A.P. Eagers For personal use only - ASX2015/08/28 · Australian New Vehicle Sales - June YTD 2015...
Transcript of A.P. Eagers For personal use only - ASX2015/08/28 · Australian New Vehicle Sales - June YTD 2015...
© 2015 AP Eagers Limited. All Rights Reserved.
Friday, August 28, 2015
A.P. Eagers
2015 First Half Results
August 2015
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2015 Half Year Highlights
• Record PBT $59.5m up 29.5%
• Record NPAT $44.1m up 32.2%
• Record Basic EPS 24.5 cents up 31.0%
• Record Full Franked interim dividend of 12.0 cents up 33%
• Strong results from core Car Retailing segment
• Strong results from car retail acquisitions
• Property Portfolio Strategy execution will enhance returns
• Strong balance sheet with stable debt and gearing levels.
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Australian New Vehicle Sales - June YTD 2015
578,427 (2014:559,950)
Up 3.3%
• June YTD up 3.3%
• Correct balance between supply and
demand.
• Retail industry evolving following GFC,
manufacturing exits, and retailer
consolidation :- creating some risks and
many opportunities.
• Generational change creating an increased
number of Dealerships for sale.
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Affordability
CommSec Report
16 March 2015
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Exchange Rate Impact
• 80% of cars sold in Australia are imported from Japan, Thailand, Korea and EU
Countries.
• Manufacturers have long planning horizons and diversified exposures;
- Product and production planning based on 3-7 year cycles.
- Most manufacturers pursuing global common vehicle platform strategies.
- Generally large product runs based on supply of a common product to multiple markets.
• Manufacturer distribution margins can wear some of the adjustment.
• Product specification can and does adjust to maintain price point.
• Australian market relatively accessible and marketing is cost effective, but highly
competitive.
• Vehicle prices remain consistent with recent years.
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Exchange Rates
29%
22% 17%
12%
8%
5% 7%
YTD New vehicle Sales (VFACTS) - 578,427 Country of Origin
Japan
Thailand
EU Countries
Korea
Australia
USA
Other
0
500
1,000
1,500
Jun
-10
Sep
-10
De
c-1
0
Mar
-11
Jun
-11
Sep
-11
De
c-1
1
Mar
-12
Jun
-12
Sep
-12
De
c-1
2
Mar
-13
Jun
-13
Sep
-13
De
c-1
3
Mar
-14
Jun
-14
Sep
-14
De
c-1
4
Mar
-15
Jun
-15
AUD/KRW Monthly 5 Years
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Jun
-10
Oct
-10
Feb
-11
Jun
-11
Oct
-11
Feb
-12
Jun
-12
Oct
-12
Feb
-13
Jun
-13
Oct
-13
Feb
-14
Jun
-14
Oct
-14
Feb
-15
Jun
-15
AUD/JPY Monthly 5 Years
Sep 13 to Feb 14 Avg = 0.92
0.0
0.5
1.0 AUD/EUR Monthly 5 Years
0
10
20
30
40AUD/THB Monthly 5 Years
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Affordability
0.00
1.00
2.00
3.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
%
90 Day Bank Bill Rate
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2015 Full Year Highlights - Financial
• Record statutory basic EPS of 24.5 cents an increase of 31%.
• Fully franked interim dividend of 12 cents up 33%.
• EBITDA increased to $77.5m up 24%.
• Record statutory PBT increased by 29.5% to $59.5m
• Cash flow from operations of $50.0m.
• Financial strength and flexibility increased - EBITDA/Interest Cover 6.8 times (HY15)
- EBITDA/Interest Cover 6.2 times (2014)
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Financial Summary
$ Million 1H 2015
1H 2014 Change
Revenue 1639.5 1375.8 Up 19%
EBITDA 77.5 62.7 Up 24%
EBIT 70.9 56.9 Up 25%
PBT 59.5 46.0 Up 29%
PAT 44.1 33.3 Up 32%
Cash from operating
activities 50.0 42.8 Up 17%
NTA/share 2.61 2.38 Up 10%
Net gearing excluding
bailment debt 23.2% 25.8% Down 10%
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Balance Sheet - Summary
• New vehicle inventory and receivables
funded by bailment debt.
