Analytics jan 2012 final

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Monthly Investment Report JANUARY 2012

Transcript of Analytics jan 2012 final

Page 1: Analytics jan 2012 final

Monthly Investment Report JANUARY 2012

Page 2: Analytics jan 2012 final

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Table of contents

Page

Analytics market comment 3

Analytics funds of funds performance tables and charts 5 Analytics funds of funds monthly return tables 9

Analytics funds of funds risk analysis 10

Peer Relative Performance 12

Asset manager performance tables 15

Analytics funds of funds asset allocation 17

Analytics Cautious Fund of Funds characteristics 18 Analytics Managed Equity Fund sector analysis 20

Analytics Managed Equity share exposure analysis 21

Disclaimer 22

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Analytics market comment

After weeks of keeping global investors waiting, the Greek government last night voted to accept

another round of austerity measures so that the way can now be cleared for their European pay-masters to open the taps of the second bail-out package that is needed to avoid a disorderly de-fault next month. This acceptance of severe austerity measures followed a rejection last week by the European troika of a previous set of Greek austerity proposals that apparently left a hole of

€325 million in their proposed €3.3 billion savings program. In addition to the savings outlined, the current (and future) Greek government is expected to commit in writing to the implementation of these measures. While the debate and the voting apparently took place behind an armed police

cordon, riot police battled with protestors as buildings burned in Athens and violence spread across the country. Shops in Athens were looted and 34 buildings were reported as being ablaze as Greeks vented their anger at the medicine that they are being forced to swallow in return for the bail-out

funds. This new agreement also provides for a bond swap to ease Greece’s debt burden by cutting the real value of some private sector holdings of Greek government debt by as much as 70%, finally offer-

ing some sobering insight into the true meaning of the word “sovereign”. Greek GDP is already down by about 10% and some very tough times lie ahead for that economy and its citizens.

Reuters reports that on Saturday more than 100,000 people gathered in Lisbon’s Palace Square in the largest rally against austerity and economic hardship since the country resorted to an EU-IMF bailout last May. This mass rally precedes the start this week of the next quarterly evaluation of the implementation of their bail-out and it comes amid concern that Portugal will need more bail-out

funds and maybe even a debt restructuring like Greece. The yield on 10-year Portuguese govern-ment bonds rocketed all the way up to 15% in January and these yields are currently around 12.5% which is regarded as unsustainable territory and a signal that more help may be needed

soon. But doubt lingers. With the prospect of a debt-to-GDP ratio of about 130% by 2020, has Greece stepped away from the precipice or (as Business Day ponders today), in the absence of its own

depreciable currency, has its date with destiny merely been postponed again? The UK’s Daily Telegraph newspaper asks the question whether the successful resolution of the

Greek debt talks has added to the impression that the crisis in Europe is in retreat and offers the emphatic answer that regrettably, it is a view that is almost certainly wrong, in both political and economic terms. The European Central Bank’s action of providing unlimited liquidity for the stricken

European banking system has bought time, but not addressed the causes of the crisis. The problem of widely divergent competitiveness uncorrected by free-floating exchange rates remains exactly the same as before. Therefore, German-driven fiscal discipline and structural reform have become the order of the day as Greece is dragged into the 21st century. Restrictive labour laws are being

dismantled and the corrupt cronyism of the political and business class is being challenged like never before. The article goes further by pointing out that European economies remain a million miles away from the convergence necessary for an effective monetary union and the breakneck

speed with which Europe is now taking its medicine is proving economically disastrous. The latest data out of Greece indicate an economy in a state of almost total collapse – a death spiral of plung-ing output, multiplying bankruptcy and calamitous capital flight. The question is then posed as to how much longer Greece’s always tenuous grip on democracy can survive such an onslaught?

What will Mr Gordhan do?

