“Thunderstorms & Tornadoes Part 2core.ecu.edu/geog/suh/Courses/weather2010su/Lecture20.pdf ·...
Transcript of “Thunderstorms & Tornadoes Part 2core.ecu.edu/geog/suh/Courses/weather2010su/Lecture20.pdf ·...
Tornadoes
Lightning
Thunder
A strong electrical field
occurs prior to lightning Cloud-to-cloud
lightning (80%)
Cloud-to-ground
lightning
Lecture #20
April 14, 2010, Wednesday
“Thunderstorms & Tornadoes”
Part 2
The word tornado is an altered form of the Spanish
word tronada, which means "thunderstorm." This in turn
was taken from the Latin tonare, meaning "to thunder". It
most likely reached its present form through a
combination of the Spanish tronada and tornar ("to
turn"); however, this may be a folk etymology.
A tornado is also commonly referred to as a twister,
and is also sometimes referred to by the old-fashioned
colloquial term cyclone.
The term "cyclone" is used as a synonym for "tornado"
in the often-aired 1939 film, The Wizard of Oz. The term
"twister" is also used in that film, along with being the
title of the 1996 film Twister.
A tornado in
Anadarko, OK,
is the thin tube
from the cloud
to the ground.
Its lower part
is surrounded
by a
translucent
dust cloud,
kicked up by
the tornado's
strong winds
at the surface.
In Glossary of Meteorology by the American Meteorological
Society (AMS), Tornado is defined as “A violently rotating
column of air, in contact with the ground, either pendant
from a cumuliform cloud or underneath a cumuliform cloud,
and often (but not always) visible as a funnel cloud”.
When tornadoes do occur without visible funnel cloud,
debris at the surface is usually the indication of an intense
circulation in contact with the ground.
"Tornado" refers to the vortex
of wind, not the condensation
cloud.
There is some disagreement over the definition of
"funnel cloud" and "condensation funnel". According to
the Glossary of Meteorology, a funnel cloud is any rotating
cloud pendant from a cumulus or cumulonimbus, and thus
including most tornadoes under this definition. Among
many meteorologists, a funnel cloud is strictly defined as
a rotating cloud which is not associated with strong winds
at the surface, and a "condensation funnel" is a broad
term for any rotating cloud below a cumuliform cloud.
Tornadoes often begin as funnel clouds with no
associated strong winds at the surface, but not all of these
evolve into a tornado. However, many tornadoes are
preceded by a funnel cloud. Most tornadoes produce
strong winds at the surface while the visible funnel is still
above the ground, so it is difficult to discern the difference
between a funnel cloud and a tornado from a distance.
Funnel Clouds Discontinuous
Funnel Clouds
Wall Clouds
Tornado
Tornadoes
But air sucked in
the vortex cools
and condense to
form cloud, and
can be darken by
debris sucked in
from the surface
"Tornado" refers
to the vortex of
wind, not the
condensation
cloud.
Types
Multiple vortex tornado: a type of tornado in which two or
more columns of spinning air rotate around a common
center. Multi-vortex structure can occur in almost any
circulation, but is very often observed in intense
tornadoes. These vortices often create small areas of
heavier damage along the main tornado path.
Satellite tornado: a term for a weaker tornado which
forms very near a large, strong tornado contained within
the same mesocyclone. It may appear to orbit the larger
tornado (hence the name), giving the appearance of one,
large multi-vortex tornado. However, a satellite tornado is
a distinct funnel, and is much smaller than the main
funnel.
Some most violent tornadoes have multiple suction
vortices that account for rather selective damage patterns
A multiple-vortex tornado outside of Dallas, Texas on April 2, 1957
Types
Waterspout: defined by the National Weather Service
simply as a tornado over water. However, researchers
typically distinguish "fair weather" waterspouts from
tornadic waterspouts.
Fair weather waterspouts: less severe but far more common. They
form at the bases of cumulus congestus cloud towers in tropical and
semitropical waters. They have relatively weak winds, smooth
laminar walls, and typically travel very slowly, if at all. They occur
most commonly in the Florida Keys and in the northern Adriatic Sea.
Tornadic waterspouts: more literally "tornadoes over water“, either
form over water like mesocyclonic tornadoes, or be a land tornado
crossing onto water. Since they form from severe thunderstorms and
can be far more intense, faster, and longer-lived than fair weather
waterspouts, they are considered far more dangerous.
