Anglo Amercian Exane BNP Paribas European Seminar · EXANE BNP PARIBAS EUROPEAN SEMINAR 9JUNE 2011,...
Transcript of Anglo Amercian Exane BNP Paribas European Seminar · EXANE BNP PARIBAS EUROPEAN SEMINAR 9JUNE 2011,...
ANGLO AMERICAN PLCEXANE BNP PARIBAS EUROPEAN SEMINAR 9 JUNE 2011, PARIS
René MedoriFinance Director
DISCLAIMERThis presentation has been prepared by Anglo American plc (“Anglo American”) and comprises the written materials/slides for a presentation concerning Anglo American. By attending this presentation and/or reviewing the slides, you agree to be bound by the following conditions.This presentation is for information purposes only and does not constitute an offer to sell, or the solicitation of an offer to buy, shares in Anglo American. Further, it does not constitute a recommendation by Anglo American or any other party to sell or buy shares in Anglo American or any other securities. All written or oral forward-looking statements attributable to Anglo American or persons acting on their behalf are qualified in their entirety by these cautionary statements.Forward-Looking StatementsThis presentation includes forward-looking statements. All statements other than statements of historical facts included in this presentation, including, without limitation, those regarding Anglo American’s financial position, business and acquisition strategy, plans and objectives of management for future operations (including development plans and objectives relating to Anglo American’s products, production forecasts and reserve and resource positions), are forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of Anglo American, or industry results, to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements are based on numerous assumptions regarding Anglo American’s present and future business strategies and the environment in which Anglo American will operate in the future. Important factors that could cause Anglo American’s actual results, performance or achievements to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include, among others, levels of actual production during any period, levels of global demand and commodity market prices, mineral resource exploration and development capabilities, recovery rates and other operational capabilities, the availability of mining and processing equipment, the ability to produce and transport products profitably, the impact of foreign currency exchange rates on market prices and operating costs, the availability of sufficient credit, the effects of inflation, political uncertainty and economic conditions in relevant areas of the world, the actions of competitors, activities by governmental authorities such as changes in taxation or safety, health, environmental or other types of regulation in the countries where Anglo American operates, conflicts over land and resource ownership rights and such other risk factors identified in Anglo American’s most recent Annual Report. Forward-looking statements should, therefore, be construed in light of such risk factors and undue reliance should not be placed on forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this presentation. Anglo American expressly disclaims any obligation or undertaking (except as required by applicable law, the City Code on Takeovers and Mergers (the “Takeover Code”), the UK Listing Rules, the Disclosure and Transparency Rules of the Financial Services Authority, the Listings Requirements of the securities exchange of the JSE Limited in South Africa, the SWX Swiss Exchange, the Botswana Stock Exchange and the Namibian Stock Exchange and any other applicable regulations) to release publicly any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statement contained herein to reflect any change in Anglo American’s expectations with regard thereto or any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based.Nothing in this presentation should be interpreted to mean that future earnings per share of Anglo American will necessarily match or exceed its historical published earnings per share.Certain statistical and other information about Anglo American included in this presentation is sourced from publicly available third party sources. As such it presents the views of those third parties, but may not necessarily correspond to the views held by Anglo American.No Investment AdviceThis presentation has been prepared without reference to your particular investment objectives, financial situation, taxation position and particular needs. It is important that you view this presentation in its entirety. If you are in any doubt in relation to these matters, you should consult your stockbroker, bank manager, solicitor, accountant, taxation adviser or other independent financial adviser (where applicable, as authorised under the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 in the UK, or in South Africa, under the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act 37 of 2002.).
STRONG PERFORMANCE FROM A UNIQUELY DIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIO
4
9%5%
22%
9%
10%1%
37%
6%
15%
38%
47%
BULKS
BASE
UNIQUE DIVERSIFICATION IN STRUCTURALLY ATTRACTIVE COMMODITIES
SamancorKIO
Thermal CoalMet Coal
NickelCopper
De BeersPlatinum
Attributable earnings by Business Unit1 %
PRECIOUS
1 Core businesses 2010
Commodity diversification
