Aon 2018 Terrorism & Political Violence Map The Asian...

14
Aon 2018 Terrorism & Political Violence Map The Asian Perspective Aon Crisis Management, Asia

Transcript of Aon 2018 Terrorism & Political Violence Map The Asian...

Page 1: Aon 2018 Terrorism & Political Violence Map The Asian ...marim.org/...Terrorism-Political-Violence-Map-The-Asian-Perspective.… · Aon 2018 Terrorism & Political Violence Map –The

Aon 2018 Terrorism & Political Violence Map

– The Asian PerspectiveAon Crisis Management, Asia

Page 2: Aon 2018 Terrorism & Political Violence Map The Asian ...marim.org/...Terrorism-Political-Violence-Map-The-Asian-Perspective.… · Aon 2018 Terrorism & Political Violence Map –The

1Aon Risk Solutions | Proprietary & Confidential

2018 Aon Terrorism & Political Violence Risk Map

Page 3: Aon 2018 Terrorism & Political Violence Map The Asian ...marim.org/...Terrorism-Political-Violence-Map-The-Asian-Perspective.… · Aon 2018 Terrorism & Political Violence Map –The

2Aon Risk Solutions | Proprietary & Confidential

Asia Perspective

Page 4: Aon 2018 Terrorism & Political Violence Map The Asian ...marim.org/...Terrorism-Political-Violence-Map-The-Asian-Perspective.… · Aon 2018 Terrorism & Political Violence Map –The

3Aon Risk Solutions | Proprietary & Confidential

Asia Close Up

Page 5: Aon 2018 Terrorism & Political Violence Map The Asian ...marim.org/...Terrorism-Political-Violence-Map-The-Asian-Perspective.… · Aon 2018 Terrorism & Political Violence Map –The

4Aon Risk Solutions | Proprietary & Confidential

2018 Key Findings

• Overall political violence risk levels worldwide have increased for the third year in a

row. We have raised 14 country risk ratings and lowered only six.

• The likelihood of interstate conflict, even involving major powers, is at the highest point

since the end of the Cold War. This is due to growing geopolitical competition, and

weak leadership in international diplomacy.

• Transport was the business sector most targeted by terrorists followed by construction.

• The number of terrorist attacks in Western countries in 2017 was roughly double that of

2016. But the total number of casualties in both years was broadly the same, meaning

that the lethality of attacks has fallen.

- 2016, 96 attacks and 1,133 casualties

- 2017, 204 attacks and 1,092 casualties

• Terrorist bombings have become less lethal.

Page 6: Aon 2018 Terrorism & Political Violence Map The Asian ...marim.org/...Terrorism-Political-Violence-Map-The-Asian-Perspective.… · Aon 2018 Terrorism & Political Violence Map –The

5Aon Risk Solutions | Proprietary & Confidential

2018 Key Findings

• Transport was the business sector most targeted by terrorists followed by construction.

• Terrorism continues to evolve.

Middle East South Asia

Two Regions

most affected by

Terrorism:

Page 7: Aon 2018 Terrorism & Political Violence Map The Asian ...marim.org/...Terrorism-Political-Violence-Map-The-Asian-Perspective.… · Aon 2018 Terrorism & Political Violence Map –The

6Aon Risk Solutions | Proprietary & Confidential

Tri-Border Area*

*Left graphic taken from STRATFOR’s article “Southeast Asia's Treacherous Waters”. Right Graphic

- Map of the Indonesia-Malaysia-Philippines triborder, annotated by former JI commander Abu Tholut

Page 8: Aon 2018 Terrorism & Political Violence Map The Asian ...marim.org/...Terrorism-Political-Violence-Map-The-Asian-Perspective.… · Aon 2018 Terrorism & Political Violence Map –The

7Aon Risk Solutions | Proprietary & Confidential

Malaysia

Terrorist Incidents

Recorded between

01/01/08 and 02/05/18

= 34

Plots interdicted = 21

Peril Risk Rating

Terrorism

Political Violence

War

Civil Unrest

Kidnap for Ransom

Extortion

Crime

Wrongful Detention

Political Evacuation

Key

Negligible

Low

Medium

High

Severe

Page 9: Aon 2018 Terrorism & Political Violence Map The Asian ...marim.org/...Terrorism-Political-Violence-Map-The-Asian-Perspective.… · Aon 2018 Terrorism & Political Violence Map –The

8Aon Risk Solutions | Proprietary & Confidential

Solutions

Page 10: Aon 2018 Terrorism & Political Violence Map The Asian ...marim.org/...Terrorism-Political-Violence-Map-The-Asian-Perspective.… · Aon 2018 Terrorism & Political Violence Map –The

9Aon Risk Solutions | Proprietary & Confidential

What is the DNA of a Terrorism / Political Violence risk?

Geography?High risk western targets – Paris, Brussels, London, etc.

Emerging markets – Thailand, Philippines, Malaysia

Conflict zones – Middle East, Africa

Industry?

High risk - Hotels, Retail, Infrastructure, Government

Medium risk - Energy, Power Utilities, Telecoms

Low risk – Manufacturing

Ownership?

Western / US owned?

Political affiliation?

Other factors…

RISK Lenders’ Pressure

Corporate Governance

Balance Sheet

Protection

Risk Management

SecurityDuty of Care

Page 11: Aon 2018 Terrorism & Political Violence Map The Asian ...marim.org/...Terrorism-Political-Violence-Map-The-Asian-Perspective.… · Aon 2018 Terrorism & Political Violence Map –The

10Aon Risk Solutions | Proprietary & Confidential

Insurance options

Perils Aon-T1 Aon-T1-SRCCMD Aon-PV1 Aon-PV1-W

Terrorism and Sabotage

Riots, Strikes and Civil Commotions

Malicious Damage

Insurrection, Revolution and Rebellion

Mutiny and Coup d'Etat

Counter-Insurgency

War and Civil War

Page 12: Aon 2018 Terrorism & Political Violence Map The Asian ...marim.org/...Terrorism-Political-Violence-Map-The-Asian-Perspective.… · Aon 2018 Terrorism & Political Violence Map –The

11Aon Risk Solutions | Proprietary & Confidential

Aon Terrorism Innovation – Active Assailant

Page 13: Aon 2018 Terrorism & Political Violence Map The Asian ...marim.org/...Terrorism-Political-Violence-Map-The-Asian-Perspective.… · Aon 2018 Terrorism & Political Violence Map –The

12Aon Risk Solutions | Proprietary & Confidential

Aon Terrorism Innovation – Loss of Attraction

Page 14: Aon 2018 Terrorism & Political Violence Map The Asian ...marim.org/...Terrorism-Political-Violence-Map-The-Asian-Perspective.… · Aon 2018 Terrorism & Political Violence Map –The

13Aon Risk Solutions | Proprietary & Confidential

Julian Taylor

Head of Crisis Management, Asia

Specialty Broking

[email protected]

t: +65 8659 0386

Questions