Water spout
Types
Landspout: officially known as a dust-tube tornado by
NWS, and is defined as a tornado not associated with a
mesocyclone by AMS.
The name stems from their characterization as essentially a "fair
weather waterspout on land".
Waterspouts and landspouts share many defining characteristics,
including relative weakness, short lifespan, and a small, smooth
condensation funnel which often does not reach the ground.
Landspouts also create a distinctively laminar cloud of dust when
they make contact with the ground, due to their differing mechanics
from true mesoform tornadoes.
Though usually weaker than classic tornadoes, they still produce
strong winds and may cause serious damage.
Landspout
Shape & Size
Most appear as a narrow funnel with a small cloud of debris near the
ground. However, tornadoes can appear in many shapes and sizes.
Small, relatively weak landspouts may only be visible as a small swirl
of dust on the ground. Although the condensation funnel may not
extend all the way to the ground, if associated surface winds are
greater than 40 mph (64 km/h), the circulation is considered a
tornado.
Multiple-vortex tornadoes can appear as a family of swirls circling a
common center, or may be completely obscured by condensation,
dust, and debris, appearing to be a single funnel.
Tornadoes may also be obscured completely by rain or dust. These
tornadoes are especially dangerous, as even experienced
meteorologists might not spot them.
Stovepipe tornado
Wedge tornado
A tornado with a nearly
cylindrical profile and relative
low height is sometimes
referred to as a stovepipe
tornado.
Large single-vortex
tornadoes can look like large
wedges stuck into the
ground, and so are known as
wedge tornadoes or wedges.
The stovepipe classification
is also used for this type of
tornado, if it otherwise fits
that profile.
A wedge tornado, nearly a mile wide.
This tornado hit Binger, Oklahoma.
A wedge can be so wide that it appears to be a block of dark clouds, wider
than the distance from the cloud base to the ground. Even experienced
storm observers may not be able to tell the difference between a low-
hanging cloud and a wedge tornado from a distance.
A rope tornado in its
dissipating stage in
Tecumseh, OK
Tornadoes in the
dissipating stage can
resemble narrow
tubes or ropes, and
often curl or twist into
complex shapes.
These tornadoes are
said to be roping out,
or becoming a rope
tornado.
Shape & Size
On the local scale, the tornado is the most intense of all
atmospheric circulations due to its small size compared
to mid-latitude cyclones, tropical cyclones or hurricanes,
and much larger pressure gradients over smaller spatial
scale, 100mb drop in pressure to the center low over a
few hundred meters.
The tornado vortex usually rotates cyclonically
(counterclockwise in the northern hemisphere, clockwise
in the southern). On rare occasions (1%) anticyclonically.
There is an extremely wide range of tornado sizes, even
for typical tornadoes.
In the US, on average, tornadoes are around 500 feet (150
m) across, and stay on the ground for 5 miles (8 km).
Shape & Size
Weak tornadoes, or strong but dissipating tornadoes, can
be exceedingly narrow, sometimes only a few feet across.
A tornado was once reported to have a damage path only
7 feet (2 m) long.
On the other end of the spectrum, wedge tornadoes can
have a damage path a mile (1.6 km) wide or more. A
tornado that affected Hallam, Nebraska on May 22, 2004
was at one point 2.5 miles (4 km) wide at the ground.
In terms of path length, the Tri-State Tornado, which
affected parts of Missouri, Illinois, and Indiana on March
18, 1925, was officially on the ground continuously for
219 miles (352 km).
Shape & Size
Many tornadoes which appear to have path lengths of 100
miles (160 km) or longer are actually a family of tornadoes
which have formed in quick succession.
But there is no substantial evidence that this occurred in
the case of the Tri-State Tornado. Modern reanalysis of
the path suggests that the tornado began 15 miles (24
km) further west than previously thought.
The wind speeds in a tornado can be as low as 18 m s-1
(40 mph, 177 km/h) to over 135 m s-1 (300 mph, 480 km/h).
Wind speeds are sometimes estimated on the basis of
wind damage.
Appearance
Tornadoes can have a wide range of colors, depending on the
environment in which they form.
Those form in a dry environment can be nearly invisible, marked only
by swirling debris at the base of the funnel.