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Today’s editorial in the Business Day suggests that we should welcome the Greeks who bear such important lessons for our political and economic leaders. This lead article mentions that while the Greek economy will still have a debt-to-GDP ratio of around 130% by 2020, South Africa’s cur-rent debt-to-GDP ratio is about 40% and rising, but adds that we do have a freely traded and liq-uid currency that has proved quite capable in the past of depreciating sharply when investors lose confidence in the sustainability of economic policy. Having digested President Zuma’s State of the Nation speech last week, there are some doubts as to whether the government can imple-ment its ambitious and much-needed infrastructure investment program while simultaneously expanding the world’s most extensive welfare payment system, cutting the cost of doing business in SA, and preventing corrupt state officials from plundering the coffers – all while avoiding the temptation to allow our debt to keep rising towards that crucial level of 60% of GDP (even though it is a level to which many European countries still aspire!). The article ends off by suggesting that Finance Minister Pravin Gordhan will paint a clearer pic-ture when he delivers his budget speech later this month even though there are too many contra-dictions between government policy, what is happening on the ground, and the promises Mr Zuma keeps on making. It is not possible to please all the people all the time indefinitely, as Greece’s politicians are seeing now. Our Finance Ministry has a history of prudence and discipline and there is no reason for this track record to be broken – the stark lessons from Europe are just too painful. The delicate balance between social responsibility and economic growth stimulus is something that has been baked into South African fiscal and monetary policy over the last 17 years – but some compromise is always necessary. The widespread social unrest that is currently part and parcel of the European push to austerity, coming on the heels of food riots in Asia not so long ago, the “Arab Spring” and the “OCCUPY” movement suggests that there must be a more serious global focus on social issues, a complete antithesis to what is happening in Europe at the mo-ment. There are too many unanswered questions, differences of opinion, possible end-games and oppor-tunities for political “one-upmanship” to expect global market volatility to subside any time soon. However, the fact that equity markets look ahead and sometimes see through seemingly serious events means that we should always remain alert for investment opportunities in risky assets.

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Analytics funds of funds performance tables

Snapshot of returns

All returns refer to A-class returns and returns for periods more than 12 months are annualised.

The returns on the FTSE/JSE All Share Index are total returns.

The CPI numbers for periods shorter than 12 months have been computed on a pro-rata basis, using a one-month lagged annual CPI value.

1 3 6 12 24 36 60

month months months YTD months months months months

Analytics Cautious Fund of Funds

Actual fund 1.73% 2.07% 3.67% 1.73% 4.29% 7.09% 8.17% 6.80%

CPI 0.51% 1.53% 3.05% 0.51% 6.11% 4.78% 5.30% 6.47%

Analytics Moderate Fund of Funds

Actual fund 2.73% 2.79% 5.13% 2.73% 5.08% 9.57% 11.80% 6.12%

CPI 0.51% 1.53% 3.05% 0.51% 6.11% 4.78% 5.30% 6.47%

Analytics Balanced Fund of Funds

Actual fund 3.34% 3.33% 6.54% 3.34% 6.69% 11.69% 14.37% 6.33%

CPI 0.51% 1.53% 3.05% 0.51% 6.11% 4.78% 5.30% 6.47%

Analytics Flexible Fund of Funds

Actual fund 1.68% 1.54% 5.14% 1.68% 1.92% 5.06% 3.86% 1.83%

CPI 0.51% 1.53% 3.05% 0.51% 6.11% 4.78% 5.30% 6.47%

Analytics Managed Equity Fund

Actual fund 5.02% 4.52% 8.40% 5.02% 9.25% 15.00% 20.43% 7.40%

FTSE/JSE All Share Index 5.73% 4.79% 10.09% 5.73% 10.83% 15.64% 21.20% 8.82%

Jan-12

Since inception Compound return Annualised return Period

Analytics Cautious Fund of Funds

Actual fund 171.6% 11.3% Oct 2002 - Jan 2012

Analytics Moderate Fund of Funds

Actual fund 237.0% 12.2% Jul 2001 - Jan 2012

Analytics Balanced Fund of Funds

Actual fund 442.72% 13.3% Jul 98 - Jan 2012

Analytics Flexible Fund of Funds

Actual fund 309.97% 10.9% Jul 98 - Jan 2012

Analytics Managed Equity Fund

Actual fund 382.31% 16.3% Sep 2001 - Jan 2012

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Analytics funds of funds performance charts

Since inception: Analytics Cautious Fund of Funds

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Analytics Cautious FOF A since inception vs. Inflation and Cash

Analytics Cautious FoF A Inflation Cash After-Tx cash

Since inception: Analytics Moderate Fund of Funds

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Analytics Moderate FOF A since inception vs. Inflation and Cash

