Annuity Formulas

download Annuity Formulas

of 26

Transcript of Annuity Formulas

  • 8/10/2019 Annuity Formulas

    1/26

    Contingent Annuity Models

    Lecture: Weeks 6-8

    Lecture: Weeks 6-8 (Math 3630) Contingent Annuity Models Fall 2009 - Valdez 1 / 26

    http://goforward/http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/10/2019 Annuity Formulas

    2/26

    Chapter summary

    Chapter summary

    Life annuities

    series of benefits paid contingent upon survival of a given lifesingle life considered

    actuarial present values (APV)

    actuarial symbols and notation

    Forms of annuitiesdiscrete - due or immediate

    payable more frequently than once a year

    continuous

    Current payment techniques APV formulas

    Chapter 6 of MQR (Cunningham, et al.)

    Lecture: Weeks 6-8 (Math 3630) Contingent Annuity Models Fall 2009 - Valdez 2 / 26

    http://find/
  • 8/10/2019 Annuity Formulas

    3/26

    (Discrete) whole life annuity-due

    (Discrete) whole life annuity-due

    Pays a benefit of a unit $1 at the beginning of each year that the

    annuitant (x) survives.The present value random variable is

    Y = aK+1

    where K, in short for Kx, is the curtate future lifetime of(x).

    The actuarial present value of the annuity:

    ax = E (Y) =E aK+1

    =

    k=0

    ak+1

    P(K=k)

    =

    k=0

    ak+1

    qk| x =

    k=0

    ak+1

    pk xqx+k

    Lecture: Weeks 6-8 (Math 3630) Contingent Annuity Models Fall 2009 - Valdez 3 / 26

    http://find/
  • 8/10/2019 Annuity Formulas

    4/26

    (Discrete) whole life annuity-due Current payment technique

    Current payment technique

    By using summation by parts, one can show that

    ax =

    k=0

    vk pk x =

    k=0

    Ek x =

    k=0

    A 1x: k

    .

    This is called current payment technique formula for computing life

    annuities.

    Summation by parts is the discrete analogue of integration by partsformula; but this formula can be proved differently (to be shown inlecture!)

    Lecture: Weeks 6-8 (Math 3630) Contingent Annuity Models Fall 2009 - Valdez 4 / 26

    (Di ) h l lif i d R l i hi h l lif i

    http://find/
  • 8/10/2019 Annuity Formulas

    5/26

    (Discrete) whole life annuity-due Relationship to whole life insurance

    Relationship to whole life insurance

    By recalling from interest theory that aK+1

    = (1 vK+1)/d, we

    have the useful relationship:

    ax = (1 Ax) /d.

    Alternatively, we write: Ax = 1 dax.

    It allows us to directly compute the variance formula:

    Var(Y) =Var

    vK+1

    /d2 =

    A2 x(Ax)2

    /d2.

    We can also use it to derive recursive relationships such as:

    ax = 1 + vE

    aKx+1

    |Kx1

    P(Kx1)

    = 1 + vpxax+1.

    Lecture: Weeks 6-8 (Math 3630) Contingent Annuity Models Fall 2009 - Valdez 5 / 26

    (Di t ) h l lif it d E l k6 1

    http://find/
  • 8/10/2019 Annuity Formulas

    6/26

    (Discrete) whole life annuity-due Example wk6.1

    Example wk6.1

    This problem is somewhat a variation of Examples 6.1 and 6.3 of

    Cunnigham et al.Suppose you are interested in valuing a whole life annuity-due issued to(95). You are given:

    i= 0.5%; and

    the following extract from a life table:x 95 96 97 98 99 100

    x 100 70 40 20 4 0

    1 Express the present value random variable for a whole life annuity-dueto (95).

    2 Calculate the expected value of this random variable.

    3 Calculate the variance of this random variable.

    Lecture: Weeks 6-8 (Math 3630) Contingent Annuity Models Fall 2009 - Valdez 6 / 26

    Temporary life annuity due

    http://find/
  • 8/10/2019 Annuity Formulas

    7/26

    Temporary life annuity-due

    (Discrete) Temporary life annuity-due

    Pays a benefit of a unit $1at the beginning of each year so long as the

    annuitant (x) survives, for up to a total ofn years, or n payments.The present value random variable is

    Y = a

    K+1, K < n

    an

    , Kn .

    The actuarial present value of the annuity:

    ax: n = E (Y) =n1

    k=0

    ak+1

    pk xqx+k+ a n pn x.