62% 60%
38%32%
26%
20%
11%
0%
20%
40%
60%
Met
Coa
l
Iron
Ore
Cop
per
Nic
kel
Plat
inum
Palla
dium
Ther
mal
Coa
l
55% of our net assets
Chinese demand for our products
China’s share of global consumption %
Source: Anglo American, AME, Brook Hunt, a Wood Mackenzie company, Johnson Matthey. Thermal Coal represents share of internationally traded market, nickel and copper represent share of world mined production
5
DELIVERING STRONG PERFORMANCE.. SOLID FOUNDATION FOR GROWTH
0.50.8
2010
$3.0bn
2.2
2009
$1.7bn
1.2
Significant Asset Optimisation & Procurement benefit
ProcurementAO
7.1
6.35.7
+23%
201020092008
m2 per operating employee per month
Platinum productivityMetallurgical coal productivity
8.87.9
6.0
+48%
201020092008
ROM (kt) per FTE at export mines
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IMPROVING NET DEBT POSITION
1 A further $0.2bn was received from sales of joint ventures in Platinum and Metallurgical Coal business units2 Relates to Tarmac’s French and Belgian and Polish Concrete Products business and its European Aggregates business
Disposals 2010 & 2011 Net cash inflows from disposals1
Including:
Moly-Cop and AltaSteel $1.0bn
Australian undeveloped coal assets $0.5bn
Tarmac European businesses2 $0.5bn
Skorpion zinc mine $0.6bn
Black Mountain $0.3bn
Lisheen $0.2bn
$3.2bn
2010
$7.4bn
2009
$11.3bn
2008
$11.0bn
16%29%Gearing
Net debt and gearing
38%
MACRO ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT
8
LONG TERM ECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT SUPPORTED BY DEVELOPING ECONOMIES
Investment in infrastructure (US$ billion, constant 2005 prices and exchange rates)
Middle Classes by region 2009 and 2030
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
BrazilIndiaChinaUKGermanyJapanUS
20302008
7.8
5.23.0
1.7
19.5
12.7
2.7
6.6
18.5
13.3
9.67.7
2030202020102000
BrazilChinaIndia
GDP per capita growth in developing economies
Source: Anglo American ,OECD, Standard Chartered Research, McKinsey Global Institute
1bn
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CHINESE URBANISATION IS SET TO CONTINUE
Xun River
Huang River
Yangtze RiverSichuan
Heilongjiang
Jilin
Liaoning
Hebei
Shandong
Fujian
Jiangxi
Anhui
Hubei
Hunan
GuangdongGuangxi
Shanghai
Henan
Shanxi
Hainan
InnerMongolia
Shaanxi
Ningxia
Gansu
Qinghai
Guizhou
Yunnan
Tibet
Xinjiang
Jiangsu
Zhejiang
Tianjin
Taiwan
Beijing
Hong KongMacau
Chongqing
Xun River
Huang River
Yangtze RiverSichuan
Heilongjiang
Jilin
Liaoning
Hebei
Shandong
Fujian
Jiangxi
AnhuiHubei
Hunan
GuangdongGuangxi
Shanghai
Henan
Shanxi
Hainan
InnerMongolia
Shaanxi
Ningxia
Gansu
Qinghai
Guizhou
Yunnan
Tibet
Xinjiang
Jiangsu
Zhejiang
Tianjin
Taiwan
Beijing
Hong KongMacau
Chongqing
● $3k-$6k● $6k-$9k
● $9k-$12k● >$12k
● <$3k
2010 GDP per capita US$ 7,000
2020 GDP per capita
US$ 13,000
Source: Anglo American
10
URBANISATION WILL DRIVE EARLY PHASE STEEL DEMAND GROWTH
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
Demographic steel intensity kg per capita
1997 2000 2005 2010
Japan
Germany Developed world
USA
China
World
India
2015
Source: Anglo American
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PLATINUM AND DIAMOND DEMAND WILL GROW AS ECONOMY MATURES
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
DTC nominal price indexDiamond Demand Growth in 2010
US 7%Japan 4%India 37%China 26%Total 8%
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
Pt price US$/oz
Pt s
hare
glo
bal d
eman
d %
Chinese platinum jewellery demand
Source: Anglo American ,Johnson Matthey, De Beers
DTC
nom
inal
pric
e in
dex
12
10
15
20
2008 2010
SUPPLY CONSISTENTLY UNDER DELIVERS
Mt C
oppe
r
Copper industry production planned vs. actual
2007 actual
2010 planned
2010 actual
Source: Anglo American ,Brook Hunt A Wood Mackenzie Company
2010 planned
Copper industry grade declines – a long term downward trend
Cop
per g
rade
Cu
%
WELL POSITIONED TO CONTINUE TO DELIVER GROWTH
14
SUCCESSFUL DELIVERY OF BARRO ALTO IS ONLY THE BEGINNING..
1 Over first 3 years, average 400 ktpa over first 10 years
Barro Alto Nickel, Brazil
100% complete
Los Bronces Copper, Chile
92% complete
KolomelaIron Ore, South Africa
89% complete
Minas-Rio Brazil45% complete
Q1 2011 H2 2013H1 2012Q4 2011First Production
• 41 ktpa first five yrs; 36 ktpa over LOM• First metal achieved 30March• Proven technology standard rotary kiln -electric furnace • Positioned H1 cost curve• Completed on budget $1.9bn
• 278 ktpa• Doubling Los Bronces capacity to 490ktpa1
• At peak production, 5th
largest producing copper mine globally• Positioned H1 cost curve• Capex $2.8bn
• 9 Mtpa• High quality export iron ore• Positioned H1 cost curve• Capex $1.1bn
• 26.5 Mtpa •Extremely high quality pellet feed• 80 – 90 Mtpa potential capacity• Positioned in Q1 cost curve• Capex $5bn
15
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
THE NEAR TERM PIPELINE WILL INCREASE PRODUCTION BY 50% TO 2015, WITH FURTHER VOLUME GROWTH BEYOND
2009 2015 Outlook
100%
Inde
xed
prod
uctio
n gr
owth
(200
9 =
100)
Jacaré I, Morro Sem Boné
Michiquillay, Collahuasi
Grosvenor Ph2, Moranbah South,
Drayton South
Iron Ore
Thermal Coal
Met Coal
PGM
Copper
Nickel
Barro Alto
Los BroncesQuellaveco
Minas-Rio , Kolomela
Various Platinum Projects
Cerrejón, Elders, New Largo
Various Platinum Projects
Selected projects
50%
SEP 1B, Sishen B-Grade (SEP2), Minas-Rio
expansion
Grosvenor Ph1
THANK YOU