ANZ Job Ads Jan-13.pdf

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    ANZ RESEARCH

    1

    MEDI A RELEASE

    Embargoed until 11:30am, Monday 4 February 2013

    JOB ADVERTI SI NG RELATI VELY UNCHANGED I N JANUARY

    Hi gh l i gh t s

    After 10 consecutive monthly declines, job advertisements fell 0.9% in January. Within the context of thevery large swings that occur in job advertising over the December/January holiday period this can bebroadly characterised as a flat outcome in the month. As in previous years, it will not be until Februarydata are released in early March that a clearer read on recent job advertising trends becomes available.

    The result follows particularly large falls in job advertising towards the end of 2012 with the number ofadvertisements declining by around 15% in the final four months of the year. In January, job advertisingon the internet fell 0.6%, while newspaper job ads fell 9.2%. The total number of job advertisements inJanuary was nearly 30% below the most recent peak in April 2011. The trend in job advertising remainsin decline.

    Newspaper job advertising in the Northern Territory rose solidly - the only state to exhibit such strength.The largest falls in newspaper advertising were recorded in Victoria, Western Australia and Queensland,though again given the large seasonal swings, we would caution about reading too much into the Januarydata. In trend terms, newspaper job advertising is declining in all states and territories except theNorthern Territory and Tasmania.

    ANZ Head o f Aust ra l ian Econom ics & Proper t y Research , I van Co lhoun sa id :

    Following some notable weakness at the end of last year, job advertising was broadly unchanged inJanuary. Given the large seasonal swings in job advertising over the December/January period (andassociated difficulties with seasonal adjustment), we will need to assess the February data to ascertainwhether the previous decline in job advertising is beginning to moderate.

    Among the states, the Northern Territory has continued to do particularly well due to the size of its mega-LNG projects relative to the states GDP. In the other mining states (Western Australia and Queensland),job advertising trends have continued to ease, albeit at a slightly reduced rate in trend terms in January.Given the continuing focus of resource firms on cost reductions, we do not expect to see a significantrecovery in job advertising in these states in the near term.

    The ABS releases January labour force data next Thursday (7 February). ANZ expects the unemployment

    rate to have risen slightly to 5.5% and for employment to have risen by around 15,000. We expect growthin the Australian economy to be below trend this year as the economy transitions towards a lowerdependence on mining investment. Q4s moderate CPI figures indicate that inflation concerns should notbe a constraint on any further decisions by the RBA to reduce official interest rates. Without furthermonetary policy stimulus, the risk is that the unemployment rate drifts higher, to or above 5% by midto late this year.

    That said, we expect the RBA to leave interest rates unchanged at its February board meeting, while itassesses incoming data to see if and when further monetary accommodation is required.

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    AN Z JOB ADVERTI SEMENTS SERI ES RELEASE DATES FOR 20 13

    FOR DATA COVERI NG: AN Z RELEASE DATES:

    February 2013 4 March 2013

    March 2013 8 April 2013

    April 2013 6 May 2013

    May 2013 3 June 2013

    June 2013 8 July 2013

    July 2013 6 August 2013

    August 2013 9 September 2013

    September 2013 7 October 2013

    October 2013 4 November 2013

    November 2013 9 December 2013

    For further comment contact: For data enquiries contact: For media and distributionenquiries contact:

    I van Co lhoun Sav i t a S ingh V i ct o r i a Kanevsky

    Head of Australian Economics &Property Research

    Economic Analyst Media Relations Advisor

    Tel: (02) 9227 1780 Tel: (02) 9227 1500 Tel: (03) 8654 4469Email:[email protected]

    Email:[email protected]

    Email:[email protected]

    Next re lease: February 2013 Expected re lease da te : Monday 4 March 2013

    N ote fo r ed i to r s :

    For some of the newspapers surveyed, the ANZ Job Advertisements series counts the number of advertisement bookings.Each booking may contain multiple advertisements. In addition, the ANZ series counts classified advertisements only, anddoes not include display advertisements. For these reasons, it would be incorrect to draw any inference or correlation from theANZ series regarding advertising volumes or revenues from employment advertising in the newspapers surveyed. The ANZseries is not intended to, and should not, be used to assess the financial performance of any of the newspapers included in it.