Analytics Moderate FoF A Inflation Cash After-Tx cash

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Analytics funds of funds performance charts

Since inception: Analytics Balanced Fund of Funds

Since inception: Analytics Flexible Fund of Funds

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Analytics Balanced FOF A since inception vs. Inflation and Cash

Analytics Balanced FoF A Inflation Cash After-Tx cash

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Analytics Flexible FOF A since inception vs. Inflation and Cash

Analytics Flexible FoF A Inflation Cash After-Tx cash

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Analytics funds of funds performance charts

Since inception: Analytics Managed Equity

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Analytics Managed Equity since inception vs. Inflation, Cash and ALSI

Analytics Managed Equity A Inflation Cash After-Tx cash ALSI

Rolling 12 month return patterns

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Analytics funds of funds monthly return tables

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec YTD

2005 0.60% 2.47% -0.41% -0.55% 2.53% 1.27% 3.12% 0.95% 2.43% -0.37% 1.23% 3.15% 17.60%

2006 3.59% 0.55% 2.12% 0.87% -1.79% -1.34% 0.03% 2.33% 0.88% 2.32% 2.10% 1.90% 14.28%

2007 2.20% 1.07% 2.26% 2.18% -0.08% -0.86% 0.62% 0.42% 1.74% 2.09% -1.10% -0.40% 10.53%

2008 -1.11% 2.55% 0.47% -0.13% 0.84% -1.04% -0.49% 1.69% -1.78% -1.32% 0.68% 1.55% 1.82%

2009 -0.29% -2.27% 1.66% 0.70% 1.84% -0.32% 3.27% 2.01% 0.79% 1.66% -0.16% 1.28% 10.53%

2010 -0.45% 1.24% 2.09% 0.81% -1.40% -0.57% 2.28% -0.36% 3.01% 1.37% 0.12% 1.81% 10.31%

2011 -0.75% 0.25% 0.64% 1.01% -0.16% -0.35% -0.79% 0.37% -1.24% 2.46% -0.09% 0.42% 1.74%

2012 1.73% 1.73%

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec YTD

2005 1.17% 3.51% -0.47% -2.45% 5.87% 1.53% 5.67% 1.21% 3.79% -0.41% 1.28% 4.87% 28.32%

2006 5.72% 0.25% 3.71% 1.59% -2.30% -0.45% -0.86% 4.41% 2.49% 3.06% 3.28% 3.49% 26.92%

2007 3.43% 1.31% 3.89% 3.46% -0.29% -1.59% 0.48% 0.23% 2.71% 4.06% -2.80% -1.80% 13.54%

2008 -4.52% 5.29% -0.44% -0.14% 1.23% -3.37% -2.50% 2.58% -6.05% -5.04% -0.04% 2.21% -10.87%

2009 -1.57% -4.77% 3.21% 1.35% 3.62% -0.64% 5.52% 3.19% 1.15% 2.60% -0.29% 2.31% 16.36%

2010 -1.55% 1.51% 3.86% 0.96% -3.00% -1.73% 4.12% -1.43% 5.28% 2.16% 0.31% 2.77% 13.67%

2011 -1.03% 0.68% 0.66% 1.17% -0.09% -0.96% -1.49% -0.08% -1.54% 3.96% -0.34% 0.40% 1.23%

2012 2.73% 2.73%

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2005 1.12% 3.93% -0.45% -2.94% 6.38% 1.62% 6.40% 1.33% 4.57% -0.88% 1.61% 5.36% 31.34%

2006 6.52% 0.09% 4.07% 1.75% -2.83% -0.39% -0.86% 4.60% 2.46% 3.39% 3.51% 3.99% 29.21%

2007 3.52% 1.22% 4.28% 3.51% -0.10% -1.56% 0.40% 0.22% 2.85% 4.56% -3.26% -2.19% 13.88%

2008 -5.65% 6.15% -0.79% -0.12% 1.29% -4.16% -3.24% 2.90% -7.74% -6.72% -0.32% 2.76% -15.44%

2009 -2.35% -5.96% 4.12% 1.76% 4.54% -0.74% 6.63% 3.77% 1.40% 3.07% -0.38% 2.68% 19.43%

