Annual & Special Meeting June 15, 2016 - panorient.ca & Special Meeting June 15, 2016 . ......
Transcript of Annual & Special Meeting June 15, 2016 - panorient.ca & Special Meeting June 15, 2016 . ......
Page 02
© 2011 Pan Orient Energy Corp.
Cautionary Statement
This presentation contains forward looking statements which involve subjective judgment and analysis and are
subject to significant uncertainties, risks and contingencies including those risk factors associated with the oil and
gas industry, many of which are outside the control of and may be unknown to Pan Orient. No representation,
warranty or assurance, express or implied, is given or made in relation to any forward looking statement. In particular,
no representation, warranty or assumption, express or implied, is given in relation to any underlying assumption or
that any forward looking statement will be achieved. Actual and future events may vary materially from the forward
looking statements and the assumptions on which the forward looking statements were based.
Given these uncertainties, readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on such forward looking statements, and
should rely on their own independent enquiries, investigations and advice regarding information contained in this
presentation. Any reliance by a reader on the information contained in this presentation is wholly at the reader’s own
risk.
Readers are cautioned that well test results are not necessarily indicative of long-term performance or of ultimate
recovery.
Pan Orient and its related bodies corporate and affiliates and their respective directors, partners, employees, agents
and advisors disclaim any liability for any direct, indirect or consequential loss or damages suffered by a person or
persons as a result of relying on any statement in, or omission from, this presentation. Subject to any continuing
obligations under applicable law or any relevant listing rules of the TSX-V, Pan Orient disclaims any obligation or
undertaking to disseminate any updates or revisions to any forward looking statements in this presentation to reflect
any change in expectations in relation to any forward looking statements or any such change in events, conditions or
circumstances on which any such statements were based.
Page 03
© 2011 Pan Orient Energy Corp.
Corporate Summary
Financial
Common Shares Outstanding (TSX:POE) @ Jun15-2016 54.9 million
Insider Holdings 7.0%
Total Long-term Debt nil
Enterprise Value @$1.40/Share $76.9 million
Q1/16 Funds Flow used in operations (including share of Thailand) $2.1 million
Q1/16 Return of Capital to Shareholders of $0.40/share $22.0 million
March 31, 2016 Working Capital & Non-current Deposits $53.2 million ($0.97/share)
Reserves1 & Values PV10 and Prospective Resources2 (Excluding Sawn Lake SAGD)
Thailand Concession L53 Proved + Probable (“2P”) December 31, 2015 0.6 million barrels
NPV10 @ Tax $13.1 million ($0.24/share)
Indonesia East Jabung PSC Unrisked Mean Prospective Resources 123 million barrels recoverable
Indonesia Batu Gajah PSC Akeh-1 discovery to be evaluated
Notes:
1. Thailand oil reserves of Pan Orient Energy (Siam) Ltd. (“POS”) at December 31, 2015 evaluated by Sproule International Limited.
Value shown here reflects POE’s 50.01% ownership in POS.
2. Indonesia East Jabung Prospective Resources as at June 30, 2015 evaluated by Gaffney, Cline & Associates (Consultants) Pte.
Ltd. from three reservoir horizons. Refer additional information in the presentation.
Page 04
© 2011 Pan Orient Energy Corp.