Condensation funnels which pick up little or no debris can be gray to
white.
While traveling over a body of water as a waterspout, they can turn
very white or even blue.
Funnels which move slowly, ingesting a lot of debris and dirt, are
usually darker, taking on the color of debris.
Tornadoes in the Great Plains can turn red because of the reddish tint
of the soil, and tornadoes in mountainous areas can travel over
snow-covered ground, turning brilliantly white.
Appearance
Lighting conditions are a major factor in the appearance of a tornado.
A tornado which is "back-lit" (viewed with the sun behind it) appears
very dark. The same tornado, viewed with the sun at the observer's
back, may appear gray or brilliant white.
Tornadoes which occur near the time of sunset can be many different
colors, appearing in hues of yellow, orange, and pink.
Dust kicked up by the winds of the parent thunderstorm, heavy rain
and hail, and the darkness of night are all factors which can reduce
the visibility of tornadoes. Tornadoes occurring in these conditions
are especially dangerous, since only weather radar observations, or
possibly the sound of an approaching tornado, serve as any warning
to those in the storm's path. Fortunately most significant tornadoes
form under the storm's rain-free base, or the area under the
thunderstorm's updraft, where there is little or no rain.
Appearance
Most tornadoes occur in the late afternoon, when the bright
sun can penetrate even the thickest clouds.
Night-time tornadoes are often illuminated by frequent
lightning.
There is mounting evidence, including Doppler On Wheels
(DOW) mobile radar images and eyewitness accounts, that
most tornadoes have a clear, calm center with extremely low
pressure, akin to the eye of tropical cyclones. This area would
be clear (possibly full of dust), have relatively light winds, and
be very dark, since the light would be blocked by swirling
debris on the outside of the tornado.
Lightning is said to be the source of illumination for those who
claim to have seen the interior of a tornado.
Supercell Tornado Development
Most violent tornadoes arise from supercells.
It begins with the development of a mesocyclone (~30 minutes before formation of actual tornado) a large rotation region (6 mile diameter) within the cloud interior forms due to vertical wind shear as winds shift typically from southerly at the surface to westerly aloft while speed increases with altitude.
Strong updrafts tilt the rotation region to a vertical position while the diameter decreases a spatial decrease comes an increase in speed (rotation intensify) as dictated by the conservation of angular momentum.
Can develop
in any
severe
weather:
Frontal
boundary,
Squall lines,
MCCs,
Supercell,
hurricane
Tornadoes
Strong
Updrafts
Mesocyclone forms from horizontal
vortex becoming vertical vortex
A tornado producing
supercell
The rotating air column penetrates cloud base forming a wall cloud.
From the wall cloud, a narrow rotating vortex emerges as the funnel
clouds with the characteristics and intensity of a tornado except
touching ground.
Doppler radar detects mesocyclone development leading to
increased warning times (~30 minutes).
Only about 1/2 of all mesocyclones actually spawn a tornado.
A Doppler radar image indicating the likely
presence of a tornado over DeLand, Florida. Green colors indicate areas
where the precipitation is
moving towards the radar
dish, while red areas are
moving away.
In this case the radar is in
the bottom right corner of
the image. Strong
mesocyclones show up as
adjacent areas of bright
green and bright red, and
usually indicate an
imminent or occurring
tornado.
When these bright colors
are one against the other
on a radar display when in
association with rotation, it
is called a Tornado vortex
signature (TVS).
Tornado Research
Doppler On Wheel (DOW)
Meteorology is a relatively young science and the study
of tornadoes even more so.
Although studied for about 140 years and intensively for
around 60 years, there are still aspects of tornadoes
which remain a mystery.
Scientists do have a fairly good idea of the development
of thunderstorms and mesocyclones, and the
meteorological conditions conducive to their formation.
However, the step from supercell (or other respective
formative processes) to tornadogenesis and predicting
tornadic vs. non-tornadic mesocyclones is not yet well
understood and is the focus of much research.
Tornado Research
Intensity Scale (Damage)
Tornadoes vary in intensity regardless of shape, size, and location.
Strong tornadoes are typically larger than weak tornadoes. The
association with track length and duration also varies, although longer
track tornadoes tend to be stronger. In the case of violent tornadoes,
only a small portion of the path is of violent intensity.