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    ANZ JOB ADVERTI SEMENTS SERI ES

    T ot a l j ob ads (new spaper & i n t e rne t )

    50

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13

    '000

    perweek

    Seasonal ly Adjusted

    Trend

    Change i n new spaper , i n t e rne t & t o t a l j ob adve r t i semen t s

    -60

    -40

    -20

    0

    20

    40

    60

    01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13

    y/y%c

    hange,seasonallyadjusted

    News a er Internet Total 3

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    Gr o w t h i n t o t a l j o b a d v e r t i se m e n t s & e m p l o y m e n t

    -60

    -40

    -20

    0

    20

    40

    60

    95 97 99 01 03 05 07 09 11 13

    y/y%c

    hange,seasonallyadjusted

    -2.0

    -0.5

    1.0

    2.5

    4.0

    5.5

    7.0

    y/y%change,seasonallyadjusted

    Newspaper job ads 6 months forward (lhs) Employment (rhs) Jo b a d v e r t i se m e n t s & u n e m p l o y m e n t r a t e

    3.5

    4.0

    4.5

    5.0

    5.5

    6.0

    6.5

    03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13

    Percent

    0.3

    0.7

    1.1

    1.5

    1.9

    2.3

    2.7

    Percentoflabourforce,inverted

    Unemployment rate (LHS) ANZ job ads (RHS)

    4

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    Sta te & t e r r i t o r y new spape r da taN ew S ou t h W a les

    0

    2

    4

    6

    8

    10

    12

    14

    98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13

    '000,jobadsperweek

    Seasona l ly Ad j us ted

    Trend

    Vic to r ia

    0

    1

    2

    3

    4

    5

    6

    7

    8

    9

    98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13

    '000,

    jobadsperweek

    Seasonal ly Adjusted

    Trend

    5

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    Queensland

    0.0

    0.5

    1.0

    1.5

    2.0

    2.5

    3.0

    3.5

    4.0

    98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13

    '000,

    jobadsperweek

    Seasonal ly Adjusted

    Trend

    Weste rn Aust ra l i a

    0.5

    1.0

    1.5

    2.0

    2.5

    3.0

    3.5

    4.0

    4.5

    98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13

    '000,

    jobadsperw

    eek

    Seasonal ly Adjusted

    Trend

    6

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    Sou th Aust ra l i a

    0.4

    0.6

    0.8

    1.0

    1.2

    1.4

    1.6

    1.8

    2.0

    98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13

    '000,

    jobadsperweek

    Seasonal ly Adjusted

    Trend

    Tasmania

    200

    250

    300

    350

    400

    450

    500

    550

    600

    650

    700

    98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13

    Jobadsperweek

    Seasonal ly Adjusted

    Trend

    7

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    ACT

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    800

    900

    1,000

    98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13

    Jobadsperweek

    Seasonal ly Adjusted Trend

    Nor the rn Te r r i to ry

    100

    150

    200

    250

    300

    350

    400

    450

    500

    98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13

    Jobadsperweek Seasonal ly Adjusted

    Trend

    8

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    T ab le 1 : Ave rage t o t a l num ber o f new spape r and in t e rne t j ob adve r t i semen t s pe r w eek Aus t ra l i a

    Or i g in a l Se as on a ll y a d j u st e d ( a ) Tr e n d e st i m a t e ( b )

