Anglo American: Deutsche Bank BRICS Metals and Mining Conference

11

Click here to load reader

description

Chief Executive Cynthia Carroll presented at the Deutsche Bank BRICS Metals and Mining Conference in London. You can find out more about Anglo American here: http://www.angloamerican.com/ http://www.facebook.com/angloamerican http://www.twitter.com/angloamerican http://www.youtube.com/angloamerican http://www.flickr.com/photos/angloamerican http://www.linkedin.com/company/anglo-american

Transcript of Anglo American: Deutsche Bank BRICS Metals and Mining Conference

Page 1: Anglo American: Deutsche Bank BRICS Metals and Mining Conference

DEUTSCHE BRICS METALS AND

MINING CONFERENCE

2 November 2011

Cynthia Carroll, Chief Executive

Page 2: Anglo American: Deutsche Bank BRICS Metals and Mining Conference

2

CAUTIONARY STATEMENT

Disclaimer: This presentation has been prepared by Anglo American plc (“Anglo American”) and comprises the written materials/slides for a presentation concerning Anglo American. By attending this presentation and/or reviewing the slides you agree to be bound by the following conditions.

This presentation is for information purposes only and does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy shares in Anglo American. Further, it does not constitute a recommendation by Anglo American or any other party to sell or buy shares in Anglo American or any other securities. All written or oral forward-looking statements attributable to Anglo American or persons acting on their behalf are qualified in their entirety by these cautionary statements.

Forward-Looking Statements

This presentation includes forward-looking statements. All statements other than statements of historical facts included in this presentation, including, without limitation, those regarding Anglo American’s financial position, business and acquisition strategy, plans and objectives of management for future operations (including development plans and objectives relating to Anglo American’s products, production forecasts and reserve and resource positions), are forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of Anglo American, or industry results, to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements.

Such forward-looking statements are based on numerous assumptions regarding Anglo American’s present and future business strateg ies and the environment in which Anglo American will operate in the future. Important factors that could cause Anglo American’s actual results, performance or achievements to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include, among others, levels of actual production during any period, levels of global demand and commodity market prices, mineral resource exploration and development capabilities, recovery rates and other operational capabilities, the availability of mining and processing equipment, the ability to produce and transport products profitably, the impact of foreign currency exchange rates on market prices and operating costs, the availability of sufficient credit, the effects of inflation, political uncertainty and economic conditions in relevant areas of the world, the actions of competitors, activities by governmental authorities such as changes in taxation or safety, health, environmental or other types of regulation in the countries where Anglo American operates, conflicts over land and resource ownership rights and such other risk factors identified in Anglo American’s most recent Annual Report. Forward-looking statements should, therefore, be construed in light of such risk factors and undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this presentation. Anglo American expressly disclaims any obligation or undertaking (except as required by applicable law, the City Code on Takeovers and Mergers (the “Takeover Code”), the UK Listing Rules, the Disclosure and Transparency Rules of the Financial Services Authority, the Listings Requirements of the securities exchange of the JSE Limited in South Africa, the SWX Swiss Exchange, the Botswana Stock Exchange and the Namibian Stock Exchange and any other applicable regulations) to release publicly any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statement contained herein to reflect any change in Anglo American’s expectations with regard thereto or any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based.

Nothing in this presentation should be interpreted to mean that future earnings per share of Anglo American will necessarily match or exceed its historical published earnings per share.

Certain statistical and other information about Anglo American included in this presentation is sourced from publicly available third party sources. As such it presents the views of those third parties, but may not necessarily correspond to the views held by Anglo American.

No Investment Advice

This presentation has been prepared without reference to your particular investment objectives, financial situation, taxation position and particular needs. It is important that you view this presentation in its entirety. If you are in any doubt in relation to these matters, you should consult your stockbroker, bank manager, solicitor, accountant, taxation adviser or other independent financial adviser (where applicable, as authorised under the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 in the UK, or in South Africa, under the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act 37 of 2002.).

