Analyst Meeting 1Q07 - TISCO · Analyst Meeting 1Q07 23 April 2007 Disclaimer: This presentation...

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Analyst Meeting 1Q07 23 April 2007 Disclaimer: This presentation material may contain forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties, and actual results may differ from those in the forward looking statements as a result of various factors. TISCO Bank accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document of its content.

Transcript of Analyst Meeting 1Q07 - TISCO · Analyst Meeting 1Q07 23 April 2007 Disclaimer: This presentation...

  • Analyst Meeting 1Q07

    23 April 2007

    Disclaimer: This presentation material may contain forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties, and actual results may differ from those in the forward looking statements as a result of various factors. TISCO Bank accepts no liability whatsoever with respect to the use of this document of its content.

  • 2

    1Q07 Financial Highlights

    (34.6)

    (16.5)

    (31.0)

    37.6

    (24.9)

    (12.6)

    (33.8)

    (4.6)

    68.7

    25.5

    %YOY

    318

    (214)

    537

    284

    253

    (899)

    502

    649

    (849)

    1,498

    4Q06

    11.9

    (34.8)

    (7.7)

    (134.3)

    134.8

    (26.2)

    (0.4)

    16.5

    9.4

    12.5

    %QOQ

    356

    (139)

    495

    (98)

    593

    (664)

    500

    756

    (929)

    1,686

    1Q07

    544

    (167)

    718

    (71)

    789

    (759)

    755

    793

    (551)

    1,344

    1Q06

    (2,899)(1,464)Interest expense

    1,545

    (633)

    2,202

    222

    1,980

    (3,048)

    2,222

    2,806

    5,705

    2006

    2,267PPOP

    (2,893)Operating expense

    2,057Non-interest income

    3,103Net interest income

    4,567Interest income

    186Provisions

    2,453Pre-tax profit

    1,791Net profit

    (635)Income tax

    2005(Million Baht) Major drivers:• HP loan growth of 8.2% YTD despite slowdown auto car sale • Slightly declined cost of fund• Continued banking fee income growth• Lower operating expenses due to changing of accounting method on commission fee expenses to be deferred and amortized over the period• No impact from IAS 39 on provision

    Drawback from:• Higher interest rate environment compared to 1Q06• Lower trading gain in 1Q07 compared to 1Q06• Lower brokerage fee due to unfavorable stock market• Full corporate tax rate

    1Q0720062005

    47.8

    2.7

    12.0

    1.9

    1.87

    49.9

    3.2

    11.5

    1.5

    0.422.21Diluted EPS (Baht)

    44.3Cost-to-income (%)

    4.1Interest spread (%)

    14.0ROAE (%)

    2.5ROAA (%)

  • 3

    Revenue Structure

    Proprietary Trading10%

    Investment Banking

    0%

    Asset Management Fee

    6%

    Brokerage Fee10%

    Banking Fee16%

    Interbank & MM - net4%

    Wholesales Loans - net9%

    Retail Loans - net45%

    NII : Fee Income was 60% : 40%

  • 4

    Non Interest Income

    (33.8)

    (64.1)

    (100.0)

    9.9

    270.4

    (1.1)

    (37.4)

    % YoY

    502

    57

    0

    195

    1

    79

    170

    4Q06

    (0.4)

    73.1

    0.0

    2.3

    529.7

    (1.9)

    (29.7)

    % QoQ

    755

    274

    28

    182

    1

    78

    191

    1Q06

    0028SAM

    500

    99

    200

    5

    77

    120

    1Q07

    100.0

    19.7

    40.0

    0.9

    15.4

    23.9

    Breakdown (%)

    455Trading Income

    2,222

    786

    9

    295

    649

    2006

    Investment Banking Fee

    Banking Business

    Asset Management Fee

    Total

    Brokerage Fee

    (Million Baht)

    • Continued growth from banking fee income

    • Improved investment banking business

    • No fee income from SAM project

    • No special trading gain as in 1Q06

    • Start bancassurance business

  • 5

    Operating Expenses

    44.3% 47.8% 49.9%

    2005 2006 1Q07

    (26.2)

    60.1

    (0.9)

    (71.5)

    (2.6)

    (6.1)

    (26.3)

    %QoQ

    (12.6)

    (10.2)

    25.2

    (48.7)

    82.3

    5.1

    (10.0)

    %YoY

    100.0

    22.0

    0.3

    10.5

    4.9

    16.9

    44.7

    Breakdown (%)

    899

    91

    2

    244

    34

    120

    408

    4Q06

    664

    146

    2

    70

    33

    112

    301

    1Q07

    759

    162

    2

    135

    18

    107

    334

    1Q06

    3,048

    542

    8

    728

    102

    452

    1,216

    2006

    Other expenses

    Directors’ remuneration

    Fees and service expenses

    Taxes and duties

    Premises and equipment expenses

    Operating Expenses

    Personnel expenses

    (Million Baht)