    N um b er Nu m ber Mon t h Year ( c) Nu m ber Mo nt h Year

    2 0 0 7 - 0 8 242,109 40.9

    2 0 0 8 - 0 9 184,361 -26.5

    2 0 0 9 - 1 0 136,960 -21.8

    2 0 1 0 - 1 1 174,202 25.4

    2 0 1 1 - 1 2 166,698 -4.6

    D ec 2010 159,446 180,947 2.7 32.1 177,981 1.0 32.3

    Jan 201 1 136,440 178,182 -1.5 41.5 178,830 0.5 28.7

    Feb 201 1 167,873 176,391 -1.0 17.4 178,832 0.0 24.2M a r 2 0 1 1 173,309 178,953 1.5 16.9 178,250 -0.3 19.4

    A p r 2 0 1 1 167,124 182,437 1.9 18.3 177,275 -0.5 14.9

    M a y 2 0 1 1 163,541 169,386 -7.2 7.8 176,085 -0.7 11.0

    Ju n 2 0 1 1 168,926 175,929 3.9 8.0 174,861 -0.7 7.

    Ju l 2011 169,538 174,992 -0.5 6.5 173,419 -0.8 5.

    A u g 2 0 1 1 172,466 171,922 -1.8 2.2 171,519 -1.1 2.

    S ep 201 1 173,960 169,400 -1.5 -1.1 169,375 -1.2 -1.1

    Oct 201 1 169,921 167,769 -1.0 -3.1 167,339 -1.2 -3.8

    N o v 2 0 1 1 164,337 166,534 -0.7 -5.5 165,770 -0.9 -6.0

    D ec 2011 141,183 160,586 -3.6 -11.3 164,985 -0.5 -7.3

    Jan 201 2 125,955 163,873 2.0 -8.0 165,096 0.1 -7.7

    Feb 201 2 161,503 167,681 2.3 -4.9 165,484 0.2 -7.5

    M a r 2 0 1 2 164,169 167,663 0.0 -6.3 165,473 0.0 -7.2A p r 2 0 1 2 152,693 166,087 -0.9 -9.0 164,933 -0.3 -7.0

    M a y 2 0 1 2 157,368 161,883 -2.5 -4.4 163,501 -0.9 -7.1

    Ju n 2 0 1 2 154,592 160,232 -1.0 -8.9 160,977 -1.5 -7.9

    Ju l 201 2 154,720 158,911 -0.8 -9.2 157,525 -2.1 -9.2

    A u g 2 0 1 2 156,646 154,999 -2.5 -9.8 153,375 -2.6 -10.

    Sep 201 2 154,412 149,225 -3.7 -11.9 148,815 -3.0 -12.

    Oct 20 12 145,165 142,558 -4.5 -15.0 144,081 -3.2 -13.

    N o v 2 0 1 2 138,171 138,748 -2.7 -16.7 139,800 -3.0 -15.

    D ec 2012 119,643 134,881 -2.8 -16.0 136,040 -2.7 -17.

    Jan 201 3 103,947 133,649 -0.9 -18.4 133,022 -2.2 -19.

    Per cent change Per cent change

    8

    0

    0

    6

    1

    9

    7

    5

    4

    (a) Concurrent seasonal adjustment method (see Technical Appendix for further details).

    (b) The trend estimates have been derived by applying a 13-term Henderson moving average to the seasonally adjustedseries. This smoothing technique enables estimates to be produced for the latest month, but it also results in revisions to the

    most recent six months as additional observations become available.(c) Annual changes are on a year average basis.

    9

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    ANZ RESEARCH

    T ab le 2 : Average num ber o f new spaper j ob adve r t i sem en t s pe r week Aus t r a l i a

    Or i g in a l Se as on a ll y a d j u st e d ( a ) Tr e n d e st i m a t e ( b )

