annex3-2

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National Transmission and Despatch Company Limited National Transmission and Despatch Company Limited National Power System Expansion Plan 2011 - 2030 Final Report Annexure 3: Transmission Plan Annexure 3: Transmission Plan 504760-01-A3 2011 SNC-Lavalin International Inc Prepared by SNC Lavalin International Inc. in association with National Engineering Services Pakistan (PVT) Limited

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NTDC expansion plan

Transcript of annex3-2

  • National Transmission and Despatch Company Limited National Transmission and Despatch Company Limited

    National Power System Expansion Plan

    2011 - 2030

    Final ReportAnnexure 3: Transmission PlanAnnexure 3: Transmission Plan

    504760-01-A32011

    SNC-Lavalin International Inc

    Prepared by

    SNC Lavalin International Inc.in association with

    National Engineering Services Pakistan (PVT) Limited

  • 504760 2011 SNC-Lavalin Inc. All rights reserved T&D Division Confidential

    NOTICE This document contains the expression of the professional opinion of SNC-Lavalin Inc. (SLI) as to the matters set out herein, using its professional judgment and reasonable care. It is to be read in the context of the agreement dated October 4, 2010 (the Agreement) between SLI and National Transmission and Despatch Company (the Client), and the methodology, procedures and techniques used, SLIs assumptions, and the circumstances and constraints under which its mandate was performed. This document is written solely for the purpose stated in the Agreement, and for the sole and exclusive benefit of the Client, whose remedies are limited to those set out in the Agreement. This document is meant to be read as a whole, and sections or parts thereof should thus not be read or relied upon out of context. Unless expressly stated otherwise, assumptions, data and information supplied by, or gathered from other sources (including the Client, other consultants, testing laboratories and equipment suppliers, etc.) upon which SLIs opinion as set out herein is based has not been verified by SLI; SLI makes no representation as to its accuracy and disclaims all liability with respect thereto.

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    LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS AND DEFINITIONS Abbreviations: ADB Asian Development Bank

    AEDB Alternative Energy Development Board

    cct-km Circuit-kilometre

    Consultant SNC-Lavalin, Transmission and Distribution Group

    DISCO Distribution Company

    DSM Demand Side Management

    GDP Gross Domestic Product

    GENCO Generation Company

    HPP Hydel (or Hydro) Power Project

    HSFO High-Sulphur Furnace Oil

    HVAC High Voltage Alternating Current

    HVDC High Voltage Direct Current

    IEEE Institute of Electrical and Electronic Engineers

    kA Kilo-ampere

    KESC Karachi Electric Supply Company

    km Kilometre

    KPT Karachi Port Trust

    kV Kilovolt

    MMcfd Million cubic feet per day

    MOU Memorandum of Understanding

    MT Metric Tonnes

    MTOE Million Tons of Oil Equivalent

    MVA Mega volt-amperes

    MWh Megawatt-hour or 1,000 kilowatt-hours

    NEPRA National Electric Power Regulatory Authority

    NESPAK National Engineering Services Pakistan (Pvt) Limited

    NPP National Power Plan, prepared by Acres International Limited in 1994

    NTDC National Transmission and Despatch Company

    OGDCL Oil and Gas Development Company Limited

    P.P. Power Project

    PAEC Pakistan Atomic Energy Commission

    PARCO Pak-Arab Refining Company

    PEPCO Pakistan Electric Power Company

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    PPIB Private Power and Infrastructure Board

    PPL Pakistan Petroleum Limited

    PQA Port Qasim Authority

    PSO Pakistan State Oil

    PSS/E Power System Simulation

    RFO Residual Furnace Oil

    SIL Surge Impedance Load

    SNGPL Sui Northern Gas Pipeline Limited

    SSGCL Sui Southern Gas Company Limited

    SYPCO Generation planning software (System Production Costing)

    TAVANIR The Iranian Electric Utility

    WAPDA Water and Power Development Authority

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    TABLE OF CONTENTS

    NTDC TRANSMISSION EXPANSION PLAN

    1 OBJECTIVES .................................................................................................................. 12 PLANNING AND PERFORMANCE CRITERIA .............................................................. 13 TYPICAL CHARACTERISTICS OF NTDC LONGITUDINAL NETWORK ...................... 34 APPROACH AND METHODOLOGY .............................................................................. 5

    4.1 Inputs ........................................................................................................................ 5

    4.2 Development of Study Cases ................................................................................... 5

    5 DETERMINATION OF FUTURE NEEDS OF 500/220 KV & 220/132 KV GRID STATIONS ....................................................................................................................... 7

    5.1 Load Forecast ........................................................................................................... 7

    5.2 Needs of 500/220 kV and 220/132 kV Grid Stations till 2020/21 .............................. 7

    5.3 Needs of 500/220 kV and 220/132 kV Grid Stations from 2020/21 to 2029/30 ........ 8

    6 TRANSMISSION EXPANSION UP TO 2016-17 ............................................................. 96.1 Expansion Scheme ................................................................................................... 9

    6.2 Power Dispersal Projects: Till 2016-17 ..................................................................... 9

    6.3 Power Import Projects: Till 2016-17 ...................................................................... 11

    6.4 New Grid Stations of 500/220 kV at Load Centers: Till 2016-17 ............................ 11

    6.5 New Grid Stations of 220/132 kV at Load Centers: Till 2016-17 ............................ 12

    6.6 Load Flow Results of the year 2016-17 .................................................................. 14

    7 TRANSMISSION EXPANSION FROM 2016-17 TO 2020-21 ....................................... 167.1 Expansion Scheme ................................................................................................. 16

    7.1.1 Power Dispersal Projects: 2016-17 to 2020-21 .................................................. 17

    7.1.2 New 500/220 kV Grid Stations at Load Centers: 2016-17 to 2020-21 ................ 20

    7.1.3 New 220/132 kV Grid Stations at Load Centers: 2016-17 to 2020-21 ................ 21

    7.1.4 New Transmission Lines for System Reinforcements Required for Normal and N-1 Contingency Conditions: 2016-17 to -2020-21 ................................................. 22

    7.1.5 Augmentations and Extensions at 500/220 kV and 220/132 kV Grid Stations: 2016-17 to -2020-21 ............................................................................................ 22

    7.2 Load Flow Results of the year 2020-21 .................................................................. 22

    8 TRANSMISSION EXPANSION FROM 2021-22 TO 2025-26 ....................................... 268.1 Expansion Scheme ................................................................................................. 26

    8.1.1 Power Dispersal Projects: 2021-22 to 2025-26 .................................................. 26

    8.1.2 New 500/220 kV Grid Stations and Related Transmission Lines of 500 kV: 2021-22 to 2025-26 ...................................................................................................... 29

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    8.1.3 New 220/132 kV Grid Stations and Related Transmission Lines of 220 kV: 2021-22 to 2025-26 ...................................................................................................... 30

    8.1.4 New Transmission Lines for System Reinforcements Required for Normal and N-1 Contingency Conditions: 2021-22 to 2025-26 .................................................. 32

    8.1.5 Augmentations and Extensions at 500/220 kV and 220/132 kV Grid ................. 33

    8.2 Load Flow Results of the year 2025-26 .................................................................. 34

    9 TRANSMISSION EXPANSION FROM 2026-27 TO 2029-30 ....................................... 389.1 Expansion Scheme ................................................................................................. 38

    9.1.1 Power Dispersal Projects: 2026-27 to 2029-30 .................................................. 38

    9.1.2 New 500/220 kV Grid Stations and Related Transmission Lines of 500 kV: 2026-27 to 2030 ........................................................................................................... 40

    9.1.3 New 220/132 kV Grid Stations and Related Transmission Lines of 500 kV: 2026-27 to 2030 .................................................................................................. 40

    9.1.4 New Transmission Lines for System Reinforcements Required for Normal and N-1 Contingency Conditions: 2026-27 to 2030 ....................................................... 41

    9.1.5 Augmentations and Extensions at 500/220 kV and 220/132 kV Grid 2026-27 to 2030 .................................................................................................................... 41

    9.2 Load Flow Results of the year 2030 ....................................................................... 42

    10 SHORT CIRCUIT ANALYSIS ........................................................................................ 4910.1 Significance of Short Circuit Analysis ..................................................................... 49

    10.2 Methodology and Assumptions for Maximum Fault Current Calculations .............. 49

    10.3 Fault Current Calculations of the year 2020 ........................................................... 51

    10.4 Fault Current Calculations of the year 2030 ........................................................... 52

    11 TRANSIENT STABILITY STUDIES .............................................................................. 5511.1 Stability Studies for the year 2020 .......................................................................... 56

    11.2 Stability Studies for the year 2030 .......................................................................... 58

    11.3 General Conclusions of Stability Studies ................................................................ 61

    12 COST ESTIMATE OF TRANSMISSION EXPANSION ................................................. 6112.1 Total requirement (BOQs) between 2017 and 2030 ............................................... 61

    12.2 Total Cost ............................................................................................................... 62

    13 CONCLUSIONS & RECOMMENDATIONS .................................................................. 62

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    LIST OF FIGURES

    Figure 3-1 Existing/Committed 500/220 kV System ........................................................... 4

    Figure 9-1 500/220 kV System in the Ultimate Year 2030 ................................................ 48

    LIST OF APPENDICES

    Appendix-1: Input Data

    Appendix-2: Load Flow Study Results for year 2016-17

    Appendix-3: Load Flow Study Results for year 2020-21

    Appendix-4: Load Flow Study Results for year 2025-26

    Appendix-5: Load Flow Study Results for year 2030

    Appendix-6: Short Circuit Study Results for year 2020

    Appendix-7: Short Circuit Study Results for year 2030

    Appendix-8: Stability Study Results for year 2020

    Appendix-9: Stability Study Results for year 2030

    Appendix-10: Transmission Expansion Schedule

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    NTDC TRANSMISSION EXPANSION PLAN

    1 OBJECTIVES

    The transmission expansion plan for NTDC has been developed to fulfil the following

    objectives:

    To ensure that the planned generation expansion can be delivered to the major load centres throughout the country

    To identify any requirements (technical and/or economic) that might require the introduction of any new voltage levels and/or transmission types into the existing

    transmission network

    To determine the reinforcements required in the transmission network to meet the growing demand of the load centres by developing new grid stations and their

    associated transmission lines at 500 kV and 220 kV levels interconnecting with the

    transmission lines emanating from the proposed power plants.

