ANZ OPPORTUNITY CHINA · 7 ANZ O PP O INTRODUCTION Why this one stands out • The ChAFT A has the...

39
ANZ OPPORTUNITY CHINA MARCH 2015 THE CHAFTA AND IMPLICATIONS FOR AUSTRALIAN BUSINESSES

Transcript of ANZ OPPORTUNITY CHINA · 7 ANZ O PP O INTRODUCTION Why this one stands out • The ChAFT A has the...

Page 1: ANZ OPPORTUNITY CHINA · 7 ANZ O PP O INTRODUCTION Why this one stands out • The ChAFT A has the potential to be transformational over time as: - China is A ustralia’s largest

ANZ OPPORTUNITY CHINA

MARCH 2015

THE CHAFTA AND IMPLICATIONS FOR AUSTRALIAN BUSINESSES

Page 2: ANZ OPPORTUNITY CHINA · 7 ANZ O PP O INTRODUCTION Why this one stands out • The ChAFT A has the potential to be transformational over time as: - China is A ustralia’s largest

33A

NZ

OP

PO

RT

UN

ITY

CH

INA

AN

Z O

PP

OR

TU

NIT

Y C

HIN

A

CO

NT

EN

TS

INTR

OD

UC

TIO

N

6

SEC

TIO

N 1

– C

HA

FTA

OV

ERV

IEW

8

Wh

at h

as b

ee

n a

nn

ou

nce

d a

nd

wh

y w

ill it

mak

e a

diff

ere

nce

SEC

TIO

N 2

– A

UST

RALI

AN

OPP

ORT

UN

ITIE

S FR

OM

TH

E CH

AFT

A

16

• A

lo

ok

at

wh

ich

in

du

stri

es

will

be

ne

fit

the

mo

st

• In

du

stry

sp

otl

igh

t:

- D

air

y

- W

ine

- B

ee

f

- H

ea

lth

- In

sura

nce

- s

tatu

tory

3rd

pa

rty

lia

bili

ty m

oto

r v

eh

icle

in

sura

nce

- F

un

ds

- R

MB

Qu

alifi

ed

Fo

reig

n In

stit

uti

on

al In

vest

or

pro

gra

m

RQ

FII

SEC

TIO

N 3

– W

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AU

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LIA

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BE

DO

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4

6

Ho

w t

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sid

era

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SEC

TIO

N 4

– N

AV

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ING

TH

E BA

NKI

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MA

RKET

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• C

urr

en

cy

• In

vest

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Ch

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app

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Page 3: ANZ OPPORTUNITY CHINA · 7 ANZ O PP O INTRODUCTION Why this one stands out • The ChAFT A has the potential to be transformational over time as: - China is A ustralia’s largest

No

ve

mb

er

20

14

ma

rke

d a

n h

isto

ric

da

y i

n

Au

stra

lia

-Ch

ina

re

lati

on

s w

ith

th

e s

ign

ing

of

a F

ree

Tra

de

Ag

ree

me

nt

(FTA

) th

at

is e

xpe

cte

d t

o

bo

ost

tra

de

an

d e

co

no

mic

gro

wth

in b

oth

co

un

trie

s.

For

Au

stra

lia

n b

usi

ne

sse

s th

e C

hin

a A

ust

rali

a F

ree

Tra

de

Ag

ree

me

nt

(Ch

AF

TA)

cre

ate

s si

gn

ific

an

t

op

po

rtu

nit

ies.

Ma

ny

se

cto

rs o

f A

ust

rali

a’s

do

me

stic

ec

on

om

y, i

n p

art

icu

lar

na

tura

l re

sou

rce

s,

ag

ric

ult

ure

an

d s

erv

ice

s w

ill

no

w h

av

e a

cc

ess

to n

ew

so

urc

es

of

fore

ign

in

ve

stm

en

t a

nd

th

e

co

nfi

de

nc

e t

o m

ak

e l

on

ge

r te

rm i

nv

est

me

nts

du

e t

o e

nh

an

ce

d e

xpo

rt o

pp

ort

un

itie

s.

In A

NZ

Op

po

rtu

nit

y C

hin

a: t

he

Ch

AF

TA a

nd

imp

lica

tio

ns

for

Au

stra

lia

n b

usi

nes

ses,

we

ou

tlin

e

the

im

po

rta

nc

e o

f th

is a

gre

em

en

t, k

ey

are

as

of

op

po

rtu

nit

y a

nd

ho

w t

o d

o b

usi

ne

ss i

n C

hin

a.

Ch

ina

re

ma

ins

on

e o

f th

e f

ast

est

gro

win

g c

ou

ntr

ies

in t

he

wo

rld

an

d i

t w

ill

co

nti

nu

e t

o s

hif

t to

wa

rds

a

co

nsu

mp

tio

n d

riv

en

an

d i

nc

rea

sin

gly

se

rvic

e s

ec

tor

led

gro

wth

mo

de

l. T

his

wil

l p

rov

ide

ma

ny

Au

stra

lia

n

bu

sin

ess

es

wit

h t

he

ch

an

ce

to

ev

olv

e a

nd

div

ers

ify.

No

w i

s th

e t

ime

fo

r b

usi

ne

sse

s to

ma

ke

th

ese

gro

wth

op

po

rtu

nit

ies

a r

ea

lity

.

FO

RE

WO

RD

BY

AN

DR

EW

CZ

Y

AN

Z O

PP

OR

TU

NIT

Y C

HIN

A5

CE

O I

NT

ER

NA

TIO

NA

L &

IN

ST

ITU

TIO

NA

L B

AN

KIN

G

Page 4: ANZ OPPORTUNITY CHINA · 7 ANZ O PP O INTRODUCTION Why this one stands out • The ChAFT A has the potential to be transformational over time as: - China is A ustralia’s largest

7A

NZ

OP

PO

RT

UN

ITY

CH

INA

INT

RO

DU

CT

ION

Why

this

one

sta

nds

out

• T

he

Ch

AF

TA h

as

the

po

ten

tia

l to

be

tra

nsf

orm

ati

on

al

ove

r ti

me

as:

-

Ch

ina

is A

ust

ralia

’s la

rge

st t

wo

-way

tra

din

g p

art

ne

r

(20

13

: AU

D1

50

bill

ion

; 23

% o

f A

ust

ralia

’s t

rad

e)

(Fig

ure

1)

-

Au

stra

lia r

ece

ive

s a

hig

h s

ha

re o

f C

hin

a’s

ou

tbo

un

d

inve

stm

en

t fl

ow

s (a

rou

nd

10

%, o

r U

SD

9-1

0 b

illio

n

for

the

pe

rio

d 2

01

1-

to 2

01

3)

-

80

0,0

00

Ch

ine

se v

isit

ors

no

w c

om

e t

o A

ust

ralia

an

nu

ally

, up

fro

m 2

80

,00

0 in

20

05

-

95

,00

0 C

hin

ese

stu

de

nts

are

en

rolle

d in

Au

stra

lia

(re

pre

sen

tin

g 2

5%

of

all

inte

rna

tio

na

l stu

de

nts

in A

ust

ralia

)

• T

he

Ch

AF

TA b

uild

s o

n t

he

tra

de

de

als

re

cen

tly

con

clu

de

d

wit

h J

ap

an

an

d K

ore

a, w

ith

th

e t

hre

e a

gre

em

en

ts c

ove

rin

g

aro

un

d t

wo

-fift

hs

of

Au

stra

lia’s

go

od

s e

xpo

rts.

• T

he

Ch

AF

TA in

clu

de

s a

bu

ilt-i

n m

ech

an

ism

to

allo

w f

or

furt

he

r tr

ad

e li

be

ralis

ati

on

be

twe

en

Ch

ina

an

d A

ust

ralia

an

d t

he

exp

an

sio

n o

f m

ark

et

acc

ess

ove

r ti

me

, in

clu

din

g

a fi

rst

rev

iew

me

cha

nis

m w

ith

in t

hre

e y

ea

rs.

• T

he

Ch

AF

TA p

rom

ote

s th

e s

ign

ifica

nt

rela

tio

nsh

ip t

ha

t

exi

sts

be

twe

en

Ch

ina

an

d A

ust

ralia

an

d it

pla

ys t

o t

he

ma

ny

stre

ng

ths

of

bo

th c

ou

ntr

ies.

Aus

tral

ian

bus

ines

ses

• C

ou

ple

d w

ith

oth

er

rece

nt

an

no

un

cem

en

ts, t

he

Ch

AF

TA

will

ma

ke it

ea

sie

r fo

r A

ust

ralia

n b

usi

ne

sse

s to

est

ab

lish

op

era

tio

ns

in C

hin

a.

• In

so

me

se

cto

rs A

ust

ralia

ha

s b

ee

n g

ran

ted

“be

st e

ver

acc

ess

,” m

ea

nin

g t

ha

t A

ust

ralia

n b

usi

ne

sse

s ca

n o

pe

rate

wh

olly

ow

ne

d s

ub

sid

iari

es

or

wit

h le

ss r

est

ric

tio

ns

rela

tive

to c

om

pa

nie

s fr

om

oth

er

cou

ntr

ies.

Th

is is

a c

riti

cal

ad

va

nta

ge

bu

t o

ne

th

at

is fi

nit

e a

nd

co

uld

ch

an

ge

at

an

y

tim

e, a

s C

hin

a is

hig

hly

like

ly t

o p

rov

ide

th

e s

am

e le

vel

of

acc

ess

to

oth

er

cou

ntr

ies.

Co

nse

qu

en

tly,

th

is p

rov

ide

s

a w

ind

ow

of

op

po

rtu

nit

y fo

r A

ust

ralia

n b

usi

ne

sse

s.

• U

nfo

rtu

na

tely

, on

ly 1

9%

of

bu

sin

ess

es

hav

e t

ake

n

ad

va

nta

ge

of

rece

nt

FTA

s b

ut

for

tho

se t

ha

t d

id,

75

% e

xpe

rie

nce

d e

xpo

rt g

row

th. (

sou

rce

: EIU

)

• To

su

cce

ssfu

lly c

ap

ita

lise

on

th

e C

hA

FTA

op

po

rtu

nit

y,

bu

sin

ess

es

sho

uld

be

aw

are

of

wh

at

the

ch

an

ge

s m

ea

n

for

the

ir in

du

stry

. Mo

re im

po

rta

ntl

y, b

usi

ne

sse

s sh

ou

ld

de

velo

p o

r e

xte

nd

re

lati

on

ship

s in

Ch

ina

, un

de

rsta

nd

Ch

ine

se b

usi

ne

ss a

nd

cu

ltu

ral c

ust

om

s a

nd

be

acr

oss

key

reg

ula

tio

ns

an

d fi

na

nci

al c

ha

rac

teri

stic

s w

he

n d

oin

g

bu

sin

ess

in o

r w

ith

Ch

ina

.

• Fr

om

a b

an

kin

g p

ers

pe

cti

ve, b

usi

ne

sse

s sh

ou

ld u

nd

ers

tan

d

the

gro

win

g im

po

rta

nce

of

RM

B a

s a

pay

me

nt

curr

en

cy,

ho

w t

o e

ffe

cti

vely

ma

na

ge

ris

k, li

qu

idit

y a

nd

th

e r

ep

atr

iati

on

of

pro

fits

(o

fte

n r

efe

rre

d t

o a

s tr

ap

pe

d c

ash

).

FIG

UR

E 1

. AU

ST

RA

LIA

’S T

RA

DE

WIT

H C

HIN

A

So

urc

e: D

FAT,

AN

Z R

esea

rch

% o

f to

tal

ex

po

rts

(RH

S)

% o

f to

tal

ex

po

rts

(RH

S)

EXPO

RTS

OF

GO

OD

S A

ND

SER

VICE

S TO

CH

INA

IM

PORT

S O

F G

OO

DS

AN

D S

ERVI

CES

FRO

M C

HIN

A

Va

lue

(L

HS

) V

alu

e (

LH

S)

87

9

2

97

0

2

07

1

2

90

9

5

00

0

5

10

0

6

12

18

24

30

36

0

20

40

60

80

10

0

12

0

AU

Dbn

%

Chi

nese

bus

ines

ses

and

cons

umer

s

• D

om

est

ic C

hin

ese

bu

sin

ess

es

will

hav

e t

he

ca

pa

city

to

do

eve

n m

ore

bu

sin

ess

wit

h A

ust

ralia

. Up

to

95

% o

f A

ust

ralia

n

go

od

s im

po

rte

d in

to C

hin

a w

ill e

ven

tua

lly b

e t

ari

ff f

ree

,

pro

vid

ing

low

er

cost

s fo

r b

usi

ne

sse

s, w

hic

h s

ho

uld

flo

w

thro

ug

h t

o c

on

sum

ers

in t

he

fo

rm o

f lo

we

r p

rice

s a

cro

ss

a r

an

ge

of

pro

du

ct

cate

go

rie

s.

• C

hin

ese

bu

sin

ess

es

sho

uld

fin

d A

ust

ralia

an

eve

n m

ore

att

rac

tive

ma

rke

t fr

om

an

inve

stm

en

t p

ers

pe

cti

ve.

No

n S

tate

Ow

ne

d E

nte

rpri

se (

SO

E)

con

tro

ls f

or

Fore

ign

Dir

ec

t In

vest

me

nt

(FD

I) in

to A

ust

ralia

hav

e b

ee

n r

ela

xed

.

Furt

he

rmo

re, w

hile

ta

riff

re

du

cti

on

s a

cro

ss v

ari

ou

s in

du

stry

sec

tors

will

ma

ke e

xpo

rtin

g b

ack

to

Ch

ina

mo

re e

con

om

ica

l

an

d g

ua

ran

tee

ing

su

pp

ly a

ke

y in

vest

me

nt

de

cisi

on

.

Aus

tral

ian

cons

umer

s

• C

hin

a is

Au

stra

lia’s

larg

est

so

urc

e f

or

ele

ctr

on

ic g

oo

ds,

text

iles

an

d f

oo

twe

ar.

Tari

ffs

on

a r

an

ge

of

clo

thin

g a

nd

foo

twe

ar

cate

go

rie

s fe

ll fr

om

10

% t

o 5

% o

n 1

Ja

nu

ary

20

15

wh

ile t

he

Ch

AF

TA w

ill r

esu

lt in

0%

ta

riff

s w

he

n t

he

ag

ree

me

nt

en

ters

into

fo

rce

. Bu

sin

ess

es

may

se

ek

to u

tilis

e

som

e t

ari

ff s

avin

gs

to o

ffse

t a

ga

inst

un

favo

ura

ble

exc

ha

ng

e

rate

mo

ves,

bu

t th

e c

om

pe

titi

ve r

eta

il m

ark

et

sho

uld

see

a m

ix o

f lo

we

r p

rice

s a

nd

be

tte

r q

ua

lity

(i.e

. hig

he

r

spe

cifi

cati

on

) o

n a

ra

ng

e o

f C

hin

ese

pro

du

ced

imp

ort

s.

Th

is is

a b

en

efi

t th

at

sho

uld

flo

w t

hro

ug

h t

o c

on

sum

ers

.

Tim

elin

e

• T

he

an

no

un

cem

en

t in

No

vem

be

r 2

01

4 o

f th

e C

hA

FTA

rep

rese

nte

d t

he

offi

cia

l en

d t

o n

eg

oti

ati

on

s. T

he

fu

ll te

xt

(~8

,50

0 p

rod

uc

t ca

teg

ori

es

an

d ~

1,5

00

pa

ge

s o

f te

xt)

will

be

re

lea

sed

in A

pri

l 20

15

on

ce it

ha

s u

nd

erg

on

e a

leg

al

scru

b. I

t w

ill t

he

n b

e t

ran

sla

ted

, ve

rifi

ed

an

d f

orm

ally

sig

ne

d

be

fore

it g

oe

s th

rou

gh

bo

th p

arl

iam

en

ts t

o b

eco

me

law

.

All

of

this

is e

xpe

cte

d t

o b

e c

on

clu

de

d b

y th

e e

nd

of

20

15

wh

en

ta

riff

ch

an

ge

s w

ill b

eg

in t

o c

om

e in

to f

orc

e.

TH

E C

HA

FTA

HA

S T

HE

PO

TE

NT

IAL

TO

BE

A G

AM

E C

HA

NG

ER

Page 5: ANZ OPPORTUNITY CHINA · 7 ANZ O PP O INTRODUCTION Why this one stands out • The ChAFT A has the potential to be transformational over time as: - China is A ustralia’s largest

99A

NZ

OP

PO

RT

UN

ITY

CH

INA

AN

Z O

PP

OR

TU

NIT

Y C

HIN

A

SE

CT

ION

1

CH

AF

TA O

VE

RV

IEW

Hig

hlig

hts

• S

erv

ice

s: A

ust

ralia

n fi

rms

in a

ra

ng

e o

f se

rvic

es

ind

ust

rie

s

will

ga

in a

lmo

st u

nh

era

lde

d a

cce

ss t

o C

hin

a’s

ma

rke

ts.

• F

ore

ign

in

ve

stm

en

t: T

he

Ch

AF

TA s

ho

uld

en

cou

rag

e

mo

re in

vest

me

nt

fro

m C

hin

a in

to A

ust

ralia

ove

r ti

me

.

Inb

ou

nd

pri

va

te C

hin

ese

inve

stm

en

t p

rop

osa

ls

be

low

AU

D1

.08

bill

ion

will

no

lon

ge

r re

qu

ire

Fo

reig

n

Inve

stm

en

t R

ev

iew

Bo

ard

(F

IRB

) a

pp

rov

al,

exc

ep

t

in s

o-c

alle

d s

en

siti

ve s

ec

tors

like

ag

ricu

ltu

re w

he

re

the

ne

w (

low

er)

th

resh

old

s a

re A

UD

15

m f

or

lan

d

an

d A

UD

53

m f

or

ag

rib

usi

ne

ss. T

he

Go

vern

me

nt

reta

ins

the

ab

ility

to

scr

ee

n C

hin

ese

inve

stm

en

ts

at

low

er

thre

sho

lds

in m

ed

ia, t

ele

com

mu

nic

ati

on

s

an

d d

efe

nce

-re

late

d in

du

stri

es.

Sta

te-o

wn

ed

en

terp

rise

inve

stm

en

t p

rop

osa

ls w

ill s

till

req

uir

e F

IRB

ap

pro

va

l.

• L

ab

ou

r m

ob

ilit

y:

As

pa

rt o

f a

n a

pp

are

nt

wid

er

pu

sh

by

the

Au

stra

lian

Go

vern

me

nt,

th

e C

hA

FTA

will

re

du

ce

ba

rrie

rs t

o la

bo

ur

mo

bili

ty a

nd

imp

rove

te

mp

ora

ry

en

try

acc

ess

fo

r C

hin

ese

wo

rke

rs. L

imit

ed

de

tails

are

ava

ilab

le e

xce

pt

tha

t C

hin

ese

-fu

nd

ed

infr

ast

ruc

ture

pro

jec

ts in

Au

stra

lia a

bo

ve A

UD

15

0m

will

be

ab

le t

o u

se

Ch

ine

se la

bo

ur

un

de

r so

-ca

lled

Inve

stm

en

t Fa

cilit

ati

on

Arr

an

ge

me

nts

if t

he

ski

lls a

re n

ot

ava

ilab

le lo

cally

.

• T

ari

ffs:

Aro

un

d 8

5%

of

all

Au

stra

lian

exp

ort

s w

ill e

nte

r C

hin

a

tari

ff-f

ree

init

ially

, exp

an

din

g t

o 9

3%

wit

hin

fo

ur

yea

rs a

nd

95

% o

n f

ull

imp

lem

en

tati

on

. Ab

ou

t 9

5%

of

Ch

ine

se g

oo

ds

imp

ort

ed

to

Au

stra

lia w

ill b

e t

ari

ff f

ree

aft

er

fou

r ye

ars

.

• C

urr

en

cy

: Th

e A

ust

ralia

n d

olla

r h

as

de

pre

cia

ted

by

ne

arl

y

30

% a

ga

inst

th

e C

hin

ese

yu

an

in r

ece

nt

yea

rs, p

rov

idin

g

a f

urt

he

r ta

ilwin

d f

or

Au

stra

lia’s

exp

ort

ers

to

Ch

ina

,

pa

rtic

ula

rly

tho

se o

uts

ide

th

e r

eso

urc

e s

ec

tor

(Fig

ure

2).

Th

e lo

we

r cu

rre

nc

y w

ill h

elp

wit

h c

om

pe

titi

ven

ess

an

d

sup

po

rt p

rofi

tab

ility

fo

r th

ese

exp

ort

ers

. Th

e lo

we

r cu

rre

nc

y,

ho

we

ver,

will

ma

ke im

po

rts

fro

m C

hin

a m

ore

exp

en

sive

.

FIG

UR

E 2

. LO

WE

R A

US

TR

AL

IAN

DO

LL

AR

IS A

TA

ILW

IND

FO

R E

XP

OR

TE

RS

So

urc

e: B

loo

mb

erg

, AN

Z R

esea

rch

FIG

UR

E 3

. CH

INA

’S O

UT

WA

RD

FO

RE

IGN

DIR

EC

T I

NV

ES

TM

EN

T

So

urc

e: C

EIC

, KP

MG

/Un

iver

sity

of

Syd

ne

y, A

NZ

Res

earc

h

345678

95

96

97

98

99

00

01

02

03

04

05

06

07

08

09

10

11

12

13

14

CNY

per A

UD

Chin

ese

Yuan

per

Aus

tral

ian

Dol

lar

0

20

40

60

80

10

0

12

0

02

03

04

05

06

07

08

09

10

11

12

13

USD

bn,

ann

ual

Chin

a's

tota

l out

war

d fo

reig

n di

rect

inve

stm

ent

Chin

a's

FDI t

o A

ustr

alia

Com

par

ison

with

oth

er F

TAs

Au

stra

lia h

as

a m

ult

ilate

ral F

TA w

ith

Ne

w Z

ea

lan

d a

nd

AS

EA

N c

ou

ntr

ies.

Bila

tera

l FTA

s a

re in

fo

rce

wit

h C

hile

,

Ko

rea

, Ja

pa

n, M

ala

ysia

, Ne

w Z

ea

lan

d, S

ing

ap

ore

,

Th

aila

nd

an

d t

he

Un

ite

d S

tate

s.

Giv

en

th

e d

ifficu

ltie

s in

ge

ttin

g s

eve

ral c

ou

ntr

ies

to a

gre

e

on

mu

ltila

tera

l FTA

s, t

he

re h

as

be

en

a p

rolif

era

tio

n o

f b

ilate

ral

ag

ree

me

nts

in r

ece

nt

yea

rs w

hic

h t

en

d t

o b

e m

uch

ea

sie

r

to s

ett

le. T

he

aim

of

FTA

s is

to

re

du

ce o

r re

mo

ve t

rad

e b

arr

iers

an

d p

rov

ide

mu

tua

l be

ne

fits

to

bo

th c

ou

ntr

ies

by

pla

yin

g

to t

he

ir r

esp

ec

tive

co

mp

ara

tive

ad

va

nta

ge

s.

A k

ey

diff

ere

nti

ati

ng

fa

cto

r o

f th

e C

hA

FTA

ove

r o

the

r

Au

stra

lian

FTA

s is

th

at

it is

wit

h a

co

un

try

wh

ere

de

ma

nd

,

ou

tbo

un

d in

vest

me

nt

(Fig

ure

3)

an

d t

ou

rism

(Fi

gu

re 4

)

are

exp

ec

ted

to

co

nti

nu

e t

o g

row

qu

ickl

y. W

hile

all

FTA

s

are

bro

ad

ly s

imila

r in

th

eir

aim

s, t

he

ag

ree

me

nt

wit

h C

hin

a

po

ten

tia

lly p

rov

ide

s g

rea

ter

up

sid

e f

or

Au

stra

lia d

ue

to

th

e

stro

ng

un

de

rlyi

ng

gro

wth

, in

cre

asi

ng

ly f

or

foo

d a

nd

se

rvic

es,

as

livin

g s

tan

da

rds

in C

hin

a im

pro

ve f

urt

he

r o

ver

tim

e.

Acc

ord

ing

to

th

e A

ust

ralia

n G

ove

rnm

en

t, u

nd

er

the

Ch

AF

TA

Ch

ina

co

mm

its

to p

rov

ide

alm

ost

un

ma

tch

ed

acc

ess

fo

r

Au

stra

lian

se

rvic

es

pro

vid

ers

(o

nly

Ho

ng

Ko

ng

an

d M

aca

u,

spe

cia

l ad

min

istr

ati

ve r

eg

ion

s o

f C

hin

a, w

ill h

ave

be

tte

r

acc

ess

). A

cce

ss w

ill b

e im

pro

ved

in a

rou

nd

40

are

as

to le

vels

eit

he

r e

qu

iva

len

t o

r b

ett

er

tha

n t

ho

se e

njo

yed

by

oth

er

na

tio

ns.

To

uri

sm, a

ge

d c

are

, he

alt

h, fi

na

nce

, en

gin

ee

rin

g,

con

stru

cti

on

an

d le

ga

l firm

s a

re a

mo

ng

th

e p

ote

nti

al

be

ne

fici

ari

es.

Ch

ina

is s

ee

kin

g t

o d

eve

lop

its

serv

ice

s se

cto

r

so t

ha

t it

acc

ou

nts

fo

r a

larg

er

sha

re o

f o

utp

ut

an

d g

row

th

an

d t

his

tra

nsi

tio

n is

alr

ea

dy

ha

pp

en

ing

(Fi

gu

re 5

). S

erv

ice

s

acc

ou

nt

for

mo

re t

ha

n 7

0%

of

Au

stra

lia’s

eco

no

my

so w

e

are

we

ll p

lace

d t

o h

elp

ach

ieve

th

at.

Bu

t th

ere

will

be

str

on

g

com

pe

titi

on

fro

m o

the

r co

un

trie

s.

For

ag

ricu

ltu

re, t

he

Ch

AF

TA w

ill e

ven

tua

lly r

em

ove

th

e

ad

va

nta

ge

s e

njo

yed

by

Ne

w Z

ea

lan

d f

arm

ers

un

de

r it

s

FTA

wit

h C

hin

a (

sig

ne

d in

20

08

), in

clu

din

g in

be

ef

an

d d

air

y.

Alt

ho

ug

h it

will

ta

ke a

rou

nd

a d

eca

de

to

clo

se t

he

ga

p

en

tire

ly. A

ust

ralia

n d

air

y fa

rme

rs, h

ow

eve

r, w

ill h

ave

on

e

ad

va

nta

ge

ove

r th

eir

kiw

i co

un

terp

art

s: a

n a

bse

nce

of ‘

safe

gu

ard

’ me

asu

res

sho

uld

ch

ee

se, b

utt

er,

liqu

id m

ilk

or

infa

nt

form

ula

exp

ort

s g

row

ve

ry f

ast

ou

t o

f A

ust

ralia

.

TH

E I

NC

LUS

ION

OF

SE

RV

ICE

S P

LA

YS

TO

AU

ST

RA

LIA

’S S

TR

EN

GT

HS

Page 6: ANZ OPPORTUNITY CHINA · 7 ANZ O PP O INTRODUCTION Why this one stands out • The ChAFT A has the potential to be transformational over time as: - China is A ustralia’s largest

11

AN

Z O

PP

OR

TU

NIT

Y C

HIN

A

CH

INE

SE

IN

VE

ST

ME

NT

IN

TO

AU

ST

RA

LIA

IS

SE

T T

O I

NC

RE

AS

E

Se

cti

on

1 –

Ch

AF

TA O

ve

rvie

w

FIG

UR

E 5

. SE

RV

ICE

S A

RE

BE

CO

MIN

G

MO

RE

IM

PO

RTA

NT

IN

CH

INA

’S G

RO

WT

H

So

urc

e: B

loo

mb

erg

, NB

S, A

NZ

Res

earc

h

Serv

ices

out

put

Indu

stry

out

put

Prim

ary

outp

ut

Year

-to-

date

% c

hang

e

02468

10

12

14

16

18

03

04

05

06

07

08

09

10

11

12

13

14

Bene

fits

for C

hina

Th

e b

en

efi

ts f

or

Ch

ina

are

mu

ltif

ace

ted

. Ta

riff

re

du

cti

on

s

on

Ch

ine

se e

xpo

rts

to A

ust

ralia

will

be

of

som

e b

en

efi

t

to C

hin

ese

bu

sin

ess

es.

In t

urn

, Au

stra

lian

co

nsu

me

rs w

ill

ult

ima

tely

be

ne

fit

fro

m lo

we

r ta

riff

s o

n im

po

rts

fro

m C

hin

a.

Th

e t

imin

g a

nd

ext

en

t o

f th

e p

ass

-th

rou

gh

of

low

er

tari

ffs

will

de

pe

nd

on

va

rio

us

fac

tors

, in

clu

din

g: t

he

tim

ing

an

d r

ate

of

tari

ff r

ed

uc

tio

ns;

cu

rre

nc

y h

ed

gin

g s

tra

teg

ies

of

imp

ort

ers

;

an

d t

he

pri

cin

g p

ow

er

of

imp

ort

ers

. An

y e

ffe

ct

may

no

t b

e

imm

ed

iate

ly a

pp

are

nt

am

id c

ha

ng

ing

exc

ha

ng

e r

ate

s a

nd

the

eff

ec

ts o

f o

the

r fa

cto

rs.

Th

e s

ma

ll si

ze o

f th

e A

ust

ralia

n m

ark

et

me

an

s th

at

tari

ff c

uts

on

imp

ort

s fr

om

Ch

ina

are

th

e m

ost

imp

ort

an

t p

art

of

the

FTA

fro

m C

hin

a’s

pe

rsp

ec

tive

. Ea

sie

r a

cce

ss f

or

pri

va

te C

hin

ese

inve

stm

en

t in

Au

stra

lia o

uts

ide

of

ag

ricu

ltu

re is

als

o a

ke

y

be

ne

fit.

As

sho

wn

in F

igu

re 3

, Au

stra

lia a

lre

ad

y “p

un

che

s

ab

ove

its

we

igh

t” in

te

rms

of

its

sha

re o

f C

hin

a’s

ou

tbo

un

d

inve

stm

en

t. N

atu

rally

, it

is e

xpe

cte

d t

ha

t th

is in

vest

me

nt

flo

w

wo

uld

co

nti

nu

e in

to A

ust

ralia

’s m

inin

g s

ec

tor,

bu

t p

rob

ab

ly

no

t a

t th

e s

pe

ed

of

rece

nt

yea

rs d

uri

ng

th

e m

inin

g in

vest

me

nt

bo

om

. In

vest

me

nt

into

ag

ricu

ltu

re is

als

o e

xpe

cte

d t

o r

ise

giv

en

th

at

ac

tua

l FD

I fro

m C

hin

a is

sti

ll sm

all

de

spit

e r

isin

g

inte

rest

. Wit

h C

hin

a in

cre

asi

ng

ly d

ive

rsif

yin

g it

s o

wn

ind

ust

ria

l

stru

ctu

re t

o h

igh

er

en

d m

an

ufa

ctu

rin

g a

nd

se

rvic

es,

its

glo

ba

l

inve

stm

en

t is

als

o li

kely

to

div

ers

ify.

Ch

ine

se in

vest

me

nt

in A

ust

ralia

n p

rop

ert

y, in

clu

din

g

resi

de

nti

al,

offi

ce a

nd

oth

er

com

me

rcia

l ass

ets

(su

ch a

s

ho

tels

), is

exp

ec

ted

to

re

ma

in s

tro

ng

, re

ga

rdle

ss o

f a

ny

ea

sin

g

in p

roce

ss u

nd

er

the

Ch

AF

TA. T

he

low

er

Au

stra

lian

do

llar

ag

ain

st t

he

yu

an

als

o m

ake

s A

ust

ralia

n a

sse

ts m

ore

att

rac

tive

.

Ch

ine

se a

pp

eti

te t

o in

vest

me

nt

in n

ew

an

d e

xist

ing

Au

stra

lian

infr

ast

ruc

ture

is a

lso

ris

ing

. Ch

ine

se c

om

pa

nie

s a

re s

ho

win

g

inte

rest

in t

he

an

tici

pa

ted

incr

ea

se in

go

vern

me

nt

ass

et

sale

s in

Au

stra

lia o

ver

the

ne

xt f

ew

ye

ars

. In

fa

ct,

th

ere

ha

s

alr

ea

dy

be

en

on

e h

igh

pro

file

exa

mp

le o

f a

Ch

ine

se

com

pa

ny

pu

rch

asi

ng

th

e c

on

stru

cti

on

arm

of

an

Au

stra

lian

com

pa

ny

in p

art

to

ga

in e

xpo

sure

to

th

e a

nti

cip

ate

d

pic

k-u

p in

ne

w in

fra

stru

ctu

re s

pe

nd

ing

in c

om

ing

ye

ars

.

Th

e a

pp

are

nt

rela

xati

on

of

lab

ou

r m

ob

ility

be

twe

en

Ch

ina

an

d A

ust

ralia

un

de

r th

e C

hA

FTA

(a

nd

mo

re b

roa

dly

) m

ake

s

such

inve

stm

en

ts m

ore

att

rac

tive

.

As

Ch

ina

tra

nsi

tio

ns

to a

mo

re s

erv

ice

s b

ase

d e

con

om

y,

con

sum

ers

will

be

ne

fit

fro

m t

he

incr

ea

sin

g im

po

rts

of

qu

alit

y h

ea

lth

an

d a

ge

d c

are

se

rvic

es

an

d e

asi

er

mo

vem

en

t

of

wo

rke

rs b

etw

ee

n t

he

tw

o c

ou

ntr

ies.

Fro

m a

bro

ad

er

pe

rsp

ec

tive

, a F

TA w

ith

an

op

en

an

d

ad

va

nce

d e

con

om

y lik

e A

ust

ralia

will

pu

sh f

orw

ard

Ch

ina’

s m

ark

et-

ori

en

ted

re

form

s.

FIG

UR

E 4

. SH

OR

T-T

ER

M V

ISIT

OR

S T

O A

US

TR

AL

IA F

RO

M C

HIN

A

So

urc

e: A

BS

, AN

Z R

esea

rch

Shar

e of

tota

l sho

rt-t

erm

arr

ival

s (R

HS)

Shor

t-te

rm a

rriv

als

from

Chi

na (L

HS)

0246810

12

14

16

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

92

93

94

95

96

97

98

99

00

01

02

03

04

05

06

07

08

09

10

11

12

13

14

Shar

e of

tota

l sho

rt-t

erm

arr

ival

s, %

Num

ber p

er m

onth

(000

s)

Page 7: ANZ OPPORTUNITY CHINA · 7 ANZ O PP O INTRODUCTION Why this one stands out • The ChAFT A has the potential to be transformational over time as: - China is A ustralia’s largest

13

AN

Z O

PP

OR

TU

NIT

Y C

HIN

A

Se

cti

on

1 –

Ch

AF

TA O

ve

rvie

w

LAB

OU

R M

OB

ILIT

Y

• A

cco

rdin

g t

o t

he

Go

vern

me

nt,

th

e C

hA

FTA

will

re

du

ce

ba

rrie

rs t

o la

bo

ur

mo

bili

ty a

nd

imp

rove

te

mp

ora

ry e

ntr

y

acc

ess

wit

hin

th

e c

on

text

of

ea

ch c

ou

ntr

y’s

exi

stin

g

imm

igra

tio

n a

nd

em

plo

yme

nt

fra

me

wo

rks

an

d s

afe

gu

ard

s.

• N

ota

bly

, Ch

ine

se-o

wn

ed

co

mp

an

ies

reg

iste

red

in A

ust

ralia

un

de

rta

kin

g la

rge

infr

ast

ruc

ture

de

velo

pm

en

t p

roje

cts

ab

ove

AU

D1

50

mill

ion

will

be

ab

le t

o n

eg

oti

ate

, sim

ilarl

y to

Au

stra

lian

bu

sin

ess

, in

cre

ase

d la

bo

ur

fle

xib

iliti

es

for

spe

cifi

c

pro

jec

ts. T

his

will

be

ass

ess

ed

on

a c

ase

-by-

case

ba

sis

un

de

r

arr

an

ge

me

nts

sim

ilar

to t

he

fo

rme

r E

nte

rpri

se M

igra

tio

n

Ag

ree

me

nts

(E

MA

s) in

tro

du

ced

to

ass

ist

in a

dd

ress

ing

skill

s n

ee

ds

of

the

re

sou

rce

se

cto

r. E

MA

s w

ere

ne

go

tia

ted

wit

h t

he

pro

jec

t o

wn

er

an

d s

et

the

te

rms

by

wh

ich

fo

reig

n

wo

rke

rs c

ou

ld b

e e

ng

ag

ed

on

th

e p

roje

ct,

as

we

ll a

s

ou

tlin

ing

tra

inin

g c

om

mit

me

nts

th

at

ha

d t

o b

e m

et

by

the

pro

jec

t. W

ork

ers

we

re s

ub

jec

t to

th

e W

ork

er

Pro

tec

tio

n A

ct

20

09

an

d w

ere

ob

lige

d t

o p

ay A

ust

ralia

n m

ark

et

sala

ry r

ate

s.

• B

roa

dly

sp

ea

kin

g, i

t a

pp

ea

rs t

ha

t th

e A

ust

ralia

n G

ove

rnm

en

t

is p

ush

ing

ah

ea

d w

ith

se

vera

l in

itia

tive

s to

ma

ke it

ea

sie

r

for

skill

ed

fo

reig

n w

ork

ers

to

co

me

to

Au

stra

lia, a

t le

ast

tem

po

rari

ly. F

or

inst

an

ce, t

he

Imm

igra

tio

n D

ep

art

me

nt

ha

s p

rop

ose

d a

ne

w t

em

po

rary

vis

a w

hic

h w

ou

ld a

llow

spe

cia

lise

d w

ork

ers

to

en

ter

Au

stra

lia f

or

up

to

on

e y

ea

r

wit

ho

ut

the

ne

ed

fo

r a

45

7 s

kille

d w

ork

er

vis

a.

AG

RIC

ULT

UR

E

• T

he

Ch

AF

TA w

ill h

ave

a s

ign

ifica

nt

imp

act

for

the

ag

ricu

ltu

re

sec

tor,

wit

h b

oth

win

ne

rs a

nd

lo

sers

. Ta

riff

s w

ill b

e

elim

ina

ted

on

a n

um

be

r o

f im

po

rta

nt

com

mo

dit

ies

such

as

be

ef

an

d d

air

y, h

ow

eve

r, th

e a

gre

em

en

t m

isse

d

the

ma

rk o

n c

om

mo

dit

ies

incl

ud

ing

co

tto

n, r

ice

, su

ga

r

and

oils

ee

ds.

In f

act

the

co

mm

od

ity

“be

ne

fici

arie

s” c

urr

en

tly

acc

ou

nt

for

less

th

an

25

% o

f a

gri

cult

ure

re

late

d e

xpo

rts

to C

hin

a, i

mp

lyin

g t

ha

t fu

rth

er

op

po

rtu

nit

y m

ay e

xist

as

ne

go

tia

tio

ns

evo

lve

.

• B

ee

f: A

ust

ralia

is a

lre

ad

y C

hin

a’s

pri

ma

ry s

up

plie

r o

f b

ee

f

an

d w

hile

th

e e

ven

tua

l elim

ina

tio

n o

f ta

riff

s a

re p

osi

tive

,

the

re w

ill b

e q

ue

stio

ns

on

th

e a

bili

ty o

f A

ust

ralia

n p

rod

uce

rs

to m

ee

t C

hin

a’s

gro

win

g d

em

an

d. M

an

y e

xpo

rte

rs m

ay

be

re

luc

tan

t to

sw

itch

exp

ort

vo

lum

es

to C

hin

a a

nd

ris

k

be

ing

sh

ut

ou

t o

f th

e k

ey

Ind

on

esi

an

ma

rke

t. T

imin

g

on

th

e C

hA

FTA

is im

po

rta

nt

as

the

sta

ge

d e

limin

ati

on

of

be

ef

tari

ffs

will

be

ne

fit

Au

stra

lian

pro

du

cers

at

a t

ime

wh

en

co

mp

eti

tio

n f

rom

US

an

d B

razi

lian

pro

du

cers

is li

kely

to

incr

ea

se w

he

n t

he

y a

re f

ully

allo

we

d b

ack

into

th

e C

hin

ese

ma

rke

t.

