Antonio Donini - Civ-mil and the future of Humanitarian Action
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Transcript of Antonio Donini - Civ-mil and the future of Humanitarian Action
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Civ-mil and the future of Humanitarian Action
• • What has changed in
the last ten years
• What can we expect in the next ten years
•
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2
Follow the money
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 20090
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
DAC donors Non-DAC donors
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Conflict Rules!
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 20090
2
4
6
8
10
12
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
47.1%
59.2% 60.5%65.3%
77.1% 77.3% 79.5% 81.4%76.2% 75.3% 74.5%
Total humanitarian aid to conflict-affected countriesTotal humanitarian aid to non-conflict countriesTotal country-allocable humanitarian aidTotal ODA to conflict affected states as a share of total country-allocable ODA
US$
billi
on (c
onst
ant 2
008
price
s)
Source: Development Initiatives 2011 from OECD DAC data
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Limbo or Purgatory?
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Attacks relative to aid worker population in the field
0
2
4
6
8
10
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Global attack rates per 10,000
Source: Stoddard et al. 2009
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Haiti
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Pakistan: 2005 earthquake
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Pakistan: conflict displacement
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Pakistan: floods
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AfghanistanAfghanistan
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…some are giving “Humanitarian” a bad name
While the humanitarians are….
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…in their fortified aid compounds
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Where do we go from here?
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3 mega trends…
• Humanitarian assistance is up, humanitarianism is down.
• Universalism is down, sovereignty/nationalism is up
• Conflict is down, “natural” disasters are up
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The importance of principles