    To fulfill the reliability criteria of NTDC Grid Code approved by NEPRA in terms of acceptable voltage, frequency, loading of lines and transformers for normal (N-0) and

    contingency (N-1) conditions both under disturbed dynamic/transient conditions and

    steady state conditions.

    To determine the long-term impacts on fault levels throughout the transmission network and to examine mitigating measures to deal with excessive fault levels.

    To check the transient and dynamic stability of 500 kV HVAC or above, and HVDC systems catering for the bulk transmission of power from major power plants to the

    major load centres to verify the adequacy of network for normal and disturbed

    conditions.

    To estimate the economic cost of these reinforcements in a staged manner. Such costs are then added to the cost of the new generation required to provide the basic

    input data to the financial analysis and the examination of the impact on tariffs.

    2 PLANNING AND PERFORMANCE CRITERIA

    The transmission system expansion plans are required to fulfil the Grid Code of NTDC

    approved by NEPRA, the regulatory authority of electrical power in Pakistan. The following

    are the planning and performance criteria laid down in the Grid Code:

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    Steady State:

    Adequacy evaluation of planning studies for steady-state system performance shall be

    based on equipment loading, congestion management, fault levels and voltage regulation.

    Steady-state planning studies for steady state load flow studies shall be deemed acceptable

    if they do not result in any voltage violations or overloads based on predetermined loading

    limits for Normal (N-0) and Emergency (N-1) contingency conditions.

    Dynamic/Transient Conditions:

    System stability must be maintained following the disturbances listed below:

    (a) Permanent three-phase faults on any primary transmission line and associated

    components. It is assumed that a fault will be cleared by circuit breaker action in 5 cycles.

    (b) Failure of a circuit breaker to clear a fault (Stuck Breaker condition) in 5 cycles, with

    back up clearing in 9 cycles after fault initiation

    The robustness of the proposed transmission expansion plan shall be tested against

    criterion (a) whereas the worst case of critical clearing time i.e. criterion (b) needs to be

    applied at detailed design stage of generating stations. If the System is found to be unstable,

    then mitigation measures shall be identified and incorporated into the system improvement

    plans for future years.

    Grid Frequency Variations:

    The Frequency of the NTDC Transmission System shall be nominally 50Hz and shall be

    maintained within the limits of 49.8 to 50.2 unless exceptional circumstances prevail.

    Grid Voltage Variations:

    Under (N-0) normal operating conditions, System Operating Voltages of the Total System

    shall be maintained within the bandwidth of +8% to 5% of Nominal System Voltage. Under

    (N-1) contingency operating conditions, the voltage variation shall be in the range of +10%

    and 10% of Nominal System Voltage

    Short Circuit (Fault Levels):

    Short circuit calculations shall be prepared for each study year, and adequacy of fault

    interrupting capability and short circuit withstand capacity shall be ensured.

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    3 TYPICAL CHARACTERISTICS OF NTDC LONGITUDINAL NETWORK

    Pakistan is geographically a longitudinal country, i.e. more like a vertical rectangle and same

    is true for the primary network of NTDC. The 500 kV network runs from Peshawar in the

    North to HUBCO near Karachi in the South (see Figure 3.1).

    The maximum load is concentrated in the middle of the country where local generation

    potential is limited because of lack of fossil fuel resources and meagre hydropower potential

    in the plains. Hydropower generation potential is located in the North and thermal power

    generation sources are mainly in the South. The least cost Generation Plan (Base Case)

    developed for this Expansion Plan Study also envisages maximum hydropower generation

    located up in the North whereas the major thermal power plants based on indigenous and

    imported fossil fuel are located in South. Therefore during high water months when hydel

    power is at the maximum the power flows from the North to South, whereas in low water

    months when the thermal power in the South is run at its maximum, the power flow is

    reversed to be from the South to North. Long HVAC (500 kV or above) and HVDC lines are

    required to carry power from the far North and far South to mid country where the maximum

    load is concentrated.

    With insignificant local generation in mid-country, the huge reactive power (MVAR) demand

    would not be advisable to be supplied from power plants in the far North and far South as

    excessive flow of VARs would cause severe voltage drop across long and heavily loaded

    lines, therefore sufficient VAR sources would be required to be installed in terms of shunt

    capacitor banks at the distribution level and, if required, at the transmission level as well.

    Other dynamic VAR compensation devices such as SVCs, SVS, and other FACTS devices

    might be required to be installed at appropriate locations in mid-country.

    Also in the high water season, when power flows mainly from hydel power plants in the

    North, the HVAC circuits in the South would be lightly loaded because of the low dispatch of

    thermal power from the South and vice versa. The lightly loaded HVAC lines generate

    excessive VARs due to their high charging current and would require a sufficient amount of

    shunt reactors, line connected or bus connected depending on the requirement. Therefore

    the levels of compensations, inductive and capacitive, are to be very carefully studied and

    planned.

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    Figure 3-1 Existing/Committed 500/220 kV System

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    4 APPROACH AND METHODOLOGY

    4.1 Inputs

    The following input data has been assumed for the study cases:

    Load Forecast, base case scenario, prepared by NTDC and validated by SNC-Lavalin (Appendices1.1 and 1.2)

    Base Case Generation Expansion Plan developed by SNC-Lavalin for NPSEP (Appendix-1.4)

    Transmission network data file in PSS/E format supplied by NTDC for the years 2010 and 2014

    All the ongoing and committed or planned transmission expansion plans of NTDC envisaged up to the year 2016-17 (Appendix-1.5).

    Inputs from the other ongoing feasibility studies have been incorporated as follows:

    o 500 kV HVDC Bipole for 1000 MW import of power from Iran (conducted by NESPAK and SNC Lavalin)

    o 500 kV HVDC Bipole for 1300 MW import of power from CASA (conducted by NESPAK and SNC Lavalin)

    o Transmission scheme based on 500 kV double circuits using quad bundled Martin conductor for the evacuation of power from 26

    hydropower plants to be located on river Indus and its tributaries in

    Northern Areas of Pakistan (being conducted by PB/PPI/MAES)

    o Transmission scheme for evacuation of power from indigenous and imported coal based thermal power plants in the South (Thar and

    Karachi) connecting with the Southern Grid at 500 kV and at 600 kV

    HVDC from South to Mid-country (being conducted by NESPAK and

    SNC Lavalin)

    4.2 Development of Study Cases

    The spot years for study have been identified in agreement with NTDC corresponding to different intervals in which major generation additions occur as

    per the Base Case Generation Expansion Plan, which are 2016, 2020, 2025 and

    2030 respectively.

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    Base case of the year 2020 was developed as a reference to develop the other spot years cases. DISCO transmission expansion plan up to the 132 kV level

    developed till the year 2020 was used as the fundamental base case,

    superimposing the NTDC transmission infrastructure of 220 kV and 500 kV

    adequate to meet the DISCO transmission needs with the proposed extensions,

    augmentations and construction of new 500/220 kV and 220/132 kV substations

    Case for the year 2030 was developed to determine the ultimate scope of 220 kV and 500 kV transmission additions in the system to meet the projected forecast

    and the corresponding generation additions. The expansion of DISCO

    transmission network up to the 132 kV level was assumed frozen at the year

    2020 and future projections of loads were assumed lumped at new 220/132 kV

    substations proposed to be constructed between 2020 and 2030.

    The cases for the intermediate years of 2016 and 2025 were developed to determine the scope of the transmission system expansion during the

    intermediate years.

    Standard tools of analysis for transmission expansion planning i.e. load flow, short circuit and transient stability analyses were employed using the state of art

    software PSS/E of Siemens-PTI.

    Two cases each for high water (high hydel) and low water (high thermal) were studied for each spot year of the study i.e. 2016, 2020, 2025 and 2030. Load flow

    simulations were carried out for normal (N-0) and ) contingency (N-1) conditions

    for each case to determine the adequacy of the proposed transmission facilities

    for each seasonal pattern of power flow

    Short circuit analysis was carried out for the calculation of maximum three-phase and single-phase fault currents for the years 2020 and 2030 using IEC 909 as

    employed in PSS/E software.

    Transient stability analysis was carried out for the system of 500 kV for the years 2020 and 2030 employing the following standard worst case disturbance:

    o 3-phase fault at bus bar with fault clearing time of 5 cycles o Trip of the heavily loaded circuit emanating from the bus bar o Monitor post fault damping of transients of rotor angles and power swings

    with recovery of voltage and frequency of the system

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    5 DETERMINATION OF FUTURE NEEDS OF 500/220 KV & 220/132 KV GRID STATIONS

    5.1 Load Forecast

    NTDC has developed two scenarios of load forecast based on:

    Power Market Survey (PMS) Long Term Forecast involving growth indices of country globally

    These forecasts are attached as Appendices 1.1 and 1.2. The first one may be called

    bottom-up approach initiating from grass root level of 11 kV feeders and developed up to

    132 kV level of DISCO peak. The other approach may be called top down that considers

    overall countrys growth indices and develops future peak demand globally at country level

    and then breaks it down to DISCO peaks.

    The PMS forecast was used for developing the DISCO and NTDC transmission expansion

    plans up to the year 2020. Individual DISCO peak cases have been combined together to

    make a composite case for NTDC transmission expansion of the spot years of study up to

    2020.

    5.2 Needs of 500/220 kV and 220/132 kV Grid Stations till 2020/21

    For NTDC transmission system expansion between 2021 and 2030, the global forecast was

    used because the focus is only on 500 kV and 220 kV network expansion in these years;

    being given that the132 kV network expansion was frozen as of the year 2020.

    Future reinforcements up to 2020 in the existing 220/132 kV grid stations in terms of

    augmentation or addition and requirements for new 220/132 kV grid stations have been

    worked out based on the following:

    Tentative transmission expansion plan up to 2016-17 supplied by NTDC as attached in Appendix-1.5

    Need for new 220/132 kV substations established by DISCO transmission expansion load flow analysis for normal and N-1 contingency cases up to the year 2020.

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    Expansion of 500/220 kV grid stations up to the year 2020 has also been assumed

    principally based on the tentative transmission expansion plan of NTDC (Appendix-1.5) plus

    further requirements established due to overloading of 500/220 kV transformers revealed in

    load flow analysis of DISCO peaks especially in big load centres of Lahore, Faisalabad,

    Islamabad, Peshawar and Karachi.