• D

air

y: T

he

inta

ng

ible

be

ne

fit

of

da

iry

’s in

clu

sio

n is

th

e

imp

ac

t o

n s

en

tim

en

t, a

s p

rod

uce

rs h

ave

oft

en

vie

we

d

the

ad

va

nta

ge

th

at

Ne

w Z

ea

lan

d h

as

ha

d, c

are

of

its

ow

n

FTA

wit

h C

hin

a, a

s b

ein

g h

igh

ly s

ign

ifica

nt.

Wh

ile it

will

take

up

to

11

ye

ars

fo

r ta

riff

s to

be

elim

ina

ted

, pro

gre

ss

in t

his

are

a is

a g

rea

t w

in f

or

the

ind

ust

ry. T

he

Ch

AF

TA is

a m

ajo

r p

osi

tive

fo

r d

air

y b

ut

in a

glo

ba

lly c

om

pe

titi

ve

ma

rke

t th

e d

air

y se

cto

r n

ee

ds

to c

on

tin

ue

to

inn

ov

ate

an

d

bu

ild a

bra

nd

to

win

ma

rke

t sh

are

in a

gro

win

g m

ark

et.

Th

ese

an

no

un

cem

en

ts a

re a

lso

like

ly t

o le

ad

to

fu

rth

er

inve

stm

en

t in

th

e s

ec

tor,

pa

rtic

ula

rly

tow

ard

s p

roce

ssin

g

an

d p

rod

uc

tio

n in

a b

id t

o s

ecu

re s

up

ply

.

• W

ine

: Th

e C

hA

FTA

po

siti

on

s A

ust

ralia

to

re

ga

in g

rou

nd

ove

r th

eir

Ch

ilea

n c

om

pe

tito

rs, w

ho

hav

e li

fte

d e

xpo

rts

seve

n f

old

sin

ce t

he

intr

od

uc

tio

n o

f th

e C

hin

a-C

hile

FTA

.

Wit

h C

hin

a’s

ma

jor

Au

stra

lian

win

e im

po

rt c

ate

go

ry b

ein

g

at

the

pre

miu

m p

rice

-po

int,

th

e t

ari

ff c

ut

fro

m 1

5%

to

ze

ro

ove

r fo

ur

yea

rs w

ill a

llow

th

e A

ust

ralia

n in

du

stry

to

bo

ost

the

co

mp

eti

tive

ne

ss o

f it

s h

igh

-en

d p

rod

uc

ts.

• K

ey c

lien

t co

nsi

der

ati

on

s in

clu

de

wo

rkin

g c

ap

ita

l an

d s

up

ply

cha

in m

an

ag

emen

t, R

MB

liq

uid

ity

ma

na

gem

ent,

fore

ign

exch

an

ge

risk

ma

na

gem

ent,

co

mm

od

ity

risk

ma

na

gem

ent

an

d a

sset

ba

sed

gea

rin

g.

• S

ee

AN

Z L

ive

: AN

Z R

esea

rch

: FTA

po

siti

on

s A

gri

into

th

e

Asi

an

cen

tury

(19

th N

ov,

20

14

).

BE

EF,

DA

IRY

AN

D W

INE

AR

E A

MO

NG

ST

TH

E K

EY

AG

RIC

ULT

UR

E B

EN

EF

ICIA

RIE

S

Page 8: ANZ OPPORTUNITY CHINA · 7 ANZ O PP O INTRODUCTION Why this one stands out • The ChAFT A has the potential to be transformational over time as: - China is A ustralia’s largest

15

AN

Z O

PP

OR

TU

NIT

Y C

HIN

A

Se

cti

on

1 –

Ch

AF

TA O

ve

rvie

w

MA

NU

FAC

TU

RIN

G

• Ta

riff

s o

n a

ra

ng

e o

f C

hin

ese

imp

ort

s w

ill b

e r

ed

uce

d

or

elim

ina

ted

bu

t A

ust

ralia

’s m

an

ufa

ctu

rin

g in

du

stry

ha

s

con

solid

ate

d a

nd

evo

lve

d s

uch

th

at

the

to

tal b

en

efi

t to

the

ind

ust

ry is

like

ly t

o b

e m

ixe

d.

• A

ust

ralia

will

ph

ase

ou

t ta

riff

s o

n m

an

ufa

ctu

red

imp

ort

s

fro

m C

hin

a o

f cl

oth

es,

fo

otw

ea

r, h

ou

seh

old

ele

ctr

on

ics,

cars

an

d c

ar

com

po

ne

nts

by

20

19

.

• P

ha

rma

ceu

tica

ls a

nd

vit

am

ins:

Acr

oss

th

e m

an

ufa

ctu

rin

g

sec

tor,

the

big

ge

st o

pp

ort

un

ity

lies

in A

ust

ralia

’s g

lob

ally

inte

gra

ted

ph

arm

ace

uti

cal i

nd

ust

ry, w

hic

h a

lre

ad

y e

xpo

rts

pro

du

cts

to

Ch

ina

wo

rth

alm

ost

AU

D6

00

m a

nn

ua

lly.

Ch

ina’

s g

row

ing

mid

dle

cla

ss a

nd

de

mo

gra

ph

ic p

rofi

le

ma

ke t

he

ma

rke

t a

ttra

cti

ve t

o b

oth

ph

arm

ace

uti

cal

exp

ort

ers

in a

dd

itio

n t

o v

ita

min

pro

vid

ers

. Ta

riff

s o

f u

p

to 1

0%

on

ph

arm

ace

uti

cals

, in

clu

din

g v

ita

min

s a

nd

he

alt

h

pro

du

cts

, will

be

re

mo

ved

eit

he

r o

n e

ntr

y in

to f

orc

e o

r

ph

ase

d o

ut

ove

r fo

ur

yea

rs.

• K

ey c

lien

t co

nsi

der

ati

on

s in

clu

de

wo

rkin

g c

ap

ita

l an

d s

up

ply

cha

in m

an

ag

emen

t, R

MB

liq

uid

ity

ma

na

gem

ent,

fore

ign

exch

an

ge

risk

ma

na

gem

ent,

co

mm

od

ity

risk

ma

na

gem

ent,

targ

et c

ap

ita

l str

uct

uri

ng

an

d fu

nd

ing

.

CO

NS

TR

UC

TIO

N A

ND

EN

GIN

EE

RIN

G S

ER

VIC

ES

• C

hin

a w

ill g

ive

Au

stra

lian

co

nst

ruc

tio

n c

om

pa

nie

s

acc

ess

to

ca

rry

ou

t co

nst

ruc

tio

n w

ork

in S

ha

ng

ha

i if

the

y

are

est

ab

lish

ed

in t

he

Sh

an

gh

ai F

ree

Tra

de

Zo

ne

(S

FT

Z)

an

d p

art

ne

r w

ith

Ch

ine

se c

om

pa

nie

s.

• A

ust

ralia

n a

rch

ite

ctu

ral a

nd

en

gin

ee

rin

g fi

rms

will

be

allo

we

d t

o o

bta

in b

roa

de

r b

usi

ne

ss li

cen

ses

to c

arr

y

ou

t w

ork

on

co

nst

ruc

tio

n p

roje

cts

in C

hin

a.

• Te

mp

ora

ry a

cce

ss f

or

Ch

ine

se w

ork

ers

ca

n b

e n

eg

oti

ate

d

to w

ork

on

ma

jor

pro

jec

ts u

nd

ert

ake

n b

y C

hin

ese

com

pa

nie

s in

Au

stra

lia w

ort

h m

ore

th

an

AU

D1

50

m

if t

he

ski

lls a

re u

nav

aila

ble

loca

lly. S

ee

La

bo

ur

Mo

bili

ty.

• K

ey c

lien

t co

nsi

der

ati

on

s in

clu

de

per

form

an

ce g

ua

ran

tees

,

RM

B li

qu

idit

y m

an

ag

emen

t, fo

reig

n e

xch

an

ge

risk

ma

na

gem

ent,

ta

rget

ca

pit

al s

tru

ctu

rin

g a

nd

fun

din

g.

FIN

AN

CIA

L S

ER

VIC

ES

• U

np

rece

de

nte

d n

ew

an

d im

pro

ved

acc

ess

fra

me

wo

rks

will

allo

w A

ust

ralia

n p

rov

ide

rs o

f b

an

kin

g, i

nsu

ran

ce, f

un

ds

ma

na

ge

me

nt,

se

curi

tisa

tio

n, s

ecu

riti

es

an

d f

utu

res

serv

ice

s

will

be

ab

le t

o b

ett

er

pu

rsu

e c

om

me

rcia

l op

po

rtu

nit

ies

in o

ne

of

the

wo

rld

’s f

ast

est

gro

win

g s

erv

ice

s m

ark

ets

.

• In

sura

nce

: A

n a

bili

ty t

o f

ully

acc

ess

Ch

ina’

s st

atu

tory

thir

d-p

art

y co

mp

uls

ory

mo

tor

veh

icle

insu

ran

ce m

ark

et.

• K

ey c

lien

t co

nsi

der

ati

on

s in

clu

de

RM

B p

aym

ents

an

d c

ash

ma

na

gem

ent,

FX

ris

k m

an

ag

emen

t, in

vest

men

t so

urc

ing

an

d h

edg

ing

, reg

ula

tory

ca

pit

al s

olu

tio

ns,

an

d d

ebt

fun

din

g.

• F

un

ds

ma

na

ge

me

nt:

Au

stra

lia w

as

gra

nte

d a

RM

B5

0 b

illio

n

qu

ota

(a

rou

nd

AU

D1

0 b

illio

n)

un

de

r R

MB

Qu

alifi

ed

Fo

reig

n

Inst

itu

tio

na

l In

vest

or

(RQ

FII)

pro

gra

m t

o in

vest

off

sho

re

RM

B in

Ch

ine

se o

nsh

ore

fin

an

cia

l in

stru

me

nts

; Au

stra

lian

secu

riti

es

bro

kera

ge

an

d a

dv

iso

ry fi

rms

can

pro

vid

e

cro

ss-b

ord

er

secu

riti

es

tra

din

g, c

ust

od

y, a

dv

ice

an

d p

ort

folio

ma

na

ge

me

nt

serv

ice

s to

Ch

ine

se in

stit

uti

on

al i

nve

sto

rs

allo

we

d t

o in

vest

off

sho

re.

• K

ey c

lien

t co

nsi

der

ati

on

s in

clu

de

RM

B li

qu

idit

y m

an

ag

emen

t,

FX r

isk

ma

na

gem

ent,

dep

osi

t a

nd

yie

ld s

olu

tio

ns,

inve

stm

ent

sou

rcin

g a

nd

hed

gin

g, a

sset

ba

sed

gea

rin

g.

• S

ecu

riti

es

an

d f

utu

res:

Jo

int

ven

ture

s w

ith

up

to

49

%

Au

stra

lian

ow

ne

rsh

ip; a

bili

ty t

o c

on

du

ct d

om

est

ic s

ecu

riti

es

fun

ds

man

age

me

nt

bu

sin

ess

.

• K

ey c

lien

t co

nsi

der

ati

on

s in

clu

de

RM

B p

aym

ents

an

d c

ash

ma

na

gem

ent,

liq

uid

ity

solu

tio

ns,

FX

ris

k m

an

ag

emen

t, c

ap

ita

l

stru

ctu

re a

nd

fun

din

g.

• P

riv

ate

eq

uit

y:

Furt

he

r w

ork

on

acc

ess

to

Ch

ine

se

inve

stm

en

t o

pp

ort

un

itie

s.

• K

ey c

lien

t co

nsi

der

ati

on

s in

clu

de

ad

viso

ry, a

cqu

isit

ion

fin

an

ce,

cap

ita

l ma

rket

s a

cces

s, h

edg

ing

; fo

r in

vest

ee c

om

pa

nie

s -

tra

nsa

ctio

n b

an

kin

g, w

ork

ing

ca

pit

al a

nd

fun

din

g.

• B

an

kin

g: R

em

ova

l of

min

imu

m R

MB

10

0m

wo

rkin

g c

apit

al

req

uir

em

en

ts f

or

sub

sid

iari

es;

su

bsi

dia

rie

s w

ill b

e t

he

firs

t

fore

ign

ban

ks e

ligib

le t

o e

ng

age

in c

red

it a

sse

t se

curi

tisa

tio

n.

• K

ey c

lien

t co

nsi

der

ati

on

s in

clu

de

stru

ctu

rin

g, p

ort

folio

ma

na

gem

ent,

fun

din

g a

nd

dis

trib

uti

on

.

HE

ALT

H A

ND

AG

ED

CA

RE

• A

ust

ralia

’s h

ea

lth

care

ind

ust

ry is

gro

win

g r

ap

idly

an

d

is n

ow

th

e c

ou

ntr

y’s

big

ge

st e

mp

loye

r. A

ust

ralia

’s a

bili

ty

to s

ucc

ess

fully

op

era

te h

osp

ita

ls, a

ge

d c

are

an

d o

the

r

he

alt

h r

ela

ted

fa

cilit

ies

will

be

a c

om

pe

titi

ve a

dv

an

tag

e

for

bu

sin

ess

es

tha

t d

eci

de

to

ta

ke a

dv

an

tag

e o

f “b

est

eve

r

acc

ess

” to

th

e d

om

est

ic C

hin

ese

ma

rke

t.

• C

hin

a’s

he

alt

h s

ec

tor

rem

ain

s ve

ry u

nd

erd

eve

lop

ed

an

d

its

po

pu

lati

on

is a

ge

ing

qu

ickl

y, p

rov

idin

g a

sig

nifi

can

t

de

ma

nd

ta

ilwin

d t

ha

t sh

ou

ld g

row

un

til a

t le

ast

20

30

wh

en

th

e p

op

ula

tio

n is

exp

ec

ted

to

pe

ak.

• K

ey c

lien

t co

nsi

der

ati

on

s in

clu

de

RM

B li

qu

idit

y m

an

ag

emen

t,

fore

ign

exc

ha

ng

e ri

sk m

an

ag

emen

t, t

arg

et c

ap

ita

l str

uct

uri

ng

an

d a

sset

ba

sed

gea

rin

g.

ED

UC

AT

ION

• C

hin

a is

Au

stra

lia’s

larg

est

exp

ort

ma

rke

t fo

r e

du

cati

on

serv

ice

s (w

ort

h a

rou

nd

AU

D4

bill

ion

in 2

01

3)

an

d a

lso

on

e t

ha

t is

hig

hly

pro

tec

ted

.

• T

he

FTA

pro

vid

ed

th

e s

ee

min

gly

insi

gn

ifica

nt

be

ne

fit

to

Au

stra

lian

ed

uca

tio

n p

rov

ide

rs o

f a

dd

ing

th

eir

na

me

to

a g

ove

rnm

en

t w

eb

site

bu

t th

is s

ite

is t

he

pri

ma

ry c

ha

nn

el

for

stu

de

nts

to

ch

oo

se a

n e

du

cati

on

pro

vid

er

for

stu

dyi

ng

ab

roa

d a

nd

is h

igh

ly t

rust

ed

(7

7 in

stit

uti

on

s w

ill b

e a

dd

ed

to t

he

exi

stin

g 1

05

Au

stra

lian

inst

itu

tio

ns

on

th

e w

eb

site

).

In f

ac

t, a

lmo

st 9

0%

of

Ch

ine

se s

tud

en

ts s

tud

yin

g in

Au

stra

lia

use

d a

pro

vid

er

liste

d o

n t

he

Min

istr

y’s

we

bsi

te. T

his

is

like

ly t

o p

rov

ide

incr

ea

sed

exp

osu

re a

nd

ult

ima

tely

stu

de

nt

de

ma

nd

to

Au

stra

lian

ed

uca

tio

n p

rov

ide

rs.

• K

ey c

lien

t co

nsi

der

ati

on

s in

clu

de

RM

B li

qu

idit

y m

an

ag

emen

t,

fore

ign

exc

ha

ng

e ri

sk m

an

ag

emen

t a

nd

fun

din

g.

TOU

RIS

M A

ND

HO

SP

ITA

LIT

Y

• A

ust

ralia

n s

erv

ice

pro

vid

ers

will

be

ab

le t

o c

on

stru

ct,

ren

ov

ate

an

d o

pe

rate

wh

olly

Au

stra

lian

-ow

ne

d h

ote

ls

an

d r

est

au

ran

ts in

Ch

ina

. Au

stra

lian

tra

vel a

ge

nci

es/

tou

r

op

era

tors

will

als

o b

e a

ble

to

est

ab

lish

wh

olly

Au

stra

lian

-ow

ne

d s

ub

sid

iari

es

in C

hin

a f

or

tou

rs

wit

hin

Ch

ina

fo

r b

oth

do

me

stic

an

d f

ore

ign

tra

velle

rs.

• U

p t

o 5

,00

0 C

hin

ese

wo

rk a

nd

ho

liday

vis

as

will

be

pro

vid

ed

by

Au

stra

lia. T

he

se a

re v

isa

s g

ran

ted

to

yo

un

g p

eo

ple

for

up

to

a y

ea

r w

ho

wa

nt

to t

rave

l an

d w

ork

in A

ust

ralia

.

Th

is c

ha

ng

e w

ill a

dd

mo

de

stly

to

th

e s

ign

ifica

nt

nu

mb

er

of

such

vis

as

alr

ea

dy

gra

nte

d b

y A

ust

ralia

wit

h a

bo

ut

24

0,0

00

gra

nte

d t

o o

the

r co

un

trie

s in

FY

20

14

.

• To

uri

sm A

ust

ralia

pro

jec

ts t

ha

t C

hin

a w

ill c

on

trib

ute

ne

arl

y

on

e-q

ua

rte

r o

f th

e g

row

th in

th

e n

um

be

r o

f v

isit

ors

to

Au

stra

lia o

ver

the

de

cad

e t

o F

Y2

02

3 a

nd

th

at

ab

ou

t

two

-fift

hs

of

inb

ou

nd

to

uri

sm e

xpe

nd

itu

re w

ill b

e s

ou

rce

d

fro

m C

hin

a o

ver

tha

t p

eri

od

. (T

he

Go

vern

me

nt

als

o r

ece

ntl

y

an

no

un

ced

sig

nifi

can

t in

cre

ase

s to

allo

wa

ble

air

line

cap

aci

ty b

etw

ee

n A

ust

ralia

an

d C

hin

a.)

• K

ey c

lien

t co

nsi

der

ati

on

s in

clu

de

RM

B li

qu

idit

y m

an

ag

emen

t,

fore

ign

exc

ha

ng

e ri

sk m

an

ag

emen

t a

nd

fun

din

g.

OT

HE

R S

ER

VIC

ES

• A

ust

ralia

n la

w fi

rms

will

be

ab

le t

o e

sta

blis

h c

om

me

rcia

l

ass

oci

ati

on

s w

ith

Ch

ine

se la

w fi

rms

in t

he

SF

TZ

. Th

is w

ill

allo

w t

he

m t

o o

ffe

r A

ust

ralia

n, C

hin

ese

an

d in

tern

ati

on

al

leg

al s

erv

ice

s th

rou

gh

a c

om

me

rcia

l pre

sen

ce, w

ith

ou

t

rest

ric

tio

ns

on

th

e lo

cati

on

of

clie

nts

.

• Th

ere

are

als

o b

en

efi

ts fo

r A

ust

ralia

n fi

rms

in: m

anu

fact

uri

ng

and

min

ing

se

rvic

es;

arc

hit

ect

ure

an

d u

rban

pla

nn

ing

se

rvic

es;

tran

spo

rt s

erv

ice

s; a

nd

te

leco

mm

un

icat

ion

s co

mp

anie

s.

RE

SO

UR

CE

S

• T

he

re

du

cti

on

in t

ari

ffs

on

so

me

of

Au

stra

lia’s

re

sou

rce

exp

ort

s to

Ch

ina

is a

po

siti

ve b

ut

AN

Z R

ese

arc

h b

elie

ves

tha

t th

e o

vera

ll b

en

efi

t to

Au

stra

lia’s

re

sou

rce

s se

cto

r

will

be

min

ima

l, a

s th

e t

ari

ff r

ed

uc

tio

n o

n h

igh

vo

lum

e

exp

ort

s w

ill b

e lo

w.

• S

ee

AN

Z L

ive

: AN

Z R

esea

rch

: Lim

ited

ben

efit

for

Res

ou

rces

fro

m C

hin

a-A

ust

ralia

FTA

(20

th N

ov,

20

14

).

MA

NY

AU

ST

RA

LIA

N S

ER

VIC

ES

BU

SIN

ES

SE

S W

ILL

EN

JOY

“BE

ST

EV

ER

AC

CE

SS

Page 9: ANZ OPPORTUNITY CHINA · 7 ANZ O PP O INTRODUCTION Why this one stands out • The ChAFT A has the potential to be transformational over time as: - China is A ustralia’s largest

“BE

RF

ER

FE

RU

M, S

I D

OLU

TA P

RO

IP

ITIA

SIT

AT

I O

DIA

S E

T M

AIO

VO

LUP

TAT

AN

Z O

PP

OR

TU

NIT

Y C

HIN

AA

NZ

OP

PO

RT

UN

ITY

CH

INA

SE

CT

ION

2

AU

ST

RA

LIA

N O

PP

OR

TU

NIT

IES

FR

OM

TH

E C

HA

FTA

A lo

ok a

t whi

ch a

reas

and

indu

strie

s

will

ben

efit f

rom

the

ChA

FTA

Wh

en

it c

om

es

to F

TAs

all

pro

du

cts

an

d in

du

stri

es

are

no

t

cre

ate

d e

qu

al.

Wh

ile t

he

ult

ima

te a

im o

f a

FTA

is t

o c

rea

te

tra

de

an

d t

he

refo

re c

rea

te in

com

e in

bo

th c

ou

ntr

ies,

FTA

s

typ

ica

lly d

o n

ot

cove

r e

very

exp

ort

an

d im

po

rt. A

s su

ch,

the

be

ne

fits

an

d o

pp

ort

un

itie

s w

ill v

ary

.

AN

Z O

pp

ort

un

ity

Ch

ina

use

s b

oth

qu

an

tita

tive

an

d q

ua

lita

tive

me

tho

ds

to id

en

tify

wh

ere

th

e m

ajo

r o

pp

ort

un

itie

s a

re f

or

Au

stra

lian

bu

sin

ess

es

exp

ort

ing

or

loo

kin

g t

o e

xpo

rt t

o C

hin

a.

Alt

ho

ug

h t

he

fu

ll d

eta

il fr

om

th

e C

hA

FTA

is n

ot

exp

ec

ted

un

til A

pri

l 20

15

, th

e k

ey

leve

rs in

de

term

inin

g t

he

siz

e o

f

the

op

po

rtu

nit

y ca

n s

till

be

de

term

ine

d.

So

me

of

the

ke

y fa

cto

rs t

o d

ete

rmin

e t

he

str

en

gth

of

the

exp

ort

op

po

rtu

nit

y fo

r A

ust

ralia

n b

usi

ne

sse

s a

cro

ss a

ll

pro

du

ct

cate

go

rie

s a

nd

ind

ust

rie

s w

ill in

clu

de

:

• A

ust

ralia

’s r

ela

tive

str

en

gth

, siz

e, a

nd

co

st a

dv

an

tag

e

rela

tive

to

th

e C

hin

ese

do

me

stic

off

eri

ng

an

d s

ou

rce

s

fro

m o

the

r co

un

trie

s

• T

he

re

lati

ve p

rice

ela

stic

ity

of

the

go

od

/se

rvic

e

• T

he

ma

gn

itu

de

of

the

ta

riff

re

du

cti

on

• A

ny

ma

jor

diff

ere

nce

s in

qu

alit

y o

f th

e p

rod

uc

t/se

rvic

e

com

pa

red

to

wh

at’

s av

aila

ble

in C

hin

a

NO

T A

LL A

RE

AS

WIL

L B

EN

EF

IT

AN

Z’s

an

aly

sis

fou

nd

th

at

Au

stra

lia’s

op

po

rtu

nit

ies

are

lik

ely

to b

e d

ee

p a

nd

na

rro

w in

so

me

are

as

an

d l

arg

ely

imm

ate

ria

l

in o

the

rs. F

or

inst

an

ce

, Au

stra

lia’s

exp

ort

s to

Ch

ina

of

ca

r

en

gin

es

we

re w

ort

h o

ve

r A

UD

10

2 m

illio

n in

20

13

. Ho

we

ve

r,

po

ten

tia

l re

alis

ed

be

ne

fits

to

Au

stra

lian

bu

sin

ess

es

will

be

lo

w, a

s th

e m

ajo

r d

om

est

ic a

uto

mo

tiv

e m

an

ufa

ctu

rers

are

exi

tin

g A

ust

ralia

. Th

is w

ill h

av

e a

pro

fou

nd

imp

ac

t o

n

ca

pa

cit

y a

s a

sso

cia

ted

ori

gin

al

eq

uip

me

nt

ma

nu

fac

ture

rs

are

fo

rce

d t

o r

ea

lign

th

eir

str

ate

gy

giv

en

th

e im

pe

nd

ing

imp

ac

t o

n t

he

ir f

utu

re s

ale

s.

Re

sou

rce

s a

re a

no

the

r a

rea

wh

ere

th

ere

will

be

lim

ite

d u

psi

de

po

st t

he

Ch

AF

TA a

s e

xist

ing

ta

riff

s o

n t

he

ma

jor

com

mo

dit

ies

are

alr

ea

dy

low

. De

spit

e s

ign

ifica

nt

exp

ort

vo

lum

es

to C

hin

a

of

reso

urc

es

incl

ud

ing

co

kin

g c

oa

l, n

on

-co

kin

g c

oa

l an

d

cop

pe

r, th

e c

ha

ng

e in

ta

riff

s w

ill n

ot

be

a c

ata

lyst

to

dri

ve

ma

teri

al v

olu

me

ga

ins

or

ne

w e

xpo

rt o

pp

ort

un

itie

s fo

r

Au

stra

lian

bu

sin

ess

es.

Th

e t

ari

ff e

limin

ati

on

may

re

sult

in a

slig

ht

piv

ot

tow

ard

s A

ust

ralia

n e

xpo

rts,

lea

din

g t

o

po

ten

tia

l ma

rke

t sh

are

ga

ins

for

Au

stra

lia r

ela

tive

to

oth

er

cou

ntr

ies,

ho

we

ver,

the

ext

en

t o

f th

is c

ha

ng

e is

exp

ec

ted

to b

e im

ma

teri

al.

TH

E L

AR

GE

ST

OP

PO

RT

UN

ITIE

S

Th

e f

ort

hco

min

g d

eta

il o

f p

rod

uc

t ca

teg

ory

ta

riff

ch

an

ge

s w

ill

pro

vid

e e

xtra

cla

rity

on

wh

ere

th

e o

pp

ort

un

itie

s fo

r A

ust

ralia

n

bu

sin

ess

es

may

be

. Wh

at

we

kn

ow

no

w t

ho

ug

h is

th

at

the

larg

est

ag

gre

ga

te o

pp

ort

un

itie

s a

re li

kely

to

be

(in

no

ord

er)

:

• A

gri

cult

ure

incl

ud

ing

da

iry,

win

e a

nd

be

ef

• 3

rd p

art

y lia

bili

ty m

oto

r ve

hic

le in

sura

nce

• Fu

nd

s m

an

ag

em

en

t

• E

du

cati

on

• H

ea

lth

(a

ge

d c

are

an

d h

osp

ita

ls)

• V

ita

min

s

For

ag

ed

ca

re, h

osp

ita

ls a

nd

3rd

pa

rty

lia

bili

ty m

oto

r

ve

hic

le in

sura

nc

e, t

he

re is

ad

de

d c

om

ple

xity

co

mp

are

d

wit

h a

tra

dit

ion

al

tra

de

flo

w r

ela

tio

nsh

ip a

s w

ho

lly o

wn

ed

sub

sid

iari

es

ne

ed

to

be

cre

ate

d a

nd

op

era

ted

in C

hin

a.

As

suc

h, u

nd

ers

tan

din

g l

oc

al

ma

rke

t d

yn

am

ics,

bu

sin

ess

stru

ctu

res,

do

me

stic

la

ws

an

d c

ap

ita

l re

qu

ire

me

nts

will

be

co

me

a c

riti

ca

l su

cc

ess

fa

cto

r. H

ow

to

op

era

te

am

idst

th

is c

om

ple

xity

is c

ov

ere

d o

ff in

mo

re d

eta

il in

Sec

tio

n 3

– W

ha

t A

ust

ralia

n b

usi

nes

ses

sho

uld

be

do

ing

an

d S

ecti

on

4 –

Na

vig

ati

ng

th

e b

an

kin

g m

ark

et.

Wh

ile t

he

op

po

rtu

nit

y m

ay b

e h

igh

, th

e a

dd

ed

bu

sin

ess

an

d e

xecu

tio

n c

om

ple

xity

may

lim

it t

he

am

ou

nt

of

Au

stra

lian

bu

sin

ess

es

tha

t h

ave

th

e c

ap

ab

ility

an

d/o

r ca

pit

al t

o c

om

pe

te

in a

larg

e f

ore

ign

ma

rke

t.

17

17

IT P

AY

S T

O P

LAY

IN N

ICH

ES

De

spit

e s

tro

ng

co

ve

rag

e o

n t

he

ma

jor

exp

ort

op

po

rtu

nit

ies

for

Au

stra

lia, m

an

y b

usi

ne

sse

s d

o n

ot

take

ad

va

nta

ge

of

FTA

s, a

s th

ey

are

eit

he

r u

na

wa

re o

r u

nsu

re h

ow

to

ca

ptu

re

the

op

po

rtu

nit

y.

Th

e o

bje

ctiv

e o

f A

NZ

Op

po

rtu

nit

y C

hin

a is

to

pro

vid

e A

ust

ralia

n

bu

sin

ess

es

wit

h a

vie

w o

n w

he

re t

he

op

po

rtu

nit

ies

are

, wh

at

the

y sh

ou

ld k

no

w w

he

n d

eal

ing

wit

h C

hin

a fr

om

a b

anki

ng

and

cap

ital

pe

rsp

ect

ive

an

d h

ow

th

ey

can

su

cce

ssfu

lly e

xecu

te

the

ir C

hin

a st

rate

gy.

Pla

yin

g in

nic

he

s ca

n b

e a

ma

jor

ad

va

nta

ge

fo

r a

nu

mb

er

of

Au

stra

lian

bu

sin

ess

es.

Th

e f

ull

Ch

AF

TA t

ext

is e

xpe

cte

d

to b

e 1

,50

0 p

ag

es

lon

g c

ove

rin

g a

rou

nd

8,5

00

ta

riff

lin

es.

Th

e m

ajo

rity

of

exp

ort

s to

Ch

ina

(9

5%

) w

ill e

ven

tua

lly b

e

tari

ff f

ree

an

d f

or

som

e p

rod

uc

t ca

teg

ori

es

tha

t w

ill r

esu

lt

in a

sig

nifi

can

t re

du

cti

on

in p

rice

an

d t

he

refo

re, t

he

po

ten

tia

l

att

rac

tive

ne

ss t

o C

hin

ese

bu

sin

ess

an

d c

on

sum

ers

.

Exa

mp

les

of

maj

or

tari

ff r

ed

uct

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sm

alle

r ca

teg

ori

es

incl

ud

e

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5%

tar

iff r

ed

uct

ion

in h

on

ey

rela

ted

pro

du

cts

ove

r fi

ve y

ear

s,

a 2

1%

tar

iff r

ed

uct

ion

on

pe

arls

wit

hin

fou

r ye

ars,

a 1

0-2

5%

tar

iff

red

uct

ion

on

var

iou

s n

uts

ove

r fo

ur

year

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15

% t

ariff

re

du

ctio

n

on

ro

ck lo

bst

er

in fo

ur

year

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d u

p t

o a

30

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ariff

re

du

ctio

n

for

vari

ou

s fr

uit

juic

es.

Th

ese

are

no

t m

ajo

r e

xpo

rt c

ate

go

rie

s to

Ch

ina

, ho

we

ve

r,

the

sh

arp

dro

p in

pri

ce

s m

ake

th

ese

Au

stra

lian

pro

du

cts

sig

nifi

ca

ntl

y m

ore

att

rac

tiv

e t

o C

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co

nsu

me

rs a

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ely

mo

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pe

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mp

are

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th

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am

e

pro

du

ct

fro

m o

the

r c

ou

ntr

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wh

ere

ta

riff

s w

ith

Ch

ina

ma

y s

till

rem

ain

in p

lac

e.

It is

ess

en

tia

l th

at

bu

sin

ess

es

un

de

rsta

nd

ho

w t

he

ir a

rea

of

exp

ert

ise

is a

ffe

cte

d w

he

n t

he

Ch

AF

TA e

nte

rs in

to f

orc

e

in la

te 2

01

5. M

ore

de

taile

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form

ati

on

will

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re

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DFA

T in

Ap

ril,

bu

t b

usi

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ou

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lan

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ow

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PL

AY

ING

IN

NIC

HE

S C

AN

BE

A M

AJO

R A

DV

AN

TAG

E

Page 10: ANZ OPPORTUNITY CHINA · 7 ANZ O PP O INTRODUCTION Why this one stands out • The ChAFT A has the potential to be transformational over time as: - China is A ustralia’s largest

19

AN

Z O

PP

OR

TU

NIT

Y C

HIN

A

Se

cti

on

2 –

Au

stra

lia

n o

pp

ort

un

itie

s fr

om

th

e C

hA

FTA

FIG

UR

E 6

: TH

E C

HA

FTA

IN

DU

ST

RY

OP

PO

RT

UN

ITY

HE

AT

MA

P

So

urc

e: D

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Z

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ust

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20

14

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info

rma

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n s

et

to b

e r

ele

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d in

Ap

ril 2

01

5.

Page 11: ANZ OPPORTUNITY CHINA · 7 ANZ O PP O INTRODUCTION Why this one stands out • The ChAFT A has the potential to be transformational over time as: - China is A ustralia’s largest

21

AN

Z O

PP

OR

TU

NIT

Y C

HIN

A

Se

cti

on

2 –

Au

stra

lia

n o

pp

ort

un

itie

s fr

om

th

e C

hA

FTA

ChA

FTA

indu

stry

sp

otlig

ht

Th

e f

ull

Ch

AF

TA t

ext

will

pro

vid

e c

lari

ty a

t th

e p

rod

uc

t

leve

l, b

ut

the

ma

jor

op

po

rtu

nit

ies

fro

m t

he

Ch

AF

TA a

re n

ot

just

ba

sed

on

ta

riff

ch

an

ge

s b

ut

als

o d

em

an

d a

nd

su

pp

ly

fun

da

me

nta

ls, A

ust

ralia

’ re

lati

ve s

tre

ng

th in

a p

art

icu

lar

ind

ust

ry, h

isto

rica

l tra

din

g r

ela

tio

nsh

ips

an

d c

ha

ng

es

wit

h

resp

ec

t to

co

mp

eti

ng

co

un

trie

s to

Au

stra

lia f

or

the

Ch

ine

se

imp

ort

do

llar.

Wh

ile t

he

Ch

AF

TA is

re

lev

an

t fo

r e

very

ind

ust

ry,

we

pro

vid

e a

sp

otl

igh

t o

n a

fe

w o

f th

e m

ost

imp

ort

an

t.

SP

OT

LIG

HT

ON

AG

RIC

ULT

UR

E

Th

e s

ign

ing

of

the

Ch

AF

TA in

No

vem

be

r 2

01

4 w

as

gre

ete

d

wit

h s

tro

ng

en

thu

sia

sm b

y th

e A

ust

ralia

n a

gri

cult

ura

l

sec

tor.

Ch

ina’

s im

po

rts

of

foo

d a

nd

ag

ricu

ltu

ral p

rod

uc

ts

hav

e c

on

tin

ue

d t

o in

cre

ase

ove

r th

e p

ast

de

cad

e, d

rive

n

by

po

pu

lati

on

gro

wth

, ris

ing

inco

me

s, u

rba

nis

ati

on

, an

d a

tre

nd

to

wa

rd W

est

ern

die

ts. W

hile

do

me

stic

fo

od

pro

du

cti

on

ha

s co

nti

nu

ed

to

gro

w, d

rive

n b

y a

gri

cult

ura

l str

ate

gie

s

as

pa

rt o

f th

e F

ive

Ye

ar

Pla

ns,

Ch

ina’

s im

po

rt f

oo

d

de

pe

nd

en

ce h

as

do

ub

led

to

alm

ost

13

% s

ince

20

01

.

Pa

rtic

ula

rly

ove

r th

e p

ast

de

cad

e, t

he

Au

stra

lian

ag

ricu

ltu

re

sec

tor

ha

s in

ma

ny

way

s fe

lt h

an

dic

ap

pe

d b

y th

e la

ck o

f a

FTA

, in

co

mp

ari

son

to

th

eir

co

mp

eti

tors

fro

m N

ew

Ze

ala

nd

,

wh

ose

FTA

wit

h C

hin

a w

as

fin

alis

ed

in 2

00

8. W

ith

th

e g

rad

ua

l

elim

ina

tio

n o

f ta

riff

s u

nd

er

the

FTA

, th

e A

ust

ralia

n a

gri

cult

ure

sec

tor

will

en

joy

eq

ua

l fo

oti

ng

wit

h N

ew

Ze

ala

nd

.

Pri

ma

rily

, th

e im

pa

ct

of

the

imp

lem

en

tati

on

of

the

Ch

AF

TA

on

Au

stra

lian

ag

ricu

ltu

ral e

xpo

rts

will

be

incr

ea

sed

pri

ce

com

pe

titi

ven

ess

wit

h t

he

ir c

om

pe

tito

rs. I

n a

dd

itio

n,

a s

che

du

led

re

vie

w o

f th

e C

hA

FTA

’s o

utc

om

es

aft

er

thre

e

yea

rs m

ay a

llow

fo

r fu

rth

er

libe

ralis

ati

on

of

ma

rke

t a

cce

ss.

Th

e fl

ow

-on

imp

lica

tio

ns

fro

m t

he

Ch

AF

TA c

lea

rly

go

be

yon

d

pri

ce c

om

pe

titi

ven

ess

. Th

e e

nh

an

ced

att

rac

tive

ne

ss o

f

Au

stra

lian

ag

ricu

ltu

ral p

rod

uc

ts, c

om

bin

ed

wit

h t

he

lim

ite

d

rate

of

ag

ricu

ltu

ral p

rod

uc

tio

n g

lob

ally

, is

like

ly t

o s

ee

incr

ea

sed

inve

stm

en

t in

pro

du

cti

on

ass

ets

, as

pro

cess

ors

,

tra

de

rs a

nd

dis

trib

uto

rs s

ee

k to

tie

up

su

pp

ly, a

nd

inve

sto

rs

see

k to

ga

in a

re

turn

on

fo

reca

st s

tro

ng

co

nsu

mp

tio

n g

row

th.

Imp

ort

an

tly,

fo

r A

ust

ralia

, wh

ile a

gre

at

de

al o

f th

e d

em

an

d

pre

dic

tio

ns

are

ba

sed

on

Ch

ina

, th

e c

ap

ita

l in

flo

ws

to t

he

sec

tor

see

kin

g t

o t

ake

ad

va

nta

ge

of

this

are

glo

ba

l.