2010 -1.95% 1.68% 4.49% 1.02% -3.48% -2.21% 5.22% -1.99% 6.55% 2.54% 0.37% 3.43% 16.19%

2011 -1.31% 1.01% 0.75% 1.39% 0.02% -1.25% -1.74% -0.39% -1.66% 5.26% -0.57% 0.56% 1.88%

2012 3.34% 3.34%

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2005 1.34% 3.45% 0.08% -3.18% 6.56% 1.18% 6.11% 0.86% 4.07% -0.37% 1.18% 4.30% 28.26%

2006 5.66% -0.32% 3.64% 1.91% -1.30% 1.62% -1.11% 4.01% 3.52% 1.88% 3.00% 2.99% 28.41%

2007 3.13% 1.04% 3.96% 2.57% 0.29% -1.18% 0.34% 0.07% 1.48% 1.26% -1.79% -1.23% 10.22%

2008 1.44% 4.55% 2.42% -2.64% 1.95% -2.37% -7.81% 1.99% -5.03% -1.29% -2.00% -0.61% -9.63%

2009 1.18% -6.19% -0.63% -3.10% 3.02% -2.71% 6.64% 3.47% 0.29% 2.77% -2.00% 0.96% 3.08%

2010 -0.38% 2.31% 0.68% 1.06% -3.78% -2.07% 1.82% -1.26% 3.11% 2.53% 0.49% 0.70% 5.09%

2011 2.67% -0.38% -0.49% 0.41% 0.43% -1.40% -1.66% -0.43% 1.75% 2.20% 0.44% -0.57% 2.91%

2012 1.68% 1.68%

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2005 1.16% 5.07% -1.26% -3.96% 7.51% 2.37% 8.92% 1.66% 6.73% -2.40% 3.28% 6.74% 41.05%

2006 8.90% -0.40% 4.69% 2.11% -4.58% -0.24% -0.52% 4.57% 2.26% 4.91% 4.08% 5.90% 35.77%

2007 3.50% 1.02% 5.31% 3.93% 0.49% -1.48% 0.24% 0.16% 3.15% 6.26% -4.34% -3.13% 15.53%

2008 -8.61% 8.20% -1.74% 1.69% 2.15% -5.22% -4.50% 2.78% -10.81% -10.53% -1.48% 3.94% -23.27%

2009 -4.49% -7.96% 7.14% 3.97% 7.53% -0.16% 7.71% 4.65% 1.78% 3.66% 0.10% 3.77% 29.87%

2010 -2.88% 1.09% 6.34% 1.10% -4.13% -2.98% 6.79% -3.10% 9.02% 3.10% 0.11% 5.82% 20.98%

2011 -2.82% 2.42% 1.06% 1.75% -0.09% -1.79% -2.48% -0.84% -3.53% 8.43% -0.86% 0.38% 1.09%

2012 5.02% 5.02%

ANALYTICS MANAGED EQUITY FUND

ANALYTICS CAUTIOUS FUND OF FUNDS

ANALYTICS MODERATE FUND OF FUNDS

ANALYTICS BALANCED FUND OF FUNDS

ANALYTICS FLEXIBLE FUND OF FUNDS

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Analytics funds of funds risk analysis

Drawdown is defined here as the maximum peak to trough drop in the unit price of a fund

over its history, irrespective of the time period involved. It is must be remembered that many funds will define drawdown as the maximum MONTHLY

negative return over the history of the fund.

Drawdown and timing estimates

The current annualised volatility of the five Analytics funds is provided in the table below. The

annualised volatility is that of the monthly returns for each fund.

Current annualised volatility

All risk adjusted returns plotted in the charts have been calculated by dividing rolling 12

month nominal returns by the rolling 12 month volatility.