    5.3 Needs of 500/220 kV and 220/132 kV Grid Stations from 2020/21 to 2029/30

    Detailed load capacity analysis has been carried out to determine the requirements of new

    220/132 kV grid stations to feed different DISCO loads between 2020 and 2030. The results

    are attached in Appendix 1.3. The methodology of this analysis is explained below:

    Load flow case of year 2020 for NTDC transmission with all DISCO peak cases combined in it, has been assumed as the base reference case. All loads

    represented at 11kV and 132 kV have been frozen. The power supplied internally

    through generation connected at 132 kV and imported from neighbouring DISCOs

    (at CDPs) is also frozen

    MW flows on 220/132 kV grid stations feeding each DISCO peak load in 2020 case have been noted for respective DISCO in separate sheets.

    Sum of MW flows at 220/132 kV transformers and the internal supply at 132 kV levels is equal to DISCO peak load. The proportion of MW flows through a particular

    220/132 kV grid station with reference to total MW flows injected into DISCO peak

    as of 2020 base case has been worked out.

    MW flows of 220/132 kV transformers of 2020 base case load flow were projected up to the year 2030 at the annual growth rates of the respective DISCOs

    maintaining the same ratio of MW flow that was worked out from the 2020 base

    case load flow.

    The concept of firm capacity i.e. N-1 of the transformers capacity has been applied for the period 2020 2030.

    When the projected MW flows at 220/132 kV grid station cross the firm capacity, either of the following reinforcements have been proposed

    o Augmentation to higher capacity assuming maximum size of transformer to be 350 MVA

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    o Addition of transformers depending on availability of space capping maximum number of transformers to be 4 at one grid station with maximum

    size of a transformer as 350 MVA .

    o New grid station in the neighbourhood of the same grid station where the load has exceeded the firm capacity.

    In Appendix 1.3, the results of the load capacity analysis for determining the need of 220/132 kV reinforcements in the concession area of each DISCO has been

    presented in separate sheets which indicate replacement (augmentation), addition

    (extension) and new 220/132 kV grid stations required between 2020 and 2030.

    6 TRANSMISSION EXPANSION UP TO 2016-17

    6.1 Expansion Scheme

    6.2 Power Dispersal Projects: Till 2016-17

    The major generation additions indicated in Generation Expansion Plan (Appendix-1.4),

    including the committed and planned power plants, requiring additional transmission

    facilities by the year 2016-17 are as follows:

    Power Plants Type Installed Capacity, MW Commissioning

    Year

    Guddu New CC 747 2013-14

    Haveli Bahadur Shah CC 3000 2015-16

    Sahiwal CC 1414 2015-16

    Neelum-Jehlum Hydro 969 2015-16

    Thar/Imported Coal Coal 3000 2016-17

    CHASHNUPP-III & IV Nuclear 680 2016-18

    Import from Iran and CASA Import 2000 2016-17

    Wind Power (Gharo/Jhimpir) Wind 1400 2012-17

    To meet the forecasted demand and facilitate the evacuation of power from the committed

    and planned power plants by the year 2016-17, a corresponding transmission expansion

    plan has been developed.

    NTDC provided their in-house developed transmission expansion plan till the year 2016-17

    as shown in Appendix-1.5. The plan envisages removing the present bottlenecks in the

    existing 500 kV and 220 kV network and substations which presently face severe

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    congestions, overloadings and violations of Grid Code criteria. This plan has been

    incorporated as such in the load flow simulations for 2016-17 with some changes proposed

    for the evacuation of power from the New Hydropower Plants (PB/PPI/MAES Study) and for

    the Thar Coal and Imported Coal based thermal power plants (SNC/NESPAK Study).

    The additions of transmission network necessary for the evacuation of power from the major

    power plants in NPSEP by 2016-17 would be as follows:

    For GudduNew (CCPP)

    o Guddu New CCPP M. Garh 500 kV S/C

    o In-Out of 500 kV Guddu Multan at Guddu New (CCPP)

    o In-out D.G. Khan - Multan 500 kV S/C at M. Garh

    For Haveli Bahadur Shah (CCPP)

    o Haveli Bahadur Shah CCPP Faisalabad-West 500 kV D/C

    o In-Out of M. Garh Faisalabad-West S/C at Haveli Bahadur Shah CCPP

    o In-Out Gatti Multan 500 kV S/C at Faisalabad-West

    o In-Out Gatti-Rousch 500 kV S/C at Faisalabad-West

    For Sahiwal (CCPP)

    o In-Out of Sahiwal Multan 500 kV S/C at Sahiwal (CCPP)

    o 500 kV Sahiwal-Lahore- South 500 kV D/C

    For Neelum-Jehlum (Hydro)

    o Neelum-Jehlum to Gujranwala (Gakhar) 500kV D/C

    For Thar (Coal)

    o Thar to Matiari switching station 500 kV D/C

    For Imported Coal (AES)

    o In-Out of Hub-Jamshoro 500 kV S/C at AES

    o AES to Matiari 500 kV D/C

    o Inout of AES-Matiari 500 kV S/C at Public Sector (Imported Coal)

    o In-out of 500 kV Jamshoro-Moro S/C at Matiari

    For CHASHNUPP-III and IV (Chashma New)

    o Chashma New Bannu 220 kV D/C

    o In-out of 220 kV D.I. Khan Jauharabad S/C at Chashma New

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    For two clusters of wind power plants at Gharo and Jhimpir

    o Jhimpir T.M Khan Road 220 kV D/C

    o Gharo - Jhimpir 220 kV D/C

    6.3 Power Import Projects: Till 2016-17

    For import of power from Iran

    o 500 kV HVDC Bipoles from Zahedan to Quetta

    o Quetta - Loralai 220 kV D/C

    o Quetta - Quetta Ind. 220 kV D/C o Quetta - Mastung 220 kV D/C

    For import of power from CASA

    o 500 kV HVDC Bipoles from Tajikistan to Peshawar-2

    o In-out of Tarbela Peshawar 500 kV S/C at Peshawar-2 (new 500/220kV substation)

    o In-out of Peshawar Shahibagh 220 kV S/C at Peshawar-2

    6.4 New Grid Stations of 500/220 kV at Load Centres: Till 2016-17

    The new 500/220 kV grid stations at load centres to be added in the system by 2016-17 with their proposed installed capacities and connectivity schemes are as follows:

    No. New 500/220 kV

    Grid Station Capacity

    MVA Connectivity at 500 kV

    1 R. Y. Khan 2x600 Guddu-New Multan In-Out at R.Y. Khan

    2 D. G. Khan 2x600 Guddu Multan In-Out at D.G. Khan

    3 Shikarpur-New 2x600 Guddu Dadu 1st and 2nd circuits In-Out at Shikarpur New

    4 Peshawar-2 2 x 750 In-out of Tarbela Peshawar 500 kV S/C at Peshawar-2

    5 Islamabad-West 2 x 750 Tarbela Rewat 500 kV S/C In-Out at Islamabad West

    Ghazi Brotha Rewat 500 kV S.C In-Out at Islamabad West

    In-Out of Tarbela-ISPR 220 kV at Islamabad West 220 kV

    6 Lahore-South 2 x 750 Sahiwal Lahore S/C In-Out at Lahore South Lahore-South Lahore D/C

    7 Faisalabad- West 2 x 750 M. Garh Gatti S/C In-Out at Faisalabad-West

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    The details of extensions and augmentations proposed in the existing 500/220 kV grid

    stations are indicated in detail in Appendix-1.5

    6.5 New Grid Stations of 220/132 kV at Load Centers: Till 2016-17

    The new 220/132 kV grid stations going to be added in the system by 2016-17 with their

    proposed installed capacities and connectivity schemes are as follows:

    No. New 220/132 kV Grid Station Capacity

    MVA Connectivity at 220 kV

    1 Rohri New 2x250 Engro IPP Rohri New 220 kV D/C Rohri New Shikarpur 220 kV D/C

    2 Kassowal 2 x 160 Vehari Yousafwala 220 kV D/C In-Out at Kassowal

    3 Bandala 2 x 160 Gatti K.S.K 220 kV D/C In-Out at Bandala

    4 Khuzdar 2 x 160 Dadu Khuzdar 220 kV D/C

    5 Wapda Town 2 x 250 LahoreNew K.L. Pat 220 kV D/C In-Out at Wapda Town

    6 Mansehra 2 x 250 Allai Khwar Mansehra 220 kV D/C Mansehra Isbd. Pesh. Road 220 kV D/C

    7 Ghazi Road 3 x 160 K.S. KakuRavi 220 kV S/C In-Out at Ghazi Road

    NKLPT Sarfraznagar 220 kV S/C In-Out at Ghazi Road

    8 Loralai 2 x 250 D.G. Khan Loralai 220 kV D/C

    9 Okara New 3 x 250 Yousafwala Sarfraznagar D/C In-Out at Okara New

    10 Gujrat New 3 x250 Mangla Gujranwala 220 kV S/C & Mangla Gakhar 220 kV S/C In-Out at Gujrat

    11 T.T. Singh 3 x 250 Multan Samundri Rd 220 kV D/C In-Out at T.T. Singh

    12 Nowshera Ind. 3 x 250 G.Brotha Shahibagh 220 kV D/C In-Out at Nowshera Ind.

    13 R.Y. Khan 500/220/132 kV

    2 x 250

    14 Chishtian New 2 x 250 Vehari Chishtian New 220 kV D/C

    15 Shalamar 3 x 160 Ravi/K.S.K Ghazi Raod220 kV D/C In-Out at Shalamar

    16 D.M. Jamali 1 x 160 + 1 x 100

    Uch Guddu 220 kV S/C In-Out at D.M. Jamali

    17 D.I. Khan 2 x 250 In & Out of Chashma Ludewala 220 kV S/C at

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    No. New 220/132 kV Grid Station Capacity

    MVA Connectivity at 220 kV

    D.I. Khan

    18 Chakwal New 2 x 160 Mangla Rewat 220 kV S/C In-Out at Chakwal New

    19 Lalian New 2 x 250 Gatti Ludewala 220 kV D/C In-Out at Lalian New.

    20 MirpurKhas New 2 x 160 Hala Road T.M. Khan Road 220 kV D/C Hala Road T.M.Khan Road 220 kV S/C In-Out at MirpurKhas New.