    N um b er Nu m ber Mo nt h Year ( c) N um b er Mo nt h Year

    2 0 0 7 -0 8 19,283 -3.7

    2 0 0 8 -0 9 11,187 -42.6

    2 0 0 9 -1 0 9,117 -17.3

    2 0 1 0 -1 1 9,203 0.4

    2 0 1 1 -1 2 7,724 -16.1

    Dec 2010 5,855 8,981 -5.3 -9.0 9,307 -0.5 -0.7

    Jan 20 11 7,830 9,081 1.1 5.7 9,272 -0.4 -2.2

    Feb 201 1 10,620 9,436 3.9 -3.8 9,220 -0.6 -3.2

    Mar 2011 9,807 9,363 -0.8 -4.6 9,118 -1.1 -4.2

    A p r 2 0 1 1 7,922 8,962 -4.3 -6.8 8,957 -1.8 -5.6

    May 2011 8,780 8,686 -3.1 -4.0 8,746 -2.3 -7.6

    Jun 2011 7,887 8,414 -3.1 -10.7 8,507 -2.7 -

    Ju l 2011 8,318 8,284 -1.5 -12.8 8,292 -2.5 -

    A u g 2 0 1 1 8,763 8,076 -2.5 -15.7 8,158 -1.6 -

    Sep 2011 9,329 8,122 0.6 -12.8 8,097 -0.7 -

    Oct 20 11 9,037 7,994 -1.6 -16.6 8,058 -0.5 -

    N o v 2 0 1 1 8,661 7,972 -0.3 -15.9 7,998 -0.7 -

    Dec 2011 4,853 8,132 2.0 -9.5 7,901 -1.2 -

    Jan 201 2 7,547 7,935 -2.4 -12.6 7,767 -1.7 -

    Feb 2012 8,256 7,325 -7.7 -22.4 7,610 -2.0 -

    Mar 2012 7,646 7,308 -0.2 -21.9 7,436 -2.3 -

    A p r 2 0 1 2 6,525 7,361 0.7 -17.9 7,265 -2.3 -

    May 2012 7,240 7,172 -2.6 -17.4 7,082 -2.5 -

    Jun 2012 6,510 6,938 -3.3 -17.5 6,880 -2.9 -

    Ju l 2012 6,718 6,676 -3.8 -19.4 6,636 -3.5 -

    A u g 2 0 1 2 6,810 6,283 -5.9 -22.2 6,374 -3.9 -

    Sep 201 2 6,949 6,071 -3.4 -25.3 6,103 -4.3 -

    Oct 20 12 6,600 5,846 -3.7 -26.9 5,848 -4.2 -

    Nov 2012 6,069 5,577 -4.6 -30.0 5,627 -3.8 -

    Dec 2012 3,384 5,582 0.1 -31.4 5,425 -3.6 -

    Jan 20 13 4,758 5,071 -9.2 -36.1 5,262 -3.0 -

    Per cent change Per cent change

    10.0

    12.3

    13.6

    14.3

    14.3

    14.5

    15.1

    16.2

    17.5

    18.5

    18.9

    19.0

    19.1

    20.0

    21.9

    24.6

    27.4

    29.6

    31.3

    32.2

    (a) Concurrent seasonal adjustment method (see Technical Appendix for further details).

    (b) The trend estimates have been derived by applying a 13-term Henderson moving average to the seasonally adjustedseries. While this smoothing technique enables estimates to be produced for the latest month, it does result in revisions to themost recent six months as additional observations become available.(c) Annual changes are on a year average basis.

    10

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    T ab le 3 : Ave rage number o f n ew spaper j ob adve r t i semen t s pe r w eek - S t a t es and T er r i t o r i es