Jan-12

Drawdown

Analytics Cautious Fund of Funds -3.13%

Analytics Moderate Fund of Funds -11.13%

Analytics Balanced Fund of Funds -14.78%

Analytics Flexible Fund of Funds -17.55%

Analytics Managed Equity Fund -22.82%

Sep 08/Nov 08

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Current Low High

Analytics Cautious Fund of Funds 3.57% 3.18% 6.10%

Analytics Moderate Fund of Funds 5.62% 4.76% 13.80%

Analytics Balanced Fund of Funds 7.14% 5.74% 16.62%

Analytics Flexible Fund of Funds 4.25% 4.25% 18.56%

Analytics Managed Equity Fund 11.55% 7.80% 24.12%

Volatility (%)

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Rolling 12 month volatility for the Analytics Funds of Funds

Rolling 60 month risk-adjusted returns for the Analytics Funds of Funds

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Rolling 60 month risk/return scatter graph for the Analytics Cautious FOF, Analytics Moderate FOF and the Analytics Balanced FOF

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Peer Relative Performance

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Asset Allocation Prudential Low Equity:Returns of selected Funds for periods to January 2012

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Analytics Moderate Fund of Funds

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Asset Allocation Prudential High Equity:Returns of selected Funds for periods to January 2012

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Analytics Managed Equity

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Asset manager performance tables

Snapshot of returns

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Current Managers

Analytics Managed Equity Fund 5.02% 4.52% 8.40% 9.25% 15.00% 20.43% 7.41%

Old Mutual SA Quoted Property Fund 4.58% 5.54% 9.00% 17.63% 19.54% 18.05% 12.05%

Stanlib Bond Fund 2.02% 2.98% 7.53% 14.63% 14.23% 9.85% 9.21%

Prudential Money Market Fund 0.45% 1.30% 2.67% 5.40% 6.02% 6.85% 8.43%

Investec Diversified Income Fund 0.41% 1.14% 7.26% 10.51% 9.96% n/a n/a

Investec Global Strategic Managed Fund 0.49% -1.64% 6.74% 4.21% 6.47% 3.85% 1.31%

ANALYTICS CAUTIOUS FUND OF FUNDS

Jan-12

1 3 6 12 24 36 60

month months months months months months months

Current Managers

Analytics Managed Equity Fund 5.02% 4.52% 8.40% 9.25% 15.00% 20.43% 7.41%

Old Mutual SA Quoted Property Fund 4.58% 5.54% 9.00% 17.63% 19.54% 18.05% 12.05%

Stanlib Bond Fund 2.02% 2.98% 7.53% 14.63% 14.23% 9.85% 9.21%

Prudential Money Market Fund 0.45% 1.30% 2.67% 5.40% 6.02% 6.85% 8.43%

Investec Diversified Income Fund 0.41% 1.14% 7.26% 10.51% 9.96% n/a n/a

Investec Global Strategic Managed Fund 0.49% -1.64% 6.74% 4.21% 6.47% 3.85% 1.31%

ANALYTICS MODERATE FUND OF FUNDS

Jan-12

1 3 6 12 24 36 60

month months months months months months months

Current Managers

Analytics Managed Equity Fund 5.02% 4.52% 8.40% 9.25% 15.00% 20.43% 7.41%

Old Mutual SA Quoted Property Fund 4.58% 5.54% 9.00% 17.63% 19.54% 18.05% 12.05%

Stanlib Bond Fund 2.02% 2.98% 7.53% 14.63% 14.23% 9.85% 9.21%

Prudential Money Market Fund 0.45% 1.30% 2.67% 5.40% 6.02% 6.85% 8.43%

Investec Global Strategic Managed Fund 0.49% -1.64% 6.74% 4.21% 6.47% 3.85% 1.31%

1 3 6 12 24 36 60

month months months months months months months

Current Managers

Analytics Managed Equity Fund 5.02% 4.52% 8.40% 9.25% 15.00% 20.43% 7.41%

Stanlib Bond Fund 2.02% 2.98% 7.53% 14.63% 14.23% 9.85% 9.21%

Investec Global Strategic Managed Fund 0.49% -1.64% 6.74% 4.21% 6.47% 3.85% 1.31%

Prudential Money Market Fund 0.45% 1.30% 2.67% 5.40% 6.02% 6.85% 8.43%

ANALYTICS FLEXIBLE FUND OF FUNDS

Jan-12

ANALYTICS BALANCED FUND OF FUNDS

Jan-12

Page 16: Analytics jan 2012 final

16

Asset manager performance tables

1 3 6 12 24 36 60

month months months months months months months

Shadow Managers

Prudential Enhanced SA Property Tracker Fund 4.62% 5.50% 8.44% 18.23% 21.49% 19.26% 13.49%