Page 3: Anglo American: Deutsche Bank BRICS Metals and Mining Conference

3

A CONSISTENT STRATEGY AND SIMPLIFIED

ORGANISATION DELIVERING RESULTS

(1) Core revenue split (2) Source: AME, Brook Hunt - a Wood Mackenzie company, Johnson Matthey. Thermal Coal represents share of internationally traded market, nickel and copper represent share of world mined production (3) Productivity based on material moved, mined or processed per operational headcount, excluding projects. Kumba refers to Sishen only (4) Source: AME, Brook Hunt - a Wood Mackenzie company, Anglo American Platinum. Represents % of attributable production in lower half of the cost curve (5) In 2008 all Nickel operations in H2

China’s share of global consumption 2010 (%)

23%

Diamonds

11%

Platinum

Nickel

2%

Copper

16%

Thermal Coal

11%

Met Coal11%

Iron Ore

& Manganese

26%

Thermal Coal

Imports11%

Palladium 21%

Platinum 25%

Nickel 33%

Copper 38%

Steel 41%

Iron Ore 54%

Met Coal 62%100%80%60%40%20%0%

Platinum

Nickel(5)

Copper

Export Hard

Coking Coal

Export Iron Ore

80

90

100

110

120

130

140

150Copper

Platinum

Kumba

Met Coal

Q2

11

Q1

11

201020092008

2008

2011

2008

2011

20082011

20092011

2011

Well diversified portfolio(1)

Structurally attractive commodities(2)

Improving productivity performance(3)

Delivering commodity positions in

lower half of cost curves(4)

Page 4: Anglo American: Deutsche Bank BRICS Metals and Mining Conference

4

160

140

120

100

80

60

40

20

0

220

200

180

MATERIAL GROWTH IN THE SHORT AND LONG TERM

Indexed production growth charts exclude Diamonds, Manganese, niobium and phosphates as at 29 July 2011.

2010 2014

>65%

Ind

exe

d p

rod

uctio

n g

row

th (

20

10

= 1

00

)

Iron Ore

Thermal Coal

Met Coal

PGM

Copper

Nickel

>35%

Medium term

growth

>100%

Existing

operations

& approved

projects

Near term

approvals

Future growth

options

Continuing to

invest in

exploration

and

restocking the

pipeline

Future options

Page 5: Anglo American: Deutsche Bank BRICS Metals and Mining Conference

5

Export Iron Ore

MOVING TO INDUSTRY LEADING COST POSITIONS

Anglo American Platinum cost curve based on internal estimates; all other data sourced from 3rd party data providers. Source: AME, Brook Hunt - a Wood Mackenzie

company, Anglo American Platinum

100%

80%

60%

40%

20%

0%

20152008

1st

half

cost

curve

2nd

half

cost

curve

Copper Nickel PlatinumExport Hard

Coking Coal

20152008 20152009 20152008 20152008

Page 6: Anglo American: Deutsche Bank BRICS Metals and Mining Conference

6

78%

82%

84%

85%

100%

Expressways (Km)