    Or i g in a l Se as on a ll y a d j u st e d T r en d e st i m a t e

    N u m b e r N u m b e r M o n t h Ye a r N u m b e r M o n t h Y ea r

    New Sou th Wa les

    A u g 2 0 1 2 2,092 1,911 -5.8 -17.5 1,926 -4.2 -17.4

    Sep 201 2 2,107 1,813 -5.1 -21.0 1,814 -5.8 -20.7

    Oct 20 12 1,974 1,717 -5.2 -23.3 1,701 -6.2 -24.2

    N o v 2 0 1 2 1,686 1,553 -9.6 -30.0 1,601 -5.9 -27.0

    Dec 2012 906 1,521 -2.0 -27.9 1,510 -5.6 -29.5

    Jan 201 3 1,215 1,404 -7.7 -37.3 1,437 -4.9 -31.5

    V ic to r i a

    A u g 2 0 1 2 1,079 1,006 -8.3 -33.7 1,021 -3.2 -32.4

    Sep 201 2 1,159 1,009 0.3 -31.2 984 -3.7 -32.7

    Oct 20 12 1,040 921 -8.8 -35.2 941 -4.4 -34.2

    N o v 2 0 1 2 957 892 -3.2 -35.5 898 -4.5 -36.0

    Dec 2012 549 893 0.1 -35.4 857 -4.6 -37.8

    Jan 201 3 660 769 -13.9 -44.8 820 -4.3 -38.9

    Queens land

    A u g 2 0 1 2 701 638 -7.4 -9.6 651 -3.3 -11.3

    Sep 201 2 722 606 -4.9 -20.2 629 -3.4 -17.2

    Oct 20 12 711 606 0.0 -22.8 608 -3.3 -23.0

    N o v 2 0 1 2 648 586 -3.2 -29.7 590 -3.0 -27.3

    Dec 2012 391 643 9.6 -24.5 572 -3.0 -30.3

    Jan 201 3 475 489 -23.9 -40.0 556 -2.9 -31.7

    Sou th Aus t ra l i a

    A u g 2 0 1 2 609 577 -2.5 -17.9 580 -2.3 -17.7

    Sep 201 2 608 561 -2.7 -18.8 560 -3.4 -18.4

    Oct 20 12 590 529 -5.8 -21.6 538 -3.8 -18.9

    N o v 2 0 1 2 611 532 0.6 -14.8 519 -3.6 -18.9

    Dec 2012 298 488 -8.2 -21.5 502 -3.4 -19.0

    Jan 201 3 487 486 -0.5 -19.7 489 -2.5 -18.9

    Per cent change Per cent change

    The above data are based on information provided by the following newspapers: The Sydney Morning Herald andThe Daily Telegraph (NSW); The Age and The Herald-Sun (Victoria); The Courier-Mail (Queensland); and TheAdvertiser (South Australia).

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    Average number o f new spape r j ob adve r t i semen t s pe r w eek - St a t es and Te r r i t o r i es Or i g in a l Se as on a ll y a d j u st e d T r en d e st i m a t e