Acr

oss

th

e s

up

ply

ch

ain

th

e im

pro

ved

ma

rgin

s o

f e

ffici

en

t

op

era

tors

wh

o a

re a

ble

to

ta

ke a

dv

an

tag

e o

f th

e C

hA

FTA

be

ne

fits

are

like

ly t

o le

ad

to

incr

ea

sed

ind

ust

ry c

on

solid

ati

on

,

as

bu

sin

ess

es

see

k sc

ale

effi

cie

nci

es.

Ho

we

ver,

wh

ile t

ari

ff r

ed

uc

tio

ns

an

d m

ark

et

acc

ess

are

imp

ort

an

t, t

he

y fo

rm o

nly

on

e o

f th

e f

ac

tors

wh

ich

will

de

term

ine

ma

rke

t sh

are

fo

r co

mp

eti

ng

ag

ricu

ltu

ral e

xpo

rte

rs

to C

hin

a. T

he

issu

e o

f fo

od

sa

fety

, an

d it

s im

pa

ct

on

th

e f

oo

d

bu

yin

g c

ho

ice

s o

f th

e C

hin

ese

pu

blic

, co

nti

nu

es

to a

ttra

ct

mu

ch c

ove

rag

e a

nd

de

ba

te.

Diff

ere

nt

Au

stra

lian

ag

ricu

ltu

ral s

ec

tors

hav

e c

on

tin

ue

d t

o

em

ph

asi

se t

he

fo

od

sa

fety

me

rits

of

Au

stra

lia’s

pro

du

ce, i

n

con

tra

st t

o g

lob

al c

om

pe

tito

rs. T

his

va

rie

s b

y se

cto

r –

fo

r b

ee

f,

the

ab

sen

ce o

f FM

D (

Foo

t a

nd

Mo

uth

Dis

ea

se)

or

BS

E (

Bo

vin

e

Sp

on

gif

orm

En

cep

ha

lop

ath

y o

r “M

ad

Co

w D

ise

ase

”) h

as

pro

vid

ed

Au

stra

lia w

ith

a c

lea

r e

dg

e o

ver

glo

ba

l co

mp

eti

tors

such

as

the

US

an

d t

he

EU

. Fo

r o

the

r se

cto

rs, t

he

fo

od

sa

fety

con

cern

s d

riv

ing

Ch

ine

se c

on

sum

ers

to

loo

k to

wa

rd im

po

rte

d

pro

du

cts

are

dri

ven

by

do

me

stic

inci

de

nts

su

ch a

s th

e 2

00

8

Ch

ine

se m

ilk s

can

da

l, w

he

re m

ilk t

ain

ted

wit

h m

ela

min

e,

led

to

th

e d

ea

ths

of

six

ba

bie

s a

nd

th

e h

osp

ita

lisa

tio

n o

f o

ver

50

,00

0 o

the

rs. A

rgu

ab

ly f

oo

d s

afe

ty r

em

ain

s a

ma

jor

dri

ver

in C

hin

a’s

da

iry

con

sum

er

ha

bit

s se

ven

ye

ars

on

.

AU

ST

RA

LIA

N A

GR

ICU

LTU

RE

WIL

L B

E A

MA

JOR

WIN

NE

R F

RO

M T

HE

CH

AF

TA

Page 12: ANZ OPPORTUNITY CHINA · 7 ANZ O PP O INTRODUCTION Why this one stands out • The ChAFT A has the potential to be transformational over time as: - China is A ustralia’s largest

23

AN

Z O

PP

OR

TU

NIT

Y C

HIN

A

TH

E H

IGH

CH

INE

SE

DE

MA

ND

FO

R I

MP

OR

TE

D

DA

IRY

PR

OD

UC

TS

IS

LIK

ELY

TO

BE

MA

INTA

INE

D

Se

cti

on

2 –

Au

stra

lia

n o

pp

ort

un

itie

s fr

om

th

e C

hA

FTA

FIG

UR

E 7

: AU

STR

ALI

AN

DA

IRY

EX

PO

RT

DES

TIN

ATI

ON

S B

Y V

OLU

ME

(20

14

, 73

0,9

04

to

nn

es)

So

urc

e: D

air

y A

ust

rali

a, F

AP

RI &

AN

Z A

na

lysi

s

FIG

UR

E 8

: AU

ST

RA

LIA

N D

AIR

Y E

XP

OR

T D

ES

TIN

AT

ION

S B

Y V

ALU

E

(20

14

, AU

D 3

,21

1 m

illi

on

)

So

urc

e: D

air

y A

ust

rali

a, F

AP

RI &

AN

Z A

na

lysi

s

FIG

UR

E 9

: AU

ST

RA

LIA

N D

AIR

Y E

XP

OR

TS

BY

RE

GIO

N (

20

14

)

So

urc

e: D

air

y A

ust

rali

a, F

AP

RI &

AN

Z A

na

lysi

s

Gre

ater

Chi

na 1

9%

Japa

n 12

%

Sing

apor

e 11

%

Mal

aysi

a 7%

Indo

nesi

a 7%

Thai

land

6%

Phili

ppin

es 5

%

New

Ze a

land

4%

UA

E 3%

Taiw

an 3

%

Oth

ers

23%

Gre

ater

Chi

na 1

9%

Japa

n 13

%

Sing

apor

e 9%

Mal

aysi

a 7%

Indo

nesi

a 7%

Thai

land

6%

New

Ze a

land

4%

UA

E 4%

Phili

ppin

es 3

%

Russ

ian

Fed.

3%

Oth

ers

25%

Sout

h-Ea

st A

sia

33%

Oth

er A

sia

24%

Gre

ater

Chi

na 1

8%

Mid

dle

East

11%

Am

eric

as 2

%

Euro

pe 5

%

Afr

ica

2%

Oth

er 5

%

SP

OT

LIG

HT

ON

DA

IRY

Wh

ile A

ust

ralia

acc

ou

nts

fo

r a

n e

stim

ate

d 2

% o

f th

e w

orl

d’s

milk

pro

du

cti

on

, it

is a

sig

nifi

can

t e

xpo

rte

r o

f d

air

y p

rod

uc

ts.

Au

stra

lia r

an

ks f

ou

rth

in t

erm

s o

f w

orl

d d

air

y tr

ad

e—

wit

h

7%

sh

are

—b

eh

ind

Ne

w Z

ea

lan

d a

nd

th

e E

uro

pe

an

Un

ion

as

a b

loc

an

d t

he

Un

ite

d S

tate

s. O

ver

rece

nt

yea

rs, A

ust

ralia

ha

s e

xpo

rte

d a

rou

nd

40

% o

f it

s m

ilk p

rod

uc

tio

n -

th

e

low

est

pro

po

rtio

n s

ince

th

e m

id-1

99

0s,

du

e t

o t

he

re

du

ced

ava

ilab

ility

of

pro

du

ct

fro

m a

de

clin

ing

milk

pro

du

cti

on

ba

se.

Gre

ate

r C

hin

a (

incl

ud

ing

Ch

ina

, Ho

ng

Ko

ng

an

d M

aca

u)

is n

ow

th

e s

ing

le m

ost

imp

ort

an

t e

xpo

rt m

ark

et

for

Au

stra

lia, a

cco

un

tin

g f

or

19

% o

f e

xpo

rts

by

bo

th v

olu

me

an

d v

alu

e. A

ust

ralia

n e

xpo

rts

are

co

nce

ntr

ate

d in

Asi

a,

wh

ich

re

pre

sen

ted

75

% o

f th

e t

ota

l da

iry

exp

ort

va

lue

of

AU

D3

.21

bill

ion

in F

Y2

01

4. A

ust

ralia

n d

air

y co

mp

an

ies

hav

e

be

en

su

pp

lyin

g t

he

se m

ark

ets

ove

r a

nu

mb

er

of

de

cad

es.

Th

is c

on

cen

trat

ion

of

exp

ort

s in

Asi

a re

fle

cts

bo

th A

ust

ralia

’s

ge

og

rap

hic

pro

xim

ity

to t

he

se m

arke

ts a

nd

th

e e

xte

nt

to

wh

ich

Au

stra

lia is

exc

lud

ed

fro

m o

the

r m

ajo

r m

arke

ts b

y

dir

ect

re

stri

ctio

ns

(as

in t

he

cas

e o

f th

e E

U o

r th

e im

pac

t

of

the

exp

ort

su

bsi

dy

pro

gra

ms

of

maj

or

com

pe

tito

r co

un

trie

s).

Asi

an m

arke

ts h

ave

co

nsi

de

rab

le p

ote

nti

al fo

r co

nsu

mp

tio

n

gro

wth

as

inco

me

s ri

se a

nd

die

ts b

eco

me

mo

re “w

est

ern

ise

d”.

Th

e f

aste

st g

row

ing

exp

ort

mar

ket

for

Au

stra

lia in

th

e la

st fi

ve

year

s h

as b

ee

n G

reat

er

Ch

ina.

In t

he

op

po

site

dir

ec

tio

n, A

ust

ralia

is a

re

lati

vely

sm

all

pla

yer,

ma

kin

g u

p a

rou

nd

3%

of

Ch

ina’

s m

ilk p

ow

de

r im

po

rts

an

d

aro

un

d 1

1%

of

Ch

ina’

s liq

uid

milk

imp

ort

s.

Wit

hin

Ch

ina

, lo

cal p

rod

uc

tio

n is

ad

just

ing

to

tig

hte

r

reg

ula

tio

ns

imp

lem

en

ted

in t

he

wa

ke o

f th

e m

ela

min

e

con

tam

ina

tio

n a

nd

is b

eco

min

g m

ore

co

nce

ntr

ate

d.

Th

e h

igh

de

ma

nd

fo

r im

po

rte

d d

air

y p

rod

uc

ts is

like

ly t

o

be

ma

inta

ine

d in

th

e f

ore

see

ab

le f

utu

re w

ith

sig

nifi

can

t

gro

wth

exp

ec

ted

fo

r im

po

rte

d r

eta

il p

rod

uc

ts in

clu

din

g

infa

nt

form

ula

, UH

T m

ilk, c

he

ese

, pas

teu

rize

d m

ilk a

nd

yo

gu

rt,

wit

h t

he

use

of

ing

red

ien

ts li

ke S

MP,

WM

P a

nd

wh

ey

po

wd

er.

Po

wd

ers

co

nst

itu

te 7

0%

of t

he

mar

ket

by

volu

me

, 82

% b

y va

lue

.

Page 13: ANZ OPPORTUNITY CHINA · 7 ANZ O PP O INTRODUCTION Why this one stands out • The ChAFT A has the potential to be transformational over time as: - China is A ustralia’s largest

25

AN

Z O

PP

OR

TU

NIT

Y C

HIN

A

Se

cti

on

2 –

Au

stra

lia

n o

pp

ort

un

itie

s fr

om

th

e C

hA

FTA

FIG

UR

E 1

0: P

RIC

ING

IN

EX

PO

RT

MA

RK

ET

S (

AU

D/C

AS

E)

So

urc

e: M

org

an

Sta

nle

y: G

lob

al W

ine

Ind

ust

ry R

epo

rt O

cto

ber

20

13

SP

OT

LIG

HT

ON

WIN

E

Th

e C

hA

FTA

co

me

s a

t a

n im

po

rta

nt

tim

e f

or

the

Au

stra

lian

win

e s

ec

tor.

In t

erm

s o

f w

ine

pro

du

cers

, th

e A

ust

ralia

n

ind

ust

ry h

as

con

tin

ue

d t

o g

row

to

aro

un

d 2

,57

2 in

20

13

.

Th

is is

larg

ely

ma

de

up

of

bo

uti

qu

e w

ine

rie

s, p

rod

uci

ng

less

tha

n 1

00

to

nn

es.

Inte

rest

ing

ly, t

his

pla

ces

the

Au

stra

lian

win

e

sec

tor

in c

on

tra

st t

o a

lmo

st e

very

oth

er

ag

ricu

ltu

re s

ec

tor,

wh

en

ove

rall

nu

mb

ers

co

nti

nu

e t

o d

ecl

ine

, on

th

e b

ack

of

ind

ust

ry c

on

solid

ati

on

.

Th

e A

ust

ralia

n w

ine

ind

ust

ry h

as

be

en

incr

ea

sin

gly

exp

ort

ori

en

ted

ove

r th

e p

ast

tw

en

ty y

ea

rs, w

ith

exp

ort

s ri

sin

g f

rom

55

% o

f to

tal v

olu

me

in 1

99

1 t

o 7

3%

in 2

01

3. I

n r

ece

nt

yea

rs,

the

ind

ust

ry h

ad

be

en

imp

ac

ted

by

the

hig

h A

UD

, as

we

ll a

s

stro

ng

co

mp

eti

tio

n in

th

e lo

we

r e

nd

of

the

win

e m

ark

et

fro

m

com

pe

tito

rs in

ne

w r

eg

ion

s su

ch a

s C

hile

an

d S

ou

th A

fric

a.

At

ho

me

, th

e in

du

stry

ha

d a

lso

be

en

ch

alle

ng

ed

by

the

ma

rke

t p

ow

er

of

the

tw

o m

ajo

r re

taile

rs, a

s th

ey

con

tin

ue

d

to lo

we

r m

arg

ins

wh

ile in

tro

du

cin

g t

he

ir o

wn

pri

va

te la

be

ls.

Do

me

stic

co

nsu

mp

tio

n g

row

th h

as

als

o b

ee

n s

lug

gis

h,

furt

he

r h

it b

y a

n in

cre

ase

in im

po

rte

d w

ine

.

As

an

exp

ort

ma

rke

t fo

r A

ust

ralia

n w

ine

, Ch

ina

ha

s co

nti

nu

ed

to in

cre

ase

in im

po

rta

nce

, ris

ing

fro

m t

he

fift

h la

rge

st m

ark

et

in 2

00

8 t

o t

hir

d in

20

13

. Th

e g

row

th h

as

be

en

dri

ven

by

ove

rall

volu

me

incr

ea

ses

an

d h

igh

er

pri

ce m

ix o

f e

xpo

rts.

Ch

ine

se w

ine

imp

ort

s fr

om

Au

stra

lia a

re a

lmo

st e

nti

rely

fro

m t

he

bo

ttle

d s

ec

tor

(85

%)

rath

er

tha

n b

ulk

, a r

ati

o

wh

ich

is a

lmo

st a

dir

ec

t co

ntr

ast

fro

m t

ha

t o

f A

ust

ralia

n

exp

ort

s to

th

e U

K.

Au

stra

lian

win

e p

rod

uce

rs h

ave

co

nti

nu

ed

to

pu

rsu

e

op

po

rtu

nit

ies

in C

hin

a, w

hile

mo

vin

g a

way

fro

m o

the

r

tra

dit

ion

al m

ark

ets

. In

te

rms

of

pri

cin

g p

er

case

, Au

stra

lia’s

top

six

ma

rke

ts a

re in

Asi

a, a

nd

wh

ile C

hin

a f

alls

be

hin

d

Ma

lays

ia, S

ing

ap

ore

, Ho

ng

Ko

ng

an

d T

ha

ilan

d, i

ts s

he

er

curr

en

t a

nd

fo

reca

st e

xpo

rt v

olu

me

s a

dd

to

its

allu

re.

Th

e a

ttra

cti

ven

ess

of

the

Ch

ine

se m

ark

et

lies

pa

rtic

ula

rly

in

the

vo

lum

es

of

hig

h p

rice

d w

ine

s. In

th

e t

op

pri

ce s

eg

me

nt

for

Au

stra

lian

win

e im

po

rts,

ab

ove

AU

D1

0, C

hin

a s

aw g

row

th

of

25

% in

20

13

, an

d n

ow

ho

lds

aro

un

d 3

1%

of

tha

t se

gm

en

t.

Co

mb

ine

d w

ith

Ho

ng

Ko

ng

, th

e t

wo

ho

ld a

lmo

st 4

3%

.

In C

hin

a, r

ed

bo

ttle

d w

ine

do

min

ate

s o

ver

oth

er

va

rie

tals

,

dri

ven

by

cult

ura

l pre

fere

nce

s. R

ed

win

e is

co

nsi

de

red

to

be

“lu

cky

”, d

ue

to

th

e c

on

no

tati

on

of “

go

od

fo

rtu

ne

”, a

sso

cia

ted

wit

h t

he

co

lou

r re

d. I

n a

dd

itio

n, w

ine

is p

erc

eiv

ed

to

be

soci

ally

an

d c

ult

ura

lly s

op

his

tica

ted

. In

ad

dit

ion

to

pro

mo

tin

g

go

od

fo

rtu

ne

, re

d w

ine

is a

lso

se

en

as

be

ing

go

od

fo

r h

ea

lth

.

Ch

ina’

s co

nsu

mp

tio

n o

f w

ine

ha

s co

nti

nu

ed

to

be

dri

ven

by

risi

ng

ho

use

ho

ld in

com

es,

wit

h in

cre

asi

ng

ly a

fflu

en

t

con

sum

ers

sh

ifti

ng

to

win

e f

rom

be

er

or

spir

its

as

the

ir

alc

oh

ol o

f p

refe

ren

ce.

Mo

re r

ece

ntl

y, t

he

asc

en

sio

n o

f X

i Jin

pin

g t

o t

he

Ch

ine

se

Pre

sid

en

cy,

an

d h

is c

rack

do

wn

on

gif

t-g

ivin

g a

nd

en

tert

ain

me

nt,

in a

bid

to

re

du

ce c

orr

up

tio

n, h

ad a

n in

itia

l

imp

act

on

th

e e

xpo

rt o

f A

ust

ralia

n w

ine

s to

Ch

ina,

de

clin

ing

in 2

01

3, b

efo

re r

isin

g 8

% in

20

14

to

hit

40

mill

ion

litr

es,

valu

ed

at

AU

D2

24

mill

ion

.

$

Malaysia

Singapore

Hong Kong

Thailand

China

Japan

Finland

UAE

Canada

Ireland

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

The

dair

y de

al

It w

as

for

no

sm

all

rea

son

th

at

Au

stra

lian

Tra

de

Min

iste

r

An

dre

w R

ob

b d

esc

rib

ed

th

e F

TA a

s “t

he

da

iry

de

al”.

Th

rou

gh

ou

t th

e n

eg

oti

ati

on

pe

rio

d, t

he

Au

stra

lian

da

iry

sec

tor

wa

s a

da

ma

nt

tha

t th

e d

air

y o

utc

om

es

ne

ed

ed

to b

e e

qu

al t

o o

r b

ett

er

tha

n t

ho

se r

ece

ive

d b

y N

ew

Ze

ala

nd

un

de

r th

eir

20

08

FTA

wit

h C

hin

a. I

n t

he

pe

rio

d s

ince

th

at

FTA

,

NZ

da

iry

exp

ort

s to

Ch

ina

hav

e r

ise

n f

rom

AU

D5

00

mill

ion

to A

UD

3 b

illio

n a

nn

ua

lly.

Un

de

r th

e F

TA, t

he

10

% t

o 2

0%

ta

riff

s w

hic

h c

urr

en

tly

ap

ply

to t

he

da

iry

sec

tor

will

be

ph

ase

d o

ut

ove

r te

n y

ea

rs, w

hile

th

e

15

% t

ari

ff o

n in

fan

t fo

rmu

la w

ill b

e p

ha

sed

ou

t o

ver

fou

r ye

ars

.

On

e f

ac

tor

wh

ich

fu

rth

er

ass

ists

th

e A

ust

ralia

n d

air

y se

cto

r is

the

lack

of

pro

tec

tive

sa

feg

ua

rds

wh

ich

cu

rre

ntl

y a

pp

ly t

o t

he

Ne

w Z

ea

lan

d’s

da

iry

exp

ort

s to

Ch

ina

. Un

de

r th

e N

ew

Ze

ala

nd

FTA

, ta

riff

s a

re a

pp

lied

on

ce a

qu

ota

is r

ea

che

d, t

ho

ug

h u

nd

er

the

Au

stra

lian

ag

ree

me

nt,

th

ese

sa

feg

ua

rds

on

ly a

pp

ly t

o

wh

ole

milk

po

wd

er.

Th

e s

ign

ing

of

the

FTA

is li

kely

to

se

e a

n u

ptu

rn in

co

mp

lete

d

tra

nsa

cti

on

s b

y C

hin

ese

inve

sto

rs in

th

e A

ust

ralia

n d

air

y

sup

ply

ch

ain

, bo

th a

t th

e p

rod

uc

tio

n a

nd

pro

cess

ing

sta

ge

s.

Un

til n

ow

, wh

ile C

hin

ese

inve

sto

r in

tere

st in

th

e s

ec

tor

ha

s

be

en

wid

ely

dis

cuss

ed

an

d s

pe

cula

ted

up

on

– r

um

ou

rs o

f

op

tio

ns

on

a la

rge

nu

mb

er

of

ma

jor

da

iry

farm

s a

bo

un

d –

the

re h

ave

be

en

re

lati

vely

fe

w a

ctu

al t

ran

sac

tio

ns,

wit

h t

he

ma

jor

acq

uis

itio

ns

com

ing

mo

re f

rom

Eu

rop

ea

n, J

ap

an

ese

an

d C

an

ad

ian

pla

yers

su

ch a

s P

arm

ala

t, K

irin

an

d S

ap

uto

.

Wa

ry o

f a

re

pe

at

of

the

fo

od

sa

fety

issu

es

wh

ich

hav

e r

ock

ed

the

Ch

ine

se d

air

y se

cto

r in

th

e p

ast

, Ch

ine

se c

om

pa

nie

s

will

be

ke

en

to

se

cure

alt

ern

ati

ve s

ou

rce

s o

f su

pp

ly in

Au

stra

lia, i

nve

stin

g in

da

iry

farm

s a

nd

da

iry

pro

cess

ing

.

At

the

sa

me

tim

e, o

the

r m

ajo

r g

lob

al i

nve

sto

rs a

re a

lso

exp

lori

ng

op

po

rtu

nit

ies

in t

he

Au

stra

lian

da

iry

pro

du

cti

on

sec

tor,

kee

n t

o t

ake

ad

va

nta

ge

of

the

op

po

rtu

nit

ies

off

ere

d

by

the

Ch

ine

se m

ark

et

an

d e

nh

an

ced

by

the

FTA

. Wit

h li

mit

ed

are

as

in A

ust

ralia

su

ita

ble

fo

r in

ten

sive

da

iry

farm

ing

, th

is w

ill

pla

ce p

ote

nti

al i

nve

sto

rs in

co

mp

eti

tio

n w

ith

th

e e

sta

blis

he

d

da

iry

pro

cess

ors

, fo

r w

ho

m it

is v

ita

l to

se

cure

su

pp

ly

con

tra

cts

. Th

e r

esu

lt o

f th

is is

like

ly t

o b

e o

ng

oin

g u

pw

ard

pre

ssu

re o

n d

air

y p

rod

uci

ng

lan

d, w

hile

pro

cess

fo

r d

air

y

catt

le a

re a

lso

like

ly t

o r

ise

, pa

rtly

infl

ue

nce

d b

y g

row

ing

live

da

iry

catt

le e

xpo

rts,

wit

h a

rou

nd

85

% o

f th

is A

UD

20

0 m

illio

n

tra

de

de

stin

ed

fo

r C

hin

a in

FY

20

14

.

Th

e im

pa

ct

on

do

wn

stre

am

co

sts

will

als

o li

kely

dri

ve f

urt

he

r

inve

stm

en

t b

y C

hin

ese

pro

cess

ors

up

th

e s

up

ply

ch

ain

.

Low

er

imp

ort

co

sts

are

like

ly t

o d

rive

do

wn

loca

l raw

milk

pri

ces,

wh

ile in

cre

asi

ng

th

e p

rice

ad

va

nta

ge

of

imp

ort

ed

UH

T m

ilk o

ver

do

me

stic

pro

du

cts

. As

such

, th

e m

ajo

r

Ch

ine

se m

ilk p

roce

sso

rs, s

uch

as

Me

ng

niu

, Bri

gh

t a

nd

Yili

are

all

like

ly t

o s

ee

k to

incr

ea

se p

rod

uc

tio

n o

f th

eir

bra

nd

ed

imp

ort

UH

T p

rod

uc

ts.

Th

e im

pa

ct

of

the

Ch

AF

TA f

or

ba

by

form

ula

pro

du

cers

may

be

less

th

an

th

e o

the

r m

ajo

r d

air

y p

rod

uc

t ca

teg

ori

es.

In

the

co

nti

nu

ing

wa

ke o

f th

e m

ela

min

e s

can

da

l, C

hin

ese

con

sum

ers

re

ma

in h

esi

tan

t to

use

do

me

stic

ally

pro

du

ced

pro

du

cts

, ch

oo

sin

g t

o p

ay w

ha

t ca

n b

e a

siz

ea

ble

pre

miu

m

for

imp

ort

ed

pro

du

cts

. As

such

, th

e im

pa

cts

of

ma

rke

tin

g,

inn

ov

ati

on

an

d d

istr

ibu

tio

n m

ay c

on

tin

ue

to

be

th

e m

ajo

r

dri

vers

in t

his

se

gm

en

t.

In t

he

sh

ort

to

me

diu

m t

erm

, th

e im

pa

ct

of

da

iry

tari

ff

cha

ng

es

cou

ld b

e b

lun

ted

by

the

slu

gg

ish

gro

wth

. Wit

h

Au

stra

lia’s

pro

du

cti

on

of

bo

th W

MP

an

d li

qu

id m

ilk r

un

nin

g

at

low

sin

gle

dig

it fi

gu

res

ove

r th

e p

ast

five

ye

ars

, th

e

ind

ust

ry’s

ch

alle

ng

e r

em

ain

s to

lift

pro

du

cti

vit

y to

me

et

the

fo

reca

st d

em

an

d.

TH

E D

AIR

Y D

EA

L

Page 14: ANZ OPPORTUNITY CHINA · 7 ANZ O PP O INTRODUCTION Why this one stands out • The ChAFT A has the potential to be transformational over time as: - China is A ustralia’s largest

Fran

ce 4

4%

Aust

ralia

18%

Chile

10%

Spai

n 7%

Italy

7%

US

6%

New

Zea

land

2%

Rest

of W

orld

6%

27

AN

Z O

PP

OR

TU

NIT

Y C

HIN

A

TH

E C

HIN

ES

E M

AR

KE

T W

ILL

CO

NT

INU

E T

O O

PE

N

UP

FO

R A

US

TR

AL

IAN

WIN

E P

RO

DU

CE

RS

Se

cti

on

2 –

Au

stra

lia

n o

pp

ort

un

itie

s fr

om

th

e C

hA

FTA

FIG

UR

E 1

1: B

Y V

ALU

E

So

urc

e: W

ines

-in

fo.c

om

AN

Z A

na

lysi

s

FIG

UR

E 1

2: B

Y V

OLU

ME

So

urc

e: W

ines

-in

fo.c

om

AN

Z A

na

lysi

s

Brea

kdow

n of

Chi

na’s

imp

ort w

ine

mar

ket 1

H14

Th

e t

ari

ff c

uts

will

se

e a

n in

cre

asi

ng

nu

mb

er

of

qu

alit

y

Au

stra

lian

win

es

be

com

ing

av

aila

ble

to

Ch

ine

se c

on

sum

ers

.

Th

is is

like

ly t

o b

e d

rive

n b

y C

hin

ese

win

e im

po

rte

rs w

ho

may

pre

vio

usl

y h

ave

be

en

de

terr

ed

fro

m in

clu

din

g A

ust

ralia

n

win

es

in t

he

ir p

ort

folio

s.

In t

he

wa

ke o

f th

e C

hA

FTA

, se

vera

l ne

w d

istr

ibu

tio

n

ag

ree

me

nts

we

re a

nn

ou

nce

d. T

he

So

uth

Au

stra

lian

win

ery

Kili

kan

oo

n a

nn

ou

nce

d t

ha

t it

ha

d s

ign

ed

a d

istr

ibu

tio

n d

ea

l

wit

h J

oyv

io, t

he

ag

ricu

ltu

ral d

ivis

ion

of

com

pu

ter

ma

ker

Len

ovo

. Th

is f

ollo

we

d t

he

an

no

un

cem

en

t in

Au

gu

st 2

01

4 b

y

McG

uig

an

win

es

pro

du

cer

Au

stra

lian

Vin

tag

e t

ha

t th

ey

ha

d

sig

ne

d a

dis

trib

uti

on

de

al w

ith

Co

fco

in C

hin

a.

Telli

ng

ly, t

he

invo

lve

me

nt

by

Joyv

io/L

en

ovo

pro

vid

ed

fu

rth

er

ev

ide

nce

on

th

e t

ren

d o

f m

ajo

r C

hin

ese

co

mp

an

ies

acr

oss

a r

an

ge

of

sec

tors

se

eki

ng

to

mo

ve in

to t

he

win

e t

rad

e.

Pe

rha

ps

un

surp

risi

ng

ly, t

he

tre

nd

of

Ch

ine

se in

vest

ors

bu

yin

g

into

Au

stra

lian

win

eri

es

ha

s sl

ow

ed

ove

r th

e p

ast

ye

ar,

as

Ch

ine

se in

vest

ors

ev

alu

ate

d t

he

lon

ge

r te

rm im

plic

ati

on

s o

f

the

au

ste

rity

me

asu

res

on

th

eir

po

ten

tia

l in

vest

me

nts

. Fo

r

Ch

ine

se w

ine

imp

ort

ers

, th

e a

ust

eri

ty m

ea

sure

s h

ave

als

o le

ft

a d

eg

ree

of

ha

ng

ove

r st

ock

, wh

ich

will

als

o im

pa

ct

inve

stm

en

t

de

cisi

on

s fo

r th

e s

ho

rt t

o m

ed

ium

te

rm. S

ince

20

10

, Ch

ine

se

inve

stm

en

ts in

to t

he

Au

stra

lian

win

e s

ec

tor

ha

d r

em

ain

ed

ste

ad

y, t

ho

ug

h la

rge

ly o

f a

sm

alle

r sc

ale

, wit

h t

he

ass

ets

se

en

as

mo

re t

rop

hy

pu

rch

ase

s o

r re

tre

ats

, ra

the

r th

an

as

sca

lab

le

com

po

ne

nts

of

a s

up

ply

ch

ain

str

ate

gy

to p

rov

ide

exp

ort

s

of

Au

stra

lian

win

e t

o a

wid

er

sec

tio

n o

f th

e C

hin

ese

ma

rke

t.

Fran

ce 4

2%

Aust

ralia

12%

Chile

13%

Spai

n 12

%

Italy

7%

US

5%

New

Zea

land

1%

Rest

of W

orld

8%

Posi

tioni

ng A

ustr

alia

n w

ine

for g

row

th

Tari

ffs

on

Au

stra

lian

win

es

are

to

be

re

du

ced

to

ze

ro in

fo

ur

yea

rs f

rom

14

% o

n b

ott

led

win

es

an

d 2

0%

on

bu

lk w

ine

s.

Just

as

wit

h b

ee

f p

rod

uce

rs, t

he

Au

stra

lian

win

e s

ec

tor

will

see

th

is a

s a

llow

ing

th

em

to

be

com

e m

ore

co

mp

eti

tive

wit

h

the

Ch

ilea

n a

nd

Ne

w Z

ea

lan

d w

ine

se

cto

rs. N

ew

Ze

ala

nd

win

es

hav

e h

ad

no

ta

riff

s si

nce

20

12

, wh

ile C

hile

an

win

e

tari

ffs

we

re r

ed

uce

d t

o z

ero

in 2

01

5.

Th

e g

row

th r

ate

s o

f C

hile

an

win

e e

xpo

rts

to C

hin

a p

rov

ide

an

inte

rest

ing

ind

ica

tio

n o

f th

e c

ha

ng

e in

Ch

ina’

s m

ark

et.

In 2

01

3, a

ye

ar

wh

ere

Ch

ina’

s o

vera

ll w

ine

imp

ort

s fe

ll d

ue

to g

ove

rnm

en

t a

ust

eri

ty m

ea

sure

s, C

hile

an

imp

ort

s ro

se

by

alm

ost

40

%. I

n t

he

firs

t n

ine

mo

nth

s o

f 2

01

4, C

hile

an

imp

ort

s ro

se a

fu

rth

er

50

% in

vo

lum

e, c

om

pa

red

to

an

ove

rall

imp

ort

de

clin

e o

f a

rou

nd

7%

. Ch

ilea

n w

ine

s a

re

pa

rtic

ula

rly

com

pe

titi

ve in

th

e m

id t

o lo

we

r e

nd

of

the

ma

rke

t, a

se

gm

en

t w

hic

h is

als

o m

ore

re

lev

an

t to

you

ng

er

con

sum

ers

.

Th

e im

pa

ct

of

zero

ta

riff

s o

n w

ine

, an

d o

n m

ost

re

tail

go

od

s

for

tha

t m

att

er

is p

ote

nti

ally

mo

re n

oti

cea

ble

on

win

e

pu

rch

ase

d t

hro

ug

h e

-co

mm

erc

e r

eta

ilers

, wh

ere

a la

ck

of

reta

il a

sso

cia

ted

on

co

sts

such

as

ren

t, s

ale

s st

aff

an

d

ma

rke

tin

g is

less

like

ly t

o s

ee

ta

riff

re

du

cti

on

s a

bso

rbe

d

into

exi

stin

g p

rice

s. T

his

issu

e is

like

ly t

o b

eco

me

of

incr

ea

sin

g

rele

va

nce

in C

hin

a, w

he

re t

he

e-c

om

me

rce

ma

rke

t is

alr

ea

dy

larg

er

tha

n t

ha

t o

f th

e U

S, a

nd

wh

ich

by

20

20

is f

ore

cast

to

be

larg

er

tha

n t

he

US

, Fra

nce

, Ge

rma

ny

an

d t

he

UK

co

mb

ine

d.

As

e-c

om

me

rce

gia

nts

su

ch a

s JD

an

d A

liba

ba

se

ek

to

en

ha

nce

th

eir

infr

ast

ruc

ture

an

d lo

gis

tics

to

allo

w o

vern

igh

t

de

live

ry o

f a

ny

go

od

to

an

ywh

ere

in C

hin

a, A

ust

ralia

n w

ine

exp

ort

ers

will

incr

ea

sin

gly

ne

ed

to

bu

ild o

nlin

e d

istr

ibu

tio

n

op

tio

ns

into

th

eir

ma

rke

tin

g s

tra

teg

ies.

Th

e c

ha

llen

ge

fo

r A

ust

ralia

n w

ine

exp

ort

ers

to

Ch

ina

diff

ers

by

pro

du

ct.

Fo

r th

ose

exp

ort

ing

th

e le

ss e

xpe

nsi

ve v

ari

eti

es,

the

co

nsu

me

r p

rice

re

du

cti

on

s a

s a

re

sult

of

the

ta

riff

cu

ts w

ill

allo

w t

he

m t

o t

ack

le c

om

pe

tito

rs n

ot

just

fro

m C

hile

, bu

t fr

om

exp

ort

ers

su

ch a

s S

pa

in a

nd

Ita

ly, a

s th

ey

see

k to

ga

in m

ore

ma

rke

t sh

are

fro

m t

he

yo

un

ge

r, le

ss a

fflu

en

t, p

rice

co

nsc

iou

s

bu

t so

cia

lly a

spir

ati

on

al C

hin

ese

co

nsu

me

r.

For

exp

ort

ers

sh

ipp

ing

th

e h

igh

er

pri

ced

pro

du

ct,

th

e

cha

llen

ge

will

co

nti

nu

e t

o b

e t

he

mo

no

lith

of

the

Fre

nch

ind

ust

ry, w

hic

h c

on

tin

ue

s to

en

joy

an

alm

ost

un

tou

cha

ble

rep

uta

tio

n in

th

e e

yes

of

affl

ue

nt

Ch

ine

se c

on

sum

ers

,

refl

ec

ted

in it

s m

ark

et

sha

re o

f a

rou

nd

50

% o

f a

ll w

ine

imp

ort

s.

To m

an

y o

f th

ese

co

nsu

me

rs, w

he

the

r in

re

tail

or

rest

au

ran

ts,

the

hig

he

r th

e p

rice

of

a b

ott

le, t

he

gre

ate

r it

s a

ttra

cti

ven

ess

.

Th

e c

ha

llen

ge

fo

r A

ust

ralia

n w

ine

exp

ort

ers

in t

his

ma

rke

t

seg

me

nt

will

co

nti

nu

e t

o b

e t

o b

ala

nce

th

e v

olu

me

de

ma

nd

for

the

ir e

xpo

rts

wit

h t

he

exc

lusi

vit

y o

f th

eir

pro

du

ct,

wh

ile

po

siti

on

ing

Au

stra

lian

win

e a

s u

niq

ue

, bu

t a

s a

n a

lte

rna

tive

to t

he

Fre

nch

pro

du

ct.

Page 15: ANZ OPPORTUNITY CHINA · 7 ANZ O PP O INTRODUCTION Why this one stands out • The ChAFT A has the potential to be transformational over time as: - China is A ustralia’s largest

54

45

36

27

18 9 -

228.

718

4.0

000

tonn

es c

wt

Chill

edFr

ozen

04

05

07

09

11

13

06

08

10

12

14

29

AN

Z O

PP

OR

TU

NIT

Y C

HIN

A

Se

cti

on

2 –

Au

stra

lia

n o

pp

ort

un

itie

s fr

om

th

e C

hA

FTA

FIG

UR

E 1

4: A

US

TR

AL

IAN

BE

EF

EX

PO

RT

S T

O C

HIN

A

So

urc

e: D

AF

F a

nd

AN

Z r

esea

rch

Braz

il re

mai

ns a

key

com

pet

itive

thre

at in

bee

f

Wh

ile t

he

Ch

AF

TA h

as

rece

ive

d a

po

siti

ve r

esp

on

se f

rom

th

e

Au

stra

lian

be

ef

sec

tor,

it is

imp

ort

an

t to

ke

ep

th

e p

ote

nti

al

imp

lica

tio

ns

in p

ers

pe

cti

ve. F

or

exa

mp

le, l

oo

kin

g f

orw

ard

,

it is

hig

hly

un

like

ly t

ha

t th

e c

om

me

nce

me

nt

of

the

Ch

AF

TA

will

hav

e a

nyt

hin

g li

ke t

he

imp

ac

t o

n b

ee

f im

po

rts

as

the

20

13

fo

od

sa

fety

issu

es.

Of

gre

ate

r im

pac

t is

like

ly t

o b

e C

hin

a’s

ann

ou

nce

me

nt,

coin

cid

en

tally

at

the

sam

e t

ime

as

the

Ch

AF

TA a

nn

ou

nce

me

nt,

that

it w

ou

ld r

eo

pe

n it

s o

ffici

al b

ee

f tr

ade

wit

h B

razi

l, w

hic

h

ha

d c

ea

sed

in 2

01

2 f

ollo

win

g t

he

dis

cove

ry o

f a

BS

E c

ase

in B

razi

l’s P

ara

na

Sta

te. F

ollo

win

g t

he

re

-op

en

ing

, Bra

zil

an

no

un

ced

th

at

it e

xpe

cte

d t

o s

ell

be

twe

en

US

D9

40

mill

ion

an

d U

SD

1.4

bill

ion

wo

rth

of

be

ef

to C

hin

a in

20

15

.