    21 Shadman 2 x 250 Shadman Bund Road 220 kV D/C (XLPE Cable)

    22 Taxila 2 x 250 Tarbela/Burhan Islamabad Pesh. Road 220 kV D/C In-Out at Taxila

    23 Chakdara 2 x 250 Mardan Chakdara 220 kV D/C

    24 Jhimpir 2 x 250 Jhimpir T.M. Khan Road 220 kV D/C

    25 Gharo 2 x 250 Garho Jhimpir 220 kV D/C

    26 D.G. Khan 500/220/132 kV

    2 x 250

    27 Mastung 2 x 250 Sibbi Mastung 220 kV D/C

    28 Faisalabad West 500/220/132 kV

    2 x 250 Samundri Road Jhang Road 220 kV D/CFaisalabad West T.T. Singh 220 kV D/C

    29 M-3 Industrial Estate

    2 x 250 Faisalabad West M-3 Industrial Estate 220 kV D/C Faisalabad West M-3 Industrial Estate 220 kV S/C In-Out at Lalian

    30 Jamrud 2 x 250 Peshawar Jamrud 220 kV D/C

    31 Kohat 2 x 250 Peshawar New Kohat 220 kV D/C Bannu Kohat 220 kV D/C

    32 Islamabad I-10 2 x 250 Rewat Islamabad University 220 kV D/C In-Out at Islamabad I-10

    33 Kamalabad 2 x 250 Rewat Islamabad Pesh. Road 220 kV D/C In-Out at Kamalabad

    34 Kamra 2 x 250 Tarbela Taxila 220 kV S/C In-Out at Kamra

    35 Iqbal Town 2 x 250 Lahore Wapda Town 220 kV D/C In-Out at Iqbal Town

    36 Gujranwala New (In-between Theri Sansi & G.P. Road)

    2 x 250 Mangla K.S. Kaku 220 kV S/C In-Out at Gujranwala New Gujranwala Gujranwala New 220 kV D/C

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    No. New 220/132 kV Grid Station Capacity

    MVA Connectivity at 220 kV

    37 P. Bhattian Ind. 2 x 250 Gujranwala P. Bhattian Ind. 220 kV D/C

    38 Head Faqirian 2 x 250 Ludewala Head Faqirian 220 kV D/C

    39 Jauhrabad 2 x 250 Ludewala Chashma/D.I.Khan 220 kV D/C In-Out at Jauhrabad

    40 Alizai 2 x 250 Kohat Alizai 220 kV D/C

    41 Arifwala 2 x 250 Yousafwala Kassowal 220 kV D/C In-Out at Arifwala

    The additions, augmentations, extensions etc. at 500 kV and 220 kV planned till 2016-17 to

    resolve congestion and overloading in the system have been indicated in Appendix-1.5 and

    are modeled and indicated in the load flow study results.

    6.6 Load Flow Results of the year 2016-17

    Load flow studies for high water (low thermal) and low water (high thermal) have been

    performed for normal (N-0) and contingency (N-1) conditions for each case. The automatic

    contingency analysis (ACCC) facility of PSS/E was used for the 220 kV network assuming

    thermal limit as the permissible loading limit because 220 kV lines in the NTDC network are

    not very long. However for the 500 kV system separate load flow simulations were

    performed for each individual outage of a 500 kV circuit. The loading limit in 500 kV may

    not be the thermal limit and it is necessary to see the loading levels on the intact circuits for

    each individual outage case from the point of view of stability limits.

    The drawings of plotted results for high (HW) and low water (LW) cases are placed in

    Appendices 2.1 and 2.2 respectively.

    Normal (N-0) cases:

    Exhibit-2016-HW-1.0 Results of Northern System of 500 kV

    Exhibit-2016-HW-2.0 Results of Southern System of 500 kV and 220 kV

    Exhibit-2016-HW-3.0 Results of Northern System of 220 kV

    Exhibit-2017-LW-1.0 Results of Southern System of 500 kV and 220 kV

    Exhibit-2017-LW-2.0 Results of Northern System of 500 kV

    Exhibit-2017-LW-3.0 Results of Northern System of 220 kV

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    The results indicate that in the high water season, the 500 kV circuits in the Northern system

    i.e. North of Multan and Sahiwal, are relatively heavily loaded compared to those in the

    Southern system and vice versa in the low water season. This is for the obvious reasons of

    dispatch of more power from hydropower plants located in North and less power from

    thermal power plants in the South during HW season and vice versa in LW season. Voltages

    on the 500 kV and 220 kV systems on the entire NTDC system from North to South are

    within the normal permissible limits of the NEPRA Grid Code. The power flows on the lines

    of 500 kV and 220 kV and 500/220kV and 220/132 kV transformers are also within their

    rated limits.

    Contingency (N-1) cases:

    The automatic contingency analysis (ACCC) for 220 kV network indicates no violations of

    voltage and line loadings establishing the adequacy of 220 kV lines and 220/132 kV

    transformers envisaged in the NTDC proposed tentative expansion plan up to 2016-17.

    The one-line-out contingency cases of the 500 kV system has been carried out for Northern

    system for HW season and for Southern system for LW season respectively.

    The plotted results are placed in Appendices 2.1 and 2.2 as follows:

    Outages for HW season (Appendix 2.1):

    Exhibit-2016-HW-1.1 Peshwar-2 to Tarbela 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2016-HW-1.2 Tarbela to G.Brotha 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2016-HW-1.3 Tarbela to ISBD-W 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2016-HW-1.4 ISBD-W to G.Brotha 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2016-HW-1.5 G.Brotha to Gatti 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2016-HW-1.6 Gatti to FBD-W 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2016-HW-1.7 FBD-W to Haveli-P 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2016-HW-1.8 ISBD-W to Rewat-N 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2016-HW-1.9 Rewat-N to G.Brotha 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2016-HW-1.10 Rewat-N to Gujranwala 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2016-HW-1.11 N-Jehlum to Gujranwala 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2016-HW-1.12 Gujranwala to Lahore-O 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2016-HW-1.13 Lahore-O to Gatti 500 kV Single Circuit Out

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    Outages for LW season (Appendix 2.2):

    Exhibit-2017-LW-1.1 Tharcoal to Matiari 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2017-LW-1.2 Matiari to Jamshoro 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2017-LW-1.3 AES-Coal to NKI 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2017-LW-1.4 HUB to NKI 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2017-LW-1.5 Matiari to Moro 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2017-LW-1.6 Jamshoro to Dadu 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2017-LW-1.7 Dadu to Shikarpur 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2017-LW-1.8 Shikarpur to Guddu 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2017-LW-1.9 Moro to R.Y.Khan 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2017-LW-1.10 D.G.Khan to M.Garh 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2017-LW-1.11 Guddu to Guddu-New 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2017-LW-1.12 Guddu to M.Garh 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2017-LW-1.13 R.Y.Khan to Multan 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2017-LW-1.14 M.Garh to Multan 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2017-LW-1.15 M.Garh to Haveli-P 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2017-LW-1.16 Multan to FBD-W 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2017-LW-1.17 Multan to Rousch 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2017-LW-1.18 Rousch to FBD-W 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2017-LW-1.19 Multan to Sahiwal 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    The results indicate that power flows on the intact circuits of 500 kV and 500/220 kV

    transformers for each outage are within the limits. The voltage profile on all 500 kV bus bars

    is also within the permissible criteria.

    The above analysis establishes the fact that the proposed expansion scheme of the 500 kV

    and 220 kV network till 2016-17 is adequate and fulfills the criteria of the Grid Code.

    7 TRANSMISSION EXPANSION FROM 2016-17 TO 2020-21

    7.1 Expansion Scheme

    The sizes of 500/220 kV transformer banks are to be multiples of 750 MVA or 1000 MVA for

    all the new 500/220 kV grid stations and multiples of 250 MVA or 350 MVA for all the new

    220/132 kV substations as per requirements.

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    The consolidated list of all the transmission expansion projects between 2016-27 and 2020-

    21 is provided in Appendix-10.1.

    7.1.1 Power Dispersal Projects: 2016-17 to 2020-21

    Following are the major additions of power plants between 2016-17 and 2020-21 proposed

    in the NPSEP:

    New Power Plants Type Installed Capacity, MW Commissioning

    Year

    Thar Coal 2400 2017-18

    Tarbela 4th Extension Hydro 960 2017-18

    Karot Hydro 720 2017-18

    Asrit-Keddam Hydro 215 2017-18

    Madyan Hydro 157 2017-18

    Golan Goal Hydro 106 2017-18

    Thar Coal 4200 2018-19

    Azad Pattan Hydro 222 2018-19

    Chakothi Hydro 500 2018-19

    Kalam-Asrit Hydro 197 2018-19

    Gabral-Kalam Hydro 101 2018-19

    Shogosin Hydro 127 2018-19

    Shushgai Hydro 102 2018-19

    Thar Coal 4200 2019-20

    Chashma Nuclear 1000 2019-20

    Suki Kinari Hydro 840 2019-20

    Kaigah Hydro 548 2019-20

    Thar Coal 2400 2020-21

    Diamer Basha 1 Hydro 2250 2020-21

    Bunji 1 Hydro 1800 2020-21

    Qadirabad Nuclear 1000 2020-21

    Wind Power (Total) Wind 400 2017-2021

    All rental power plants such as Samundri, Gulf, Walters, Karkey and Reshma have been

    assumed dismantled and not considered in the study for this period.

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    The already proposed interconnection schemes by NTDC for Neelum Jhelum and Karot

    hydro power plants have been modified to call at new hydropower plants on its way.