    Cost to Income Ratio

    OPEX decrease mainly due to Fees and Service Expenses and personnel expenses

  • 6

    Asset Mix Liabilities Mix

    0%10%20%30%40%50%

    60%70%80%90%

    100%

    2006 1Q07

    Other assets

    Interbank & MM& RepoInvestment

    Other RetailLoansHire Purchase

    Corporate Loans

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    2006 1Q07

    Other Liabilities

    L-T Borrowings

    Interbank

    Deposits*

    92%

    8.55658,8516454,245Hire Purchase

    1007215

    (3)7

    17

    %

    84,7815,7991,7181,0244,393

    (2,794)5,823

    14,574

    2006

    206.533,139Interbank & MM773.11415,000Repo Securities

    105,0916,058

    4324(2,808)

    6,072

    14,453

    1Q07

    1006

    4(3)

    6

    14

    %

    24.0Total Assets4.5Other assets

    (1.6)Investment0.5Allowance4.3Other Retail Loans

    (0.8)Corporate Loans

    % YTD(Million Baht)

    100503

    92

    %

    12,68272,099

    3,292362

    2,15766,288

    2006

    13,02292,069

    3,4723,9933,044

    81,560

    1Q07

    100443

    89

    %

    2.7Total Equity27.7Total Liabilities

    5.0Other Liabilities1,003.9L-T Borrowings

    41.1Interbank & MM23.0Deposits*

    % YTD(Million Baht)

    84,781 72,099 105,091

    *Deposits include short term borrowing

    89%

    92,069

    14%

    56%

    17%

    64%

    Loans & Deposits

    17%3%

  • 7

    81.0

    3,449

    938

    263

    998

    1,250

    2006

    4.6

    20.9

    13.1

    1.8

    8.6

    %NPL

    4.53,574TOTAL NPL

    12.6251Retail-Housing

    78.6

    942

    1,051

    1,330

    1Q07

    19.0

    1.8

    9.2

    %NPL

    Other NPL

    Coverage Ratio (%)

    Retail-Hire Purchase

    Corporate

    NPL By Industry(Million Baht)

    2,794 2,808

    3,449 3,574

    2006 1Q07

    NPL Allowance

    NPLs & Allowance (Million Baht)

    Coverage Ratio & NPL

  • 8

    • Duration gap narrowed to 0.67 year primarily resulted from the expansion of

    deposits and local borrowings.

    • Assets duration decreased as the

    expansion of long-term hire purchase

    loans is offset by increase in short-term

    liquid assets.

    • Liabilities duration increased owing to

    an increase in long-term borrowings.

    Meanwhile, the average days to maturity

    of deposits and local borrowings

    increased from 146 to 190 days.

    1.30

    1.18

    0.400.51

    0.00

    0.20

    0.40

    0.60

    0.80

    1.00

    1.20

    1.40

    Dec. 06 Mar. 07

    Assets Liabilities

    Interest Rate Risk

    Current Profile

  • 9

    (Remark: Penetration rate was accounted for only new car sales.)

    Industry New Car Sales & TISCO Penetration Rate

    703 682

    82

    193154165170

    7.0%

    9.1%10.1%

    12.7%

    18.1%

    5.4%7.7%

    2005 2006 1Q06 2Q06 3Q06 4Q06 Jan-Feb07

    Total Car Sales Penetration Rate

    Hire Purchase Business

    (Thousand Units)

    Motorcycle5%

    Subsidiaries2%

    Bank Branches

    57%

    Head Office36%

    1Q07 Hire Purchase Breakdown

  • 10

    Brokerage Business

    982 1,0531,168

    786

    16,454 16,28120,916

    11,800

    2005 2006 1Q06 1Q07

    TISCO turnover Market turnover

    Average Daily Turnover*(Million Baht)

    27% 37%40%

    23%23% 26%

    50% 40%34%

    0%

    20%

    40%

    60%

    80%

    100%

    2005 2006 1Q07

    RetailInvestors

    LocalInstitution

    ForeignInstitution

    Customer Breakdown

    *Source: www.sse.set

    (Million Baht)

    (27.5)%YTD

    (25.4)%YTD

    Market

    TISCO

    240,503 255,847

    73,59148,749

    3.0%3.2%

    3.3%

    2.8%

    2005 2006 1Q06 1Q07Brokerage Value Market Share

    Brokerage Value & Market Share

  • 11

    82.1 84.788.9

    62%62%62%

    29%29%25%

    9%9%13%

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    2005 2006 Mar 2007Provident Fund Private Fund Mutual Fund

    (Billion Baht)

    6.5 5.4

    14.7 13.714.616.6

    1.4 0.7

    5.38 th

    13.7 2 nd

    17.0 2 nd

    0.717 th

    0

    4

    8

    12

    16

    2005 2006 Feb 2007

    TISCO Market Share Provident FundPrivate Fund Mutual Fund

    1,574 1,630

    1,260

    24%25%28%

    11% 9% 9%

    61%66% 67%

    0

    500

    1,000

    1,500

    2005 2006 Feb 2007

    Provident Fund Private Fund Mutual Fund

    Market NAV Asset Under Management(Billion Baht)

    5.0% YTD

    4.2% YTD

    4.9% YTD

    Total

    Private Fund

    Provident Fund

    (Billion Baht)

    Market Share (%)

    Asset Management Business

  • 12

    Investor Relations

    TISCO Bank Public Company Limited48/2 TISCO Tower, North Sathorn RoadSilom, Bangrak, Bangkok 10500

    Tel. +66-2-633-6868Fax. +66-2-633-6818

    Email: [email protected]: www.tisco.co.th