Asset Summary
Batu Gajah PSC Indonesia (POE 77% & Operator)
Three existing hydrocarbon discoveries at Batu Gajah PSC in Indonesia
– Akeh-1 drilled & tested by POE in 2015 @ an average of 6.8MMcfg/d + 269 barrels condensate per day
– North Tuba Obi-1 drilled by POE in 2011 encountered 3m of net gas pay with possible underlying oil leg
– Manismata-1 (Takar prospect) drilled by Shell in 1988 encountered approximately 35 meters of gas pay in
shallow ABF sands in addition to deeper gas pay in the LTAF zone
East Jabung PSC Indonesia (POE 49% Repsol Operator)
Carried for at least one key exploration well at East Jabung PSC in Indonesia in Q4/16:
– The best fiscal terms in Indonesia with a 65%/35% for oil and 60%/40% for natural gas (after tax & cost
recovery) split in favor of the Government of Indonesia after POE recovers its costs
– Carried on a second well to cost cap of US$5 million if success in the first well
– Onshore with low drilling & development costs
– Very experienced operator in the region with nearby existing infrastructure (Talisman – “Repsol”)
L53 Thailand (POE 50% & Operator)
235 BOPD of low cost oil production onshore Thailand that will be used to fund material exploration upside at the A
North Central (East) Prospect, with drilling anticipated in Q4/16
Sawn Lake Canada (Andora Operator - owned 72.1% by POE)
A SAGD bitumen pilot at Sawn Lake that performed at tier 1 SAGD production rates & ISOR metrics that was
substantially above the third party engineering well performance estimate for the “best case” contingent resources.
Note: Production results to date are not necessarily indicative of long-term performance or of ultimate recovery. The Sawn Lake demonstration
project in Alberta and the Akeh prospect in Indonesia have not yet proven that it is commercially viable.
Page 05
© 2011 Pan Orient Energy Corp.
Focus 2016-2017
Continue to De-Risk
Portfolio & Maintain
Strong Balance Sheet
Establish Production in
Indonesia
Add Material Value
Through the Drill Bit
Define Sawn Lake Value
Manage SE Asian Portfolio
• Seeking partner for Indonesia Batu Gajah PSC
(with the Akeh discovery)
• 51% of Indonesia East Jabung PSC exploration
well cost will be carried by partner up to a cap of
US$10 million
• CDN $53.2 million estimated current working
capital & non-current deposits March 31, 2016
• Akeh appraisal – Indonesia Batu Gajah PSC
drilling Q4/2016
• Indonesia East Jabung PSC exploration drilling
Q4/2016
•Thailand Concession L53 exploration drilling Q3/16
– Q1/17 with up to two exploration wells
• SAGD pilot completed & updated reservoir model
& resource report utilizing these results underway
•Application for potential expansion to six wellpair
/3200 BOPD development submitted April 29, 2016
• Stable Asian M&A environment despite low oil
prices
•The company seeks at all times to extract the
maximum value from any asset at the most
opportune time as market conditions allow
Page 06
© 2011 Pan Orient Energy Corp.
INDONESIA
Akeh-1 tested at an estimated
6.8MMcfg per day & 269 barrels
of condensate per day
(“BCPD”)
Page 07
© 2011 Pan Orient Energy Corp.
East Jabung PSC, Indonesia
Gas Fields
Oil Fields
Gas Condensate Fields
Prospects
Leads
• East Jabung PSC (POE 49% & Non Operator)
• Large resource potential
• Repsol (Talisman) Operator
• 65% GOI /35% POE profit split on oil
best in Indonesia
• 60% GOI /40% POE profit split on gas
• Anggun-1 prospect drilling Q4 2016
East Jabung
Prospect
Sumatra
Page 08
© 2011 Pan Orient Energy Corp.
East Jabung Summary
LTAF Max: 188 kms2
BRF A Max: 86.5 kms2
BRF B Max 27 kms2
Gumai Max: 121 kms2
Reservoir Prospective Resources
(MMbbls POE Net )
GCos
Low Best High Pmean
Intra ABF 6.6 28.6 141.3 43.6 0.20
Gumai 4.0 17.5 104.1 28.3 0.11
Batu Raja 5.6 28.9 171.4 51.0 0.26
Total
Unrisked
16.2 73 416.8 122.9
• NI51-101 compliant Prospective
Resource estimates completed by GCA
as at June 30 2015 (see also page 6 of
Pan Orient’s December 31, 2015 MD&A)
• No resources were estimated for the
LTAF at the time of the GCA resource
report as the target was poorly imaged
at that time
• Recent 2D reprocessing indicates a
thick LTAF sand and shale sequence
overlying basement with a maximum
structural closure of 188 km2 in areal
extent
Basement Depth Structure
Page 09
© 2011 Pan Orient Energy Corp.