Th

e r

e-o

pe

nin

g o

f tr

ad

e w

ith

Bra

zil i

s a

lso

like

ly t

o s

ee

a m

ajo

r

cha

ng

e in

th

e “g

rey

tra

de

”, th

e u

no

ffici

al e

ntr

y o

f b

ee

f to

Ch

ina

fro

m p

roh

ibit

ed

exp

ort

ers

. Cu

rre

ntl

y, A

NZ

ca

lcu

late

s th

at

aro

un

d 7

% o

f C

hin

a’s

be

ef

con

sum

pti

on

is p

rov

ide

d b

y o

ffici

al

imp

ort

s, f

rom

co

un

trie

s su

ch a

s A

ust

ralia

, wh

ile a

rou

nd

12

%

is s

up

plie

d b

y u

no

ffici

al i

mp

ort

s. T

his

ha

s in

clu

de

d A

me

rica

n,

Bra

zilia

n a

nd

Ind

ian

be

ef

en

teri

ng

th

rou

gh

co

un

trie

s su

ch

Ho

ng

Ko

ng

an

d V

ietn

am

.

FIG

UR

E 1

3: C

HIN

A B

EE

F I

MP

OR

TS

No

te: 1

4*

- re

pre

sen

ts d

ata

un

til N

ov-

20

14

So

urc

e: U

S M

eat

Exp

ort

Fed

era

tio

n a

nd

AN

Z r

esea

rch

50

0

40

0

30

0

20

0

100 0

41.6

22.0

19.6

28.9

27.7

53.1

103.

811

2.4

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4

1,33

0.1

1,25

0.4

04

05

06

07

09

11

13

08

10

12

14*

Valu

e (U

SD m

)Vo

lum

e (’0

00 t)

000

tonn

es c

wt

In a

dd

itio

n, w

hile

Ch

ine

se in

vest

ors

may

hav

e a

ne

cdo

tally

bo

ug

ht

aro

un

d 1

00

Bo

rde

au

x v

ine

yard

s in

th

e p

ast

five

ye

ars

,

the

inve

stm

en

t a

pp

roa

che

s to

Au

stra

lian

win

eri

es

are

sti

ll

rela

tive

ly u

nso

ph

isti

cate

d, i

n t

erm

s o

f fa

cto

rs s

uch

as

va

rie

tals

,

loca

tio

ns

an

d p

roce

ssin

g f

aci

litie

s –

th

is is

no

t o

verl

y su

rpri

sin

g

giv

en

th

e r

ela

tive

ly r

ece

nt

intr

od

uc

tio

n o

f in

tern

ati

on

al w

ine

s

to t

he

Ch

ine

se p

ala

te.

Th

e t

imin

g o

f th

e C

hA

FTA

, co

mb

ine

d w

ith

a y

ea

r o

f

ev

alu

ati

ng

th

e im

plic

ati

on

s o

f th

e a

ust

eri

ty m

ea

sure

s,

is li

kely

to

se

e a

re

turn

in C

hin

ese

inve

sto

rs t

o t

he

Au

stra

lian

win

e s

ec

tor.

Un

do

ub

ted

ly, s

ma

ller

bo

uti

qu

e

Au

stra

lian

win

eri

es,

pa

rtic

ula

rly

in t

he

su

b A

UD

10

mill

ion

ran

ge

, will

re

ma

in a

ttra

cti

ve a

sse

ts f

or

Ch

ine

se in

vest

ors

,

as

the

ir o

utp

ut

leve

l pro

vid

es

en

ou

gh

of

a v

olu

me

fo

r

exp

ort

an

d d

istr

ibu

tio

n t

hro

ug

h t

arg

ete

d o

utl

ets

in C

hin

a.

Ho

we

ver,

as

is in

cre

asi

ng

ly c

om

mo

n in

inve

stm

en

ts a

cro

ss

diff

ere

nt

ag

ricu

ltu

ral p

rod

uc

tio

n s

ec

tors

, th

e g

row

ing

rea

lisa

tio

n b

y in

vest

ors

th

at

ind

ivid

ua

l ag

ricu

ltu

ral o

pe

rati

on

s

req

uir

e s

pe

cia

lise

d a

nd

exp

eri

en

ced

ma

na

ge

me

nt

is li

kely

to s

ee

a s

tro

ng

lea

nin

g t

ow

ard

join

t ve

ntu

re m

od

els

wit

h

vin

eya

rd a

nd

win

ery

ow

ne

rs.

For

inve

sto

rs f

ocu

ssin

g o

n la

rge

r o

pe

rati

on

s, w

ith

th

e s

cale

for

wid

er

dis

trib

uti

on

in C

hin

a, a

tte

nti

on

is li

kely

to

be

str

on

ge

r

on

win

eri

es

wit

h m

ore

ad

va

nce

d b

ott

ling

op

era

tio

ns,

wit

h

the

ab

ility

to

str

ea

mlin

e t

he

log

isti

cs a

nd

dis

trib

uti

on

pro

cess

fro

m t

he

vin

eya

rd, t

hro

ug

h b

ott

ling

, to

th

e d

istr

ibu

tio

n

ne

two

rk it

self

wit

hin

Ch

ina

.

A f

urt

he

r fa

cto

r lik

ely

to

imp

act

the

win

e s

up

ply

ch

ain

be

twe

en

Au

stra

lia a

nd

Ch

ina

is t

he

ro

le o

f th

e m

ajo

r A

ust

ralia

n r

eta

ilers

,

Co

les

and

Wo

olw

ort

hs.

In t

he

Au

stra

lian

do

me

stic

mar

ket,

the

tw

o m

ajo

rs a

re in

cre

asi

ng

ly p

laci

ng

pre

ssu

re o

n in

div

idu

al

win

eri

es,

as

the

y in

cre

ase

th

eir

ow

n b

ask

et

of

pri

va

te la

be

l

win

es,

an

d t

he

sh

elf

sp

ace

of

the

se la

be

ls.

In D

ece

mb

er

20

14

, Wo

olw

ort

hs

acq

uir

ed

th

e A

ust

ralia

n-

ow

ne

d C

hin

ese

win

e d

istr

ibu

tor

Su

mm

erg

ate

Fin

e W

ine

s

and

Sp

irit

s, w

hic

h c

om

bin

es

dis

trib

uti

on

rig

hts

for

aro

un

d 8

0

bra

nd

s, a

s w

ell

as b

oth

on

line

an

d r

eta

il b

usi

ne

sse

s in

Ch

ina.

It is

re

aso

nab

le t

o a

ssu

me

th

at W

oo

lwo

rth

s w

ill s

ee

k to

use

its

exp

ert

ise

to

exp

and

th

e C

hin

ese

re

tail

sco

pe

of

the

ne

two

rk,

incr

eas

ing

th

e v

olu

me

of

its

pri

vate

lab

el w

ine

s o

nto

th

e

Ch

ine

se m

arke

t, w

hile

Co

les

may

eve

ntu

ally

ch

oo

se t

o r

ep

licat

e

the

str

ate

gy,

as

bo

th t

ake

ad

van

tag

e o

f th

e t

ariff

cu

ts. T

his

sce

nar

io w

ou

ld in

ten

sify

th

e c

om

pe

titi

on

for

smal

ler

Au

stra

lian

exp

ort

ers

, an

d in

cre

ase

th

e im

po

rtan

ce o

f cr

eat

ing

str

ate

gic

rela

tio

nsh

ips

wit

h d

istr

ibu

tors

wh

o m

ost

mat

ch t

he

ir n

ee

ds.

SP

OT

LIG

HT

ON

BE

EF

Th

e c

ha

ng

e in

Ch

ina’

s b

ee

f co

nsu

mp

tio

n h

ab

its

ove

r th

e

pa

st t

wo

de

cad

es

hav

e b

ee

n o

ne

of

the

mo

st m

ark

ed

of

an

y

ag

ricu

ltu

re s

ec

tor.

Ch

ine

se c

on

sum

ers

hav

e t

rad

itio

na

lly b

ee

n

low

co

nsu

me

rs o

f b

ee

f, d

eri

vin

g t

he

va

st m

ajo

rity

of

the

ir

me

at

req

uir

em

en

ts f

rom

po

rk a

nd

ch

icke

n. H

ow

eve

r, tw

o f

oo

d

safe

ty e

ven

ts in

20

13

ch

an

ge

d t

his

dyn

am

ic. T

he

de

tec

tio

n o

f

Av

ian

Infl

ue

nza

(B

ird

Flu

) in

po

ult

ry, a

s w

ell

as

the

dis

cove

ry

of

tho

usa

nd

s o

f d

ea

d p

igs

in H

ua

ng

pu

a r

ive

r n

ea

r S

ha

ng

ha

i,

led

to

an

up

surg

e in

be

ef

con

sum

pti

on

, as

cau

tio

us

Ch

ine

se

con

sum

er

sou

gh

t a

lte

rna

tive

va

rie

tie

s o

f m

ea

t.

As

a r

esu

lt, C

hin

a’s

offi

cia

l be

ef

imp

ort

s im

me

dia

tely

gre

w

fou

rfo

ld, f

rom

28

1,0

00

to

nn

es

in 2

01

2 t

o 1

.3 m

illio

n t

on

ne

s

in 2

01

3. C

hin

a’s

be

ef

imp

ort

po

licy

ha

s b

ee

n d

rive

n b

y

do

me

stic

he

alt

h a

nd

fo

od

sa

fety

issu

es,

ba

nn

ing

imp

ort

s

fro

m t

ho

se c

ou

ntr

ies

wh

ich

do

no

t h

ave

dis

ea

se f

ree

catt

le/b

ee

f in

du

stri

es

– a

mo

ve w

hic

h w

as

init

ially

of

mo

st b

en

efi

t to

Au

stra

lia, U

rug

uay

an

d N

ew

Ze

ala

nd

.

For

Au

stra

lia, b

ee

f e

xpo

rts

to C

hin

a r

ose

eq

ua

lly s

ha

rply

, fro

m

aro

un

d 5

0,0

00

to

nn

es

in 2

01

2 t

o 2

28

,00

0 t

on

ne

s in

20

13

. Th

e

bu

lk o

f th

is w

as

fro

zen

be

ef,

wh

ile t

he

re

ma

ind

er

wa

s ch

ille

d.

Au

stra

lia’s

be

ef f

ort

un

es

we

re a

ide

d b

y a

ban

on

exp

ort

s to

Ch

ina

by

its

maj

or

glo

bal

co

mp

eti

tors

, in

clu

din

g t

he

US,

Bra

zil a

nd

Ind

ia.

FO

OD

SA

FE

TY

HA

S B

EE

N T

HE

PR

IMA

RY

DR

IVE

R

OF

CH

INE

SE

BE

EF

IM

PO

RT

GR

OW

TH

Page 16: ANZ OPPORTUNITY CHINA · 7 ANZ O PP O INTRODUCTION Why this one stands out • The ChAFT A has the potential to be transformational over time as: - China is A ustralia’s largest

31

AN

Z O

PP

OR

TU

NIT

Y C

HIN

A

TH

E A

US

TR

AL

IAN

CA

TT

LE

HE

RD

IS

CU

RR

EN

TLY

AT

IT

S L

OW

ES

T P

OIN

T F

OR

AR

OU

ND

TW

O D

EC

AD

ES

Se

cti

on

2 –

Au

stra

lia

n o

pp

ort

un

itie

s fr

om

th

e C

hA

FTA

FIG

UR

E 1

5: B

EE

F “

GR

EY

CH

AN

NE

LS

” IN

TO

CH

INA

So

urc

e: A

NZ

An

aly

sis

Sim

ilarl

y, t

he

Au

stra

lian

be

ef

sec

tor

is u

nlik

ely

to

se

e a

n

imm

ed

iate

imp

ac

t o

n t

rad

e v

olu

me

s to

Ch

ina

, du

e t

o t

he

curr

en

t lo

w p

oin

t o

f th

e A

ust

ralia

n h

erd

cyc

le, r

esu

ltin

g in

the

vo

lum

e o

f ca

ttle

sim

ply

no

t b

ein

g a

va

ilab

le. T

he

Au

stra

lian

catt

le h

erd

is c

urr

en

tly

at

its

low

est

po

int

for

aro

un

d t

wo

de

cad

es,

wit

h n

um

be

rs d

ram

ati

cally

re

du

ced

th

rou

gh

fa

cto

rs

incl

ud

ing

incr

ea

sed

sla

ug

hte

r, liv

e e

xpo

rts

an

d in

cre

ase

d

pa

dd

ock

mo

rta

lity

bro

ug

ht

on

by

dro

ug

ht.

In 2

01

4, A

ust

ralia

saw

a r

eco

rd c

att

le t

urn

-off

, of

aro

un

d 1

0.4

mill

ion

– m

ad

e

up

of

1.1

mill

ion

live

exp

ort

s a

nd

9.3

mill

ion

he

ad

sla

ug

hte

red

– a

fig

ure

wh

ich

is u

nsu

sta

ina

ble

, pa

rtic

ula

rly

con

sid

eri

ng

the

fe

ma

le p

ort

ion

of

the

na

tio

na

l kill

wa

s o

ver

50

%.

At

the

sam

e t

ime

, th

e c

urr

en

t st

ron

g b

ee

f d

em

and

fro

m t

he

US

will

co

nti

nu

e t

o li

mit

th

e e

xce

ss b

ee

f av

aila

bili

ty. W

ith

its

ow

n

he

rd h

avin

g h

it a

six

ty y

ear

low

in 2

01

4, U

S im

po

rts

of

Au

stra

lian

be

ef

are

like

ly t

o r

em

ain

str

on

g in

th

e s

ho

rt t

o m

ed

ium

te

rm,

wit

h s

hip

me

nts

hav

ing

ris

en

by

87

% in

20

14

, acc

ou

nti

ng

for

the

en

tire

ad

dit

ion

al b

ee

f e

xpo

rt q

uan

tity

fro

m 2

01

3.

Min

dfu

l of

the

loo

min

g c

on

tra

cti

on

on

th

e A

ust

ralia

n c

att

le

he

rd, a

nd

of

the

ir e

xist

ing

lon

g t

erm

an

d f

ruit

ful r

ela

tio

nsh

ips

wit

h c

ust

om

ers

in m

ark

ets

su

ch a

s In

do

ne

sia

an

d J

ap

an

,

Au

stra

lian

be

ef

exp

ort

ers

may

be

re

luc

tan

t to

sh

ift

larg

e

volu

me

s to

Ch

ina

in t

he

sh

ort

to

me

diu

m t

erm

, pre

ferr

ing

a g

rad

ua

l in

cre

ase

d p

rese

nce

in t

ha

t m

ark

et.

Loo

kin

g f

urt

he

r a

he

ad

, th

e a

dv

an

tag

es

for

Au

stra

lian

be

ef

will

be

com

e c

lea

rer

in t

he

lon

ge

r te

rm. I

n e

xam

inin

g t

he

cap

ita

l im

plic

ati

on

s o

f th

e C

hA

FTA

on

th

e A

ust

ralia

n b

ee

f

sec

tor,

it is

imp

ort

an

t to

ba

lan

ce t

he

re

du

ced

ta

riff

s w

ith

a n

um

be

r o

f o

the

r fa

cto

rs.

For

pro

du

cers

, th

eir

ave

rag

e r

ela

tive

ly s

ma

ll sc

ale

will

me

an

tha

t th

e m

ajo

rity

will

co

nti

nu

e t

o b

e p

rice

ta

kers

, wit

h

the

ir r

eve

nu

e im

pa

cte

d m

ore

by

the

fa

cto

rs im

pa

cti

ng

wo

rld

pri

ces,

ra

the

r th

an

th

e s

pe

cifi

c C

hin

ese

ma

rke

t.

Th

e p

rod

uce

rs w

ho

will

be

in a

be

tte

r p

osi

tio

n a

re t

ho

se

wh

o a

re o

f a

larg

er

sca

le a

nd

we

ll in

teg

rate

d, w

ith

a d

eg

ree

of

con

tro

l or

infl

ue

nce

ove

r th

e s

up

ply

ch

ain

.

For

the

ma

jori

ty o

f sm

alle

r p

rod

uce

rs w

ho

are

exp

ort

ing

dir

ec

tly,

th

e t

ari

ff c

uts

will

allo

w t

he

m t

he

op

po

rtu

nit

y o

f

be

com

ing

incr

ea

sin

gly

mo

re c

om

pe

titi

ve a

nd

pro

fita

ble

.

For

the

se p

rod

uce

rs, w

ho

by

the

ir s

cale

are

like

ly t

o b

e in

the

mo

re p

rod

uc

tive

an

d in

no

va

tive

qu

art

ile o

f th

e s

ec

tor,

the

ir in

cre

ase

d m

arg

ins

will

allo

w t

he

m t

o lo

ok

at

gre

ate

r

op

po

rtu

nit

ies

to e

nh

an

ce t

he

ir o

pe

rati

on

s, w

he

the

r th

rou

gh

incr

ea

sed

sca

le, i

mp

rove

d t

ech

no

log

y, o

r d

ive

rsifi

cati

on

of

the

ir o

ffe

rin

g.

For

the

ma

jori

ty o

f sm

alle

r p

rod

uce

rs, i

nd

ire

ctl

y e

xpo

rtin

g,

the

ch

alle

ng

e w

ill b

e t

o s

ee

th

em

selv

es

as

a s

tra

teg

ic s

up

plie

r

wit

hin

an

inte

gra

ted

va

lue

ch

ain

inst

ea

d o

f a

su

pp

lier

of

a c

om

mo

dit

y. A

n e

xam

ple

of

this

co

uld

be

an

ab

att

oir

in

Qu

ee

nsl

an

d w

hic

h s

pe

cia

lise

s in

va

lue

-ad

de

d c

uts

fo

r e

xpo

rt

to C

hin

a a

nd

re

qu

ire

s a

ce

rta

in s

tyle

of

an

ima

l th

at

a p

rod

uce

r

is p

rep

are

d t

o in

vest

in s

up

ply

ing

, as

op

po

sed

to

se

llin

g

to t

he

hig

he

st b

idd

er,

yea

r-in

-ye

ar

ou

t.

In e

sse

nce

, th

is w

ou

ld b

e a

bo

ut

the

pro

du

cer

do

ing

wh

at

the

y a

re b

est

at

wit

hin

th

eir

pa

rt o

f th

e v

alu

e c

ha

in a

nd

po

siti

on

ing

th

em

selv

es

as

a s

tra

teg

ica

lly im

po

rta

nt

sup

ply

po

int

as

op

po

sed

to

on

e o

f m

an

y o

pti

on

s fr

om

wh

ich

to

bu

y ra

w m

ate

ria

l. T

his

co

uld

be

ach

ieve

d b

y u

nd

ers

tan

din

g

the

str

ate

gie

s o

f th

e b

ee

f p

roce

sso

rs w

ith

re

spe

ct

to C

hin

a

an

d d

ete

rmin

ing

ho

w b

est

to

co

mp

lem

en

t th

em

in o

rde

r

to d

rive

a h

igh

er

retu

rn f

or

the

m a

nd

th

e p

rod

uce

r. M

an

y o

f

the

se fi

rst

an

d s

eco

nd

sta

ge

pro

cess

ors

are

fo

reig

n o

wn

ed

an

d t

he

re is

a h

eav

y e

mp

ha

sis

on

ap

pe

alin

g t

o A

sia

, le

ss s

o

Ch

ina

in is

ola

tio

n.

Th

e b

en

efi

ts o

f th

e g

rad

ua

l ta

riff

re

du

cti

on

s a

re m

ore

like

ly t

o

be

fe

lt b

y b

ee

f p

roce

sso

rs e

xpo

rtin

g t

o C

hin

a. L

ike

th

e d

ire

ct

exp

ort

ing

pro

du

cers

, th

e lo

ng

er

term

incr

ea

sed

ma

rgin

s

thro

ug

h t

he

ta

riff

re

du

cti

on

s sh

ou

ld a

llow

th

e p

roce

sso

rs t

o

stra

teg

ica

lly e

xam

ine

op

tio

ns

to u

psc

ale

th

eir

op

era

tio

ns.

Fo

r

ma

ny

pro

cess

ors

, th

e r

ap

id r

ate

of

cha

ng

e in

th

e d

istr

ibu

tio

n

cha

in, p

art

icu

larl

y w

ith

in C

hin

a, i

s lik

ely

to

fo

rce

th

em

to

re-e

va

lua

te t

he

ir p

roce

ssin

g a

nd

pa

cka

gin

g in

fra

stru

ctu

re,

an

d s

ub

seq

ue

nt

cap

ex

op

tio

ns.

Fo

r e

xam

ple

, as

ma

jor

Ch

ine

se

log

isti

cs o

pe

rato

rs in

cre

asi

ng

ly s

ee

k to

be

ab

le t

o d

eliv

er

an

y

typ

e o

f g

oo

d t

o a

nyw

he

re in

Ch

ina

ove

rnig

ht,

Au

stra

lian

be

ef

pro

cess

ors

may

se

ek

to p

ack

ag

e t

he

ir b

ee

f cu

ts r

ea

dy

for

dir

ec

t d

istr

ibu

tio

n t

o C

hin

ese

su

pe

rma

rke

t sh

elv

es.

Aro

un

d 1

2%

of

Ch

ina’

s b

ee

f co

nsu

mp

tio

n is

pro

vid

ed

via

un

offi

cial

, gre

y im

po

rts.

Page 17: ANZ OPPORTUNITY CHINA · 7 ANZ O PP O INTRODUCTION Why this one stands out • The ChAFT A has the potential to be transformational over time as: - China is A ustralia’s largest

33

AN

Z O

PP

OR

TU

NIT

Y C

HIN

A

TH

E L

OC

AL

DE

MA

ND

AN

D D

EM

OG

RA

PH

IC C

ON

DIT

ION

S

FO

R H

EA

LTH

CA

RE

IN

CH

INA

AR

E E

XT

RE

ME

LY A

TT

RA

CT

IVE

Se

cti

on

2 –

Au

stra

lia

n o

pp

ort

un

itie

s fr

om

th

e C

hA

FTA

SP

OT

LIG

HT

ON

HE

ALT

HC

AR

E

Am

on

gst

th

e m

an

y o

pp

ort

un

itie

s fr

om

th

e C

hA

FTA

, on

e

of

the

larg

est

will

be

in h

ea

lth

. Th

is b

roa

d c

ate

go

ry c

ove

rs

eve

ryth

ing

fro

m h

osp

ita

ls, a

ge

d c

are

, ph

arm

ace

uti

cals

,

me

dic

al e

qu

ipm

en

t a

nd

vit

am

ins,

all

of

wh

ich

are

incl

ud

ed

in t

he

Ch

AF

TA.

Tota

l he

alt

hca

re e

xpe

nd

itu

re in

Ch

ina

is e

xpe

cte

d t

o g

row

at

an

an

nu

alis

ed

ra

te o

f 1

3.4

% t

o U

SD

1.0

27

tri

llio

n b

y 2

01

8

(So

urc

e: B

MI)

. In

co

mp

ari

son

, Au

stra

lia’s

exp

en

dit

ure

on

he

alt

hca

re is

aro

un

d A

UD

15

0 b

illio

n a

nd

ha

s b

ee

n g

row

ing

in t

he

low

sin

gle

dig

its

(So

urc

e: A

IHW

).

Th

e r

ap

id in

cre

ase

an

d e

xpe

cte

d f

utu

re in

cre

ase

in C

hin

ese

he

alt

hca

re e

xpe

nd

itu

re c

an

be

lin

ked

to

a g

row

ing

an

d

ag

ein

g p

op

ula

tio

n. T

his

de

mo

gra

ph

ic t

ailw

ind

fo

r th

e

sec

tor

sho

uld

last

un

til a

t le

ast

20

30

wh

en

th

e p

op

ula

tio

n

is e

xpe

cte

d t

o p

ea

k a

t 1

.46

bill

ion

pe

op

le. E

ven

be

yon

d t

ha

t

po

int

it’s

like

ly t

o b

e t

he

big

ge

st o

r se

con

d b

igg

est

he

alt

h

ma

rke

t in

th

e w

orl

d, w

hic

h s

ho

uld

no

t b

e d

ifficu

lt g

ive

n t

ha

t

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ina

pre

sen

tly

ha

s th

e s

eco

nd

low

est

pe

r ca

pit

al m

ed

ica

l

serv

ice

s e

xpe

nd

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re a

mo

ng

st le

ad

ing

em

erg

ing

ma

rke

ts

an

d h

ea

lth

care

sp

en

din

g in

Ch

ina

re

ma

ins

rela

tive

ly lo

w

at

be

low

6%

of

GD

P.

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dd

itio

n t

o t

he

ove

rall

incr

ea

se in

de

ma

nd

fo

r h

ea

lth

care

serv

ice

s, t

he

incr

ea

sed

we

alt

h o

f th

e C

hin

ese

mid

dle

cla

ss

ha

s le

d t

o a

n in

cre

ase

d n

ee

d t

o p

rov

ide

hig

he

r q

ua

lity

he

alt

hca

re. T

o t

ha

t e

nd

, th

e C

hin

ese

Go

vern

me

nt

is s

ee

kin

g

to d

eve

lop

an

d e

nco

ura

ge

inve

stm

en

t in

pri

va

te h

ea

lth

care

an

d in

cre

ase

d f

ore

ign

inve

stm

en

t is

on

e m

eth

od

of

he

lpin

g

to c

lose

th

e g

ap

an

d p

rov

ide

hig

he

r v

alu

e s

erv

ice

s to

Ch

ina’

s

gro

win

g m

idd

le c

lass

.

Au

stra

lia h

as a

fan

tast

ic o

pp

ort

un

ity

as t

he

Ch

AF

TA w

ill p

rovi

de

be

st e

ver

acc

ess

fo

r se

rvic

es

incl

ud

ing

ho

spit

als

, ag

ed

ca

re,

an

d m

ed

ica

l se

rvic

e s

up

plie

rs. T

his

acc

ess

allo

ws

Au

stra

lian

bu

sin

ess

es

to b

uild

, ru

n o

r b

uy

wh

olly

ow

ne

d s

ub

sid

iari

es

com

pa

red

wit

h p

rev

iou

s p

olic

y w

he

re t

he

re w

ere

eq

uit

y

rest

ric

tio

ns.

Th

is w

ill c

om

plim

en

t a

20

14

pilo

t p

rog

ram

fo

r

wh

olly

ow

ne

d p

riva

te h

osp

ital

s in

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ven

cit

ies

incl

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ing

Be

ijin

g.

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ile t

he

Ch

ine

se G

ove

rnm

en

t h

as

sim

plifi

ed

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d im

pro

ved

the

FD

I pro

cess

th

ere

sti

ll re

ma

ins

a h

igh

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ple

xity

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d a

mb

igu

ity,

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h b

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ne

sse

s a

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rie

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ass

ifie

d

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th

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ma

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ign

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en

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ite

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to C

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fo

un

d in

Se

cti

on

4 –

Nav

iga

tin

g t

he

ba

nki

ng

ma

rke

t.

FIG

UR

E 1

6: H

EA

LTH

CA

RE

EX

PE

ND

ITU

RE

IN

CH

INA

(US

D B

illio

n)

So

urc

e: B

MI.

Wo

rld

Ba

nk

Exe

cute

d c

orr

ec

tly,

imp

rove

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cce

ss a

s a

re

sult

of

the

Ch

AF

TA c

an

pro

vid

e A

ust

ralia

n b

usi

ne

sse

s w

ith

a s

ign

ifica

nt

firs

t-m

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r a

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e a

ga

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er

fore

ign

co

mp

eti

tors

op

era

tin

g o

r se

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ng

to

op

era

te in

Ch

ina

. Th

e fl

ipsi

de

ho

we

ver,

is t

ha

t b

est

eve

r a

cce

ss is

ge

ne

rally

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ite

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d

in t

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ca

se o

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01

4 p

ilot

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gra

m, n

ot

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lusi

ve in

all

citi

es.

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is n

ati

on

al w

ind

ow

of

op

po

rtu

nit

y w

ill n

ot

last

as

Ch

ina

is h

igh

ly li

kely

to

gra

nt

sim

ilar

acc

ess

to

oth

er

cou

ntr

ies

to m

ain

tain

a h

ea

lth

y le

vel o

f co

mp

eti

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n in

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Page 18: ANZ OPPORTUNITY CHINA · 7 ANZ O PP O INTRODUCTION Why this one stands out • The ChAFT A has the potential to be transformational over time as: - China is A ustralia’s largest

6%

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FIG

UR

E 1

7: C

HIN

A N

ON

-LIF

E I

NS

UR

AN

CE

GR

OS

S P

RE

MIU

MS

AN

D A

NN

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AT

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So

urc

e: B

MI Q

1 2

01

5 r

epo

rt a

nd

AN

Z a

na

lysi

s

FIG

UR

E 1

8: C

OM

PO

SIT

ION

OF

CH

INA

NO

N-L

IFE

IN

SU

RA

NC

E M

AR

KE

T

BA

SE

D O

N G

RO

SS

PR

EM

IUM

S

So

urc

e: B

MI Q

1 2

01

5 r

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Z a

na

lysi

s

No

te: p

erce

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ges

are

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fere

nt

fro

m B

MI s

ince

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lth

& A

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ent

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ran

ce is

co

nsi

der

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pa

rt o

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-Lif

e In

sura

nce

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r th

e a

na

lysi

s –

as

such

, th

e su

mm

ati

on

of

the

sub

-seg

men

ts u

nd

er N

on

-Lif

e is

dif

fere

nt

fro

m t

he

No

n-L

ife

insu

ran

ce p

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ium

rep

ort

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y B

MI;

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nsp

ort

Insu

ran

ce”

rela

tes

to a

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reig

ht,

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ro

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gh

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’s no

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13

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05

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

%

06

07

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09

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D 2

01

3

Page 19: ANZ OPPORTUNITY CHINA · 7 ANZ O PP O INTRODUCTION Why this one stands out • The ChAFT A has the potential to be transformational over time as: - China is A ustralia’s largest

37

AN

Z O

PP

OR

TU

NIT

Y C

HIN

A

TH

E L

AR

GE

AB

SO

LUT

E S

IZE

OF

TH

E M

OT

OR

IN

SU

RA

NC

E M

AR

KE

T S

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UL

D

PR

OV

IDE

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PO

RT

UN

ITIE

S F

OR

MO

TO

R I

NS

UR

ER

S, E

SP

EC

IAL

LY N

EW

EN

TR

AN

TS

Se

cti

on

2 –

Au

stra

lia

n o

pp

ort

un

itie

s fr

om

th

e C

hA

FTA

FIG

UR

E 1

9: M

OT

OR

VE

HIC

LE

IN

SU

RA

NC

E G

RO

SS

PR

EM

IUM

S A

ND

PR

OP

OR

TIO

N O

F T

OTA

L N

ON

-LIF

E I

NS

UR

AN

CE

MA

RK

ET

So

urc

e: B

MI Q

1 2

01

5 r

epo

rt a

nd

AN

Z a

na

lysi

s

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te: p

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ges

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nt

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m B

MI s

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pa

rt o

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on

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e In

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r th

e a

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lysi

s –

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such

, th

e su

mm

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ts u

nd

er N

on

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e is

dif

fere

nt

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he

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rem

ium

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ort

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MI;

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Insu

ran

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MI

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ina

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om

pu

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CT

PL)

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tor

Insu

ran

ces

(CM

I), t

he

latt

er

con

sist

ing

ma

inly

of

firs

t p

art

y a

nd

no

n-

com

pu

lso

ry t

hir

d-p

art

y lia

bili

ty. A

s a

re

sult

of

con

sum

ers

bu

yin

g b

eh

avio

ur

(i.e

. bu

nd

ling

), e

ntr

y in

to t

he

co

mp

uls

ory

thir

d-p

art

y m

ark

et

is s

ee

n a

s h

igh

ly im

po

rta

nt

for

fore

ign

insu

rers

to

acc

ess

th

e b

roa

de

r m

oto

r in

sura

nce

ma

rke

t.

Th

e g

row

th o

utl

oo

k fo

r th

e n

um

be

r o

f p

ass

en

ge

r ca

rs

ove

r th

e c

om

ing

de

cad

e is

mu

ch m

ore

re

stra

ine

d, d

ue

to a

co

mb

ina

tio

n o

f sl

ow

er

eco

no

mic

gro

wth

, a p

rop

ert

y

do

wn

turn

an

d v

eh

icle

re

gis

tra

tio

n li

mit

s in

so

me

cit

ies.

As

a r

esu

lt, t

he

mo

tor

insu

ran

ce m

ark

et

is e

xpe

cte

d t

o

gro

w a

t a

n a

vera

ge

ra

te o

f u

nd

er

3%

ove

r 2

01

3 t

o 2

02

0.

Ho

we

ver,

the

larg

e a

bso

lute

siz

e o

f th

e m

oto

r in

sura

nce

ma

rke

t sh

ou

ld c

on

tin

ue

to

pro

vid

e o

pp

ort

un

itie

s fo

r m

oto

r

insu

rers

, esp

eci

ally

ne

w e

ntr

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ts. T

he

pri

ma

ry d

rive

r, th

e

nu

mb

er

of

pa

sse

ng

er

cars

, ha

s g

row

n a

t a

n a

vera

ge

ra

te

of

alm

ost

23

% o

ver

20

05

to

20

12

, an

d t

he

to

tal n

um

be

r

of

cars

is e

xpe

cte

d t

o s

urp

ass

20

0 m

illio

n b

y 2

02

0.

In a

dd

itio

n, C

hin

a’s

curr

en

t ca

r d

en

sity

is a

pp

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tely

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er

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op

le, w

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tly

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er

tha

n

mo

re m

atu

re m

ark

ets

su

ch a

s th

e U

S, J

ap

an

, Au

stra

lia

an

d K

ore

a. T

he

lon

ge

r te

rm o

utl

oo

k is

th

ere

fore

att

rac

tive

for

bo

th t

he

nu

mb

er

of

mo

tor

veh

icle

s a

nd

th

e a

sso

cia

ted

insu

ran

ce r

eq

uir

em

en

ts.

FIG

UR

E 2

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HIN

ES

E M

OTO

R V

EH

ICL

E I

NS

UR

AN

CE

MA

RK

ET

BR

EA

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OW

N O

F G

RO

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EM

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urc

e: C

IRC

an

d A

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aly

sis

FIG

UR

E 2

1: A

NN

UA

L G

RO

WT

H I

N P

AS

SE

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ER

CA

R F

LE

ET

AN

D M

OTO

R V

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UR

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CE

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OS

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Mot

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Page 20: ANZ OPPORTUNITY CHINA · 7 ANZ O PP O INTRODUCTION Why this one stands out • The ChAFT A has the potential to be transformational over time as: - China is A ustralia’s largest

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39

AN

Z O

PP

OR

TU

NIT

Y C

HIN

A

TH

E E

NT

RY

OF

EX

PE

RIE

NC

ED

IN

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RN

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ION

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IN

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RA

NC

E

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IDE

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L R

ES

ULT

IN

BE

TT

ER

UN

DE

RW

RIT

ING

PR

AC

TIC

ES

Se

cti

on

2 –

Au

stra

lia

n o

pp

ort

un

itie

s fr

om

th

e C

hA

FTA

FIG

UR

E 2

2: P

AS

SE

NG

ER

VE

HIC

LE

DE

NS

ITY

C

AR

S P

ER

1,0

00

PE

OP

LE

So

urc

e: B

MI Q

12

01

5 r

epo

rt a

nd

AN

Z a

na

lysi

s

FIG

UR

E 2

3: M

AR

KE

T S

HA

RE

BA

SE

D O

N P

RO

PE

RT

Y A

ND

CA

SU

ALT

Y G

RO

SS

PR

EM

IUM

S

So

urc

e: B

loo

mb

erg

, CIR

C a

nd

AN

Z a

na

lysi

s

Ch

ina

’s n

on

-lif

e i

nsu

ran

ce m

ark

et

is c

urr

en

tly

do

min

ate

d

by

do

me

stic

pro

vid

ers

, bu

t re

form

s w

ill

pro

vid

e f

ore

ign

insu

rers

wit

h g

rea

ter

op

po

rtu

nit

y t

o p

art

icip

ate

.

Co

mp

uls

ory

th

ird

-pa

rty

liab

ility

mo

tor

veh

icle

insu

ran

ce

wa

s in

tro

du

ced

in 2

00

6, w

ith

on

ly d

om

est

ic p

rov

ide

rs

init

ially

pe

rmit

ted

to

un

de

rwri

te t

his

bu

sin

ess

. Fro

m M

ay 2

01

2,

fore

ign

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rers

we

re a

llow

ed

to

en

ter

the

ma

rke

t –

Ch

ine

se

au

tho

riti

es

ho

pe

th

at

the

en

try

of

exp

eri

en

ced

inte

rna

tio

na

l

insu

ran

ce p

rov

ide

rs w

ill r

esu

lt in

be

tte

r u

nd

erw

riti

ng

pra

cti

ces

as

we

ll a

s p

rom

ote

gre

ate

r co

mp

eti

tio

n in

th

e lo

cal m

ark

et.

At

the

en

d o

f 2

01

3, t

he

re w

ere

64

ac

tive

pla

yers

in t

he

ove

rall

no

n-l

ife

ma

rke

t a

nd

th

e lo

cal/

fore

ign

sp

lit w

as

43

/21

. Th

e

ma

rke

t sh

are

of

fore

ign

pla

yers

(b

ase

d o

n g

ross

pre

miu

ms)

rem

ain

s sm

all,

at

aro

un

d 2

% –

as

such

, th

e p

ote

nti

al u

psi

de

for

ne

w A

ust

ralia

n e

ntr

an

ts is

en

cou

rag

ing

.

De

spit

e t

he

ir r

ela

tive

ly s

ma

ll sc

ale

in C

hin

a, f

ore

ign

insu

rers

are

fo

cuse

d o

n b

uild

ing

th

eir

cu

sto

me

r b

ase

an

d e

xpa

nd

ing

into

oth

er

insu

ran

ce li

ne

s.

Esta

blis

hmen

t req

uire

men

ts a

nd c

onsi

dera

tions

Un

de

r th

e C

hA

FTA

, Au

stra

lian

insu

rers

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be

ab

le t

o a

cce

ss

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ina’

s st

atu

tory

th

ird

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rty

liab

ility

mo

tor

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icle

insu

ran

ce

ma

rke

t w

ith

ou

t a

ny

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ric

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on

th

e s

tru

ctu

re o

f th

e

op

era

tio

n o

r th

e e

qu

ity

cap

ita

l. T

he

th

ree

fo

rms

of

on

sho

re

bu

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ess

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era

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n f

or

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ign

insu

rers

are

join

t ve

ntu

re,

sub

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or

bra

nch

.

