date Author Date File Name Figure
HYDROGEOCHEM, INC.
!(!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
IW-1
IW-10
IW-11
IW-12
IW-13
IW-14
IW-15
IW-16
IW-17IW-18IW-19
IW-2
IW-20
IW-21
IW-23
IW-24
IW-3A
IW-4
IW-6A
IW-8
IW-9
MC-2
MC-1
PS-4
PS-3PS-2
PS-1
SC-4
SC-3
SC-2
SC-1
FFS-6
FFS-5
FFS-4
FFS-3
FFS-2
FFS-1
IW-22
IW-5
Legend
Proposed Focused Feasibility Study Well
Proposed Source Control Well
D Proposed Plume Stabilization Well
Proposed Mass Capture Well
! Interceptor Well
Particle Tracks
State Land Boundary
ALTERNATIVE 5 CAPTURE ZONESTARTING IN YEAR 2010
78310208G10/02/08NWH G.2710/02/08RAM
PROJECTION: UTM Zone 12N NAD83 $0 2,500 5,000 Feet
Approved Date Author Date File Name Figure
HYDROGEOCHEM, INC.
!(!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
!(
IW-1
IW-10
IW-11
IW-12
IW-13
IW-14
IW-15
IW-16
IW-17IW-18IW-19
IW-2
IW-20
IW-21
IW-23
IW-24
IW-3A
IW-4
IW-6A
IW-8
IW-9
MC-2
MC-1
PS-4
PS-3PS-2
PS-1
SC-4
SC-3
SC-2
SC-1
FFS-6
FFS-5
FFS-4
FFS-3
FFS-2
FFS-1
IW-22
IW-5
Legend
Proposed Focused Feasibility Study Well
Proposed Source Control Well
D Proposed Plume Stabilization Well
Proposed Mass Capture Well
!( Interceptor Well
Particle Tracks
State Land Boundary
ALTERNATIVE 5 CAPTURE ZONESTARTING IN YEAR 2043
78310209G10/02/08NWH G.2810/02/08RAM
PROJECTION: UTM Zone 12N NAD83 $0 2,500 5,000 Feet