    The transmission additions vital for the evacuation of power from these major power plants

    in the NPSEP between 2016-17 and 2020-21 would be as follows:

    For Thar Coal

    o 600 kV HVDC 2x2000 MW Bipoles from Thar to Lahore-South with

    converter stations of same capacity on both ends

    o 600 kV HVDC 2x2000 MW Bipoles from Thar to Faisalabad-West with

    converter stations of same capacity on both ends

    o 500 kV D/C from Thar to Karachi (a new 500/220 kV substation at KDA-33)

    For Karot

    o In-out of one circuit of 500 kV D/C Neelum Jehlum to Gujranwala

    For Azad Pattan

    o In-out of one circuit of 500 kV D/C Neelum Jehlum to Gujranwala

    o In-out Neelum Jehlum - Gujranwala 500 kV D/C at Aliot Switching Station is

    required for interconnection of Both Karot and Azad Pattan HPPs

    For Diamer-Basha 1 and Bunji 1

    o Basha - Chilas 500 kV D/C

    o Basha - Mardan New 500 kV D/C via Swat Valley

    o Bunji - Chilas 500 kV D/C

    o Chilas - Aliot 500 kV D/C

    o Two 500 kV Switching Stations of Chilas & Aliot and a 500/220/132 kV

    substation of Mardan New to feed local loads

    o Aliot - Islamabad West 500 kV D/C

    o Aliot - Lahore-North 500 kV D/C (new 500/220 kV substation of Lahore-North)

    For Gabral-Kalam, Kalam-Asrit, Asrit-Kedam, and Madyan (Swat Valley HPPs)

    o In-out one each of Basha-Mardan 500 kV D/C at each of Swat HPPs

    For Shogosin, Shushgai and Golen Gol (Chitral Valley HPPs)

    o Chitral 220/132 kV substation to collect power from all HPPs at 132 kV

    o Chitral-Chakdara 220 kV D/C

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    For Suki Kinari

    o In-out of one circuit of 500 kV D/C Chilas-Aliot

    For Chakothi

    o Chakothi-Aliot 220 kV D/C

    o 500/220kV transformers 2x600 MVA at Alliot

    For Chashma Nuclear

    o Chashma-Ludewala 500 kV D/C

    For Kaigah

    o Kaigah-Mardan New 500 kV D/C (operated as an interim arrangement until

    the commissioning of 2nd stage of Basha).

    (This plant would be advisable to be built in the timeline of 2n d stage of Basha.

    In that case, its interconnection would be In-out of Basha-Mardan 500 kV S/C

    at Kaigah)

    For Qadirabad Nuclear

    o 500 kV D/C from Qadirabad Nuclear power plant to Gujranwala

    The following switching stations will be constructed as power collecting hubs from HPPS on

    the rivers Indus, Jehlum and their tributaries:

    Chilas 500 kV with following connections:

    o Chilas - Basha 500 kV D/C(already mentioned above)

    o Chilas - Bunji 500 kV D/C(already mentioned above)

    Aliot 500/220 kV with following connections:

    o Chilas Aliot 500 kV D/C(already mentioned above)

    o In-Out Neelum Jehlum to Gujranwala D/C at Aliot (already mentioned above)

    o Aliot - Islamabad-West 500 kV D/C (already mentioned above)

    o Aliot - Lahore-North 500 kV D/C with one circuit calling at Gujrat

    o Chakothi - Aliot 220 kV D/C (already mentioned above)

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    7.1.2 New 500/220 kV Grid Stations at Load Centers: 2016-17 to 2020-21

    The expansion of the 500 kV network in and around major load centers, such as Peshawar,

    Islamabad, Lahore, Faisalabad and Karachi, has been proposed in such a manner that a

    ring of 500 kV encircles them with stage by stage additions of new 500/220 kV substations

    as needed in future years briefly described below:

    Mardan 500/220 kV, 3x750 MVA, connected as follows: o With HPPs of Northern Areas through a 500 kV D/C via Swat valley as

    discussed above

    o With Peshawar-2 through 500 kV D/C Matiari 500/220 kV (initially switching station) to be a full substation of 2x750 MVA

    capacity

    Islamabad-West 500/220/132 kV (already constructed as discussed above) to connect to Aliot S/S with 500 kV D/C

    Lahore-South 500/220 kV (already constructed as discussed above), to be built as big power-hub of HVDC and HVAC connecting:

    o With the coal based power plants in South through HVDC Bipoles and respective converter stations as discussed above and

    o With 500 kV ring around Lahore by initially constructing 500 kV D/C Lahore-South - Lahore-Old. This is in addition to in-out of Lahore-Sahiwal 500 kV S/C

    at Lahore-South proposed in 2016-17.

    o 500 kV D/C from Lahore-South to Sahiwal (already mentioned above) Lahore-North 500/220 kV, 2X1000 MVA to be connected completing the 500 kV ring

    around Lahore as follows:

    o Gujranwala-Lahore North 500 kV D/C o Lahore-South to Lahore North 500 kV D/C

    Faisalabad-West 500/220/132 kV, 2x750 MVA(already constructed as discussed above), to be built as big power-hub of HVDC and HVAC connecting with the coal

    based power plants in South through HVDC Bipoles and respective converter

    stations as discussed above

    Following will be carried out at Ghazi-Brotha to avoid overloading in N-1 contingencies at 500 kV circuits between Tarbela and Faisalabad:

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    o Disconnect one 500 kV circuit each presently connected to Tarbela and Gatti and jumpers to be connected to bypass Ghazi-Brotha to achieve a direct

    Tarbela-Gatti S/C.

    o Construct 500 kV D/C from Faisalabad-W to Ghazi Brotha and utilize the two circuit breakers of 500 kV spared at Ghazi-Brotha, as discussed above, to

    connect to Ghazi-Brotha.

    Karachi (near KDA-33) 500/220 kV, 3x1000 MVA, connecting with NKI through 500kV D/C to form a ring of 500 kV around Karachi. Whereas NKI has already been

    connected to two Imported Coal fired plants (AES and Public Sector) to form a bigger

    ring of 500 kV between Karachi, Jamshoro and Matiari

    Ludewala 500/220 kV, 2x750 MVA (assumed at the same place as of existing Ludewala 220/132 kV substation having enough space available). It will be

    connected to main grid through in-out of Ghazi-Brotha Gatti 500 kV S/C and

    Tarbela-Gatti 500kV S/C (amended as discussed above).

    Gujrat 500/220 kV, 2x750 MVA connected through In-Out Aliot to Lahore-North 500kV S/C

    Vehari 500/220 kV, 2x750 MVA connected through In-Out Multan-Sahiwal 500 kV S/C

    Moro 500/220 kV, 2x750 MVA (switching station already constructed in 2016-17).

    7.1.3 New 220/132 kV Grid Stations at Load Centers: 2016-17 to 2020-21

    The detailed transmission expansion studies of all DISCOs for this period have established

    the need for new 220/132 kV grid stations. The new 220/132 kV grid stations to be added in

    this period are as follows:

    Year Substation Voltage Size MVA 220 kV D/C Connections

    2018 Shaikh Manda (Quetta) 220/132 2x250 Quetta-New(HVDC) to Sh. Manda

    2020 Qasimpur 220/132 3x250 Multan-New to Qasimpur 220 kV (UGC cable if ROW not available)

    2020 New Larkana 220/132 2x250 Shikarpur to Larkana-New 220 kV

    2020 New Hala 220/132 2x250 Matiari-New-Hala 220 kV

    2020 Bhakkar 220/132 2x250 D.I. Khan to Bhakkar 220 kV

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    7.1.4 New Transmission Lines for System Reinforcements Required for Normal and N-1 Contingency Conditions: 2016-17 to -2020-21

    The following additional circuits are required to be added to avoid overloading on lines

    during normal and N-1 contingency conditions:

    Year Line kV Type

    2016 In-Out Karachi-Coal PPs to Matiari at NKI 500kV 2 X D/C

    2018 ISBD-West to IBD-P.Rd 220 kV D/C

    2018 Mardan-Mardan New (500/220 kV) 220 kV 2xD/C

    2018 Faiselabad-West to Samundri Rd. 220 kV D/C

    7.1.5 Augmentations and Extensions at 500/220 kV and 220/132 kV Grid Stations: 2016-17 to -2020-21

    Augmentations/Extensions at 500/220 kV grid stations proposed in this period are as follows:

    Year Substation Voltage Size Type

    2018 Lahore-South 500/220 1x750 MVA Extension

    2019 Islamabad-West 500/220 1x750 MVA Extension

    2019 Gujranwala (Gakhar) 500/220 1x750 MVA Extension

    2019 Rewat 500/220 2x750 MVA Augmentation

    2019 Sahiwal (Yousafwala) 500/220 2x750 MVA Augmentation

    2020 Peshawar-2 500/220 1x750 MVA Extension

    2020 NKI 500/220 2x600 MVA Extension

    Twenty three (23) Augmentations/Extensions at 220/132 kV grid stations have been carried

    out as explained in Appendix-10.1.

    7.2 Load Flow Results of the year 2020-21

    The above transmission scheme is the outcome of load capacity analysis and detailed load

    flow analysis. The load flow studies for high hydel (low thermal) and low water (high thermal)

    have been performed for normal (N-0) and contingency (N-1) conditions for the study spot

    year of 2020-21 for each case. The study results with connectivity of all the new 500kV and

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    220 kV grid stations and new transmission lines proposed for this period have been plotted

    and attached for HW and LW seasons in Appendix-3.1 and 3.2 respectively:

    Normal (N-0) cases: Load flow results of normal cases i.e. with no circuits out of service, are attached as follows:

    Exhibit-2020-HW-1.0 Results of Northern System of 500 kV

    Exhibit-2020-HW-2.0 Results of Southern System of 500 kV and 220 kV

    Exhibit-2020-HW-3.0 Results of Northern System of 220 kV

    Exhibit-2021-LW-1.0 Results of Southern System of 500 kV and 220 kV

    Exhibit-2021-LW-2.0 Results of Northern System of 500 kV

    Exhibit-2021-LW-3.0 Results of Northern System of 220 kV

    The results indicate the same pattern of power flows as in the previous spot years of study

    i.e. heavier flows in Northern circuits of 500 kV and 220 kV during HW season and relatively

    lighter flows on Southern grid; and vice versa during LW season. With the proposed

    schemes of transmission expansion the system performance fulfills the Grid Code criteria.

    The voltages on 500 kV and 220 kV on the entire NTDC system from North to South are

    within the normal permissible limits. The power flows on the lines of 500 kV and 220 kV and

    500/220kV and 220/132 kV transformers are also within their rated limits.

    Contingency (N-1) cases:

    The automatic contingency analysis (ACCC) for the 220 kV network was carried out which

    indicated some violations requiring reinforcement of the network as described above in

    section 7.1.4. With the proposed reinforcements the violations of voltage and line loadings

    were eliminated.

    The one-line-out contingency cases of the 500 kV system have been carried out for Northern

    system for HW season; and for Southern system for LW season respectively.