East Jabung Geo-Section
EAST KETALING
Field
CANTIK-1
• Cantik-1 is the first exploration drilling location
selected
• Location and road construction is planned to
commence in September with drilling planned to
commence in December 2016
• A combination of gas + liquids is possible at all
target levels
East Jabung PSC POE 49% WI
ABF
Gumai
BRF
LTAF
Basement Source
Kitchen
A A’
A
A’
Basement Depth Structure
CANTIK-1
10 km
Page 010
© 2011 Pan Orient Energy Corp.
Batu Gajah PSC
Gas Fields
Oil Fields
Gas Condensate Fields
Prospects
Pan Orient 3D Seismic 2013
Wells Drilled (POE)
East Jabung PSC
POE 100%
Akeh-1
Rafa
Kemala
Raka
Takar
Sogo Utara
Batu Gajah PSC, Indonesia
Batu Gajah PSC after
last relinquishment
Gas Fields
Oil Fields
Gas Condensate Fields
Prospects
2D Seismic
3D Seismic
Batu Gajah PSC (POE 77% & Operator)
• Three hydrocarbon discoveries:
• Akeh-1 (gas over oil)
• NTO-1 (gas over possible oil)
• Takar (gas)
• Four additional prospects
• 85% GOI / 15% POE profit split on oil
after 100% cost recovery
• 70% GOI /30% POE profit split on
gas after 100% cost recovery
NTO
Page 011
© 2011 Pan Orient Energy Corp.
Akeh Discovery - Batu Gajah PSC
• Akeh Discovery:
– Akeh-1 tested an average of
6.8MMcfg/d + 269 BCPD from the
LTAF A sand
– Adjacent to existing PetroChina
operated production & recent oil,
gas & condensate discovery
(Selong-1) in adjacent Lemang
PSC
– PSC expires January 2017,
seeking a two year extension to
prove the commerciality and
approve the development of the
Akeh discovery
– Akeh-2 appraisal well planned for
Q4/2016
– Currently seeking a partner
Marmo Field
4MMbbls1
2.2km2
North Betara Field
11MMbbls1
3.2km2
Akeh LTAF
A1 Oil
Batu Gajah
PSC Outline
Notes:
1. Source Wood Mackenzie
790 bopd
LTAF A Oil
4.6 km2
LTAF A & A1 Sand Summary
LTAF A1 Oil
1.7 km2
LTAF A Gas
2.2 km2
Akeh LTAF
A1 Gas
Akeh LTAF
A2 Oil
AKEH-1
1 Source: Wood Mackenzie
Research
Page 012
© 2011 Pan Orient Energy Corp.
Proposed Akeh-2
• Akeh-2 will be drilled directionally from one
of three cellars on the existing Akeh-1 well
pad
• The well will be targeting gas + condensate
in the UTAF & LTAF A and oil in the LTAF
A1
• Estimated cost of $7CDN million to drill
and test
• Drilling anticipated to commence in
Q4/2016
North Akeh-2
Surface
South
Well Path
UTAF
LTAF A
LTAF A1
Estimated oil/water
contact
Page 014
© 2011 Pan Orient Energy Corp.
Jan2015
Feb2015
Mar2015
Apr2015
May2015
June2015
Jul2015
Aug2015
Sep2015
Oct2015
Nov2015
Dec2015
Jan2016
Feb2016
Mar2016
Apr2016
OIL sale per day (BBL/day) 467 440 469 481 460 634 473 545 782 910 919 700 577 539 496 490
Operating Cost (per BOE)$USD/BBL
11.0 11.2 9.5 13.6 10.1 8.5 10.0 9.2 6.5 5.5 6.2 7.8 8.2 7.3 7.6 7.9
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
Aver
age
oil sale
per
day (
BB
L/d
ay)
Average gross oil sales (POE 50% & Operator) per day (BBL/day) vs Operating cost per barrel ($USD/bbl)
Opex per bbl
($USD/bbl)
Opex costs exclude:
• Oil trucking.
