Ann S. McCorkindale, Chief Investment Officer Cara Miller, Senior Financial Advisor, South Dakota,...
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Transcript of Ann S. McCorkindale, Chief Investment Officer Cara Miller, Senior Financial Advisor, South Dakota,...
Ann S. McCorkindale, Chief Investment Officer
Cara Miller, Senior Financial Advisor,
South Dakota, Wyoming and Western Nebraska
INVESTING FOR INCOME IN 2011
TODAY’S INVESTOR
Their retirement account is recovering They are focusing on achieving their
Retirement goals They are refining & redefining their needs
Yearly distributions Life expectancy Social Security Benefits Health Insurance Long Term Care Retirement Wealth transfer Charitable bequests
TODAY’S INVESTMENT ENVIRONMENT
Rising Interest Rates Rising Inflation Rising Credit Concerns Stock Market Volatility and Uncertainty
RISING INTEREST RATES
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.53 mo Treasury Bill
10 yr Treasury Bond
U.S. Treasury Yield Movement
Source: U.S. Treasury.
CREDIT CONCERNS – NOT RISING
Source (Top chart): U.S. Treasury, J.P. Morgan, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Default rates are defined as the par value percentage of the total market trading at or below 50% of par value and include any chapter 11 filing, prepackaged filing or missed interest payments. Spreads indicated are benchmark rates over comparable Treasury yields. Source (Bottom chart): Barclays Capital, FactSet, J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Spreads indicated are benchmark rates over comparable maturity Treasury yields. High yield represented by the Barclays Capital High Yield Municipal Index, taxable bonds by the Barclays Capital Taxable Municipal Bond Index, revenue bonds by the Barclays Capital Revenue Bond Index and general obligation bonds by the Barclays Capital General Obligation Index. Tax-equivalent yield calculation assumes a 35% marginal tax rate. Past performance is not indicative of comparable future results. Data are as of 3/31/11.
World Bond15%
Multisector Bond25%
Intermediate-Term Bond30%
Short Government Bond15%
Inflation Protected Bond15%
INCOME INVESTING IN TODAY’S RISING ENVIRONMENT:
World Bond15%
Multisector Bond25%
Intermediate-Term Bond25%
Dividend Paying Stocks10%
Floating Rate Bond10%
Inflation Protected Bond15%
Old Model New Model
DIVIDEND PAYING PORTFOLIOSIndividual Stock Portfolio
Data from Morningstar as of April 30, 2011
Individual Stock Portfolio
Columbia Dividend Income
GSFTX
Wisdom Tree Equity Income
DHS
TTM Yield 3.22%2.19% 3.65%
Avg. Net Expense Ratio
0.80% 0.38% -
Holdings 102 336 10
Consumer Cyclical
Communication Svcs
Energy
Industrials
Technology
Consumer Defensive
Healthcare
Ticker
ABT
Company
TSMINTC
MO
KO
GIS
MCD
DE
XOM
AT&T
Abbott Labs
Taiwan Semiconductor
Intel
Altria
Coca-Cola
General Mills
McDonalds
Exxon Mobil
Deere
T
GROWTH INVESTING IN TODAY’S RISING ENVIRONMENT -
Large Cap Growth27%
Large Cap Value16%
Mid-Cap Growth5%
Mid-Cap Value5%
Small Cap Growth5%
Small Cap Value5%
International Developed10%
International Emerging Markets
15%
Global Natural Resources/ Commodities
7%
Global Real Estate5%
THE SCREENING CRITERIA Category specific At least a 3 year History Manager Tenure at least 3 years Expense ratio below category average Peer performance in top 1/3 for
Last 1,3 & 5 year Available NTF with no minimums and no
redemption fees
THE MORNINGSTAR ‘STAR’
What makes a 5 star fund a 5 star fund:
3 year old fund: 100% three-year rating
5-10 year old fund: 60% five-year rating 40% three year rating
10 year+ fund: 50% 10-year rating 30% five year rating
20% three year rating
Rating
OUR FUNDSFund Name Morningstar Rating
Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF Not Rated
Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Value ETF Not Rated
Goldman Sachs Growth Opportunities A LW ÙÙÙ
J PMorgan Mid Cap Value A Load Waived ÙÙÙÙ
Sentinel Small Company A ÙÙÙÙ
Northern Small Cap Value ÙÙÙ
William Blair International Growth N ÙÙÙ
Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Open ÙÙÙÙ
Oppenheimer Developing Markets A ÙÙÙÙÙ
PIMCO Emerging Local Bond D ÙÙÙÙ
RS Global Natural Resources A LW ÙÙÙÙ
Credit Suisse Commodity Return Strat Com ÙÙÙÙ
ING Global Real Estate A Load Waived ÙÙÙÙ
PIMCO Total Return D ÙÙÙÙÙ
PIMCO Real Return D ÙÙÙÙ
Columbia Dividend Income Z ÙÙÙÙÙ
Oppenheimer Global Strategic Inc A LW ÙÙÙ
Eaton Vance Floating-Rate & Hi Inc A ÙÙÙ
AllianceBern Global Bond A Load Waived ÙÙÙÙ
DWS Managed Municipal Bonds S ÙÙÙÙÙ
MOST COMMON INVESTOR INVESTMENT PROCESSPAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT A GOOD PREDICTOR OF FUTURE PERFORMANCE
History has shown that fixed
time periods are inadequate to
examine a manager’s
performance.
1/1/00-12/31/04 1/1/05-12/31/09Source: Morningstar; Based on the Morningstar Large Value category over the entire 10-year period from 1/1/99 through 12/31/09.
24.8%
25.2%
13.5%
25.2%
Top Quartile
Top Quartile
Second Quartile
Third Quartile
Bottom Quartile
Top Quartil
e
Top Quartil
e
Second Quartil
e
Third Quartil
e
Bottom Quartil
e
No Longer Exist
11.3%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
Apr-09
May
-09
Jun-09
Jul-09
Aug
-09
Sep
-09
Oct-09
Nov
-09
Dec
-09
Jan-10
Feb-10
Mar-10
Apr-10
May
-10
Jun-10
Jul-10
Aug
-10
Sep
-10
Oct-10
Nov
-10
Dec
-10
Jan-11
Feb-11
Mar-11
Apr-11
12-M
onth
Pee
r Ran
k
PIMCO EM Bond
Oppenheimer EM
RS Global NR
CS Commodity
Sentinel SG
JP Morgan MV
Northern SV
William Blair Intl
Lazard EM (white)
Goldman MG
ING Global RE
MONITORING GROWTH MANAGERS12-MONTH PEER RANK %APRIL 30, 2011
Top Fund
Worst Fund
In Order for 4/30/11:
INDIVIDUAL ISSUE STRATEGIES
Dividend Paying stock portfolios Passive government or municipal
portfolios SMA managers
Sector Municipal Dividend Paying Stock - SRI
Tactical