    The plotted results are placed in Appendices 3.1 and 3.2 as follows:

    Outages for HW season (Appendix 3.1):

    Exhibit-2020-HW-1.1 Basha-1 to Gabral-K 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2020-HW-1.2 Gabral-K to Asrit-K 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2020-HW-1.3 Asrit-K to Madyan -N 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2020-HW-1.4 Basha-1 to K-Asrit 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2020-HW-1.5 Asrit-K to Mardan-New 500 kV Single Circuit Out

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    Exhibit-2020-HW-1.6 Madyan to Mardan-New 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2020-HW-1.7 Mardan-New to Peshawar 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2020-HW-1.8 Basha-2 to Chilas 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2020-HW-1.9 Bunji to Chilas 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2020-HW-1.10 Chilas to Suki-Knri 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2020-HW-1.11 Suk-Knri to Aliot-S/S 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2020-HW-1.12 Chilas to Aliot-S/S 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2020-HW-1.13 N-Jehlum to Aliot-s/s 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2020-HW-1.14 Tarbela to G-Brotha 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2020-HW-1.15 Tarbela to Ludewala 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2020-HW-1.16 G.Brotha to Ludewala 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2020-HW-1.17 Chashma-Nuc to Ludewala 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2020-HW-1.18 Ludewala to Gatti 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2020-HW-1.19 G.Brotha to FBD-W 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2020-HW-1.20 FBD-W to Multan 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2020-HW-1.21 Haveli to M.Garh 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2020-HW-1.22 Aliot-S/S to ISBD-W 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2020-HW-1.23 ISBD-W to Rewat-N 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2020-HW-1.24 Tarbela to ISBD-W 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2020-HW-1.25 G.Brotha to Rewat-N 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2020-HW-1.26 Aliot-S/S to Karot 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2020-HW-1.27 Karot to Gujranwala 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2020-HW-1.28 Aliot-S/S to Azad Patan 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2020-HW-1.29 Azad Patan to Gujranwala 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2020-HW-1.30 Aliot-S/S to Lahore-N 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2020-HW-1.31 Aliot-S/S to Gujrat 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2020-HW-1.32 Gujrat to Lahore-N 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2020-HW-1.33 Gujranwala to Lahore-N 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2020-HW-1.34 Gujranwala to Lahore-O 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2020-HW-1.35 Lahore-N to Lahore-S 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2020-HW-1.36 Lahore-S to Sahiwal 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2020-HW-1.37 Tajikistan to Peshwar-2 500 kV HVDC Monopole Out

  • National Power System Expansion Plan

    504760-01-A3 25 Transmission Plan

    Outages for LW season (Appendix 3.2):

    Exhibit-2021-LW-1.1 Tharcoal to Matiari 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2021-LW-1.2 Tharcoal to KDA 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2021-LW-1.3 KDA to NKI 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2021-LW-1.4 IMP. Coal to NKI 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2021-LW-1.5 AES Coal to NKI 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2021-LW-1.6 HUB to NKI 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2021-LW-1.7 Matiari to Jamshoro 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2021-LW-1.8 Matiari to Moro 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2021-LW-1.9 Jamshoro to Dadu 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2021-LW-1.10 Dadu to Shikarpur 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2021-LW-1.11 Moro to R.Y.Khan 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2021-LW-1.12 Guddu to M.Garh 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2021-LW-1.13 Guddu to D.G.Khan 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2021-LW-1.14 Guddu-New to R.Y.Khan 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2021-LW-1.15 Guddu-New to M.Garh 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2021-LW-1.16 R.Y.Khan to Multan 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2021-LW-1.17 M.Garh to Multan 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2021-LW-1.18 Multan to Vehari 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2021-LW-1.19 Vehari to Sahiwal 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2021-LW-1.20 Haveli to FBD-W 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2021-LW-1.21 Tharcoal to Lahore-S 600 kV HVDC Monopole Out

    Exhibit-2021-LW-1.22 Tharcoal-2 to FBD-W 600 kV HVDC Monopole Out

    The N-1 contingency load flow results of 500 kV indicate that with the proposed scheme of

    500 kV expansion during 2016-17 and 2020-21, all the criteria of Grid Code are met. The

    power flows on the intact circuits of 500 kV and 500/220 kV transformers for each outage are

    within the limits. The voltage profile on all 500 kV bus bars is also within the permissible

    criteria.

    The above analysis establishes the fact that the proposed expansion scheme of the 500 kV

    and 220 kV network till 2020-21 is adequate and fulfills the criteria of the Grid Code under

    normal and N-1 contingency conditions.

  • National Power System Expansion Plan

    504760-01-A3 26 Transmission Plan

    8 TRANSMISSION EXPANSION FROM 2021-22 TO 2025-26

    8.1 Expansion Scheme

    8.1.1 Power Dispersal Projects: 2021-22 to 2025-26

    For the period from 2021-22 to 2025-26, the major generation additions comprise major

    blocks of thermal power at Thar coal fields and hydel power plants in the Northern Areas

    across the Indus and its tributaries. The major plants are as follows:

    New Power Plants Type Installed Capacity, MW

    Commissioning Year

    Bhikki CC 1414 2021-22

    Thar Coal 600 2021-22

    Bunji 2 Hydro 1800 2021-22

    Kohala Hydro 1100 2021-22

    Munda Hydro 735 2022-23

    Bunji 3 Hydro 1800 2022-23

    Diamer Basha 2 Hydro 2250 2022-23

    Palas Valley Hydro 580 2022-23

    Thar Coal 2400 2023-24

    Dasu Hydro 4320 2023-24

    Lower Spatgah Hydro 496 2023-24

    PAEC (Karachi) Nuclear 1000 2023-24

    Thakot Hydro 2800 2024-25

    Pattan Hydro 2800 2024-25

    PAEC (Karachi) Nuclear 1000 2024-25

    Thar Coal 3600 2025-26

    Dhudnial Hydro 792 2025-26

    Wind Power(Total) Wind 2000 2022-26

    Some old power plants have been considered retired between the period 2019 and 2025 as

    proposed in the Generation Expansion Plan as follows:

  • National Power System Expansion Plan

    504760-01-A3 27 Transmission Plan

    Year Retiring Power Plant #of Units Unit

    Capacity MW

    Total MW

    2019 Guddu 285 Faisalabad 129 KESC Gul Ahmed 9 13.5 122 KESC Tapal 12 11.5 138 2020 Jamshoro-ST 1 170 170 Jamshoro 3 164 492 KESC Kannup 114 2021 Shadara 3 9 27 Kotri 2 9 18 Faisalabad 4 18 72 Quetta 25 Kotri 120 Multan 2 28 55 Faisalabad 2 46 92 Guddu 2 58 116 Guddu 2 147 294 2023 Guddu 2 215 429 2024 Muzaffargarh 5 167 836 2025 Lakhra 1 28 28

    The previously proposed interconnection schemes by NTDC for Kohala and Munda

    hydropower plants have been modified. The essential transmission additions for the

    evacuation of power from the major power plants in the NPSEP between 2020-21 and 20-

    25-26 would be as follows:

    For Bhikki o In-out Lahore-Gatti 500 kV S/C

    For Thar Coal: o Second 600 kV HVDC 2x2000 MW Bipole from Thar to Lahore-South with

    converter stations of same capacity on both ends

    o Second 500 kV D/C from Thar to Matiari

    o 500 kV D/C Matiari-Moro-R.Y. Khan

    o 500 kV S/C Matiari-Jamshoro

  • National Power System Expansion Plan

    504760-01-A3 28 Transmission Plan

    o 500 kV D/C from Thar to Karachi (Karachi-South)

    For Bunji 2 and 3 o 500 kV D/C from Bunji to Chilas o 500 kV D/C from Chilas to Aliot

    For Basha-2 o In-Out Basha-1-Chilas 500 kV D/C and Basha-1 to Mardan (via Kaigah) 500 kV D/C

    For Munda

    o In-Out Peshawar-2 (Pajjagi Rd.) Ghallani 220 kV S/C at Munda

    o Munda Mardan New (Charsaddah) 220 kV D/C

    For Kohala o In-out Neelum-Jehlum to Aliot 500 kV D/C

    For Palas Valley o Palas Valley Mansehra 500 D/C

    For Dasu o Dasu Mansehra 500 kV D/C o Dasu-Palas-Valley 500 kV D/C

    For Lower Spatgah o In-Out one circuit of Dasu-Palas Valley 500 kV D/C

    For PAEC Karachi (3 x 1000 MW) o 500 kV D/C PAEC to Karachi-South 500/220 kV S/S o 500 kV D/C Karachi-South to Karachi-East 500/220 kV S/S

    For Wind Power Cluster at Jhimpir o In-Out one circuit of Karachi-East to Matiari 500 kV D/C

    For Wind Power Cluster at Gharo o In-Out Thar-Karachi-East 500 kV D/C

    For Thakot o Thakot-Mansehra 500 kV D/C

    For Pattan o Pattan - Thakot 500 kV D/C

  • National Power System Expansion Plan

    504760-01-A3 29 Transmission Plan

    o Thakot-Mardan New 500 kV D/C For Dhudnial

    o Dhudnial - Neelum Jehlum 500 kV D/C A switching station/substation of 500/220 kV is proposed to be built at Mansehra to collect

    power from Dasu and its neighboring Lower Spatgah and Palas Valley HPPs.

    As the bulk of the big hydropower plants in the Northern Areas of the Indus and its tributaries

    have been added during 2022-2026, and all that power is being collected at the intermediate

    switching stations/substations of Aliot, Mansehra and Mardan New, more circuits would be

    required to be built from the switching stations to the main load centers as discussed in 8.1.3

    below.