• Government royalty
• BKK G&A.
L53 Production and OPEX
Page 015
© 2011 Pan Orient Energy Corp.
$15 $20 $25 $30 $35 $40 $45 $50 $55 $60 $65 $70
AVG oil sale (BOPD) Break event point inApr
1,195 696 491 379 309 260 225 198 177 160 146 134
1,195
696
491
379
309 260
225 198 177 160 146 134
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
1,100
1,200
Oil sale
bbl/day
AVG gross oil sales (BOPD) Break event point
Note: Using latest POS price discount to Brent of ~24% as per Apr-16 oil sale report.
Breakeven Point Chart
Brent oil price $/bbl
We are here.
Currently oil sale 470 BOPD
Brent oil price USD $50/bbl.
Page 016
© 2011 Pan Orient Energy Corp.
L53 Prospective Resources
Prospects
Prospects (drilled)
Oil window
Dry Hole
5 km.
L53D PA
L53A PA
L53G PA
PTTE
P
New 3D
L53/48
West A-A4
A1 (“ANC”)
West A5-A7
South B1-B4A
Prospect Most likely closure (km2)
WEST_A1-A4 2.01
WEST_A5 0.78
WEST_A6 1.20
WEST_A6A 0.50
WEST_A7 4.20
SOUTH_B1 2.01
SOUTH_B2 0.77 SOUTH_B3 0.55
SOUTH_B4 0.89
SOUTH_B4A 2.79
A1_AAA (inclusive of AA+BB) tested by ANC-E1
1.7
A1_CC 0.31
A1_DD 0.86
A1_EE 0.63
A1_FF 0.62
2016 Drilling Candidates (up to
2 of the 3 highlighted
prospects)
Page 017
© 2011 Pan Orient Energy Corp.
A North East Prospect
ANE (New Well) Max closure: 4.9km2
• ANC-1 encountered thick immature sands with oil
shows at the basin margin.
• ANC-E1 is a larger closure in a more basinal
position which is anticipated to encounter better
quality reservoir & access to oil charge
ANC-E1
Exploration Well
ANC-1
Dry Hole A’
A A’
A
U-Thong Field
4.5MMbbls
1.5km2
ANC E Prospect
4.9km2 Max
POE
PTTEP ANC-E1
Barrier to oil
migration??
Oil Migration
Page 018
© 2011 Pan Orient Energy Corp.
Capital-Drilling Schedule 2016
Notes:
1. Akeh-2 appraisal well costs include testing of three zones and coring. POE is currently seeking a
partner for Batu Gajah PSC
2. The cost of the first East Jabung PSC exploration well Cantik-1 will be borne entirely by POE’s
partner up to a cap of US$10 million.
3. Thailand Concession L53 A North East exploration planned for late 2016 with location
construction to commence in July 2016
4. Location construction for a second Concession L53 exploration well is planned to commence in
Q3 2016 with drilling possible prior to year end 2016
A North East Exploration
Well L53 Thailand
Capital Q3/2016 Q1/17 Q3/2017 Q4/2016 Well/Area
East Jabung Exploration well
1 additional exploration
Well L53 Thailand
Q2/17
Akeh-2 Appraisal Well
Batu Gajah Indonesia
Range of timing of commencement of drilling – Firm Wells
Range of timing of commencement of drilling – Contingent Wells
$7MMcdn1
$02
$1.2MMcdn3
$1.2MMcdn4
Firm 2016: $8.2MMcdn
Contingent 2016: $1.2MMcdn
Page 019
© 2011 Pan Orient Energy Corp.