Investec Property Fund 4.73% 5.58% 8.51% 16.69% 19.50% 16.97% 12.70%

Investec Gilt Fund 1.93% 2.70% 6.30% 12.44% 12.24% 8.41% 8.59%

Investec Opportunity Income Fund 1.01% 2.12% 4.24% 8.68% 9.30% 8.24% 9.16%

Coronation Strategic Income Fund 0.77% 2.15% 5.91% 10.72% 10.66% 10.12% 9.27%

Foord International Trust Fund -1.62% -2.12% 10.80% 6.63% 6.52% 0.88% 4.46%

Coronation Global Managed Fund 1.20% 0.40% 14.04% 12.64% 7.92% n/a n/a

Watchlist Managers

Coronation Property Equity Fund 4.56% 4.64% 8.17% 17.14% 20.41% 18.86% 11.94%

Nedgroup Flexible Income Fund 0.46% 1.26% 5.96% 10.11% 8.33% 8.07% 9.64%

Cadiz Absolute Yield Fund 1.36% 2.63% 4.97% 9.57% 9.70% 9.68% 10.44%

Old Mutual Enhanced Income Fund 0.82% 2.19% 4.21% 8.27% 8.34% 7.83% 8.40%

Allan Gray Orbis Global Fund of Funds -1.08% -2.02% 10.42% 3.79% 0.89% -0.94% 4.54%

Sarasin Equisar Global Thematic Fund (Rands) 0.15% -3.36% 7.32% 6.76% -1.00% 6.15% 1.62%

1 3 6 12 24 36 60

month months months months months months months

Current Managers

Cadiz Equity Fund (seg) 5.77% 6.12% 10.92% 10.58% 15.23% 21.82% 7.56%

Coronation Equity Fund (seg) 4.99% 5.14% 10.36% 14.45% 20.20% 27.01% 13.17%

Investec Equity Fund (seg) 4.32% 4.08% 9.42% 13.57% 15.46% 18.04% 8.07%

Old Mutual Mining & Resources Fund (UT) 6.62% 2.65% 2.35% -5.82% 5.86% 19.12% 10.32%

Shadow Managers

Mi-Plan Beta Equity Fund 4.86% 5.27% 10.07% 11.59% 15.27% 20.24% 7.39%

Nedgroup Investments Value Fund 6.42% 6.73% 10.15% 11.07% 16.84% 23.22% 11.35%

Nedgroup Investments Rainmaker Fund 4.99% 5.00% 10.44% 12.27% 16.27% 20.15% 8.72%

Investec Commodity Fund 7.23% 5.11% 9.46% 3.97% 10.39% 16.50% 9.29%

Watchlist Managers

SIM Equally Weighted Top 40 Fund 5.75% 4.42% 10.53% 11.76% n/a n/a n/a

SIM Dividend Plus Index Fund 6.31% 9.60% n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a