    8.1.2 New 500/220 kV Grid Stations and Related Transmission Lines of 500 kV: 2021-22 to 2025-26

    For the growing demand of the loads during the years 2021 and 2026, new bulk supply

    points in terms of 500/220 kV grid stations are required to be added during this period,

    especially in the big load centers such as Islamabad, Lahore, Faisalabad and Karachi which

    would be integrated in the 500 kV ring to be developed around these cities as follows:

    Year Grid Station kV MVA Connections

    2022 Islamabad-North

    500/220 3x750 In-Out Aliot to Islamabad -West 500 kV D/C at Islamabad

    Aliot-Islamabad-North 500 kV D/C

    Islamabad-North to Rewat 500kV D/C

    2023 Karachi-East 500/220 3x1000 In-Out NKI-Matiari 500 kV D/C at Karachi-East

    2023 Lahore-East 500/220 2x1000 In-Out Lahore-North to Lahore-South 500kV D/C at Lahore-East

    2023 Mansehra 500/220 3x750 Dasu-Mansehra 500 kV D/C (as mentioned above)

    Palas-Valley Mansehra 500 kV D/C (as mentioned above)

    Mansehra - Faisalabad-West 500 kV D/C

    Mansehra-Qadirabad 500 kV D/C

    Mansehra Faisalabad -East 500 kV D/C

    Mansehra - ISBD-West 500 kV D/C

  • National Power System Expansion Plan

    504760-01-A3 30 Transmission Plan

    Year Grid Station kV MVA Connections

    2023 Karachi South 500/220 3x1000 Karachi-East-Karachi-South D/C (as already mentioned above)

    2023 Okara 500/220 3x750 In-out Sahiwal Lahore South D/C 2024 Bannu 500/220 3x750 Mardan New - Bannu 500 kV D/C

    Bannu-Chashma (Nuclear) 500 kV D/C

    2024 Sialkot 500/220 3x750 In-Out Aliot-Lahore-North 2nd circuit 500 kV at Sialkot

    2024 Faiselabad-East (North)

    500/220 3x750 Mansehra - Faisalabad -East 500 kV D/C

    Faisalabad-West-Faisalabad-East(North) D/C

    Gatti-Faiselabad-East (North) D/C

    8.1.3 New 220/132 kV Grid Stations and Related Transmission Lines of 220 kV: 2021-22 to 2025-26

    Detailed load capacity analysis has been carried out and attached in Appendix-1.3 to

    establish the need for new 220/132 kV grid stations during this period taking into account

    firm capacities i.e. considering N-1 contingency of one transformer out of service. When a

    grid station hits the maximum firm capacity, a new grid station is proposed in the same

    vicinity or extension/augmentations are proposed if space to accommodate more

    transformers is available (4 transformers are taken as the maximum number of transformers

    at one grid station). Based on this analysis, following are the new 220/132 kV grid stations to

    be added in the system during this period

    Year Grid Station kV MVA 220 kV Connections

    2021 Ghalanai 220/132 3 X 250 Pesh-2 Ghalanai D/C

    2021 Bahter More 220/132 3 X350 ISBD-West to Bahter More 2xD/C

    2021 Tandlianwala 220/132 3 X 350 Faisalabad -East(North) to Tandlianwala D/C

    T.T. Singh Tandlianwala D/C

    2021 Narwala Rd 220/132 3 X 350 Faisalabad -East(North) to Narwala RD. D/C

    Faisalabad -West to Narwala Rd. D/C

    2021 Layyah 220/132 3 X2 50 KAPCO-Layyah D/C

    2021 Saryab 220/132 3 X 350 In Out Quetta-Mastung D/C

    2021 Surab 220/132 3 X250 Mastung-Surab D/C

  • National Power System Expansion Plan

    504760-01-A3 31 Transmission Plan

    Year Grid Station kV MVA 220 kV Connections

    2022 Pezo 220/132 3 X2 50 D. I. Khan Pezo D/C

    2022 Regi Model Town 220/132 3 X2 50 Jamrud-Regi Model Town D/C

    2022 Shahinabad 220/132 3 X 350 Gujranwala-Shahinabad D/C

    2022 Jalalpur-Jattan 220/132 3 X 350 Gujrat-Jalalpur-Jattan D/C

    2022 Raiwind Road 220/132 3 X 350 Lahore-South - Raiwaind Rd D/C

    2022 Shahdra New 220/132 3 X 350 Lahore-N - Shahdra-N D/C

    2022 Lulliani 220/132 4 X 350 Lahore-E - Lullyani 2xD/C

    Sarfraz Nagar - Lulliani D/C

    2022 Model Town 220/132 3 X 350 KLPAT-Model Town 2 S/C Cables

    2022 Depalpur 220/132 3 X350 Okara-Depalpur D/C

    2022 Sargodha 220/132 3 X250 Ludewala-New-Sargodha D/C

    2022 Jaranwala 220/132 3 X250 Faisalabad -(East)North-Jaranwala D/C

    2022 Fiedmic 220/132 3 X 250 Faisalabad -(East)North - Fiedmic D/C

    2022 Multan City (GIS) 220/132 3 X 350 Qasimpur-Multan City (GIS) D/C

    2023 Pesh-City (GIS) 220/132 3 X3 50 Pesh-2 Pesh-City-GIS 3 S/C Cables

    2023 Mingora 220/132 3 X2 50 Chakdara-Mingora D/C

    2023 Mominpura 220/132 3 X3 50 Lahore-N - Mominpura D/C

    2024 Pajjagi Rd. 220/132 3 X2 50 In-Out Pesh-2 Ghalanai D/C at Pajjagi Rd.

    2024 D. I. Khan - 2 220/132 3 X2 50 D. I. Khan - D. I. Khan-2 D/C

    2024 Islamabad-Society (Lohibir)

    220/132 3 X 250 IBD-North -Islamabad--Society (Lohibir) D/C

    IBD-I-10 to Islamabad-Society (Lohibir) D/C

    2024 Kandiaro 220/132 3 X 350 Moro-Kandiaro D/C

    2024 Meharr 220/132 3 X2 50 Dadu-Meharr D/C

    2024 Jehlum 220/132 2 X 250 Gujrat-Jehlum D/C

    Islamabad-North-Jehlum D/C

    2024 Miranshah 220/132 2 X 250 Bannu - Miranshah D/C

    2025 Charsaddah 220/132 3 X 250 In-Out Mardan New-Munda D/C at Charsaddah 2025 Karol 220/132 3 X 350 Lahore-North To Karol D/C

    Karol Moinpura D/C

    2025 Saidpur 220/132 3 X 350 Lahore-South - Saidpur D/C

  • National Power System Expansion Plan

    504760-01-A3 32 Transmission Plan

    Year Grid Station kV MVA 220 kV Connections

    2025 Shershah 220/132 3 X2 50 In-Out Muzaffergarh-N-Multan

    In-Out Muzaffergarh-2-Multan

    2025 Bahawalpur-North 220/132 3 X2 50 In-Out Muzaffergar-1-Bahawalpur-N D/C

    2025 Khairpur 220/132 3 X 250 Rohri-New - Khairpur D/C

    2025 Kohsar 220/132 3 X2 50 T.M. Khan Rd - Kohsar D/C

    2025 Gujar Khan 220/132 3 X 350 In-Out Islamabad North-Jehlum at Gujar Khan

    2nd D/C ISBD-N-Gujar-Khan D/C

    2025 DHA Lahore 220/132 2 X 350 Lahore-East To DHA D/C

    2025 Panwan 220/132 2 X 350 Lahore-N To Panwan D/C

    2025 Burewala 220/132 3 X 250 Vehari-Burewala D/C

    Burewala-Arifwala D/C

    2025 Bahawalnagar 220/132 2 X 250 Chishtian-Bahawalnagar D/C

    8.1.4 New Transmission Lines for System Reinforcements Required for Normal and N-1 Contingency Conditions: 2021-22 to 2025-26

    In addition to the new lines added in the system for evacuation of power from new power

    plants and for making connections with the new 500/220/kV and 220/132 kV grid stations,

    additional new lines are required to keep the loading on the circuits within the permissible

    limits under normal as well as N-1 contingency conditions. The details of such additional

    lines to be added in this period are as below:

    Year Line kV Type

    2022 Mardan-Faisalabad -West 500kV D/C

    2022 Ludewala-Faisalabad -West 500kV D/C

    2023 Sialkot-New to Sialkot (Sahuwala) 220 kV 2 x D/C

    2024 Haveli-Multan 500 kV D/C 2025 Matiari Moro 500kV D/C

  • National Power System Expansion Plan

    504760-01-A3 33 Transmission Plan

    8.1.5 Augmentations and Extensions at 500/220 kV and 220/132 kV Grid

    In addition to adding the new grid stations of 500/220 kV and 220/132 kV discussed above,

    the capacities of already existing grid stations were enhanced by Augmentations and

    Extensions. The Augmentations and Extensions at 500/220 kV for this period are as follows:

    Year Substation Voltage Size Type

    2022 Ludewala 500/220 1x750 MVA Extension

    2022 Multan 500/220 3x1000 MVA Augmentation

    2022 Islamabad-West 500/220 1x750 MVA Extension

    2023 Lahore-South 500/220 3x1000 MVA Augmentation

    2023 Gujranwala (Gakhar) 500/220 2x750 MVA Augmentation

    2022 D. G. Khan 500/220 2x750 MVA Augmentation

    2024 Lahore-North 500/220 1x1000 MVA Extension

    2025 Faisalabad -West 500/220 3x1000 MVA Augmentation

    2022 Sh. Mohammadi (Peshawar) 500/220 3x750 MVA Augmentation

    2022 Vehari 500/220 1x750 MVA Extension

    2023 Gatti 500/220 4x750 MVA Augmentation

    2023 Lahore Old (Sheikhupura) 500/220 4x750 MVA Augmentation

    2024 Sahiwal 500/220 1x750 MVA Extension

    2022 Shikarpur 500/220 2x750 MVA Augmentation

    2025 Shikarpur 500/220 1x750 MVA Extension

    2022 Dadu 500/220 2x750 MVA Augmentation

    2025 Dadu 500/220 1x750 MVA Extension

    2025 Gujranwala (Gakhar) 500/220 1x750 MVA Extension

    2025 D.G. Khan 500/220 1x750 MVA Extension

    It can be seen that most of the existing old 500 kV grid stations such as Multan Gatti,

    Lahore-Old, Peshawar (Sh. Mohammadi)) and Dadu, have been augmented with new higher

    capacity of multiples of 750 MVA or 1000 MVA transformers.

    The extensions and augmentation at 220/132 kV grid stations are based on the load

    capacity analysis (Appendix-1.3). There are forty eight (48) grid stations of 220/132 kV

    where either extension or augmentation has been carried out as listed in detail in Appendix

    10.2.

  • National Power System Expansion Plan

    504760-01-A3 34 Transmission Plan

    8.2 Load Flow Results of the year 2025-26

    The transmission scheme discussed above was evolved on the basis of load capacity

    analysis and detailed load flow analysis carried out for high hydel (low thermal) and low

    water (high thermal) conditions for normal (N-0) and contingency (N-1) conditions

    respectively.