Sawn Lake, Alberta, Canada
• Andora Energy Corporation has interests in 88 sections of oil sand leases
• Pan Orient Energy Corp. owns 71.8% of Andora
• 154 million barrels of 2C contingent resources attributed to Pan Orient’s 71.8% ownership of Andora (Andora has 214 million barrels)
• Demonstration project commenced with drilling in 2013, first stream injection in May 2014 and bitumen production September 2014 to February 2016.
Sawn Lake High Best Low
Millions of barrels of
Bitumen - SAGD 180 154 140
NPV (10) before Tax
CDN$ millions 445 337 259
Sawn Lake Contingent Resources at December 31, 2014 (Pan Orient’s 71.8%)
Red
Earth
T79
R1
W5
R24 T98
Husky
Baytex
5th
Meridia
n
Shell
Penn
West
Sawn Lake
Koch
Page 020
© 2011 Pan Orient Energy Corp.
Andora’s Oil Sands Leases
Sawn Lake North
• 10% of 51 sections (non-operated)
• 100% of 9 sections
• 1.5 MMbbls “Best Case” contingent
resources net to Andora Dec31-2014
Sawn Lake Central
• 50% of 12 sections
• Designated Operator
• 138.7 MMbbls “Best Case” contingent
resources net to Andora Dec31-2014
• SAGD Demonstration Project at 7-30-
91-12W5
Sawn Lake South
• 100% of 16 sections
• 74.1 MMbbls “Best Case” contingent
resources net to Andora Dec31-2014
Andora holds varying interests in 88 sections of oil sands
leases. Pan Orient Energy Corp. owns 71.8% of Andora
Page 022
© 2011 Pan Orient Energy Corp.
Sawn Lake Pilot Summary
• Steady state bitumen production in January and February 2016 averaged of 615 barrels BOPD
(307 BOPD net to Andora) with an average instantaneous steam-oil ratio (“ISOR”) of 2.1 from the
one SAGD wellpair.
• Substantially exceeded expectations from the December 31, 2014 contingent resources report
which assigned gross averages of:
• Low Case of 242 BOPD with an ISOR of 5.7;
• Best Case of 345 BOPD with an ISOR of 4:
• High Case of 449 BOPD with an ISOR of 3.1
• Demonstrated the SAGD process works in the Blue Sky reservoir and provided key data for future
well and facility design.
• Since production commenced in September 2014, the Western Canada Select reference price per
barrel declined from $81.87 to $22.49 in February 2016; as a result the project suspended March 1,
2016.
Note: Production results to date are not necessarily indicative of long-term performance or of ultimate recovery and the Sawn Lake
demonstration project has not yet proven that it is commercially viable.
Page 024
© 2011 Pan Orient Energy Corp.
Sawn Lake Performance
Tier 1
Projects
Sawn Lake
Sources: Peters and Co. Limited and GeoScout, McDaniel and Associates (Current SOR Q4 2014)
Instantaneous Steam Oil Ratio (iSOR)
Avera
ge W
ellp
air
Pro
du
cti
vit
y (
bb
l/d
)
Page 025
© 2011 Pan Orient Energy Corp.
Sawn Lake Next Steps
• During the next 12 months Andora will move forward with steps which allow for potential future
development at Sawn Lake including:
Complete Sawn Lake reservoir modeling and an updated contingent resource report that
incorporates the results of the demonstration project.
Advance the proprietary technology for the Thermal System and Process for Producing Steam
from Oilfield Produced Water (Canadian patent granted June 16, 2015). The Company
believes that this technology could achieve significant benefits in SAGD field development.
• An application for a potential expansion to 3,200 BOPD submitted April 29, 2016. Reactivation of
demonstration project facility and wellpair would be considered as part of a potential commercial
expansion.
• The timing of an expansion will be dependent upon regulatory approval, completion of detailed
engineering and a higher commodity price environment to support project economics and financing.