Stanlib ALSI40 Fund 6.09% 3.65% 10.36% 9.78% 14.57% 20.15% 8.08%

ANALYTICS MANAGED EQUITY FUND

Jan-12

ANALYTICS FUNDS OF FUNDS

Jan-12

Page 17: Analytics jan 2012 final

17

Analytics funds of funds asset allocation

18.6%

7.1%

26.8%

26.0%

21.5%

Analytics Cautious FOF

Equity Property Bonds Cash Offshore

45.5%

7.8%

25.8%

2.4%

18.6%

Analytics Moderate FOF

Equity Property Bonds Cash Offshore

56.6%

9.4%

10.1%

2.1%

21.7%

Analytics Balanced FOF

Equity Property Bonds Cash Offshore

32.0%

0.0%

7.8%

4.1%

56.1%

Analytics Flexible FOF

Equity Property Bonds Cash Offshore

Page 18: Analytics jan 2012 final

18

Analytics Cautious Fund of Funds characteristics

Fixed income asset classes

10.0%0.0%

34.1%

51.1%

4.8% 0.0%0.0%0.0%

Stanlib Bond

Cash Floating Rate Notes Government Bonds

Non-government Bonds Inflation Linked Bonds Preference Shares

Foreign Fixed Interest Property

17.5%

16.4%

21.4%

16.0%

6.7%

0.0%

19.7%

2.2%

Investec Diversified Income

Cash Floating Rate Notes Government Bonds

Non-government Bonds Inflation Linked Bonds Preference Shares

Foreign Fixed Interest Property

35.0%

7.9%

19.9%

22.0%

4.6%0.0%

9.5% 1.0%

Analytics Cautious FOF

Cash Floating Rate Notes Government Bonds

Non-government Bonds Inflation Linked Bonds Preference Shares

Foreign Fixed Interest Property

Page 19: Analytics jan 2012 final

19

Maturity spread analysis

10.0%0.1%

20.0%

51.1%

18.8%

Stanlib Bond

0-1 yr 1-3 yr 3-7 yr 7-12 yr 12+ yr

36.3%

16.1%9.5%

7.0%

31.1%

Investec Diversified Income

0-1 yr 1-3 yr 3-7 yr 7-12 yr 12+ yr

44.1%

7.8%10.2%

17.7%

20.3%

Analytics Cautious FOF

0-1 yr 1-3 yr 3-7 yr 7-12 yr 12+ yr

Page 20: Analytics jan 2012 final

20

Analytics Managed Equity Fund sector analysis

Managed Equity Fund sector allocation

Underlying manager sector allocation

39.4%

19.1%

41.5%

January 2012

Resources Financials Industrials

39.7%

18.3%

42.0%

December 2011

Resources Financials Industrials

37.44%

20.94%

41.62%

Cadiz

Resources Financials Industrials

34.24%

23.66%

42.10%

Coronation

Resources Financials Industrials

36.65%

13.54%

49.81%

Investec

Resources Financials Industrials93.33%

0.00% 6.67%

Old Mutual Mining & Resources

Resources Financials Industrials

Page 21: Analytics jan 2012 final

21

Analytics Managed Equity Fund share exposure analysis

Top 10 shares in Analytics Managed Equity Fund

Dec-11 % of Equity Only Jan-12 % of Equity Only

SHARE Total SHARE Total

SASOL 10.48% SASOL 10.29%

MTN GROUP 8.42% ANGLO 7.99%

ANGLO 7.98% MTN GROUP 7.55%

BHPBILL 7.05% BHPBILL 7.09%

STANBANK 3.94% NASPERS -N 4.62%

NASPERS -N 3.74% STANBANK 4.11%

SAB 3.34% FIRSTRAND 3.07%

FIRSTRAND 2.76% SAB 2.98%

BRITISH AM. TOBACCO 2.71% BRITISH AM. TOBACCO 2.63%

BIDVEST 2.22% BIDVEST 2.32%

Page 22: Analytics jan 2012 final

22

Disclaimer

The information and opinions contained in this document are recorded and expressed in

good faith and in reliance on sources believed to be credible. No representation, warranty, undertaking or guarantee of whatever nature is given on the accuracy and/or complete-ness of such information or the correctness of such opinions. Analytics will have no liability

of whatever nature and however arising in respect of any claim, damages, loss or ex-penses suffered directly or indirectly by the investor acting on the information contained in this document. Furthermore, due to the fact that Analytics does not act as your financial

advisor, we have not conducted a financial needs analysis and will rely on the needs analysis conducted by your financial advisor. We recommend that you take particular care to consider whether any information contained in this document is appropriate given your

objectives, financial situation and particular needs in view of the fact that there may be limitations on the appropriateness of the advice provided. No guarantee of investment per-formance or capital protection should be inferred from any of the information contained in

this document. Portfolio Analytics (Pty) Ltd and Portfolio Analytics Consulting (Pty) Ltd are authorised financial services providers. Unit trusts are generally medium to long term investments. The value of units go up as

well as down and past performance is not necessarily a guide to the future. Should a portfolio have underlying international investments, fluctuations or movements in ex-change rates cause the value of those underlying investments to go up or down. Unit

trusts are traded at ruling prices and can engage in borrowing and scrip lending. A schedule of fees and charges and maximum commissions is available on request from Investec Fund Managers SA Limited. Commission and incentives may be paid and if so,

would be included in the overall costs. Different classes of units apply to these portfolios and are subject to different fees and charges. A fund of fund unit trust only invests in other unit trusts, which levy their own charges, which could result in a higher fee structure

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