• Parts and most used vehicle inventory
is balance sheet funded.
• Available for sale investments of
$256.2 million.
• Substantial property portfolio
underwrites the company’s financial
position.
30/06/15
$m
CA-CL (excl. held for sale) 101.4
Freehold Property (incl. held for sale) 272.4
Other Non Current Tangible
Assets
329.1
Intangible Assets 165.7
Non Current Debt (224.0)
Other N/C Liabilities (Deferred tax,
and provisions)
(10.9)
Net Assets 633.6
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Earnings Per Share
18.7
24.5
5.1
0.6 0.4 (0.3)
15.0
17.0
19.0
21.0
23.0
25.0
27.0
1H
20
14
Op
erat
ion
alR
esu
lt
AH
GIn
vest
men
t(n
et o
fin
tere
st)
MTA
I,O
ther
Inco
me,
Inte
rest
Exp
.
Dilu
tio
n
IH20
15
C
e
n
t
s
p
e
r
S
h
a
r
e
EPS 1H2015 Bridge
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Financial Trends – PBT Underlying
-
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
20081H
20082H
20091H
20092H
20101H
20102H
20111H
20112H
20121H
20122H
20131H
20132H
20141H
20142H
20151H
32.8
28.3
40.6
35.6 36.4 38.2
44.2
52.1 54.2
59.0 57.8 61.1 61.9
70.1
76.3
16.6
9.6
25.2 24.9 23.5 23.3
27.9
33.8 37.2
41.2 42.0 45.3 46.1
60.1 58.5
$ m
illio
n
Operating Earnings PBT Underlying
Operating Earnings is EBITDA Underlying excluding profit/loss on sale of assets and from associates. It includes AHG dividend. PBT Underling excludes business acquisition costs, GST tax refunds, and fair value adjustments relating to freehold property assets, investments and intangible assets.
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Financial Trends
3.4%
3.9%
3.6%
4.6%
4.1%4.0%
4.3%
4.4%
4.6% 4.7%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
4.0%
4.5%
5.0%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 1H2015
Operating Margin
Operating Earnings Margin %
Linear (Operating Earnings Margin %)
Includes AHG dividend from 2012.
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Financial Trends
8.1
11.0 10.612.5
16.318.2 18.7
24.5
1.7
13.4
10.4
13.0
17.7
18.2
24.3
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
40.0
45.0
50.0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 1H2015
Ce
nts
EPS Statutory (Basic)
June 1H December 2H
GFC/Lehman Bros
Gov't stimulus
GFC/Lehman Bros
Gov't stimulusGov't stimulus
9.8
24.425.5
21.0
34.0
36.4
43.0
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Financial Trends
2.4 2.6 2.8 3.0 3.4 3.6 3.8 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.6 5.6 7.0 8.0 9.0
12.0
2.4 3.0 3.4 3.6 3.8 4.0 4.8
7.2 4.4
8.0 8.2
10.4
13.0
15.0
18.0
-
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 1H2015
Cen
ts p
er s
har
e
Dividend
Interim Dividend Final Dividend
8.8
16.0
12.8 12.4
20.0
23.0
7.2 7.6
8.6
11.6
4.8 5.6
6.2 6.6
27.0
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Segment Results
31.1
3.4
7.5
-4.6
7.8
0.8
46.0
47.7
0.8
7.6
18.9
-14.4
-1.0
59.5
-20.0 0.0 20.0 40.0 60.0 80.0
Car Retailing
Truck Retailing
Property
Investment and All Other
Eliminations*
Unallocated Corporate
Net Profit Before Tax
$m
1H2014
1H2015
Eliminations include inter-segment transactions and asset fair value adjustments
Car retailing
• Strong car retailing in Qld & NSW with positive
contributions from acquisitions. Strong trading
in parts and service businesses.
