Analytics in Risk Management
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Transcript of Analytics in Risk Management
New York, September 2013
Simplicity is the Ultimate Sophistication
» It is not hard to compose, but what is fabulously hard is to leave the superfluous notes under the table.« Johannes Brahms
Slide 2
Agenda
Slide 3
The Challenges in Risk Management
Requirements / Basel Committee Principles
Enhance infrastructure for reporting key information
Particularly used by the board and senior management
To identify, monitor and manage risk in real time and on-demand
Improve decision-making throughout the bank
Enhance the management of information across legal entities
Facilitate assessment of risk exposure at the global consolidated level
Reduce the probability & severity of losses
Reduce the time required to access risk information
Improve the quality strategic planning
Regulatory Requirements
Basel Committee Principles
Capital Requirements
RWA
Shrinking margins
Cost Pressure
Strategic planning
Volumes
Key Challenges
Slide 4
Drill Down
Real-time
Reporting/Analysis
On Demand
A well designed analytical dashboard provides users with a colour palette optimized for fast comprehension and filters to allow rapid isolation of potential problems and opportunities. It is the combination of a visual interface with an equally capable information architecture that allows traders and risk managers to understand precisely and instantly the drivers of risk and enables them to take immediate action on important finding.
Business Benefits
Significantly improved user experience
Allows user to focus on supervisory responsibility
(rather than report creation)
Data available on-line with drill down back to source
data
Availability of data quality information supports
communication with data owners and will eventually
result in improved quality
Objectives
Expand the user experience by leveraging new
technology, dashboard functionality and data
visualisation in order to create additional value
Provide a data presentation vehicle that allows users
to easily identify problem areas that require
attention
Provide a platform that supports drill down features
and on-line functionality
Risk Management - Strategy
Slide 5
Consistent Risk and PnL Management / Control
PnL Attribution
Risk Based PnL
Validated PnL
Risk Sensitivities
VaR
Back Testing
Counterparty Risk Profiles
RWA Drill Down
Business Requirements
Analysis
Drill Down
Slice and Dice
Trend
Time Series
Monitoring
Real Time
Functionality / Features
Slide 6
Implementation
Technology Challenge
It has proven difficult to build on demand risk systems using conventional risk technology; emerging technologies are now becoming sufficiently robust that they can be used as a basis for building enterprise risk systems that can monitor risk in real-time, on demand and on a historical basis
Conventional risk management technology platforms are based on established business information architectures:
Based on a sequential flow of data: extract, transform, load, enrich calculate and report
On demand, near-real time processing is implemented like ‘mini’ batch of the sequential processing
Performance constrained by the underlying data and processing architecture
Emerging technologies such as Complex Event Processing, in-memory processing and data visualisation tools enable a different architecture where trade and market events can be processed as they arrive:
These technologies are deployed as components that can be combined to provide tailored solutions
The same components can be used in different configurations for different applications
Slide 7
Pre Attentive Processing
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Slide 8
Visual Data Discovery
Slide 9
Iterative Implementation Approach
Evolution Step 1 Existing Spreadsheet
Evolution Step 2
Evolution Step 3
Slide 10
Iterative Implementation Approach – Swaption Dashboard
Step 1 Scenarios / Analysis Existing Spreadsheet
Step 2 Hierarchies
Step 3 Drill Down
Slide 11
Use Case / Benefits
Focus
Front Office
Middle Office
Back Office
Wealth / Asset Management
Group Wide
Immediate Identification Risks/Opportuniti
es
Benefits
Efficient Processes, Consistent Use F2B Efficiency/Consistency
Less Reporting, No Spreadsheet Processes Workarounds
Quick Implementation, Opportunity Cost Time to Market
Less Proprietary development, Decommissioning of parallel Technology Cost Avoidance