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

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80

90

100

%

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%

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98.0

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Dom

estic

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rers

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f Tot

alFo

reig

n in

sure

rs %

if T

otal

Page 21: ANZ OPPORTUNITY CHINA · 7 ANZ O PP O INTRODUCTION Why this one stands out • The ChAFT A has the potential to be transformational over time as: - China is A ustralia’s largest

41

AN

Z O

PP

OR

TU

NIT

Y C

HIN

A

TH

E R

QF

II P

RO

GR

AM

SH

OU

LD

OP

EN

UP

OP

PO

RT

UN

ITIE

S I

N T

ER

MS

OF

BO

TH

IN

VE

ST

ME

NT

AL

LOC

AT

ION

AN

D F

UN

D S

OU

RC

ING

Se

cti

on

2 –

Au

stra

lia

n o

pp

ort

un

itie

s fr

om

th

e C

hA

FTA

FIG

UR

E 2

4: K

EY

CH

INA

IN

SU

RA

NC

E R

EG

UL

AT

OR

Y C

OM

MIS

SIO

N (

CIR

C)

RE

QU

IRE

ME

NT

S F

OR

FO

RE

IGN

IN

SU

RE

RS

SE

EK

ING

TO

ES

TAB

LIS

H O

PE

RA

TIO

NS

IN

CH

INA

So

urc

e: C

IRC

; Dec

isio

n o

f th

e S

tate

Co

un

cil o

n A

men

din

g <

the

Reg

ula

tio

n o

f th

e P

eop

le’s

Rep

ub

lic

of

Ch

ina

on

th

e A

dm

inis

tra

tio

n o

f Fo

reig

n-F

un

ded

Insu

ran

ce

Co

mp

an

ies

(20

13

), la

win

foch

ina

For

Au

stra

lian

fin

an

cia

l in

stit

uti

on

s se

eki

ng

to

en

ter

Ch

ina’

s m

oto

r ve

hic

le in

sura

nce

ma

rke

t, t

he

se r

eg

ula

tory

req

uir

em

en

ts, c

om

bin

ed

wit

h o

pe

rati

on

al n

ee

ds,

ra

ise

a n

um

be

r o

f e

sse

nti

al fi

na

nci

al c

on

sid

era

tio

ns:

• R

MB

FX

ris

k m

an

ag

em

en

t: C

urr

en

cy

ma

tch

ing

an

d h

ed

gin

g n

ee

ds

wit

h r

esp

ec

t to

ca

pit

al d

ep

loye

d,

div

ide

nd

s, c

ap

ita

l re

turn

an

d r

ep

ort

ing

• C

ap

ita

lisa

tio

n o

f th

e o

nsh

ore

bu

sin

ess

: In

jec

tio

n

ba

cke

d b

y e

xist

ing

ca

pit

al b

ase

or

ne

w f

un

dra

isin

g

fro

m c

ap

ita

l ma

rke

ts (

incl

ud

ing

RM

B)

• In

ve

stm

en

t m

an

ag

em

en

t: In

vest

me

nt

stra

teg

y

for

pre

miu

ms

an

d s

ha

reh

old

er

eq

uit

y, a

s w

ell

as

risk

he

dg

ing

re

qu

ire

me

nts

• T

ran

sac

tio

n b

an

kin

g:

Po

licy

pre

miu

m r

ece

ipts

an

d c

laim

s p

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en

ts, l

iqu

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y m

an

ag

em

en

t

Min

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m r

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iste

red

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pit

al

req

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em

en

t

Join

t ve

ntu

re: R

MB

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0m

or

an

eq

uiv

ale

nt

of

RM

B2

00

m i

n f

ree

ly c

on

ve

rtib

le c

urr

en

cie

s a

nd

mu

st

be

pa

id-i

n m

on

eta

ry c

ap

ita

l.

Sub

sid

iari

es: R

MB

20

0m

or

an

eq

uiv

ale

nt

of

RM

B2

00

m i

n f

ree

ly c

on

ve

rtib

le c

urr

en

cie

s a

nd

mu

st

be

pa

id-i

n m

on

eta

ry c

ap

ita

l.

Bra

nch

es: P

are

nt

co

mp

an

y s

ha

ll p

rov

ide

min

imu

m w

ork

ing

ca

pit

al

of

RM

B2

00

m (

or

eq

uiv

ale

nt

in o

the

r fr

ee

co

nv

ert

ible

cu

rre

nc

ies)

.

No

te: T

he

CIR

C m

ay,

acc

ord

ing

to

th

e sc

op

e o

f b

usi

nes

s a

nd

bu

sin

ess

sca

le o

f th

e fo

reig

n-f

un

de

d

insu

ran

ce c

om

pa

ny,

ra

ise

the

leve

l of

reg

iste

red

ca

pit

al o

r w

ork

ing

ca

pit

al t

o a

bo

ve R

MB

20

0m

.

Ex

pe

rie

nc

eE

ng

ag

ed

in

in

sura

nc

e b

usi

ne

ss f

or

mo

re t

ha

n 3

0 y

ea

rs.

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sho

re p

rese

nc

eM

ore

th

an

tw

o y

ea

rs s

inc

e a

re

pre

sen

tati

ve

off

ice

wa

s e

sta

bli

she

d i

n C

hin

a.

Siz

eTo

tal

ass

ets

at

the

en

d o

f th

e y

ea

r p

rio

r to

th

e a

pp

lic

ati

on

fo

r e

sta

bli

shm

en

t sh

all

be

no

le

ss

tha

n U

SD

5 b

illi

on

.

Ho

me

re

gu

lati

on

Th

e c

ou

ntr

y o

r re

gio

n w

he

re t

he

fo

reig

n i

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co

mp

an

y i

s in

co

rpo

rate

d s

ha

ll h

av

e

sou

nd

in

sura

nc

e r

eg

ula

tio

n s

yst

em

s; a

nd

th

e f

ore

ign

in

sura

nc

e c

om

pa

ny

sh

all

ha

ve

alr

ea

dy

be

en

un

de

r th

e e

ffe

cti

ve

re

gu

lati

on

of

the

re

lev

an

t a

uth

ori

ty o

f th

e c

ou

ntr

y o

r re

gio

n.

Pru

de

nti

al

ca

pit

al

ad

eq

ua

cy

Sh

all

sa

tisf

y t

he

so

lve

nc

y s

tan

da

rd o

f th

e c

ou

ntr

y o

r re

gio

n.

Ho

me

re

gu

lato

r a

pp

rov

al

Sh

all o

bta

in t

he

ap

pro

val

fro

m r

ele

van

t au

tho

riti

es

of

the

loca

l co

un

try

or

reg

ion

fo

r th

e e

stab

lish

me

nt.

SP

OT

LIG

HT

ON

FU

ND

S -

RM

B Q

UA

LIF

IED

FO

RE

IGN

INS

TIT

UT

ION

AL

INV

ES

TOR

(R

QF

II) P

RO

GR

AM

Un

de

r th

e C

hA

FTA

, Ch

ina

ha

s fo

r th

e fi

rst

tim

e g

ran

ted

Au

stra

lia a

RM

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uo

ta u

nd

er

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ua

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d F

ore

ign

Inst

itu

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vest

or

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his

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lian

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cia

l in

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on

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on

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re fi

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al i

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en

ts, i

ncl

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ing

th

e

Ch

ine

se o

nsh

ore

se

curi

tie

s m

ark

et.

Th

is is

an

are

a o

f si

gn

ifica

nt

po

ten

tia

l gro

wth

fo

r A

ust

ralia

’s

fun

ds

ma

na

ge

me

nt

ind

ust

ry. A

ust

ralia

n f

un

d m

an

ag

ers

his

tory

of

inve

stm

en

t e

xpe

rtis

e a

nd

inn

ov

ati

on

, th

e R

QF

II

Pro

gra

m s

ho

uld

op

en

up

op

po

rtu

nit

ies

in t

erm

s o

f b

oth

inve

stm

en

t a

lloca

tio

n a

nd

fu

nd

so

urc

ing

.

Page 22: ANZ OPPORTUNITY CHINA · 7 ANZ O PP O INTRODUCTION Why this one stands out • The ChAFT A has the potential to be transformational over time as: - China is A ustralia’s largest

43

AN

Z O

PP

OR

TU

NIT

Y C

HIN

A

Se

cti

on

2 –

Au

stra

lia

n o

pp

ort

un

itie

s fr

om

th

e C

hA

FTA

FIG

UR

E 2

5: B

AC

KG

RO

UN

D T

O R

QF

II P

RO

GR

AM

– S

EL

EC

TE

D M

ILE

ST

ON

ES

FIG

UR

E 2

6: R

QF

II A

LLO

CA

TIO

N B

Y C

OU

NT

RY

– A

S O

F 3

1 D

EC

20

14

So

urc

e: K

WM

Co

nn

ect;

Au

stra

lian

Go

vern

men

t –

th

e Tr

easu

ry; I

CB

C P

ari

s B

ran

ch p

rese

nta

tio

n A

pri

l 20

14

; Res

erve

Ba

nk

of

Au

stra

lia B

ulle

tin

Dec

emb

er Q

ua

rter

20

14

No

te: *

Taiw

an

all

oca

tio

n is

no

t ye

t o

pen

fo

r in

vest

ors

FIG

UR

E 2

7: R

QF

II Q

UO

TAS

GR

AN

TE

D B

Y I

NS

TIT

UT

ION

– A

S O

F 3

0 J

AN

20

15

So

urc

e: S

AF

E

Inve

stm

ent q

uota

ap

pro

vals

Th

e t

ab

le b

elo

w s

ho

ws

the

allo

cati

on

s g

ran

ted

to

va

rio

us

cou

ntr

ies

so f

ar

un

de

r th

e R

QF

II P

rog

ram

.

Wit

hin

th

ese

allo

cati

on

s, 9

9 in

stit

uti

on

s to

da

te h

ave

re

ceiv

ed

qu

ota

s to

talli

ng

ove

r R

MB

30

0 b

illio

n, m

ost

ly in

Ho

ng

Ko

ng

.

Ce

ntr

e

Cle

ari

ng

ba

nk

D

ate

an

no

un

ce

dR

QF

II a

llo

ca

tio

n (

RM

B b

illi

on

)

Ho

ng

Ko

ng

B

an

k o

f C

hin

aD

ec

20

11

27

0

Taip

ei

Ba

nk

of

Ch

ina

Jan

20

13

10

0*

Sin

ga

po

re

ICB

CO

ct

20

13

50

v

Lo

nd

on

C

hin

a C

on

stru

cti

on

Ba

nk

Oc

t 2

01

38

0

Pa

ris

Ba

nk

of

Ch

ina

Ma

r 2

01

48

0

Fra

nkf

urt

B

an

k o

f C

hin

aJu

l 2

01

48

0

Se

ou

l B

an

k o

f C

om

mu

nic

ati

on

sJu

l 2

01

48

0

Qa

tar

ICB

CN

ov

20

14

30

Toro

nto

IC

BC

No

v 2

01

45

0

Ku

ala

Lu

mp

ur

Ye

t to

be

de

sig

na

ted

No

v 2

01

4N

/A

Au

stra

lia

Ba

nk

of

Ch

ina

No

v 2

01

45

0

Ce

ntr

e

Nu

mb

er

of

org

an

isa

tio

ns

Cu

mu

lati

ve

Ap

pro

ve

d Q

uo

ta (

RM

B b

illi

on

)

Ho

ng

Ko

ng

7

92

70

.0

Sin

ga

po

re

91

2.3

Lo

nd

on

7

12

.2

Pa

ris

26

.0

Se

ou

l 2

4.0

To

tal

99

30

4.5

20

11

• R

QF

II s

ch

em

e e

sta

bli

she

d i

n H

on

g K

on

g

• In

itia

l in

ve

stm

en

t q

uo

ta o

f R

MB

20

bil

lio

n

• O

nly

su

bsi

dia

rie

s o

f C

hin

a-b

ase

d i

nst

itu

tio

ns

co

uld

ap

ply

un

de

r th

e R

QF

II

Ma

y 2

01

2A

dd

itio

na

l R

MB

50

bil

lio

n i

nv

est

me

nt

qu

ota

gra

nte

d f

or

the

la

un

ch

of

RQ

FII

A-s

ha

re E

TF

s

Jan

ua

ry 2

01

3R

QF

II s

ch

em

e w

as

exp

an

de

d t

o T

aiw

an

wit

h t

ota

l q

uo

ta o

f R

MB

10

0 b

illi

on

Mid

-20

13

RQ

FII

ru

les

rev

ise

d t

o:

• E

xpa

nd

th

e s

co

pe

of

eli

gib

le a

pp

lic

an

ts a

nd

pe

rmit

ted

in

ve

stm

en

t

• R

eq

uir

e R

QF

IIs

to o

pe

n o

nsh

ore

sp

ec

ial

ac

co

un

ts d

esi

gn

ate

d f

or

sto

ck

exc

ha

ng

e t

rad

ing

,

inte

r-b

an

k b

on

d m

ark

et

tra

din

g a

nd

sto

ck

ind

ex

futu

res

tra

din

g

July

an

d O

cto

be

r 2

01

3R

QF

II w

as

exp

an

de

d t

o S

ing

ap

ore

an

d L

on

do

n w

ith

all

oc

ate

d q

uo

ta o

f R

MB

50

bil

lio

n

an

d R

MB

80

bil

lio

n r

esp

ec

tiv

ely

Ma

rch

20

14

RQ

FII

wa

s e

xpa

nd

ed

to

Fra

nc

e w

ith

qu

ota

of

RM

B8

0 b

illi

on

No

ve

mb

er

20

14

Ch

AF

TA a

nn

ou

nc

ed

; Au

stra

lia

wa

s g

ran

ted

RM

B5

0 b

illi

on

un

de

r R

QF

II

TO

DA

TE

, 99

IN

ST

ITU

TIO

NS

HA

VE

RE

CE

IVE

D Q

UO

TAS

TO

TAL

LIN

G I

N E

XC

ES

S O

F R

MB

30

0 B

ILL

ION

Page 23: ANZ OPPORTUNITY CHINA · 7 ANZ O PP O INTRODUCTION Why this one stands out • The ChAFT A has the potential to be transformational over time as: - China is A ustralia’s largest

45

AN

Z O

PP

OR

TU

NIT

Y C

HIN

A

Se

cti

on

2 –

Au

stra

lia

n o

pp

ort

un

itie

s fr

om

th

e C

hA

FTA

FIG

UR

E 2

8: O

VE

RV

IEW

OF

RQ

FII

PR

OG

RA

M R

ES

TR

ICT

ION

S A

ND

CO

NS

IDE

RA

TIO

N

So

urc

e: T

he

Inve

stm

ent

Law

yer,

Vo

l 21

, No

. 8 A

ug

ust

20

14

For

Au

stra

lian

fin

anci

al in

stit

uti

on

s se

eki

ng

to

par

tici

pat

e in

th

e R

QF

II p

rog

ram

, un

de

rsta

nd

ing

th

e lo

ck-u

p p

eri

od

, pe

rmit

ted

fre

qu

en

cy

for

the

re

pat

riat

ion

of

fun

ds,

an

d t

he

ab

ility

to

re

cyc

le t

he

inve

stm

en

t q

uo

ta g

ran

ted

will

be

imp

ort

ant

fro

m a

liq

uid

ity

man

age

me

nt

pe

rsp

ect

ive

in r

ela

tio

n t

o t

he

fu

nd

clie

nts

. In

vest

me

nt

stra

teg

y an

d o

bje

ctiv

es

will

like

ly r

eq

uir

e d

ep

osi

t/yi

eld

solu

tio

ns,

as

we

ll as

ris

k h

ed

gin

g id

eas

. Fin

ally

, RM

B fo

reig

n e

xch

ang

e r

isk

man

age

me

nt

may

als

o b

e r

ele

van

t fo

r ce

rtai

n f

un

d c

lien

ts.

Re

gu

lato

rs

CS

RC

SA

FE

PB

OC

• A

pp

rov

es

RQ

FII

sta

tus

• R

eg

ula

tes

inv

est

me

nts

by

RQ

FII

s

Mo

nit

ors

an

d r

eg

ula

tes

rep

atr

iati

on

/re

mit

tan

ce

of

RM

B f

un

ds

Ap

pro

ve

s a

nd

all

oc

ate

s R

QF

II

qu

ota

• R

eg

ula

tes

on

sho

re

RM

B a

cc

ou

nts

• R

eg

ula

tes

inv

est

me

nt

by

RQ

FII

s

Eli

gib

le a

pp

lic

an

ts

Sub

sid

iari

es in

Rel

evan

t Ju

risd

icti

on

s o

f:

• P

RC

fu

nd

ma

na

ge

me

nt

co

mp

an

ies

• P

RC

se

cu

riti

es

co

mp

an

ies

• P

RC

co

mm

erc

ial

ba

nks

• P

RC

in

sura

nc

e c

om

pa

nie

s

Fin

anci

al in

stit

uti

on

s w

ith

a p

rin

cip

al p

lace

of b

usi

nes

s in

th

at R

elev

ant

Juri

sdic

tio

n t

hat

hav

e:

• O

bta

ine

d a

n a

sse

t m

an

ag

em

en

t li

ce

nse

iss

ue

d b

y a

re

gu

lato

r in

th

e R

ele

va

nt

Juri

sdic

tio

n; a

nd

• A

lre

ad

y c

on

du

cte

d r

ele

va

nt

ass

et

ma

na

ge

me

nt

bu

sin

ess

*

*No

str

ict

def

init

ion

of

the

tra

ck r

eco

rd is

req

uir

ed

Ap

pli

ca

tio

n p

roc

ess

• C

SR

C w

ill

ma

ke

de

cis

ion

wit

hin

60

da

ys

of

rec

eiv

ing

all

re

qu

ire

d d

oc

um

en

ts^

• S

AF

E w

ill

ap

pro

ve

in

ve

stm

en

t q

uo

ta w

ith

in 6

0 w

ork

ing

da

ys

of

rec

eiv

ing

all

re

qu

ire

d d

oc

um

en

ts

^In

pra

ctic

e, t

he

CS

RC

typ

ica

lly

take

s 3

-4 m

on

ths

to r

evi

ew

an

d a

pp

rove

RQ

FII

lice

nse

Do

min

an

t C

urr

en

cy

RM

B (

no

on

sho

re F

X c

on

ve

rsio

n r

eq

uir

ed

)

Pe

rmit

ted

in

ve

stm

en

ts

To in

vest

in t

he

follo

win

g R

MB-

den

om

inat

ed fi

nan

cial

inst

rum

ents

wit

hin

th

e ap

pro

ved

inve

stm

ent

qu

ota

:

• S

toc

ks, b

on

ds

an

d w

arr

an

ts t

rad

ed

or

tra

nsf

err

ed

on

sto

ck

exc

ha

ng

es;

• F

ixe

d i

nc

om

e p

rod

uc

ts t

rad

ed

on

th

e i

nte

rba

nk

bo

nd

ma

rke

t**;

• S

ec

uri

tie

s in

ve

stm

en

t fu

nd

s;

• S

toc

k-in

de

x fu

ture

s; a

nd

• O

the

r fi

na

nc

ial

inst

rum

en

ts a

llo

we

d b

y t

he

CS

RC

(in

clu

din

g t

he

su

bsc

rip

tio

n o

f a

dd

itio

na

l sh

are

iss

ue

s, r

igh

t is

sue

s, I

PO

of

sha

res;

an

d I

PO

of

co

nv

ert

ible

bo

nd

s)

** O

nly

pri

or

ap

pro

val o

f th

e P

BO

C is

req

uir

ed

Sh

are

ho

ldin

g r

est

ric

tio

ns

• A

sin

gle

fo

reig

n i

nv

est

or

sha

ll n

ot

ho

ld t

hro

ug

h a

QF

II/R

QF

II m

ore

th

an

10

% o

f th

e t

ota

l sh

are

s

of

an

in

div

idu

al

list

ed

co

mp

an

y

• T

he

to

tal

A-s

ha

res

of

an

in

div

idu

al

list

ed

co

mp

an

y h

eld

by

all

fo

reig

n i

nv

est

ors

sh

all

no

t e

xce

ed

30

% o

f it

s to

tal

ass

ets

Inv

est

me

nt

qu

ota

rest

ric

tio

ns

NA

De

ad

lin

e f

or

inv

est

me

nt

pro

ce

ed

s to

be

re

mit

ted

• O

pe

n-e

nd

ed

fu

nd

s : N

ot

spe

cif

ied

• 6

mo

nth

s a

fte

r th

e i

nv

est

me

nt

qu

ota

is

ap

pro

ve

d (

oth

er

tha

n o

pe

n-e

nd

ed

fu

nd

s ^

^)

^^

Gen

era

l def

init

ion

of

op

en-e

nd

ed f

un

ds

ap

pli

es (

i.e. p

ub

licl

y-o

ffer

ed f

un

ds

list

ed o

n m

ajo

r st

ock

exc

ha

ng

es).

Th

is s

ho

uld

be

dis

tin

gu

ish

ed f

rom

th

e d

efin

itio

n o

f “o

pen

-en

ded

Ch

ina

fu

nd

” in

QF

II r

ule

s

Min

imu

m i

nv

est

me

nt

req

uir

em

en

t

NA

Lo

ck

-up

pe

rio

d

• O

pe

n-e

nd

ed

fu

nd

s: n

o l

oc

k-u

p p

eri

od

• O

the

r R

QF

IIs:

1 y

ea

r

Th

e l

oc

k-u

p p

eri

od

is

de

em

ed

to

co

mm

en

ce

fro

m t

he

ea

rlie

r o

f th

e d

ate

: (i)

wh

en

th

e i

nv

est

me

nt

ca

pit

al

is f

ull

y r

em

itte

d i

nto

th

e o

nsh

ore

de

sig

ne

d a

cc

ou

nt;

an

d (

ii)

the

en

d o

f si

x m

on

ths

aft

er

the

in

ve

stm

en

t

qu

ota

is

ap

pro

ve

d i

f th

e i

nv

est

me

nt

ca

pit

al

ha

s n

ot

be

en

fu

lly

re

mit

ted

wit

hin

th

e p

resc

rib

ed

de

ad

lin

e.

Re

cy

cli

ng

of

inv

est

me

nt

qu

ota

s

• O

pe

n-e

nd

ed

fu

nd

s: Y

es,

as

lon

g a

s th

e n

et

am

ou

nt

of

inv

est

me

nt

ca

pit

al

rem

itte

d i

nto

Ch

ina

is

wit

hin

th

e

inv

est

me

nt

qu

ota

• O

the

r R

QF

IIs:

No

Fu

rth

er

qu

ota

sP

erm

itte

d t

o a

pp

ly f

or

furt

he

r q

uo

ta o

nc

e 8

0%

of

the

cu

rre

nt

qu

ota

ha

s b

ee

n u

tili

sed

Re

pa

tria

tio

n

Op

en-e

nd

ed fu

nd

s:

• M

ay

re

pa

tria

te o

r re

mit

on

a d

ail

y b

asi

s

• M

ay

re

inv

est

wit

hin

in

ve

stm

en

t q

uo

ta p

erm

itte

d

Oth

er R

QFI

Is:

• M

ay

re

pa

tria

te o

r re

mit

on

a m

on

thly

ba

sis

aft

er

the

exp

iry

of

the

lo

ck-

up

pe

rio

d

• S

AF

E p

re-a

pp

rov

al

is n

ot

req

uir

ed

• M

ay

no

t re

-in

ve

st o

r re

cy

cle

th

e r

em

itte

d c

ap

ita

l a

nd

th

e i

nv

est

me

nt

qu

ota

wil

l b

e r

ed

uc

ed

ac

co

rdin

gly

Mo

nth

ly r

ep

atr

iati

on

rest

ric

tio

ns

NA

RQ

FII

IN

MO

RE

DE

TAIL

Page 24: ANZ OPPORTUNITY CHINA · 7 ANZ O PP O INTRODUCTION Why this one stands out • The ChAFT A has the potential to be transformational over time as: - China is A ustralia’s largest

47

47

AN

Z O

PP

OR

TU

NIT

Y C

HIN

AA

NZ

OP

PO

RT

UN

ITY

CH

INA

SE

CT

ION

3

WH

AT

AU

ST

RA

LIA

N B

US

INE

SS

ES

SH

OU

LD

BE

DO

ING

Plan

ning

is e

ssen

tial.

AN

Z hi

ghlig

ht h

ow to

sta

rt a

nd w

hat t

o th

ink

abou

t to

exec

ute

on th

e b

enefi

ts

that

the

ChA

FTA

can

brin

g.

Th

e C

hA

FTA

will

no

t o

nly

lea

d t

o 9

5%

of

go

od

s a

nd

se

rvic

es

be

ing

ta

riff

fre

e o

ver

tim

e, b

ut

it w

ill p

rove

to

be

a c

ata

lyst

fo

r

Au

stra

lian

bu

sin

ess

es

to e

sta

blis

h a

bu

yin

g o

r se

llin

g r

ela

tio

nsh

ip w

ith

ou

r la

rge

st t

rad

ing

pa

rtn

er.

In t

he

pre

vio

us

sec

tio

n

we

ide

nti

fie

d a

nu

mb

er

of

ind

ust

rie

s th

at

are

like

ly t

o r

ece

ive

sig

nifi

can

t b

en

efi

ts. F

or

som

e o

f th

ese

ind

ust

rie

s, s

elli

ng

into

Ch

ina

will

no

t o

nly

be

ch

ea

pe

r a

nd

ea

sie

r, b

ut

the

y w

ill a

lso

hav

e t

he

ca

pa

city

to

se

t u

p o

pe

rati

on

s o

r b

uy

exi

stin

g o

pe

rati

on

s

to d

eve

lop

an

on

th

e g

rou

nd

pre

sen

ce. K

ey

con

sid

era

tio

ns

for

do

ing

bu

sin

ess

wit

h o

r in

Ch

ina

are

hig

hlig

hte

d b

elo

w.

Ke

y C

on

sid

era

tio

ns

Exp

ortin

g to

Chi

na

Au

stra

lia h

as

sig

ne

d n

ine

FTA

s w

ith

oth

er

na

tio

ns,

incl

ud

ing

Ch

ina

, sin

ce 2

00

5. D

esp

ite

th

is, o

nly

19

% o

f e

xpo

rte

rs h

ave

ta

ken

ad

va

nta

ge

of

the

se F

TAs.

Und

erst

and

the

ChA

FTA

and

wha

t it m

eans

for y

ou

Un

de

rsta

nd

ho

w t

he

Ch

AFT

A w

ill im

pac

t yo

ur

ind

ust

ry, b

oth

in t

erm

s o

f op

en

ing

up

mar

ket

op

po

rtu

nit

ies

into

Ch

ina

and

/or

incr

eas

ed

co

mp

eti

tio

n lo

cally

in A

ust

ralia

.

Th

e b

en

efi

ts u

nd

er

the

Ch

AF

TA a

re n

ot

au

tom

ati

c, s

o it

is im

po

rta

nt

to r

ese

arc

h t

he

be

ne

fits

th

at

are

av

aila

ble

an

d t

o e

nsu

re y

ou

r b

usi

ne

ss is

ma

xim

isin

g

the

op

po

rtu

nit

ies.

Fo

r e

xam

ple

, yo

u n

ee

d t

o r

eg

iste

r yo

ur

pro

du

cts

an

d o

bta

in a

Ce

rtifi

cate

of

Ori

gin

in o

rde

r to

acc

ess

ta

riff

re

du

cti

on

s.

AN

Z a

dv

an

tag

es

Reso

urce

s

FTA

s a

re lo

ng

an

d c

om

ple

x le

ga

l do

cum

en

ts. T

o a

ssis

t A

ust

ralia

n b

usi

ne

sse

s, A

NZ

ha

s p

art

ne

red

wit

h t

he

Exp

ort

Co

un

cil o

f A

ust

ralia

(E

CA

) to

de

velo

p

a s

imp

le o

nlin

e F

TA t

oo

l (w

ww

.fta

too

l.co

m.a

u)

wh

ich

dis

pla

ys t

he

ke

y p

oin

ts o

f e

ach

FTA

in “p

lain

En

glis

h” a

nd

pro

vid

es

spe

cifi

c in

sig

hts

on

ho

w t

o t

ake

ad

va

nta

ge

of

the

re

lev

an

t F

TAs

rela

tin

g t

o y

ou

r in

du

stry

/pro

du

ct.

Und

erst

and

the

Chi

nese

cul

ture

, cus

tom

s an

d b

usin

ess

etiq

uett

e

So

me

fo

reig

n c

om

pa

nie

s a

re u

nsu

cce

ssfu

l wh

en

exp

an

din

g in

to C

hin

a b

eca

use

th

ey

do

n’t

lea

rn t

he

ba

sics

. Bu

sin

ess

es

sho

uld

de

velo

p r

ela

tio

nsh

ips

wit

h o

rga

nis

ati

on

s lik

e t

he

Au

stra

lia C

hin

a B

usi

ne

ss C

ou

nci

l (A

CB

C)

or

loca

l Au

stra

lian

Ch

ine

se b

usi

ne

ss b

od

ies,

as

the

y ca

n o

fte

n b

e y

ou

r b

est

ad

vis

ors

.

So

me

ke

y b

asi

cs in

clu

de

:

• B

usi

ne

ss c

ard

s ar

e im

po

rtan

t. C

reat

e a

do

ub

le s

ide

d c

ard

wit

h y

ou

r d

eta

ils in

Ch

ine

se o

n t

he

re

vers

e s

ide

– w

he

n m

ee

tin

g C

hin

ese

par

tie

s, a

lway

s o

ffe

r yo

ur

card

usi

ng

bo

th h

and

s w

ith

th

e C

hin

ese

sid

e f

ace

up

. It’s

co

nsi

de

red

a s

ign

of

resp

ect

to

sp

en

d a

few

mo

me

nts

exa

min

ing

th

e b

usi

ne

ss c

ard

s yo

u r

ece

ive

.

• C

hin

ese

na

min

g c

on

ven

tio

ns

are

diff

ere

nt.

In w

ritt

en

fo

rm, s

urn

am

es

are

pla

ced

firs

t, f

ollo

we

d b

y g

ive

n n

am

es

e.g

. Mr

Zh

an

g Y

on

g s

ho

uld

be

ad

dre

sse

d

as

Mr

Zh

an

g.

• It

is c

ust

om

ary

to

exc

ha

ng

e s

ma

ll a

nd

ine

xpe

nsi

ve g

ifts

at

me

eti

ng

s. W

he

n y

ou

are

inv

ite

d t

o a

Ch

ine

se b

usi

ne

ss m

ee

tin

g, s

ma

ll g

ifts

wit

h a

n A

ust

ralia

n

the

me

to

exc

ha

ng

e w

ill b

e w

arm

ly r

ece

ive

d.

• B

usi

ne

ss s

low

s d

ow

n f

or

alm

ost

a m

on

th a

rou

nd

Ch

ine

se lu

na

r N

ew

Ye

ar.

Tim

ing

var

ies

fro

m y

ear

to

ye

ar b

ut

the

ho

liday

pe

rio

d g

en

era

lly fa

lls a

rou

nd

late

Jan

uar

y/Fe

bru

ary

and

bu

sin

ess

is u

sual

ly n

ot

con

du

cte

d d

uri

ng

th

is p

eri

od

.

AN

Z a

dv

an

tag

es

Reso

urce

s

Th

e A

NZ

Asi

a P

aci

fic

Co

nn

ec

t w

eb

site

(w

ww

.an

z.co

m/a

sia

pa

cifi

c) is

a s

ou

rce

of

info

rma

tio

n a

nd

pro

vid

es

insi

gh

ts f

or

con

du

cti

ng

bu

sin

ess

in 2

9 m

ark

ets

acr

oss

Asi

a P

aci

fic.

Und

erst

and

the

Chi

nese

mar

ket

Ch

ina

is c

han

gin

g a

t a

rap

id p

ace

so

yo

u n

ee

d t

o c

on

stan

tly

en

sure

yo

u h

ave

up

to

dat

e m

arke

t in

form

atio

n.

Ch

ina

is n

ot

ho

mo

ge

ne

ou

s. T

he

re a

re 3

4 p

rovi

nce

s in

Ch

ina,

eac

h w

ith

th

eir

ow

n u

niq

ue

ch

arac

teri

stic

s, n

ee

ds

and

co

nsu

me

r ap

pe

tite

. It

is b

est

to

tak

e

a ci

ty o

r p

rovi

nci

al v

iew

an

d e

nte

r th

e m

arke

t vi

a a

par

ticu

lar

pro

vin

ce o

r ci

ty r

ath

er

than

ass

um

ing

th

at “C

hin

a” is

yo

ur

targ

et

mar

ket.

Co

nsi

de

r ti

er

2 a

nd

3 C

hin

ese

cit

ies.

Man

y b

usi

ne

sse

s lo

ok

to S

han

gh

ai a

nd

Be

ijin

g a

s th

eir

en

try

po

ints

giv

en

po

pu

lari

ty a

nd

siz

e, (

po

pu

lati

on

s o

f 2

4 a

nd

20

mill

ion

pe

op

le r

esp

ect

ive

ly),

ho

we

ver

man

y o

the

r ci

tie

s an

d r

eg

ion

s ac

ross

Ch

ina

off

er

sub

stan

tial

mar

ket

op

po

rtu

nit

ies.

Fo

r e

xam

ple

, th

e g

row

ing

We

ste

rn

Ch

ina

city

of

Ch

en

gd

u h

as a

po

pu

lati

on

of

14

mill

ion

an

d c

om

pe

titi

on

can

be

less

inte

nse

for

the

firs

t ti

me

en

tran

t.

Be

ing

su

cce

ssfu

l in

Ch

ina

is n

ot

all a

bo

ut

the

pri

ce. T

he

tar

iff r

ed

uct

ion

s u

nd

er

the

Ch

AF

TA m

ake

Au

stra

lian

go

od

s an

d s

erv

ice

s m

ore

co

mp

eti

tive

, bu

t C

hin

a’s

rap

idly

gro

win

g m

idd

le-c

lass

co

nsu

me

rs a

re s

ee

kin

g “c

lean

, gre

en

” ag

ricu

ltu

ral p

rod

uce

, an

d q

ual

ity

bra

nd

nam

e p

rod

uct

s w

ith

ing

en

uit

y an

d a

re p

rep

are

d

to p

ay fo

r th

em

.

Be

co

nsc

iou

s o

f m

arke

t n

uan

ces.

Wh

at is

po

pu

lar

in A

ust

ralia

may

no

t b

e f

avo

ure

d in

Ch

ina,

so

tak

e t

he

tim

e t

o u

nd

ers

tan

d t

he

Ch

ine

se c

on

sum

er

and

be

pre

par

ed

to

ad

apt

you

r p

rod

uct

, pac

kag

ing

, ad

vert

isin

g c

amp

aig

n e

tc. f

or

the

Ch

ine

se m

arke

t.

Ch

oo

se t

he

rig

ht

par

tne

rs. L

oca

l in

-mar

ket

con

tact

s ca

n b

e m

ore

imp

ort

ant

than

pro

du

ct a

nd

pri

ce. S

har

e y

ou

r b

usi

ne

ss p

lan

wit

h lo

cal r

ep

rese

nta

tive

wh

o u

nd

ers

tan

d

mar

ket

tre

nd

s an

d e

con

om

ic c

on

dit

ion

s in

diff

ere

nt

reg

ion

s ac

ross

Ch

ina.

Do

n’t

ass

um

e y

ou

can

op

era

te y

ou

r C

hin

a b

usi

ne

ss r

em

ote

ly f

rom

Au

stra

lia. H

avin

g lo

cal e

mp

loye

es

sho

ws

you

r co

mm

itm

en

t to

th

e C

hin

ese

mar

ket

and

is im

po

rtan

t fo

r yo

ur

bra

nd

pre

sen

ce a

nd

vis

ibili

ty.

Tre

at y

ou

r C

hin

a st

rate

gy

as a

lon

g t

erm

pla

y. E

mb

ed

din

g y

ou

r p

rod

uct

an

d in

cre

asin

g s

ale

s ta

kes

tim

e a

nd

co

mm

itm

en

t.

AN

Z a

dv

an

tag

es

Cap

abili

ty a

nd e

xper

ienc

e co

unts

AN

Z is

th

e o

nly

Au

stra

lian

ba

nk

wit

h C

lien

t In

sig

hts

an

d E

con

om

ics

tea

ms

in A

sia

, allo

win

g u

s to

pro

vid

e o

ur

cust

om

ers

wit

h lo

cally

pro

du

ced

re

sea

rch

pa

pe

rs a

nd

insi

gh

ts in

to t

he

Ch

ine

se e

con

om

y a

nd

ind

ust

rie

s.

AN

Z’s

60

0 B

an

kers

on

th

e g

rou

nd

acr

oss

Asi

a P

aci

fic

are

th

ere

to

ass

ist

AN

Z c

ust

om

ers

loca

lly w

ith

th

eir

ba

nki

ng

re

qu

ire

me

nts

, an

d m

ore

.

Test

the

Chi

nese

Mar

ket u

sing

e-c

omm

erce

pla

tfor

ms

Ph

ysic

ally

se

llin

g y

ou

r p

rod

uc

t/se

rvic

e in

Ch

ina

ca

n b

e e

xpe

nsi

ve a

nd

est

ab

lish

ing

dis

trib

uti

on

ch

an

ne

ls c

an

ta

ke t

ime

.

An

ea

sie

r, fa

ste

r a

nd

mo

re c

ost

eff

ec

tive

way

to

te

st t

he

Ch

ine

se m

ark

et

an

d u

nd

ers

tan

d h

ow

to

be

st m

ark

et

you

r p

rod

uc

t to

Ch

ine

se b

uye

rs is

on

line

.

Ch

ine

se c

on

sum

ers

are

te

chn

olo

gy

sav

vy,

an

d a

re a

vid

use

rs o

f C

hin

ese

so

cia

l me

dia

e.g

. We

cha

t, W

eib

o (

Ch

ine

se v

ers

ion

of

Face

bo

ok)

an

d o

nlin

e

ma

rke

t p

latf

orm

s e

.g. T

ma

ll a

nd

Ta

ob

ao

(C

hin

a’s

on

line

de

pa

rtm

en

t st

ore

s, s

imila

r to

Am

azo

n in

th

e U

S).

Wh

en

usi

ng

ele

ctr

on

ic p

latf

orm

s e

nsu

re t

ha

t yo

ur

site

is w

ritt

en

in C

hin

ese

. Usi

ng

a q

ua

lifie

d p

rofe

ssio

na

l tra

nsl

ato

r is

imp

era

tive

to

ma

ke s

ure

yo

ur

pro

du

ct

is w

ell

rep

rese

nte

d.

AN

Z a

dv

an

tag

es

Rela

tions

hip

s ar

e ke

y

We

hav

e d

eve

lop

ed

re

lati

on

ship

s w

ith

ke

y o

rga

nis

ati

on

s in

Au

stra

lia, l

ike

Ve

cci a

nd

Au

stra

lia P

ost

, to

he

lp o

ur

cust

om

ers

acc

ess

th

e C

hin

ese

ma

rke

t

via

th

e e

lec

tro

nic

ch

an

ne

ls a

nd

pla

tfo

rms

the

se o

rga

nis

ati

on

s o

ffe

r.

Ke

y C

on

sid

era

tio

ns

DO

N’T

AS

SU

ME

YO

U C

AN

OP

ER

AT

E Y

OU

R

CH

INA

BU

SIN

ES

S R

EM

OT

ELY

FR

OM

AU

ST

RA

LIA

Page 25: ANZ OPPORTUNITY CHINA · 7 ANZ O PP O INTRODUCTION Why this one stands out • The ChAFT A has the potential to be transformational over time as: - China is A ustralia’s largest

49

AN

Z O

PP

OR

TU

NIT

Y C

HIN

A

CO

NS

IDE

R H

IRIN

G A

US

TR

AL

IAN

EM

PLO

YE

ES

WIT

H C

HIN

ES

E H

ER

ITA

GE

Se

cti

on

3 -

Wh

at

Au

stra

lia

n b

usi

ne

sse

s sh

ou

ld b

e d

oin

g

Are

you

Chi

na/e

xpor

t rea

dy?

Succ

ess

fully

en

teri

ng

th

e C

hin

ese

mar

ket

req

uire

s a

lon

g t

erm

co

mm

itm

en

t, fr

eq

ue

nt

trav

el a

nd

ab

ility

to

co

mm

un

icat

e. B

efo

re e

xpan

din

g in

to C

hin

a e

nsu

re y

ou

:

• U

nd

ers

tan

d t

he

Ch

ine

se r

eg

ula

tio

ns

go

vern

ing

yo

ur

ind

ust

ry o

r in

vest

me

nt

and

fam

iliar

ise

yo

urs

elf

wit

h r

ele

van

t C

hA

FTA

pro

visi

on

s. E

stab

lish

ing

th

e

app

rop

riat

e e

xpo

rt li

cen

ses

can

als

o b

e a

len

gth

y p

roce

ss.

• H

ave

a w

eb

site

in b

oth

En

glis

h a

nd

Ch

ine

se, u

nd

ers

tan

d s

hip

pin

g t

ime

s, c

ust

om

s p

roce

du

res,

est

ablis

h a

pp

rop

riat

e p

rod

uct

de

live

ry a

nd

aft

er

sale

s

serv

ice

me

chan

ism

s to

su

pp

ort

yo

ur

pro

du

ct.