Truck retailing
• Challenging new and used heavy truck trading
conditions.
Property
• Steady income and lower interest costs.
Substantial property portfolio underwrites the
company’s financial position.
Investment
• Dividend income and further unrealised gains
on revaluation of investments.
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Strategy (FOCUS: GROW EPS & PAY LARGER DIVIDENDS)
Growth by selective acquisition
Development of enhancements and
complimentary services
Business Optimisation – continuous improvement in processes and systems..
Exceed stakeholder expectations
– customers, employees,
partners (manufacturers),
shareholders and community.
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Strategy (FOCUS: GROW EPS & PAY LARGER DIVIDENDS)
Business Optimisation – Short Term 1H
• Replacement and repair opportunities continue from 60,000 hail damaged vehicles in SEQ.
• Strong benefits from Ian Boettcher Motors acquisition and integration.
• Strong Management performance and Vehicle Sales lift NSW
Business Optimisation – Short Term 2H
• Strong benefits from Ian Boettcher Motors continues
• Benefits from Blacks acquisition coming through
• Continual strong performance in NSW car retailing
Business Optimisation – Medium Term
• Benefits from Parts relocation to Eagle Farm
• Fortitude Valley Land Rover / Jaguar and Volvo relocation to Newstead by end 2016
• Complete “held for sale” property process, exit locations and collect and reinvest cash.
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Previous Parts Warehouse
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New Parts Facility
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New Parts Facility
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New Parts Facility
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New Parts Facility
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New Volkswagen
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Austral Volkswagen, Newstead
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New & Existing Volkswagen
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Existing Land Rover, Jaguar & Volvo
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Existing Land Rover, Jaguar & Volvo
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Jaguar Land Rover, Newstead
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Benefit from Property Sales
• Financial strength and flexibilty with surplus cash to fund growth via quality acquisitions
• Delayed property settlement proceeds will deliver significant free cash over next 2
years
2016 2017
Stage 1 - 44 Ipswich Rd/ 33 Jurgens Street, Woolloongabba, QLD
Stage 1 – 99 Breakfast Creek Road, Newstead, QLD
80 McLachlan Street, Fortitude Valley, QLD
$22.0m
Stage 2 - 44 Ipswich Rd/ 33 Jurgens Street, Woolloongabba, QLD
Stage 1 – 79 Ipswich Road, Woolloongabba, QLD
$15.0m
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Strategy (FOCUS: GROW EPS & PAY LARGER DIVIDENDS)
Growth by selective acquisition
Development of enhancements and
complimentary services
Business Optimisation – continuous improvement in processes and systems..
Exceed stakeholder expectations
– customers, employees,
partners (manufacturers),
shareholders and community.
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Strategy (FOCUS: GROW EPS & PAY LARGER DIVIDENDS)
Development of Enhancement & Complimentary Services – Medium / Long Term
• MTAI Insurance (27 yrs. old, APE 21%) – Operating company sold to Suncorp (August 2014)
• www.carsguide.com.au (3.5 yrs. old, APE 7.5%)
• www.carzoos.com.au (3.5 yrs. old, APE 100%)
• Precision Automotive Technology [Paint & Fabric Protection, ERP and Window Tint] (2 yrs. old, APE 100%)
• New initiatives likely to be completed in 2015/2016
New Brand
Coming
Soon
New Brand
Coming
Soon
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Global Trends In Used Cars
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Used Car Market – 3 Major Global Trends
Stage 1 Disruption:
Big Box /
Fixed Price
Stage 2 Disruption:
Tech Fuelled Disruption
‘No Dealership’ Model
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The big are getting bigger!
Source: Carmax Investor Relations Presentation, May 2015
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And there is a new frontier of competition fuelled by
technology.
Fortune.com, July 20
2015
Techcrunch.com, May 27 2015
Wall Street Journal, May 31
2015
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At the heart of these trends is a serious mandate to
deliver compelling branded customer experiences.