In the United States, 80% of tornadoes are EF0 and EF1. The rate of
occurrence drops off quickly with increasing strength—less than 1%
are violent tornadoes (EF4 or stronger).
Outside the United States, areas in south-central Asia, and perhaps
portions of southeastern South America and southern Africa, violent
tornadoes are extremely rare. This is apparently mostly due to the
lesser number of tornadoes overall, as research shows that tornado
intensity distributions are fairly similar worldwide. A few significant
tornadoes occur annually in Europe, Asia, southern Africa, and
southeastern South America, respectively.
The original scale as derived by
Fujita was a 13-level scale (F0-
F12) designed to smoothly
connect the Beaufort scale and
the Mach number scale. The gap
between F0 and F1 corresponds
to the 11th and 12th levels of the
Beaufort scale, "violent storm"
and "hurricane" respectively.
On the original scale, the wind
speeds for F11 and F12
corresponded to Mach numbers
0.9 and 1.0 respectively. This
provided a smooth relationship
among the three scales. From
these wind speed numbers,
qualitative descriptions of
damage were made for each
category of the Fujita scale, and
then these descriptions were
used to classify tornadoes.
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/efscale/
F0 F1
F2 F3
F4 F5
EF0 EF1
EF2 EF3
EF4 EF5
Although tornadoes have been observed on every continent except
Antarctica, most occur in the United States. They also commonly occur
in southern Canada, south-central and eastern Asia, east-central South
America, Southern Africa, northwestern and southeast Europe, western
and southeastern Australia, and New Zealand.
Global Distribution of Tornadoes
An American phenomenon: US world’s leader in tornado production,
four times more than estimated in all of Europe, not including waterspouts.
The average number of reported tornadoes in the US is ~ 1000/year, with
the majority of them on the central plains and in the SE states.
Climatology
Due to the unique geography of North America which is a
relatively large continent that extends from the tropical south
into arctic areas, and has no major east-west mountain range to
block air flow between these two areas.
In the middle latitudes, where most tornadoes of the world
occur, the Rocky Mountains block moisture and atmospheric
flow, allowing drier air at mid-levels of the troposphere, and
causing cyclogenesis downstream to the east of the mountains.
The desert Southwest also feeds drier air and the dryline
(potential instability) , while the Gulf of Mexico fuels abundant
low-level moisture.
This unique topography allows for many collisions of warm and
cold air, the conditions that breed strong, long-lived storms
many times a year.
Tornado alley (belt): A term often used by the media to denote a zone
in the Great Plains region of the central US, often a north-south
oriented region centered on north TX, OK, KS, NE, where tornadoes
are most frequent. However, statistics are variable on all time
scales, therefore, this term has little scientific value.
Florida: many embedded in passing hurricanes (e.g. waterspout).
Probability of Any Tornado:
The map shows the average number
of days per year any tornado, no
matter how strong or weak, might
occur within 25 miles of a point. The
highest numbers indicate where at
least one tornado might occur
somewhere within 25 miles as often as
on 1.5 days per year.
Significant Tornado (F2 or greater):
Now we're looking at days per
century. In other words, central
Oklahomans can expect an F2 or
greater tornado within 25 miles about
every 3 years.
Violent Tornado (F4 or greater):
Now the scale is days per millennium,
meaning that southcentral Oklahoma
may have a violent tornado within 25
miles about once every 20 years.
Annual Cycle:
Residents of Norman, OK experience
a distinct tornado season, beginning
late February and peaking late May.
Even though we are in the heart of
tornado alley and can expect one- to
one-and one-half tornado days per
year, our chances on any particular
day peak at only about two percent.
A recent NSSL study, using data from 1921 to
1995, estimated the daily climatological probability
of an F2 or greater tornado occurring near any
location in the U.S. For this work developing
highly accurate and accessible estimates of the
long-term threat from thunderstorms, winds, and
large hail as well as tornadoes, an NSSL scientist
was awarded a Department of Commerce Silver
Medal.
Tornado season: usually refers to the time of year where
the U.S. sees the most tornadoes. The peak “tornado
season” for the southern plains -- often referred to as
Tornado Alley -- is during May into early June. On the Gulf
coast, it is earlier during the spring. In the northern plains
and upper Midwest, tornado season is in June or July.
But, remember, tornadoes can happen at any time of year.