    Lecture: Weeks 6-8 (Math 3630) Contingent Annuity Models Fall 2009 - Valdez 7 / 26

    Temporary life annuity due continued

    http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/10/2019 Annuity Formulas

    8/26

    Temporary life annuity-due - continued

    - continued

    The current payment technique formula for an n-year temporary life

    annuity-due is given by:

    ax: n =n1k=0

    vk pk x.

    Recursive formula:a

    x: yx = 1 + vpx ax+1: yx1 .

    The actuarial accumulated value at the end of the term of an n-yeartemporary life annuity-due is

    sx: n =ax: n

    En x=

    n1k=0

    1

    Enk x+k,

    which is analogous to formulas for sn

    .

    Lecture: Weeks 6-8 (Math 3630) Contingent Annuity Models Fall 2009 - Valdez 8 / 26

    Temporary life annuity-due Relationship to endowment life insurance

    http://find/
  • 8/10/2019 Annuity Formulas

    9/26

    Temporary life annuity-due Relationship to endowment life insurance

    Relationship to endowment life insurance

    Note that Y = (1 Z) /d, where

    Z=

    vK+1, 0K < nvn, Kn

    is the PV r.v. for a unit of endowment insurance, payable at EOY ormaturity.

    Thus, it follows that

    ax: n =

    1Ax: n

    /d

    and the variance is

    Var (Y) =Var (Z) /d2 =

    A2 x: n

    Ax: n2

    /d2.

    Lecture: Weeks 6-8 (Math 3630) Contingent Annuity Models Fall 2009 - Valdez 9 / 26

    Deferred whole life annuity-due

    http://find/
  • 8/10/2019 Annuity Formulas

    10/26

    Deferred whole life annuity due

    Deferred whole life annuity-due

    Pays a benefit of a unit $1 at the beginning of each year while the

    annuitant (x) survives from x + n onward.

    The PV r.v. is Y =

    0, 0K < n

    an| K+1n

    , Kn .

    The APV of the annuity is

    an| x = E (Y) = En x ax+n= ax ax: n =

    k=n

    vk pk x.

    The variance ofY is given by

    Var (Y) = 2

    dv2n pn x

    ax+n a

    2x+n

    + a2n| x

    an| x

    2.

    Lecture: Weeks 6-8 (Math 3630) Contingent Annuity Models Fall 2009 - Valdez 10 / 26

    Life annuity-due with guaranteed payments

    http://find/
  • 8/10/2019 Annuity Formulas

    11/26

    y g p y

    Life annuity-due with guaranteed payments

    Consider a life annuity-due with n-year certain. Its PV r.v. is

    Y =

    a n , 0K < na

    K+1, Kn .

    APV of the annuity:

    ax: n

    = E (Y) = a n qn x+

    k=n

    aK+1

    pk xqx+k

    = a n +

    k=n

    vk pk x= a n + ax ax: n

    Guaranteed annuity plus a deferred life annuity!

    Exercise: try to find expression for the variance of the PV r.v.

    Lecture: Weeks 6-8 (Math 3630) Contingent Annuity Models Fall 2009 - Valdez 11 / 26

    Whole life annuity-immediate

    http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/10/2019 Annuity Formulas

    12/26

    y

    Whoe life annuity-immediate

    Procedures above for annuity-due can be adapted for

    annuity-immediate.Consider the whole life annuity-immediate, the PV r.v. is clearlyY =a

    K so that APV is given by

    ax= E (Y) =

    k=0

    a K pk xqx+k =

    k=1

    vk pk x.

    Relationship to life insurance:

    Y =

    1 vK

    /i=

    1(1 + i)vK+1

    /i

    leads to 1 =iax+ (1 + i)Ax.

    Interpretation of this equation - to be discussed in class.

    Lecture: Weeks 6-8 (Math 3630) Contingent Annuity Models Fall 2009 - Valdez 12 / 26

    Example wk6.2

    http://find/
  • 8/10/2019 Annuity Formulas

    13/26

    Example 6.2

    Find formulas for the:

    expectation; andvariance of the present value random variable for a temporary lifeannuity-immediate.

    See pages also for details of the derivations.

    Details to be discussed in lecture.