Steel for ship building

Urban floor space

Car output

Truck output

LONG TERM DEMAND GROWTH REMAINS HEALTHY

(1) The analysis excludes Taiwan. Source: NBS, CEIC, Anglo American Analysis

Chinese Regional Urbanisation(1) 2009 China’s expected growth 2010 to 2018

Xun River

Huang River

Yangtze River

50-60%60%-70%

70%-80%>80%

<50%

Sichuan

Heilongjiang

Jilin

Liaoning

Hebei

Shandong

Fujian

Jiangxi

Anhui

Hubei

Hunan

Guangdong

Guangxi

Shanghai

Henan

Shanxi

Hainan

Inner

Mongolia

Shaanxi

Ningxia

Gansu

Qinghai

Guizhou

Yunnan

Tibet

Xinjiang

Jiangsu

Zhejiang

Tianjin

Beijing

Hong Kong

Macau

Chongqing

Page 7: Anglo American: Deutsche Bank BRICS Metals and Mining Conference

7

SET TO BENEFIT FROM THE SHIFT

IN COMMODITIES DEMAND

Source: Anglo American Commodity Research

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

2000 2005 2010 2015 2020

Chinese share of global demand

Finished Steel

Copper

Nickel

Light duty vehicles

Polished diamonds

Page 8: Anglo American: Deutsche Bank BRICS Metals and Mining Conference

8

SUPPLY CONSISTENTLY UNDER DELIVERS

Source: Anglo American, Brook Hunt - a Wood Mackenzie Company

Infrastructure project delays

2010 planned

0

1

2

3

DBCT 7X Northern Missing

Link

RBCT Oakajee Port & Rail

2 2

1

?

Years

1.7

1.6

1.5

1.4

1.3

1.2

1.1

1.0

0.9

Copper industry grade declines,

a long term downward trend

1990 2000 2010 2020

Copper

gra

de C

u %

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

9.0

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Pit Walls Strikes Technical Ramp-up

Weather Grades Other

Copper mine

underperformance ‘04 – ‘11e

Page 9: Anglo American: Deutsche Bank BRICS Metals and Mining Conference

9

$ per t/yr Cu

0

5,000

10,000,

15,000

20,000

25,000

1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025

FUTURE SUPPLY WILL BE IMPACTED

BY INCREASING CAPITAL INTENSITY

Source: Brook Hunt – Wood Mackenzie

Conc Producers

SxEw

Annual Prod Scale kt/yr Cu

Projects Under Construction

Projects Probable

5

15

30

Page 10: Anglo American: Deutsche Bank BRICS Metals and Mining Conference

10

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

1 2 3 4

Project Cost

Start-up Time

Operability

Planned growth profile requires a project that:

• Achieves lower capital costs

• Provides greater schedule predictability

• Reduces risk

• Enhances AAMC’s public profile and corporate reputation

• Enhances SHEC outcomes

1. One standard Longwall

& CHPP design

2. Partnerships with Joy

Mining Machinery &

Hatch

3. Standard organisation

structures & integrated

resourcing

4. Integrated community

engagement and

management

(Moranbah 2020)

5. Dedicated port terminal

of 30 Mt

Progressive engineering

& management efficiencies

& cost reductions

Reduced delivery

lead times

Strategic equipment

sourcing

Construction safety and

productivity gains

Improved production ramp-up

and operability

Team continuity and

performance

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

1 2 3 4

90%

95%

100%

105%

110%

115%

1 2 3 4

Delivering four longwalls in the same region offers fantastic synergy

STRATEGIC PROJECT MANAGEMENT APPROACH

Project Delivery

Objectives

Our Approach Target Outcomes Benefits

Number of Longwalls

Page 11: Anglo American: Deutsche Bank BRICS Metals and Mining Conference

11

• Consistent strategy and simple organisational

structure delivering results

• Comprehensive improvements undertaken

over the last three years

• Delivering on key near-term growth projects,

major volume growth is under way

• Operations moving down the cost curve

• Longer term fundamentals remain unchanged

• Supply challenges and increasing capital

intensity underpinned longer term

fundamentals

• Strategic project management is a key enabler

for future projects delivery

• Anglo American is well placed to deliver future

growth

DELIVERING VALUE FROM A CONSISTENT STRATEGY

(1) 100% basis (2) Productivity based on material moved, mined or processed per operational headcount, excluding projects. Kumba refers to Sishen only

Material growth in the short and long term

Operational improvements realised across businesses

220

200

180

160

140

120

100

80

60

40

20

0

2010 2014 Medium term

growth

Future options

Existing

operations

& approved

projects

Near term

approvals

($16bn)

Future

growth

options

Indexed production growth (2010 = 100)

>35%

>65%

>100%

80

90

100

110

120

130

140

150Copper

Platinum

Kumba

Met coal

Q2 11Q1 11201020092008

Indexed productivity(2) (2008 = 100)