Tornadoes can also happen at any time of day, but most
tornadoes occur between 4-9 p.m.
Tornado Climatology: location & time
Cold fronts
Drylines
HurricanesNumber of tornadoes
per 10,000 square miles
54% of all tornados take place in spring when airmass contrast is
strongest thus, peak tornado season arrives later northward
Southeast in
March
Mid-atlantic
in April
Southern
plains in
May
Northern
plains in
June
Late spring
is the time
of greatest
overall
activity.
Tornado Climatology: location & time
March April May June July
Fatalities
Due to their small spatial scales and short lived, tornadoes kill relatively few people.
From 1950-1994, an average 91 people killed in 760 tornadoes reported in the US ~ 88% of all tornadoes kill no one assuming one tornado kills 1 person.
Most fatalities occur in a few large tornadoes.
About 2% of all tornadoes are responsible for over 2/3 of all deaths (~ 70% by F4 & F5, nearly 30% by F2 & F3).
Mostly in mobile homes, trucks & autos.
The safest place to be during a tornado is in a building basement.
Safety Rules
Indoor, basement.
Interior, lowest floor, cover with mattress or other cover to avoid injury by flying debris.
Mobile home? Evacuate, no nearby shelter, lie flat in low ground.
Driving truck or car? Driving at right angles to its path (southwest to northeast in general), or pull off the road, seek shelter, go to low ground away from the road.
Highway overpass not the safest place as a shelter, especially in urban areas with flying debris.
Safety
One of the most persistent myths associated with tornadoes is that opening windows will lessen the damage caused by the tornado. While there is a large drop in atmospheric pressure inside a strong tornado, it is unlikely that the pressure drop would be enough to cause the house to explode. Some research indicates that opening windows may actually increase the severity of the tornado's damage. Regardless of the validity of the explosion claim, time would be better spent seeking shelter before a tornado than opening windows. A violent tornado can destroy a house whether its windows are open or closed.
Another commonly held belief is that highway overpasses provide adequate shelter from tornadoes. On the contrary, a highway overpass is a dangerous place during a tornado. In the 1999 Oklahoma tornado outbreak of May 3, 1999, three highway overpasses were directly struck by tornadoes, and at all three locations there was a fatality, along with many life-threatening injuries. The small area under the overpasses created a kind of wind tunnel, increasing the wind's speed, making matters worse. By comparison, during the same tornado outbreak, more than 2000 homes were completely destroyed, with another 7000 damaged, and yet only a few dozen people died in their homes.
Safety
An old belief is that the southwest corner of a basement provides the most protection during a tornado. The safest place is the side or corner of an underground room opposite the tornado's direction of approach (usually the northeast corner), or the central-most room on the lowest floor. Taking shelter under a sturdy table, in a basement, or under a staircase increases chances of survival even more.
Finally, there are areas which people believe to be protected from tornadoes, whether by a major river, a hill or mountain, or even protected by supernatural forces. Tornadoes have been known to cross major rivers, climb mountains, and affect valleys. As a general rule, no area is "safe" from tornadoes, though some areas are more susceptible than others.
Prediction
The Storm Prediction Center (SPC), located in Norman, Oklahoma, is part of the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP), operating under the control of the National Weather Service (NWS), which in turn is part of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) of the United States Department of Commerce (DoC).
Until October 1995, the SPC was known as the National Severe Storms Forecast Center (NSSFC) and was located in Kansas City, Missouri.
From 1995 to 2006 it was housed in the same building as the National Severe Storms Laboratory, after which it moved to the National Weather Center.
It began in 1952 in Washington, D.C. as a special unit of forecasters in the Weather Bureau before moving to Kansas City in 1954; and with increased duties this unit became the NSSFC in 1966.
Watches and Warnings
A weather watch (severe thunderstorm, tornado) states that atmospheric conditions are favorable for the development of a particular severe weather event. Issued by SPC (Storm Prediction Center) of the US Weather Service in Norman, OK.
A warning states that severe weather is imminent and precautions should be taken immediately. Issued by local weather forecast offices.
Because tornadoes develop rapidly and are of short duration, many times a warning may be disseminated only after a tornado has touched down. However, warnings are still useful for in multiple events.
Salt Lake City Tornado, August 11, 1999. This tornado disproved
several myths, including the idea that tornadoes cannot occur in
areas like Utah.