    Lecture: Weeks 6-8 (Math 3630) Contingent Annuity Models Fall 2009 - Valdez 13 / 26

    Life annuities with m-thly payments

    http://find/
  • 8/10/2019 Annuity Formulas

    14/26

    Life annuities with m-thly payments

    In practice, life annuities are often payable on a monthly, quarterly, or

    semi-annual basis.Consider a life annuity-due with payments made on an m-thly basis:PV r.v. is

    Y =

    mK+Jj=0

    1

    m vj/m

    = a

    (m)

    K+(J+1)/m =

    1 vK+(J+1)/m

    d(m)

    where Jrefers to the number of complete m-ths of a year lived in theyear of death, and is given by J=(T K) m.

    For example, if the observed T = 45.86 in a life annuity withquarterly payments, then the observed K= 45 and J= 3.

    Here, m= 12 for monthly, m= 4 for quarterly, and m= 2 forsemi-annual.

    Lecture: Weeks 6-8 (Math 3630) Contingent Annuity Models Fall 2009 - Valdez 14 / 26

    Life annuities with m-thly payments - continued

    http://find/
  • 8/10/2019 Annuity Formulas

    15/26

    - continued

    The APV of this annuity is

    E (Y) = a(m)x = 1

    m

    h=0

    vh/m ph/m x=1 A(m)x

    d(m) .

    Variance is

    Var (Y) =Var

    vK+(J+1)/m

    d(m)2 = A

    2 (m)x

    A

    (m)x

    2

    d(m)2 .

    Lecture: Weeks 6-8 (Math 3630) Contingent Annuity Models Fall 2009 - Valdez 15 / 26

    Life annuities with m-thly payments Important relationships

    http://find/
  • 8/10/2019 Annuity Formulas

    16/26

    Important relationships

    Here we list some important relationships regarding the lifeannuity-due withm-thly payments:

    1 =dax+ Ax =d(m)a

    (m)x + A

    (m)x

    a(m)x =

    d

    d(m)ax

    1

    d(m)

    A

    (m)x Ax

    = a

    (m)

    1 axa

    (m)

    A

    (m)x Ax

    a(m)x =1 A

    (m)

    x

    d(m) = a(m)

    a(m)

    A(m)x

    We discuss in lecture and give interpretations on these formulas.

    Lecture: Weeks 6-8 (Math 3630) Contingent Annuity Models Fall 2009 - Valdez 16 / 26

    Life annuities with m-thly payments UDD assumption

    http://find/
  • 8/10/2019 Annuity Formulas

    17/26

    UDD assumption

    If deaths are assumed to have uniform distribution in each year of

    age, S is uniform on (0, 1) so that Jis uniform also on the integers{0, 1,...,m 1}.

    Then we have the following relationship:

    a(m)x = a(m)1 axs(m)

    1

    1

    d(m)

    Ax

    Interpretation can be given on this formula.

    Lecture: Weeks 6-8 (Math 3630) Contingent Annuity Models Fall 2009 - Valdez 17 / 26

    Life annuities with m-thly payments Alternative expressions

    http://find/
  • 8/10/2019 Annuity Formulas

    18/26

    Alternative expressions

    Other expressions for the life annuity-due payable m-thly:

    a(m)x =s

    (m)

    1 a

    (m)

    1 ax s

    (m)

    1 1d(m)

    a(m)x = (m) ax (m) where

    (m) = s

    (m)

    1 a

    (m)

    1 =

    i

    i(m)

    d

    d(m)

    (m) =s(m)

    1 1

    d(m) =

    i i(m)

    i(m)d(m)

    a(m)x = a

    (m)

    1 ax (m) Ax

    a(m)x = ax

    m 1

    2m [very widely used]

    Use Taylors series expansion to derive some of these formulas.

    Lecture: Weeks 6-8 (Math 3630) Contingent Annuity Models Fall 2009 - Valdez 18 / 26

    (Continuous) whole life annuity

    http://find/
  • 8/10/2019 Annuity Formulas

    19/26

    (Continuous) whole life annuity

    A life annuity payable continuously at the rate of one unit per year.

    One can think of it as life annuity payable m-thly per year, withm .

    The PV r.v. is Y = aT

    where T is the future lifetime of(x).