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Link:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lgS7fT0S-NY
Link:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kwSHSVcfibQ
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Why used cars?
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APE Vehicle Sales 2014
33%
3%
9% 29%
23%
3%
A.P. Eagers Used Vehicle Sales Total 25,447 + 8.8% (Retail used 19380)
Retail Cars - Qld
Retail Cars - NT
Retail Cars - NSW
Retail Cars - SA
Auction - QLD
National Trucks
46%
6%
20%
23%
5%
A.P Eagers New Vehicle Sales Total 44,966 + 5.5% (4.0% of National Market)
Cars - Qld
Cars - NT
Cars - NSW
Cars - SA
National Trucks
2014 New Vehicles 1 : 0.43 Retail Used Vehicles (Excludes Auctions) 2005 New Vehicles 1 : 0.23 Retail Used Vehicles
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*1 RTA NSW Data. VFACTS NSW Share Assumption
More Used Car Sales leads to more New Car Sales
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Strategy (FOCUS: GROW EPS & PAY LARGER DIVIDENDS)
Growth by selective acquisition
Development of enhancements and
complimentary services
Business Optimisation – continuous improvement in processes and systems..
Exceed stakeholder
expectations –
customers, employees,
partners (manufacturers),
shareholders and
community.
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Growth Timeline – Revenue
-
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
2,500,000
3,000,000
3,500,000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 H12015
$
A
0
0
0
'
s
Acquisitions, Organic Growth and Disposals
Revenue
Northern Beaches
Land Rover JaguarMar 13
Main North and
Unley Nissan/Renault Sept 13
Hidden Valley Ford/
Subaru Jun 13
Eblen SubaruMar 11
Daimler Benz
Trucks Adelaide
Aug11
City PeugeotOct 11
Bill Buckle Audi April
11
Infiniti Centre
Brisbane Feb 212
AHGInitial
Strategic Investmen
tJuly 12
Eagers Mitsubishi
Reynella SubaruMay 14
KedronSubaruJuly 14
Ian Boettcher
MotorsJuly 14
Craig Black Group Oct14
Volvo Sunshine
CoastJuly 14
Caloundra City Autos
April 10
Adtrans Group Oct 10
Western Star
Trucks SydneyNov 10
Bill Buckle Auto
Group Mar 08
Kloster Motor GroupFeb 07
Surfers City
HoldenAug 07
Bayside Honda/Kia
Feb 06
Brisbane Motor
AuctionsMar 06
Austral Audi/
CitroenDec 06
Hidden Valley Ford/
Subaru Aug 06
Bayside Honda/Kia
Aug 09
Bridge Toyota May 05
HY 15
1H 2015
1H 2014
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Growth Timeline – PBT underlying
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 H12015
$
A
0
0
0
'
s
Acquisitions, Organic Growth and Disposals
PBT Underlying
Northern Beaches
Land Rover JaguarMar 13
Main North and
Unley Nissan/Renault Sept 13
Hidden Valley Ford/
Subaru Jun 13
Eblen SubaruMar 11
Daimler Benz
Trucks Adelaide
Aug11
City PeugeotOct 11
Bill Buckle Audi April
11
Infiniti Centre
Brisbane Feb 212
AHGInitial
Strategic Investmen
tJuly 12
Eagers Mitsubishi
Reynella SubaruMay 14
KedronSubaruJuly 14
Ian Boettcher
MotorsJuly 14
Craig Black Group Oct14
Volvo Sunshine
CoastJuly 14
Caloundra City Autos
April 10
Adtrans Group Oct 10
Western Star
Trucks SydneyNov 10
Bill Buckle Auto
Group Mar 08
Kloster Motor GroupFeb 07
Surfers City
HoldenAug 07
Bayside Honda/Kia
Feb 06
Brisbane Motor
AuctionsMar 06
Austral Audi/
CitroenDec 06
Hidden Valley Ford/
Subaru Aug 06
Bayside Honda/Kia
Aug 09
Bridge Toyota May 05
1H 2015
1H 2014
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AHG Investment
• 60,904,350 shares held @ 30/06/2015 19.9%
• AHG investment valued at $243m @ 3.99 (30/06/15)
• No change in shares invested in 2015
• AP Eagers average cost per share $3.05
• 2015 Fully Franked after tax dividends - March $5.48m (2014 $4.47m)
- Oct $7.92m (2014 $7.61m)
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The Next 12-24 Months
• Complete Land Rover, Jaguar and Volvo move from Fortitude Valley to Newstead
• Improve truck retailing division