    N u m b e r N u m b e r M o n t h Y ea r N u m b e r M o n t h Y ea r

    Wes te rn Aus t ra l i a

    A u g 2 0 1 2 1,396 1,309 -3.7 -19.0 1,264 -5.8 -25.6

    Sep 201 2 1,336 1,175 -10.2 -33.9 1,193 -5.6 -30.8

    Oct 20 12 1,232 1,096 -6.7 -36.4 1,133 -5.1 -35.5

    N o v 2 0 1 2 1,109 1,013 -7.6 -42.3 1,086 -4.1 -38.8

    Dec 2012 686 1,131 11.7 -39.7 1,049 -3.4 -40.9

    Jan 201 3 1,020 1,024 -9.5 -41.7 1,022 -2.6 -41.6

    Tasman ia

    A u g 2 0 1 2 272 257 -13.8 -31.4 278 -4.1 -25.1

    Sep 201 2 296 267 3.9 -19.7 270 -3.0 -26.8

    Oct 20 12 284 253 -5.4 -34.5 266 -1.5 -28.1

    N o v 2 0 1 2 308 276 9.1 -28.2 265 -0.2 -28.4

    Dec 2012 202 283 2.9 -23.7 266 0.2 -27.7

    Jan 201 3 285 258 -9.1 -31.1 267 0.4 -25.8

    ACT

    A u g 2 0 1 2 396 363 4.6 -21.1 343 -3.2 -25.3

    Sep 20 12 407 344 -5.3 -22.1 329 -4.2 -26.1

    Oct 20 12 317 298 -13.3 -29.3 313 -4.9 -27.5

    N o v 2 0 1 2 306 286 -4.0 -31.3 298 -4.9 -28.9

    Dec 2012 152 282 -1.7 -32.9 284 -4.5 -30.2

    Jan 201 3 261 278 -1.5 -29.1 273 -3.9 -31.4

    N o r t h e r n T e r r i t o r y

    A u g 2 0 1 2 265 222 -16.1 -41.5 311 -1.9 -10.9

    Sep 20 12 315 296 32.8 -17.4 324 4.2 -10.7

    Oct 20 12 452 426 44.0 23.9 348 7.4 -7.2

    N o v 2 0 1 2 446 440 3.4 23.5 370 6.3 -3.8

    Dec 2012 199 341 -22.4 -31.7 385 3.9 -2.0

    Jan 201 3 355 365 7.0 0.7 399 3.7 -0.4

    Per cen t change Per cen t change

    The above data are based on information provided by the following newspapers: The West Australian (WesternAustralia); The Mercury, The Examiner and The Advocate (Tasmania); The Canberra Times (Australian Capital

    Territory); and The NT News (Northern Territory).

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    T ab le 4 : Average num ber o f i n t e rne t j ob adve r t i sem en t s pe r w eek Aus t ra l i a

    Or i gi n al Se aso n al ly a dj u st e d

    N um b er Nu m ber Mon t h Year ( a) Nu m ber Mo nt h Year

    2 0 0 7 - 0 8 222,825 29.7

    2 0 0 8 - 0 9 168,016 -25.2

    2 0 0 9 - 1 0 130,086 -22.1

    2 0 1 0 - 1 1 165,216 27.2

    2 0 1 1 - 1 2 158,974 -4.0

    Dec 2010 159,446 171,966 3.1 35.3 168,674 1.0 34.

    Jan 201 1 136,440 169,102 -1.7 44.1 169,557 0.5 31.

    Feb 201 1 167,873 166,955 -1.3 18.9 169,612 0.0 26.

    M ar 2 0 1 1 173,309 169,590 1.6 18.3 169,132 -0.3 21.0

    A p r 2 0 1 1 167,124 173,474 2.3 20.0 168,319 -0.5 16.2

    M ay 2011 163,541 160,700 -7.4 8.5 167,339 -0.6 12.1

    Ju n 2 0 1 1 168,926 167,515 4.2 9.2 166,354 -0.6 8.

    Ju l 2011 169,538 166,708 -0.5 7.6 165,127 -0.7 6.

    A u g 2 0 1 1 172,466 163,846 -1.7 3.3 163,361 -1.1 3.

    Sep 201 1 173,960 161,278 -1.6 -0.4 161,278 -1.3 -0.4

    Oct 201 1 169,921 159,775 -0.9 -2.3 159,281 -1.2 -3.2

    N o v 2 0 1 1 164,337 158,562 -0.8 -4.9 157,772 -0.9 -5.5

    Dec 2011 141,183 152,454 -3.9 -11.3 157,084 -0.4 -6.9

    Jan 201 2 125,955 155,939 2.3 -7.8 157,329 0.2 -7.

    Feb 201 2 161,503 160,356 2.8 -4.0 157,875 0.3 -6.

    M ar 2012 164,169 160,355 0.0 -5.4 158,037 0.1 -6.A p r 2 0 1 2 152,693 158,725 -1.0 -8.5 157,668 -0.2 -6.3

    M ay 2012 157,368 154,710 -2.5 -3.7 156,419 -0.8 -6.5

    Ju n 2 0 1 2 154,592 153,294 -0.9 -8.5 154,097 -1.5 -7.4

    Ju l 201 2 154,720 152,235 -0.7 -8.7 150,889 -2.1 -8.6

    A u g 2 0 1 2 156,646 148,716 -2.3 -9.2 147,001 -2.6 -10.

    Sep 201 2 154,412 143,155 -3.7 -11.2 142,712 -2.9 -11.