    The APV of the annuity:

    ax = E (Y) = E

    aT

    =

    0

    aT

    pt xx+tdt

    =

    0

    vt pt xdt=

    0

    Et x dt

    Lecture: Weeks 6-8 (Math 3630) Contingent Annuity Models Fall 2009 - Valdez 19 / 26

    (Continuous) whole life annuity - continued

    http://find/
  • 8/10/2019 Annuity Formulas

    20/26

    - continued

    One can also write expressions for the cdf and pdf ofY in terms of

    the cdf and pdf ofT.Recursive relation: ax = ax: 1 + vpxax+1

    Variance expression: Var

    aT

    =

    A2 x

    Ax

    2

    /2.

    Relationship to whole life insurance: Ax= 1 ax.Check out Example 5.2.1 where we have constant force of mortalityand constant force of interest.

    Lecture: Weeks 6-8 (Math 3630) Contingent Annuity Models Fall 2009 - Valdez 20 / 26

    Temporary life annuity

    http://goforward/http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/10/2019 Annuity Formulas

    21/26

    Temporary life annuity

    A (continuous) n-year temporary life annuity pays 1 per year

    continuously while (x) survives during the next n years.

    The PV random variable is Y =

    a

    T, 0T < n

    a n , T n .

    The APV of the annuity:

    ax: n = E (Y) =

    n0

    at pt xx+tdt=

    n0

    vt pt xdt.

    Recursive formula: ax: yx

    = ax: 1

    + vpx ax+1: yx1 .

    To derive variance, one way to get explicit form is to note thatY = (1 Z) /where Z is the PV r.v. for an n-year endowment ins.[details to be provided in class.]

    Lecture: Weeks 6-8 (Math 3630) Contingent Annuity Models Fall 2009 - Valdez 21 / 26

    Deferred whole life annuity

    http://goforward/http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/10/2019 Annuity Formulas

    22/26

    Deferred whole life annuity

    Pays a benefit of a unit $1 each year continuously while the annuitant(x) survives from x + n onward.

    The PV r.v. is

    Y =

    0, 0T < nvna

    Tn, T n =

    0, 0 T < na

    Tn a n , T n

    .

    The APV [expected value ofY] of the annuity is

    an| x = En x ax = ax ax: n =

    nvt pt xdt.

    The variance ofY is given by

    Var (Y) =2

    v2n pn x

    ax+n a

    2x+n

    an| x

    2.

    Lecture: Weeks 6-8 (Math 3630) Contingent Annuity Models Fall 2009 - Valdez 22 / 26

    Special mortality laws

    http://find/
  • 8/10/2019 Annuity Formulas

    23/26

    Special mortality laws

    Just as in the case of life insurance valuation, we can derive niceexplicit forms for life annuity formulas in the case where mortality

    follows:

    constant force (or Exponential distribution); or

    De Moivres law (or Uniform distribution).

    Try deriving some of these formulas. You can approach them in a

    couple of ways:

    Know the results for the life insurance case, and then use therelationships between annuities and insurances.

    You can always derive it from first principles, usually working with the

    current payment technique.

    Lecture: Weeks 6-8 (Math 3630) Contingent Annuity Models Fall 2009 - Valdez 23 / 26

    Whole life annuity with guaranteed payments

    http://find/
  • 8/10/2019 Annuity Formulas

    24/26

    Whole life annuity with guaranteed payments

    Consider a (continuous) whole life annuity with a guarantee ofpayments for the first n years. Its PV r.v. is

    Y =

    a n , 0T na

    T, T > n

    .

    APV of the annuity:

    ax: n

    = a n qn x+

    n

    at pt xx+tdt

    = a n +

    n

    vt pt xdt= a n + ax ax: n .

    Guaranteed annuity plus a deferred life annuity!

    Exercise: try to find expression for the variance of the PV r.v.

    Lecture: Weeks 6-8 (Math 3630) Contingent Annuity Models Fall 2009 - Valdez 24 / 26

    Life annuities with varying benefits

    http://find/
  • 8/10/2019 Annuity Formulas

    25/26

    Life annuities with varying benefits

    Some of these are discussed in details in Section 6.5 of MQR.

    You may try to remember to special symbols used, especially if thevariation is a fixed unit of $1 (either increasing or decreasing).

    The most important thing to remember is to apply similar concept of

    discounting with life taught in the life insurance case (note: thisworks only for valuing actuarial present values):

    work with drawing the benefit payments as a function of time; and

    use then your intuition to derive the desired results.

    Lecture: Weeks 6-8 (Math 3630) Contingent Annuity Models Fall 2009 - Valdez 25 / 26

    http://goforward/http://find/http://goback/
  • 8/10/2019 Annuity Formulas

    26/26