• Continue Used Car expansion with AP Eagers existing franchised outlets
• Launch new stand alone Carzoos direct model
• Launch new branded products to support Carzoos direct model
More Used Car Sales leads to more New Car Sales
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Forward-Looking Statements
This document may contain forward-looking statements, forecasts and estimates made by
the Company (forward-looking statements), including the anticipated future performance of
the Company and the market in which it operates. These forward-looking statements are
based on certain key expectations and assumptions of known and unknown risks,
uncertainties and other factors, which are deemed reasonable when made but may or may
not prove correct. Actual events are difficult to predict and may depend upon factors that
are beyond the Company’s control. Therefore, actual results, may turn out to be materially
different from any future results, performance or achievements express or implied by such
forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements only speak as of the date of this
document and no representations are made as to the accuracy or fairness of such forward-
looking statements. The Company disclaims any obligation to update any forward-looking
statements, to reflect any change in the Company’s expectations with regard thereto, or
any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based.
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Appendix
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A.P. Eagers
COMPANY PROFILE
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AP Eagers Today (June 2015)
• 102 year old automotive retail group founded in 1913
• 58 years as a listed public company – dividend paid every year
• A.P. Eagers owns $272m of prime real estate
• Represents all 12 of the top 12 selling vehicle brands in Australia and
27 car brands in total along with 12 truck / bus brands
• 3,500 employees 110+ dealership locations in QLD, NT, NSW, VIC and SA
• 19.9% ownership of Automotive Holdings Group ($243m*)
• 7.5% ownership of www.carsguide.com.au ($2.25m)
*30/6/15
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Represents 12 of the top 12 selling volume car brands in Australia
AP Eagers Volume Car Brands
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Represents 8 of the top 9 selling luxury car brands in Australia
AP Eagers Luxury* Car Brands
* Luxury is defined as luxury vehicle selling more than 500 units annually (V Facts)
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© 2015 AP Eagers Limited. All Rights Reserved.
Friday, August 28, 2015
AP Eagers Truck and Bus Brands
Representing 12 truck and bus brands
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© 2015 AP Eagers Limited. All Rights Reserved.
Friday, August 28, 2015
Revenue by State / % of group Revenue (2015 Annual Estimate)
$1.82bn (44%)
$0.15bn (5%)
$0.66bn (22%)
$0.15 BN (6%)
$0.0bn $0.63bn (23%)
AP Eagers $3.4 billion revenue
$0.0 BN
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© 2015 AP Eagers Limited. All Rights Reserved.
Friday, August 28, 2015
Income Opportunity Franchised Dealership
NEW CAR SALES: + Accessories + Finance + Insurance + Car Care + Trade-In
USED CAR SALES: + Accessories + Finance + Insurance + Car Care + Trade-In
VEHICLE SERVICE: - Value add products i.e. Tyres, wheel alignments, batteries, wiper blades.
VEHICLE REPAIR: - Warranty (Manufacturer pays) and Non Warranty (Customer pays)
- Internal reconditioning of Used Cars
PARTS SALES: - Internal (Service, warranty repair, non-warranty repair, accessories)
- External (Retail – dealership direct to customer)
- External (Wholesale / Trade – large distribution centres deliver to customers)
- Hard parts (Panel) + Mechanical parts
TARGET BASED
INCENTIVES:
- Volume, Market Share, Franchise Standards, Customer Satisfaction
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