    The study results with connectivity of all the new 500kV and 220 kV grid stations and new

    transmission lines proposed for this period have been plotted and attached for HW and LW

    seasons in Appendix-4.1 and 4.2 respectively:

    Normal (N-0) cases:

    Load flow results of normal cases i.e. with no circuits out of service, are attached as follows:

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.0 Results of Northern System of 500 kV

    Exhibit-2025-HW-2.0 Results of Southern System of 500 kV

    Exhibit-2025-HW-3.0 Results of Northern System of 220 kV

    Exhibit-2025-HW-4.0 Results of Mid-Country System of 220 kV

    Exhibit-2025-HW-5.0 Results of Southern System of 220 kV

    Exhibit-2026-LW-1.0 Results of Southern System of 500 kV

    Exhibit-2026-LW-2.0 Results of Northern System of 500 kV

    Exhibit-2026-LW-3.0 Results of Northern System of 220 kV

    Exhibit-2026-LW-4.0 Results of Mid-Country System of 220 kV

    Exhibit-2026-LW-5.0 Results of Southern System of 220 kV

    Due to congestion in the drawings, the plotted results of 220 kV network are separated from

    500 kV network and divided in 3 parts each for Northern system, Mid-Country system and

    Southern system.

    The results indicate the same pattern of power flows as in the previous spot years of study

    i.e. heavier flows in Northern circuits of 500 kV and 220 kV during HW season and relatively

    lighter flows on Southern grid; and vice versa during LW season. The voltages at 500 kV and

    220 kV on the entire NTDC system from North to South are within the normal permissible

    limits. The power flows on the lines of 500 kV and 220 kV and 500/220kV and 220/132 kV

    transformers are also within their rated limits.

  • National Power System Expansion Plan

    504760-01-A3 35 Transmission Plan

    Contingency (N-1) cases:

    The automatic contingency analysis (ACCC) for 220 kV network has been carried out which

    indicated some violations requiring reinforcement of the network as described above in

    section 8.1.4 With the proposed reinforcements the violations of voltage and line loadings

    were eliminated.

    Because of the power flow pattern causing more loading on lines on a seasonal basis, the

    one-line-out contingency cases of 500 kV system have been carried out for the Northern

    system (HW season being the season for heavy loading) whereas for the Southern system

    the outages have been performed on LW season respectively due to heavier loading during

    LW season..

    The plotted results are placed in Appendices 4.1 and 4.2 as follows:

    Outages for HW season (Appendix 4.1):

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.1 Basha-1 to Gabral 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.2 Gabral to Asrit-K 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.3 Asrit-K to Mardan-New 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.4 Basha-1 to K-Asrit 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.5 K-Asrit to Madyan 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.6 Madyan to Mardan-New 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.7 Basha-1 to Mardan-New 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.8 Basha-1 to Kaigah 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.9 Kaigah to Mardan-New 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.10 Pattan to Thakot 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.11 Thakot to Mardan-New 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.12 Thakot to Mansehra 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.13 Dasu to Lower Spatgah 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.14 Lower Spatgah to Palas 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.15 Dasu to Palas 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.16 Palas to Mansehra 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.17 Dasu to Mansehra 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.18 Bunji to Chilas 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.19 Chilas to Suk-Knri 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.20 Suk-Knri to Aliot-S/S 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.21 Chilas to Aliot-S/S 500 kV Single Circuit Out

  • National Power System Expansion Plan

    504760-01-A3 36 Transmission Plan

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.22 Dhudnial to N-Jehlum 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.23 N-Jehlum to Kohala 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.24 Kohala to Aliot-S/S 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.25 Mardan-New to FBD-W 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.26 FBD-W to Haveli 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.27 Mardan-New to Banu 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.28 Chashma-Nuc to Ludewala 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.29 Ludewala to FBD-W 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.30 Mardan-New to Peshawar-2 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.31 Tarbela to Ludewala 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.32 Tarbela to G.Brotha 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.33 G.Brotha to Ludewala 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.34 Ludewala to Gatti 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.35 G.Brotha to FBD-W 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.36 Mansehra to FBD-W 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.37 Mansehra to FBD-E 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.38 Faisalabad -E to Gatti 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.39 Mansehra to ISBD-W 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.40 Tarbela to ISBD-W 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.41 Aliot-s/s to ISBD-N 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.42 ISBD-N to Rewat-N500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.43 ISBD-W to Rewat-N500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.44 Rewat-N to Gujranwala 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.45 Mansehra to Qadirabad 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.46 Qadirabad to Gujranwala 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.47 Mansehra to Gujranwala 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.48 Gujranwala to Lahore-O 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.49 Lahore-O to Lahore-South 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.50 Bhikki to Lahore-O 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.51 Aliot-S/S to Azad Pattan 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.52 Azad Pattan to Gujranwala 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.53 Aliot-s/s to Karot 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.54 Karot to Gujranwala 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.55 Gujranwala to Lahore-N 500 kV Single Circuit Out

  • National Power System Expansion Plan

    504760-01-A3 37 Transmission Plan

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.56 Aliot-s/s to Sialkot 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.57 Sialkot to Lahore-N 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.58 Aliot-s/s to Gujrat 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.59 Gujrat to Lahore-N 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.60 Lahore-N to Lahore-E 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2025-HW-1.61 Tajikistan to Peshawar-2 500 kV HVDC Monopole Out

    Outages for LW season (Appendix 4.1):

    Exhibit-2026-LW-1.1 Tharcoal-2 to Matiari 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2026-LW-1.2 Tharcoal1 to Matiari 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2026-LW-1.3 Tharcoal1 to Karachi-E 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2026-LW-1.4 Karachi-S to PAEC 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2026-LW-1.5 NTDC Gharo to Karachi-E 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2026-LW-1.6 IMP-Coal to NKI 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2026-LW-1.7 IMP-Coal to AES-Coal 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2026-LW-1.8 AES-Coal to NKI 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2026-LW-1.9 HUB to NKI 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2026-LW-1.10 NKI to KDA 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2026-LW-1.11 NKI to Karachi-E500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2026-LW-1.12 NTDC-Jhimpir to Matiari 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2026-LW-1.13 Karachi-E to Matiari 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2026-LW-1.14 Matiari to Jamshoro 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2026-LW-1.15 Jamshoro to Dadu 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2026-LW-1.16 NKI to Jamshoro 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2026-LW-1.17 Matiari to Moro 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2026-LW-1.18 Moro to Dadu 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2026-LW-1.19 Dadu to SHKPR500 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2026-LW-1.20 Guddu-NEW to M.Garh 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2026-LW-1.21 Guddu to D. G. Khan 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2026-LW-1.22 Guddu-NEW to Guddu 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2026-LW-1.23 R. Y. Khan to Multan 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2026-LW-1.24 Haveli to FBD-W 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2026-LW-1.25 Haveli to Multan 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2026-LW-1.26 Rousch to Multan 500 kV Single Circuit Out

  • National Power System Expansion Plan

    504760-01-A3 38 Transmission Plan

    Exhibit-2026-LW-1.27 Multan to Vehari 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2026-LW-1.28 Sahiwal to Vehari 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2026-LW-1.29 Lahore-South to Okara 500 kV Single Circuit Out

    Exhibit-2026-LW-1.30 Tharcosl-2 to Lahore-South 600 HVDC Mono Pole out

    Exhibit-2026-LW-1.31 Tharcoal-1 to Lahore-South 600 kV HVDC Monopole Out

    Exhibit-2026-LW-1.32 Tharcoal-2 to FBD-W 600 kV HVDC Monopole Out

    The normal and N-1 contingency load flow results of 500 kV indicate that the proposed

    transmission expansion scheme of 500 kV during 2021-22 and 2025-26, fulfills the criteria of

    the Grid Code. The power flows on the intact circuits of 500 kV and 500/220 kV transformers

    for each outage are within the limits. The voltage profile on all 500 kV bus bars is also within

    the permissible criteria.

    The above analysis establishes the fact that the proposed expansion scheme of 500 kV and

    220 kV network till 2025-26 is adequate fulfilling the criteria of the Grid Code under normal

    and N-1 contingency conditions.

    9 TRANSMISSION EXPANSION FROM 2026-27 TO 2029-30

    9.1 Expansion Scheme

    9.1.1 Power Dispersal Projects: 2026-27 to 2029-30

    The major generation additions during the period from 2026-27 to 2029-30, include major

    blocks of coal-fired power plants at Thar coal fields, nuclear plants and a few hydel and

    thermal power plants across the Indus river and mid country respectively. The major plants

    are as follows:

  • National Power System Expansion Plan

    504760-01-A3 39 Transmission Plan

    Power Plants Type Installed Capacity, MW Commissioning

    Year Tungas Hydro 2000 2026-27 Yulbo Hydro 2400 2026-27 D. I. Khan CC 1414 2026-27 Thar Coal 6000 2027-28 PAEC (Karachi) Nuclear 1000 2027-28 Thar Coal 4800 2028-29 Chashma Nuclear 1000 2028-29 Thar Coal 6000 2029-30 Balloki CC 1414 2029-30 Wind Power(Total) Wind 1600 2026-30

    Some old power plants have been considered retired between the period 2016 and 2030 as

    proposed in the Generation Expansion Plan as follows:

    Year Retiring Power Plant #of Units Unit

    Capacity MW

    Total MW

    2026 Kot Addu 244 2027 KESC-Anoud 12

    Muzaffargarh 240 KESC-Bin Qasim 4 177 708 Kohinoor 6 12 72

    2028 KESC-IIL 6 19 113 2029 KESC-SGTPS 87

    KESC-KGTPS 87 Kot Addu 3 240 721 SEPCOL 6 19 115

    The essential transmission additions for the evacuation of power from the major power

    plants in NPSEP between 2026-27 and 2029-30 would be as follows:

    For Tungus o Tungus-Yulbo 500 kV D/C

    For Yulbo o Yulbo-Bunji 500 kV 3 circuits (One D/C and One S/C)

  • National Power System Expansion Plan

    504760-01-A3 40 Transmission Plan

    For D. I. Khan (CCPP) o To be connected at D. I. Khan 220 kV grid station already connected to

    Bannu, D. I. Khan-2, Pezo, Bhakkar, C1/C2 and C2/C3

    For Chashma (Nuclear) o To be connected to already constructed Chashma-Nuclear PP at 500 kV

    o Chashma-Bannu 500 kV D/C

    For Balloki o In-Out Lahore-South to Okara (Sahiwal) 500 kV D/C

    For Thar Coal: o Third and Fourth 600 kV HVDC each 2x2000 MW Bipoles from Thar to

    Lahore-South with respective converter stations of same capacity for each

    Bipole on both ends

    o Second and Third 600 kV HVDC each 2x2000 MW Bipoles from Thar to Faiselabad-West with respective converter stations of same capacity for each

    Bipole on both ends

    o