• H

ave

th

e p

roce

ss a

nd

eq

uip

me

nt

in p

lace

to

ad

apt

you

r p

rod

uct

siz

e, p

acka

gin

g, c

olo

ur

etc

. to

su

it t

he

Ch

ine

se m

arke

t, if

ne

ed

ed

.

• E

stab

lish

th

e a

pp

rop

riat

e b

usi

ne

ss a

nd

tax

str

uct

ure

an

d t

ake

ste

ps

to p

rote

ct y

ou

r in

telle

ctu

al p

rop

ert

y fr

om

be

ing

co

pie

d –

use

qu

alifi

ed

leg

al

and

acc

ou

nti

ng

firm

s w

ith

a p

rese

nce

in C

hin

a to

est

ablis

h a

nd

re

vie

w a

ll co

ntr

acts

.

• E

ng

agin

g a

go

od

ag

en

t/d

istr

ibu

tor

in C

hin

a w

ith

loca

l kn

ow

led

ge

of

mar

ket

con

dit

ion

s an

d E

ng

lish

sp

eak

ing

cap

abili

tie

s ca

n r

ed

uce

se

tup

co

sts.

It m

ay b

e b

en

efi

cial

to

hav

e a

Ch

ine

se e

mp

loye

e/a

ge

nt

wh

o c

an a

ssis

t w

he

n la

ng

uag

e c

apab

iliti

es

are

re

qu

ire

d.

AN

Z a

dv

an

tag

es

AN

Z is

re

cog

nis

ed

as

the

lea

din

g t

rad

e a

nd

su

pp

ly c

ha

in b

an

k in

Au

stra

lia, w

ith

tra

de

te

am

s o

n t

he

gro

un

d a

cro

ss A

sia

Pa

cifi

c to

he

lp s

up

po

rt y

ou

r in

itia

l

or

on

go

ing

tra

de

re

qu

ire

me

nts

. AN

Z’s

on

line

tra

de

pla

tfo

rm p

rov

ide

s yo

u w

ith

th

e a

bili

ty t

o in

itia

te, a

me

nd

an

d t

rack

yo

ur

tra

de

tra

nsa

cti

on

s a

nyw

he

re

in t

he

wo

rld

.

For

cust

om

ers

ne

ed

ing

ba

nki

ng

su

pp

ort

in C

hin

a, C

hri

s C

ha

se, A

NZ

’s d

ed

ica

ted

Au

stra

lia/N

Z d

esk

in S

ha

ng

ha

i, a

ssis

ts w

ith

th

e b

an

kin

g n

ee

ds

of

Au

stra

lian

cu

sto

me

rs. H

e is

su

pp

ort

ed

by

loca

l En

glis

h s

pe

aki

ng

re

lati

on

ship

ma

na

ge

rs a

nd

in c

ou

nty

pro

du

ct

spe

cia

lists

.

Sett

ing

up a

bus

ines

s/su

bsi

diar

y in

Chi

na?

Fore

ign

co

mp

an

ies

are

no

t p

erm

itte

d t

o d

o b

usi

ne

ss d

ire

ctl

y in

Ch

ina

wit

ho

ut

a b

usi

ne

ss li

cen

se. A

lth

ou

gh

th

e m

ajo

rity

of

the

Ch

AF

TA f

ocu

ses

on

op

en

ing

tra

de

re

lati

on

ship

s, it

ha

s a

lso

ma

de

it e

asi

er

for

a n

um

be

r o

f se

rvic

e in

du

stri

es

to d

o b

usi

ne

ss in

Ch

ina

via

wh

olly

ow

ne

d s

ub

sid

iari

es.

Be

fore

est

ab

lish

ing

a b

usi

ne

ss p

rese

nce

in C

hin

a y

ou

sh

ou

ld c

on

sid

er:

• Yo

ur

ow

n b

usi

ne

ss m

od

el t

o d

eci

de

wh

ich

on

e o

f th

e f

ou

r p

oss

ible

Fo

reig

n In

vest

or

En

tity

typ

es

of

inco

rpo

rati

on

in C

hin

a b

est

su

its

you

r n

ee

ds.

• W

he

re t

o lo

cate

yo

ur

ba

se o

f o

pe

rati

on

. Diff

ere

nt

citi

es/

pro

vin

ces

off

er

diff

ere

nt

be

ne

fits

like

lab

ou

r p

oo

ls, h

igh

te

ch p

ark

s, lo

cal s

up

po

rt in

clu

din

g

tax

be

ne

fits

, tra

nsp

ort

ati

on

, in

fra

stru

ctu

re e

tc. I

nve

stig

ate

be

ne

fits

ass

oci

ate

d w

ith

op

era

tin

g f

rom

th

e S

FT

Z w

hic

h w

as

est

ab

lish

ed

in 2

01

3.

• E

sta

blis

hin

g a

go

od

co

nn

ec

tio

n/r

ela

tio

nsh

ip (

“Gu

an

xi”)

wit

h lo

cal C

hin

ese

go

vern

me

nt

offi

cia

ls a

nd

en

terp

rise

s w

hic

h is

ne

cess

ary

fo

r o

pe

rati

ng

succ

ess

fully

in C

hin

a.

• C

hin

ese

La

bo

ur

Law

re

qu

ire

me

nts

. Un

like

Au

stra

lia, m

ed

ica

l in

sura

nce

, pe

nsi

on

, un

em

plo

yme

nt

insu

ran

ce, a

nd

ho

usi

ng

fu

nd

s a

re le

ga

lly r

eq

uir

ed

wh

en

yo

u h

ave

em

plo

yee

s in

Ch

ina

.

• T

he

tim

e, s

tep

s an

d c

ost

ass

oci

ate

d w

ith

ob

tain

ing

a b

usi

ne

ss li

cen

se in

Ch

ina.

De

pe

nd

ing

on

yo

ur

ind

ust

ry a

nd

loca

tio

n, C

hin

ese

law

typ

ical

ly r

eq

uir

es

shar

eh

old

ers

to

inje

ct a

nd

ho

ld c

ash

eq

uit

y. T

his

am

ou

nt

can

be

su

bst

anti

al, f

or

exa

mp

le fo

reig

n m

anu

fact

ure

rs o

pe

rati

ng

in S

han

gh

ai a

re r

eq

uir

ed

to h

old

US

D2

00

,00

0 in

re

gis

tere

d c

apit

al. T

he

re a

re a

uth

ori

zed

ag

en

cie

s th

at c

an h

elp

fore

ign

inve

sto

rs n

avig

ate

th

e e

stab

lish

me

nt

req

uir

em

en

ts.

Reso

urce

s av

aila

ble

to y

ou

Th

ere

are

va

rio

us

Go

vern

me

nt

bo

die

s e

sta

blis

he

d t

o s

up

po

rt A

ust

ralia

n b

usi

ne

sse

s. E

FIC

, th

e E

xpo

rt C

ou

nci

l, Tr

ad

eS

tart

an

d A

ust

rad

e c

an

pro

vid

e

ass

ista

nce

an

d a

dv

ice

ab

ou

t e

xpo

rtin

g t

o C

hin

a a

nd

wh

at

is r

eq

uir

ed

to

su

cce

ed

. Th

ese

org

an

isa

tio

ns

als

o m

ain

tain

loca

l on

th

e g

rou

nd

offi

ces/

rep

rese

nta

tio

n a

cro

ss C

hin

a.

Co

nta

ct

you

r S

tate

an

d F

ed

era

l Go

vern

me

nt

offi

ces

an

d a

sk a

bo

ut

fin

an

cia

l gra

nts

an

d t

rad

e m

issi

on

s. T

he

re a

re g

ran

ts a

va

ilab

le t

o a

ssis

t A

ust

ralia

n

bu

sin

ess

es

exp

ort

or

est

ab

lish

an

off

sho

re p

rese

nce

an

d t

he

Go

vern

me

nt

reg

ula

rly

run

tra

de

mis

sio

ns

to C

hin

a o

ffe

rin

g A

ust

ralia

n b

usi

ne

sse

s th

e

op

po

rtu

nit

y to

ga

in in

co

un

try

bu

sin

ess

exp

eri

en

ce in

Ch

ina

.

In a

dd

itio

n t

o G

ove

rnm

en

t a

ssis

tan

ce, i

t co

uld

be

he

lpfu

l to

sp

ea

k w

ith

oth

er

bu

sin

ess

es

op

era

tin

g in

Ch

ina

, co

nta

cti

ng

pri

va

te o

rga

nis

ati

on

like

th

e

Au

stra

lia C

hin

a B

usi

ne

ss C

ou

nci

l may

be

a g

oo

d p

lace

to

sta

rt.

AN

Z a

dv

an

tag

es

Use

you

r net

wor

ks

AN

Z’s

lon

g-s

tan

din

g p

rese

nce

in C

hin

a m

ean

s th

at t

he

ban

k h

as b

ee

n a

ble

to

est

ablis

h s

tro

ng

re

lati

on

ship

s w

ith

ke

y th

ird

par

ty m

arke

t e

ntr

y, s

ou

rcin

g, a

cco

un

tin

g,

taxa

tio

n, a

nd

log

isti

cs p

rovi

de

rs. W

e c

an in

tro

du

ce o

ur

cust

om

ers

to

th

e r

igh

t p

eo

ple

in C

hin

a to

pro

vid

e h

olis

tic

sup

po

rt fo

r tr

ade

an

d m

arke

t e

ntr

y.

Hiri

ng C

hine

se s

taff

Co

nsi

de

r h

irin

g A

ust

ralia

n e

mp

loye

es

wit

h C

hin

ese

he

rita

ge

an

d la

ng

ua

ge

ca

pa

bili

ty t

o a

ssis

t a

t b

usi

ne

ss m

ee

tin

gs,

inst

ea

d o

f re

lyin

g o

n t

ran

sla

tors

.

You

r e

mp

loye

e is

mo

re li

kely

to

ac

t in

yo

ur

inte

rest

.

Ch

ine

se w

ho

hav

e li

ved

, stu

die

d a

nd

/or

wo

rke

d in

bo

th c

ou

ntr

ies

are

fa

mili

ar

wit

h b

oth

ma

rke

ts, a

nd

ca

n p

rov

ide

insi

gh

t in

to t

he

Ch

ine

se c

ult

ure

wh

ilst

ap

pre

cia

tin

g h

ow

th

ing

s a

re d

on

e in

Au

stra

lia.

Use

Ren

min

bi (

RMB)

for t

rade

tran

sact

ions

His

tori

cally

tra

de

flo

ws

wit

h C

hin

a w

ere

se

ttle

d in

US

D, h

ow

eve

r th

is is

ch

an

gin

g w

ith

th

e in

tern

ati

on

alis

ati

on

of

RM

B b

ein

g a

n in

teg

ral p

art

of

Ch

ina’

s

fin

an

cia

l re

form

str

ate

gy.

As

RM

B b

eco

me

s th

e m

ajo

r in

voic

ing

cu

rre

nc

y in

Ch

ina

, yo

u m

ay w

an

t to

co

nsi

de

r tr

ad

ing

wit

h C

hin

ese

co

un

terp

art

ies

in R

MB

. Pay

ing

an

d r

ece

ivin

g

fun

ds

in R

MB

do

esn

’t m

ea

n t

ha

t yo

u n

ee

d t

o s

et

up

an

acc

ou

nt

in C

hin

a, a

s yo

u c

an

op

en

an

d o

pe

rate

a R

MB

fo

reig

n c

urr

en

cy

acc

ou

nt

in A

ust

ralia

.

Th

ere

are

so

me

ke

y a

dv

an

tag

es

to t

rad

ing

in R

MB

:

• D

isco

un

ts o

f u

p t

o 5

%: I

t is

est

ima

ted

th

at

Ch

ine

se c

om

pa

nie

s a

dd

up

to

5%

to

th

eir

qu

ote

s in

a f

ore

ign

cu

rre

nc

y to

ca

ptu

re t

he

co

st o

f b

ea

rin

g t

he

exc

ha

ng

e r

ate

ris

k. If

RM

B is

use

d, t

he

ad

dit

ion

al c

ost

s ca

n b

e r

em

ove

d.

• E

xte

nd

pay

me

nt

term

s to

21

0 d

ays:

Fo

reig

n c

urr

en

cy

invo

ice

s (i

mp

ort

/exp

ort

) w

ith

pay

me

nt

term

s o

ver

90

day

s in

volv

e a

co

mp

lex

ad

min

istr

ati

on

pro

cess

re

qu

est

ed

by

Ch

ina’

s S

tate

Ad

min

istr

ati

on

of

Fore

ign

Exc

ha

ng

e (

SA

FE

), h

ow

eve

r, se

ttle

me

nts

in R

MB

be

ne

fit

fro

m a

n a

uto

mat

ic e

xte

nsi

on

of

pay

me

nt

term

s u

p t

o 2

10

day

s.

• A

cce

ss t

o w

ide

r cl

ien

t/su

pp

lier

ba

se: T

he

re a

re a

larg

e n

um

be

r o

f C

hin

ese

co

mp

an

ies

no

t ca

pa

ble

of

de

alin

g w

ith

fo

reig

n c

urr

en

cie

s.

Th

ere

fore

, a w

illin

gn

ess

to

se

ttle

in R

MB

ca

n a

llow

yo

u t

o a

cce

ss a

bro

ad

er

ran

ge

of

clie

nts

/su

pp

liers

.

Mo

re d

eta

il in

Sec

tion

4 –

Nav

igat

ing

the

ban

king

mar

ket

AN

Z a

dv

an

tag

es

Cur

renc

y

AN

Z c

ust

om

ers

ca

n o

pe

n a

RM

B a

cco

un

t d

om

icile

d in

Au

stra

lia a

llow

ing

yo

u t

o h

old

an

d t

ran

sac

t in

RM

B (

fro

m A

ust

ralia

) w

ith

ou

t co

nve

rsio

n.

Wh

ere

cu

sto

me

rs w

an

t to

co

nve

rt, o

ur

RM

B c

ap

ab

ility

me

an

s w

e c

an

dir

ec

tly

con

vert

AU

D t

o R

MB

so

AN

Z’s

cu

sto

me

rs g

et

a b

ett

er

exc

ha

ng

e r

ate

(oth

er

ba

nks

co

nve

rt A

UD

to

US

D t

o R

MB

via

a C

hin

ese

co

rre

spo

nd

en

t b

an

k).

AN

Z’s

tra

de

fin

an

ce p

rod

uc

ts (

imp

ort

/exp

ort

Le

tte

rs o

f C

red

it, d

ocu

me

nta

ry c

olle

cti

on

s, S

tan

db

y Le

tte

rs o

f C

red

it a

nd

gu

ara

nte

es)

are

als

o a

va

ilab

le in

RM

B.

Ke

y C

on

sid

era

tio

ns

Ke

y C

on

sid

era

tio

ns

Page 26: ANZ OPPORTUNITY CHINA · 7 ANZ O PP O INTRODUCTION Why this one stands out • The ChAFT A has the potential to be transformational over time as: - China is A ustralia’s largest

51

AN

Z O

PP

OR

TU

NIT

Y C

HIN

A

Tim

e is

imp

orta

nt, y

ou s

houl

d lo

ok to

act

now

Tari

ff r

ed

uc

tio

ns

are

ph

ase

d in

ove

r a

nu

mb

er

of

yea

rs h

ow

eve

r it

’s b

est

to

be

gin

de

velo

pin

g y

ou

r C

hin

ese

re

lati

on

ship

s/co

ntr

ac

ts n

ow

.

In C

hin

a, r

ela

tio

nsh

ips

are

cri

tica

l to

th

e s

ucc

ess

of

you

r b

usi

ne

ss a

nd

th

ese

ca

n t

ake

co

nsi

de

rab

le t

ime

to

est

ab

lish

.

Be

min

dfu

l th

at

lice

nse

s a

nd

co

mp

an

y st

ruc

ture

s a

lso

invo

lve

len

gth

y e

stab

lish

me

nt

pro

cess

es.

Als

o if

pro

du

ct v

aria

tio

ns

are

ne

ed

ed

to

su

it t

he

Ch

ine

se m

arke

t

you

’ll n

ee

d t

ime

to

mak

e t

he

ne

cess

ary

chan

ge

s w

ith

in y

ou

r b

usi

ne

ss.

Inb

ound

inve

stm

ents

Man

y cu

sto

me

rs w

e s

pe

ak t

o a

re c

on

cern

ed

ab

ou

t th

eir

su

cce

ssio

n p

lan

s an

d a

bili

ty t

o s

ou

rce

fu

nd

ing

, in

clu

din

g e

qu

ity

to s

up

po

rt t

he

ir b

usi

ne

ss o

bje

ctiv

es.

Th

e in

flo

w o

f in

vest

me

nt

fun

ds

fro

m C

hin

ese

inve

sto

rs c

an

he

lp s

olv

e m

an

y o

f th

e fi

na

nci

al i

ssu

es

curr

en

tly

be

ing

fa

ced

by

Au

stra

lian

bu

sin

ess

es.

Due

Dili

genc

e –

Talk

to a

dvis

ors/

spec

ialis

ts th

at h

ave

office

s in

Chi

na

If y

ou

’re a

pp

roa

che

d b

y a

Ch

ine

se in

vest

or

kee

n t

o in

vest

in y

ou

r b

usi

ne

ss, b

e s

ure

to

co

nd

uc

t d

ue

-dili

ge

nce

on

th

e b

ack

gro

un

d o

f th

e in

vest

or.

Ch

eck

wit

h r

ep

uta

ble

ad

vis

ers

an

d in

stit

uti

on

s w

ith

a p

rese

nce

in C

hin

a, t

he

y a

re o

fte

n a

ble

to

co

nd

uc

t h

igh

leve

l ba

ckg

rou

nd

ch

eck

s.

Failu

re t

o o

bta

in t

he

de

tails

of

a p

ote

nti

al b

usi

ne

ss p

art

ne

r/in

vest

or’s

cre

dit

an

d p

rofe

ssio

na

l ba

ckg

rou

nd

co

uld

lea

d t

o p

rob

lem

s in

th

e f

utu

re.

Chi

nese

inve

stor

s us

ually

wan

t to

have

con

trol

ove

r the

bus

ines

s

Be

aw

are

th

at

Ch

ine

se in

vest

ors

oft

en

wa

nt

to h

ave

co

ntr

ol o

ver

the

bu

sin

ess

th

ey

inve

st in

via

loca

l ma

na

ge

me

nt.

If y

ou

wis

h t

o m

ain

tain

fu

ll co

ntr

ol

of

you

r b

usi

ne

ss, c

on

sid

er

this

ca

refu

lly b

efo

re e

nte

rin

g in

to a

Jo

int

Ve

ntu

re a

gre

em

en

t w

ith

Ch

ine

se in

vest

ors

. Se

ek

ad

vic

e f

rom

oth

ers

wh

o h

ave

succ

ess

fully

en

tere

d in

to jo

int

ven

ture

ag

ree

me

nts

wit

h C

hin

ese

inve

sto

rs.

Ch

ine

se in

vest

ors

are

oft

en

inte

rest

ed

in s

ecu

rin

g t

he

ir s

up

ply

ch

ain

or

the

inte

llect

ual

pro

pe

rty

of

the

pro

du

ct r

ath

er

than

th

e p

rod

uct

itse

lf, s

o w

he

n t

ryin

g

to a

ttra

ct in

vest

ors

it is

imp

ort

ant

to d

em

on

stra

te h

ow

th

e p

rod

uct

can

mak

e/s

ave

mo

ne

y an

d h

ow

it fi

ts in

to t

he

inve

sto

r’s e

nd

to

en

d b

usi

ne

ss m

od

el.

AN

Z a

dv

an

tag

es

At

AN

Z w

e o

fte

n r

ece

ive

en

qu

irie

s fr

om

Ch

ine

se in

vest

ors

wan

tin

g t

o in

vest

in A

ust

ralia

, th

is a

llow

s u

s to

faci

litat

e in

tro

du

ctio

ns

wh

ere

ap

pro

pri

ate

.

It’s

imp

orta

nt to

net

wor

k

Me

et

like

-min

de

d p

eo

ple

by

pa

rtic

ipa

tin

g in

re

pu

tab

le A

sia

n b

usi

ne

ss a

sso

cia

tio

ns

an

d c

ha

mb

ers

of

com

me

rce

. Eve

nts

ru

n b

y th

ese

org

an

isa

tio

ns

are

a g

oo

d p

lace

to

sta

rt b

uild

ing

yo

ur

ne

two

rk.

Ch

ine

se b

usi

ne

ss p

eo

ple

usu

ally

pre

fer

to e

sta

blis

h s

tro

ng

re

lati

on

ship

s b

efo

re c

losi

ng

a d

ea

l, so

exp

ec

t to

sp

en

d a

lot

of

tim

e a

t m

ee

tin

gs

an

d d

inn

ers

wit

h p

ote

nti

al b

usi

ne

ss p

art

ne

rs o

ver

a lo

ng

pe

rio

d o

f ti

me

. A g

rea

t d

ea

l of

bu

sin

ess

is c

on

du

cte

d o

ver

din

ne

r.

AN

Z a

dv

an

tag

es

At

AN

Z w

e b

elie

ve in

th

e p

ow

er

of

con

ne

cti

ng

ou

r cl

ien

ts, s

pe

cia

lists

an

d 3

rd p

art

y a

dv

iso

rs t

hro

ug

h n

etw

ork

ing

fu

nc

tio

ns,

bo

th in

Au

stra

lia a

nd

off

sho

re.

Op

enin

g up

in A

ustr

alia

cou

ld b

e a

step

into

chi

na

Op

en

ing

yo

urs

elf

to

Ch

ine

se in

vest

me

nt

in A

ust

ralia

co

uld

op

en

up

th

e p

oss

ibili

ty o

f yo

ur

futu

re b

usi

ne

ss e

xpa

nsi

on

into

Ch

ina

, esp

eci

ally

in in

du

stri

es

tha

t

ho

ld a

hig

h le

vel o

f in

telle

ctu

al p

rop

ert

y th

at

cou

ld b

en

efi

t C

hin

a (

e.g

. he

alt

h a

nd

ag

e c

are

) o

r ke

y p

rod

uc

ts a

nd

se

rvic

es

sou

gh

t b

y th

e C

hin

ese

co

nsu

me

r

(e.g

. hig

h e

nd

ag

ricu

ltu

ral p

rod

uc

ts).

Incr

ease

d do

mes

tic c

omp

etiti

on in

Aus

tral

ia

Prop

erty

– p

artn

erin

g w

ith C

hine

se b

uild

ers

Un

de

r th

e C

hA

FTA

, th

e c

on

stru

cti

on

an

d b

uild

ing

ind

ust

rie

s co

uld

se

e b

en

efi

t fr

om

th

e o

pe

nin

g o

f la

bo

ur

flo

ws

be

twe

en

Ch

ina

an

d A

ust

ralia

. Wit

h t

he

pro

pe

rty

bo

om

in C

hin

a, t

he

re is

an

ab

un

da

nce

of

skill

ed

bu

ilde

rs c

ap

ab

le o

f b

uild

ing

hig

h r

ise

bu

ildin

gs.

A n

um

be

r o

f A

ust

ralia

n b

uild

ers

an

d d

eve

lop

ers

are

alr

ea

dy

exp

lori

ng

pa

rtn

ers

hip

s w

ith

re

pu

tab

le C

hin

ese

pa

rtn

ers

to

un

de

rta

ke m

ajo

r p

roje

cts

in A

ust

ralia

.

Leve

ragi

ng h

olid

ay v

isa

wor

kers

Wo

rkin

g h

olid

ay v

isa

wo

rke

rs a

re o

fte

n g

oo

d s

ou

rce

of

lab

ou

r, e

spe

cia

lly in

th

e A

ust

ralia

n a

gri

cult

ure

ind

ust

ry. C

hin

ese

wo

rke

rs a

re k

no

wn

fo

r th

eir

wo

rk

eth

ic, a

nd

wo

uld

like

th

e o

pp

ort

un

ity

to e

xpe

rie

nce

th

e A

ust

ralia

n w

ay o

f lif

e. B

e s

ure

to

wo

rk w

ith

re

pu

tab

le w

ork

ing

ho

liday

ag

en

ts t

o e

nsu

re y

ou

hav

e

ap

pro

pri

ate

wo

rk c

ove

r p

rov

isio

ns

to c

ove

r a

ny

wo

rkin

g h

olid

ay v

isa

wo

rke

rs.

Ke

y C

on

sid

era

tio

ns

Ke

y C

on

sid

era

tio

ns

TIM

E I

S I

MP

OR

TAN

T, Y

OU

SH

OU

LD

LO

OK

TO

AC

T N

OW

Page 27: ANZ OPPORTUNITY CHINA · 7 ANZ O PP O INTRODUCTION Why this one stands out • The ChAFT A has the potential to be transformational over time as: - China is A ustralia’s largest

53

53

AN

Z O

PP

OR

TU

NIT

Y C

HIN

AA

NZ

OP

PO

RT

UN

ITY

CH

INA

SE

CT

ION

4

NA

VIG

AT

ING

TH

E B

AN

KIN

G M

AR

KE

T

Op

erat

ing

with

or i

n C

hina

can

be

com

ple

x.

We

exam

ine

the

key

risk,

liqu

idit

y, c

urre

ncy,

ca

pita

l and

trap

ped

cas

h co

nsid

erat

ions

.

Th

e C

hA

FTA

re

pre

sen

ts a

fa

nta

stic

lon

g t

erm

op

po

rtu

nit

y fo

r

bo

th A

ust

ralia

an

d C

hin

a. F

or

bu

sin

ess

es

tha

t h

ave

de

cid

ed

tha

t th

ey

wo

uld

like

to

pa

rtic

ipa

te in

th

is o

pp

ort

un

ity,

on

e

of

the

firs

t q

ue

stio

ns

to a

sk w

ill b

e, “

will

I b

e d

oin

g b

usi

ne

ss

wit

h C

hin

a” o

r “w

ill I

be

do

ing

bu

sin

ess

in C

hin

a?”

Th

ere

is a

n im

po

rta

nt

dis

tin

cti

on

, as

the

re

gu

lati

on

s b

etw

ee

n

hav

ing

a t

rad

e r

ela

tio

nsh

ip w

ith

a C

hin

ese

bu

sin

ess

/co

nsu

me

r

are

ve

ry d

iffe

ren

t to

hav

ing

a lo

cally

inco

rpo

rate

d e

nti

ty.

For

a t

rad

e r

ela

tio

nsh

ip, a

ke

y co

nsi

de

rati

on

will

incl

ud

e

wh

ich

cu

rre

nc

y to

use

, wh

ile f

or

com

pa

nie

s th

at

hav

e o

r

pla

n t

o h

ave

su

bsi

dia

rie

s in

Ch

ina

, th

ere

are

op

era

tio

na

l

an

d c

ap

ita

l co

mp

lexi

tie

s su

ch a

s th

e F

DI a

pp

rov

al p

roce

ss,

liqu

idit

y m

an

ag

em

en

t a

nd

th

e r

ep

atr

iati

on

of

ea

rnin

gs.

In t

he

fo

llow

ing

se

cti

on

, we

will

co

ver

the

se a

rea

s in

de

tail.

TR

AD

ING

WIT

H C

HIN

A –

WH

ICH

CU

RR

EN

CY

TO

US

E?

RM

B i

s b

eco

min

g a

glo

ba

l cu

rre

nc

y

Th

e r

ap

id d

eve

lop

me

nt

of

Ch

ina’

s e

con

om

y h

as

ou

tpa

ced

th

e

libe

ralis

ati

on

of

its

fin

an

cia

l sys

tem

. He

avily

re

gu

late

d fi

na

nci

al

ma

rke

ts a

re n

o lo

ng

er

ab

le t

o s

erv

ice

Ch

ina’

s in

cre

asi

ng

ly

sop

his

tica

ted

an

d c

om

ple

x e

con

om

y. A

ke

y a

ge

nd

a o

f C

hin

a’s

fin

an

cia

l re

form

is t

o in

tern

ati

on

alis

e R

MB

, to

lib

era

lise

inte

rest

rate

s a

nd

to

re

lax

con

tro

l on

th

e c

ap

ita

l acc

ou

nt.

RM

B in

tern

ati

on

alis

ati

on

is a

pri

ori

ty f

or

Ch

ina’

s fi

na

nci

al

refo

rm. T

he

RM

B c

ap

ita

l acc

ou

nt

ha

s b

ee

n g

rad

ua

lly

libe

ralis

ed

sin

ce 2

00

9 w

hic

h s

aw g

row

th in

RM

B in

voic

ing

fro

m z

ero

in 2

00

9 t

o o

ver

25

% o

f C

hin

a’s

tota

l cro

ss-b

ord

er

tra

de

by

No

vem

be

r 2

01

4 (

Fig

ure

s 2

9 a

nd

30

). C

on

seq

ue

ntl

y,

the

RM

B’s

ra

nk

as

the

wo

rld

pay

me

nt

curr

en

cy

by

va

lue

ha

s

jum

pe

d f

rom

th

e 1

3th

in J

an

ua

ry 2

01

3 t

o 5

th in

De

cem

be

r

20

14

(Fi

gu

re 3

1).

De

spit

e t

his

ra

pid

de

velo

pm

en

t, R

MB

tra

de

sett

lem

en

t co

mp

rise

s a

re

lati

vely

sm

all

po

rtio

n o

f th

e t

ota

l

cro

ss-b

ord

er

tra

de

bu

t w

ith

th

e C

hA

FTA

an

d f

urt

he

r fi

na

nci

al

ma

rke

t d

ere

gu

lati

on

, th

is is

like

ly t

o m

ate

ria

lly in

cre

ase

.

FIG

UR

E 2

9: R

MB

CR

OS

S-B

OR

DE

R T

RA

DE

VO

LUM

E O

F H

ON

G K

ON

G A

ND

CH

INA

So

urc

e: H

on

g K

on

g M

on

eta

ry A

uth

ori

ty a

nd

Th

e P

eop

le’s

Ba

nk

of

Ch

ina

No

te: S

tart

ing

da

te is

th

e fi

rst

ob

serv

ati

on

da

te p

ub

lish

ed b

y th

e so

urc

es

FIG

UR

E 3

0: T

RA

DE

SE

TT

LE

D I

N R

MB

% O

F C

HIN

A’S

CR

OS

S-B

OR

DE

R T

RA

DE

So

urc

e: G

ener

al A

dm

inis

tra

tio

n o

f C

ust

om

s

0

10

0

20

0

30

0

40

0

50

0

60

0

70

0

7/1

0

9/1

0

11/1

0

1/1

1

3/1

1

5/1

1

7/1

1

9/1

1

11/1

1

1/1

2

3/1

2

5/1

2

7/1

2

9/1

2

11/1

2

1/1

3

3/1

3

5/1

3

7/1

3

9/1

3

11/1

3

1/1

4

3/1

4

5/1

4

7/1

4

9/1

4

11

/14

HK

Cros

s-bo

rder

Tra

de S

ettle

men

t

RMB(

bn)

Mai

nlan

d Ch

ina

Cros

s-bo

rder

Tra

de S

ettle

men

t

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

10

0

%

1/1

2

3/1

2

5/1

2

7/1

2

9/1

2

11/1

2

1/1

3

3/1

3

5/1

3

7/1

3

9/1

3

11/1

3

1/1

4

3/1

4

5/1

4

7/1

4

9/1

4

11

/14

Trad

e Se

ttle

d in

Oth

er C

urre

ncie

s Tr

ade

Sett

led

in R

MB

DO

ING

BU

SIN

ES

S I

N O

R W

ITH

CH

INA

CA

N B

E C

OM

PL

EX

Page 28: ANZ OPPORTUNITY CHINA · 7 ANZ O PP O INTRODUCTION Why this one stands out • The ChAFT A has the potential to be transformational over time as: - China is A ustralia’s largest

55

AN

Z O

PP

OR

TU

NIT

Y C

HIN

A

Se

cti

on

4 –

Na

vig

ati

ng

th

e b

an

kin

g m

ark

et

FIG

UR

E 3

1: R

MB

AS

TH

E W

OR

LD

PA

YM

EN

T C

UR

RE

NC

Y

So

urc

e: S

WIF

T

RM

B: T

hin

gs

to c

on

sid

er

• Tr

ad

ing

in R

MB

ca

n p

ote

nti

ally

lea

d t

o a

low

er

pri

ce f

or

imp

ort

s o

r a

hig

he

r p

rice

fo

r e

xpo

rts,

as

Ch

ine

se b

usi

ne

sse

s

will

no

lon

ge

r n

ee

d t

o a

dd

a b

uff

er

for

FX

ris

k

• P

aym

en

t te

rms

can

ea

sily

be

ext

en

de

d p

ast

90

day

s re

lati

ve

to a

fo

reig

n c

urr

en

cy

wh

ere

th

ere

are

mo

re r

est

ric

tio

ns.

Th

is c

an

be

use

d t

o im

pro

ve s

ale

s o

r w

ork

ing

ca

pit

al

• O

ffe

rin

g o

r a

cce

pti

ng

RM

B c

an

lea

d t

o a

n in

cre

ase

in p

ote

nti

al c

ust

om

ers

an

d s

up

plie

rs

• Tr

ad

ing

in R

MB

will

exp

ose

bu

sin

ess

es

to F

X r

isk,

ho

we

ver,

this

ris

k ca

n b

e h

ed

ge

d a

t th

e d

iscr

eti

on

of

the

co

mp

an

y

KE

Y A

SP

EC

TS

TO

CO

NS

IDE

R W

HE

N C

HO

OS

ING

RM

B

AS

TH

E T

RA

DIN

G C

UR

RE

NC

Y

Th

e p

rem

ise

of

tra

nsi

tio

nin

g t

o R

MB

as

an

invo

icin

g c

urr

en

cy

can

se

em

da

un

tin

g. T

ypic

al c

lien

t q

ue

rie

s a

nd

po

ten

tia

l

kno

wle

dg

e g

ap

s h

ave

incl

ud

ed

:

1. U

nd

ers

tan

din

g t

he

pro

cess

of

ma

kin

g

an

d r

ece

ivin

g R

MB

pay

me

nts

2. A

cce

ssib

ility

, va

rie

ty a

nd

th

e li

qu

idit

y o

f h

ed

gin

g

inst

rum

en

ts r

ela

tive

to

oth

er

curr

en

cie

s

3. D

ev

iati

on

fro

m t

he

do

min

an

t in

du

stry

invo

icin

g

curr

en

cy

(i.e

. US

D)

Th

e r

ea

lity

is t

ha

t R

MB

is n

o lo

ng

er

as

rest

ric

ted

as

it w

as

a

nu

mb

er

of

yea

rs a

go

. Th

e p

roce

ss o

f m

aki

ng

an

d r

ece

ivin

g

RM

B t

rad

e p

aym

en

t h

as

be

en

sim

plifi

ed

by

Ch

ina’

s

Go

vern

me

nt.

Ba

nks

wit

h e

xpe

rie

nce

de

alin

g w

ith

RM

B s

ho

uld

be

ab

le t

o e

xecu

te R

MB

tra

de

se

ttle

me

nt

wit

ho

ut

de

lay,

wh

ile

off

sho

re R

MB

he

dg

ing

is s

imila

r to

th

ose

of

the

ma

jor

glo

ba

l

curr

en

cie

s —

i.e

. th

ere

is n

o r

est

ric

tio

n o

n m

ark

et

acc

ess

,

am

ple

liq

uid

ity

an

d a

va

rie

ty o

f h

ed

gin

g in

stru

me

nts

av

aila

ble

.

For

com

mo

dit

y re

late

d t

rad

e s

ett

lem

en

t su

ch a

s g

old

, oil,

ba

se m

eta

ls a

nd

ag

ricu

ltu

ral p

rod

uc

ts, t

he

US

D is

sti

ll th

e

do

min

an

t p

aym

en

t cu

rre

nc

y. F

or

RM

B t

o in

cre

ase

its

sha

re

in in

tern

ati

on

al c

om

mo

dit

y tr

ad

e fl

ow

s, a

tra

nsp

are

nt

pri

cin

g m

ech

an

ism

will

ne

ed

to

be

de

velo

pe

d. T

he

lau

nch

of

the

inte

rna

tio

na

l bo

ard

by

the

Sh

an

gh

ai G

old

Exc

ha

ng

e

in t

he

SF

TZ

, wh

ich

off

ers

RM

B d

en

om

ina

ted

co

ntr

ac

ts t

o

inte

rna

tio

na

l tra

de

rs, w

as

just

th

e fi

rst

ste

p. T

hre

e m

eta

l

futu

res

we

re a

lso

lau

nch

ed

by

Ho

ng

Ko

ng

Exc

ha

ng

es

in

20

14

an

d m

ore

co

mm

od

ity

exc

ha

ng

es

are

be

ing

pla

nn

ed

in t

he

SF

TZ

, wh

ich

de

mo

nst

rate

th

at

Ch

ina’

s G

ove

rnm

en

t

is d

ete

rmin

ati

on

to

en

cou

rag

e g

rea

ter

use

of

RM

B.

BE

NE

FIT

1: O

VE

RS

EA

S C

OM

PAN

IES

CA

N R

EC

EIV

E U

P T

O

A 5

% P

RIC

E D

ISC

OU

NT

It is

est

ima

ted

th

at

Ch

ine

se c

om

pa

nie

s p

ote

nti

ally

ad

d u

p t

o

5%

to

th

eir

qu

ote

s in

fo

reig

n c

urr

en

cie

s to

ca

ptu

re t

he

co

st

of

be

ari

ng

th

e e

xch

an

ge

ra

te r

isk.

If R

MB

is u

sed

, th

e a

dd

itio

na

l

cost

s ca

n p

ote

nti

ally

be

re

du

ced

as

Au

stra

lian

bu

sin

ess

es

will

be

ar

the

exc

ha

ng

e r

ate

ris

k in

ste

ad

. Fu

rth

erm

ore

, giv

en

incr

ea

sed

RM

B li

qu

idit

y a

nd

inte

rba

nk

con

ne

cti

on

off

sho

re,

Au

stra

lian

bu

sin

ess

es

are

als

o a

ble

to

he

dg

e t

he

RM

B

exc

ha

ng

e r

ate

ris

k a

t a

low

er

cost

co

mp

are

d t

o R

MB

he

dg

ing

co

st o

nsh

ore

. Th

is is

a b

en

efi

t th

at

bo

th C

hin

ese

an

d A

ust

ralia

n c

om

pa

nie

s ca

n s

ha

re.

BE

NE

FIT

2: P

AY

ME

NT

TE

RM

S C

AN

PO

TE

NT

IAL

LY B

E

EX

TE

ND

ED

TO

21

0 D

AY

S

Cu

rre

ntl

y, if

an

invo

ice

(im

po

rt/e

xpo

rt)

is d

en

om

ina

ted

in

a f

ore

ign

cu

rre

nc

y a

nd

its

pay

me

nt

term

s a

re o

ver

90

day

s,

it in

volv

es

a c

om

ple

x a

dm

inis

tra

tio

n p

roce

ss r

eq

ue

ste

d b

y

Ch

ina’

s S

tate

Ad

min

istr

ati

on

of

Fore

ign

Exc

ha

ng

e (

SA

FE

).

Th

is c

an

lim

it t

ac

tica

l in

itia

tive

s to

imp

rove

wo

rkin

g c

ap

ita

l

or

imp

rove

sa

les

by

off

eri

ng

ext

en

de

d t

erm

s to

cu

sto

me

rs.

Se

ttle

me

nt

in R

MB

be

ne

fits

fro

m a

po

ten

tia

l ext

en

sio

n o

f

pay

me

nt

term

s fo

r u

p t

o 2

10

day

s w

ith

ou

t th

e c

om

ple

x

ad

min

istr

ati

on

re

qu

ire

me

nt.