    Oct 20 12 145,165 136,712 -4.5 -14.4 138,232 -3.1 -13.

    N o v 2 0 1 2 138,171 133,171 -2.6 -16.0 134,174 -2.9 -15.

    Dec 2012 119,643 129,298 -2.9 -15.2 130,615 -2.7 -16.

    Jan 201 3 103,947 128,578 -0.6 -17.5 127,759 -2.2 -18.

    Per cent change Per cent change

    T rend es t im a t e

    8

    0

    1

    9

    1

    0

    2

    9

    6

    0

    5

    2

    0

    9

    8

    (a) Annual changes are on a year average basis.

    The internet series counts the average number of advertisements carried by each of the sites contributing to the series on the s

    day of each week in the month indicated. The day (which is not necessarily the same for each site) is selected by the site operatobroadly representative of its activity levels. The above data are based on information provided by the operators of the following s

    seek.com.au; and the Department of Education, Employment and Workplace Relations (DEWR) Australian JobSearch

    jobsearch.gov.au.

    13

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    TECHNI CAL APPENDI X

    The ANZ Job Advertisements Series now uses a concurrent seasonal adjustment methodology to derive tseasonal adjustment factors. This means that data from the current month are used in estimating season

    factors for the current and previous months. Concurrent seasonal adjustment replaced the forward facto

    methodology from the June 2010 reference month.

    The concurrent adjustment methodology uses the most recent data every month whereas the forward faapproach only used it once a year. Under concurrent adjustment, the seasonal factors will also be more

    responsive to underlying dynamic changes than forward factors.

    Concurrent adjustment can result in revisions to the seasonal factors each month to estimates for earlierperiods. However, in most instances, the only noticeable revisions will be to the seasonal adjustment fac

    for the current month, the previous month and the same month a year ago.

    The concurrent seasonal adjustment brings the ANZ Job Advertisements Series in line with the methodol

    used by the ABS for its monthly employment data.

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    a FX related publication, this publication is distributed in the United States by ANZ S (a wholly owned subsidiary of ANZ), which acceptsresponsibility for its content. Information on any securities referred to in this publication may be obtained from ANZ S upon request.Any US Person receiving this publication and wishing to effect transactions in any securities referred to in this publication

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    be reproduced, distributed or published by any recipient for any purpose. It is general information and has been prepared without takinginto account the objectives, financial situation or needs of any person. Nothing in this publication is intended to be an offer to sell, or asolicitation of an offer to buy, any product, instrument or investment, to effect any transaction or to conclude any legal act of any kind.If, despite the foregoing, any services or products referred to in this publication are deemed to be offered in the jurisdiction in which this

    publication is received or accessed, no such service or product is intended for nor available to persons resident in that jurisdiction if itwould be contradictory to local law or regulation. Such local laws, regulations and other limitations always apply with non-exclusive

    jurisdiction of local courts. Before making an investment decision, recipients should seek independent financial, legal, tax and otherrelevant advice having regard to their particular circumstances.

    The views and recommendations expressed in this publication are the authors. They are based on information known by the author andon sources which the author believes to be reliable, but may involve material elements of subjective judgement and analysis. Unlessspecifically stated otherwise: they are current on the date of this publication and are subject to change without notice; and, all price

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    statements. Actual events or results or actual performance may differ materially from those reflected or contemplated in such forwardlooking statements. All investments entail a risk and may result in both profits and losses. Foreign currency rates of exchange mayadversely affect the value, price or income of any products or services described in this publication. The products and services describedin this publication are not suitable for all investors, and transacting in these products or services may be considered risky. ANZ and itsrelated bodies corporate and affiliates, and the officers, employees, contractors and agents of each of them (including the author)(Affiliates), do not make any representation as to the accuracy, completeness or currency of the views or recommendations expressedin this publication. Neither ANZ nor its Affiliates accept any responsibility to inform you of any matter that subsequently comes to their

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