0.32

%

0.36

%

0.39

%

0.39

%

0.40

%

0.45

%

0.56

%

0.72

%

0.78

%

0.88

%

0.90

%

1.27

%

1.39

%

1.79

%

1.92

%

2.17

%

2.69

% 7.

92%

28.3

0%

44.6

4%

#20

TRY

#19

RUB

#18

MXN

#17

NZD

#16

DKK

#15

ZAR

#14

PLN

#13

NO

K

#12

SEK

#11

THB

#10

SGD

#09

HKD

#08

CHF

#07

AU

D

#06

CAD

#05

CNY

#04

JPY

#03

GBP

#02

EUR

#01

USD

0.25

%

0.29

%

0.34

%

0.35

%

0.42

%

0.56

%

0.58

%

0.63

%

0.80

%

0.96

%

0.97

%

1.02

%

1.05

%

1.80

%

1.83

%

1.85

%

2.56

%

8.55

%

33.4

8%

40.1

7%

#20

HU

F

#19

TRY

#18

MXN

#17

NZD

#16

ZAR

#15

RUB

#14

DKK

#13

CNY

#12

NO

K

#11

SEK

#10

THB

#09

HKD

#08

SGD

#07

CAD

#06

CHF

#05

AU

D

#04

JPY

#03

GBP

#02

USD

#01

EUR

UN

DE

RS

TAN

DIN

G A

ND

UT

ILIS

ING

RM

B

AS

A P

AY

ME

NT

CU

RR

EN

CY

MA

Y B

E B

EN

EF

ICIA

L

Page 29: ANZ OPPORTUNITY CHINA · 7 ANZ O PP O INTRODUCTION Why this one stands out • The ChAFT A has the potential to be transformational over time as: - China is A ustralia’s largest

Re

ceiv

ab

le

Da

ys

Inv

en

tory

Da

ys

Pa

ya

ble

Da

ys

Ca

sh C

on

ve

rsio

n

Cy

cle

Re

ceiv

ab

le

Da

ys

Inv

en

tory

Da

ys

Pa

ya

ble

Da

ys

Ca

sh C

on

ve

rsio

n

Cy

cle

50 50

50

210

-110

50

10

90

57

AN

Z O

PP

OR

TU

NIT

Y C

HIN

A

UN

DE

RS

TAN

DIN

G C

HIN

ES

E F

UN

DIN

G C

OS

TS

AR

E I

NT

EG

RA

L T

O N

EG

OT

IAT

ING

WIT

H S

UP

PL

IER

S

Se

cti

on

4 –

Na

vig

ati

ng

th

e b

an

kin

g m

ark

et

Be

ne

fits

fo

r A

ust

rali

an

ex

po

rte

rs: N

eg

oti

atin

g in

cre

ase

d

sale

s vo

lum

es

in e

xch

ang

e fo

r e

xte

nd

ed

pay

me

nt

term

s, w

hic

h

pro

vid

e a

maj

or

cap

ital

be

ne

fit

to C

hin

ese

bu

yers

. Ge

ne

rally

spe

akin

g, i

nte

rest

rat

es

in A

ust

ralia

are

low

er

rela

tive

to

Ch

ina

wh

ere

man

y b

usi

ne

sse

s n

ee

d t

o f

un

d v

ia t

he

sh

ado

w b

anki

ng

mar

ket.

By

ext

en

din

g t

erm

s, A

ust

ralia

n b

usi

ne

sse

s ar

e p

rovi

din

g

liqu

idit

y to

Ch

ine

se c

ust

om

ers

. Th

is c

an b

e a

n e

ffe

ctiv

e w

ay o

f

gro

win

g s

ale

s an

d/o

r at

trac

tin

g m

ore

Ch

ine

se b

uye

rs.

Be

ne

fit

to C

hin

ese

im

po

rte

rs:

By

acc

ep

tin

g t

he

lon

ge

r

pay

me

nt

term

s, C

hin

ese

cu

sto

me

rs c

an

ach

ieve

be

tte

r

wo

rkin

g c

ap

ita

l effi

cie

nc

y a

nd

a lo

we

r av

era

ge

co

st o

f fu

nd

s.

Furt

he

rmo

re, u

sin

g R

MB

as

the

pay

me

nt

curr

en

cy

en

ab

les

term

s to

be

ext

en

de

d p

ast

90

day

s, t

he

reb

y p

rov

idin

g la

rge

r

wo

rkin

g c

ap

ita

l be

ne

fits

to

Ch

ine

se im

po

rte

rs.

For

Au

stra

lian

su

bsi

dia

rie

s in

Ch

ina,

uti

lisin

g R

MB

to

pay

th

e

Au

stra

lian

par

en

t ca

n e

nab

le p

aym

en

t te

rms

for

inte

rco

mp

any

trad

e t

o b

e e

xte

nd

ed

to

21

0 d

ays

fro

m 9

0 d

ays.

Wh

ile t

he

par

en

t

be

ars

the

wo

rkin

g c

apit

al b

urd

en

, if

Au

stra

lian

fu

nd

ing

co

sts

are

low

er

rela

tive

to

Ch

ina,

th

ere

is a

ne

t b

en

efi

t to

th

e G

rou

p.

BE

NE

FIT

3: W

IDE

R B

UY

ER

AN

D S

UP

PL

IER

BA

SE

BE

CO

ME

AC

CE

SS

IBL

E

Th

ere

are

a la

rge

nu

mb

er

of

Ch

ine

se c

om

pa

nie

s ye

t to

de

velo

p f

ore

ign

cu

rre

nc

y ca

pa

bili

ty. T

he

refo

re, t

he

ab

ility

to s

ett

le in

RM

B w

ill a

llow

Au

stra

lian

bu

sin

ess

es

to a

cce

ss

a b

roa

de

r ra

ng

e o

f b

uye

rs/s

up

plie

rs, r

ed

uce

bu

yer/

sup

plie

r

con

cen

trat

ion

ris

k, w

hile

low

eri

ng

cre

dit

an

d r

ep

uta

tio

nal

ris

k.

Th

is is

pa

rtic

ula

rly

imp

ort

an

t in

th

e c

on

text

of

the

Ch

AF

TA.

FIG

UR

E 3

2: U

TIL

ISIN

G R

MB

TO

IM

PR

OV

E W

OR

KIN

G C

AP

ITA

L

Illu

stra

tive

exa

mp

le o

nly

Befo

re

Aft

er

FIG

UR

E 3

3: R

MB

CO

ST

BE

NE

FIT

AN

ALY

SIS

So

urc

e: A

NZ

Ex

po

rte

rsIm

po

rte

rs

Chi

nese

C

omp

anie

s

Pros

Con

sPr

osC

ons

• N

atu

ral h

ed

ge

ag

ain

st

do

me

stic

exp

en

ses

• R

ed

uc

tio

n in

he

dg

ing

co

sts

• E

arn

hig

he

r in

tere

st

on

RM

B d

ep

osi

ts

• N

o t

ran

sla

tio

n g

ain

/lo

ss

• M

ay n

ee

d t

o g

ive

aw

ay

pro

fit

ma

rgin

• D

ep

reci

ati

on

in R

MB

rela

tive

to

US

D

• N

atu

ral h

ed

ge

ag

ain

st

do

me

stic

sa

les

• R

ed

uc

tio

n in

he

dg

ing

co

sts

• O

vers

ea

s co

un

terp

art

s’

will

ing

ne

ss t

o in

voic

e

in R

MB

• A

pp

reci

ati

on

in R

MB

Aus

tral

ian

C

omp

anie

s

Pros

Con

sPr

osC

ons

• N

eg

oti

ate

hig

he

r

selli

ng

pri

ce

• O

bta

in c

he

ap

er

off

sho

re

RM

B h

ed

gin

g in

stru

me

nts

• A

cce

ss t

o a

wid

er

clie

nt

ba

se

• In

cre

ase

in s

ale

s

sup

po

rte

d b

y p

aym

en

t

term

s e

xte

nsi

on

• R

MB

FX

ris

k•

Ne

go

tia

te lo

we

r

bu

yin

g p

rice

• O

bta

in c

he

ap

er

off

sho

re

RM

B h

ed

gin

g in

stru

me

nts

• N

eg

oti

ate

lon

ge

r

tra

din

g t

erm

s

• A

cce

ss t

o a

wid

er

sup

plie

r b

ase

• R

MB

FX

ris

k

Page 30: ANZ OPPORTUNITY CHINA · 7 ANZ O PP O INTRODUCTION Why this one stands out • The ChAFT A has the potential to be transformational over time as: - China is A ustralia’s largest

59

AN

Z O

PP

OR

TU

NIT

Y C

HIN

A

AU

ST

RA

LIA

N B

US

INE

SS

ES

HA

VE

TH

E C

APA

CIT

Y T

O I

NV

ES

T

AN

D O

PE

RA

TE

WH

OL

LY O

WN

ED

SU

BS

IDIA

RIE

S I

N C

HIN

A

Se

cti

on

4 –

Na

vig

ati

ng

th

e b

an

kin

g m

ark

et

Inve

stm

ent i

n C

hina

Acr

oss

mo

st in

du

stri

es,

tar

iff r

ed

uct

ion

s an

d im

pro

ved

mar

ket

acce

ss t

o C

hin

a w

ill m

ean

th

at t

rad

e c

on

sid

era

tio

ns

such

as

RM

B in

voic

ing

are

th

e p

rim

ary

con

sid

era

tio

n. H

ow

eve

r, fo

r a

nu

mb

er

of

ind

ust

rie

s su

ch a

s h

eal

th (

age

d c

are

an

d h

osp

ital

s),

tou

rism

(h

ote

ls a

nd

to

ur

op

era

tors

) an

d in

sura

nce

(3

rd p

arty

mo

tor

veh

icle

liab

ility

), A

ust

ralia

n b

usi

ne

sse

s h

ave

th

e c

apac

ity

to in

vest

an

d o

pe

rate

wh

olly

ow

ne

d s

ub

sid

iari

es

in C

hin

a.

Th

is is

a s

ign

ifica

nt

op

po

rtu

nit

y, b

ut

on

e t

ha

t co

me

s w

ith

incr

ea

sed

co

mp

lexi

ty. I

t a

lso

hig

hlig

hts

ho

w C

hin

a is

op

en

ing

up

its

cap

ita

l acc

ou

nt

an

d s

imp

lifyi

ng

inve

stm

en

t p

roce

du

res.

As

such

, Ch

ina

will

se

e a

n in

cre

asi

ng

am

ou

nt

of

cro

ss-b

ord

er

inve

stm

en

t, b

oth

inb

ou

nd

(Fo

reig

n D

ire

ct

Inve

stm

en

t)

an

d o

utb

ou

nd

(O

vers

ea

s D

ire

ct

Inve

stm

en

t) (

Fig

ure

34

).

FIG

UR

E 3

4: O

VE

RS

EA

S D

IRE

CT

IN

VE

ST

ME

NT

AN

D F

OR

EIG

N D

IRE

CT

IN

VE

ST

ME

NT

So

urc

e: W

ind

info

rma

tio

n a

nd

AN

Z e

con

om

ics

No

te: O

DI:

Ove

rsea

s D

irec

t In

vest

men

t; F

DI:

Fore

ign

Dir

ect

Inve

stm

ent.

Wit

h t

he

Ch

AF

TA, A

ust

ralia

n c

om

pa

nie

s w

ill h

ave

a

com

pe

titi

ve a

dv

an

tag

e a

ga

inst

ma

ny

oth

er

fore

ign

com

pa

nie

s th

at

are

sti

ll la

rge

ly r

est

ric

ted

fro

m o

pe

rati

ng

wh

olly

ow

ne

d s

ub

sid

iari

es

in C

hin

a. H

ow

eve

r, th

is w

ind

ow

of

com

pe

titi

ve a

dv

an

tag

e is

un

like

ly t

o la

st, a

s C

hin

a

op

en

s u

p it

s m

ark

et

an

d s

ign

s F

TAs

wit

h o

the

r co

un

trie

s.

For

Au

stra

lian

bu

sin

ess

es

loo

kin

g t

o s

et

up

op

era

tio

ns,

ma

ny

will

en

cou

nte

r th

ree

ma

in c

om

ple

xiti

es:

• T

he

FD

I ap

pro

va

l pro

cess

(to

est

ab

lish

su

bsi

dia

rie

s)

• Li

qu

idit

y m

an

ag

em

en

t (h

avin

g y

ou

r ca

sh in

th

e r

igh

t

pla

ce a

nd

str

ea

mlin

ing

pay

me

nts

)

• R

ep

atr

iati

on

of

ea

rnin

gs

(avo

idin

g t

rap

pe

d c

ash

)

0

10

,00

0

20

,00

0

30

,00

0

40

,00

0

50

,00

0

60

,00

0

70

,00

0

80

,00

0

90

,00

0

10

0,0

00

3/9

8

3/9

9

3/0

0

3/0

1

3/0

2

3/0

3

3/0

4

3/0

5

3/0

6

3/0

7

3/0

8

3/0

9

3/1

0

3/1

1

3/1

2

3/1

3

3/1

4

Ove

rsea

s D

irect

Inve

stm

ent

Fore

ign

Dire

ct In

vest

men

t Ex

pon.

(Ove

rsea

s D

irect

Inve

stm

ent)

Ex

pon.

(For

eign

Dire

ct In

vest

men

t)

Page 31: ANZ OPPORTUNITY CHINA · 7 ANZ O PP O INTRODUCTION Why this one stands out • The ChAFT A has the potential to be transformational over time as: - China is A ustralia’s largest

61

AN

Z O

PP

OR

TU

NIT

Y C

HIN

A

Se

cti

on

4 –

Na

vig

ati

ng

th

e b

an

kin

g m

ark

et

Sim

plifi

ed F

DI a

pp

rova

l pro

cess

To e

sta

blis

h a

su

bsi

dia

ry in

Ch

ina

, fo

reig

n c

om

pa

nie

s h

ave

to g

o t

hro

ug

h a

nu

mb

er

of

go

vern

me

nt

au

tho

riti

es

an

d

ap

pro

va

l/fi

ling

pro

cess

es.

Th

e k

ey

de

pa

rtm

en

ts a

re t

he

Na

tio

na

l De

velo

pm

en

t a

nd

Re

form

Co

mm

issi

on

(N

DR

C),

the

Min

istr

y o

f C

om

me

rce

(M

OF

CO

M)

an

d t

he

Sta

te

Ad

min

istr

ati

on

of

Fore

ign

Exc

ha

ng

e (

SA

FE

). R

ece

nt

yea

rs

hav

e s

ee

n N

DR

C, M

OF

CO

M a

nd

SA

FE

de

reg

ula

te a

nd

sim

plif

y a

pp

rov

al p

roce

sse

s in

an

eff

ort

to

pro

mo

te in

bo

un

d

inve

stm

en

t. C

ou

ple

d w

ith

th

e d

ere

gu

lati

on

, th

e C

hA

FTA

en

ha

nce

s th

e b

en

efi

ts f

or

Au

stra

lian

bu

sin

ess

es

to in

vest

in C

hin

a in

a n

um

be

r o

f se

cto

rs/i

nd

ust

rie

s.

Th

e f

ollo

win

g h

igh

ligh

ts k

ey

reg

ula

tio

ns

an

d b

en

efi

ts (

du

e t

o

the

co

mp

lexi

ty o

f th

e r

eg

ula

tio

ns,

we

re

com

me

nd

yo

u t

o s

ee

k

ind

ep

en

de

nt

leg

al a

dv

ice

on

de

taile

d in

vest

me

nt

pa

ram

ete

rs).

• N

DR

C g

ove

rns

FD

I. T

he

ma

in r

eg

ula

tory

do

cum

en

ts f

or

FD

I

are

th

e C

ata

log

ue

fo

r th

e G

uid

an

ce o

f Fo

reig

n In

vest

me

nt

Ind

ust

rie

s (F

ore

ign

Inve

stm

en

t C

ata

log

ue

20

11

), th

e

Ca

talo

gu

e o

f In

vest

me

nt

Pro

jec

ts s

ub

jec

t to

Go

vern

me

nta

l

Ve

rifi

cati

on

an

d A

pp

rov

al (

Inve

stm

en

t C

ata

log

ue

20

14

) a

nd

Ad

min

istr

ati

ve M

ea

sure

s fo

r A

pp

rov

al a

nd

Fili

ng

of

Fore

ign

Inve

stm

en

t P

roje

cts

(“M

ea

sure

s”).

• T

he

Fo

reig

n In

vest

me

nt

Cat

alo

gu

e 2

01

1 is

th

e m

ain

po

licy

to r

eg

ula

te F

DIs

. It

div

ide

s F

DIs

into

th

ree

cat

eg

ori

es:

En

cou

rag

ed

Fo

reig

n In

vest

me

nt,

Re

stri

cte

d F

ore

ign

Inve

stm

en

t an

d P

roh

ibit

ed

Fo

reig

n In

vest

me

nt.

All

oth

ers

fall

into

Pe

rmit

ted

Fo

reig

n In

vest

me

nts

. To

pro

tect

Ch

ina’

s

inte

rest

s in

a n

um

be

r o

f ke

y in

du

stri

es,

re

stri

ctio

ns

are

imp

ose

d o

n in

vest

me

nt

form

s an

d s

har

eh

old

ing

s. T

he

Ch

AF

TA a

llow

s so

me

ind

ust

rie

s to

hav

e w

ho

lly A

ust

ralia

n

ow

ne

d s

ub

sid

iari

es

in C

hin

a, w

hic

h p

rovi

de

s A

ust

ralia

n

bu

sin

ess

es

wit

h a

sig

nifi

can

t ad

van

tag

e c

om

par

ed

to

pla

yers

in o

the

r co

un

trie

s. T

o k

ee

p u

p w

ith

Ch

ina’

s d

eve

lop

me

nt,

th

e

revi

sed

dra

ft o

f th

e c

atal

og

ue

was

pu

blis

he

d in

20

14

, wh

ich

acco

rdin

gly

to

Kin

g &

Wo

od

Mal

leso

ns

red

uce

d R

est

rict

ed

Fore

ign

Inve

stm

en

t in

du

stri

es

by

mo

re t

han

hal

f (f

rom

79

to

35

), cu

t th

e n

um

be

r o

f in

du

stri

es

that

we

re li

mit

ed

to

join

t

ven

ture

s an

d p

artn

ers

hip

s fr

om

43

to

11

an

d d

ecr

eas

ed

the

nu

mb

er

of

ind

ust

rie

s th

at r

eq

uir

e a

Ch

ine

se m

ajo

rity

shar

eh

old

er

fro

m 4

4 t

o 2

2. T

his

is a

po

siti

ve s

tep

to

war

ds

libe

ralis

ing

Ch

ina’

s ca

pit

al a

cco

un

t an

d in

bo

un

d fo

reig

n

inve

stm

en

t. It

als

o s

ug

ge

sts

that

Au

stra

lia’s

pre

sen

t

adva

nta

ge

will

no

t la

st in

de

fin

ite

ly.

• In

vest

me

nt

Ca

talo

gu

e 2

01

4 li

sts

the

ap

pro

va

l bo

dy

for

ma

jor

ind

ust

rie

s in

Ch

ina

an

d t

he

th

resh

old

s fo

r F

DIs

wh

ich

hav

e b

ee

n r

ela

xed

in t

he

pa

st t

wo

ye

ars

(ta

ble

op

po

site

):

FIG

UR

E 3

5: I

NV

ES

TM

EN

T C

ATA

LOG

UE

FD

I TH

RE

SH

OL

D (

20

14

vs

20

13

)

*ru

les

are

fo

r in

vest

men

t re

qu

ired

to

be

con

tro

lled

by

Ch

ines

e in

vest

ors

So

urc

e: C

ata

log

ue

of

Inve

stm

ent

Pro

ject

s su

bje

ct t

o G

ove

rnm

enta

l Ver

ific

ati

on

an

d A

pp

rova

l (2

01

4)

an

d (

20

13

)

2014

Enco

ura

ged

Fo

reig

n In

vest

men

t*O

ve

r U

SD

2 b

illi

on

ND

RC

Ap

pro

va

l +

Sta

te C

ou

nc

il F

ilin

g

Ov

er

US

D1

bil

lio

nN

DR

C A

pp

rov

al

Le

ss t

ha

n U

SD

1 b

illi

on

Lo

ca

l G

ov

ern

me

nt

Ap

pro

va

l

Rest

rict

ed F

ore

ign

In

vest

men

tO

ve

r U

SD

10

0 m

illi

on

ND

RC

Ap

pro

va

l

Le

ss t

ha

n U

SD

10

0 m

illi

on

an

d r

ea

l e

sta

te i

nd

ust

ry

(re

ga

rdle

ss o

f th

e a

mo

un

t)

Pro

vin

cia

l G

ov

ern

me

nt

Ap

pro

va

l

2013

Enco

ura

ged

Fo

reig

n In

vest

men

t*O

ve

r U

SD

30

0 m

illi

on

ND

RC

Ap

pro

va

l

Le

ss t

ha

n U

SD

30

0 m

illi

on

Lo

ca

l G

ov

ern

me

nt

Ap

pro

va

l

Rest

rict

ed F

ore

ign

In

vest

men

tO

ve

r U

SD

50

mN

DR

C A

pp

rov

al

Le

ss t

ha

n U

SD

50

mil

lio

n a

nd

re

al

est

ate

in

du

stry

(re

ga

rdle

ss o

f th

e a

mo

un

t)

Pro

vin

cia

l G

ov

ern

me

nt

Ap

pro

va

l

UN

DE

RS

TAN

DIN

G T

HE

LE

GA

L I

MP

LIC

AT

ION

S

AR

E C

RIT

ICA

L W

HE

N I

NV

ES

TIN

G I

N C

HIN

A

Page 32: ANZ OPPORTUNITY CHINA · 7 ANZ O PP O INTRODUCTION Why this one stands out • The ChAFT A has the potential to be transformational over time as: - China is A ustralia’s largest

Regi

onal

Tre

asur

y Ce

ntre

Paym

ent F

acto

ryPhys

ical

Cas

h Sw

eepi

ng*

Sub

1, 2

& 3

sig

n ag

reem

ent

to g

ive

paym

ent f

acto

ry

the

auth

ority

to c

arry

out

PO

BO a

nd R

OBO

POBO

Sub

2

POBO

Sub

3

Sub

1

Sub

2

Sub

3O

vers

eas

Cust

omer

C

Ove

rsea

s Cu

stom

er B

Ove

rsea

s Su

pplie

r A

POBO

Sub

1

Exa

mp

le: O

ther

than

usin

g ce

ntra

lised

pay

men

t met

hods

to p

ay o

r rec

eive

from

ove

rsea

s tra

ding

coun

terp

arts

, co

mpa

nies

can

also

use

it fo

r int

erco

mpa

ny tr

ansa

ctio

ns to

redu

ce tr

ansa

ctio

n vo

lum

e an

d tra

nsac

tion

cost

s.

*The

re is

no

limit

on c

ash

swee

ping

insi

de th

e SF

TZ. T

houg

h ca

sh s

wee

ping

has

bee

n ro

lled

out o

utsi

de th

e SF

TZ, t

here

is a

cei

ling

on c

ash

inflo

ws.

63

AN

Z O

PP

OR

TU

NIT

Y C

HIN

A

Se

cti

on

4 –

Na

vig

ati

ng

th

e b

an

kin

g m

ark

et

• “M

ea

sure

s” a

bo

lish

es

the

ap

pro

va

l an

d q

uo

ta m

an

ag

em

en

t

pro

cess

, re

pla

cin

g it

wit

h a

filin

g s

yste

m. I

t st

ate

s th

at

all

fore

ign

inve

ste

d p

roje

cts

are

on

ly s

ub

jec

t to

a fi

ling

pro

cess

un

less

it is

me

nti

on

ed

in t

he

Ca

talo

gu

e f

or

the

Gu

ida

nce

of

Fore

ign

Inve

stm

en

t In

du

stri

es

(20

11

) a

nd

th

e C

ata

log

ue

of

Inve

stm

en

t P

roje

cts

su

bje

ct

to G

ove

rnm

en

tal V

eri

fica

tio

n

an

d A

pp

rov

al (

20

14

).

• M

OF

CO

M g

ove

rns

reg

istr

ati

on

of

a c

om

pa

ny.

Th

e a

pp

rov

al

of

a F

DI i

s a

ke

y e

lem

en

t fo

r co

mp

an

y re

gis

tra

tio

n. I

f th

e F

DI

is n

ot

ap

pro

ved

, th

e p

rop

ose

d c

om

pa

ny

will

no

t b

e a

llow

ed

to r

eg

iste

r in

Ch

ina

.

• In

th

e r

eg

istr

atio

n p

roce

ss, M

OF

CO

M a

lso

de

term

ine

s th

e

min

imu

m r

eg

iste

red

cap

ital

for

a co

mp

any.

As

the

nam

e

sug

ge

sts,

it is

th

e f

un

ds

that

are

re

qu

ire

d t

o r

eg

iste

r w

ith

th

e

Go

vern

me

nt

to u

se fo

r fu

nd

ing

of

a p

roje

ct a

nd

it c

ann

ot

be

wit

hd

raw

n. U

nlik

e in

Au

stra

lia w

he

re p

eo

ple

can

se

t

up

a “o

ne

-do

llar”

co

mp

any.

Ch

ina

req

uir

es

a co

mp

any

to

hav

e a

min

imu

m le

vel o

f re

gis

tere

d c

apit

al. T

he

re

gis

tere

d

cap

ital

form

s p

art

of

the

ap

pro

ved

pro

ject

am

ou

nt

and

th

e

sho

rtfa

ll ca

n b

e s

up

po

rte

d b

y d

eb

t o

r e

qu

ity.

To

pro

vid

e

mo

re fl

exi

bili

ty u

po

n c

om

pan

y se

tup

, MO

FC

OM

re

leas

ed

th

e

No

tice

of

Imp

rove

me

nts

on

Fo

reig

n In

vest

me

nt

Exa

min

atio

n

Man

age

me

nt

(th

e N

oti

ce)

wh

ich

elim

inat

es

the

exa

min

atio

n

and

ap

pro

val o

f re

gis

tere

d c

apit

al a

nd

cap

ital

co

ntr

ibu

tio

n

for

mo

st o

f F

IEs

(oth

er

than

27

se

cto

rs/i

nd

ust

rie

s). D

esp

ite

the

elim

inat

ion

, re

qu

ire

me

nts

on

th

e r

atio

be

twe

en

th

e

reg

iste

red

cap

ital

an

d t

he

to

tal i

nve

stm

en

t o

f an

FIE

con

tin

ue

to

be

in e

ffe

ct (

Min

ter

Elli

son

). Fo

r fu

rth

er

de

tail

of

the

de

reg

ula

tio

n, r

efe

r to

th

e a

pp

en

dic

es.

• O

nce

MO

FC

OM

ap

pro

va

l is

ob

tain

ed

, a c

om

pa

ny

will

ne

ed

a

fore

ign

cu

rre

nc

y e

xch

an

ge

ce

rtifi

cate

fro

m S

AF

E t

o b

e a

ble

to t

ran

sfe

r th

e f

un

ds.

A S

AF

E c

ert

ifica

te is

th

e o

ne

th

at

ba

nks

will

loo

k a

t to

tra

nsf

er

a c

om

pa

ny

’s in

vest

me

nt

fun

ds.

Se

e

ap

pe

nd

ice

s fo

r fu

rth

er

de

tails

.

Wh

ile t

he

op

po

rtu

nit

ies

of

sett

ing

up

a b

usi

ne

ss in

Ch

ina

are

no

do

ub

t a

ttra

cti

ve, t

he

afo

rem

en

tio

ne

d a

na

lysi

s

hig

hlig

hts

th

at

no

t o

nly

do

th

e r

eg

ula

tio

ns

cha

ng

e f

req

ue

ntl

y,

bu

t th

ere

is a

leve

l of

am

big

uit

y. W

ha

t’s

mo

st im

po

rta

nt

is t

ha

t

bu

sin

ess

es

sho

uld

se

ek

form

al l

eg

al a

dv

ice

ea

rly

to u

nd

ers

tan

d w

ha

t th

ey

can

an

d c

an

no

t d

o in

Ch

ina

.

LIQ

UID

ITY

MA

NA

GE

ME

NT

Th

e C

hin

ese

go

vern

me

nt

con

tin

ue

to

pro

mo

te in

bo

un

d

an

d o

utb

ou

nd

inve

stm

en

t a

s p

art

of

furt

he

r fi

na

nci

al r

efo

rm.

Ce

ntr

alis

ed

pay

me

nt

(Pay

On

Be

ha

lf O

f a

nd

Re

ceiv

e O

n B

eh

alf

Of)

an

d n

ett

ing

wa

s fi

rst

intr

od

uce

d in

th

e S

ha

ng

ha

i Fre

e

Tra

de

Zo

ne

as

a p

ilot

pro

gra

m. I

t w

as

sub

seq

ue

ntl

y ro

lled

ou

t

to p

an

Ch

ina

in 2

01

4. B

y le

vera

gin

g t

he

ne

w p

olic

y, A

ust

ralia

n

com

pa

nie

s ca

n b

ett

er

ma

na

ge

th

eir

liq

uid

ity

by

incl

ud

ing

the

ir C

hin

ese

su

bsi

dia

rie

s in

to a

gro

up

pay

me

nt

fac

tory

. If

the

invo

icin

g c

urr

en

cy

is in

RM

B, t

he

y ca

n u

se P

ay O

n B

eh

alf

Of

(“P

OB

O”)

an

d R

ece

ive

On

Be

ha

lf O

f (“

RO

BO

”) s

olu

tio

ns

to

cen

tra

lise

pay

me

nts

an

d s

we

ep

ca

sh t

o t

he

re

gio

na

l tre

asu

ry

cen

tre

. If

the

invo

icin

g c

urr

en

cy

is a

fo

reig

n c

urr

en

cy,

th

ey

can

use

PO

BO

an

d R

OB

O t

o c

en

tra

lise

its

pay

me

nt,

FX

ne

ttin

g

to r

ed

uce

FX

exp

osu

re a

nd

tra

nsa

cti

on

vo

lum

e a

nd

FX

ca

sh

swe

ep

ing

to

mo

ve li

qu

idit

y to

th

e r

eg

ion

al t

rea

sury

ce

ntr

e.

Se

e fi

gu

res

36

an

d 3

7.

Ce

ntr

alis

ed

liq

uid

ity

ma

na

ge

me

nt

pro

vid

es

bu

sin

ess

es

wit

h

be

tte

r co

ntr

ol,

en

ha

nce

d li

qu

idit

y a

nd

gre

ate

r v

isib

ility

on

fun

ds

at

a G

rou

p le

vel.

It a

lso

re

du

ces

fore

ign

exc

ha

ng

e

exp

osu

res,

low

ers

ove

rall

tra

nsa

cti

on

s co

sts

an

d it

sh

ou

ld

als

o r

ed

uce

th

e la

bo

ur

inte

nsi

ty o

f a

fin

an

ce/t

rea

sury

te

am

.

FIG

UR

E 3

6: A

N E

FF

EC

TIV

E T

RE

AS

UR

Y M

AN

AG

EM

EN

T E

XA

MP

LE

(R

MB

)

So

urc

e: P

BO

C, A

NZ

If th

e p

aym

ent c

urre

ncy

is in

RM

B

CH

INE

SE

SU

BS

IDIA

RIE

S O

F A

US

TR

AL

IAN

CO

MPA

NIE

S C

AN

BE

TT

ER

MA

NA

GE

TH

EIR

LIQ

UID

ITY

BY

SW

EE

PIN

G C

AS

H T

O T

HE

IR T

RE

AS

UR

Y C

EN

TR

E

Page 33: ANZ OPPORTUNITY CHINA · 7 ANZ O PP O INTRODUCTION Why this one stands out • The ChAFT A has the potential to be transformational over time as: - China is A ustralia’s largest

65

AN

Z O

PP

OR

TU

NIT

Y C

HIN

A

Se

cti

on

4 –

Na

vig

ati

ng

th

e b

an

kin

g m

ark

et

FIG

UR

E 3

7: P

AY

ME

NT

FLO

W E

XA

MP

LE

(F

OR

EIG

N C

UR

RE

NC

Y)

So

urc

e: P

BO

C, A

NZ

If th

e p

aym

ent c

urre

ncy

is in

fore

ign

curr

ency

Net

inflo

w w

ithin

tota

l for

eign

bo

rrow

ing

quot

a of

all

subs

^N

et o

utflo

w w

ithin

tota

l for

eign

le

ndin

g qu

ota

of a

ll su

bs*

Regi

onal

Tre

asur

y Ce

ntre

Dom

estic

For

eign

Ex

chan

ge C

apita

l M

aste

r Acc

ountPh

ysic

al C

ash

Swee

ping

- no

lim

it

Sub

1, 2

& 3

sig

n ag

reem

ent

to g

ive

paym

ent f

acto

ry

the

auth

ority

to c

arry

out

PO

BO a

nd R

OBO

POBO

Sub

2

POBO

Sub

3

Sub

1

Sub

2

Sub

3O

vers

eas

Cust

omer

C

Ove

rsea

s Cu

stom

er B

Ove

rsea

s Su

pplie

r A

POBO

Sub

1

Inte

rnat

iona

l For

eign

Ex

chan

ge C

apita

l M

aste

r Acc

ount

* The

net

out

flow

is re

quire

d to

be

with

in 5

0% o

f tot

al e

quity

of o

nsho

re m

embe

rs. T

his

rule

was

firs

t tes

ted

in th

e Sh

angh

ai F

ree

Trad

e Zo

ne a

nd ro

lled

out t

o Pa

n Ch

ina

subs

eque

ntly

. Th

e qu

ota

was

incr

ease

d fr

om 3

0% to

50%

.

^The

fore

ign

borr

owin

g qu

ota,

or b

orro

win

g ga

p, is

the

dif f

eren

ce b

etw

een

the

FIE’

s to

tal i

nves

tmen

t and

its

regi

ster

ed c

apita

l

Exa

mp

le: B

y us

ing

POBO

and

RO

BO, c

ompa

nies

can

cent

ralis

e al

l FX

trans

actio

ns in

one

acc

ount

. Net

ting

solu

tions

ena

ble

com

pani

es to

redu

ce

the

num

ber o

f FX

trans

actio

ns a

nd th

e ov

eral

l FX

expo

sure

. If S

ub 1,

2 &

3 tr

ansa

ct se

para

tely

and

Sub

1 h

as A

UD40

pay

able

, Sub

2 h

as A

UD30

re

ceiv

able

and

Sub

3 h

as A

UD10

pay

able

, the

tota

l FX

purc

hase

will

be

AUD

80 a

nd th

e ov

eral

l exp

osur

e w

ill b

e AUD

80. I

nste

ad, if

Sub

1, 2

& 3

em

ploy

cent

ralis

ed p

aym

ent a

nd n

ettin

g so

lutio

ns, t

he to

tal F

X tra

nsac

tion

amou

nt w

ill re

duce

to A

UD20

and

exp

osur

e w

ill re

duce

to A

UD20

. Th

is so

lutio

n sig

nific

antly

redu

ces t

rans

actio

n co

sts a

nd F

X ex

posu

re.

CE

NT

RA

LIS

ED

LIQ

UID

ITY

MA

NA

GE

ME

NT

PR

OV

IDE

S B

US

INE

SS

ES

WIT

H B

ET

TE

R C

ON

TR

OL,

EN

HA

NC

ED

LIQ

UID

ITY

AN

D G

RE

AT

ER

VIS

IBIL

ITY

ON

FU

ND

S A

T A

GR

OU

P L

EV

EL

Page 34: ANZ OPPORTUNITY CHINA · 7 ANZ O PP O INTRODUCTION Why this one stands out • The ChAFT A has the potential to be transformational over time as: - China is A ustralia’s largest

67

AN

Z O

PP

OR

TU

NIT

Y C

HIN

A

Se

cti

on

4 –

Na

vig

ati

ng

th

e b

an

kin

g m

ark

et

REPA

TRIA

TIO

N O

F EA

RNIN

GS

So

luti

on

s to

mo

ve f

un

ds

ou

t o

f C

hin

a (

com

mo

nly

kn

ow

n

as

“tra

pp

ed

ca

sh”)

hav

e b

ee

n a

to

p p

rio

rity

fo

r tr

ea

sure

rs.

Re

cen

t d

ere

gu

lati

on

co

uld

me

an

th

e e

nd

of “

tra

pp

ed

ca

sh”.

In a

dd

itio

n t

o t

he

ab

ove

ca

sh s

we

ep

ing

so

luti

on

, th

ere

are

tw

o o

the

r so

luti

on

s d

eve

lop

ed

in r

ece

nt

yea

rs f

or

“tra

pp

ed

ca

sh”.

CR

OS

SB

OR

DE

R L

EN

DIN

G

ON

EW

AY

CA

SH

PO

OL

ING

Cro

ss-b

ord

er

len

din

g (

als

o k

no

wn

as

en

tru

ste

d lo

an

s) is

a

on

e-w

ay c

ash

po

olin

g s

olu

tio

n. I

t is

re

ferr

ed

to

as

on

e-w

ay

be

cau

se t

he

ne

t in

flo

w c

an

no

t e

xce

ed

th

e n

et

ou

tflo

w. T

his

solu

tio

n is

su

ite

d f

or

com

pa

nie

s w

ith

on

e-o

ff fi

na

nce

ne

ed

s

such

as

com

pa

nie

s w

ith

an

imm

ed

iate

ne

ed

to

ra

ise

fu

nd

s fo

r

a p

roje

ct

bu

t w

ith

go

od

wo

rkin

g c

ap

ita

l effi

cie

nc

y o

nsh

ore

.

FIG

UR

E 3

8: C

RO

SS

BO

RD

ER

LE

ND

ING

So

urc

e: P

BO

C, A

NZ

AN

Z Ba

nk

Repa

ymen

tLo

an

draw

dow

n

Prin

cipl

ePr

inci

pal

and

inte

rest

RMB

entr

uste

d lo

ans

RMB

spec

ial d

epos

it ac

coun

t

FCY

entr

uste

d lo

ans

Ente

rpris

es in

the

List

of M

ultin

atio

nal

Com

pani

es a

nd w

ith a

ppro

val o

f Sta

te

Adm

inis

trat

ion

of F

orei

gn E

xcha

nge

Sour

ce o

f fun

ds: n

o re

stric

tion

- co

rpor

ates

can

bor

row

from

on

shor

e ba

nks

Pa

ren

t/su

bsi

dia

ry

Ou

tsid

e C

hin

a

(Of f

shor

e)

On

sho

re

ba

nk

Su

bsi

dia

ry

in C

hin

a

(Ons

hore

)

Borr

ower

Lend

er

Inte

rcom

pany

lo

an a

gree

men

t

CR

OS

S B

OR

DE

R L

EN

DIN

G A

ND

CR

OS

S B

OR

DE

R G

UA

RA

NT

EE

S

CA

N H

EL

P R

EPA

TR

IAT

E C

HIN

ES

E O

NS

HO

RE

EA

RN

ING

S

Page 35: ANZ OPPORTUNITY CHINA · 7 ANZ O PP O INTRODUCTION Why this one stands out • The ChAFT A has the potential to be transformational over time as: - China is A ustralia’s largest

69

AN

Z O

PP

OR

TU

NIT

Y C

HIN

A

Se

cti

on

4 –

Na

vig

ati

ng

th

e b

an

kin

g m

ark

et

FIG

UR

E 4

0: C

AS

H S

WE

EP

ING

, LO

AN

AN

D G

UA

RA

NT

EE

PR

OS

AN

D C

ON

S

So

urc

e: P

BO

C, A

NZ

RM

B T

wo

-wa

y

Ca

sh S

we

ep

ing

FC

Y T

wo

-wa

y

Ca

sh S

we

ep

ing

RM

B

En

tru

ste

d L

oa

n

FC

Y

En

tru

ste

d L

oa

n

RM

B

Gu

ara

nte

e

FC

Y

Gu

ara

nte

e

Co

stL

ow

Lo

wL

ow

Lo

wH

igh

Hig

h

Fun

ds

Lim

its

No

Lim

it (

Lim

it)

/Tw

o w

ay

Lim

it/T

wo

wa

yN

o L

imit

/On

e w

ay

No

Lim

it/O

ne

wa

yN

o L

imit

/Tw

o w

ay

No

Lim

it/T

wo

wa

y

Ease

to

Op

erat

eL

ow

Lo

wL

ow

Hig

hL

ow

Lo

w

Loca

tio

nS

FT

Z (

Ch

ina

)C

hin

aC

hin

aC

hin

aC

hin

aC

hin

a

Sou

rce

of F

un

ds

Op

era

tin

g

or

inv

est

ing

ca

sh f

low

Op

era

tin

g

or

inv

est

ing

ca

sh f

low

No

Re

stri

cti

on

No

Re

stri

cti

on

No

Re

stri

cti

on

No

Re

stri

cti

on

FX R

isk

Ye

sP

ote

nti

all

yY

es

Po

ten

tia

lly

No

N

o

FIG

UR

E 3

9: C

RO

SS

BO

RD

ER

GU

AR

AN

TE

ES

So

urc

e: P

BO

C, A

NZ

CR

OS

SB

OR

DE

R G

UA

RA

NT

EE

S

Cro

ss-b

ord

er

gu

ara

nte

es

we

re r

olle

d o

ut

to p

an

Ch

ina

in J

un

e 2

01

4, p

rio

r to

wh

ich

it w

as

on

ly a

llow

ed

in t

he

SF

TZ

as

a p

ilot

pro

gra

m. T

his

so

luti

on

do

es

no

t in

clu

de

ph

ysic

al c

ash

mo

vem

en

t. In

ste

ad

, th

e C

hin

a s

ub

sid

iary

ca

n u

se it

s fu

nd

s in

Ch

ina

to s

up

po

rt it

s re

late

d c

om

pa

nie

s’ b

orr

ow

ing

ove

rse

as.

Th

ere

are

pro

s a

nd

co

ns

for

ea

ch s

olu

tio

n, w

hic

h w

ill b

e d

ete

rmin

ed

ba

sed

on

th

e c

om

pa

ny

ne

ed

s. T

he

ta

ble

be

low

su

mm

ari

ses

the

co

nsi

de

rati

on

s o

f e

ach

so

luti

on

. Th

e v

ari

ed

re

gu

lati

on

s a

nd

un

fam

ilia

rity

of

do

ing

bu

sin

ess

in C

hin

a s

ho

uld

be

se

en

as

a

lea

rnin

g e

xpe

rie

nce

in t

he

co

nte

xt o

f th

e s

ign

ifica

nt

op

po

rtu

nit

y th

at

the

Ch

AF

TA r

ep

rese

nts

.

Loan

cur

renc

y:

no re

stric

tion

Repa

ymen

t: of

fsho

re e

ntity

Gua

rant

or

AN

Z Au

stra

lia

CNY

or F

CY S

BLC

CNY

or F

CY D

epos

it

SBLC

: CN

Y or

FCY

Dep

osit:

CN

Yor

FCY

Repa

ymen

tLo

an

draw

dow

n

AN

Z Ch

ina

Aust

ralia

n En

tity

Ch

ina

Off

sho

re

Page 36: ANZ OPPORTUNITY CHINA · 7 ANZ O PP O INTRODUCTION Why this one stands out • The ChAFT A has the potential to be transformational over time as: - China is A ustralia’s largest

71

71

AN

Z O

PP

OR

TU

NIT

Y C

HIN

AA

NZ

OP

PO

RT

UN

ITY

CH

INA

AP

PE

ND

ICE

S

No

tice

Pre

vio

us

req

uir

em

en

ts

Min

imum

regi

ster

ed c

apita

lN

il (e

xce

pti

on

s a

pp

ly)

Ge

ne

rally

un

de

rsto

od

as

RM

B 1

00

,00

0

Initi

al c

apita

l con

trib

utio

nN

il>

15

% o

r 2

0%

Mon

etar

y ca

pita

l con

trib

utio

nN

il>

30

%

Tim

efra

me

of c

apita

l con

trib

utio

nN

il•

Wit

hin

6 m

on

ths,

if p

aid

in a

lum

p s

um

;

• W

ith

in 2

or

3 y

ea

rs, i

f p

aid

by

inst

alm

en

ts, w

ith

th

e fi

rst

inst

alm

en

t

be

pa

id w

ith

in 3

mo

nth

s

Cap

ital i

ncre

ase

Nil

Firs

t in

sta

lme

nt

sha

ll n

ot

be

less

th

an

20

% o

f th

e n

ew

ly in

cre

ase

d

reg

iste

red

ca

pit

al

Cap

ital d

ecre

ase

Nil*

Aft

er

cap

ita

l de

cre

ase

, th

e r

eg

iste

red

ca

pit

al m

ust

no

t b

e le

ss

tha

n t

he

sta

tuto

ry m

inim

um

* T

his

is n

ot

pro

vid

ed in

th

e N

oti

ce b

ut

is b

ase

d o

n A

NZ

’s t

elep

ho

ne

con

sult

ati

on

wit

h M

OF

CO

M.

So

urc

e: M

inte

r E

llis

on

Tota

l in

ve

stm

en

t (U

SD

)R

ati

o o

f th

e r

eg

iste

red

ca

pit

al

< 3

mill

ion

no

less

th

an

7/1

0

3 t

o 1

0 m

illio

n (

incl

usi

ve)

no

less

th

an

1/2

10

to

30

mill

ion

(in

clu

sive

)n

o le

ss t

ha

n 2

/5

> 3

0 m

illio

nn

o le

ss t

ha

n 1

/3

So

urc

e: M

inte

r E

llis

on

Ind

ust

rie

sM

inim

um

re

gis

tere

d c

ap

ita

l re

qu

ire

me

nt

Trav

elR

MB

30

0,0

00

Join

t sto

ck c

omp

anie

sR

MB

30

mill

ion

Join

t ven

ture

fore

ign

trad

e co

mp

any

RM

B 1

00

mill

ion

Insu

ranc

eR

MB

20

0 m

illio

n

Bank

ing

RM

B 1

bill

ion

Tele

com

RM

B 1

mill

ion

, or

RM

B 1

0 m

illio

n o

r R

MB

1 b

illio

n

(it

may

va

ry d

ep

en

din

g o

n b

usi

ne

ss o

pe

rati

on

sco

pe

)

Inte

rnat

iona

l fre

ight

forw

ardi

ngR

MB

2 m

illio

n f

or

lan

d t

ran

spo

rta

tio

n, R

MB

3 m

illio

n f

or

air

tra

nsp

ort

ati

on

an

d R

MB

5 m

illio

n f

or

ma

rin

e t

ran

spo

rta

tio

n

Pub

lishi

ngR

MB

5 m

illio

n o

r R

MB

10

mill

ion

de

pe

nd

ing

on

sp

eci

fic

bu

sin

ess

Inve

stm

ent C

omp

any

US

D 3

0 m

illio

n

Exce

ptio

ns to

min

imum

regi

ster

ed c

apita

l

Th

e N

oti

ce a

bo

lish

es

the

re

qu

ire

me

nt

of

min

imu

m r

eg

iste

red

ca

pit

al u

nle

ss it

is o

the

rwis

e r

eq

uir

ed

by

law

s o

r re

gu

lati

on

s

for

spe

cifi

c se

cto

rs. A

cco

rdin

g t

o M

inte

r E

lliso

n, s

pe

cifi

c m

inim

um

re

gis

tere

d c

ap

ita

l re

qu

ire

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Page 38: ANZ OPPORTUNITY CHINA · 7 ANZ O PP O INTRODUCTION Why this one stands out • The ChAFT A has the potential to be transformational over time as: - China is A ustralia’s largest

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t; a

nd

,

AN

Z a

nd

its

Affi

liate

s e

xpre

ssly

dis

clai

m a

ny

resp

on

sib

ility

an

d s

hal

l no

t b

e li

able

for

any

loss

, d

amag

e,

clai

m,

liab

ility

, p

roce

ed

ing

s, c

ost

or

exp

en

se (

“Lia

bili

ty”)

aris

ing

dir

ect

ly o

r in

dir

ect

ly a

nd

wh

eth

er

in t

ort

(in

clu

din

g n

eg

lige

nce

), co

ntr

act,

eq

uit

y o

r o

the

rwis

e o

ut

of

or

in c

on

ne

ctio

n w

ith

th

is p

ub

licat

ion

.

If

this

p

ub

licat

ion

h

as

be

en

d

istr

ibu

ted

b

y e

lect

ron

ic

tran

smis

sio

n,

such

as

e-m

ail,

the

n s

uch

tra

nsm

issi

on

can

no

t b

e g

uar

ante

ed

to

be

se

cure

or

err

or-

fre

e

as i

nfo

rmat

ion

co

uld

be

in

terc

ep

ted

, co

rru

pte

d,

lost

, d

est

roye

d,

arri

ve l

ate

or

inco

mp

lete

, or

con

tain

vir

use

s. A

NZ

an

d i

ts A

ffilia

tes

do

no

t ac

cep

t an

y Li

abili

ty

as a

re

sult

of

ele

ctro

nic

tra

nsm

issi

on

of

this

pu

blic

atio

n.

AN

Z a

nd

its

Affi

liate

s m

ay h

ave

an

inte

rest

in th

e s

ub

ject

mat

ter o

f th

is p

ub

licat

ion

as fo

llow

s:

• T

he

y m

ay r

ece

ive

fe

es

fro

m c

ust

om

ers

fo

r d

eal

ing

in t

he

pro

du

cts

or

serv

ice

s

de

scri

be

d in

th

is p

ub

licat

ion

, an

d t

he

ir s

taff

an

d in

tro

du

cers

of

bu

sin

ess

may

shar

e in

su

ch fe

es

or

rece

ive

a b

on

us

that

may

be

infl

ue

nce

d b

y to

tal s

ale

s.

• T

he

y o

r th

eir

cu

sto

me

rs m

ay h

ave

or

hav

e h

ad i

nte

rest

s o

r lo

ng

or

sho

rt

po

siti

on

s in

th

e p

rod

uct

s o

r se

rvic

es

de

scri

be

d in

th

is p

ub

licat

ion

, an

d m

ay a

t

any

tim

e m

ake

pu

rch

ase

s an

d/o

r sa

les

in t

he

m a

s p

rin

cip

al o

r ag

en

t.

• T

he

y m

ay

act

or

hav

e

acte

d

as

mar

ket-

mak

er

in

pro

du

cts

de

scri

be

d

in t

his

pu

blic

atio

n.

AN

Z a

nd

its

Affi

liate

s m

ay r

ely

on

info

rmat

ion

bar

rie

rs a

nd

oth

er

arra

ng

em

en

ts t

o

con

tro

l th

e fl

ow

of

info

rmat

ion

co

nta

ine

d in

on

e o

r m

ore

bu

sin

ess

are

as w

ith

in

AN

Z o

r w

ith

in it

s A

ffilia

tes

into

oth

er

bu

sin

ess

are

as o

f A

NZ

or

of

its

Affi

liate

s.

Ple

ase

co

nta

ct

you

r A

NZ

p

oin

t o

f co

nta

ct

wit

h

any

qu

est

ion

s ab

ou

t th

is

pu

blic

atio

n in

clu

din

g fo

r fu

rth

er

info

rmat

ion

on

th

ese

dis

clo

sure

s o

f in

tere

st.

Co

un

try

/re

gio

n s

pe

cifi

c in

form

ati

on

:

Au

stra

lia

. T

his

pu

blic

atio

n i

s d

istr

ibu

ted

in

Au

stra

lia b

y A

NZ

. A

NZ

ho

lds

an

Au

stra

lian

Fi

nan

cial

S

erv

ice

s lic

en

ce

no

. 2

34

52

7.

A

cop

y o

f A

NZ

’s

Fin

anci

al

Se

rvic

es

Gu

ide

is

avai

lab

le a

t h

ttp

://w

ww

.an

z.co

m/d

ocu

me

nts

/AU

/ab

ou

tAN

Z/

Fin

anci

alS

erv

ice

sGu

ide

.pd

f an

d

is

avai

lab

le

up

on

re

qu

est

fr

om

yo

ur

AN

Z

po

int

of

con

tact

. If

tra

din

g s

trat

eg

ies

or

reco

mm

en

dat

ion

s ar

e i

ncl

ud

ed

in

th

is

pu

blic

atio

n, t

he

y ar

e s

ole

ly f

or

the

in

form

atio

n o

f ‘w

ho

lesa

le c

lien

ts’ (

as d

efi

ne

d

in s

ect

ion

76

1G

of

the

Co

rpo

rati

on

s A

ct 2

00

1 C

th).

Pe

rso

ns

wh

o r

ece

ive

th

is

pu

blic

atio

n m

ust

info

rm t

he

mse

lve

s ab

ou

t an

d o

bse

rve

all

rele

van

t re

stri

ctio

ns.

Bra

zil.

Th

is p

ub

licat

ion

is

dis

trib

ute

d i

n B

razi

l b

y A

NZ

on

a c

ross

bo

rde

r b

asis

and

on

ly f

ollo

win

g r

eq

ue

st b

y th

e r

eci

pie

nt.

No

se

curi

tie

s ar

e b

ein

g o

ffe

red

or

sold

in B

razi

l un

de

r th

is p

ub

licat

ion

, an

d n

o s

ecu

riti

es

hav

e b

ee

n a

nd

will

no

t b

e

reg

iste

red

wit

h t

he

Se

curi

tie

s C

om

mis

sio

n -

CV

M.

Bru

ne

i. J

ap

an

. K

uw

ait

. M

ala

ysi

a.

Sw

itze

rla

nd

. Ta

iwa

n.

Th

is p

ub

licat

ion

is

dis

trib

ute

d in

eac

h o

f B

run

ei,

Jap

an, K

uw

ait,

Mal

aysi

a, S

wit

zerl

and

an

d T

aiw

an b

y

AN

Z o

n a

cro

ss-b

ord

er

bas

is.

Eu

rop

ea

n

Eco

no

mic

A

rea

(“

EE

A”)

: U

nit

ed

K

ing

do

m.

AN

Z

in

the

U

nit

ed

Kin

gd

om

is

auth

ori

sed

by

the

Pru

de

nti

al R

eg

ula

tio

n A

uth

ori

ty (

“PR

A”)

. Su

bje

ct

to r

eg

ula

tio

n b

y th

e F

inan

cial

Co

nd

uct

Au

tho

rity

(“F

CA

”) a

nd

lim

ite

d r

eg

ula

tio

n

by

the

PR

A.

De

tails

ab

ou

t th

e e

xte

nt

of

ou

r re

gu

lati

on

by

the

PR

A a

re a

vaila

ble

fro

m u

s o

n r

eq

ue

st. T

his

pu

blic

atio

n is

dis

trib

ute

d in

th

e U

nit

ed

Kin

gd

om

by

AN

Z

sole

ly f

or

the

info

rmat

ion

of

pe

rso

ns

wh

o w

ou

ld c

om

e w

ith

in t

he

FC

A d

efi

nit

ion

of “

elig

ible

co

un

terp

arty

” or “

pro

fess

ion

al c

lien

t”. I

t is

no

t in

ten

de

d fo

r an

d m

ust

no

t

be

dis

trib

ute

d t

o a

ny

pe

rso

n w

ho

wo

uld

co

me

wit

hin

th

e F

CA

de

fin

itio

n o

f “re

tail

clie

nt”

. No

thin

g h

ere

exc

lud

es

or

rest

rict

s an

y d

uty

or

liab

ility

to

a c

ust

om

er

wh

ich

AN

Z m

ay h

ave

un

de

r th

e U

K F

inan

cial

Se

rvic

es

and

Mar

kets

Act

20

00

or

un

de

r th

e

reg

ula

tory

sys

tem

as

de

fin

ed

in t

he

Ru

les

of

the

PR

A a

nd

th

e F

CA

. Ge

rma

ny.

Th

is

pu

blic

atio

n is

dis

trib

ute

d in

Ge

rman

y b

y th

e F

ran

kfu

rt B

ran

ch o

f AN

Z s

ole

ly fo

r th

e

info

rmat

ion

of i

ts c

lien

ts. O

the

r E

EA

co

un

trie

s. T

his

pu

blic

atio

n is

dis

trib

ute

d in

the

EEA

by

AN

Z B

ank

(Eu

rop

e)

Lim

ite

d (

“AN

ZB

EL”)

wh

ich

is a

uth

ori

sed

by

the

PR

A a

nd

reg

ula

ted

by

the

FC

A a

nd

th

e P

RA

in t

he

Un

ite

d K

ing

do

m, t

o p

ers

on

s w

ho

wo

uld

com

e w

ith

in t

he

FC

A d

efi

nit

ion

of “

elig

ible

co

un

terp

arty

” or “

pro

fess

ion

al c

lien

t” in

oth

er

cou

ntr

ies

in t

he

EEA

. Th

is p

ub

licat

ion

is d

istr

ibu

ted

in t

ho

se c

ou

ntr

ies

sole

ly

for

the

info

rmat

ion

of

such

pe

rso

ns

up

on

th

eir

re

qu

est

. It

is n

ot

inte

nd

ed

fo

r, an

d

mu

st n

ot

be

dis

trib

ute

d t

o, a

ny

pe

rso

n in

th

ose

co

un

trie

s w

ho

wo

uld

co

me

wit

hin

the

FC

A d

efi

nit

ion

of “

reta

il cl

ien

t”.

Fij

i.

For

Fiji

reg

ula

tory

p

urp

ose

s,

this

p

ub

lica

tio

n

an

d

an

y v

iew

s a

nd

reco

mm

en

da

tio

ns

are

no

t to

be

de

em

ed

as

inve

stm

en

t a

dv

ice

. Fi

ji in

vest

ors

mu

st

see

k lic

en

sed

p

rofe

ssio

na

l a

dv

ice

sh

ou

ld

the

y w

ish

to

m

ake

a

ny

inve

stm

en

t in

re

lati

on

to

th

is p

ub

lica

tio

n.

Ho

ng

Ko

ng

. T

his

pu

blic

atio

n i

s d

istr

ibu

ted

in

Ho

ng

Ko

ng

by

the

Ho

ng

Ko

ng

bra

nch

of

AN

Z,

wh

ich

is

reg

iste

red

at

the

Ho

ng

Ko

ng

Mo

ne

tary

Au

tho

rity

to

con

du

ct T

ype

1 (

de

alin

g i

n s

ecu

riti

es)

, Typ

e 4

(ad

visi

ng

on

se

curi

tie

s) a

nd

Typ

e

6

(ad

visi

ng

o

n

corp

ora

te

fin

ance

) re

gu

late

d

acti

viti

es.

Th

e

con

ten

ts

of

this

pu

blic

atio

n h

ave

no

t b

ee

n r

evi

ew

ed

by

any

reg

ula

tory

au

tho

rity

in H

on

g K

on

g. I

f

in d

ou

bt

abo

ut

the

co

nte

nts

of

this

pu

blic

atio

n, y

ou

sh

ou

ld o

bta

in in

de

pe

nd

en

t

pro

fess

ion

al a

dvi

ce.

Ind

ia.

Th

is p

ub

licat

ion

is

dis

trib

ute

d i

n I

nd

ia b

y A

NZ

on

a c

ross

-bo

rde

r b

asis

. If

this

pu

blic

atio

n is

re

ceiv

ed

in In

dia

, on

ly y

ou

(th

e s

pe

cifi

ed

re

cip

ien

t) m

ay p

rin

t it

pro

vid

ed

th

at b

efo

re d

oin

g s

o, y

ou

sp

eci

fy o

n it

yo

ur

nam

e a

nd

pla

ce o

f pri

nti

ng

.

Furt

he

r co

pyi

ng

or

du

plic

atio

n o

f th

is p

ub

licat

ion

is s

tric

tly

pro

hib

ite

d.

Ne

w Z

ea

lan

d.

Th

is p

ub

licat

ion

is

inte

nd

ed

to

be

of

a g

en

era

l n

atu

re, d

oe

s n

ot

take

in

to a

cco

un

t yo

ur

fin

anci

al s

itu

atio

n o

r g

oal

s, a

nd

is

no

t a

pe

rso

nal

ise

d

advi

ser

serv

ice

un

de

r th

e F

inan

cial

Ad

vise

rs A

ct 2

00

8.

Om

an

. Th

is p

ub

licat

ion

has

be

en

pre

par

ed

by

AN

Z. A

NZ

ne

ith

er

has

a r

eg

iste

red

bu

sin

ess

pre

sen

ce n

or

a re

pre

sen

tati

ve o

ffice

in O

man

an

d d

oe

s n

ot

un

de

rtak

e

ban

kin

g b

usi

ne

ss o

r p

rovi

de

fin

anci

al s

erv

ice

s in

Om

an. C

on

seq

ue

ntl

y A

NZ

is n

ot

reg

ula

ted

by

eit

he

r th

e C

en

tral

Ban

k o

f Om

an o

r Om

an’s

Cap

ital

Mar

ket

Au

tho

rity

.

Th

e i

nfo

rmat

ion

co

nta

ine

d i

n t

his

pu

blic

atio

n i

s fo

r d

iscu

ssio

n p

urp

ose

s o

nly

and

ne

ith

er

con

stit

ute

s an

off

er

of

secu

riti

es

in O

man

as

con

tem

pla

ted

by

the

Co

mm

erc

ial C

om

pan

ies

Law

of

Om

an (

Ro

yal D

ecr

ee

4/7

4)

or

the

Cap

ital

Mar

ket

Law

of

Om

an (

Ro

yal D

ecr

ee

80

/98

), n

or

do

es

it c

on

stit

ute

an

off

er

to s

ell,

or

the

solic

itat

ion

of

any

off

er

to b

uy

no

n-O

man

i se

curi

tie

s in

Om

an a

s co

nte

mp

late

d

by

Art

icle

13

9 o

f th

e E

xecu

tive

Re

gu

lati

on

s to

th

e C

apit

al M

arke

t La

w (

issu

ed

vid

e C

MA

De

cisi

on

1/2

00

9).

AN

Z d

oe

s n

ot

solic

it b

usi

ne

ss in

Om

an a

nd

th

e o

nly

circ

um

stan

ces

in w

hic

h A

NZ

se

nd

s in

form

atio

n o

r m

ate

rial

de

scri

bin

g fi

nan

cial

pro

du

cts

or

fin

anci

al s

erv

ice

s to

re

cip

ien

ts i

n O

man

, is

wh

ere

su

ch i

nfo

rmat

ion

or

mat

eri

al h

as b

ee

n r

eq

ue

ste

d f

rom

AN

Z a

nd

by

rece

ivin

g t

his

pu

blic

atio

n,

the

pe

rso

n o

r e

nti

ty t

o w

ho

m i

t h

as b

ee

n d

isp

atch

ed

by

AN

Z u

nd

ers

tan

ds,

ackn

ow

led

ge

s an

d a

gre

es

that

th

is p

ub

licat

ion

has

no

t b

ee

n a

pp

rove

d b

y th

e

CB

O, t

he

CM

A o

r an

y o

the

r re

gu

lato

ry b

od

y o

r au

tho

rity

in O

man

. AN

Z d

oe

s n

ot

mar

ket,

off

er,

sell

or

dis

trib

ute

an

y fi

nan

cial

or

inve

stm

en

t p

rod

uct

s o

r se

rvic

es

in

Om

an a

nd

no

su

bsc

rip

tio

n t

o a

ny

secu

riti

es,

pro

du

cts

or

fin

anci

al s

erv

ice

s m

ay

or

will

be

co

nsu

mm

ate

d w

ith

in O

man

. N

oth

ing

co

nta

ine

d i

n t

his

pu

blic

atio

n

is i

nte

nd

ed

to

co

nst

itu

te O

man

i in

vest

me

nt,

le

gal

, ta

x, a

cco

un

tin

g o

r o

the

r

pro

fess

ion

al a

dvi

ce.

Pe

op

le’s

Re

pu

bli

c o

f C

hin

a.

If

and

w

he

n

the

m

ate

rial

ac

com

pan

yin

g

this

pu

blic

atio

n d

oe

s n

ot

on

ly r

ela

te t

o t

he

pro

du

cts

and

/or

serv

ice

s o

f A

ust

ralia

an

d

Ne

w Z

eal

and

Ban

k (C

hin

a) C

om

pan

y Li

mit

ed

(“A

NZ

Ch

ina”

), it

is n

ote

d t

hat

: Th

is

pu

blic

atio

n i

s d

istr

ibu

ted

by

AN

Z o

r an

affi

liate

. N

o a

ctio

n h

as b

ee

n t

ake

n b

y

AN

Z o

r an

y affi

liate

wh

ich

wo

uld

pe

rmit

a p

ub

lic o

ffe

rin

g o

f an

y p

rod

uct

s o

r

serv

ice

s o

f su

ch a

n e

nti

ty o

r d

istr

ibu

tio

n o

r re

-dis

trib

uti

on

of

this

pu

blic

atio

n i

n

the

Pe

op

le’s

Re

pu

blic

of

Ch

ina

(“P

RC

”).

Acc

ord

ing

ly,

the

pro

du

cts

and

se

rvic

es

of

such

en

titi

es

are

no

t b

ein

g o

ffe

red

or

sold

wit

hin

th

e P

RC

by

me

ans

of

this

pu

blic

atio

n o

r an

y o

the

r m

eth

od

. Th

is p

ub

licat

ion

may

no

t b

e d

istr

ibu

ted

, re

-

dis

trib

ute

d o

r p

ub

lish

ed

in t

he

PR

C, e

xce

pt

un

de

r ci

rcu

mst

ance

s th

at w

ill r

esu

lt

in c

om

plia

nce

wit

h a

ny

app

licab

le la

ws

and

re

gu

lati

on

s. If

an

d w

he

n t

he

mat

eri

al

acco

mp

anyi

ng

th

is p

ub

licat

ion

re

late

s to

th

e p

rod

uct

s an

d/o

r se

rvic

es

of

AN

Z

Ch

ina

on

ly,

it i

s n

ote

d t

hat

: Th

is p

ub

licat

ion

is

dis

trib

ute

d b

y A

NZ

Ch

ina

in t

he

Mai

nla

nd

of

the

PR

C.

Qa

tar.

Th

is p

ub

licat

ion

has

no

t b

ee

n, a

nd

will

no

t b

e:

• lo

dg

ed

or

reg

iste

red

wit

h,

or

revi

ew

ed

or

app

rove

d b

y, t

he

Qat

ar C

en

tral

Ban

k (“

QC

B”)

, th

e Q

atar

Fin

anci

al C

en

tre

(“Q

FC

”) A

uth

ori

ty,

QF

C R

eg

ula

tory

Au

tho

rity

or

any

oth

er

auth

ori

ty in

th

e S

tate

of

Qat

ar (

“Qat

ar”)

; or

• au

tho

rise

d o

r lic

en

sed

for

dis

trib

uti

on

in Q

atar

,

• an

d th

e in

form

atio

n c

on

tain

ed

in th

is p

ub

licat

ion

do

es

no

t, a

nd

is n

ot i

nte

nd

ed

to, c

on

stit

ute

a p

ub

lic o

ffe

r o

r o

the

r in

vita

tio

n in

re

spe

ct o

f se

curi

tie

s in

Qat

ar

or

the

QF

C. T

he

fin

anci

al p

rod

uct

s o

r se

rvic

es

de

scri

be

d i

n t

his

pu

blic

atio

n

hav

e n

ot

be

en

, an

d w

ill n

ot

be

:

• re

gis

tere

d w

ith

th

e Q

CB

, Q

FC

Au

tho

rity

, Q

FC

Re

gu

lato

ry A

uth

ori

ty o

r an

y

oth

er

go

vern

me

nta

l au

tho

rity

in Q

atar

; or

• au

tho

rise

d

or

lice

nse

d

for

off

eri

ng

, m

arke

tin

g,

issu

e

or

sale

, d

ire

ctly

o

r

ind

ire

ctly

, in

Qat

ar.

Acc

ord

ing

ly, t

he

fin

anci

al p

rod

uct

s o

r se

rvic

es

de

scri

be

d i

n t

his

pu

blic

atio

n a

re

no

t b

ein

g, a

nd

will

no

t b

e, o

ffe

red

, iss

ue

d o

r so

ld i

n Q

atar

, an

d t

his

pu

blic

atio

n

is n

ot

be

ing

, an

d w

ill n

ot

be

, dis

trib

ute

d i

n Q

atar

. Th

e o

ffe

rin

g, m

arke

tin

g, i

ssu

e

and

sal

e o

f th

e fi

nan

cial

pro

du

cts

or

serv

ice

s d

esc

rib

ed

in

th

is p

ub

licat

ion

an

d

dis

trib

uti

on

of

this

pu

blic

atio

n i

s b

ein

g m

ade

in

, an

d i

s su

bje

ct t

o t

he

law

s,

reg

ula

tio

ns

and

ru

les

of,

juri

sdic

tio

ns

ou

tsid

e o

f Q

atar

an

d t

he

QF

C. R

eci

pie

nts

of

this

pu

blic

atio

n m

ust

ab

ide

by

this

re

stri

ctio

n a

nd

no

t d

istr

ibu

te t

his

pu

blic

atio

n

in b

reac

h o

f th

is r

est

rict

ion

. T

his

pu

blic

atio

n i

s b

ein

g s

en

t/is

sue

d t

o a

lim

ite

d

nu

mb

er

of

inst

itu

tio

nal

an

d/o

r so

ph

isti

cate

d i

nve

sto

rs (

i) u

po

n t

he

ir r

eq

ue

st

and

co

nfi

rmat

ion

th

at t

he

y u

nd

ers

tan

d t

he

sta

tem

en

ts a

bo

ve;

and

(ii)

on

th

e

con

dit

ion

th

at i

t w

ill n

ot

be

pro

vid

ed

to

an

y p

ers

on

oth

er

than

th

e o

rig

inal

reci

pie

nt,

an

d is

no

t fo

r g

en

era

l cir

cula

tio

n a

nd

may

no

t b

e r

ep

rod

uce

d o

r u

sed

for

any

oth

er

pu

rpo

se.

Sin

ga

po

re. T

his

pu

blic

atio

n is

dis

trib

ute

d in

Sin

gap

ore

by

the

Sin

gap

ore

bra

nch

of

AN

Z s

ole

ly fo

r th

e in

form

atio

n o

f “ac

cre

dit

ed

inve

sto

rs”, “

exp

ert

inve

sto

rs” o

r (a

s

the

cas

e m

ay b

e) “

inst

itu

tio

nal

in

vest

ors

” (e

ach

te

rm a

s d

efi

ne

d i

n t

he

Se

curi

tie

s

and

Fu

ture

s A

ct C

ap. 2

89

of

Sin

gap

ore

). A

NZ

is li

cen

sed

in S

ing

apo

re u

nd

er

the

Ban

kin

g A

ct C

ap.

19

of

Sin

gap

ore

an

d i

s e

xem

pte

d f

rom

ho

ldin

g a

fin

anci

al

advi

ser’s

lic

en

ce u

nd

er

Se

ctio

n 2

3(1

)(a)

of

the

Fin

anci

al A

dvi

sers

Act

Cap

. 1

00

of

Sin

gap

ore

. In

re

spe

ct o

f an

y m

atte

rs a

risi

ng

fro

m,

or

in c

on

ne

ctio

n w

ith

th

e

dis

trib

uti

on

of

this

pu

blic

atio

n in

Sin

gap

ore

, co

nta

ct y

ou

r A

NZ

po

int

of

con

tact

.

Un

ite

d A

rab

Em

ira

tes.

Th

is p

ub

licat

ion

is d

istr

ibu

ted

in th

e U

nit

ed

Ara

b E

mir

ate

s

(“U

AE

”) o

r th

e D

ub

ai I

nte

rnat

ion

al F

inan

cial

Ce

ntr

e (

as a

pp

licab

le)

by

AN

Z. T

his

pu

blic

atio

n:

do

es

no

t, a

nd

is

no

t in

ten

de

d t

o c

on

stit

ute

an

off

er

of

secu

riti

es

anyw

he

re in

th

e U

AE

; do

es

no

t co

nst

itu

te, a

nd

is n

ot

inte

nd

ed

to

co

nst

itu

te t

he

carr

yin

g o

n o

r e

ng

age

me

nt

in b

anki

ng

, fin

anci

al a

nd

/or

inve

stm

en

t co

nsu

ltat

ion

bu

sin

ess

in

th

e U

AE

un

de

r th

e r

ule

s an

d r

eg

ula

tio

ns

mad

e b

y th

e C

en

tral

Ban

k

of

the

Un

ite

d A

rab

Em

irat

es,

th

e E

mir

ate

s S

ecu

riti

es

and

Co

mm

od

itie

s A

uth

ori

ty

or

the

Un

ite

d A

rab

Em

irat

es

Min

istr

y o

f E

con

om

y; d

oe

s n

ot,

an

d is

no

t in

ten

de

d

to c

on

stit

ute

an

off

er

of

secu

riti

es

wit

hin

th

e m

ean

ing

of

the

Du

bai

Inte

rnat

ion

al

Fin

anci

al C

en

tre

Mar

kets

Law

No

. 1

2 o

f 2

00

4;

and

, d

oe

s n

ot

con

stit

ute

, an

d i

s

no

t in

ten

de

d t

o c

on

stit

ute

, a

fin

anci

al p

rom

oti

on

, as

de

fin

ed

un

de

r th

e D

ub

ai

Inte

rnat

ion

al F

inan

cial

Ce

ntr

e R

eg

ula

tory

Law

No

. 1

of

20

0.

AN

Z D

IFC

Bra

nch

is r

eg

ula

ted

by

the

Du

bai

Fin

anci

al S

erv

ice

s A

uth

ori

ty (

“DF

SA

”).

Th

e fi

nan

cial

pro

du

cts

or

serv

ice

s d

esc

rib

ed

in

th

is p

ub

licat

ion

are

on

ly a

vaila

ble

to

pe

rso

ns

wh

o q

ual

ify

as “P

rofe

ssio

nal

Clie

nts

” or “

Mar

ket

Co

un

terp

arty

” in

acc

ord

ance

wit

h

the

pro

visi

on

s o

f th

e D

FS

A r

ule

s. I

n a

dd

itio

n,

AN

Z h

as a

re

pre

sen

tati

ve o

ffice

(“A

NZ

Re

pre

sen

tati

ve O

ffice

”) in

Ab

u D

hab

i re

gu

late

d b

y th

e C

en

tral

Ban

k o

f th

e

Un

ite

d A

rab

Em

irat

es.

AN

Z R

ep

rese

nta

tive

Offi

ce is

no

t p

erm

itte

d b

y th

e C

en

tral

Ban

k o

f th

e U

nit

ed

Ara

b E

mir

ate

s to

pro

vid

e a

ny

ban

kin

g s

erv

ice

s to

clie

nts

in

the

UA

E.

Un

ite

d S

tate

s. I

f an

d w

he

n t

his

pu

blic

atio

n i

s re

ceiv

ed

by

any

pe

rso

n i

n t

he

Un

ite

d S

tate

s o

r a

“U.S

. pe

rso

n” (

as d

efi

ne

d in

Re

gu

lati

on

S u

nd

er

the

US

Se

curi

tie

s

Act

of

19

33

, as

ame

nd

ed

) (“

US

Pe

rso

n”)

or

any

pe

rso

n a

ctin

g f

or

the

acc

ou

nt

or

be

ne

fit

of

a U

S P

ers

on

, it

is n

ote

d t

hat

AN

Z S

ecu

riti

es,

Inc.

(“A

NZ

S”)

is a

me

mb

er

of

FIN

RA

(w

ww

.fin

ra.o

rg)

and

re

gis

tere

d w

ith

th

e S

EC

. AN

Z S

’ ad

dre

ss is

27

7 P

ark

Ave

nu

e, 3

1st

Flo

or,

Ne

w Y

ork

, NY

10

17

2, U

SA

(Te

l: +

1 2

12

80

1 9

16

0 F

ax: +

1 2

12

80

1 9

16

3).

Exc

ep

t w

he

re t

his

is

a F

X-

rela

ted

or

com

mo

dit

y-re

late

d p

ub

licat

ion

,

this

pu

blic

atio

n i

s d

istr

ibu

ted

in

th

e U

nit

ed

Sta

tes

by

AN

Z S

(a

wh

olly

ow

ne

d

sub

sid

iary

of

AN

Z),

wh

ich

acc

ep

ts r

esp

on

sib

ility

fo

r it

s co

nte

nt.

In

form

atio

n

on

an

y se

curi

tie

s re

ferr

ed

to

in

th

is p

ub

licat

ion

may

be

ob

tain

ed

fro

m A

NZ

S

up

on

re

qu

est

. A

ny

US

Pe

rso

n r

ece

ivin

g t

his

pu

blic

atio

n a

nd

wis

hin

g t

o e

ffe

ct

tran

sact

ion

s in

an

y se

curi

tie

s re

ferr

ed

to

in t

his

pu

blic

atio

n m

ust

co

nta

ct A

NZ

S,

no

t it

s affi

liate

s. W

he

re t

his

is

an F

X-

rela

ted

or

com

mo

dit

y-re

late

d p

ub

licat

ion

,

it i

s d

istr

ibu

ted

in

th

e U

nit

ed

Sta

tes

by

AN

Z’s

Ne

w Y

ork

Bra

nch

, w

hic

h i

s al

so

loca

ted

at

27

7 P

ark

Ave

nu

e,

31

st F

loo

r, N

ew

Yo

rk,

NY

10

17

2,

US

A (

Tel:

+1

21

2

80

1 9

16

0 F

ax:

+1

21

2 8

01

91

63

). C

om

mo

dit

y-re

late

d p

rod

uct

s ar

e n

ot

insu

red

by

any

U.S

. go

vern

me

nta

l ag

en

cy,

an

d a

re n

ot

gu

aran

tee

d b

y A

NZ

or

any

of

its

affilia

tes.

Tra

nsa

ctin

g i

n t

he

se p

rod

uct

s m

ay i

nvo

lve

su

bst

anti

al r

isks

an

d c

ou

ld

resu

lt i

n a

sig

nifi

can

t lo

ss. Y

ou

sh

ou

ld c

are

fully

co

nsi

de

r w

he

the

r tr

ansa

ctin

g i

n

com

mo

dit

y-re

late

d p

rod

uct

s is

su

itab

le fo

r yo

u in

lig

ht

of y

ou

r fin

anci

al c

on

dit

ion

and

in

vest

me

nt

ob

ject

ive

s. A

NZ

S i

s au

tho

rise

d a

s a

bro

ker-

de

ale

r o

nly

fo

r U

S

Pe

rso

ns

wh

o a

re in

stit

uti

on

s, n

ot

for

US

Pe

rso

ns

wh

o a

re in

div

idu

als.

If y

ou

hav

e

reg

iste

red

to

use

th

is w

eb

site

or

hav

e o

the

rwis

e r

ece

ive

d t

his

pu

blic

atio

n a

nd

are

a U

S P

ers

on

wh

o is

an

ind

ivid

ual

: to

avo

id l

oss

, yo

u s

ho

uld

ce

ase

to

use

th

is

we

bsi

te b

y u

nsu

bsc

rib

ing

or

sho

uld

no

tify

th

e s

en

de

r an

d y

ou

sh

ou

ld n

ot

act

on

the

co

nte

nts

of

this

pu

blic

atio

n in

an

y w

ay.

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